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The Boston Beer Company, Inc. (SAM) Stock Analysis

Educational signal · not a buy or sell recommendation · How to read this

$169.52 +$7.19 (+4.43%) |Fair · 62
The Boston Beer Company, Inc. (SAM) bottom line: signals are mixed — the Council read leans Bullish Lean (61/100) while the AI fundamental score is 62/100 (grade B+); the two lenses disagree, so weigh the breakdown below. Strongest signal: Seth Klarman bullish · Biggest watch-out: Ken Griffin bearish.Educational signal, not a buy or sell recommendation. Compare sector peers → · Read the method →
MCap: $1.77B| P/E Ratio: 24.03| Vol: 346.2K| Target: $206.67 (+21.9%) (Aug 25, 2026) (estimate, not advice)| 52-wk range: $158.68 – $264.46

P/E 24.03 means the share price is 24.03 times one year of earnings per share; the S&P 500 usually sits near 20-25. Market cap $1.77B is the value of all shares combined. Beta 0.90: the stock has moved about 10% less than the S&P 500.

Data from FMP · Methodology

For informational purposes only. Not financial advice. Machine-generated analysis by Stock Expert AI — model gemini-2.0-flash, generated May 10, 2026. Editorial oversight is systemic, not page-by-page. Editorially accountable: Sedat ANAK, Founder and Editor-in-Chief. Data sources: Financial Modeling Prep, Yahoo Finance, SEC EDGAR

Quick Answer

The Boston Beer Company, Inc. (SAM) trades at $169.52 with MoonshotScore 62/100 (Grade B+). Market cap: $1.77B, Sector: Consumer defensive.

Price as of Sep 11, 2026 · Last analyzed: May 10, 2026
The Boston Beer Company, Inc. produces and sells alcoholic beverages, including beers, hard ciders, and hard seltzers, primarily in the United States. Its flagship beer is Samuel Adams Boston Lager.

SAM stock analysis for 2026: Analysts have set a consensus price target of $206.67 for The Boston Beer Company, Inc., suggesting 21.9% upside from the current price of $169.52. The AI MoonshotScore is 62/100, in the Fair band (45-64) — a research signal, not a recommendation. Key factors: analyst coverage, AI-driven quantitative scoring.

Watch the SAM film Every key number, told as a short cinematic story — just press play. ~2 min

These figures come from statements filed 12 months ago — the most recent this company has published.

Council Score · Weighted Average of 3 Disciplines
Bullish Lean 61/100 · B+

SAM: 2/3 scored disciplines lean bullish. Dominant signal: Seth Klarman bullish.

How is this calculated? →
MoonshotScore · Five-pillar engine · 62/100
Business Quality
Moderate Is this a genuinely good business?
Financial Safety
Weak Could this blow up on me?
Valuation
Moderate Am I paying a fair price?
Growth Durability
Strong Is the growth real and likely to last?
Momentum
Weak Is the market already moving on this?

Strongest side: Growth Durability (8/10, Strong). Weakest side: Momentum (4/10, Weak).

Legends Council · 5 Legends + Moon AI

AI simulations built from the named investors' published principles. Not affiliated with, endorsed by, or the opinion of these individuals. How these lenses are built

Dalio-style lens (simulated)Ray Dalio
Favorable read
Griffin-style lens (simulated)Ken Griffin
Unfavorable read
Simons-style lens (simulated)Jim Simons
Neutral read
Englander-style lens (simulated)Izzy Englander
Favorable read
Klarman-style lens (simulated)Seth Klarman
Favorable read
Moon AI lens (model)
Favorable read
Munger's Mindset · Balance Sheet & Valuation
Financial Health
Neutral
Margin of Safety
Fairly Valued
Council Score · Weighted Average of 3 Disciplines · See tabs for details →
The lenses are modelled on the published principles of the investors named. We are not affiliated with them, they have not endorsed this, and it is not their opinion of this stock.

