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Alaska Air Group, Inc. (ALK)

$50.55 $-0.54 (-1.06%) |Fair · 54
Signals are mixed — the Council read leans HOLD (38/100) while the AI fundamental score is 54/100 (grade B); the two lenses disagree, so weigh the breakdown below. Strongest signal: Izzy Englander bullish · Biggest watch-out: Seth Klarman bearish.
MCap: $5.63B| P/E Ratio: 52.5| Vol: 1.15M| Target: $70.80 (+40.1%)| 52-wk range: $37.53 – $65.88
Data from FMP · Methodology

For informational purposes only. Not financial advice. Analysis by Sedat ANAK, Founder & Editor-in-Chief | AI-powered analysis. Data sourced from SEC filings and institutional-grade financial providers. Editorially reviewed. Not financial advice.

Alaska Air Group, Inc. (ALK) trades at $50.55 with AI Score 54/100 (Grade B). Alaska Air Group, Inc. provides passenger and cargo air transportation services across North America. Market cap: $5.63B, Sector: Industrials.

Price live · AI analysis from May 9, 2026
Alaska Air Group, Inc. provides passenger and cargo air transportation services across North America. The company operates through its Mainline, Regional, and Horizon segments, serving approximately 120 destinations.

ALK stock analysis for 2026: Analysts have set a consensus price target of $70.80 for Alaska Air Group, Inc., suggesting 40.1% upside from the current price of $50.55. The AI MoonshotScore is 54/100, indicating a neutral outlook. Key factors: analyst coverage, AI-driven quantitative scoring.

Council Score · Weighted Average of 3 Disciplines
HOLD 38/100 · D

ALK: the 4 perspectives are evenly split. Dominant signal: Seth Klarman bearish.

How is this calculated? →
Legends Council · 5 Legends + Moon AI
Izzy Englander
Bullish
Seth Klarman
Bearish
Moon AI
Neutral
Council Score · 8 perspectives · See tabs for details →

Alaska Air Group, Inc. (ALK) Industrial Operations Profile

CEOBenito Minicucci
Employees29773
HeadquartersSeattle, WA, US
IPO Year1980

Alaska Air Group, founded in 1932, delivers passenger and cargo air transportation via its Mainline, Regional, and Horizon segments. Operating across approximately 120 North American destinations, Alaska Air focuses on providing reliable air travel services. The company's current market capitalization is $4.36 billion.

Data Provenance | Financial Data Quantitative Analysis NASDAQ Analysis: May 9, 2026

What Is the Investment Thesis for ALK?

Alaska Air Group presents a mixed investment thesis. The company's extensive network across North America and its three operating segments provide diversification. However, its relatively low profit margin of 0.5% raises concerns about profitability. The high gross margin of 78.4% indicates strong pricing power, but this is not translating into net profit. The P/E ratio of 52.5 suggests the stock may be overvalued relative to its earnings. Key growth catalysts include expansion into new markets and increased cargo services. Potential risks include fluctuating fuel costs and economic downturns affecting travel demand. Investors should closely monitor these factors to assess the long-term value.

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis

ALK Key Highlights

  • Market capitalization of $5.63B reflects investor valuation of Alaska Air Group.
  • P/E ratio of 52.5 indicates the price investors are willing to pay for each dollar of earnings.
  • Profit margin of 0.5% is relatively low compared to industry peers, suggesting challenges in converting revenue to profit.
  • Gross margin of 78.4% demonstrates strong pricing power and efficient cost management at the operational level.
  • Beta of 1.16 suggests the stock is more volatile than the overall market.

Who Are ALK's Competitors?

ALK is benchmarked below against 8 industry peers on price, market cap, and our AI MoonshotScore.

Company Price Change Market Cap AI Score
POWL Powell Industries, Inc. $246.33 -7.00% $8.97B 95
ECG Everus Construction Group, Inc. $143.13 +3.52% $7.31B 84
BZ Kanzhun Limited $13.63 +4.81% $6.23B 61
GVA Granite Construction Incorporated $150.42 +3.08% $6.58B 60
OMAB Grupo Aeroportuario del Centro Norte, S.A.B. de C.V. $114.57 +2.54% $5.53B 53
JOBY Joby Aviation, Inc. $9.07 +6.89% $8.93B 65
GOL Gol Linhas Aéreas Inteligentes S.A. $2.71 +3.23% $4.35B 62
JTTRY Japan Airport Terminal Co., Ltd. $15.20 +8.88% $2.82B 62

AI Score by Stock Expert AI · Price data: FMP / Yahoo Finance

What Are ALK's Key Strengths?

  • Strong brand reputation in key markets.
  • Extensive network of routes and destinations.
  • Focus on customer service and operational efficiency.
  • Three operating segments provide diversification.

What Are ALK's Weaknesses?

