Bloomin' Brands, Inc. (BLMN)
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice. Analysis by Sedat ANAK, Founder & Editor-in-Chief | AI-powered analysis. Data sourced from SEC filings and institutional-grade financial providers. Editorially reviewed. Not financial advice.
Bloomin' Brands, Inc. (BLMN) trades at $7.93 with AI Score 51/100 (Grade B). Bloomin' Brands, Inc. owns and operates a portfolio of casual and fine dining restaurants, including Outback Steakhouse and Carrabba's Italian Grill. Market cap: $679.15M, Sector: Consumer cyclical.
Price live · AI analysis from May 10, 2026BLMN stock analysis for 2026: Analysts have set a consensus price target of $8.83 for Bloomin' Brands, Inc., suggesting 11.3% upside from the current price of $7.93. The AI MoonshotScore is 51/100, indicating a neutral outlook. Key factors: analyst coverage, AI-driven quantitative scoring.
BLMN: the 1 perspectives are evenly split.
How is this calculated? →Bloomin' Brands, Inc. (BLMN) Consumer Business Overview
Bloomin' Brands, Inc. operates a diverse portfolio of casual dining restaurants, including Outback Steakhouse and Carrabba's Italian Grill, with a significant presence in the U.S. and international markets. The company differentiates itself through its varied restaurant concepts and a mix of company-owned and franchised locations in the competitive consumer cyclical sector.
What Is the Investment Thesis for BLMN?
Bloomin' Brands presents a mixed investment case. The company's established brands, such as Outback Steakhouse and Carrabba's Italian Grill, provide a stable revenue base. The company's dividend yield of 3.69% offers an income stream for investors. However, the company's profit margin of 0.5% is relatively low, indicating potential challenges in profitability. The P/E ratio of 29.1 suggests that the stock may be overvalued compared to its earnings. Growth catalysts include expansion in international markets and menu innovation. Potential risks include changing consumer preferences and increased competition in the restaurant industry. Investors should carefully consider these factors before investing in Bloomin' Brands.
Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis
BLMN Key Highlights
- Market Cap of $679.15M reflects the company's current valuation in the stock market.
- P/E ratio of 29.1 indicates the price investors are willing to pay for each dollar of earnings.
- Gross Margin of 70.2% demonstrates the company's efficiency in managing its cost of goods sold.
- Dividend Yield of 3.69% provides a return to shareholders through dividend payments.
- Beta of 1.11 suggests that the stock is slightly more volatile than the overall market.
Who Are BLMN's Competitors?
BLMN is benchmarked below against 8 industry peers on price, market cap, and our AI MoonshotScore.
| Company | Price | Change | Market Cap | AI Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DRI Darden Restaurants, Inc. | $200.81 | -1.72% | $23.00B | 79 |
| TXRH Texas Roadhouse, Inc. | $186.96 | -3.77% | $12.29B | 65 |
| RRGB Red Robin Gourmet Burgers, Inc. | $6.90 | -3.50% | $127.65M | 34 |
| SGLOF Food & Life Companies Ltd. | $8.91 | +0.00% | $2.02B | 64 |
| ATGSY Autogrill S.p.A. | $6.55 | +0.00% | $2.50B | 58 |
| VENU VENU | $2.40 | +9.86% | $102.39M | 58 |
| REBN Reborn Coffee, Inc. | $1.65 | +3.78% | $8.74M | 57 |
| FRHHF Freshii Inc. | $1.69 | -0.59% | $50.49M | 51 |
AI Score by Stock Expert AI · Price data: FMP / Yahoo Finance
What Are BLMN's Key Strengths?
- Strong brand recognition for Outback Steakhouse and Carrabba's Italian Grill.
- Diverse restaurant portfolio catering to different dining preferences.
- Established franchise network providing stable royalty income.
- Experienced management team with a track record of success.
What Are BLMN's Weaknesses?
- Low profit margin compared to industry peers.
- High debt levels may limit financial flexibility.
- Dependence on the U.S. market for a significant portion of revenue.
- Vulnerability to changing consumer preferences and dining trends.
