Cummins Inc. (CMI) Stock Analysis
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice. Analysis by Sedat ANAK, Founder & Editor-in-Chief | AI-powered analysis. Data sourced from SEC filings and institutional-grade financial providers. Editorially reviewed. Not financial advice.
Cummins Inc. (CMI) trades at $593.46 with AI Score 68/100 (Grade B+). Cummins Inc. is a global power leader that designs, manufactures, distributes, and services a broad portfolio of power solutions. Market cap: $81.9B, Sector: Industrials.
Price as of Aug 20, 2026 · Last analyzed: May 10, 2026CMI stock analysis for 2026: Analysts have set a consensus price target of $613.23 for Cummins Inc., suggesting 3.3% upside from the current price of $593.46. The AI MoonshotScore is 68/100, indicating a bullish outlook. Key factors: analyst coverage, AI-driven quantitative scoring.
CMI: 1/3 scored disciplines lean bullish. Dominant signal: Ray Dalio bullish.
How is this calculated? →Why this analysis is different
- A sector-relative MoonshotScore — five pillars (business quality, financial safety, valuation, growth durability, momentum) re-ranked nightly against the full universe of US-listed common stocks.
- An AI Council read across up to eight perspectives — value, macro, quantitative, and momentum lenses — that shows where they disagree instead of averaging the tension away.
- Figures come straight from FMP and Yahoo Finance filings data. The AI writes the narrative around the numbers — it never edits the numbers.
Cummins Inc. (CMI) Industrial Operations Profile
Cummins Inc. is a global leader in power technologies, manufacturing diesel and natural gas engines, electric and hybrid powertrains, and related components. With a strong presence across diverse markets, including heavy-duty trucks and power generation, Cummins is strategically positioned to capitalize on evolving energy demands and technological advancements.
What Is the Investment Thesis for CMI?
Cummins Inc. presents a notable research candidate driven by its established market position, diversified product portfolio, and strategic investments in future technologies. With a market capitalization of $81.9B and a profit margin of 7.9%, Cummins demonstrates financial stability. The company's expansion into electric and hybrid powertrains, along with hydrogen production technologies, positions it to capitalize on the growing demand for sustainable power solutions. While the P/E ratio of 36.0 suggests a premium valuation, the company's commitment to innovation and global reach support long-term growth. Key catalysts include increased adoption of electric vehicles and growing demand for reliable power generation systems. Potential risks include economic downturns impacting industrial sectors and increased competition from emerging technology companies.
Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis
CMI Key Highlights
Market Cap of $81.9B reflects Cummins' significant presence in the industrial machinery sector.
- Profit Margin of 7.9% indicates solid profitability and operational efficiency.
- Gross Margin of 25.4% demonstrates the company's ability to manage production costs effectively.
- Dividend Yield of 1.15% provides a steady income stream for investors.
- Beta of 1.14 suggests a slightly higher volatility compared to the overall market.
Who Are CMI's Competitors?
CMI is benchmarked below against 8 industry peers on price, market cap, and our AI MoonshotScore.
| Company | Price | Change | Market Cap | AI Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FDX FedEx Corporation | $328.38 | +0.00% | $77.7B | 65 |
| CSX CSX Corporation | $50.68 | +0.88% | $93.9B | 75 |
| CP Canadian Pacific Kansas City Ltd. | $94.83 | +0.41% | $83.4B | 54 |
| ITW Illinois Tool Works Inc. | $284.25 | -0.14% | $81.8B | 83 |
| NSC Norfolk Southern Corporation | $345.71 | +2.01% | $77.7B | 73 |
| EMR Emerson Electric Co. | $157.61 | -0.11% | $88.3B | 71 |
| HWM Howmet Aerospace Inc. | $274.75 | -3.08% | $110B | 89 |
| AME AMETEK, Inc. | $243.22 | -2.71% | $55.8B | 82 |
AI Score by Stock Expert AI · Price data: FMP / Yahoo Finance
What Are CMI's Key Strengths?
Strong brand recognition and reputation.
- Diversified product portfolio.
- Extensive global distribution network.
- Commitment to innovation and sustainability.
What Are CMI's Weaknesses?
Exposure to cyclical demand in industrial sectors.
- Dependence on traditional engine technologies.
- High capital expenditures for research and development.
- Sensitivity to commodity price fluctuations.
What Could Drive CMI Stock Higher?
CMI catalyst: Increasing demand for electric and hybrid powertrains will drive revenue growth in the New Power segment.
