Alcoa Corporation (AA) Stock: Price, Forecast & Analyst Target
Alcoa Corporation (AA) — MoonshotScore 68/100 (Strong band), calculated Oct 26, 2026. Price $38.70 (+2.08%), as of the Oct 26, 2026 trading session; market cap $10.2B. Expected results Jan 28, 2027.
Educational signal · not a buy or sell recommendation · How to read this
Market value / cash and short-term investments: 2.31× (market value Oct 26, 2026; cash Sep 30, 2026) · expected results Jan 28, 2027
Alcoa Corporation · AA · NYSE · Basic Materials · Aluminum
Research dated 2026-09-13: Alcoa spans bauxite mining, alumina refining, aluminum smelting and casting, with wholesale electricity sales alongside the metals chain. Can the rebound in operating profit keep producing cash after capital spending when consolidated sales fluctuate sharply?
Price as of Oct 26, 2026
Key Statistics
MoonshotScore v2 · Alcoa (AA)
StrongWhy this rating? Method, drivers & history
Bands for the MoonshotScore: Exceptional 80-100 · Strong 65-79 · Fair 45-64 · Weak below 45.
- Business Quality — Is this a genuinely good business?
- Financial Safety — Could this blow up on me?
- Valuation — Am I paying a fair price?
- Growth Durability — Is the growth real and likely to last?
- Momentum — Is the market already moving on this?
High quality, at a dirt-cheap price, though the balance sheet and growth are only middling. Business Quality: Solid; Financial Safety: Okay; Valuation: Cheap; Growth Durability: Flat; Momentum: Slipping.
- quarterly revenue $3.70B (Q3 FY2026, quarter ended Sep 30, 2026)
- EPS beat 6 of 8
- Altman Z 1.85 · Piotroski F 5
Holding back: weak price trend
Helping: business quality, an attractive price
What has the MoonshotScore done over time?
| Recorded | Score | Band |
|---|---|---|
| 64 | Fair | |
| 68 | Strong | |
| 67 | Strong | |
| 67 | Strong | |
| 68 | Strong | |
| 68 | Strong |
The score was 68 in the stored Oct 24, 2026 snapshot and remains 68 in the current publication computed Oct 26, 2026 (0); the largest pillar moves were Growth Durability +1 and Momentum +1; the pillar moves offset under the sector-relative weighting, so the headline score is unchanged.
Calculation uses the most recent completed US trading session. Live price changes do not update the score immediately.
Computed · Educational signal · not a buy or sell recommendation · How the MoonshotScore is computed →
Price & valuation
| Measure | Value | As of |
|---|---|---|
| Latest provided price | $38.70 | |
| Change on the day | +2.08% | |
| 52-week range | $35.12–$84.38 | |
| Market capitalisation | $10.2B | |
| Price / earnings (trailing) | 6.68 | |
| Shares traded on the day | 4.2M | |
| Beta (volatility vs the S&P 500) | 1.74 | |
| Dividends per share (last 12 months) | $0.40 | |
| Dividend yield (last 12 months) | 1.06% |
Price & events
Triangles mark reported quarters on the line: pointing up is above the recorded estimate, down is below, a diamond means no estimate on file or a dated event that is not a results report. Numbers key to the dated list. Point at or tab to any week for its close.
Events behind the price
- · Earnings results · above the recorded estimate
- · Earnings results · below the recorded estimate
- · Earnings results · below the recorded estimate
- · Earnings call · management outlook
- · Earnings results · above the recorded estimate
Results dates follow the earnings feed; call dates follow the transcript provider. Nearby dates do not establish that an event caused a price move.
Upcoming events
Management outlook
In January, we will give you a better view of what our full year supply demand picture looks like But to give you a little bit of a highlight, we are thinking that we are going to see probably 1 million metric tons of smelting capacity come online in Indonesia.
William F. Oplinger · Statement from
Chronological order, not a duration scale. Statement dates identify the earnings call, not a deadline. Management expectations and provider estimates can change.
Read management statementsOther perspectives
Council score for Alcoa (AA): perspectives
Council is a separate blend of available disciplines; MoonshotScore above remains the five-pillar research rating.
9-Factor Breakdown
Legends Council
6 lenses, 0 current
AI simulations built from the named investors' published principles. Not affiliated with, endorsed by, or the opinion of these individuals. How these lenses are built
Read on: Sep 10, 2026 · older than the 27 hours refresh window; not a current reading
Munger's Mindset
Balance Sheet & Valuation · historical
Read on: Sep 10, 2026 · older than the 27 hours refresh window; not a current reading
How to read these bars and different assessments
Council is a separate blend of available disciplines; MoonshotScore above remains the five-pillar research rating.
Bars show each model's ordered assessment on its own scale, not a probability or a comparable investment return. The adjacent words give the assessment; more filled segments indicate a stronger model reading.
On Sep 10, 2026, the Munger lens read the price at that time as undervalued against its own estimate of value.
Readings on this page are from Oct 27, 2026, except a card that shows its own read date.
Watch the AA film — every key number, told as a short cinematic story
~2 min · open the film
What is Alcoa (AA), and what does it report?
Short answer · as of
Alcoa begins with mined bauxite, refines it into alumina, and produces primary aluminum in alloy and value-added ingot forms.
Research dated 2026-09-13.
Alcoa begins with mined bauxite, refines it into alumina, and produces primary aluminum in alloy and value-added ingot forms. Alumina goes to industrial customers, while aluminum serves transportation, construction, packaging, wire and other manufacturing markets; hydroelectric facilities also sell power to wholesale buyers.
