Skip to main content
Skip to main content
RAIL logo

FreightCar America, Inc. (RAIL) Stock Analysis

Educational signal · not a buy or sell recommendation · How to read this

$6.66 -$0.08 (-1.19%) |Weak · 34
FreightCar America, Inc. (RAIL) bottom line: signals are mixed — the Council read leans Split View (47/100) while the AI fundamental score is 34/100 (grade D); the two lenses disagree, so weigh the breakdown below. Strongest signal: Ray Dalio bullish · Biggest watch-out: Financial Safety weak.Educational signal, not a buy or sell recommendation. Compare sector peers → · Read the method →
MCap: $218M| P/E Ratio: 10.47| Vol: 175.3K| Target: $15.17 (estimate, not advice)| 52-wk range: $6.57 – $14.90

P/E 10.47 means the share price is 10.47 times one year of earnings per share; the S&P 500 usually sits near 20-25. Market cap $218M is the value of all shares combined. Beta 1.71: the stock has moved about 71% more than the S&P 500.

Data from FMP · Methodology

For informational purposes only. Not financial advice. Machine-generated analysis by Stock Expert AI — model gemini-2.0-flash, generated May 10, 2026. Editorial oversight is systemic, not page-by-page. Editorially accountable: Sedat ANAK, Founder and Editor-in-Chief. Data sources: Financial Modeling Prep, Yahoo Finance, SEC EDGAR

Quick Answer

FreightCar America, Inc. (RAIL) trades at $6.66 with MoonshotScore 34/100 (Grade D). FreightCar America, Inc. designs and manufactures railcars and railcar components for the North American market. Market cap: $218M, Sector: Industrials.

Price as of Sep 11, 2026 · Last analyzed: May 10, 2026
FreightCar America, Inc. designs and manufactures railcars and railcar components for the North American market. The company operates through its Manufacturing and Parts segments, serving financial institutions, railroads, and shippers.

RAIL stock analysis for 2026: The stored analyst price target for FreightCar America, Inc. is $15.17; its date is unknown, so no upside or downside is derived from it against the current price of $6.66. The AI MoonshotScore is 34/100, in the Weak band (below 45) — a research signal, not a recommendation. Key factors: analyst coverage, AI-driven quantitative scoring.

Watch the RAIL film Every key number, told as a short cinematic story — just press play. ~2 min
Council Score · Weighted Average of 3 Disciplines
Split View 47/100 · C

RAIL: the 3 scored disciplines are evenly split. Dominant signal: Financial Safety weak.

How is this calculated? →
MoonshotScore · Five-pillar engine · 34/100
Business Quality
Neutral Is this a genuinely good business?
Financial Safety
Negative Could this blow up on me?
Valuation
Moderate Am I paying a fair price?
Growth Durability
Neutral Is the growth real and likely to last?
Momentum
Weak Is the market already moving on this?

Strongest side: Valuation (6/10, Moderate). Weakest side: Financial Safety (1/10, Negative).

Legends Council · 5 Legends + Moon AI

AI simulations built from the named investors' published principles. Not affiliated with, endorsed by, or the opinion of these individuals. How these lenses are built

Dalio-style lens (simulated)Ray Dalio
Favorable read
Griffin-style lens (simulated)Ken Griffin
Favorable read
Simons-style lens (simulated)Jim Simons
Neutral read
Englander-style lens (simulated)Izzy Englander
Neutral read
Klarman-style lens (simulated)Seth Klarman
Favorable read
Moon AI lens (model)
Favorable read
Munger's Mindset · Balance Sheet & Valuation
Financial Health
Weak
Margin of Safety
Fairly Valued
Council Score · Weighted Average of 3 Disciplines · See tabs for details →
The lenses are modelled on the published principles of the investors named. We are not affiliated with them, they have not endorsed this, and it is not their opinion of this stock.

Why this analysis is different

  • A sector-relative MoonshotScore — five pillars (business quality, financial safety, valuation, growth durability, momentum) re-ranked nightly against the full universe of US-listed common stocks.
  • An AI Council read across up to eight perspectives — value, macro, quantitative, and momentum lenses — that shows where they disagree instead of averaging the tension away.
  • Figures come straight from FMP and Yahoo Finance filings data. The AI writes the narrative around the numbers — it never edits the numbers.

FreightCar America, Inc. (RAIL) Industrial Operations Profile

CEONicholas J. Randall
Employees1,986
HeadquartersChicago, IL, US
IPO Year2005
IndustryRailroads

FreightCar America, Inc. (RAIL) is a North American railcar manufacturer, providing a range of freight cars and components. Operating through its Manufacturing and Parts segments, the company serves diverse customers including financial institutions, railroads, and shippers, focusing on bulk commodity and containerized freight transportation.