Why this analysis is different

  • A sector-relative MoonshotScore — five pillars (business quality, financial safety, valuation, growth durability, momentum) re-ranked nightly against the full universe of US-listed common stocks.
  • An AI Council read across up to eight perspectives — value, macro, quantitative, and momentum lenses — that shows where they disagree instead of averaging the tension away.
  • Figures come straight from FMP and Yahoo Finance filings data. The AI writes the narrative around the numbers — it never edits the numbers.

The Boston Beer Company, Inc. (SAM) Consumer Business Overview

CEOC. James Koch
Employees2,736
HeadquartersBoston, MA, US
IPO Year1995

The Boston Beer Company, founded in 1984, produces and markets a diverse portfolio of alcoholic beverages, including Samuel Adams beer, Twisted Tea, Truly Hard Seltzer, and Angry Orchard cider. Operating within the competitive alcoholic beverage sector, the company distributes its products through a wide network of wholesalers and retailers across the United States and internationally.

Data Provenance | Financial Data Quantitative Analysis NYSE Analysis: May 10, 2026

What Is the Investment Thesis for SAM?

AI-written as of May 10, 2026 — figures and tone reflect the data available then, not today's score.

The Boston Beer Company presents a mixed investment thesis. While the company has a strong brand portfolio and established distribution network, its recent profit margin of -3.0% raises concerns about profitability. Growth catalysts include the expansion of the Truly Hard Seltzer brand and the continued popularity of Twisted Tea. However, increased competition in the alcoholic beverage market and changing consumer preferences pose potential risks. Investors should closely monitor the company's ability to improve profitability and maintain market share in a dynamic industry. The company's beta of 0.90 suggests lower volatility compared to the overall market.

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis

SAM Key Highlights

AI-written as of May 10, 2026 — figures and tone reflect the data available then, not today's score.

The Boston Beer Company's flagship beer is Samuel Adams Boston Lager, a recognized brand in the craft beer segment.

  • The company's portfolio includes Twisted Tea, a popular hard iced tea, and Truly Hard Seltzer, a key player in the hard seltzer market.
  • Distribution network spans approximately 400 wholesalers in the United States, providing extensive market reach.
  • Gross margin stands at 45.8%, indicating a solid ability to manage production costs.
  • Market capitalization of $1.77B reflects its position as a significant player in the alcoholic beverage industry.

Who Are SAM's Competitors?

SAM is benchmarked below against 8 industry peers on price, market cap, and our AI MoonshotScore.

Company Price Change Market Cap MoonshotScore
UNFI United Natural Foods, Inc. $44.11 -1.12% $2.67B 725-pillar
CHEF The Chefs' Warehouse, Inc. $110.89 +1.02% $4.52B 775-pillar
COCO The Vita Coco Company, Inc. $51.85 +1.47% $2.98B 885-pillar
CCU Compañía Cervecerías Unidas S.A. $11.65 -2.59% $2.15B 645-pillar
ROYUF Royal Unibrew A/S $68.10 0.00% $3.28B 489-signal
CRHKY China Resources Beer (Holdings) Company Limited $4.72 -0.94% $7.66B 449-signal
TSGTF Tsingtao Brewery Company Limited $5.00 +4.82% $8.23B 419-signal
STBFY Suntory Beverage & Food Limited $14.47 +0.70% $8.94B 489-signal

AI Score by Stock Expert AI · Price data: FMP / Yahoo Finance This table mixes two scoring engines — compare a number only with others carrying the same tag.

What Are SAM's Key Strengths?

Strong brand portfolio including Samuel Adams, Twisted Tea, Truly Hard Seltzer, and Angry Orchard.

  • Extensive distribution network across the United States.
  • Product diversification across beer, cider, and hard seltzer categories.
  • Established presence in both domestic and international markets.

What Are SAM's Weaknesses?

Recent negative profit margin raises concerns about profitability.

  • High dependence on the hard seltzer market, which is subject to changing consumer preferences.
  • Intense competition from established players and emerging craft breweries.
  • Vulnerability to fluctuations in raw material costs.

