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Penumbra, Inc. (PEN) Stock Analysis

Educational signal · not a buy or sell recommendation · How to read this

$317.78 -$1.79 (-0.56%) |Exceptional · 94
Penumbra, Inc. (PEN) bottom line: Bullish Lean — our Council read (71/100) and AI Score (94/100) broadly agree. Strongest signal: Growth Durability · Biggest watch-out: Valuation.Educational signal, not a buy or sell recommendation. Compare sector peers → · Read the method →
MCap: $12.5B| P/E Ratio: 79.95| Vol: 141K| Target: $320.00 (+0.7%) (Aug 29, 2026) (estimate, not advice)| 52-wk range: $221.26 – $362.41

P/E 79.95 means the share price is 79.95 times one year of earnings per share; the S&P 500 usually sits near 20-25. Market cap $12.5B is the value of all shares combined. Beta 0.84: the stock has moved about 16% less than the S&P 500.

Data from FMP · Methodology

For informational purposes only. Not financial advice. Machine-generated analysis by Stock Expert AI — model gemini-2.0-flash, generated May 10, 2026. Editorial oversight is systemic, not page-by-page. Editorially accountable: Sedat ANAK, Founder and Editor-in-Chief. Data sources: Financial Modeling Prep, Yahoo Finance, SEC EDGAR

Quick Answer

Penumbra, Inc. (PEN) trades at $317.78 with MoonshotScore 94/100 (Grade A+). Penumbra, Inc. is a global medical device company specializing in innovative therapies for neurovascular and vascular diseases. Market cap: $12.5B, Sector: Healthcare.

Price as of Sep 11, 2026 · Last analyzed: May 10, 2026
Penumbra, Inc. is a global medical device company specializing in innovative therapies for neurovascular and vascular diseases. Their aspiration-based thrombectomy systems and embolization technologies address critical unmet needs in stroke and peripheral intervention.

PEN stock analysis for 2026: Analysts have set a consensus price target of $320.00 for Penumbra, Inc., suggesting 0.7% upside from the current price of $317.78. The AI MoonshotScore is 94/100, in the Exceptional band (80-100) — a research signal, not a recommendation. Key factors: analyst coverage, AI-driven quantitative scoring.

Watch the PEN film Every key number, told as a short cinematic story — just press play. ~2 min

These figures come from statements filed 12 months ago — the most recent this company has published.

Council Score · Weighted Average of 3 Disciplines
Bullish Lean 71/100 · A

PEN: 2/3 scored disciplines lean bullish. Dominant signal: Izzy Englander bullish.

How is this calculated? →
MoonshotScore · Five-pillar engine · 94/100
Business Quality
Strong Is this a genuinely good business?
Financial Safety
Strong Could this blow up on me?
Valuation
Weak Am I paying a fair price?
Growth Durability
Strong Is the growth real and likely to last?
Momentum
Moderate Is the market already moving on this?

Strongest side: Growth Durability (10/10, Strong). Weakest side: Valuation (4/10, Weak).

Legends Council · 5 Legends + Moon AI

AI simulations built from the named investors' published principles. Not affiliated with, endorsed by, or the opinion of these individuals. How these lenses are built

Dalio-style lens (simulated)Ray Dalio
Favorable read
Griffin-style lens (simulated)Ken Griffin
Neutral read
Simons-style lens (simulated)Jim Simons
Neutral read
Englander-style lens (simulated)Izzy Englander
Favorable read
Klarman-style lens (simulated)Seth Klarman
Neutral read
Moon AI lens (model)
Favorable read
Munger's Mindset · Balance Sheet & Valuation
Financial Health
Moderate
Margin of Safety
Overvalued
Council Score · Weighted Average of 3 Disciplines · See tabs for details →
The lenses are modelled on the published principles of the investors named. We are not affiliated with them, they have not endorsed this, and it is not their opinion of this stock.