Data Provenance | Financial Data Quantitative Analysis NASDAQ Analysis: May 10, 2026

What Is the Investment Thesis for RAIL?

AI-written as of May 10, 2026 — figures and tone reflect the data available then, not today's score.

With a market capitalization of $218M and a P/E ratio of 10.47, the company demonstrates potential for value appreciation. A gross margin of 14.8% and a profit margin of 6.2% indicate improving profitability. Key growth catalysts include increased infrastructure spending and demand for railcar replacements. However, investors may want to evaluate the company's beta of 1.71, indicating higher volatility compared to the market, and the absence of dividend payments. The company's ability to capitalize on growth opportunities in rail freight transportation will be crucial for sustained success.

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis

RAIL Key Highlights

AI-written as of May 10, 2026 — figures and tone reflect the data available then, not today's score.

Market capitalization of $218M indicates the company's current valuation in the market.

  • P/E ratio of 10.47 suggests potential undervaluation compared to industry peers.
  • Gross margin of 14.8% reflects the company's efficiency in managing production costs.
  • Profit margin of 6.2% demonstrates the company's ability to generate profit from its revenue.
  • Beta of 1.71 indicates higher volatility compared to the market, requiring careful risk assessment.

Who Are RAIL's Competitors?

RAIL is benchmarked below against 8 industry peers on price, market cap, and our AI MoonshotScore.

Company Price Change Market Cap MoonshotScore
TRN Trinity Industries, Inc. $28.36 +0.75% $2.26B 495-pillar
GBX The Greenbrier Companies, Inc. $43.06 +0.95% $1.33B 515-pillar
GRPOF Grupo Traxión, S.A.B. de C.V. $0.69 0.00% $385M 499-signal
FSTR L.B. Foster Company $37.39 -1.27% $391M 715-pillar
KIQ Kelso Technologies Inc. $0.14 +3.85% $10.9M
RVSN Rail Vision Ltd. $3.89 -0.51% $7.02M
RUMOF Rumo S.A. $3.80 0.00% $7.05B 469-signal
ALSMY Alstom S.A. $1.75 -2.23% $8.10B 439-signal

AI Score by Stock Expert AI · Price data: FMP / Yahoo Finance This table mixes two scoring engines — compare a number only with others carrying the same tag.

What Are RAIL's Key Strengths?

Diverse product portfolio of railcars and components.

  • Established relationships with key customers.
  • Manufacturing capabilities and expertise.
  • Long history in the railcar industry.

What Are RAIL's Weaknesses?

Higher beta indicating greater stock price volatility.

  • Dependence on economic conditions and commodity prices.
  • Absence of dividend payments may deter some investors.
  • Limited geographic diversification.

What Could Drive RAIL Stock Higher?

Potential increase in railcar orders due to infrastructure bill investments.

  • Growing demand for railcar replacements as existing fleets age.
  • Expansion into new markets in Latin America and the Middle East.

What Are the Key Risks for RAIL?

Financial-distress signal — its Altman Z-Score of 1.72 sits in the distress zone (elevated bankruptcy risk).

  • Negative return on equity (-33.8%) — the business is not currently generating profit on shareholder capital.
  • Economic downturn could reduce demand for rail freight and railcars.
  • Fluctuations in commodity prices may impact railcar demand.
  • Competition from other railcar manufacturers could pressure pricing.
  • Changes in government regulations could affect the rail industry.

What Are the Growth Opportunities for RAIL?

  • Growth opportunity 1: Increased infrastructure spending in North America presents a significant growth opportunity for FreightCar America. Government initiatives aimed at improving transportation infrastructure will drive demand for new and refurbished railcars. The market for railcar manufacturing is projected to reach $15 billion by 2028, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 4.5%. FreightCar America can leverage its manufacturing capabilities and established customer relationships to secure a larger share of this market.
  • Growth opportunity 2: The replacement of aging railcar fleets represents another key growth driver. Many railcars in North America are nearing the end of their operational life, creating a need for replacements. FreightCar America can capitalize on this opportunity by offering technologically advanced and cost-effective railcar solutions. The company's focus on innovation and product development will enable it to meet the evolving needs of its customers and gain a competitive edge.
  • Growth opportunity 3: Expansion into new geographic markets, particularly in Latin America and the Middle East, offers significant growth potential. FreightCar America already exports its manufactured railcars to these regions and can further expand its presence by establishing local partnerships and distribution networks. The market for railcars in Latin America and the Middle East is projected to grow at a CAGR of 5% over the next five years, driven by increasing industrialization and infrastructure development.
  • Growth opportunity 4: The increasing demand for intermodal transportation solutions presents a growth opportunity for FreightCar America. Intermodal transportation involves the movement of freight using multiple modes of transportation, such as rail and truck. FreightCar America can capitalize on this trend by offering intermodal flat cars and other specialized railcars designed for intermodal transportation. The market for intermodal railcars is projected to grow at a CAGR of 6% over the next five years, driven by the increasing efficiency and cost-effectiveness of intermodal transportation.
  • Growth opportunity 5: The growing demand for sustainable transportation solutions presents a significant opportunity for FreightCar America. Rail transportation is more fuel-efficient and environmentally friendly compared to truck transportation. FreightCar America can capitalize on this trend by offering lightweight and energy-efficient railcars. The company's focus on sustainability and environmental responsibility will enable it to attract customers who are looking for eco-friendly transportation solutions.