What Could Drive BLMN Stock Higher?
- Potential positive impact from menu innovation and new product launches in Q3 2026.
- Continued expansion of digital ordering and delivery platforms to drive sales.
- Cost-saving initiatives aimed at improving operational efficiency and profitability.
What Are the Key Risks for BLMN?
- Financial-distress signal — its Altman Z-Score of 0.86 sits in the distress zone (elevated bankruptcy risk).
- Economic downturn could reduce consumer spending on dining out.
- Rising food and labor costs could negatively impact profitability.
- Intense competition from other casual dining chains and independent restaurants.
- Changing consumer preferences and dining trends could impact sales.
What Are the Growth Opportunities for BLMN?
- Expansion in International Markets: Bloomin' Brands has an opportunity to expand its presence in international markets, particularly in regions with growing disposable income and a demand for casual dining experiences. The company can leverage its existing brands, such as Outback Steakhouse, to enter new markets through franchising or company-owned restaurants. This expansion can drive revenue growth and diversify the company's geographic footprint. The timeline for international expansion depends on market conditions and regulatory approvals, but it represents a significant long-term growth opportunity.
- Menu Innovation and New Product Development: Bloomin' Brands can drive growth by introducing new menu items and innovative dining experiences. This includes developing healthier options, catering to dietary restrictions, and incorporating local flavors into its menus. By staying ahead of consumer trends and preferences, the company can attract new customers and increase customer loyalty. The timeline for menu innovation is ongoing, with regular menu updates and seasonal promotions. This strategy can enhance the company's brand image and drive sales growth.
- Digitalization and Technology Adoption: Bloomin' Brands can leverage digital technologies to enhance the customer experience and improve operational efficiency. This includes online ordering, mobile apps, loyalty programs, and data analytics. By investing in digital technologies, the company can streamline operations, personalize marketing efforts, and improve customer engagement. The timeline for digitalization is ongoing, with continuous improvements and new technology deployments. This strategy can drive revenue growth and improve profitability.
- Franchise Expansion: Bloomin' Brands can accelerate its growth by expanding its franchise network. Franchising allows the company to leverage the capital and expertise of local operators, while maintaining brand control and generating royalty income. The company can target strategic markets for franchise expansion, both domestically and internationally. The timeline for franchise expansion depends on market conditions and franchisee recruitment, but it represents a significant growth opportunity with relatively low capital investment.
- Brand Portfolio Optimization: Bloomin' Brands can optimize its brand portfolio by focusing on its strongest brands and divesting underperforming concepts. This includes investing in marketing and advertising for its core brands, while exploring strategic alternatives for its weaker brands. By streamlining its brand portfolio, the company can improve its overall profitability and focus its resources on its most promising growth opportunities. The timeline for brand portfolio optimization is ongoing, with regular assessments and strategic decisions. This strategy can enhance the company's long-term value and competitiveness.
What Opportunities Does BLMN Have?
- Expansion in international markets with high growth potential.
- Menu innovation and new product development to attract new customers.
- Digitalization and technology adoption to enhance the customer experience.
- Franchise expansion to accelerate growth and expand geographic reach.
What Threats Does BLMN Face?
- Intense competition from other casual dining chains and independent restaurants.
- Economic downturns that reduce consumer spending on dining out.
- Rising food and labor costs that impact profitability.
- Regulatory changes that increase compliance costs.
What Are BLMN's Competitive Advantages?
- Established Brands: Outback Steakhouse and Carrabba's Italian Grill have strong brand recognition and customer loyalty.
- Diverse Restaurant Portfolio: The company's portfolio of casual, upscale casual, and fine dining restaurants caters to a wide range of customer preferences.
- Franchise Network: The company's franchise network provides a stable source of royalty income and expands its geographic reach.
- Supply Chain Management: The company has established relationships with suppliers to ensure consistent quality and cost-effectiveness.
What Does BLMN Do?