The reported revenue shape focuses on Alumina and Aluminum even though bauxite sits at the start of the operating chain. Alcoa is therefore neither merely a miner nor a maker of finished consumer products: it sells upstream and intermediate materials used by other industries.
What do the latest results show for Alcoa (AA)?
Short answer · as of
The most recent reported quarter, Q3 FY2026, carried revenue of $3.70B.
Research dated 2026-09-13.
Revenue rebounded in the latest period, while gross profit and operating profit expanded more sharply; net income eased from the preceding period. Operating cash flow swung from an outflow to a substantial inflow and covered capital spending comfortably.
Reported earnings per share and revenue fell short of their respective estimates, following the same pattern in the preceding release. Because consolidated sales blend alumina and aluminum, the headline rebound does not by itself distinguish stronger volume, pricing or mix.
Where is operating spending going?
Revenue alongside research and development, selling, general and administrative expenses, and the FMP standardized operating result.
- Latest quarter · revenue
- $3.70B Sep 30, 2026
- Latest quarter · R&D
- $8.00M Sep 30, 2026
- Latest quarter · SG&A
- $97.00M Sep 30, 2026
- Latest quarter · FMP standardized operating result
- $583.00M Sep 30, 2026
| Period end | Revenue | R&D | SG&A | FMP standardized operating result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 30, 2026 | $3.70B | $8.00M | $97.00M | $583.00M |
| Jun 30, 2026 | $3.97B | $11.00M | $101.00M | $718.00M |
| Mar 31, 2026 | $3.19B | $10.00M | $83.00M | $426.00M |
| Dec 31, 2025 | $3.45B | −$11.00M | $68.00M | −$112.00M |
USD. The operating result is the FMP-standardized value supplied by FMP; it may differ from a filing’s GAAP loss from operations when the provider classifies separately presented items differently. It is not net income or cash flow.
Did results meet expectations?
Reported earnings and revenue alongside the estimates recorded by the provider.
- Latest report · revenue
- $3.70B Oct 15, 2026
- Latest report · revenue estimate
- $3.77B Oct 15, 2026
- Latest report · revenue vs estimate
- Below estimate Oct 15, 2026
- Latest report · EPS vs estimate
- Above estimate Oct 15, 2026
| Report date | Revenue · reported | Revenue · estimate | EPS · reported | EPS · estimate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | $3.70B | $3.77B | $1.8200 | $1.5100 |
| Jul 16, 2026 | $3.97B | $3.99B | $2.1200 | $2.2500 |
| Apr 16, 2026 | $3.19B | $3.28B | $1.4000 | $1.5300 |
| Jan 22, 2026 | $3.45B | $3.28B | $1.2600 | $0.9260 |
Dates are report dates, not fiscal period ends. Revenue is in USD; EPS is USD per share, rounded to four decimals. The earnings feed does not establish a basic, diluted or adjusted basis. Earnings-feed EPS may differ from statement EPS; the two series are not combined.
Quarterly income statement — 4 quarters
| Period | Revenue | Net income | EPS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q3 FY2026 | $3.70B | $483M | $1.81 (diluted) |
| Q2 FY2026 | $3.97B | $407M | $1.55 (diluted) |
| Q1 FY2026 | $3.19B | $425M | $1.60 (diluted) |
| Q4 FY2025 | $3.45B | $213M | $0.87 (diluted) |
What are the financial strengths and risks for Alcoa (AA)?
Short answer
Cash and short-term investments were $4.41B at the Sep 30, 2026 balance-sheet date. Operating cash flow was $643.00M for the quarter ended Sep 30, 2026, meaning operations generated cash. These figures do not establish a cash runway.
Research dated 2026-09-13.
Cash and short-term investments remain below total debt, leaving Alcoa in a net debt position on that narrow liquidity basis. Adding long-term investments puts total cash and investments above borrowings, but those investments are unclassified and should not be treated as interchangeable with cash. Current assets exceed current liabilities, while the quick ratio remains below parity.
Operating cash flow has varied widely and turned negative in a recent period, while capital spending continued throughout the series. Annual results have recovered from losses to profit and trailing margins and returns are positive, yet a reversal in alumina or aluminum profitability could squeeze cash after capital spending, particularly if the recent decline in cash and short-term investments continues. Recurring dividends add another use of cash.
How much cash does the business generate or use?
Quarterly operating cash flow shows cash generated or used by operations.
- Latest quarter · operating cash flow
- $643.00M Sep 30, 2026
- Previous quarter · operating cash flow
- $608.00M Jun 30, 2026
| Period end | Operating cash flow | Capital expenditure (reported) |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 30, 2026 | $643.00M | −$171.00M |
| Jun 30, 2026 | $608.00M | −$186.00M |
| Mar 31, 2026 | −$179.00M | −$119.00M |
| Dec 31, 2025 | $367.00M | −$205.00M |
Operating cash-flow bars share one scale and show magnitude; negative values mean cash used.
USD. Negative operating cash flow means cash used. Capital expenditure keeps the provider’s reported sign; it is not added here to estimate free cash flow or runway.
What should you watch next at Alcoa (AA)?
Short answer · as of
The next earnings report is expected on Jan 28, 2027.
Research dated 2026-09-13.
Consensus for the forthcoming report places revenue below the latest actual result and earnings per share below the latest reported figure. Watch whether gross profit and operating profit remain resilient if sales step down, and whether reported results return to meeting estimates after consecutive shortfalls.
Cash conversion deserves equal attention. Cash and short-term investments have declined from their recent peak while operating cash flow has swung sharply, so sustained positive cash generation after capital spending would be more informative than another profitable period by itself. Longer-range revenue estimates span a wide range and do not form a clean upward path, making segment performance more useful than a simple top-line extrapolation.