- Government incentives and regulations promoting sustainable energy solutions will benefit Cummins' hydrogen technologies.
- Potential infrastructure investments in emerging markets will increase demand for Cummins' power generation systems.
- Expansion of the aftermarket services network will drive recurring revenue and enhance customer loyalty.
- Strategic partnerships with key OEMs will strengthen Cummins' market position and expand its customer base.
What Are the Key Risks for CMI?
Insider selling — insiders were net sellers of roughly $6.7M recently.
- Economic downturns in key industrial sectors could negatively impact demand for Cummins' products.
- Increased competition from new technology companies could erode Cummins' market share.
- Stringent environmental regulations could increase compliance costs and limit the use of traditional engine technologies.
- Disruptions in global supply chains could impact production and increase costs.
- Fluctuations in commodity prices could affect Cummins' profitability.
What Are the Growth Opportunities for CMI?
- Expansion in Electric Powertrains: Cummins is investing heavily in the development and production of electric powertrains for commercial vehicles and other applications. By leveraging its engineering expertise and manufacturing capabilities, Cummins can capture a substantial share of this market and drive revenue growth.
- Growth in Hydrogen Technologies: Cummins is also investing in hydrogen production and fuel cell technologies. The demand for hydrogen as a clean energy source is expected to increase significantly in the coming years, driven by government incentives and corporate sustainability initiatives. Cummins' expertise in fuel cell technology positions it to capitalize on this trend and become a leading provider of hydrogen-based power solutions.
- Aftermarket Services and Parts: Cummins generates a significant portion of its revenue from aftermarket services and parts. As the installed base of Cummins engines and power systems grows, the demand for replacement parts and maintenance services will also increase. By expanding its service network and offering innovative aftermarket solutions, Cummins can drive recurring revenue and enhance customer loyalty.
- Power Generation Systems: Cummins is a leading provider of power generation systems for a variety of applications, including standby power, prime power, and distributed generation. The demand for reliable power generation systems is expected to grow in emerging markets and in areas with aging infrastructure. By offering a comprehensive range of power generation solutions, Cummins can capitalize on this trend and expand its market share.
- Global Expansion: Cummins has a strong presence in North America, Europe, and Asia. By expanding its operations in emerging markets, such as Africa and South America, Cummins can tap into new growth opportunities and diversify its revenue streams. The company's global distribution network and manufacturing capabilities provide a solid foundation for international expansion.
What Are CMI's Competitive Advantages?
- Strong brand reputation for reliability and performance.
- Extensive global distribution and service network.
- Significant investments in research and development.
- Diversified product portfolio across multiple markets.
- Long-standing relationships with key OEMs.
What Does CMI Do?
Founded in 1919 in Columbus, Indiana, Cummins Inc. has evolved from a small engine manufacturer into a global power leader. Initially focused on diesel engine technology, the company quickly gained recognition for its innovative designs and reliable performance. Over the decades, Cummins expanded its product portfolio to include natural gas engines, power generation systems, and related components. The company operates through five segments: Engine, Distribution, Components, Power Systems, and New Power. Cummins serves a wide array of markets, including heavy and medium-duty trucks, buses, recreational vehicles, light-duty automotive, construction, mining, marine, rail, oil and gas, defense, and agriculture. Its products include diesel and natural gas-powered engines under the Cummins and other customer brands. The company also provides aftermarket parts and services, including remanufactured parts and engines. In recent years, Cummins has invested heavily in developing electric and hybrid powertrains, as well as hydrogen production technologies, positioning itself for the future of sustainable power solutions. With a global distribution network and a commitment to innovation, Cummins continues to be a key player in the power industry.
What Products and Services Does CMI Offer?
- Designs and manufactures diesel and natural gas engines.
- Develops electric and hybrid powertrains.
- Produces related components, including emission solutions and turbochargers.
- Offers power generation systems.
- Provides aftermarket parts and services.
- Develops fuel cell and hydrogen production technologies.
- Manufactures filtration and aftertreatment systems.
How Does CMI Make Money?
- Sells engines and components to original equipment manufacturers (OEMs).
- Distributes products through a network of dealers and distributors.
- Provides aftermarket services and parts to end-users.
- Generates revenue from power generation systems and related services.
What Industry Does CMI Operate In?