Why this analysis is different

  • A sector-relative MoonshotScore — five pillars (business quality, financial safety, valuation, growth durability, momentum) re-ranked nightly against the full universe of US-listed common stocks.
  • An AI Council read across up to eight perspectives — value, macro, quantitative, and momentum lenses — that shows where they disagree instead of averaging the tension away.
  • Figures come straight from FMP and Yahoo Finance filings data. The AI writes the narrative around the numbers — it never edits the numbers.

Penumbra, Inc. (PEN) Healthcare & Pipeline Overview

CEOAdam Elsesser
Employees4,700
HeadquartersAlameda, CA, US
IPO Year2015

Penumbra, Inc. is a medical device company focused on neurovascular and peripheral vascular therapies, offering innovative aspiration and embolization technologies. With a strong emphasis on stroke treatment and a global market presence, Penumbra distinguishes itself through its proprietary device designs and direct sales approach.

Data Provenance | Financial Data Quantitative Analysis NYSE Analysis: May 10, 2026

What Is the Investment Thesis for PEN?

AI-written as of May 10, 2026 — figures and tone reflect the data available then, not today's score.

The company's focus on aspiration-based thrombectomy systems and embolization technologies addresses critical unmet needs in stroke and vascular disease treatment. With a market capitalization of $12.5B and a P/E ratio of 79.95, Penumbra's valuation reflects its growth potential. A gross margin of 67.4% and a profit margin of 11.8% indicate strong profitability. Key growth catalysts include continued adoption of its Penumbra System for stroke intervention and expansion into new therapeutic areas. However, investors may want to evaluate potential risks such as competition from established medical device companies and regulatory hurdles.

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis

PEN Key Highlights

AI-written as of May 10, 2026 — figures and tone reflect the data available then, not today's score.

Market Cap of $12.5B reflects investor confidence in Penumbra's growth prospects within the medical device industry.

  • P/E ratio of 79.95 indicates a premium valuation, suggesting high expectations for future earnings growth.
  • Gross Margin of 67.4% demonstrates Penumbra's ability to maintain strong profitability in its product lines.
  • Profit Margin of 11.8% showcases efficient operational management and cost control.
  • Beta of 0.84 suggests lower volatility compared to the overall market, potentially appealing to risk-averse investors.

Who Are PEN's Competitors?

PEN is benchmarked below against 8 industry peers on price, market cap, and our AI MoonshotScore.

Company Price Change Market Cap MoonshotScore
GMED Globus Medical, Inc. $73.63 +0.10% $9.93B 955-pillar
ALGN Align Technology, Inc. $150.72 -1.44% $10.8B 825-pillar
DVA DaVita Inc. $181.33 -0.92% $11.6B 745-pillar
BAX Baxter International Inc. $24.18 -0.86% $12.5B 535-pillar
HSIC Henry Schein, Inc. $87.80 -0.19% $10.0B 705-pillar
OLYMY Olympus Corporation $12.30 -1.20% $13.1B 539-signal
SNN Smith & Nephew plc $27.62 -0.65% $11.6B 855-pillar
GKOS Glaukos Corporation $170.38 -5.23% $10.1B 365-pillar

AI Score by Stock Expert AI · Price data: FMP / Yahoo Finance This table mixes two scoring engines — compare a number only with others carrying the same tag.

What Are PEN's Key Strengths?

Innovative product portfolio in neurovascular and vascular intervention.

  • Strong brand reputation and clinical evidence.
  • Direct sales organization with deep customer relationships.
  • High gross margins and profitability.

What Are PEN's Weaknesses?

Reliance on a limited number of key products.

  • Exposure to regulatory risks and product recalls.
  • Competition from larger medical device companies.
  • High valuation relative to earnings.

What Could Drive PEN Stock Higher?

New product launches in neurovascular and peripheral vascular intervention.

  • Continued adoption of the Penumbra System for stroke treatment.
  • Expansion into new geographic markets.
  • Positive clinical trial results for new products.

What Are the Key Risks for PEN?

Rich valuation — a P/E of 79.95 runs well above the Healthcare sector’s ~21.50x, leaving little room for a miss.

