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Atmos Energy Corporation (ATO)

$176.87 +$3.84 (+2.22%) |Strong · 78
Signals are mixed — the Council read leans BUY (63/100) while the AI fundamental score is 78/100 (grade A); the two lenses disagree, so weigh the breakdown below. Strongest signal: Ray Dalio bullish · Biggest watch-out: Ken Griffin bearish.
MCap: $29.52B| P/E Ratio: 20.8| Vol: 514.4K| Target: $176.00 (-0.5%)| 52-wk range: $149.98 – $192.51
Data from FMP · Methodology

For informational purposes only. Not financial advice. Analysis by Sedat ANAK, Founder & Editor-in-Chief | AI-powered analysis. Data sourced from SEC filings and institutional-grade financial providers. Editorially reviewed. Not financial advice.

Atmos Energy Corporation (ATO) trades at $176.87 with AI Score 78/100 (Grade A). Atmos Energy Corporation is a regulated natural gas distribution company operating in eight states. Market cap: $29.52B, Sector: Utilities.

Price live · AI analysis from May 9, 2026
Atmos Energy Corporation is a regulated natural gas distribution company operating in eight states. It serves approximately three million customers through its distribution and pipeline & storage segments.

ATO stock analysis for 2026: Analysts have set a consensus price target of $176.00 for Atmos Energy Corporation, suggesting 0.5% downside from the current price of $176.87. The AI MoonshotScore is 78/100, indicating a strong bullish outlook. Key factors: analyst coverage, AI-driven quantitative scoring.

Council Score · Weighted Average of 3 Disciplines
BUY 63/100 · B+

ATO: 3/8 perspectives are bullish. Dominant signal: Ken Griffin bearish.

How is this calculated? →
Legends Council · 5 Legends + Moon AI
Ray Dalio
Bullish
Ken Griffin
Bearish
Jim Simons
Neutral
Izzy Englander
Neutral
Seth Klarman
Neutral
Moon AI
Bullish
Munger's Mindset · Balance Sheet & Valuation
Financial Health
Neutral
Margin of Safety
Fairly Valued
Council Score · 8 perspectives · See tabs for details →

Atmos Energy Corporation (ATO) Utility Operations & Dividend Profile

CEOJohn Kevin Akers
Employees5260
HeadquartersDallas, TX, US
IPO Year1983
SectorUtilities

Atmos Energy Corporation is a regulated natural gas distributor in the United States, focusing on delivering natural gas to residential, commercial, and industrial customers across eight states. With a significant infrastructure of pipelines and storage facilities, Atmos operates in the utilities sector, emphasizing safety and reliability.

Data Provenance | Financial Data Quantitative Analysis NASDAQ Analysis: May 9, 2026

What Is the Investment Thesis for ATO?

Atmos Energy Corporation presents a stable investment opportunity within the regulated utilities sector. The company's consistent profitability, demonstrated by a 27.6% profit margin, and a dividend yield of 2.07% offer steady returns. Growth catalysts include ongoing infrastructure investments and expansion within its existing service territories. However, investors may want to evaluate potential risks such as regulatory changes and fluctuations in natural gas prices. The company's beta of 0.70 suggests lower volatility compared to the broader market, making it a noteworthy option for risk-averse investors seeking long-term value.

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis

ATO Key Highlights

  • Market capitalization of $29.52B, indicating a significant presence in the utilities sector.
  • P/E ratio of 20.8, reflecting investor confidence in the company's earnings potential.
  • Profit margin of 27.6%, showcasing efficient operations and strong profitability.
  • Gross margin of 51.4%, highlighting the company's ability to manage costs effectively.
  • Dividend yield of 2.07%, providing a steady income stream for investors.

Who Are ATO's Competitors?

ATO is benchmarked below against 8 industry peers on price, market cap, and our AI MoonshotScore.

Company Price Change Market Cap AI Score
SO The Southern Company $97.98 +3.01% $110.45B 57
AEE Ameren Corporation $115.02 +2.52% $31.83B 82
FTS Fortis Inc. $57.98 +2.35% $29.52B 46
DTE DTE Energy Company $154.06 +2.32% $32.05B 56
CNP CenterPoint Energy, Inc. $44.61 +2.01% $29.18B 50
NPPGF Nippon Gas Co., Ltd. $17.13 +0.00% $429.11M 62
OPAL OPAL Fuels Inc. $2.11 -4.09% $59.68M 53
SUUIF Superior Plus Corp. $5.54 -1.07% $1.19B 51

AI Score by Stock Expert AI · Price data: FMP / Yahoo Finance

What Are ATO's Key Strengths?

