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Adaptive Biotechnologies Corporation (ADPT) Stock: Price, Forecast & Analyst Target

Adaptive Biotechnologies Corporation (ADPT) — MoonshotScore 35/100 (Weak band), calculated Oct 27, 2026. Price $26.27 (+2.98%), as of the Oct 26, 2026 trading session; market cap $4.19B.

Educational signal · not a buy or sell recommendation · How to read this

$26.27 +$0.76 (+2.98%) Market Cap $4.19B

Adaptive Biotechnologies Corporation · ADPT · NASDAQ

Adaptive Biotechnologies Corporation is a commercial-stage immune medicine company developing platforms for disease diagnosis and treatment, including immunoSEQ and clonoSEQ. They focus on life sciences research, clinical diagnostics, and drug discovery, with strategic collaborations in cancer and early disease detection.

Price as of Oct 26, 2026

Key Statistics

35 of 100

MoonshotScore v2 · Adaptive Biotechnologies (ADPT)

Weak
Business Quality Solid (64)
Financial Safety Strained (20)
Valuation Full (44)
Growth Durability Compounding (86)
Momentum Surging (93)
Why this rating? Method, drivers & history

Bands for the MoonshotScore: Exceptional 80-100 · Strong 65-79 · Fair 45-64 · Weak below 45.

  • Business Quality — Is this a genuinely good business?
  • Financial Safety — Could this blow up on me?
  • Valuation — Am I paying a fair price?
  • Growth Durability — Is the growth real and likely to last?
  • Momentum — Is the market already moving on this?
The ten-second read ·

Durable growth, but a fragile balance sheet. The score also carries a risk penalty for losses on top of negative retained earnings. Business Quality: Solid; Financial Safety: Strained; Valuation: Full; Growth Durability: Compounding; Momentum: Surging.

  • quarterly revenue $72M (Q2 FY2026, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026)
  • EPS beat 7 of 8
  • Altman Z 2.81 · Piotroski F 4

Holding back: balance-sheet strain

Helping: durable growth, positive momentum

What has the MoonshotScore done over time?

MoonshotScore snapshots recorded for ADPT (42 recorded, newest six shown)
RecordedScoreBand
35Weak
35Weak
35Weak
35Weak
35Weak
35Weak

The score was 35 in the stored Oct 26, 2026 snapshot and remains 35 in the current publication computed Oct 27, 2026 (0); the largest pillar moves were Momentum +2 and Business Quality -1; the pillar moves offset under the sector-relative weighting, so the headline score is unchanged. This current publication is not yet represented in the immutable snapshot archive.

Calculation uses the most recent completed US trading session. Live price changes do not update the score immediately.

Computed · Educational signal · not a buy or sell recommendation · How the MoonshotScore is computed →

Price & valuation

Dates shown where recorded
MeasureValueAs of
Latest provided price$26.27
Change on the day+2.98%
52-week range$12.00 – $30.74
Market capitalisation$4.19B
Price / earnings (trailing)-58.92
Shares traded on the day1.15M

Price & events

Council Score · weighted blend of 2 available disciplines

Council score for Adaptive Biotechnologies (ADPT): Split View

40/100 · C

Some lenses disagree with the MoonshotScore. Compare their readings below; each uses a different method.

5-Factor Breakdown

Growth Durability Strong
Momentum Strong
Business Quality Moderate
Financial Safety Weak
Valuation Neutral

Legends Council

5 lenses, 5 current

AI simulations built from the named investors' published principles. Not affiliated with, endorsed by, or the opinion of these individuals. How these lenses are built

Dalio-style lens (simulated) Ray Dalio Favorable read
Griffin-style lens (simulated) Ken Griffin Unfavorable read
Englander-style lens (simulated) Izzy Englander Unfavorable read
Klarman-style lens (simulated) Seth Klarman Unfavorable read
Moon AI lens (model) Neutral read

Read on: Oct 27, 2026

Munger's Mindset

Balance Sheet & Valuation · historical

Financial Health Neutral
Margin of Safety Overvalued
Profit Margin Weak
Revenue Growth Strong
Debt/Equity Negative
ROE Negative
Gross Margin Moderate

Read on: Sep 9, 2026 · older than the 27 hours refresh window; not a current reading

How to read these bars and different assessments

Council is a separate blend of available disciplines; MoonshotScore above remains the five-pillar research rating.

Bars show each model's ordered assessment on its own scale, not a probability or a comparable investment return. The adjacent words give the assessment; more filled segments indicate a stronger model reading.

One of these lenses reads this company more favourably than the MoonshotScore does: Dalio-style lens. Each lens is a separate scoring function over its own inputs, so a disagreement is a difference of method rather than a correction — the page's answer stays the MoonshotScore above.

On Sep 9, 2026, the Munger lens read the price at that time as overvalued against its own estimate of value.

Readings on this page are from Oct 27, 2026, except a card that shows its own read date.

Watch the ADPT film — every key number, told as a short cinematic story

~2 min · open the film

1 · What is it?

What is Adaptive Biotechnologies (ADPT), and what does it report?

Short answer · as of

A current FMP business description is unavailable; the listing and provider classification below are the available identity facts. Adaptive Biotechnologies Corporation (ADPT) is listed on NASDAQ. It employs 624 people and is led by Chad Robins. In Q2 FY2026 it reported revenue of $72M and net income of -$40M. The market values it at $4.19B.

2 · Latest results

What do the latest results show for Adaptive Biotechnologies (ADPT)?

Short answer · as of

The most recent reported quarter, Q2 FY2026, carried revenue of $72M. Against analyst estimates the company has EPS beat 7 of 8 reports.

Quarterly income statement — 4 quarters
Revenue, net income and earnings per share by quarter
PeriodRevenueNet incomeEPS
Q2 FY2026$72M-$40M-$0.25 (diluted)
Q1 FY2026$71M-$20M-$0.13 (diluted)
Q4 FY2025$72M-$14M-$0.09 (diluted)
Q3 FY2025$94M$10M$0.06 (diluted)
3 · Financial strengths and risks

What are the financial strengths and risks for Adaptive Biotechnologies (ADPT)?

Short answer

The MoonshotScore pillars rate durable growth, positive momentum as strengths. What is holding it back is balance-sheet strain. The distress and quality screens read Altman Z 2.81 · Piotroski F 4. Trailing ratios: ROE -32.6% · ROA -10.0% · current ratio 4.79 · earnings yield -1.6% · free-cash-flow yield -0.6%.

4 · What to check next?

What should you watch next at Adaptive Biotechnologies (ADPT)?

Short answer · as of

Current published price targets run low $27.00 · high $35.00 · consensus $31.58 · median $33.00 against a quoted price of $26.27 (as of Oct 26, 2026).

What the records here don't tell us

  • No forward revenue or earnings estimate is on file.
  • The next earnings date is not yet scheduled in the calendar we read.

Checked against the records this page reads, on the dates shown above.

5 · Peer comparison

How does Adaptive Biotechnologies compare with its peers?

Short answer

Adaptive Biotechnologies's score ranks 13th of 13 in the bounded comparison shown, against 12 same-model peers. These are company scores, not expected investment returns. The set lists named competitors first, then companies in the same data-provider industry classification closest in market value; that classification is the provider's, not our judgment of business similarity.

Peer set — price, market value and MoonshotScore
CompanyPriceMarket valueScore
Veracyte, Inc. (VCYT) Same industry, near in market value$48.20 Oct 26, 2026$3.87B97 5-pillar Oct 27, 2026
Arcutis Biotherapeutics, Inc. (ARQT) Same industry, near in market value$31.81 Oct 26, 2026$3.92B92 5-pillar Oct 27, 2026
Ligand Pharmaceuticals Incorporated (LGND) Same industry, near in market value$308.30 Oct 26, 2026$6.15B89 5-pillar Oct 27, 2026
Liquidia Corporation (LQDA) Same industry, near in market value$43.74 Oct 26, 2026$3.92B84 5-pillar Oct 27, 2026
ACADIA Pharmaceuticals Inc. (ACAD) Same industry, near in market value$19.74 Oct 26, 2026$3.40B77 5-pillar Oct 27, 2026
Enliven Therapeutics, Inc. (ELVN) Same industry, near in market value$41.49 Oct 26, 2026$3.04B71 5-pillar Oct 27, 2026
Oruka Therapeutics, Inc. (ORKA) Same industry, near in market value$90.33 Oct 26, 2026$5.98B68 5-pillar Oct 27, 2026
Belite Bio, Inc. (BLTE) Same industry, near in market value$143.35 Oct 26, 2026$5.77B67 5-pillar Oct 27, 2026
Edgewise Therapeutics, Inc. (EWTX) Same industry, near in market value$39.17 Oct 26, 2026$4.21B65 5-pillar Oct 27, 2026
Amylyx Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (AMLX) Same industry, near in market value$27.09 Oct 26, 2026$3.40B64 5-pillar Oct 27, 2026
Veradermics, Incorporated (MANE) Same industry, near in market value$137.39 Oct 26, 2026$5.74B64 5-pillar Oct 27, 2026
Erasca, Inc. (ERAS) Same industry, near in market value$14.99 Oct 26, 2026$5.24B63 5-pillar Oct 27, 2026
Adaptive Biotechnologies (ADPT) — this page$26.27$4.19B35

Only 5-pillar scores are ranked together. Other models are not directly comparable. Price and score dates are shown separately; market-value dates are unavailable.

The records behind this page

Analyst targets & estimates

What analysts have on file

Price target, low to high
$27.00 – $35.00
Consensus target
$31.58
Median target
$33.00

Consensus record · Captured .

Measured against a quoted price of $26.27 (as of Oct 26, 2026).

Insider activity

Form 4 records via FMP · Of the newest 100 records, those within the last 180 days, newest dated Oct 5, 2026

Transactions
100
Identified insiders
10
Purchases
0
Sales
37
Other transactions
63

Purchases and sales use the reported transaction category. Other transactions include awards, exercises, gifts, withholding and unclassified activity; an acquisition or disposition alone is not a purchase or sale. These records do not establish intent.

What has been published about Adaptive Biotechnologies (ADPT)?

Read these with our analysis →

Adaptive Biotechnologies Stock: Key Questions Answered

These answers are editorial: 1 of these 9 answers is drawn from the ADPT research dossier (written Jun 15, 2026 by gemini-2.5-flash); the other 8 are question templates that restate figures shown above. Figures in this section are not part of the source register.

What does the MoonshotScore mean for ADPT?

ADPT carries the MoonshotScore stated above — the Weak band. This is an educational research signal, not a buy or sell recommendation. The number comes from the five-pillar engine (business quality, financial safety, valuation, growth durability, momentum), re-ranked daily against sector peers.

Is ADPT a good stock to buy?

Stock Expert AI does not rate ADPT buy, sell or hold. Adaptive Biotechnologies Corporation carries a MoonshotScore, in the Weak band, a research rating against its peers rather than a forecast. Whether it fits is your call: check what it sells, whether it earns and what the price assumes. This is educational content, not investment advice.

What is the ADPT stock price today?

The last price recorded on this page for Adaptive Biotechnologies Corporation (ADPT) is $26.27, as of the Oct 26, 2026 trading session (source: Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) · quote). It is a provider snapshot, not a live exchange feed, so check a brokerage quote before you trade.

What is the ADPT price target?

The analyst consensus price target for Adaptive Biotechnologies Corporation (ADPT) is $31.58 (range $27.00 to $35.00, median $33.00), per FMP data captured Oct 27, 2026. Targets are analyst opinions and change often; they are not a Stock Expert AI forecast.

How does Adaptive Biotechnologies Corporation generate revenue and what are its main growth avenues?

Adaptive Biotechnologies Corporation generates revenue primarily through the sale and utilization of its proprietary immunosequencing platforms and services, such as immunoSEQ, and from its commercial clinical diagnostic products like clonoSEQ and T-Detect COVID.

What are the key factors to evaluate for ADPT?

Adaptive Biotechnologies Corporation (ADPT) holds a MoonshotScore in the low range. Analysts target $31.58 (+20%). This expansion could capture a larger share of the oncology diagnostics market, providing a clear pathway for increased revenue in the medium to long term. Not financial advice.

How frequently does ADPT data refresh on this page?

ADPT's price is the last quote we recorded, from the Oct 26, 2026 trading session. Pages are served from a cache, so the copy you are reading can lag that quote. The quote is a provider snapshot, not an exchange feed. Fundamentals follow quarterly filings. V2 is recalculated from the most recent completed US trading session; the score's own date shows its last successful run.

What has driven ADPT's recent stock price performance?

Adaptive Biotechnologies Corporation (ADPT) moves on earnings results, analyst revisions, sector rotation, and market sentiment. Notable catalyst: Proprietary and advanced immune medicine platform with diverse applications. See the News tab for the latest drivers. Past performance does not predict future results.

Should investors consider ADPT overvalued or undervalued right now?

Adaptive Biotechnologies Corporation (ADPT) is loss-making, so its trailing P/E is negative (-58.92x) and not usable for valuation — lean on price-to-sales and cash flow in the Financials tab. Analysts target $31.58 (+20%) — upside seen. Compare P/E, P/S, and EV/EBITDA against sector peers for a full view.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Always do your own research and consult a financial advisor.

Machine-generated analysis by Stock Expert AI — model gemini-2.5-flash, generated Jun 15, 2026. Editorial oversight is systemic, not page-by-page. Editorially accountable: Sedat ANAK, Founder and Editor-in-Chief.

Sources — records for every figure on this page (22 figures)

The 22 rows below are exactly the facts the evidence-backed sections of this page printed — the 10-second verdict, the MoonshotScore, price and market value, the five questions with their receipts, and the records behind this page. Known dates and sources are recorded on their own rows; an em dash or UNRECORDED tier preserves a stored observation without inventing either. The quarterly income statement is provider-standardized (FMP) under one row, and scale definitions — a 0-100 rating, the band ladder, the Piotroski 0–9 range — are fixed rather than measured. No number in those sections was generated by a model. The register does not cover quoted third-party headlines, the dated council readings, or the Frequently Asked Questions; each of those says where it came from where it stands.

"As of" is the date the value is true for where the source carries one — a quarter end, a filing date, a price close, the day the score was computed. A cached observation with no source date remains undated; the page publication date is not used as a substitute.

FMP — 14 facts from Financial Modeling Prep endpoint families

FMP facts used on this page
Fact IDFactValue as shownAs ofTierSource
px.lastLatest provided price$26.27FMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP) · quote — Dated to the US trading session the price belongs to, derived from the quote record's timestamp (weekend and pre-open reads roll back to the previous weekday; exchange holidays are not modelled). The record does not establish an exchange execution time. Retrieved 2026-10-26T20:54:49.262Z.
px.changeChange on the day+2.98%FMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP) · quote
px.mcapMarket capitalisation$4.19BFMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP) · quote — Date unknown Market cap record date: 2026-10-26. FMP quote timestamp: 2026-10-26T20:00:01.000Z. Captured from FMP at 2026-10-26T20:54:48.424Z. No share-count basis is inferred; this page preserves the reported amount instead of recalculating it from shares.
px.change_absChange on the day, in dollars+$0.76FMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP) · quote
fin.q_revenueRevenue, Q2 FY2026$72MFMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP) · income statement (quarterly)
px.pePrice / earnings (trailing)-58.92FMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP) · quote
px.volumeShares traded on the day1.15MFMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP) · quote
fin.q_incomeNet income, Q2 FY2026-$40MFMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP) · income statement (quarterly)
fin.q_tableQuarterly income statement4 quarters through Q2 FY2026FMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP) · income statement (quarterly), as filed
earn.ptStored analyst price targetslow $27.00 · high $35.00 · consensus $31.58 · median $33.00FMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP) · price-target consensus — Captured Oct 27, 2026 · Coverage not supplied
earn.pt_rangeAnalyst price target, low to high$27.00 – $35.00FMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP) · price-target consensus — Captured Oct 27, 2026 · Coverage not supplied
earn.pt_consensusConsensus analyst price target$31.58FMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP) · price-target consensus — Captured Oct 27, 2026 · Coverage not supplied
earn.pt_medianMedian analyst price target$33.00FMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP) · price-target consensus — Captured Oct 27, 2026 · Coverage not supplied
own.insidersInsider transactions via FMP100 transactions · 0 purchases, 37 sales, 63 other transactions · 10 identified insiders · of the newest 100 records, those within the last 180 days, newest dated Oct 5, 2026FMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP), carrying Form 4 transaction records — Purchases and sales use the reported transaction category. Other transactions include awards, exercises, gifts, withholding and unclassified activity; an acquisition or disposition alone is not a purchase or sale. These records do not establish intent.

UNRECORDED — 6 facts from stored observations whose source was not recorded

UNRECORDED facts used on this page
Fact IDFactValue as shownAs ofTierSource
earn.historyReported versus estimated, recent quartersEPS beat 7 of 8UNRECORDEDStored earnings-history observation — Captured 2026-10-17 · Expired observation
fin.scoresDistress and quality screensAltman Z 2.81 · Piotroski F 4UNRECORDEDStored financial-scores observation — Captured 2026-10-24 · Expired observation
px.range5252-week range$12.00 – $30.74UNRECORDEDStored company-profile observation — Captured 2026-10-24
id.employeesEmployees624UNRECORDEDStored company-profile observation — Captured 2026-10-24
id.ceoChief executiveChad RobinsUNRECORDEDStored company-profile observation — Captured 2026-10-24
fin.ratiosReturn and yield ratios (trailing twelve months)ROE -32.6% · ROA -10.0% · current ratio 4.79 · earnings yield -1.6% · free-cash-flow yield -0.6%—UNRECORDEDStored key metrics — Date unknown

OURS — 2 facts from Stock Expert AI's own score and rank

OURS facts used on this page
Fact IDFactValue as shownAs ofTierSource
ours.moonshotMoonshotScore v235 of 100 · Weak · pillars 64 / 20 / 44 / 86 / 93OURSStock Expert AI MoonshotScore v2 engine
ours.moonshot_changeMoonshotScore movement35 (stored snapshot Oct 26, 2026) → 35 (current publication computed Oct 27, 2026) (0)OURSStock Expert AI current score publication and immutable score snapshots — The current score publication is not yet represented in the immutable snapshot archive.
Published
Research standards
Methodology · Editorial policy · Corrections
Data Sources & Methodology
Figures come from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP). If FMP has no figure for a ticker, a price or fundamental may come from a Yahoo Finance fallback, or a price from an Alpaca fallback. SEC EDGAR is used only for filing links and company identity details (legal name, address), never for figures. AI analysis by Stock Expert AI proprietary algorithms. Technical indicators via industry-standard calculations. Last updated: .
Data Provenance
Sources: Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) — Primary · Yahoo Finance — Fallback · Alpaca — Tertiary
Last fetched:
Cache TTL: Quote 5min · Profile 7d · Financials 7d · Insider 48h
How we use AI: Numbers are pulled directly from FMP & Yahoo Finance — our AI writes the analysis, it never edits the figures.
Data provided as-is for educational purposes. Not financial advice. Methodology

Data provided for informational purposes only.