  • Competition from established medical device companies.
  • Regulatory risks and product recalls.
  • Changes in reimbursement policies.
  • Product liability claims.
  • Technological obsolescence.

What Are the Growth Opportunities for PEN?

  • Expansion of the Penumbra System for Stroke Intervention: The market for acute stroke treatment is substantial, driven by the high incidence of stroke and the need for rapid intervention. Penumbra's aspiration-based thrombectomy system offers a compelling solution for removing blood clots and restoring blood flow to the brain. Continued adoption of the Penumbra System in hospitals and stroke centers represents a significant growth opportunity. The global stroke management market is projected to reach $35 billion by 2028, providing a large addressable market for Penumbra.
  • Growth in Peripheral Vascular Interventions: Penumbra's Indigo System addresses the growing need for effective thrombectomy solutions in peripheral arteries and veins. The increasing prevalence of peripheral artery disease (PAD) and venous thromboembolism (VTE) is driving demand for minimally invasive interventions. Penumbra's focus on aspiration-based thrombectomy offers a competitive advantage in this market. The peripheral vascular device market is expected to reach $15 billion by 2027, presenting a substantial growth opportunity for Penumbra.
  • Development and Commercialization of New Products: Penumbra's commitment to innovation and product development is a key driver of growth. The company's pipeline includes new devices and technologies for neurovascular and peripheral vascular applications. Successful development and commercialization of these products will expand Penumbra's addressable market and strengthen its competitive position. Penumbra's investment in R&D is expected to yield new product launches in the coming years, contributing to revenue growth.
  • Expansion into Immersive Therapeutics: Penumbra's Real Immersive System represents a new growth opportunity in the emerging field of immersive therapeutics. This technology has the potential to improve health, motor function, and cognition in patients with neurological disorders. The market for immersive therapeutics is growing rapidly, driven by increasing awareness of the benefits of virtual reality and augmented reality in healthcare. Penumbra's early entry into this market positions it to capitalize on this trend.
  • Geographic Expansion: Penumbra's international presence is growing, with sales in Europe, Asia, and other regions. Expanding its geographic reach will allow Penumbra to access new markets and increase its revenue. The company's direct sales organization and distributor network provide a strong foundation for international expansion. Penumbra is targeting key international markets with high growth potential, such as China and India, to drive future revenue growth.

What Are PEN's Competitive Advantages?

  • Proprietary technology in aspiration-based thrombectomy.
  • Strong brand reputation in neurovascular intervention.
  • Direct sales organization with deep customer relationships.
  • Extensive patent portfolio protecting key products.
  • High switching costs for hospitals and physicians due to training and experience.

What Does PEN Do?

Penumbra, Inc., founded in 2004 and headquartered in Alameda, California, is a global medical device company that designs, develops, manufactures, and markets innovative therapies and products focused on addressing challenging medical conditions and significant clinical needs. The company's initial focus was on neurovascular intervention, specifically stroke treatment, with its Penumbra System, an aspiration-based thrombectomy system designed to remove blood clots from the brain. Over time, Penumbra has expanded its product portfolio to include neurovascular embolization systems, such as the Penumbra Coil 400, POD400, PAC400, and Penumbra SMART Coil, used to treat aneurysms and other neurovascular lesions. Additionally, the company offers neurovascular access systems like Neuron, Neuron MAX, Select, BENCHMARK, BMX96, DDC, and PX SLIM, facilitating access for various neurovascular therapies. Penumbra has also diversified into peripheral vascular interventions with its Indigo System, an aspiration-based thrombectomy system for removing clots from peripheral arteries and veins. The company's product offerings extend to neurosurgical aspiration tools (Artemis Neuro Evacuation Device), detachable embolic coil systems (Ruby Coil and Ruby LP), microcatheters (LANTERN), and occlusion devices (POD). More recently, Penumbra has ventured into immersive computer-based technologies and immersive therapeutics with its Real Immersive System, targeting health, motor function, and cognition. Penumbra distributes its products through a combination of direct sales organizations and distributors, serving hospitals and physicians worldwide.