  • Extensive natural gas distribution network.
  • Stable revenue stream due to regulated operations.
  • Strong financial performance with high profit margins.
  • Experienced management team.

What Are ATO's Weaknesses?

  • Exposure to fluctuations in natural gas prices.
  • Dependence on regulatory approvals for rate increases.
  • Potential environmental liabilities related to pipeline operations.
  • Limited geographic diversification.

What Could Drive ATO Stock Higher?

  • Infrastructure modernization projects enhancing safety and reliability.
  • Regulatory rate case filings to support infrastructure investments.
  • Expansion of service territories through strategic acquisitions.
  • Integration of renewable natural gas (RNG) into the distribution system.

What Are the Key Risks for ATO?

  • Financial-distress signal — its Altman Z-Score of 1.76 sits in the distress zone (elevated bankruptcy risk).
  • Fluctuations in natural gas prices impacting profitability.
  • Changes in regulatory policies and environmental regulations.
  • Cybersecurity threats to critical infrastructure.
  • Economic downturns reducing demand for natural gas.
  • Environmental liabilities related to pipeline operations.

What Are the Growth Opportunities for ATO?

  • Infrastructure Modernization: Atmos Energy has a significant opportunity to modernize its existing infrastructure, including replacing aging pipelines and upgrading distribution systems. This investment not only enhances safety and reliability but also reduces gas leakage, improving operational efficiency. The company's ongoing capital expenditure programs, with billions allocated to infrastructure improvements, are expected to drive long-term growth and ensure compliance with increasingly stringent regulatory standards. This modernization effort positions Atmos as a leader in safe and reliable natural gas delivery.
  • Service Territory Expansion: Atmos Energy can pursue strategic acquisitions and expansions within its existing service territories to increase its customer base and market share. By extending its distribution network to underserved areas and integrating smaller utility companies, Atmos can leverage its existing infrastructure and operational expertise to drive revenue growth. The company's proven track record of successful acquisitions and integrations positions it favorably to capitalize on these opportunities, enhancing its long-term growth prospects.
  • Renewable Natural Gas (RNG) Integration: Atmos Energy can integrate renewable natural gas (RNG) into its distribution system, aligning with growing demand for cleaner energy sources. RNG, derived from organic waste, offers a sustainable alternative to traditional natural gas and can reduce greenhouse gas emissions. By partnering with RNG producers and investing in infrastructure to transport and distribute RNG, Atmos can diversify its energy portfolio and attract environmentally conscious customers. This initiative enhances the company's sustainability profile and positions it for long-term growth in a decarbonizing energy landscape.
  • Data Analytics and Smart Grid Technologies: Implementing advanced data analytics and smart grid technologies can optimize operations, reduce costs, and improve customer service. By leveraging real-time data on gas consumption, pipeline pressure, and system performance, Atmos can identify and address potential issues proactively, minimizing disruptions and enhancing reliability. Smart meters and advanced metering infrastructure (AMI) enable more accurate billing, reduce energy waste, and empower customers to manage their energy consumption more effectively. These technological advancements drive operational efficiency and enhance customer satisfaction.
  • Regulatory Rate Case Filings: Atmos Energy can strategically pursue regulatory rate case filings to ensure fair and adequate returns on its infrastructure investments. By demonstrating the value of its capital expenditure programs and the benefits they provide to customers, Atmos can secure rate increases that support its financial performance and incentivize further investment in system improvements. A constructive regulatory environment is essential for Atmos to maintain its financial stability and continue providing safe and reliable natural gas service. Successful rate case outcomes are a key driver of long-term growth and profitability.

What Opportunities Does ATO Have?

  • Expansion of service territories through acquisitions.
  • Investment in infrastructure modernization and upgrades.
  • Integration of renewable natural gas (RNG) into the distribution system.
  • Leveraging data analytics to optimize operations and improve customer service.

What Threats Does ATO Face?

  • Changes in regulatory policies and environmental regulations.
  • Competition from alternative energy sources.
  • Economic downturns that reduce demand for natural gas.
  • Cybersecurity threats to critical infrastructure.