Cummins Inc. operates within the industrial machinery sector, a segment characterized by cyclical demand and technological advancements. The industry is currently experiencing a shift towards more sustainable and efficient power solutions, driven by environmental regulations and customer preferences. Cummins competes with other major engine manufacturers and power system providers. The market is also seeing the emergence of new players focused on electric and alternative fuel technologies. Cummins' strategic investments in electric and hybrid powertrains position it to capitalize on the growing demand for these solutions, while its established presence in traditional engine markets provides a stable revenue base.
Who Are CMI's Key Customers?
- Original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) in the truck, bus, and automotive industries.
- Construction and mining companies.
- Marine and rail operators.
- Oil and gas companies.
- Defense and agricultural sectors.
Key Financial Metrics
Return on equity for Cummins Inc. stands at 22.0%, a gauge of how efficiently it converts shareholder capital into profit. Return on assets is 7.8%, showing how much profit it generates from its asset base. CMI trades at a trailing price-to-earnings ratio of 35.95, above the Industrials sector average of ~32x. Its free cash flow yield is 2.8%, a gauge of the cash the business throws off relative to its market value. A current ratio of 1.71 indicates the company holds enough short-term assets to cover its near-term obligations. Its earnings yield is 2.8%, the inverse of the P/E and a quick read on earnings relative to price.
Cummins Inc. (CMI) Valuation Context
Valued at $81.9B, CMI is classified as a large-cap stock. Relative to its peer group, CMI's quantitative score of 68/100 is roughly in line with the peer average of 70/100.
Company Profile
Cummins Inc. operates in the Industrial - Machinery industry within the Industrials sector. It is headquartered in Columbus, US. The company is led by CEO Jennifer W. Rumsey. CMI has traded publicly since 1947.
Financial Health
Cummins Inc.'s Piotroski F-Score is 6/9, a 9-point checklist of profitability, leverage and efficiency — a middling fundamental profile. Its Altman Z-Score of 4.83 places it in the safe zone, indicating low near-term bankruptcy risk.
Forward Outlook
Wall Street analysts project Cummins Inc. revenue of about $37.63B for fiscal 2026, with EPS near $29.51. The estimate reflects 11 contributing analysts.
Insider Activity
Over the past six months, Cummins Inc. insiders filed 30 SEC Form 4 transactions — 20 sales and 10 purchases. On net that is roughly 8K shares disposed (about $6.7M), a signal worth weighing alongside the fundamentals.
CMI Financials
Fundamental Snapshot
Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis · FY 2025
Bull Case vs Bear Case
Bull Case
- Strong brand recognition and reputation.
- Diversified product portfolio.
- Extensive global distribution network.
- Commitment to innovation and sustainability.
Bear Case
- Exposure to cyclical demand in industrial sectors.
- Dependence on traditional engine technologies.
- High capital expenditures for research and development.
- Sensitivity to commodity price fluctuations.
AI-generated arguments based on insider flow, news sentiment and technicals — not financial advice · August 2026
From the Earnings Call
“In summary, coming off a strong first quarter, we are raising our full year sales outlook to 8% to 11% increase and increasing our EBITDA margin guidance to a range of 17.75% to 18.5%. This reflects improving momentum in North America heavy and medium-duty truck markets, with volumes recovering from cyclical lows, faster than previously anticipated, a higher outlook for global power generation, improvement in Acceler…”
— Jennifer Rumsey, Chair and Chief Executive Officer
“Our international revenues increased by 16% in the first quarter of 2026 compared to a year ago. First quarter revenues in China, including joint ventures, were $2.1 billion, an increase of 19% year-over-year, driven by accelerating data center demand and strong off-highway export activity by our OEM customers.”
— Jennifer Rumsey, Chair and Chief Executive Officer
CMI Q1 FY2026 earnings call transcript · 2026-05-05
CMI Latest News
-
Diesel Engines Meet the AI Boom: Inside Caterpillar and Cummins’ Record Quarters
Insider Monkey · Aug 20, 2026
-
The Anti-AI ETF Is Here, and Its Biggest Holdings Are Engines, Trucks and Air Conditioners
24/7 Wall St. · Aug 15, 2026
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Big Manufacturers Find New Demand in Equipping AI Data Centers
The Wall Street Journal · Aug 15, 2026
-
Caterpillar Stock's Upside Is Sitting In Plants It Already Owns
Trefis · Aug 11, 2026
CMI Analyst Consensus
Consensus Rating
Aggregated Buy/Hold/Sell recommendations from Benzinga, Yahoo Finance, and Finnhub for CMI.
Price Targets
Consensus target: $613.23
CMI MoonshotScore
What does this score mean?