What Products and Services Does PEN Offer?

  • Designs and develops medical devices for neurovascular and vascular diseases.
  • Manufactures aspiration-based thrombectomy systems for stroke treatment.
  • Offers neurovascular embolization systems for treating aneurysms.
  • Provides neurovascular access systems for intracranial access.
  • Develops neurosurgical aspiration tools for tissue and fluid removal.
  • Markets detachable embolic coil systems for peripheral embolization.
  • Offers immersive computer-based technologies for therapeutic applications.

How Does PEN Make Money?

  • Designs, develops, and manufactures medical devices in-house.
  • Sells products through direct sales organizations and distributors.
  • Generates revenue from the sale of aspiration-based thrombectomy systems.
  • Revenue from neurovascular embolization systems and access systems.
  • Recurring revenue from disposable components and accessories.

What Industry Does PEN Operate In?

Penumbra operates in the dynamic medical device industry, specifically within the neurovascular and peripheral vascular segments. The market for stroke treatment and vascular interventions is growing due to an aging population and increasing prevalence of vascular diseases. Competition includes established players like BAX: Baxter International Inc. and GMED: Globus Medical, Inc., as well as specialized companies focusing on thrombectomy and embolization technologies. Penumbra's innovative product portfolio and direct sales approach position it to capture market share in this competitive landscape.

Who Are PEN's Key Customers?

  • Hospitals and stroke centers.
  • Neurosurgeons and interventional radiologists.
  • Vascular surgeons.
  • Rehabilitation centers.
Model self-rating on this text: 83% (not a measure of the evidence) Updated: May 10, 2026

Research confidence

High 100/100

Broad, current evidence sits behind this analysis.

  • Scored on 100% of our measures
  • Price is current
  • Latest filing 43 days ago
  • Covered by analysts

Why 94?

Measured against companies in the same sector. The figures below are the factor contributions the scoring engine itself produced.

What is helping

  • +0.78 Gross profit per dollar of assets (Business Quality)
  • +0.40 Bankruptcy-risk score (Financial Strength)
  • +0.39 Return on equity (Business Quality)

What is holding it back

  • -0.15 Enterprise value vs EBITDA (Valuation)
  • -0.13 Enterprise value vs free cash flow (Valuation)
  • -0.12 Price to book (Valuation)

Contribution = how far the company sits from its sector on that measure, weighted by how much the pillar counts. Not investment advice. How the score is built →

MoonshotScore History

Recorded daily since 2026-08-23 · 19 snapshots

2026-08-23 94
2026-08-26 94
2026-08-29 95
2026-09-01 92
2026-09-04 92
2026-09-07 93
2026-09-10 93

What changed?

The grade moved from 94 to 93 (-1).

What moved it up or down:

  • -25 Valuation

Held back by:

  • +7 Momentum
  • +3 Financial Strength

Over the same 18 days the stock moved -2.0%.

Net selling

Insider Activity

Over the past six months, Penumbra, Inc. insiders filed 3 SEC Form 4 transactions — 2 sales and 1 purchases. On net that is roughly 74K shares disposed (about $33K), a signal worth weighing alongside the fundamentals.

Quarterly Financial Performance: Penumbra, Inc.

Revenue for Penumbra, Inc. came in at $390.0M during Q2 FY2026, a 4.1% improvement versus the preceding quarter. The company recorded net income of $34.8M, with diluted EPS of $0.88. Quarter-over-quarter revenue has been mixed, typical for a large-cap company operating in Healthcare. Across the four most recent quarters, PEN averaged $1.02 in diluted EPS.

PEN Valuation & Market Position

With a $12.5B market cap, Penumbra, Inc. sits in the large-cap segment of the market. Analyst price targets span from $320.00 to $320.00, with a consensus of $320.00. At the current price of $317.78, that implies approximately 1% upside potential. Relative to its peer group, PEN's quantitative score of 94/100 is above the peer average of 69/100.