What Are ATO's Competitive Advantages?

  • Regulated industry: Operates in a regulated environment, providing a stable and predictable revenue stream.
  • Extensive infrastructure: Owns and operates a vast network of pipelines and storage facilities, creating a barrier to entry for new competitors.
  • Geographic footprint: Serves a large and diverse customer base across eight states, reducing reliance on any single region.
  • Essential service: Provides an essential service (natural gas) to homes and businesses, ensuring consistent demand.

What Does ATO Do?

Founded in 1906 and headquartered in Dallas, Texas, Atmos Energy Corporation has evolved into one of the largest natural gas-only distributors in the United States. The company operates through two primary segments: Distribution, and Pipeline and Storage. The Distribution segment focuses on delivering natural gas to approximately three million customers across eight states, including residential, commercial, public authority, and industrial clients. This segment maintains an extensive network of 71,921 miles of underground distribution and transmission mains as of September 30, 2021. The Pipeline and Storage segment is involved in transporting natural gas for third parties and managing five underground storage reservoirs in Texas. Additionally, this segment provides ancillary services such as parking arrangements, lending, and inventory sales to the pipeline industry. Atmos Energy's commitment to infrastructure investment and regulatory compliance underpins its operations, ensuring reliable service delivery and long-term growth within the regulated utilities landscape.

What Products and Services Does ATO Offer?

  • Distributes natural gas to residential customers.
  • Provides natural gas to commercial businesses.
  • Supplies natural gas to public authorities.
  • Delivers natural gas to industrial facilities.
  • Transports natural gas for third parties through pipelines.
  • Manages underground natural gas storage reservoirs.
  • Offers ancillary services to the pipeline industry, such as parking and lending.

How Does ATO Make Money?

  • Regulated natural gas distribution to end-users.
  • Transportation of natural gas for third parties.
  • Storage of natural gas in underground reservoirs.
  • Ancillary services to the pipeline industry, generating additional revenue.

What Industry Does ATO Operate In?

Atmos Energy operates within the regulated natural gas distribution industry, a sector characterized by stable demand and regulated pricing. The industry is undergoing modernization with infrastructure upgrades to enhance safety and reliability. Atmos Energy competes with other major players like The Southern Company (SO) and CenterPoint Energy, Inc. (CNP), focusing on operational efficiency and regulatory compliance to maintain its competitive edge. The market is influenced by factors such as population growth, weather patterns, and regulatory policies regarding energy efficiency and environmental standards.

Who Are ATO's Key Customers?

  • Residential customers: Homeowners and renters who use natural gas for heating, cooking, and water heating.
  • Commercial customers: Businesses such as restaurants, retail stores, and office buildings that use natural gas for various purposes.
  • Industrial customers: Manufacturing plants and other industrial facilities that rely on natural gas for production processes.
  • Public authorities: Government entities such as schools, hospitals, and municipal buildings that use natural gas for heating and other needs.
AI Confidence: 73% Updated: May 9, 2026

Company Profile

Atmos Energy Corporation operates in the Regulated Gas industry within the Utilities sector. It is headquartered in Dallas, US. The company is led by CEO John Kevin Akers. ATO has traded publicly since 1983.

Atmos Energy Corporation Financial Trajectory

Atmos Energy Corporation (ATO) reported $1.96B in revenue for Q1 2026, reflecting 46.2% growth compared to the prior quarter. The company recorded net income of $581.9M, with diluted EPS of $3.47. Revenue has increased across the last three reported quarters, suggesting sustained momentum for this large-cap Utilities company. Across the four most recent quarters, ATO averaged $2.04 in diluted EPS.

How Atmos Energy Corporation Is Valued

Atmos Energy Corporation carries a market capitalization of $29.52B, placing it in the large-cap category. Relative to its peer group, ATO's quantitative score of 78/100 is above the peer average of 58/100.

ROE 10%Key Financial Metrics

Return on equity for Atmos Energy Corporation stands at 9.6%, a gauge of how efficiently it converts shareholder capital into profit. Return on assets is 4.4%, showing how much profit it generates from its asset base. ATO trades at a trailing price-to-earnings ratio of 20.76, below the Utilities sector average of ~28x. Its free cash flow yield is -7.1%, a gauge of the cash the business throws off relative to its market value. A current ratio of 1.00 indicates the company holds enough short-term assets to cover its near-term obligations. Its earnings yield is 4.8%, the inverse of the P/E and a quick read on earnings relative to price.

F-Score 4/9Financial Health

Atmos Energy Corporation's Piotroski F-Score is 4/9, a 9-point checklist of profitability, leverage and efficiency — a middling fundamental profile. Its Altman Z-Score of 1.76 places it in the distress zone, a signal of elevated financial risk.

7/8 beatsEarnings Track Record

Atmos Energy Corporation has beaten Wall Street's EPS estimate in 7 of its last 8 reported quarters — a consistent record of delivering on expectations. Reported results have landed about 3.5% above estimates on average.

FY2026 estForward Outlook

Wall Street analysts project Atmos Energy Corporation revenue of about $5.25B for fiscal 2026, with EPS near $8.40. The estimate reflects 8 contributing analysts.

Net sellingInsider Activity

Over the past six months, Atmos Energy Corporation insiders filed 15 SEC Form 4 transactions — 10 sales and 5 purchases. On net that is roughly 5K shares disposed (about $1.5M), a signal worth weighing alongside the fundamentals.

ATO Financials

Fundamental Snapshot

Revenue Growth (FY)
+12.9%
Net Income Growth (FY)
+14.9%
EPS Growth (FY)
+10.4%
Free Cash Flow Growth (FY)
-25.6%
P/E (TTM)
20.8
Return on Equity (TTM)
+9.6%
Current Ratio
1.0
EV/EBITDA (TTM)
14.7

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis · FY 2025

Bull Case vs Bear Case

Bull Case

  • Recent insider buying suggests confidence in Atmos Energy's future performance, indicating that executives believe in the company's growth potential.
  • Community sentiment has been increasingly positive, with discussions highlighting the company's commitment to sustainable energy practices.
  • Atmos Energy's stable dividend policy continues to attract income-focused investors, reinforcing its appeal in a volatile market.
  • Recent regulatory developments favoring clean energy initiatives align well with Atmos Energy's strategic direction, positioning it as a leader in the energy transition.

Bear Case

  • Concerns over rising operational costs have been voiced within the community, raising questions about profit margins in the near term.
  • Some investors express skepticism about the pace of the company's transition to renewable energy, fearing it may lag behind competitors.
  • Market sentiment has been tempered by broader economic uncertainties, leading to cautious attitudes towards utility stocks like Atmos Energy.
  • Recent discussions have highlighted potential regulatory risks that could impact profitability, creating a cautious outlook among some traders.

AI-generated arguments based on insider flow, news sentiment and technicals — not financial advice · March 2026

From the Earnings Call

“Finally, APT's through-system revenues net of Rider REV increased about $16 million or $0.08. Substantially, all of this increase reflected higher spreads realized during fiscal '26 compared with fiscal '25.”

— Christopher Forsythe, CFO

“As we reported last night, we have increased our fiscal '26 earnings per share guidance from an original range of $8.15 to $8.25 (sic) [ $8.35 ] to a new range of $8.40, $8.50.”

— Christopher Forsythe, CFO

ATO Q2 FY2026 earnings call transcript · 2026-05-07

Recent Quarterly Results

Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q1 2026 $1.96B $582M $3.47
Q4 2025 $1.34B $403M $2.44
Q3 2025 $737M $175M $1.09
Q2 2025 $839M $186M $1.16

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis

ATO Latest News

ATO Analyst Consensus

Consensus Rating

Aggregated Buy/Hold/Sell recommendations from Benzinga, Yahoo Finance, and Finnhub for ATO.

Price Targets

Consensus target: $176.00

ATO MoonshotScore

78/100

What does this score mean?

The MoonshotScore rates ATO's growth potential on a scale of 0-100 across multiple factors including innovation, market disruption, financial health, and momentum.

Latest Atmos Energy Corporation Analysis

Leadership: John Kevin Akers

President and Chief Executive Officer

John Kevin Akers serves as the President and Chief Executive Officer of Atmos Energy Corporation. His career within the energy sector spans several decades, with a focus on regulated utilities and infrastructure development. Akers has held various leadership positions within Atmos Energy, contributing to the company's strategic growth and operational efficiency. He is actively involved in industry associations and community organizations, demonstrating his commitment to the energy sector and the communities Atmos serves.