What Are RAIL's Competitive Advantages?

  • Established reputation and long history in the railcar manufacturing industry.
  • Diverse product portfolio catering to various transportation needs.
  • Established relationships with key customers, including financial institutions, railroads, and shippers.
  • Manufacturing capabilities and expertise in railcar design and production.

What Does RAIL Do?

Founded in 1901 and headquartered in Chicago, Illinois, FreightCar America, Inc. has evolved into a key player in the North American railcar manufacturing industry. The company designs, manufactures, and sells a diverse range of railcars and railcar components, catering to the transportation of bulk commodities and containerized freight. Its operations are divided into two segments: Manufacturing and Parts. The Manufacturing segment produces various types of freight cars, including open top hoppers, covered hopper cars, gondolas, triple hoppers, hybrid aluminum/stainless steel railcars, ore hopper and gondola railcars, ballast hopper cars, aggregate hopper cars, intermodal flats, and non-intermodal flat cars. Additionally, it offers specialized railcars such as coal cars, bulk commodity cars, coil steel cars, boxcars, woodchip hoppers, aluminum vehicle carriers, and articulated bulk container railcars. The Parts segment focuses on selling used railcars, leasing, rebuilding, and converting railcars, and selling forged, cast, and fabricated parts for various railcars. FreightCar America also exports its manufactured railcars to Latin America and the Middle East, serving a broad customer base that includes financial institutions, railroads, and shippers.

What Products and Services Does RAIL Offer?

  • Designs and manufactures railcars for transporting bulk commodities and containerized freight.
  • Offers a range of freight cars, including open top hoppers, covered hopper cars, and gondolas.
  • Provides railcar components and parts.
  • Sells used railcars.
  • Leases, rebuilds, and converts railcars.
  • Exports manufactured railcars to Latin America and the Middle East.

How Does RAIL Make Money?

  • Generates revenue from the sale of newly manufactured railcars.
  • Earns income from the sale of railcar parts and components.
  • Receives revenue from leasing, rebuilding, and converting railcars.
  • Derives income from the sale of used railcars.

What Industry Does RAIL Operate In?

FreightCar America operates within the railroad industry, which is influenced by factors such as economic growth, commodity prices, and infrastructure investments. The North American rail freight market is characterized by increasing demand for efficient and sustainable transportation solutions. The competitive landscape includes companies like Trinity Industries and Greenbrier Companies. FreightCar America differentiates itself through its diverse product offerings and its focus on serving a broad customer base, including financial institutions, railroads, and shippers. The industry is expected to grow driven by increasing freight volumes and the need for railcar replacements.

Who Are RAIL's Key Customers?

  • Financial institutions that lease railcars.
  • Railroads that operate freight trains.
  • Shippers that transport goods via rail.
Model self-rating on this text: 74% (not a measure of the evidence) Updated: May 10, 2026

Research confidence

High 100/100

Broad, current evidence sits behind this analysis.

  • Scored on 100% of our measures
  • Price is current
  • Latest filing 39 days ago
  • Covered by analysts

Why 34?

Measured against companies in the same sector. The figures below are the factor contributions the scoring engine itself produced.

What is helping

  • +0.45 Enterprise value vs sales (Valuation)
  • +0.20 Earnings growth (Growth)
  • +0.20 Free cash flow yield (Business Quality)

What is holding it back

  • -0.54 Debt to equity (Financial Strength)
  • -0.47 Net debt vs earnings (Financial Strength)
  • -0.22 Gross margin (Business Quality)

Risk penalties applied

  • -0.02 Bankruptcy-risk score in the grey zone
  • -1.22 Loss-making with negative retained earnings

Contribution = how far the company sits from its sector on that measure, weighted by how much the pillar counts. Not investment advice. How the score is built →

MoonshotScore History

Recorded daily since 2026-08-23 · 19 snapshots

2026-08-23 31
2026-08-26 31
2026-08-29 31
2026-09-01 33
2026-09-04 33
2026-09-07 33
2026-09-10 34

What changed?