Bloomin' Brands, Inc. was founded in 1988 and is headquartered in Tampa, Florida. The company owns and operates a portfolio of casual, upscale casual, and fine dining restaurants. Its core brands include Outback Steakhouse, Carrabba's Italian Grill, Bonefish Grill, and Fleming's Prime Steakhouse & Wine Bar. Outback Steakhouse, the company's flagship brand, is a casual steakhouse restaurant known for its Australian-themed cuisine and atmosphere. Carrabba's Italian Grill offers a casual Italian dining experience. Bonefish Grill focuses on seafood, while Fleming's Prime Steakhouse & Wine Bar provides a fine dining experience. As of December 26, 2021, Bloomin' Brands operated 1,013 company-owned restaurants and franchised 157 restaurants across 47 states. Internationally, the company operated 156 company-owned restaurants and franchised 172 restaurants across 17 countries and Guam. The company operates through two segments: U.S. and International. Bloomin' Brands aims to provide a differentiated dining experience through its diverse restaurant concepts and commitment to quality food and service.
What Products and Services Does BLMN Offer?
- Owns and operates Outback Steakhouse restaurants.
- Owns and operates Carrabba's Italian Grill restaurants.
- Owns and operates Bonefish Grill restaurants.
- Owns and operates Fleming's Prime Steakhouse & Wine Bar restaurants.
- Operates full-service restaurants in the United States.
- Operates full-service restaurants internationally.
- Franchises restaurants in the United States and internationally.
How Does BLMN Make Money?
- Generates revenue through the sale of food and beverages at its restaurants.
- Operates company-owned restaurants to directly control operations and capture profits.
- Franchises its restaurant brands to generate royalty income and expand its geographic reach.
- Focuses on providing a differentiated dining experience to attract and retain customers.
What Industry Does BLMN Operate In?
Bloomin' Brands operates in the highly competitive restaurant industry, which is characterized by changing consumer preferences, intense competition, and evolving dining trends. The industry is influenced by factors such as economic conditions, disposable income, and demographic shifts. Companies like Bloomin' Brands must adapt to these trends to maintain market share and profitability. The restaurant industry is also subject to regulatory scrutiny, including food safety standards and labor laws. Bloomin' Brands competes with a wide range of casual dining chains, independent restaurants, and fast-food establishments. The company's success depends on its ability to differentiate its brands, provide a compelling dining experience, and effectively manage its operations.
Who Are BLMN's Key Customers?
- Individuals and families seeking casual dining experiences.
- Business travelers and tourists looking for familiar restaurant brands.
- Customers who value quality food, service, and atmosphere.
- Loyalty program members who receive exclusive benefits and rewards.
Bloomin' Brands, Inc. Financial Trajectory
Bloomin' Brands, Inc. (BLMN) reported $1.06B in revenue for Q1 2026, reflecting 8.7% growth compared to the prior quarter. The company recorded net income of $55.7M, with diluted EPS of $0.65. Revenue has increased across the last three reported quarters, suggesting sustained momentum for this small-cap Consumer Cyclical company. Across the four most recent quarters, BLMN averaged $0.06 in diluted EPS.
Company Profile
Bloomin' Brands, Inc. operates in the Restaurants industry within the Consumer Cyclical sector. It is headquartered in Tampa, United States.
How Bloomin' Brands, Inc. Is Valued
Bloomin' Brands, Inc. carries a market capitalization of $679.15M, placing it in the small-cap category. Relative to its peer group, BLMN's quantitative score of 51/100 is roughly in line with the peer average of 60/100.
ROE 6%Key Financial Metrics
Return on equity for Bloomin' Brands, Inc. stands at 5.9%, a gauge of how efficiently it converts shareholder capital into profit. Return on assets is 0.7%, showing how much profit it generates from its asset base. BLMN trades at a trailing price-to-earnings ratio of 29.07, below the Consumer Cyclical sector average of ~39x. Its free cash flow yield is 15.2%, a gauge of the cash the business throws off relative to its market value. A current ratio of 0.24 means current liabilities exceed short-term assets, a liquidity point worth watching. Its earnings yield is 2.8%, the inverse of the P/E and a quick read on earnings relative to price.