ROE 11%

Key Financial Metrics

Return on equity for Penumbra, Inc. stands at 11.1%, a gauge of how efficiently it converts shareholder capital into profit. Return on assets is 8.1%, showing how much profit it generates from its asset base. PEN trades at a trailing price-to-earnings ratio of 79.95, above the Healthcare sector average of ~21.50x. Its free cash flow yield is 1.7%, a gauge of the cash the business throws off relative to its market value. A current ratio of 5.75 indicates the company holds enough short-term assets to cover its near-term obligations. Its earnings yield is 1.3%, the inverse of the P/E and a quick read on earnings relative to price.

F-Score 5/9

Financial Health

Penumbra, Inc.'s Piotroski F-Score is 5/9, a 9-point checklist of profitability, leverage and efficiency — a middling fundamental profile. Its Altman Z-Score of 19.01 places it in the safe zone, indicating low near-term bankruptcy risk.

6/8 beats

Earnings Track Record

Penumbra, Inc. has beaten Wall Street's EPS estimate in 6 of its last 8 reported quarters — a consistent record of delivering on expectations. Reported results have landed about 3.8% above estimates on average.

Company Profile

Penumbra, Inc. operates in the Medical - Devices industry within the Healthcare sector. It is headquartered in Alameda, US. The company is led by CEO Adam Elsesser. PEN has traded publicly since 2015.

PEN Financials

Fundamental Snapshot

Revenue Growth (FY)
+17.5%
Free Cash Flow Growth (FY)
+18.8%
P/E (TTM)
79.95
Return on Equity (TTM)
+11.1%
Current Ratio
5.7
EV/EBITDA (TTM)
57.9

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis · FY 2025

Bull Case vs Bear Case

Bull Case

  • Innovative product portfolio in neurovascular and vascular intervention.
  • Strong brand reputation and clinical evidence.
  • Direct sales organization with deep customer relationships.
  • High gross margins and profitability.

Bear Case

  • Reliance on a limited number of key products.
  • Exposure to regulatory risks and product recalls.
  • Competition from larger medical device companies.
  • High valuation relative to earnings.

AI-generated arguments based on insider flow, news sentiment and technicals — not financial advice · September 2026

Recent Quarterly Results

Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q2 FY2026 $390M $35M $0.88
Q1 FY2026 $375M $33M $0.82
Q4 FY2025 $385M $47M $1.20
Q3 FY2025 $355M $46M $1.17

Q2 FY2026 · filed 30 Jul 2026 · SEC EDGAR →

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis

PEN Latest News

PEN Analyst Consensus

Consensus Rating

Aggregated Buy/Hold/Sell recommendations collected by Financial Modeling Prep for PEN.

Price Targets

Low
$320.00
Consensus
$320.00
High
$320.00

Median: $320.00 (+0.7% from current price)

Source: FMP analyst consensus · as of Aug 29, 2026 · an estimate, not advice

PEN MoonshotScore

94/100

What does this score mean?

MoonshotScore is Stock Expert AI's proprietary 0-100 research rating, not a buy or sell recommendation. PEN scores 94/100 (Grade A+): the number comes from the five-pillar engine (business quality, financial safety, valuation, growth durability, momentum), re-ranked daily against sector peers.

Latest Penumbra, Inc. Analysis

Leadership: Adam Elsesser

CEO

Adam Elsesser has served as the Chairman, President, and Chief Executive Officer of Penumbra, Inc. since co-founding the company in 2004. His leadership has been instrumental in guiding Penumbra from a startup to a global medical device company. Prior to Penumbra, Elsesser held various positions in the medical device industry, including roles at Smart Therapeutics, Inc. and Boston Scientific Corporation. He holds a BA from Stanford University and a JD from the University of California, Berkeley School of Law.

