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Bloomin' Brands, Inc. (BLMN) Stock: Price, Forecast & Analyst Target

Bloomin' Brands, Inc. (BLMN) — MoonshotScore 56/100 (Fair band), calculated Oct 4, 2026. Price $8.48 (+1.19%), as of the Oct 2, 2026 trading session; market cap $726M.

Educational signal · not a buy or sell recommendation · How to read this

$8.48 +$0.10 (+1.19%) Market Cap $726M

Bloomin' Brands, Inc. · BLMN · NASDAQ

Bloomin' Brands, Inc. owns and operates a portfolio of casual and fine dining restaurants, including Outback Steakhouse and Carrabba's Italian Grill. The company operates both company-owned and franchised locations across the United States and internationally.

Price as of Oct 2, 2026

Key Statistics

56 of 100

MoonshotScore v2 · Bloomin' Brands (BLMN)

Fair
Business Quality Solid (63)
Financial Safety Fragile (15)
Valuation Cheap (80)
Growth Durability Growing (78)
Momentum Surging (86)
Why this rating? Method, drivers & history

Bands for the MoonshotScore: Exceptional 80-100 · Strong 65-79 · Fair 45-64 · Weak below 45.

  • Business Quality — Is this a genuinely good business?
  • Financial Safety — Could this blow up on me?
  • Valuation — Am I paying a fair price?
  • Growth Durability — Is the growth real and likely to last?
  • Momentum — Is the market already moving on this?
The ten-second read ·

Durable growth, at a cheap price, but a fragile balance sheet; the market is already moving on it. Business Quality: Solid; Financial Safety: Fragile; Valuation: Cheap; Growth Durability: Growing; Momentum: Surging.

  • quarterly revenue $1.02B (Q2 FY2026, quarter ended Jun 2026)
  • EPS beat 7 of 8
  • Altman Z 0.88 · Piotroski F 6

Holding back: balance-sheet strain

Helping: an attractive price, durable growth, positive momentum

What has the MoonshotScore done over time?

MoonshotScore snapshots recorded for BLMN (29 recorded, newest six shown)
RecordedScoreBand
56Fair
56Fair
55Fair
55Fair
55Fair
55Fair

The score was 56 in the stored Oct 3, 2026 snapshot and remains 56 in the current publication computed Oct 4, 2026 (0).

Calculation uses the most recent completed US trading session. Live price changes do not update the score immediately.

Computed · Educational signal · not a buy or sell recommendation · How the MoonshotScore is computed →

Price & valuation

As of
MeasureValue
Latest provided price$8.48
Change on the day+1.19%
52-week range$5.19 – $12.63
Market capitalisation$726M
Price / earnings (trailing)26.23
Shares traded on the day2.70M

Price & events

Council Score · weighted blend of 2 available disciplines

Council score for Bloomin' Brands (BLMN): Bullish Lean

58/100 · B

Council is a separate blend of available disciplines; MoonshotScore above remains the five-pillar research rating.

5-Factor Breakdown

Growth Durability Moderate
Momentum Strong
Business Quality Moderate
Financial Safety Negative
Valuation Strong

Legends Council

5 lenses, 5 current

AI simulations built from the named investors' published principles. Not affiliated with, endorsed by, or the opinion of these individuals. How these lenses are built

Dalio-style lens (simulated) Ray Dalio Favorable read
Griffin-style lens (simulated) Ken Griffin Favorable read
Englander-style lens (simulated) Izzy Englander Unfavorable read
Klarman-style lens (simulated) Seth Klarman Favorable read
Moon AI lens (model) Neutral read

Read on: Oct 4, 2026

Munger's Mindset

Balance Sheet & Valuation · historical

Financial Health Negative
Margin of Safety Undervalued
Profit Margin Weak
Revenue Growth Weak
Debt/Equity Negative
ROE Neutral
Gross Margin Moderate

Read on: Sep 10, 2026 · older than the 27 hours refresh window; not a current reading

How to read these bars and different assessments

Council is a separate blend of available disciplines; MoonshotScore above remains the five-pillar research rating.

Bars show each model's ordered assessment on its own scale, not a probability or a comparable investment return. The adjacent words give the assessment; more filled segments indicate a stronger model reading.

On Sep 10, 2026, the Munger lens read the price at that time as undervalued against its own estimate of value.

Readings on this page are from Oct 5, 2026, except a card that shows its own read date.

Watch the BLMN film — every key number, told as a short cinematic story

~2 min · open the film

1 · What is it?

What is Bloomin' Brands (BLMN), and what does it report?