  • Relatively low profit margin.
  • Sensitivity to fuel price fluctuations.
  • Dependence on economic conditions affecting travel demand.
  • High P/E ratio may indicate overvaluation.

What Could Drive ALK Stock Higher?

  • Potential expansion into new markets and routes.
  • Continued focus on improving operational efficiency.
  • Strategic partnerships to expand network reach.
  • Investment in technology to enhance customer experience.

What Are the Key Risks for ALK?

  • Financial-distress signal — its Altman Z-Score of 1.06 sits in the distress zone (elevated bankruptcy risk).
  • Rich valuation — a P/E of 52.5 runs well above the Industrials sector’s ~30x, leaving little room for a miss.
  • Fluctuations in fuel prices impacting profitability.
  • Economic downturns reducing travel demand.
  • Intense competition from other airlines.
  • Regulatory changes affecting airline operations.
  • Geopolitical instability impacting air travel.

What Are the Growth Opportunities for ALK?

  • Expansion of Cargo Services: Alaska Air Group has the opportunity to significantly expand its cargo services. The air cargo market is growing, driven by e-commerce and global trade. By investing in infrastructure and partnerships, Alaska Air Group can capture a larger share of this market. The global air cargo market is projected to reach hundreds of billions of dollars in the coming years, presenting a substantial growth opportunity for Alaska Air Group. Timeline: Ongoing.
  • Strategic Partnerships and Alliances: Forming strategic partnerships with other airlines can expand Alaska Air Group's network and reach. Alliances can provide access to new markets and customers, increasing revenue and market share. By partnering with international carriers, Alaska Air Group can offer seamless travel options to destinations beyond its current network. This strategy can enhance customer loyalty and attract new travelers. Timeline: Ongoing.
  • Increased Focus on Ancillary Revenue: Alaska Air Group can increase revenue by focusing on ancillary services such as baggage fees, seat upgrades, and in-flight entertainment. These services can generate significant revenue without adding substantial costs. By offering a range of ancillary options, Alaska Air Group can cater to different customer preferences and increase overall profitability. Timeline: Ongoing.
  • Route Optimization and Network Expansion: Optimizing existing routes and expanding into underserved markets can drive growth. By analyzing passenger demand and identifying profitable routes, Alaska Air Group can improve its network efficiency. Expanding into new markets can attract new customers and increase revenue. This strategy requires careful planning and investment in infrastructure and marketing. Timeline: Ongoing.
  • Technological Innovation and Customer Experience: Investing in technology to improve the customer experience can drive loyalty and attract new customers. This includes mobile apps, online booking platforms, and in-flight entertainment systems. By providing a seamless and enjoyable travel experience, Alaska Air Group can differentiate itself from competitors and increase customer satisfaction. Timeline: Ongoing.

What Opportunities Does ALK Have?

  • Expansion of cargo services.
  • Strategic partnerships and alliances.
  • Increased focus on ancillary revenue.
  • Route optimization and network expansion.

What Threats Does ALK Face?

  • Intense competition from other airlines.
  • Economic downturns reducing travel demand.
  • Regulatory changes and environmental concerns.
  • Geopolitical instability affecting air travel.

What Are ALK's Competitive Advantages?

  • Strong brand recognition in the West Coast and Alaska markets.
  • Established network of routes and destinations.
  • Loyal customer base due to focus on customer service.
  • Operational efficiency and cost management.

What Does ALK Do?

Alaska Air Group, Inc. was established in 1932 and is headquartered in Seattle, Washington. The company, through its subsidiaries, is a major provider of passenger and cargo air transportation services. It operates through three primary segments: Mainline, Regional, and Horizon. The Mainline segment includes scheduled air transportation on Alaska Airlines, serving a broad network of routes. The Regional segment focuses on smaller communities and regional routes, often operated by partner carriers. The Horizon segment provides additional regional capacity and support. Alaska Air Group serves approximately 120 destinations throughout North America, focusing on the West Coast, Alaska, and expanding its presence in other regions. The company's commitment to customer service and operational efficiency has helped it maintain a competitive position in the airline industry. With a history spanning nearly a century, Alaska Air Group has evolved from a small regional carrier to a significant player in the North American aviation market.

What Products and Services Does ALK Offer?

  • Provides passenger air transportation services.
  • Offers cargo air transportation services.
  • Operates through Mainline, Regional, and Horizon segments.
  • Serves approximately 120 destinations in North America.
  • Focuses on the West Coast and Alaska markets.
  • Provides regional air services through Horizon Air.

How Does ALK Make Money?

  • Generates revenue from passenger ticket sales.
  • Earns revenue from cargo transportation services.
  • Collects fees for ancillary services such as baggage and seat upgrades.
  • Partners with other airlines to expand network reach.

What Industry Does ALK Operate In?