F-Score 6/9Financial Health
Bloomin' Brands, Inc.'s Piotroski F-Score is 6/9, a 9-point checklist of profitability, leverage and efficiency — a middling fundamental profile. Its Altman Z-Score of 0.86 places it in the distress zone, a signal of elevated financial risk.
FY2026 estForward Outlook
Wall Street analysts project Bloomin' Brands, Inc. revenue of about $3.97B for fiscal 2026, with EPS near $0.88. The estimate reflects 9 contributing analysts.
Net buyingInsider Activity
Over the past six months, Bloomin' Brands, Inc. insiders filed 30 SEC Form 4 transactions — 10 sales and 20 purchases. On net that is roughly 214K shares acquired (about $63K) — insiders putting money in tends to read as conviction.
BLMN Financials
Fundamental Snapshot
Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis · FY 2025
Bull Case vs Bear Case
Bull Case
- Recent insider buying suggests confidence in BLMN's future performance, indicating that executives believe in the company's growth potential.
- Social sentiment has shifted positively, with many community members discussing upcoming menu innovations and expansion plans.
- The restaurant industry has shown resilience, and BLMN's strong brand presence positions it well to capitalize on this trend.
- Positive reviews and increased customer engagement on social media highlight a growing interest in BLMN's offerings.
Bear Case
- Concerns about rising food costs and supply chain disruptions could impact BLMN's profitability in the near term.
- Recent bearish sentiment from some analysts suggests skepticism about the company's ability to maintain growth amid economic uncertainties.
- Negative community discussions around service quality and customer experience could affect brand loyalty and repeat business.
- Increased competition in the casual dining sector may pressure BLMN's market share and profitability.
AI-generated arguments based on insider flow, news sentiment and technicals — not financial advice · January 2026
Recent Quarterly Results
| Quarter | Revenue | Net Income | EPS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 2026 | $1.06B | $56M | $0.65 |
| Q4 2025 | $975M | -$13M | -$0.16 |
| Q3 2025 | $929M | -$46M | -$0.54 |
| Q2 2025 | $1.00B | $25M | $0.30 |
Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis
BLMN Latest News
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38-year-old steakhouse chain closed 21 restaurants, more planned
Yahoo! Finance: BLMN News · Jun 13, 2026
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3 Value Stocks We’re Skeptical Of
Yahoo! Finance: BLMN News · Jun 10, 2026
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Q1 Earnings Roundup: Bloomin' Brands (NASDAQ:BLMN) And The Rest Of The Sit-Down Dining Segment
Yahoo! Finance: BLMN News · May 23, 2026
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Are Options Traders Betting on a Big Move in Bloomin' Brands Stock?
Yahoo! Finance: BLMN News · May 21, 2026
BLMN Analyst Consensus
Consensus Rating
Aggregated Buy/Hold/Sell recommendations from Benzinga, Yahoo Finance, and Finnhub for BLMN.
Price Targets
Consensus target: $8.83
BLMN MoonshotScore
What does this score mean?
The MoonshotScore rates BLMN's growth potential on a scale of 0-100 across multiple factors including innovation, market disruption, financial health, and momentum.
Latest News
38-year-old steakhouse chain closed 21 restaurants, more planned
3 Value Stocks We’re Skeptical Of
Q1 Earnings Roundup: Bloomin' Brands (NASDAQ:BLMN) And The Rest Of The Sit-Down Dining Segment
Are Options Traders Betting on a Big Move in Bloomin' Brands Stock?
Latest Bloomin' Brands, Inc. Analysis
Leadership: Michael Spanos
CEO
Michael Spanos serves as the CEO of Bloomin' Brands, Inc. His career spans various leadership roles in the restaurant and hospitality industries. He previously held executive positions at leading companies, bringing extensive experience in operations, marketing, and strategic planning. His expertise in managing large organizations and driving growth initiatives makes him well-suited to lead Bloomin' Brands. Spanos is focused on enhancing the customer experience, optimizing operational efficiency, and expanding the company's presence in key markets.