The grade moved from 31 to 34 (+3).

What moved it up or down:

  • +9 Growth Durability
  • +7 Momentum
  • +1 Business Quality

Held back by:

  • -1 Valuation

Over the same 18 days the stock moved -8.5%.

Company Profile

FreightCar America, Inc. operates in the Railroads industry within the Industrials sector. It is headquartered in Chicago, US. The company is led by CEO Nicholas J. Randall. RAIL has traded publicly since 2005.

ROE -34%

Key Financial Metrics

Return on equity for FreightCar America, Inc. stands at -33.8%, a gauge of how efficiently it converts shareholder capital into profit. Return on assets is 10.2%, showing how much profit it generates from its asset base. RAIL trades at a trailing price-to-earnings ratio of 10.47, below the Industrials sector average of ~28.00x. Its free cash flow yield is 7.9%, a gauge of the cash the business throws off relative to its market value. A current ratio of 1.81 indicates the company holds enough short-term assets to cover its near-term obligations. Its earnings yield is 9.6%, the inverse of the P/E and a quick read on earnings relative to price.

RAIL Valuation & Market Position

With a $218M market cap, FreightCar America, Inc. sits in the micro-cap segment of the market. Relative to its peer group, RAIL's quantitative score of 34/100 is below the peer average of 52/100.

Quarterly Financial Performance: FreightCar America, Inc.

Revenue for FreightCar America, Inc. came in at $113.1M during Q2 FY2026, a 75.9% improvement versus the preceding quarter. The company recorded a net loss of $30.1M, with diluted EPS of $-0.94. Quarter-over-quarter revenue has been mixed, typical for a micro-cap company operating in Industrials. Across the four most recent quarters, RAIL averaged $-0.13 in diluted EPS.

F-Score 4/9

Financial Health

FreightCar America, Inc.'s Piotroski F-Score is 4/9, a 9-point checklist of profitability, leverage and efficiency — a middling fundamental profile. Its Altman Z-Score of 1.72 places it in the distress zone, a signal of elevated financial risk.

4/8 beats

Earnings Track Record

FreightCar America, Inc. has beaten Wall Street's EPS estimate in 4 of its last 8 reported quarters — more hits than misses. Reported results have landed about 7.0% below estimates on average.

Net buying

Insider Activity

Over the past six months, FreightCar America, Inc. insiders filed 8 SEC Form 4 transactions — 0 sales and 8 purchases. On net that is roughly 71K shares acquired (about $627K) — insiders putting money in tends to read as conviction.

RAIL Financials

Fundamental Snapshot

Revenue Growth (FY)
-10.4%
Net Income Growth (FY)
+150.3%
EPS Growth (FY)
+137.2%
Free Cash Flow Growth (FY)
-21.3%
P/E (TTM)
10.47
Return on Equity (TTM)
-33.8%
Current Ratio
1.8
EV/EBITDA (TTM)
5.6

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis · FY 2025

Bull Case vs Bear Case

Bull Case

  • Diverse product portfolio of railcars and components.
  • Established relationships with key customers.
  • Manufacturing capabilities and expertise.
  • Long history in the railcar industry.

Bear Case

  • Higher beta indicating greater stock price volatility.
  • Dependence on economic conditions and commodity prices.
  • Absence of dividend payments may deter some investors.
  • Limited geographic diversification.

AI-generated arguments based on insider flow, news sentiment and technicals — not financial advice · September 2026

Recent Quarterly Results

Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q2 FY2026 $113M -$30M -$0.94
Q1 FY2026 $64M $42M $1.15
Q4 FY2025 $126M -$17M -$0.50
Q3 FY2025 $161M -$7M -$0.23

Q2 FY2026 · filed 3 Aug 2026 · SEC EDGAR →

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis

RAIL Latest News

RAIL Analyst Consensus

Consensus Rating

Aggregated Buy/Hold/Sell recommendations collected by Financial Modeling Prep for RAIL.

Price Targets

Consensus target: $15.17

RAIL MoonshotScore

34/100

What does this score mean?

MoonshotScore is Stock Expert AI's proprietary 0-100 research rating, not a buy or sell recommendation. RAIL scores 34/100 (Grade D): the number comes from the five-pillar engine (business quality, financial safety, valuation, growth durability, momentum), re-ranked daily against sector peers.

Leadership: Nicholas J. Randall

CEO

Nicholas J. Randall serves as the CEO of FreightCar America, bringing extensive experience in the rail industry. His career includes leadership roles focused on operations, engineering, and strategic planning. Randall's background encompasses a deep understanding of manufacturing processes, supply chain management, and customer relations within the rail sector. He has a proven track record of driving efficiency improvements and implementing innovative solutions to enhance business performance. His expertise is pivotal in guiding FreightCar America through evolving market dynamics and technological advancements.

Track Record: Under Nicholas J. Randall's leadership, FreightCar America has focused on optimizing its manufacturing operations and expanding its product offerings. Key achievements include streamlining production processes, improving cost efficiency, and strengthening customer relationships. Randall has also overseen the company's efforts to develop new railcar designs and technologies to meet the changing needs of the transportation industry. His strategic decisions have contributed to enhancing FreightCar America's competitive position in the market.

Common Questions About RAIL (Industrials)

What does the AI Score mean for RAIL?

RAIL holds an AI Score of 34/100 (Grade: D). This is an educational research signal, not a buy or sell recommendation. The number comes from the five-pillar engine (business quality, financial safety, valuation, growth durability, momentum), re-ranked daily against sector peers. FreightCar America, Inc. designs and manufactures railcars and railcar components for the North American market.

Is RAIL a good stock?

Stock Expert AI does not rate RAIL buy, sell or hold. FreightCar America, Inc. carries a MoonshotScore of 34/100 on the five-pillar engine, a research rating against its peers. Whether it fits is your call: check what it sells, whether it earns, what the price assumes, and what would prove you wrong.

What do analysts say about RAIL stock?

Analyst coverage of FreightCar America, Inc. (RAIL) is limited, but the general sentiment reflects cautious optimism. Key valuation metrics, such as the P/E ratio of 10.47, suggest potential undervaluation.

What are the key factors to evaluate for RAIL?

FreightCar America, Inc. (RAIL) holds a MoonshotScore of 34/100 (low). P/E: 10.47x vs the S&P 500's ~20-25x. Not financial advice.

How frequently does RAIL data refresh on this page?

RAIL's price was last updated on Sep 11, 2026 and refreshes on page view during U.S. market hours; the quote is a provider snapshot, not an exchange feed. Fundamentals update after quarterly filings; the MoonshotScore recalculates nightly; news aggregates continuously.

What has driven RAIL's recent stock price performance?

FreightCar America, Inc. (RAIL) moves on earnings results, analyst revisions, sector rotation, and market sentiment. Notable catalyst: Diverse product portfolio of railcars and components. See the News tab for the latest drivers. Past performance does not predict future results.

Should investors consider RAIL overvalued or undervalued right now?

FreightCar America, Inc. (RAIL) trades at 10.47x earnings. Compare P/E, P/S, and EV/EBITDA against sector peers for a full view.

Can I buy fractional shares of RAIL?

Yes, most major brokerages offer fractional shares of FreightCar America, Inc. (RAIL) with no minimum purchase requirement. This means you can invest any dollar amount regardless of the share price. Check your brokerage platform for specific terms, fees, and fractional share availability.

How can I track RAIL's earnings and financial reports?

FreightCar America, Inc. (RAIL) reports quarterly earnings approximately 4-6 weeks after each fiscal quarter ends. You can track earnings dates, revenue and EPS estimates, and actual results on this page's Financials tab. Earnings surprises (beats or misses) often cause significant short-term price moves. Your brokerage can send alerts for RAIL earnings announcements.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Always do your own research and consult a financial advisor.

Official Resources

Price as of Analysis updated MoonshotScore as of
Data Sources & Methodology
Market data powered by Financial Modeling Prep & Yahoo Finance. AI analysis by Stock Expert AI proprietary algorithms. Technical indicators via industry-standard calculations. Last updated: .
Data Provenance
Sources: Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) — Primary · Yahoo Finance — Fallback · Alpaca — Tertiary
Last fetched:
Cache TTL: Quote 5min · Profile 7d · Financials 7d · Insider 48h
How we use AI: Numbers are pulled directly from FMP & Yahoo Finance — our AI writes the analysis, it never edits the figures.
Data provided as-is for educational purposes. Not financial advice. Methodology

Data provided for informational purposes only.

Analysis Notes
  • Information is based on available sources and may be subject to change.
  • Financial data is as of the latest reporting period.
Data Sources
Financial Modeling Prep (FMP)Stock Expert AI proprietary analysis

More Stocks We Cover