Alaska Air Group operates in the highly competitive airline industry, which is characterized by fluctuating fuel prices, intense competition, and sensitivity to economic cycles. The industry is seeing a trend towards consolidation and increased focus on ancillary revenues. Alaska Air Group competes with major national carriers and regional airlines. The market is influenced by factors such as passenger demand, fuel costs, and regulatory changes. The global airline industry is projected to grow, driven by increasing travel and tourism, but faces challenges such as environmental concerns and geopolitical instability. Alaska Air Group's position is strengthened by its focus on customer service and operational efficiency.

Who Are ALK's Key Customers?

  • Leisure travelers seeking vacation destinations.
  • Business travelers requiring efficient transportation.
  • Cargo shippers needing reliable air freight services.
  • Residents of Alaska and the West Coast.
AI Confidence: 75% Updated: May 9, 2026

Company Profile

Alaska Air Group, Inc. operates in the Airlines, Airports & Air Services industry within the Industrials sector. It is headquartered in Seattle, US. The company is led by CEO Benito Minicucci. ALK has traded publicly since 1980.

Alaska Air Group, Inc. Financial Trajectory

Alaska Air Group, Inc. (ALK) reported $3.30B in revenue for Q1 2026, a decline of 9.1% compared to the prior quarter. The company recorded a net loss of $193.0M, with diluted EPS of $-1.69. Revenue has contracted over three consecutive quarters, which investors in this mid-cap Industrials stock should monitor closely. Across the four most recent quarters, ALK averaged $0.13 in diluted EPS.

How Alaska Air Group, Inc. Is Valued

Alaska Air Group, Inc. carries a market capitalization of $5.63B, placing it in the mid-cap category. Relative to its peer group, ALK's quantitative score of 54/100 is below the peer average of 71/100.

ROE 2%Key Financial Metrics

Return on equity for Alaska Air Group, Inc. stands at 1.8%, a gauge of how efficiently it converts shareholder capital into profit. Return on assets is 0.4%, showing how much profit it generates from its asset base. ALK trades at a trailing price-to-earnings ratio of 52.45, above the Industrials sector average of ~30x. Its free cash flow yield is -9.3%, a gauge of the cash the business throws off relative to its market value. A current ratio of 0.43 means current liabilities exceed short-term assets, a liquidity point worth watching. Its earnings yield is 1.4%, the inverse of the P/E and a quick read on earnings relative to price.

F-Score 7/9Financial Health

Alaska Air Group, Inc.'s Piotroski F-Score is 7/9, a 9-point checklist of profitability, leverage and efficiency — signaling solid underlying fundamentals. Its Altman Z-Score of 1.06 places it in the distress zone, a signal of elevated financial risk.

FY2026 estForward Outlook

Wall Street analysts project Alaska Air Group, Inc. revenue of about $15.81B for fiscal 2026, with EPS near $-0.42. The estimate reflects 11 contributing analysts.

ALK Financials

Fundamental Snapshot

Revenue Growth (FY)
+21.3%
Net Income Growth (FY)
-74.7%
EPS Growth (FY)
-72.8%
Free Cash Flow Growth (FY)
-285.2%
P/E (TTM)
72.1
Return on Equity (TTM)
+1.8%
Current Ratio
0.4
EV/EBITDA (TTM)
10.2

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis · FY 2025

Bull Case vs Bear Case

Bull Case

  • Recent insider buying suggests confidence in the company's future performance, indicating that executives believe in a positive outlook.
  • Community sentiment has shifted positively, with discussions highlighting Alaska Air's strong operational recovery post-pandemic.
  • Investors are optimistic about the airline's expansion plans, particularly in new routes and partnerships that could enhance market share.
  • The overall travel demand has shown resilience, with many anticipating a strong holiday season, benefiting Alaska Air's revenue streams.

Bear Case

  • Concerns about rising fuel costs have been prevalent, which could squeeze margins and impact profitability in the near term.
  • Recent comments from analysts suggest that competition in the airline industry is intensifying, potentially affecting Alaska Air's market position.
  • Community discussions have included skepticism about the sustainability of current demand levels, especially as economic uncertainties loom.
  • Insider selling activity in the past month raised some alarms among investors, leading to mixed feelings about the company's short-term prospects.

AI-generated arguments based on insider flow, news sentiment and technicals — not financial advice · March 2026

Recent Quarterly Results

Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q1 2026 $3.30B -$193M -$1.69
Q4 2025 $3.63B $21M $0.18
Q3 2025 $3.77B $73M $0.62
Q2 2025 $3.70B $172M $1.42

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis

ALK Latest News

ALK Analyst Consensus

Consensus Rating

Aggregated Buy/Hold/Sell recommendations from Benzinga, Yahoo Finance, and Finnhub for ALK.