The MoonshotScore rates CMI 0-100 on quantitative fundamentals — growth, financial health, valuation, momentum, and risk.
Latest News
Diesel Engines Meet the AI Boom: Inside Caterpillar and Cummins’ Record Quarters
The Anti-AI ETF Is Here, and Its Biggest Holdings Are Engines, Trucks and Air Conditioners
Big Manufacturers Find New Demand in Equipping AI Data Centers
Caterpillar Stock's Upside Is Sitting In Plants It Already Owns
Latest Cummins Inc. Analysis
Leadership: Jennifer W. Rumsey
CEO
Jennifer W. Rumsey has served as the President and Chief Executive Officer of Cummins Inc. since August 1, 2022. Prior to this role, she served as President and Chief Operating Officer. Rumsey has held various leadership positions at Cummins, including Chief Technical Officer, Vice President of Engineering, and President of the Components Group. She holds a Bachelor's and Master's degree in Mechanical Engineering from Purdue University.
Track Record: Under Jennifer Rumsey's leadership, Cummins has accelerated its investments in electric and hydrogen technologies, positioning the company for long-term growth in sustainable power solutions. She has also focused on strengthening Cummins' relationships with key customers and expanding its global presence. Her strategic decisions have contributed to the company's continued success in a rapidly evolving industry.
Cummins Inc. Industrials Stock: Key Questions Answered
What does the AI Score mean for CMI?
CMI holds an AI Score of 68/100 (Grade: B+). This is an educational research signal, not a buy or sell recommendation. Cummins Inc. is a global power leader that designs, manufactures, distributes, and services a broad portfolio of power solutions. The company's offerings range from diesel and natural gas engines …
What does Cummins Inc. do?
Cummins Inc. is a global power leader that designs, manufactures, distributes, and services a broad portfolio of power solutions. The company's offerings range from diesel and natural gas engines to electric and hybrid powertrains, serving diverse markets worldwide. Cummins operates through five segments: Engine, Distribution, Components, Power Systems, and New Power.
What do analysts say about CMI stock?
Analyst consensus on CMI stock is generally positive, reflecting the company's strong market position and growth prospects. Key valuation metrics, such as the P/E ratio and dividend yield, are closely monitored by analysts. Growth considerations include the company's expansion into electric and hydrogen technologies, as well as its ability to capitalize on growth opportunities in emerging markets. Analysts also consider potential risks, such as economic downturns and increased competition.
What are the main risks for CMI?
The main risks for Cummins Inc. include economic downturns in key industrial sectors, increased competition from new technology companies, stringent environmental regulations, disruptions in global supply chains, and fluctuations in commodity prices. Economic downturns could negatively impact demand for Cummins' products, while increased competition could erode its market share.
How does Cummins Inc. compare to competitors in its industry?
Cummins Inc. competes with other major engine manufacturers and power system providers. Key competitors include Caterpillar, Deere & Company, and Volvo Group. Cummins differentiates itself through its strong brand reputation, extensive global distribution network, and commitment to innovation. The company's investments in electric and hydrogen technologies position it to compete effectively in the evolving power solutions market.
What are the key financial metrics investors watch for CMI?
Investors closely monitor several key financial metrics for Cummins Inc., including revenue growth, profit margin, gross margin, earnings per share (EPS), and return on equity (ROE). Revenue growth indicates the company's ability to expand its market share and generate sales. Profit margin and gross margin reflect the company's profitability and operational efficiency.
What are the key factors to evaluate for CMI?
Cummins Inc. (CMI) holds an AI score of 68/100 (moderate). P/E: 36.0x vs the S&P 500's ~20-25x. Analysts target $613.23 (+3%). Not financial advice.
How frequently does CMI data refresh on this page?
CMI's price was last updated on Aug 20, 2026 and refreshes on page view during U.S. market hours — it is not a real-time exchange feed. Fundamentals update after quarterly filings; the MoonshotScore recalculates nightly; news aggregates continuously.
What has driven CMI's recent stock price performance?
Cummins Inc. (CMI) moves on earnings results, analyst revisions, sector rotation, and market sentiment. Notable catalyst: Strong brand recognition and reputation. See the News tab for the latest drivers. Past performance does not predict future results.
Disclaimer: This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Always do your own research and consult a financial advisor.
Official Resources
Data provided for informational purposes only.
- The information provided is based on available data and is subject to change.
- Investment decisions should be based on individual risk tolerance and financial circumstances.