What Could Drive SAM Stock Higher?

Launch of new Truly Hard Seltzer flavors and product innovations to capture market share.

  • Continued expansion of Twisted Tea distribution network to reach new consumers.
  • Strategic marketing campaigns to promote brand awareness and loyalty.
  • Innovation in craft beer offerings under the Samuel Adams brand.

What Are the Key Risks for SAM?

Negative return on equity (-8.9%) — the business is not currently generating profit on shareholder capital.

  • Increased competition in the hard seltzer market could erode market share.
  • Changing consumer preferences could impact demand for existing products.
  • Regulatory changes affecting the production and sale of alcoholic beverages.
  • Fluctuations in raw material costs could impact profitability.
  • Economic downturns impacting consumer spending on discretionary items.

What Are the Growth Opportunities for SAM?

  • Expansion of Truly Hard Seltzer: The hard seltzer market has experienced significant growth, and Truly Hard Seltzer is a key brand in this segment. Further expansion through new flavors, innovative marketing campaigns, and increased distribution could drive revenue growth. The hard seltzer market is projected to continue growing, presenting a substantial opportunity for The Boston Beer Company. Timeline: Ongoing.
  • Continued Popularity of Twisted Tea: Twisted Tea has demonstrated consistent growth and popularity. Expanding its distribution network, introducing new flavors, and targeting new demographics could further boost sales. The hard iced tea market is a growing segment within the alcoholic beverage industry, offering a promising avenue for growth. Timeline: Ongoing.
  • Innovation in Craft Beer: The craft beer segment remains a significant part of the alcoholic beverage market. The Boston Beer Company can capitalize on this by introducing new and innovative craft beer offerings under the Samuel Adams brand and other craft beer brands in its portfolio. This includes experimenting with new ingredients, brewing techniques, and collaborations with other breweries. Timeline: Ongoing.
  • International Expansion: Expanding its presence in international markets such as Canada, Europe, and the Pacific Rim could provide new avenues for growth. Tailoring its product offerings to local tastes and preferences and establishing strategic partnerships with local distributors are crucial for success. The global alcoholic beverage market offers significant potential for expansion. Timeline: Ongoing.
  • Strategic Acquisitions: The Boston Beer Company could pursue strategic acquisitions of smaller craft breweries or beverage companies to expand its portfolio and market reach. This could provide access to new brands, technologies, and distribution networks. The craft beverage industry is ripe for consolidation, presenting opportunities for strategic acquisitions. Timeline: Ongoing.

What Are SAM's Competitive Advantages?

  • Brand recognition and loyalty for Samuel Adams, Twisted Tea, Truly Hard Seltzer, and Angry Orchard.
  • Established distribution network with approximately 400 wholesalers in the United States.
  • Product innovation and diversification across beer, cider, and hard seltzer categories.
  • Experience and expertise in brewing and beverage production.

What Does SAM Do?

The Boston Beer Company, Inc., established in 1984 and headquartered in Boston, Massachusetts, is a leading producer and seller of alcoholic beverages in the United States and select international markets. The company's origin story began with the revival of the Samuel Adams Boston Lager, a beer inspired by a historical recipe. Over the years, The Boston Beer Company has expanded its portfolio to include a wide range of beers, hard ciders, and hard seltzers. Key brands include Samuel Adams, known for its Boston Lager and seasonal brews; Twisted Tea, a popular hard iced tea; Truly Hard Seltzer, a significant player in the hard seltzer market; and Angry Orchard, a leading hard cider brand. Other brands include Dogfish Head, Angel City, Coney Island, and Concrete Beach. The company distributes its products through a network of approximately 400 wholesalers in the United States, as well as international wholesalers, importers, and other agencies. These distributors supply retailers such as grocery stores, club stores, convenience stores, liquor stores, bars, restaurants, and stadiums. The Boston Beer Company also has a presence in international markets, including Canada, Europe, Israel, Australia, New Zealand, the Caribbean, the Pacific Rim, Mexico, and Central and South America.