Short answer · as of

A current FMP business description is unavailable; the listing and provider classification below are the available identity facts. Bloomin' Brands, Inc. (BLMN) is listed on NASDAQ. It employs 64,000 people and is led by Michael Spanos. In Q2 FY2026 it reported revenue of $1.02B and net income of $31M. The market values it at $726M.

2 · Latest results

What do the latest results show for Bloomin' Brands (BLMN)?

Short answer · as of

The most recent reported quarter, Q2 FY2026, carried revenue of $1.02B. Against analyst estimates the company has EPS beat 7 of 8 reports.

Quarterly income statement — 4 quarters
Revenue, net income and earnings per share by quarter
PeriodRevenueNet incomeEPS
Q2 FY2026$1.02B$31M$0.36 (diluted)
Q1 FY2026$1.06B$56M$0.65 (diluted)
Q4 FY2025$975M-$13M-$0.16 (diluted)
Q3 FY2025$929M-$46M-$0.54 (diluted)
3 · Financial strengths and risks

What are the financial strengths and risks for Bloomin' Brands (BLMN)?

Short answer

The MoonshotScore pillars rate an attractive price, durable growth, positive momentum as strengths. What is holding it back is balance-sheet strain. The distress and quality screens read Altman Z 0.88 · Piotroski F 6. Trailing ratios: ROE 5.9% · ROA 0.7% · current ratio 0.24 · earnings yield 2.8% · free-cash-flow yield 15.2%.

4 · What to check next?

What should you watch next at Bloomin' Brands (BLMN)?

Short answer · as of

Current published price targets run low $8.50 · high $13.00 · consensus $10.81 · median $11.50 against a quoted price of $8.48 (as of Oct 2, 2026).

What the records here don't tell us

  • No forward revenue or earnings estimate is on file.
  • The next earnings date is not yet scheduled in the calendar we read.

Checked against the records this page reads, on the dates shown above.

5 · Peer comparison

How does Bloomin' Brands compare with its peers?

Short answer

Bloomin' Brands's score ranks 8th of 13 in the bounded comparison shown, against 12 same-model peers. These are company scores, not expected investment returns. The set lists named competitors first, then companies in the same data-provider industry classification closest in market value; that classification is the provider's, not our judgment of business similarity.

Peer set — price, market value and MoonshotScore
CompanyPriceMarket valueScore
Nathan's Famous, Inc. (NATH) Same industry, near in market value$101.49 Oct 2, 2026$416M83 5-pillar Oct 4, 2026
Darden Restaurants, Inc. (DRI) Named competitor$200.33 Oct 2, 2026$22.9B77 5-pillar Oct 4, 2026
El Pollo Loco Holdings, Inc. (LOCO) Same industry, near in market value$14.22 Oct 2, 2026$433M71 5-pillar Oct 4, 2026
BJ's Restaurants, Inc. (BJRI) Same industry, near in market value$61.93 Oct 2, 2026$1.30B71 5-pillar Oct 4, 2026
Texas Roadhouse, Inc. (TXRH) Named competitor$156.14 Oct 2, 2026$10.3B64 5-pillar Oct 4, 2026
The Wendy's Company (WEN) Same industry, near in market value$6.12 Oct 2, 2026$1.17B58 5-pillar Oct 4, 2026
Cracker Barrel Old Country Store, Inc. (CBRL) Same industry, near in market value$55.76 Oct 2, 2026$1.25B57 5-pillar Oct 4, 2026
Bloomin' Brands (BLMN) — this page$8.48$726M56
Papa John's International, Inc. (PZZA) Same industry, near in market value$19.43 Oct 2, 2026$639M52 5-pillar Oct 4, 2026
Biglari Holdings Inc. (BH) Same industry, near in market value$363.76 Oct 2, 2026$1.14B48 5-pillar Oct 4, 2026
First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc. (FWRG) Same industry, near in market value$10.57 Oct 2, 2026$652M46 5-pillar Oct 4, 2026
Sweetgreen, Inc. (SG) Same industry, near in market value$9.10 Oct 2, 2026$1.08B38 5-pillar Oct 4, 2026
Red Robin Gourmet Burgers, Inc. (RRGB) Named competitor$7.95 Oct 2, 2026$147M36 5-pillar Oct 4, 2026

Only 5-pillar scores are ranked together. Other models are not directly comparable. Price and score dates are shown separately; market-value dates are unavailable.

The records behind this page

Analyst targets & estimates

What analysts have on file

Price target, low to high
$8.50 – $13.00
Consensus target
$10.81
Median target
$11.50

Consensus record · Captured .

Measured against a quoted price of $8.48 (as of Oct 2, 2026).