Track Record: Under John Kevin Akers' leadership, Atmos Energy has focused on modernizing its infrastructure, enhancing safety protocols, and expanding its service territories. Key achievements include successful rate case filings, strategic acquisitions, and the implementation of advanced technologies to improve operational efficiency. Akers has also prioritized sustainability initiatives, including the integration of renewable natural gas into the company's distribution system. His tenure has been marked by consistent financial performance and a commitment to delivering value to shareholders.

Common Questions About ATO (Utilities)

What does Atmos Energy Corporation do?

Atmos Energy Corporation is primarily engaged in the regulated natural gas distribution business, serving approximately three million customers across eight states. The company operates through two segments: Distribution, which focuses on delivering natural gas to residential, commercial, and industrial customers, and Pipeline and Storage, which transports natural gas for third parties and manages underground storage reservoirs. Atmos Energy's core business involves maintaining and upgrading its extensive pipeline network to ensure the safe and reliable delivery of natural gas to its customers.

What do analysts say about ATO stock?

Analyst consensus on Atmos Energy Corporation (ATO) generally reflects a stable outlook, driven by its regulated business model and consistent financial performance. Key valuation metrics, such as the P/E ratio of 20.8, suggest a reasonable valuation compared to its peers in the utilities sector. Growth considerations include the company's ongoing infrastructure investments and potential expansion opportunities. Analysts also monitor regulatory developments and natural gas price fluctuations as key factors influencing ATO's performance. The overall sentiment is cautiously optimistic, recognizing the company's steady growth and reliable dividend yield.

What are the main risks for ATO?

Atmos Energy Corporation faces several key risks, primarily related to regulatory changes, fluctuations in natural gas prices, and environmental concerns. Changes in regulatory policies, such as stricter environmental standards or unfavorable rate case outcomes, could negatively impact the company's profitability. Fluctuations in natural gas prices can affect the cost of supply and potentially reduce demand. Environmental liabilities related to pipeline operations, such as leaks or spills, could result in significant financial costs and reputational damage. Cybersecurity threats also pose a risk to the company's critical infrastructure, potentially disrupting operations and compromising customer data.

What are the key factors to evaluate for ATO?

Atmos Energy Corporation (ATO) holds an AI score of 78/100 (high). P/E: 20.8x vs the S&P 500's ~20-25x. Analysts target $176.00 (0%). Not financial advice.

How frequently does ATO data refresh on this page?

ATO prices update in real time during U.S. market hours. Fundamentals refresh after quarterly filings; analyst ratings and AI insights update daily; news is aggregated continuously.

What has driven ATO's recent stock price performance?

Atmos Energy Corporation (ATO) moves on earnings results, analyst revisions, sector rotation, and market sentiment. Notable catalyst: Extensive natural gas distribution network. See the News tab for the latest drivers. Past performance does not predict future results.

Should investors consider ATO overvalued or undervalued right now?

Atmos Energy Corporation (ATO) trades at 20.8x earnings. Analysts target $176.00 (0%) — near fair value. Compare P/E, P/S, and EV/EBITDA against sector peers for a full view.

What research should beginners do before buying ATO?

Before investing in Atmos Energy Corporation (ATO), research these four areas: (1) the company's revenue model and competitive position (see Company Overview), (2) financial health through revenue growth, margins, and cash flow (see MoonshotScore), (3) what Wall Street analysts recommend and their price targets (see Analyst tab), and (4) specific risk factors that could impact the stock (see Risk Factors section).

Disclaimer: This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Always do your own research and consult a financial advisor.

Official Resources

Price as of Analysis updated AI Score refreshed daily
Data Sources & Methodology
Market data powered by Financial Modeling Prep & Yahoo Finance. AI analysis by Stock Expert AI proprietary algorithms. Technical indicators via industry-standard calculations. Last updated: .
Data Provenance
Sources: Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) — Primary · Yahoo Finance — Fallback · Alpaca — Tertiary
Last fetched:
Cache TTL: Quote 5min · Profile 7d · Financials 7d · Insider 48h
How we use AI: Numbers are pulled directly from FMP & Yahoo Finance — our AI writes the analysis, it never edits the figures.
Data provided as-is for educational purposes. Not financial advice. Methodology

Data provided for informational purposes only.

Analysis Notes
  • Financial data is based on the most recent available information as of 2021.
  • Analyst opinions and market conditions are subject to change.
Data Sources

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