What Products and Services Does SAM Offer?

  • Produces and sells a variety of alcoholic beverages.
  • Offers beers under the Samuel Adams brand.
  • Markets hard ciders under the Angry Orchard brand.
  • Produces hard seltzers under the Truly Hard Seltzer brand.
  • Offers hard iced tea under the Twisted Tea brand.
  • Distributes products through a network of wholesalers and retailers.
  • Operates in the United States and select international markets.

How Does SAM Make Money?

  • Develops and produces alcoholic beverages.
  • Markets and sells products through a network of distributors.
  • Generates revenue through wholesale sales to distributors and retailers.
  • Focuses on brand building and product innovation.

What Industry Does SAM Operate In?

The Boston Beer Company operates in the competitive alcoholic beverage industry, which is characterized by evolving consumer preferences and increasing market fragmentation. The hard seltzer market, in particular, has seen rapid growth, with brands like Truly Hard Seltzer vying for market share. The industry also faces challenges from established players and emerging craft breweries. The Boston Beer Company's success depends on its ability to innovate, adapt to changing trends, and maintain its brand relevance in a dynamic market. Competitors include UNFI: United Natural Foods, Inc., CHEF: The Chefs' Warehouse, Inc., and COCO: The Vita Coco Company, Inc.

Who Are SAM's Key Customers?

  • Wholesalers and distributors of alcoholic beverages.
  • Retailers such as grocery stores, liquor stores, and bars.
  • Consumers who purchase and consume their alcoholic beverages.
Model self-rating on this text: 73% (not a measure of the evidence) Updated: May 10, 2026

Research confidence

High 100/100

Broad, current evidence sits behind this analysis.

  • Scored on 97% of our measures
  • Price is current
  • Latest filing 50 days ago
  • Covered by analysts

Why 62?

Measured against companies in the same sector. The figures below are the factor contributions the scoring engine itself produced.

What is helping

  • +0.50 Gross profit per dollar of assets (Business Quality)
  • +0.48 Share dilution (Growth)
  • +0.41 Enterprise value vs free cash flow (Valuation)

What is holding it back

  • -0.29 Enterprise value vs EBITDA (Valuation)
  • -0.23 Return on assets (Business Quality)
  • -0.18 Return on equity (Business Quality)

Contribution = how far the company sits from its sector on that measure, weighted by how much the pillar counts. Not investment advice. How the score is built →

MoonshotScore History

Recorded daily since 2026-08-23 · 19 snapshots

2026-08-23 64
2026-08-26 64
2026-08-29 64
2026-09-01 68
2026-09-04 67
2026-09-07 62
2026-09-10 58

What changed?

The grade moved from 64 to 58 (-6).

What moved it up or down:

  • -22 Financial Safety
  • -6 Momentum

Held back by:

  • +5 Valuation
  • +4 Business Quality

Over the same 18 days the stock moved -12.7%.

The Boston Beer Company, Inc. Financial Trajectory

The Boston Beer Company, Inc. (SAM) reported $607.8M in revenue for Q2 FY2026, reflecting 40.1% growth compared to the prior quarter. The company recorded net income of $51.6M, with diluted EPS of $4.98. Quarter-over-quarter revenue has been mixed, typical for a small-cap company operating in Consumer Defensive. Across the four most recent quarters, SAM averaged $-1.69 in diluted EPS.

Company Profile

The Boston Beer Company, Inc. operates in the Beverages - Alcoholic industry within the Consumer Defensive sector. It is headquartered in Boston, US. The company is led by CEO C. James Koch. SAM has traded publicly since 1995.

How The Boston Beer Company, Inc. Is Valued

The Boston Beer Company, Inc. carries a market capitalization of $1.77B, placing it in the small-cap category. Analyst price targets span from $169.00 to $295.00, with a consensus of $206.67. At the current price of $169.52, that implies approximately 22% upside potential. Relative to its peer group, SAM's quantitative score of 62/100 is roughly in line with the peer average of 60/100.

ROE -9%

Key Financial Metrics

Return on equity for The Boston Beer Company, Inc. stands at -8.9%, a gauge of how efficiently it converts shareholder capital into profit. Return on assets is -5.6%, showing how much profit it generates from its asset base. Its free cash flow yield is 12.2%, a gauge of the cash the business throws off relative to its market value. A current ratio of 1.05 indicates the company holds enough short-term assets to cover its near-term obligations. Its earnings yield is -4.2%, the inverse of the P/E and a quick read on earnings relative to price.

F-Score 4/9

Financial Health

The Boston Beer Company, Inc.'s Piotroski F-Score is 4/9, a 9-point checklist of profitability, leverage and efficiency — a middling fundamental profile. Its Altman Z-Score of 3.43 places it in the safe zone, indicating low near-term bankruptcy risk.

5/8 beats

Earnings Track Record

The Boston Beer Company, Inc. has beaten Wall Street's EPS estimate in 5 of its last 8 reported quarters — more hits than misses. Reported results have landed about 18.9% above estimates on average.

Net buying

Insider Activity

Over the past six months, The Boston Beer Company, Inc. insiders filed 15 SEC Form 4 transactions — 1 sales and 14 purchases. On net that is roughly 6K shares acquired (about $771K) — insiders putting money in tends to read as conviction.

SAM Financials

Fundamental Snapshot

Revenue Growth (FY)
+3.7%
Net Income Growth (FY)
+81.7%
EPS Growth (FY)
+95.1%
Free Cash Flow Growth (FY)
+24.9%
P/E (TTM)
24.03
Return on Equity (TTM)
-8.9%
Current Ratio
1.0
EV/EBITDA (TTM)
178

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis · FY 2025

Bull Case vs Bear Case

Bull Case

  • Strong brand portfolio including Samuel Adams, Twisted Tea, Truly Hard Seltzer, and Angry Orchard.
  • Extensive distribution network across the United States.
  • Product diversification across beer, cider, and hard seltzer categories.
  • Established presence in both domestic and international markets.

Bear Case

  • Recent negative profit margin raises concerns about profitability.
  • High dependence on the hard seltzer market, which is subject to changing consumer preferences.
  • Intense competition from established players and emerging craft breweries.
  • Vulnerability to fluctuations in raw material costs.

AI-generated arguments based on insider flow, news sentiment and technicals — not financial advice · September 2026

Recent Quarterly Results

Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q2 FY2026 $608M $52M $4.98
Q1 FY2026 $434M -$145M -$13.88
Q4 FY2025 $508M -$23M -$2.13
Q3 FY2025 $537M $46M $4.26

Q2 FY2026 · filed 23 Jul 2026 · SEC EDGAR →

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis

SAM Latest News

SAM Analyst Consensus

Consensus Rating

Aggregated Buy/Hold/Sell recommendations collected by Financial Modeling Prep for SAM.

Price Targets

Low
$169.00
Consensus
$206.67
High
$295.00

Median: $195.00 (+21.9% from current price)

Source: FMP analyst consensus · as of Aug 25, 2026 · an estimate, not advice

SAM MoonshotScore

62/100

What does this score mean?

MoonshotScore is Stock Expert AI's proprietary 0-100 research rating, not a buy or sell recommendation. SAM scores 62/100 (Grade B+): the number comes from the five-pillar engine (business quality, financial safety, valuation, growth durability, momentum), re-ranked daily against sector peers.

Leadership: C. James Koch

CEO

C. James Koch is the co-founder and chairman of The Boston Beer Company. He holds an MBA from Harvard Business School and a BA from Harvard College. Prior to founding The Boston Beer Company, Koch worked as a management consultant. He comes from a family with a long history in brewing, dating back to the 19th century. Koch is known for his passion for craft beer and his commitment to quality and innovation.

Track Record: Under C. James Koch's leadership, The Boston Beer Company has grown from a small startup to a leading independent brewery. He has overseen the development and launch of successful brands such as Samuel Adams, Twisted Tea, Truly Hard Seltzer, and Angry Orchard. Koch has also navigated the company through periods of rapid growth and increased competition, maintaining its focus on quality and innovation.

The Boston Beer Company, Inc. Consumer Defensive Stock: Key Questions Answered

What does the AI Score mean for SAM?

SAM holds an AI Score of 62/100 (Grade: B+). This is an educational research signal, not a buy or sell recommendation. The number comes from the five-pillar engine (business quality, financial safety, valuation, growth durability, momentum), re-ranked daily against sector peers.

Is SAM a good stock?

Stock Expert AI does not rate SAM buy, sell or hold. The Boston Beer Company, Inc. carries a MoonshotScore of 62/100 on the five-pillar engine, a research rating against its peers. Whether it fits is your call: check what it sells, whether it earns, what the price assumes, and what would prove you wrong.

What does The Boston Beer Company, Inc. do?

The Boston Beer Company, Inc. is primarily engaged in the production, marketing, and sale of alcoholic beverages. Its portfolio includes a diverse range of beers, hard ciders, and hard seltzers, with key brands such as Samuel Adams, Twisted Tea, Truly Hard Seltzer, and Angry Orchard.

What are the key factors to evaluate for SAM?

The Boston Beer Company, Inc. (SAM) holds a MoonshotScore of 62/100 (moderate). P/E: 24.03x vs the S&P 500's ~20-25x. Analysts target $206.67 (+22%). Not financial advice.

How frequently does SAM data refresh on this page?

SAM's price was last updated on Sep 11, 2026 and refreshes on page view during U.S. market hours; the quote is a provider snapshot, not an exchange feed. Fundamentals update after quarterly filings; the MoonshotScore recalculates nightly; news aggregates continuously.

What has driven SAM's recent stock price performance?

The Boston Beer Company, Inc. (SAM) moves on earnings results, analyst revisions, sector rotation, and market sentiment. Notable catalyst: Strong brand portfolio including Samuel Adams, Twisted Tea, Truly Hard Seltzer, and Angry Orchard. See the News tab for the latest drivers. Past performance does not predict future results.

Should investors consider SAM overvalued or undervalued right now?

The Boston Beer Company, Inc. (SAM) trades at 24.03x earnings. Analysts target $206.67 (+22%) — upside seen. Compare P/E, P/S, and EV/EBITDA against sector peers for a full view.

Can I buy fractional shares of SAM?

Yes, most major brokerages offer fractional shares of The Boston Beer Company, Inc. (SAM) with no minimum purchase requirement. This means you can invest any dollar amount regardless of the share price. Check your brokerage platform for specific terms, fees, and fractional share availability.

How can I track SAM's earnings and financial reports?

The Boston Beer Company, Inc. (SAM) reports quarterly earnings approximately 4-6 weeks after each fiscal quarter ends. You can track earnings dates, revenue and EPS estimates, and actual results on this page's Financials tab. Earnings surprises (beats or misses) often cause significant short-term price moves. Your brokerage can send alerts for SAM earnings announcements.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Always do your own research and consult a financial advisor.

Official Resources

Price as of Analysis updated MoonshotScore as of
Data Sources & Methodology
Market data powered by Financial Modeling Prep & Yahoo Finance. AI analysis by Stock Expert AI proprietary algorithms. Technical indicators via industry-standard calculations. Last updated: .
Data Provenance
Sources: Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) — Primary · Yahoo Finance — Fallback · Alpaca — Tertiary
Last fetched:
Cache TTL: Quote 5min · Profile 7d · Financials 7d · Insider 48h
How we use AI: Numbers are pulled directly from FMP & Yahoo Finance — our AI writes the analysis, it never edits the figures.
Data provided as-is for educational purposes. Not financial advice. Methodology

Data provided for informational purposes only.

Analysis Notes
  • Information is based on available data and may be subject to change.
  • Financial metrics are as of the latest available reporting period.
Data Sources
Financial Modeling Prep (FMP)Stock Expert AI proprietary analysis

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