Insider activity

Form 4 records via FMP · Of the newest 100 records, those within the last 180 days, newest dated Sep 3, 2026

Transactions
50
Identified insiders
14
Purchases
0
Sales
0
Other transactions
50

Purchases and sales use the reported transaction category. Other transactions include awards, exercises, gifts, withholding and unclassified activity; an acquisition or disposition alone is not a purchase or sale. These records do not establish intent.

Bloomin' Brands Stock: Key Questions Answered

These answers are editorial: 1 of these 9 answers is drawn from the BLMN research dossier (written May 10, 2026 by gemini-2.0-flash); the other 8 are question templates that restate figures shown above. Figures in this section are not part of the source register.

What does the MoonshotScore mean for BLMN?

BLMN carries the MoonshotScore stated above — the Fair band. This is an educational research signal, not a buy or sell recommendation. The number comes from the five-pillar engine (business quality, financial safety, valuation, growth durability, momentum), re-ranked daily against sector peers.

Is BLMN a good stock to buy?

Stock Expert AI does not rate BLMN buy, sell or hold. Bloomin' Brands, Inc. carries a MoonshotScore, in the Fair band, a research rating against its peers rather than a forecast. Whether it fits is your call: check what it sells, whether it earns and what the price assumes. This is educational content, not investment advice.

What is the BLMN stock price today?

The last price recorded on this page for Bloomin' Brands, Inc. (BLMN) is $8.48, as of the Oct 2, 2026 trading session (source: Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) · quote). It is a provider snapshot, not a live exchange feed, so check a brokerage quote before you trade.

What is the BLMN price target?

The analyst consensus price target for Bloomin' Brands, Inc. (BLMN) is $10.81 (range $8.50 to $13.00, median $11.50), per FMP data captured Oct 4, 2026. Targets are analyst opinions and change often; they are not a Stock Expert AI forecast.

What do analysts say about BLMN stock?

Analyst consensus on BLMN stock is mixed, with some analysts highlighting the company's strong brand portfolio and dividend yield as positive factors. Other analysts express concerns about the company's low profit margin and high debt levels. Valuation metrics such as the P/E ratio suggest that the stock may be overvalued compared to its earnings.

What are the key factors to evaluate for BLMN?

Bloomin' Brands, Inc. (BLMN) holds a MoonshotScore in the moderate range. P/E: 26.23x. Analysts target $10.81 (+27%). The company can leverage its existing brands, such as Outback Steakhouse, to enter new markets through franchising or company-owned restaurants. Not financial advice.

How frequently does BLMN data refresh on this page?

BLMN's price is the last quote we recorded, from the Oct 2, 2026 trading session. Pages are served from a cache, so the copy you are reading can lag that quote. The quote is a provider snapshot, not an exchange feed. Fundamentals follow quarterly filings. V2 is recalculated from the most recent completed US trading session; the score's own date shows its last successful run.

What has driven BLMN's recent stock price performance?

Bloomin' Brands, Inc. (BLMN) moves on earnings results, analyst revisions, sector rotation, and market sentiment. Notable catalyst: Strong brand recognition for Outback Steakhouse and Carrabba's Italian Grill. See the News tab for the latest drivers. Past performance does not predict future results.

Should investors consider BLMN overvalued or undervalued right now?

Bloomin' Brands, Inc. (BLMN) trades at 26.23x earnings. Analysts target $10.81 (+27%) — upside seen. Compare P/E, P/S, and EV/EBITDA against sector peers for a full view.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Always do your own research and consult a financial advisor.

Machine-generated analysis by Stock Expert AI — model gemini-2.0-flash, generated May 10, 2026. Editorial oversight is systemic, not page-by-page. Editorially accountable: Sedat ANAK, Founder and Editor-in-Chief.

Sources — records for every figure on this page (22 figures)

The 22 rows below are exactly the facts the evidence-backed sections of this page printed — the 10-second verdict, the MoonshotScore, price and market value, the five questions with their receipts, and the records behind this page. Known dates and sources are recorded on their own rows; an em dash or UNRECORDED tier preserves a stored observation without inventing either. The quarterly income statement is provider-standardized (FMP) under one row, and scale definitions — a 0-100 rating, the band ladder, the Piotroski 0–9 range — are fixed rather than measured. No number in those sections was generated by a model. The register does not cover quoted third-party headlines, the dated council readings, or the Frequently Asked Questions; each of those says where it came from where it stands.

"As of" is the date the value is true for where the source carries one — a quarter end, a filing date, a price close, the day the score was computed. A cached observation with no source date remains undated; the page publication date is not used as a substitute.

FMP — 14 facts from Financial Modeling Prep endpoint families

FMP facts used on this page
Fact IDFactValue as shownAs ofTierSource
px.lastLatest provided price$8.48FMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP) · quote — Dated to the US trading session the price belongs to, derived from the quote record's timestamp (weekend and pre-open reads roll back to the previous weekday; exchange holidays are not modelled). The record does not establish an exchange execution time. Retrieved 2026-10-04T19:54:22.052Z.
px.changeChange on the day+1.19%FMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP) · quote
px.mcapMarket capitalisation$726MFMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP) · quote — Date unknown Market cap record date: 2026-10-02. FMP quote timestamp: 2026-10-02T20:00:01.000Z. Captured from FMP at 2026-10-04T19:54:20.240Z. No share-count basis is inferred; this page preserves the reported amount instead of recalculating it from shares.
px.change_absChange on the day, in dollars+$0.10FMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP) · quote
fin.q_revenueRevenue, Q2 FY2026$1.02BFMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP) · income statement (quarterly)
px.pePrice / earnings (trailing)26.23FMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP) · quote
px.volumeShares traded on the day2.70MFMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP) · quote
fin.q_incomeNet income, Q2 FY2026$31MFMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP) · income statement (quarterly)
fin.q_tableQuarterly income statement4 quarters through Q2 FY2026FMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP) · income statement (quarterly), as filed
earn.ptStored analyst price targetslow $8.50 · high $13.00 · consensus $10.81 · median $11.50FMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP) · price-target consensus — Captured Oct 4, 2026 · Coverage not supplied
earn.pt_rangeAnalyst price target, low to high$8.50 – $13.00FMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP) · price-target consensus — Captured Oct 4, 2026 · Coverage not supplied
earn.pt_consensusConsensus analyst price target$10.81FMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP) · price-target consensus — Captured Oct 4, 2026 · Coverage not supplied
earn.pt_medianMedian analyst price target$11.50FMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP) · price-target consensus — Captured Oct 4, 2026 · Coverage not supplied
own.insidersInsider transactions via FMP50 transactions · 0 purchases, 0 sales, 50 other transactions · 14 identified insiders · of the newest 100 records, those within the last 180 days, newest dated Sep 3, 2026FMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP), carrying Form 4 transaction records — Purchases and sales use the reported transaction category. Other transactions include awards, exercises, gifts, withholding and unclassified activity; an acquisition or disposition alone is not a purchase or sale. These records do not establish intent.

UNRECORDED — 6 facts from stored observations whose source was not recorded

UNRECORDED facts used on this page
Fact IDFactValue as shownAs ofTierSource
earn.historyReported versus estimated, recent quartersEPS beat 7 of 8UNRECORDEDStored earnings-history observation — Captured 2026-10-02 · Expired observation
fin.scoresDistress and quality screensAltman Z 0.88 · Piotroski F 6UNRECORDEDStored financial-scores observation — Captured 2026-10-03 · Expired observation
px.range5252-week range$5.19 – $12.63UNRECORDEDStored company-profile observation — Captured 2026-10-02
id.employeesEmployees64,000UNRECORDEDStored company-profile observation — Captured 2026-10-02
id.ceoChief executiveMichael SpanosUNRECORDEDStored company-profile observation — Captured 2026-10-02
fin.ratiosReturn and yield ratios (trailing twelve months)ROE 5.9% · ROA 0.7% · current ratio 0.24 · earnings yield 2.8% · free-cash-flow yield 15.2%—UNRECORDEDStored key metrics — Date unknown

OURS — 2 facts from Stock Expert AI's own score and rank

OURS facts used on this page
Fact IDFactValue as shownAs ofTierSource
ours.moonshotMoonshotScore v256 of 100 · Fair · pillars 63 / 15 / 80 / 78 / 86OURSStock Expert AI MoonshotScore v2 engine
ours.moonshot_changeMoonshotScore movement56 (stored snapshot Oct 3, 2026) → 56 (current publication computed Oct 4, 2026) (0)OURSStock Expert AI current score publication and immutable score snapshots
Published
Research standards
Methodology · Editorial policy · Corrections
Data Sources & Methodology
Figures come from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP). If FMP has no figure for a ticker, a price or fundamental may come from a Yahoo Finance fallback, or a price from an Alpaca fallback. SEC EDGAR is used only for filing links and company identity details (legal name, address), never for figures. AI analysis by Stock Expert AI proprietary algorithms. Technical indicators via industry-standard calculations. Last updated: .
Data Provenance
Sources: Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) — Primary · Yahoo Finance — Fallback · Alpaca — Tertiary
Last fetched:
Cache TTL: Quote 5min · Profile 7d · Financials 7d · Insider 48h
How we use AI: Numbers are pulled directly from FMP & Yahoo Finance — our AI writes the analysis, it never edits the figures.
Data provided as-is for educational purposes. Not financial advice. Methodology

Data provided for informational purposes only.