Track Record: Under Adam Elsesser's leadership, Penumbra has achieved significant milestones, including the development and commercialization of the Penumbra System for stroke intervention, expansion into peripheral vascular interventions, and the launch of new products in neurovascular embolization and access. He has overseen the company's growth in revenue and market share, as well as its expansion into international markets. Elsesser has also guided Penumbra through regulatory challenges and product recalls, demonstrating his commitment to patient safety and product quality.

What Investors Ask About Penumbra, Inc. (PEN) — Healthcare

What does the AI Score mean for PEN?

PEN holds an AI Score of 94/100 (Grade: A+). This is an educational research signal, not a buy or sell recommendation. The number comes from the five-pillar engine (business quality, financial safety, valuation, growth durability, momentum), re-ranked daily against sector peers. Penumbra, Inc. is a global medical device company specializing in innovative therapies for neurovascular and vascular diseases.

Is PEN a good stock?

Stock Expert AI does not rate PEN buy, sell or hold. Penumbra, Inc. carries a MoonshotScore of 94/100 on the five-pillar engine, a research rating against its peers. Whether it fits is your call: check what it sells, whether it earns, what the price assumes, and what would prove you wrong.

How does Penumbra, Inc. manage patent expiration risks?

As a medical device company, Penumbra, Inc. faces patent expiration risks that could impact its revenue streams. To mitigate these risks, Penumbra employs several strategies, including continuously innovating and developing new products and technologies to replace those facing patent expiration.

What are the key factors to evaluate for PEN?

Penumbra, Inc. (PEN) holds an AI score of 94/100 (high). P/E: 79.95x vs the S&P 500's ~20-25x. Analysts target $320.00 (+1%). Not financial advice.

How frequently does PEN data refresh on this page?

PEN's price was last updated on Sep 11, 2026 and refreshes on page view during U.S. market hours; the quote is a provider snapshot, not an exchange feed. Fundamentals update after quarterly filings; the MoonshotScore recalculates nightly; news aggregates continuously.

What has driven PEN's recent stock price performance?

Penumbra, Inc. (PEN) moves on earnings results, analyst revisions, sector rotation, and market sentiment. Notable catalyst: Innovative product portfolio in neurovascular and vascular intervention. See the News tab for the latest drivers. Past performance does not predict future results.

Should investors consider PEN overvalued or undervalued right now?

Penumbra, Inc. (PEN) trades at 79.95x earnings. Analysts target $320.00 (+1%) — near fair value. Compare P/E, P/S, and EV/EBITDA against sector peers for a full view.

Can I buy fractional shares of PEN?

Yes, most major brokerages offer fractional shares of Penumbra, Inc. (PEN) with no minimum purchase requirement. This means you can invest any dollar amount regardless of the share price. Check your brokerage platform for specific terms, fees, and fractional share availability.

How can I track PEN's earnings and financial reports?

Penumbra, Inc. (PEN) reports quarterly earnings approximately 4-6 weeks after each fiscal quarter ends. You can track earnings dates, revenue and EPS estimates, and actual results on this page's Financials tab. Earnings surprises (beats or misses) often cause significant short-term price moves. Your brokerage can send alerts for PEN earnings announcements.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Always do your own research and consult a financial advisor.

Official Resources

Price as of Analysis updated MoonshotScore as of
Data Sources & Methodology
Market data powered by Financial Modeling Prep & Yahoo Finance. AI analysis by Stock Expert AI proprietary algorithms. Technical indicators via industry-standard calculations. Last updated: .
Data Provenance
Sources: Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) — Primary · Yahoo Finance — Fallback · Alpaca — Tertiary
Last fetched:
Cache TTL: Quote 5min · Profile 7d · Financials 7d · Insider 48h
How we use AI: Numbers are pulled directly from FMP & Yahoo Finance — our AI writes the analysis, it never edits the figures.
Data provided as-is for educational purposes. Not financial advice. Methodology

Data provided for informational purposes only.

Analysis Notes
  • Information is based on available data and may be subject to change.
  • Financial metrics are as of the latest available reporting period.
Data Sources
Financial Modeling Prep (FMP)Stock Expert AI proprietary analysis

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