Price Targets

Consensus target: $70.80

ALK MoonshotScore

54/100

What does this score mean?

The MoonshotScore rates ALK's growth potential on a scale of 0-100 across multiple factors including innovation, market disruption, financial health, and momentum.

Latest Alaska Air Group, Inc. Analysis

Leadership: Benito Minicucci

CEO

Benito Minicucci serves as the CEO of Alaska Air Group, overseeing a workforce of 29,773 employees. His career spans several leadership roles within the aviation industry, focusing on operational efficiency and customer experience. Minicucci's background includes extensive experience in airline management, strategic planning, and financial performance. He has a proven track record of driving growth and innovation in the airline sector, making him well-suited to lead Alaska Air Group in a competitive market.

Track Record: Under Benito Minicucci's leadership, Alaska Air Group has focused on expanding its network and improving customer satisfaction. Key achievements include strategic route optimization and investments in technology to enhance the travel experience. Minicucci has also emphasized sustainability initiatives and community engagement, aligning the company's values with broader social responsibility goals.

Common Questions About ALK (Industrials)

What does Alaska Air Group, Inc. do?

Alaska Air Group, Inc. is a holding company that, through its subsidiaries, provides passenger and cargo air transportation services. The company operates through three segments: Mainline, Regional, and Horizon. Its primary business is transporting passengers and cargo to approximately 120 destinations throughout North America. The company focuses on providing reliable and efficient air travel services, with a strong presence in the West Coast and Alaska markets. Alaska Air Group aims to deliver a positive travel experience while maintaining operational efficiency.

What do analysts say about ALK stock?

Analyst consensus on Alaska Air Group (ALK) stock is mixed, reflecting the challenges and opportunities in the airline industry. Key valuation metrics include a P/E ratio of 52.5 and a profit margin of 0.5%. Growth considerations include potential expansion into new markets and increased cargo services. Analysts closely monitor factors such as fuel prices, passenger demand, and competition. The stock's beta of 1.16 indicates higher volatility compared to the overall market. Investors should conduct their own due diligence before making investment decisions.

What are the main risks for ALK?

Alaska Air Group faces several risks, including fluctuations in fuel prices, which can significantly impact profitability. Economic downturns can reduce travel demand, affecting revenue. Intense competition from other airlines puts pressure on pricing and market share. Regulatory changes and environmental concerns can increase operating costs. Geopolitical instability can disrupt air travel and affect international routes. These risks require careful monitoring and mitigation strategies to ensure the company's long-term financial health.

What are the key factors to evaluate for ALK?

Alaska Air Group, Inc. (ALK) holds an AI score of 54/100 (moderate). P/E: 52.5x vs the S&P 500's ~20-25x. Analysts target $70.80 (+40%). Not financial advice.

How frequently does ALK data refresh on this page?

ALK prices update in real time during U.S. market hours. Fundamentals refresh after quarterly filings; analyst ratings and AI insights update daily; news is aggregated continuously.

What has driven ALK's recent stock price performance?

Alaska Air Group, Inc. (ALK) moves on earnings results, analyst revisions, sector rotation, and market sentiment. Notable catalyst: Strong brand reputation in key markets. See the News tab for the latest drivers. Past performance does not predict future results.

Should investors consider ALK overvalued or undervalued right now?

Alaska Air Group, Inc. (ALK) trades at 52.5x earnings. Analysts target $70.80 (+40%) — upside seen. Compare P/E, P/S, and EV/EBITDA against sector peers for a full view.

What research should beginners do before buying ALK?

Before investing in Alaska Air Group, Inc. (ALK), research these four areas: (1) the company's revenue model and competitive position (see Company Overview), (2) financial health through revenue growth, margins, and cash flow (see MoonshotScore), (3) what Wall Street analysts recommend and their price targets (see Analyst tab), and (4) specific risk factors that could impact the stock (see Risk Factors section).

Disclaimer: This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Always do your own research and consult a financial advisor.

Official Resources

Price as of Analysis updated AI Score refreshed daily
Data Sources & Methodology
Market data powered by Financial Modeling Prep & Yahoo Finance. AI analysis by Stock Expert AI proprietary algorithms. Technical indicators via industry-standard calculations. Last updated: .
Data Provenance
Sources: Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) — Primary · Yahoo Finance — Fallback · Alpaca — Tertiary
Last fetched:
Cache TTL: Quote 5min · Profile 7d · Financials 7d · Insider 48h
How we use AI: Numbers are pulled directly from FMP & Yahoo Finance — our AI writes the analysis, it never edits the figures.
Data provided as-is for educational purposes. Not financial advice. Methodology

Data provided for informational purposes only.

Analysis Notes
  • Information is based on available data and may be subject to change.
  • Financial metrics are as of the latest available reporting period.
Data Sources

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