Track Record: Under Michael Spanos's leadership, Bloomin' Brands has focused on improving its financial performance, enhancing its brand portfolio, and expanding its digital capabilities. He has overseen the implementation of strategic initiatives to drive revenue growth, improve profitability, and enhance shareholder value. His focus on operational excellence and customer satisfaction has contributed to the company's success in a competitive market. Spanos has also emphasized innovation and technology adoption to stay ahead of changing consumer preferences.
Bloomin' Brands, Inc. Consumer Cyclical Stock: Key Questions Answered
What does Bloomin' Brands, Inc. do?
Bloomin' Brands, Inc. operates and franchises a portfolio of casual and fine dining restaurant brands, including Outback Steakhouse, Carrabba's Italian Grill, Bonefish Grill, and Fleming's Prime Steakhouse & Wine Bar. The company generates revenue through the sale of food and beverages at its restaurants, both company-owned and franchised. Bloomin' Brands focuses on providing a differentiated dining experience to attract and retain customers, with a strong emphasis on quality food, service, and atmosphere. The company operates in the United States and internationally, targeting a broad range of customers seeking casual and upscale dining options.
What do analysts say about BLMN stock?
Analyst consensus on BLMN stock is mixed, with some analysts highlighting the company's strong brand portfolio and dividend yield as positive factors. Other analysts express concerns about the company's low profit margin and high debt levels. Valuation metrics such as the P/E ratio suggest that the stock may be overvalued compared to its earnings. Growth considerations include the company's expansion in international markets and its efforts to innovate its menu and enhance the customer experience. Overall, analysts recommend that investors carefully consider the company's strengths and weaknesses before making an investment decision.
What are the main risks for BLMN?
The main risks for Bloomin' Brands include economic downturns that could reduce consumer spending on dining out, rising food and labor costs that could impact profitability, intense competition from other casual dining chains and independent restaurants, and changing consumer preferences and dining trends that could impact sales. The company is also vulnerable to regulatory changes that could increase compliance costs. These risks could negatively impact the company's financial performance and its ability to generate shareholder value. Effective risk management and strategic adaptation are crucial for Bloomin' Brands to mitigate these challenges.
How does Bloomin' Brands manage its supply chain?
Bloomin' Brands manages its supply chain through established relationships with suppliers to ensure consistent quality and cost-effectiveness. The company works closely with its suppliers to source high-quality ingredients and manage costs. Bloomin' Brands also utilizes technology to track inventory levels and optimize its supply chain operations. Effective supply chain management is crucial for the company to maintain its profitability and provide a consistent dining experience for its customers. The company also focuses on sustainability and ethical sourcing practices to minimize its environmental impact and meet customer expectations.
What is Bloomin' Brands, Inc.'s geographic revenue mix?
Bloomin' Brands generates a significant portion of its revenue from the United States, where it operates a large number of company-owned and franchised restaurants. The company also has a presence in international markets, including countries in Asia, South America, and the Middle East. International growth rates vary depending on market conditions and regulatory factors. Emerging markets represent a significant growth opportunity for Bloomin' Brands, as these markets offer high growth potential and a growing demand for casual dining experiences. The company's geographic revenue mix is subject to change based on its expansion strategies and market dynamics.
What are the key factors to evaluate for BLMN?
Bloomin' Brands, Inc. (BLMN) holds an AI score of 51/100 (moderate). P/E: 29.1x vs the S&P 500's ~20-25x. Analysts target $8.83 (+11%). Not financial advice.
How frequently does BLMN data refresh on this page?
BLMN prices update in real time during U.S. market hours. Fundamentals refresh after quarterly filings; analyst ratings and AI insights update daily; news is aggregated continuously.
What has driven BLMN's recent stock price performance?
Bloomin' Brands, Inc. (BLMN) moves on earnings results, analyst revisions, sector rotation, and market sentiment. Notable catalyst: Strong brand recognition for Outback Steakhouse and Carrabba's Italian Grill. See the News tab for the latest drivers. Past performance does not predict future results.
Disclaimer: This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Always do your own research and consult a financial advisor.
Official Resources
Data provided for informational purposes only.
- The information provided is based on publicly available sources and is not guaranteed to be accurate or complete.
- This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice.