Republic Services, Inc. (RSG) Stock Analysis

Why this analysis is different

• A sector-relative MoonshotScore — five pillars (business quality, financial safety, valuation, growth durability, momentum) re-ranked nightly against the full universe of US-listed common stocks.
• An AI Council read across up to eight perspectives — value, macro, quantitative, and momentum lenses — that shows where they disagree instead of averaging the tension away.
• Figures come straight from FMP and Yahoo Finance filings data. The AI writes the narrative around the numbers — it never edits the numbers.

Republic Services, Inc. (RSG) Industrial Operations Profile

Republic Services, Inc. is a leading provider of environmental services in the U.S., offering comprehensive waste management solutions. With a focus on collection, recycling, and disposal, the company operates a large infrastructure network and serves residential, commercial, and industrial customers, maintaining a significant market presence.

What Is the Investment Thesis for RSG?

Republic Services presents a compelling investment case based on its established market position and essential service offerings. The company's consistent profitability, demonstrated by a profit margin of 12.9%, and stable financial performance, reflected in a beta of 0.54, make it a noteworthy option. Growth catalysts include increasing demand for recycling services and expansion of renewable energy projects. Key value drivers include efficient waste management operations and strategic acquisitions. However, investors may want to evaluate potential risks such as regulatory changes and economic downturns impacting waste generation. The company's dividend yield of 1.19% provides a steady income stream, further enhancing its investment appeal.

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis

RSG Key Highlights

Market Cap of $67.5B reflects Republic Services' significant presence in the waste management industry.

• P/E ratio of 30.4 indicates investor expectations for future earnings growth.
• Gross Margin of 30.3% demonstrates efficient cost management in waste collection and processing operations.
• Profit Margin of 12.9% showcases the company's ability to generate profits from its core business activities.
• Dividend Yield of 1.19% provides a steady income stream for investors, enhancing the stock's attractiveness.

Who Are RSG's Competitors?

RSG is benchmarked below against 8 industry peers on price, market cap, and our AI MoonshotScore.

AI Score by Stock Expert AI · Price data: FMP / Yahoo Finance

What Are RSG's Key Strengths?

Extensive network of collection operations, transfer stations, and landfills.

• Diversified service offerings, including collection, recycling, and disposal.
• Strong customer base across residential, commercial, and industrial sectors.
• Established presence in multiple states.

What Are RSG's Weaknesses?

High capital expenditures for maintaining and expanding infrastructure.

• Exposure to fluctuations in commodity prices for recyclable materials.
• Dependence on regulatory compliance and environmental regulations.
• Potential for environmental liabilities related to landfill operations.

What Could Drive RSG Stock Higher?

Expansion of recycling infrastructure to meet increasing demand for sustainable waste management solutions.

• Development and implementation of advanced waste management technologies to improve operational efficiency.
• Potential acquisitions of smaller waste management companies to expand geographic footprint (within the next 12-18 months).
• Growth in landfill gas-to-energy projects, contributing to renewable energy production.
• Increasing focus on sustainability initiatives and environmental compliance.

What Are the Key Risks for RSG?

Changes in environmental regulations could increase compliance costs.

• Economic downturns could reduce waste generation and service demand.
• Fluctuations in commodity prices for recyclable materials could impact revenue.
• Environmental incidents at landfills could result in liabilities and reputational damage.
• Competition from other waste management companies could pressure pricing and market share.

What Are the Growth Opportunities for RSG?

• Expansion of Recycling Services: Republic Services can capitalize on the increasing demand for recycling services driven by environmental awareness and regulatory mandates. By investing in advanced recycling technologies and expanding its recycling processing centers, the company can increase its market share and revenue. The global recycling market is projected to reach $98.5 billion by 2027, offering significant growth potential for Republic Services. This expansion can be achieved within the next 3-5 years through strategic investments and partnerships.
• Development of Renewable Energy Projects: Republic Services has the opportunity to expand its landfill gas-to-energy and renewable energy projects. By capturing and converting landfill gas into electricity, the company can generate revenue and reduce greenhouse gas emissions. Government incentives and tax credits for renewable energy projects further enhance the attractiveness of this growth opportunity. The renewable energy market is expected to grow significantly in the coming years, providing a long-term growth driver for Republic Services. These projects can be developed over the next 2-4 years.
• Strategic Acquisitions: Republic Services can pursue strategic acquisitions to expand its geographic footprint and service offerings. By acquiring smaller waste management companies, the company can gain access to new markets and customers. Strategic acquisitions can also provide opportunities to integrate new technologies and improve operational efficiency. The waste management industry is fragmented, offering numerous acquisition targets for Republic Services. These acquisitions can be pursued on an ongoing basis to drive long-term growth.
• Technological Innovation: Investing in innovative technologies such as smart waste management systems and automated collection processes can improve efficiency and reduce costs. By adopting these technologies, Republic Services can enhance its competitive advantage and improve customer satisfaction. The market for smart waste management solutions is growing rapidly, driven by the need for more efficient and sustainable waste management practices. These technologies can be implemented over the next 2-3 years.
• Focus on Sustainable Waste Management Practices: Republic Services can further enhance its reputation and attract environmentally conscious customers by focusing on sustainable waste management practices. This includes reducing landfill waste, increasing recycling rates, and promoting waste reduction initiatives. By demonstrating a commitment to sustainability, the company can differentiate itself from competitors and attract new business. Sustainable waste management practices are becoming increasingly important to customers and regulators, providing a long-term growth driver for Republic Services. These practices can be integrated into the company's operations on an ongoing basis.

What Are RSG's Competitive Advantages?

• Extensive network of landfills and transfer stations creates a barrier to entry.
• Long-term contracts with municipalities provide a stable revenue stream.
• Economies of scale in waste collection and processing.
• Strong brand reputation and established customer relationships.

What Does RSG Do?

Republic Services, Inc. was founded in 1996 and has grown to become a prominent environmental services provider in the United States. The company's core business revolves around the collection, transfer, disposal, and recycling of non-hazardous solid waste. Republic Services operates through an extensive network of collection operations, transfer stations, landfills, and recycling processing centers. Its services include curbside collection, container rental, and compacting for residential and commercial clients. The company also processes and sells recyclable materials, including old corrugated containers, aluminum, and glass. Republic Services provides disposal services for non-hazardous solid and liquid waste, along with in-plant services such as transportation and logistics. As of December 31, 2021, the company managed 356 collection operations, 239 transfer stations, 198 active landfills, and 71 recycling processing centers across 41 states. Additionally, Republic Services operates landfill gas-to-energy and renewable energy projects, demonstrating a commitment to sustainable practices. Headquartered in Phoenix, Arizona, Republic Services continues to expand its environmental solutions offerings and strengthen its market position.

What Products and Services Does RSG Offer?

• Collect and process recyclable materials.
• Collect, transfer, and dispose of non-hazardous solid waste.
• Provide curbside collection services.
• Supply recycling and waste containers.
• Rent compactors for waste management.
• Process and sell recyclable materials like aluminum and glass.
• Offer landfill and transfer services.
• Provide in-plant services, including transportation and logistics.

How Does RSG Make Money?

• Generate revenue through collection fees from residential, commercial, and industrial customers.
• Earn income from the sale of recyclable materials.
• Charge tipping fees for waste disposal at landfills.
• Operate landfill gas-to-energy projects to generate electricity and revenue.

What Industry Does RSG Operate In?

The waste management industry is characterized by stable demand and essential services, driven by population growth and increasing urbanization. Republic Services operates in a competitive landscape that includes companies like Waste Management and smaller regional players. The industry is also influenced by environmental regulations and the growing emphasis on sustainability. Market trends include increased recycling rates, development of waste-to-energy technologies, and adoption of advanced waste management practices. These trends present both opportunities and challenges for companies like Republic Services.

Who Are RSG's Key Customers?

• Small-container customers (e.g., households and small businesses).
• Large-container customers (e.g., commercial and industrial facilities).
• Residential customers in municipalities and communities.

Company Profile

Republic Services, Inc. operates in the Waste Management industry within the Industrials sector. It is headquartered in Phoenix, US. The company is led by CEO Jon Vander Ark. RSG has traded publicly since 1998.

Return on equity for Republic Services, Inc. stands at 18.1%, a gauge of how efficiently it converts shareholder capital into profit. Return on assets is 6.3%, showing how much profit it generates from its asset base. RSG trades at a trailing price-to-earnings ratio of 30.36, roughly in line with the Industrials sector average of ~32x. Its free cash flow yield is 3.9%, a gauge of the cash the business throws off relative to its market value. A current ratio of 0.67 means current liabilities exceed short-term assets, a liquidity point worth watching. Its earnings yield is 3.3%, the inverse of the P/E and a quick read on earnings relative to price.

RSG Valuation & Market Position

With a $67.5B market cap, Republic Services, Inc. sits in the large-cap segment of the market. Relative to its peer group, RSG's quantitative score of 66/100 is roughly in line with the peer average of 65/100.

Quarterly Financial Performance: Republic Services, Inc.

Revenue for Republic Services, Inc. came in at $4.43B during Q2 2026, a 7.7% improvement versus the preceding quarter. The company recorded net income of $566.0M, with diluted EPS of $1.84. Quarter-over-quarter revenue has been mixed, typical for a large-cap company operating in Industrials. Across the four most recent quarters, RSG averaged $1.76 in diluted EPS.

Republic Services, Inc.'s Piotroski F-Score is 5/9, a 9-point checklist of profitability, leverage and efficiency — a middling fundamental profile. Its Altman Z-Score of 2.95 places it in the grey zone, a middle ground that warrants monitoring.

Republic Services, Inc. has beaten Wall Street's EPS estimate in 7 of its last 8 reported quarters — a consistent record of delivering on expectations. Reported results have landed about 5.9% above estimates on average.

Wall Street analysts project Republic Services, Inc. revenue of about $17.29B for fiscal 2026, with EPS near $7.28. The estimate reflects 19 contributing analysts.

RSG Financials

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RSG Latest News

RSG Analyst Consensus

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Disclaimer: This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Always do your own research and consult a financial advisor.

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