What management is planning
Management expectations, not completed milestones or guarantees. Selected verbatim excerpts; dates follow the transcript provider.
In January, we will give you a better view of what our full year supply demand picture looks like But to give you a little bit of a highlight, we are thinking that we are going to see probably 1 million metric tons of smelting capacity come online in Indonesia.
William F. Oplinger ·
How does Alcoa compare with its peers?
Short answer
Alcoa's score ranks 7th of 9 in the bounded comparison shown, against 8 same-model peers. These are company scores, not expected investment returns. The set lists named competitors first, then companies in the same data-provider industry classification closest in market value; that classification is the provider's, not our judgment of business similarity.
Research dated 2026-09-13.
Alcoa differs from a downstream aluminum fabricator because it sells bauxite-derived alumina and primary or value-added metal rather than finished vehicles, buildings or packages. Its mine-to-ingot reach also differs from a pure miner or standalone refiner, and wholesale hydroelectric sales add an activity outside the usual metal shipment.
That breadth makes consolidated revenue sensitive to several linked stages of the materials chain. Comparison is most useful when it considers segment profit and cash conversion, not merely aluminum shipment exposure.
| Company | Price | Market value | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| $13.98 Oct 26, 2026 | $9.26B | 96 5-pillar Oct 26, 2026 | |
| $23.41 Oct 26, 2026 | $3.18B | 84 5-pillar Oct 26, 2026 | |
| $13.64 Oct 26, 2026 | $13.9B | 81 5-pillar Oct 26, 2026 | |
| $31.80 Oct 26, 2026 | $3.18B | 70 5-pillar Oct 26, 2026 | |
| $8.82 Oct 26, 2026 | $10.4B | 69 5-pillar Oct 26, 2026 | |
| $105.47 Oct 26, 2026 | $1.75B | 69 5-pillar Oct 26, 2026 | |
| Alcoa (AA) — this page | $38.70 | $10.2B | 68 |
| $65.31 Oct 26, 2026 | $8.25B | 32 5-pillar Oct 26, 2026 | |
| $37.47 Oct 26, 2026 | $6.67B | 29 5-pillar Oct 26, 2026 |
Only 5-pillar scores are ranked together. Other models are not directly comparable. Price and score dates are shown separately; market-value dates are unavailable.
The records behind this page
Analyst targets & estimates
What analysts have on file
- Price target, low to high
- $53.00 – $70.00
- Consensus target
- $60.43
- Median target
- $60.00
Consensus record · Captured .
Measured against a quoted price of $38.70 (as of Oct 26, 2026).
Insider activity
Form 4 records via FMP · Of the newest 60 records, those within the last 180 days, newest dated Sep 15, 2026
- Transactions
- 17
- Identified insiders
- 14
- Purchases
- 0
- Sales
- 4
- Other transactions
- 13
Purchases and sales use the reported transaction category. Other transactions include awards, exercises, gifts, withholding and unclassified activity; an acquisition or disposition alone is not a purchase or sale. These records do not establish intent.
Who holds the shares?
Institutional ownership reported through 13F filings.
- Institutional ownership
- 78.5% Period end Jun 30, 2026
- Previous quarter · ownership
- 75.7% Prior to period end Jun 30, 2026
- Reporting holders
- 777 Period end Jun 30, 2026
- Previous quarter · holders
- 817 Prior to period end Jun 30, 2026
| Holders in provider snapshot | Shares |
|---|---|
| Blackrock, INC. | 29,315,742 |
| Fmr LLC | 16,996,106 |
| Vanguard Portfolio Management LLC | 12,995,948 |
| Vanguard Capital Management LLC | 11,926,055 |
| Eagle Capital Management LLC | 11,879,807 |
Quarterly filings lag the period end. Holder rows are names in the provider snapshot, not a verified ranking; individual filing dates are not supplied. Related managers may appear separately, so these positions are not summed. Holder snapshot as of Jun 30, 2026.
What has been published about Alcoa (AA)?
AA Basic Materials Stock FAQ
Research dated 2026-09-13; the full attribution is under Sources. The last 3 questions are answered from this page's own dated data, not from the research.
What happens to Alcoa’s bauxite after it is mined?
Bauxite is refined into alumina, which can be sold for industrial uses, while Alcoa also smelts and casts primary aluminum for manufacturing markets. The company therefore participates across connected upstream stages rather than stopping at extraction.
What do Alcoa’s Alumina and Aluminum segment figures represent?
They represent the reported sales categories for refined alumina and primary or value-added aluminum. Bauxite remains the starting material in the operating chain even though the revenue disclosure centers on the downstream metal categories.
Can Alcoa post a profit while its operations consume cash?
That divergence occurred in a recent period, when net income was positive but operating cash flow was negative and capital spending continued. The subsequent period reversed the cash outflow, illustrating why earnings and cash conversion need separate attention.
Who buys Alcoa’s aluminum and hydroelectric output?
Aluminum goes to transportation, construction, packaging, wire and other industrial markets. Hydroelectric facilities sell power into wholesale markets serving traders, industrial consumers, distributors and power generators.
What is the AA stock price today?
The last price recorded on this page for Alcoa Corporation (AA) is $38.70, as of the Oct 26, 2026 trading session (source: Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) · quote). It is a provider snapshot, not a live exchange feed, so check a brokerage quote before you trade.
What is the AA price target?
The analyst consensus price target for Alcoa Corporation (AA) is $60.43 (range $53.00 to $70.00, median $60.00), per FMP data captured Oct 26, 2026. Targets are analyst opinions and change often; they are not a Stock Expert AI forecast.
Does AA pay a dividend?
Yes. Alcoa Corporation (AA) shows a trailing 12-month dividend yield of 1.06%, as of Oct 23, 2026, in the data on this page. Payout ratio and cash-flow coverage decide whether it can last, and past dividends do not guarantee future payments.
Disclaimer: This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Always do your own research and consult a financial advisor.
Research written by Codex (gpt-5.6-sol) on 2026-09-13. AI-authored analysis; source dates are shown with each answer. Editorial oversight is systemic, not page-by-page. Editorially accountable: Sedat ANAK, Founder and Editor-in-Chief.
Sources — records for every figure on this page (85 figures)
The 85 rows below are exactly the facts the evidence-backed sections of this page printed — the 10-second verdict, the MoonshotScore, price and market value, the five questions with their receipts, and the records behind this page. Known dates and sources are recorded on their own rows; an em dash or UNRECORDED tier preserves a stored observation without inventing either. The quarterly income statement is provider-standardized (FMP) under one row, and scale definitions — a 0-100 rating, the band ladder, the Piotroski 0–9 range — are fixed rather than measured. No number in those sections was generated by a model. The register does not cover quoted third-party headlines, the dated council readings, or the Frequently Asked Questions; each of those says where it came from where it stands.
"As of" is the date the value is true for where the source carries one — a quarter end, a filing date, a price close, the day the score was computed. A cached observation with no source date remains undated; the page publication date is not used as a substitute.
OFFICIAL — 2 facts from SEC filings and earnings calls
| Fact ID | Fact | Value as shown | As of | Tier | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
prod.outlook | Management outlook — call excerpts | William F. Oplinger (Oct 15, 2026): In January, we will give you a better view of what our full year supply demand picture looks like But to give you a little bit of a highlight, we are thinking that we are going to see probably 1 million metric tons of smelting capacity come online in Indonesia. | OFFICIAL | Company earnings call, transcript via Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) — Selected verbatim statements from the latest available call, dated by the transcript provider. Management expectations, not completed milestones or guarantees. Relative dates retain the speaker's wording. | |
id.hq | SEC filing business address | 201 Isabella Street, Suite 500, Pittsburgh, PA, 15212 | OFFICIAL | SEC EDGAR filer business address — The SEC filer business address. Our market-data provider separately lists "201 Isabella Street, Pittsburgh, PA, 15212-5858, US". |
FMP — 74 facts from Financial Modeling Prep endpoint families
| Fact ID | Fact | Value as shown | As of | Tier | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
earn.next | Next earnings date | Jan 28, 2027 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings calendar — The date is our provider's estimate until the company confirms it. | |
px.last | Latest provided price | $38.70 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) · quote — Dated to the US trading session the price belongs to, derived from the quote record's timestamp (weekend and pre-open reads roll back to the previous weekday; exchange holidays are not modelled). The record does not establish an exchange execution time. Retrieved 2026-10-26T20:02:04.000Z. | |
px.change | Change on the day | +2.08% | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) · quote | |
px.mcap | Market capitalisation | $10.2B | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) · quote — Date unknown Market cap record date: 2026-10-26. FMP quote timestamp: 2026-10-26T20:02:04.000Z. Captured from FMP at 2026-10-26T22:30:39.075Z. No share-count basis is inferred; this page preserves the reported amount instead of recalculating it from shares. | |
px.change_abs | Change on the day, in dollars | +$0.79 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) · quote | |
fin.q_revenue | Revenue, Q3 FY2026 | $3.70B | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) · income statement (quarterly) | |
px.range52 | 52-week range | $35.12–$84.38 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) quote | |
px.pe | Price / earnings (trailing) | 6.68 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) · quote | |
px.volume | Shares traded on the day | 4.2M | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) · quote | |
px.beta | Beta | 1.74 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) company profile | |
id.ceo | Chief executive | William F. Oplinger | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) key executives (proxy-derived) — Titles and pay come from the company's proxy statement as our provider parsed it. | |
id.employees | Employees | 14,900 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) employee count, from the company's filing | |
fin.annual | Revenue and net result by fiscal year | 5 fiscal years, FY2021 through FY2025: FY2021 revenue $12.44B, net result $429.00M; FY2022 revenue $12.76B, net result −$123.00M; FY2023 revenue $10.71B, net result −$651.00M; FY2024 revenue $12.18B, net result $60.00M; FY2025 revenue $12.83B, net result $1.16B | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-K income statements | |
fin.rev_mix | Reported revenue segments | Alumina $6.56B · Aluminum $8.38B | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) revenue segmentation, from the company's 10-K | |
fin.gross_margin | Gross margin (trailing twelve months) | 21.9% | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) key-metrics-ttm + ratios-ttm — A ratio our provider could not compute is absent rather than shown as zero. | |
fin.q_table.depth.2026-09-30.revenue_k | Revenue — period end 2026-09-30 | $3.70B | Period end · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-Q and 10-K income statements — Quarterly statement note |
fin.q_table.depth.2026-09-30.rd_k | R&D — period end 2026-09-30 | $8.00M | Period end · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-Q and 10-K income statements — Quarterly statement note |
fin.q_table.depth.2026-09-30.sga_k | SG&A — period end 2026-09-30 | $97.00M | Period end · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-Q and 10-K income statements — Quarterly statement note |
fin.q_table.depth.2026-09-30.operating_result_k | FMP standardized operating result — period end 2026-09-30 | $583.00M | Period end · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-Q and 10-K income statements — Quarterly statement note |
fin.q_table.depth.2026-06-30.revenue_k | Revenue — period end 2026-06-30 | $3.97B | Period end · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-Q and 10-K income statements — Quarterly statement note |
fin.q_table.depth.2026-06-30.rd_k | R&D — period end 2026-06-30 | $11.00M | Period end · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-Q and 10-K income statements — Quarterly statement note |
fin.q_table.depth.2026-06-30.sga_k | SG&A — period end 2026-06-30 | $101.00M | Period end · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-Q and 10-K income statements — Quarterly statement note |
fin.q_table.depth.2026-06-30.operating_result_k | FMP standardized operating result — period end 2026-06-30 | $718.00M | Period end · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-Q and 10-K income statements — Quarterly statement note |
fin.q_table.depth.2026-03-31.revenue_k | Revenue — period end 2026-03-31 | $3.19B | Period end · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-Q and 10-K income statements — Quarterly statement note |
fin.q_table.depth.2026-03-31.rd_k | R&D — period end 2026-03-31 | $10.00M | Period end · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-Q and 10-K income statements — Quarterly statement note |
fin.q_table.depth.2026-03-31.sga_k | SG&A — period end 2026-03-31 | $83.00M | Period end · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-Q and 10-K income statements — Quarterly statement note |
fin.q_table.depth.2026-03-31.operating_result_k | FMP standardized operating result — period end 2026-03-31 | $426.00M | Period end · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-Q and 10-K income statements — Quarterly statement note |
fin.q_table.depth.2025-12-31.revenue_k | Revenue — period end 2025-12-31 | $3.45B | Period end · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-Q and 10-K income statements — Quarterly statement note |
fin.q_table.depth.2025-12-31.rd_k | R&D — period end 2025-12-31 | −$11.00M | Period end · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-Q and 10-K income statements — Quarterly statement note |
fin.q_table.depth.2025-12-31.sga_k | SG&A — period end 2025-12-31 | $68.00M | Period end · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-Q and 10-K income statements — Quarterly statement note |
fin.q_table.depth.2025-12-31.operating_result_k | FMP standardized operating result — period end 2025-12-31 | −$112.00M | Period end · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-Q and 10-K income statements — Quarterly statement note |
earn.history.depth.2026-10-15.revenue_actual | Revenue · reported — report date 2026-10-15 | $3.70B | Report date · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings — Earnings-history note |
earn.history.depth.2026-10-15.revenue_estimated | Revenue · estimate — report date 2026-10-15 | $3.77B | Report date · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings — Earnings-history note |
earn.history.depth.2026-10-15.eps_actual | EPS · reported — report date 2026-10-15 | $1.8200 | Report date · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings — Earnings-history note |
earn.history.depth.2026-10-15.eps_estimated | EPS · estimate — report date 2026-10-15 | $1.5100 | Report date · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings — Earnings-history note |
earn.history.depth.2026-07-16.revenue_actual | Revenue · reported — report date 2026-07-16 | $3.97B | Report date · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings — Earnings-history note |
earn.history.depth.2026-07-16.revenue_estimated | Revenue · estimate — report date 2026-07-16 | $3.99B | Report date · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings — Earnings-history note |
earn.history.depth.2026-07-16.eps_actual | EPS · reported — report date 2026-07-16 | $2.1200 | Report date · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings — Earnings-history note |
earn.history.depth.2026-07-16.eps_estimated | EPS · estimate — report date 2026-07-16 | $2.2500 | Report date · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings — Earnings-history note |
earn.history.depth.2026-04-16.revenue_actual | Revenue · reported — report date 2026-04-16 | $3.19B | Report date · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings — Earnings-history note |
earn.history.depth.2026-04-16.revenue_estimated | Revenue · estimate — report date 2026-04-16 | $3.28B | Report date · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings — Earnings-history note |
earn.history.depth.2026-04-16.eps_actual | EPS · reported — report date 2026-04-16 | $1.4000 | Report date · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings — Earnings-history note |
earn.history.depth.2026-04-16.eps_estimated | EPS · estimate — report date 2026-04-16 | $1.5300 | Report date · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings — Earnings-history note |
earn.history.depth.2026-01-22.revenue_actual | Revenue · reported — report date 2026-01-22 | $3.45B | Report date · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings — Earnings-history note |
earn.history.depth.2026-01-22.revenue_estimated | Revenue · estimate — report date 2026-01-22 | $3.28B | Report date · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings — Earnings-history note |
earn.history.depth.2026-01-22.eps_actual | EPS · reported — report date 2026-01-22 | $1.2600 | Report date · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings — Earnings-history note |
earn.history.depth.2026-01-22.eps_estimated | EPS · estimate — report date 2026-01-22 | $0.9260 | Report date · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings — Earnings-history note |
fin.q_table | Quarterly income statement | 4 quarters through Q3 FY2026 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) · income statement (quarterly), as filed | |
fin.cash_investments | Cash and short-term investments | $4.41B | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's balance sheet — Long-term investments are shown separately; their marketability is not established by the provider field. The cash and short-term investment balance does not establish unrestricted availability. Long-term investments are excluded and remain unclassified. Restrictions on cash and short-term investments require separate review. | |
fin.opcf_latest | Latest-quarter operating cash flow | $643.00M | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-Q cash-flow statements — Period end: 2026-09-30. Negative operating cash flow means cash used. This figure is not a cash-runway estimate. | |
fin.long_term_investments | Long-term investments (classification unverified) | $1.92B | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's balance sheet — Long-term investments are shown separately; their marketability is not established by the provider field. The cash and short-term investment balance does not establish unrestricted availability. | |
fin.total_debt | Total debt | $4.82B | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's balance sheet — Long-term investments are shown separately; their marketability is not established by the provider field. The cash and short-term investment balance does not establish unrestricted availability. | |
fin.price_to_book | Price to book value | 1.21× | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) key-metrics-ttm + ratios-ttm — A ratio our provider could not compute is absent rather than shown as zero. | |
fin.opcf.depth.2026-09-30.operating_cash_flow_m | Operating cash flow — period end 2026-09-30 | $643.00M | Period end · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-Q cash-flow statements — Cash-flow note |
fin.opcf.depth.2026-06-30.operating_cash_flow_m | Operating cash flow — period end 2026-06-30 | $608.00M | Period end · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-Q cash-flow statements — Cash-flow note |
fin.opcf.depth.2026-09-30.capex_m | Capital expenditure (reported) — period end 2026-09-30 | −$171.00M | Period end · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-Q cash-flow statements — Cash-flow note |
fin.opcf.depth.2026-06-30.capex_m | Capital expenditure (reported) — period end 2026-06-30 | −$186.00M | Period end · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-Q cash-flow statements — Cash-flow note |
fin.opcf.depth.2026-03-31.operating_cash_flow_m | Operating cash flow — period end 2026-03-31 | −$179.00M | Period end · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-Q cash-flow statements — Cash-flow note |
fin.opcf.depth.2026-03-31.capex_m | Capital expenditure (reported) — period end 2026-03-31 | −$119.00M | Period end · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-Q cash-flow statements — Cash-flow note |
fin.opcf.depth.2025-12-31.operating_cash_flow_m | Operating cash flow — period end 2025-12-31 | $367.00M | Period end · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-Q cash-flow statements — Cash-flow note |
fin.opcf.depth.2025-12-31.capex_m | Capital expenditure (reported) — period end 2025-12-31 | −$205.00M | Period end · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-Q cash-flow statements — Cash-flow note |
earn.pt_range | Analyst price target, low to high | $53.00 – $70.00 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) · price-target consensus — Captured Oct 26, 2026 · Coverage not supplied | |
earn.pt_consensus | Consensus analyst price target | $60.43 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) · price-target consensus — Captured Oct 26, 2026 · Coverage not supplied | |
earn.pt_median | Median analyst price target | $60.00 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) · price-target consensus — Captured Oct 26, 2026 · Coverage not supplied | |
own.insiders | Insider transactions via FMP | 17 transactions · 0 purchases, 4 sales, 13 other transactions · 14 identified insiders · of the newest 60 records, those within the last 180 days, newest dated Sep 15, 2026 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), carrying Form 4 transaction records — Purchases and sales use the reported transaction category. Other transactions include awards, exercises, gifts, withholding and unclassified activity; an acquisition or disposition alone is not a purchase or sale. These records do not establish intent. | |
own.institutions.depth.ownership_pct | Institutional ownership | 78.5% | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) institutional ownership summary, from 13F filings — 13F filings are quarterly and lag the quarter end by up to 45 days. Period end Jun 30, 2026 | |
own.institutions.depth.ownership_pct_previous_quarter | Previous quarter · ownership | 75.7% | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) institutional ownership summary, from 13F filings — 13F filings are quarterly and lag the quarter end by up to 45 days. Prior to period end Jun 30, 2026 | |
own.institutions.depth.holders | Reporting holders | 777 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) institutional ownership summary, from 13F filings — 13F filings are quarterly and lag the quarter end by up to 45 days. Period end Jun 30, 2026 | |
own.institutions.depth.holders_previous_quarter | Previous quarter · holders | 817 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) institutional ownership summary, from 13F filings — 13F filings are quarterly and lag the quarter end by up to 45 days. Prior to period end Jun 30, 2026 | |
own.top_holders.depth.holder_0.shares | Blackrock, INC. — shares in provider snapshot | 29,315,742 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) institutional holders, from 13F filings — Provider snapshot as of 2026-06-30; individual filing date not supplied. | |
own.top_holders.depth.holder_1.shares | Fmr LLC — shares in provider snapshot | 16,996,106 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) institutional holders, from 13F filings — Provider snapshot as of 2026-06-30; individual filing date not supplied. | |
own.top_holders.depth.holder_2.shares | Vanguard Portfolio Management LLC — shares in provider snapshot | 12,995,948 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) institutional holders, from 13F filings — Provider snapshot as of 2026-06-30; individual filing date not supplied. | |
own.top_holders.depth.holder_3.shares | Vanguard Capital Management LLC — shares in provider snapshot | 11,926,055 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) institutional holders, from 13F filings — Provider snapshot as of 2026-06-30; individual filing date not supplied. | |
own.top_holders.depth.holder_4.shares | Eagle Capital Management LLC — shares in provider snapshot | 11,879,807 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) institutional holders, from 13F filings — Provider snapshot as of 2026-06-30; individual filing date not supplied. |
UNRECORDED — 2 facts from stored observations whose source was not recorded
| Fact ID | Fact | Value as shown | As of | Tier | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
earn.history | Reported versus estimated, recent quarters | EPS beat 6 of 8 | UNRECORDED | Stored earnings-history observation — Captured 2026-10-21 · Expired observation | |
fin.scores | Distress and quality screens | Altman Z 1.85 · Piotroski F 5 | UNRECORDED | Stored financial-scores observation — Captured 2026-10-25 · Expired observation |
COMPUTED — 5 facts from our arithmetic, formula restated
| Fact ID | Fact | Value as shown | As of | Tier | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
fin.mcap_to_cash | Market value per dollar of cash and short-term investments | 2.31× | — | COMPUTED | Computed on this page from the figures above — The market capitalisation printed on this page divided by cash and short-term investments of $4.41B at Sep 30, 2026. Long-term investments are excluded and remain unclassified. Restrictions on cash and short-term investments require separate review. Market cap record date: 2026-10-26. Balance-sheet reference date: 2026-09-30. The inputs do not establish a single common source date for this ratio. |
div.ttm_per_share | Dividends per share, last 12 months (split-adjusted) | $0.40 | COMPUTED | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) split-adjusted dividend history — Sum of 4 split-adjusted declared dividends with an ex-date in the 365 days to 2026-10-26, per current share. Ex-dates are not payment dates; special dividends are included. Not a declared annual rate. | |
div.ttm_yield | Dividend yield, last 12 months | 1.06% | COMPUTED | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) split-adjusted dividend history and quote — Split-adjusted dividends with ex-dates in the trailing 365-day window divided by the packet price, on the same current-share basis. Price date follows the quote, latest price bar or packet-build day when unstamped. Not a forecast or declared annual rate. | |
earn.history.depth.2026-10-15.revenue_actual.comparison | Latest report · revenue vs estimate | Below estimate | Report date · | COMPUTED | Computed from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings — Earnings-history note — Method: compare reported revenue ($3.70B) with the recorded estimate ($3.77B) at displayed precision. Equal displayed values are in line. This compares reported results with recorded estimates, not investment returns. |
earn.history.depth.2026-10-15.eps_actual.comparison | Latest report · EPS vs estimate | Above estimate | Report date · | COMPUTED | Computed from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings — Earnings-history note — Method: compare reported EPS ($1.8200) with the recorded estimate ($1.5100) at displayed precision. Equal displayed values are in line. This compares reported results with recorded estimates, not investment returns. |
OURS — 2 facts from Stock Expert AI's own score and rank
| Fact ID | Fact | Value as shown | As of | Tier | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
ours.moonshot | MoonshotScore v2 | 68 of 100 · Strong · pillars 69 / 49 / 94 / 41 / 31 | OURS | Stock Expert AI MoonshotScore v2 engine | |
ours.moonshot_change | MoonshotScore movement | 68 (stored snapshot Oct 24, 2026) → 68 (current publication computed Oct 26, 2026) (0) | OURS | Stock Expert AI current score publication and immutable score snapshots |
Fact-family notes
- Quarterly statement note. Source series as of 2026-09-30. USD. The operating result is the FMP-standardized value supplied by FMP; it may differ from a filing’s GAAP loss from operations when the provider classifies separately presented items differently. It is not net income or cash flow. Applies to Fact IDs:
fin.q_table.depth.2026-09-30.revenue_k,fin.q_table.depth.2026-09-30.rd_k,fin.q_table.depth.2026-09-30.sga_k,fin.q_table.depth.2026-09-30.operating_result_k,fin.q_table.depth.2026-06-30.revenue_k,fin.q_table.depth.2026-06-30.rd_k,fin.q_table.depth.2026-06-30.sga_k,fin.q_table.depth.2026-06-30.operating_result_k,fin.q_table.depth.2026-03-31.revenue_k,fin.q_table.depth.2026-03-31.rd_k,fin.q_table.depth.2026-03-31.sga_k,fin.q_table.depth.2026-03-31.operating_result_k,fin.q_table.depth.2025-12-31.revenue_k,fin.q_table.depth.2025-12-31.rd_k,fin.q_table.depth.2025-12-31.sga_k,fin.q_table.depth.2025-12-31.operating_result_k. - Earnings-history note. Source series as of 2026-10-15. Dates are report dates, not fiscal period ends. Revenue is in USD; EPS is USD per share, rounded to four decimals. The earnings feed does not establish a basic, diluted or adjusted basis. Earnings-feed EPS may differ from statement EPS; the two series are not combined. Applies to Fact IDs:
earn.history.depth.2026-10-15.revenue_actual,earn.history.depth.2026-10-15.revenue_estimated,earn.history.depth.2026-10-15.revenue_actual.comparison,earn.history.depth.2026-10-15.eps_actual.comparison,earn.history.depth.2026-10-15.eps_actual,earn.history.depth.2026-10-15.eps_estimated,earn.history.depth.2026-07-16.revenue_actual,earn.history.depth.2026-07-16.revenue_estimated,earn.history.depth.2026-07-16.eps_actual,earn.history.depth.2026-07-16.eps_estimated,earn.history.depth.2026-04-16.revenue_actual,earn.history.depth.2026-04-16.revenue_estimated,earn.history.depth.2026-04-16.eps_actual,earn.history.depth.2026-04-16.eps_estimated,earn.history.depth.2026-01-22.revenue_actual,earn.history.depth.2026-01-22.revenue_estimated,earn.history.depth.2026-01-22.eps_actual,earn.history.depth.2026-01-22.eps_estimated. - Cash-flow note. Source series as of 2026-09-30. USD. Negative operating cash flow means cash used. Capital expenditure keeps the provider’s reported sign; it is not added here to estimate free cash flow or runway. Applies to Fact IDs:
fin.opcf.depth.2026-09-30.operating_cash_flow_m,fin.opcf.depth.2026-06-30.operating_cash_flow_m,fin.opcf.depth.2026-09-30.capex_m,fin.opcf.depth.2026-06-30.capex_m,fin.opcf.depth.2026-03-31.operating_cash_flow_m,fin.opcf.depth.2026-03-31.capex_m,fin.opcf.depth.2025-12-31.operating_cash_flow_m,fin.opcf.depth.2025-12-31.capex_m.
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Sources used for research written 2026-09-13
Historical evidence preserved with this analysis. Current figures are listed separately above.
| Evidence | Captured value | Source date | Source type | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Business description | Alcoa Corporation stands as a global industrial leader, primarily focused on the production and sale of bauxite, alumina, and aluminum products. Its extensive operations span multiple continents, including North America (United States, Canada), Europe (Spain, Iceland, Norway), South America (Brazil), and Australia, along with other international markets. The company's activities are strategically divided into three principal segments: Bauxite, Alumina, and Aluminum. Alcoa initiates its process with bauxite mining. This raw material is then refined into alumina, which is subsequently sold to customers for conversion into various industrial chemical products. Additionally, the company is involved in aluminum smelting and casting, supplying primary aluminum in forms like alloy or value-added ingots. These aluminum products cater to a diverse range of industries, including transportation, building and construction, packaging, wire manufacturing, and other industrial applications. Beyond its core metals business, Alcoa also operates hydroelectric power generation facilities. These plants generate and sell electricity into the wholesale market, serving a wide array of clients, from traders and large industrial consumers to distribution companies and other power generators. Founded in 1888, the company is headquartered in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania. It officially adopted the name Alcoa Corporation in October 2016, prior to which it was known as Alcoa Upstream Corporation. | 2026-09-13 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) company profile |
| Revenue by segment | Alumina: $6.56B; Aluminum: $8.38B | 2025-12-31 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) revenue segmentation, from the company's 10-K |
| Quarterly income statement (USD thousands) | Captured record · 8 entries
| 2026-06-30 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-Q and 10-K income statements |
| Operating cash flow by quarter (USD millions) | Captured record · 8 entries
| 2026-06-30 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-Q cash-flow statements |
| Sector / industry (provider taxonomy) | Basic Materials / Aluminum The company's SEC filings classify it under SIC 3334 — Primary Production of Aluminum. | 2026-09-13 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) company profile |
| Reported versus estimated, last 8 quarters | Captured record · 8 entries
| 2026-07-16 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings |
| Cash, investments and debt | Total debt: $2.23B; Liquidity basis: cash and short-term investments; Total liabilities: $9.42B; Cash and short-term investments: $1.35B; Cash and investments: $3.24B; Long-term investments: $1.89B; Long-term investments classification: unclassified Long-term investments are shown separately; their marketability is not established by the provider field. The cash and short-term investment balance does not establish unrestricted availability. | 2026-06-30 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's balance sheet |
| Cash and investment components | Total basis: cash short and long-term investments; Total: $3.24B; Cash and short-term investments: $1.35B; Long-term investments: $1.89B; Long-term investments classification: unclassified Sums the balance sheet's cash and short-term investments with its long-term investments.; The long-term investment field does not establish marketability; the sum is not a measure of available liquidity.; These provider fields do not establish investment access restrictions or explain differences from third-party cash figures. | 2026-06-30 | COMPUTED | Computed from the balance sheet |
| Cash and short-term investments over time (USD millions) | Captured record · 8 entries
| 2026-06-30 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's quarterly balance sheets |
| Cash against market value | As of: 2026-06-30; Cash basis: cash and short-term investments; Net cash: -$873.00M; Total debt: $2.23B; Cash and investments: $1.35B Price-based multiples captured at research time are not repeated here; the page shows each once, from current figures with their own dates. Cash is the latest reported cash and short-term investment balance; long-term investments are excluded. Market capitalization is the latest provider value.; The reported balance does not establish unrestricted availability or liquidation value.; The two are measured on different dates — the balance sheet is a quarter-end, the market cap is a recent close.; Debt is total debt as reported, including operating lease liabilities where the filer includes them. | 2026-06-30 | COMPUTED | Computed from the balance sheet and the latest market capitalization |
| Trailing twelve-month ratio set | Quick ratio: 0.92; Current ratio: 1.53; Debt to equity: 0.3; Net margin: 9.4%; Gross margin: 18.8%; Operating margin: 8%; Return on assets: 7.6%; Return on equity: 19.2% Price-based multiples captured at research time are not repeated here; the page shows each once, from current figures with their own dates. A ratio our provider could not compute is absent rather than shown as zero. | 2026-09-13 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) key-metrics-ttm + ratios-ttm |
| Annual revenue and net result (USD millions) | Captured record · 5 entries
| 2025-12-31 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-K income statements |
| Recent dividends paid | Captured record · 4 entries
Declared amounts per share on their ex-dates. A single payment does not establish an annual rate, and a special dividend is not separated here. | 2026-08-11 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) dividend history |
| Next earnings report | Date: 2026-10-21; EPS estimate: $1.56 per share; Revenue estimate: $3.85B The date is our provider's estimate until the company confirms it. | 2026-09-13 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings calendar |
| Analyst revenue and earnings estimates (average) | Captured record · 4 entries
| 2026-09-13 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) analyst estimates |
Data provided for informational purposes only.
ETFs that hold AA
Funds in our ETF coverage that list AA among the top 10 holdings on their fund page, largest weight first. Each weight is the fund's reported holding weight as of the date in its row.
| ETF | Weight | Holdings as of |
|---|---|---|
| XME ETF | 5.59% | |
| Northern Lights Fund Trust IV - Inverse Cramer Tracker ETF (SJIM) | 3.23% | |
| VAMO ETF | 1.20% | |
| State Street SPDR S&P 400 Mid Cap Value ETF (MDYV) | 0.97% |