Carrier Global Corporation (CARR)
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice. Analysis by Sedat ANAK, Founder & Editor-in-Chief | AI-powered analysis. Data sourced from SEC filings and institutional-grade financial providers. Editorially reviewed. Not financial advice.
Carrier Global Corporation (CARR) trades at $70.07 with AI Score 55/100 (Grade B). Carrier Global Corporation is a global provider of HVAC, refrigeration, and fire & security solutions. Market cap: $58.20B, Sector: Industrials.
Price live · AI analysis from May 10, 2026CARR stock analysis for 2026: Analysts have set a consensus price target of $71.66 for Carrier Global Corporation, suggesting 2.3% upside from the current price of $70.07. The AI MoonshotScore is 55/100, indicating a neutral outlook. Key factors: analyst coverage, AI-driven quantitative scoring.
CARR: 1/2 perspectives are bearish.
How is this calculated? →Carrier Global Corporation (CARR) Industrial Operations Profile
Carrier Global Corporation delivers advanced heating, cooling, and security solutions worldwide, operating across HVAC, Refrigeration, and Fire & Security segments. With a broad portfolio of trusted brands and a global presence, Carrier focuses on innovative technologies and aftermarket services to meet diverse customer needs in residential, commercial, and industrial markets.
What Is the Investment Thesis for CARR?
Carrier Global Corporation presents a compelling investment case driven by its leading positions in the HVAC, Refrigeration, and Fire & Security markets. The company's focus on innovation and aftermarket services is expected to drive sustainable revenue growth. With a current market capitalization of $58.20B and a dividend yield of 1.39%, Carrier offers a blend of growth and income potential. Key catalysts include increasing demand for energy-efficient HVAC systems and expanding its digital solutions in the refrigeration segment. However, investors should be aware of potential risks such as economic cyclicality and intense competition. The company's ability to maintain its gross margin of 24.8% and capitalize on growth opportunities will be crucial for long-term value creation.
Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis
CARR Key Highlights
- Market capitalization of $58.20B, reflecting its significant presence in the industrials sector.
- P/E ratio of 47.2, indicating investor expectations for future earnings growth.
- Gross margin of 24.8%, showcasing its ability to maintain profitability amidst competitive pressures.
- Dividend yield of 1.39%, providing a steady income stream for investors.
- Beta of 1.32, suggesting higher volatility compared to the overall market.
Who Are CARR's Competitors?
CARR is benchmarked below against 8 industry peers on price, market cap, and our AI MoonshotScore.
| Company | Price | Change | Market Cap | AI Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| JCI Johnson Controls International plc | $140.76 | -2.79% | $85.88B | 53 |
| FIX Comfort Systems USA, Inc. | $1741.30 | -6.64% | $61.30B | 98 |
| GWW W.W. Grainger, Inc. | $1342.98 | +0.35% | $63.41B | 94 |
| LHX L3Harris Technologies, Inc. | $302.07 | +3.37% | $56.27B | 59 |
| AME AMETEK, Inc. | $234.62 | -1.06% | $53.78B | 81 |
| CSRLF CSR Limited | $5.75 | -2.13% | $2.74B | 58 |
| PHOE Phoenix Asia Holdings Limited Ordinary Shares | $17.80 | +1.37% | $384.48M | 55 |
| NX Quanex Building Products Corporation | $17.08 | -5.01% | $784.45M | 54 |
AI Score by Stock Expert AI · Price data: FMP / Yahoo Finance
What Are CARR's Key Strengths?
- Global presence and diversified product portfolio.
- Strong brand recognition and reputation.
- Extensive distribution and service network.
- Focus on innovation and sustainability.
What Are CARR's Weaknesses?
- Exposure to economic cyclicality.
- Dependence on raw material prices.
- Intense competition in mature markets.
- Potential for product liability claims.
What Could Drive CARR Stock Higher?
- Increasing demand for energy-efficient HVAC systems driven by regulatory standards and consumer preferences.
- Expansion of digital solutions in the refrigeration segment to improve supply chain efficiency.
- Potential acquisitions and strategic partnerships to expand product offerings and market reach.
- Strengthening of aftermarket services to generate recurring revenue streams.
- Development of sustainable and environmentally friendly products.
What Are the Key Risks for CARR?
- Rich valuation — a P/E of 47.2 runs well above the Industrials sector’s ~30x, leaving little room for a miss.
- Insider selling — insiders were net sellers of roughly $751.5M recently.
- Economic downturns and recessions impacting demand for HVAC and refrigeration systems.
- Increasing competition from low-cost providers in mature markets.
- Fluctuations in raw material prices affecting profitability.
- Changes in regulatory standards and environmental policies.
- Disruptions in supply chain and logistics due to geopolitical events.
What Are the Growth Opportunities for CARR?
- Growth opportunity 1: Expanding HVAC Solutions in Emerging Markets: There is a substantial growth opportunity for Carrier in emerging markets, driven by increasing urbanization and rising disposable incomes. By tailoring its HVAC solutions to meet the specific needs of these markets, Carrier can capture a larger share of the growing demand for air conditioning and heating systems. This expansion can be achieved through strategic partnerships and localized product offerings, potentially adding significant revenue streams within the next 3-5 years.
- Growth opportunity 2: Enhancing Digital Solutions in Refrigeration: Carrier can further enhance its digital solutions in the refrigeration segment to improve supply chain efficiency and reduce food waste. By leveraging IoT and data analytics, Carrier can provide real-time monitoring and predictive maintenance services, creating value for its customers and generating recurring revenue streams. This initiative can be implemented within the next 2-3 years, with a potential market size of several billion dollars.
- Growth opportunity 3: Strengthening Aftermarket Services: Carrier has a significant opportunity to strengthen its aftermarket services by offering comprehensive maintenance and repair solutions for its installed base of HVAC and refrigeration systems. By providing timely and reliable services, Carrier can enhance customer loyalty and generate recurring revenue streams. This can be achieved through strategic acquisitions and expansion of its service network, with a potential impact on revenue within the next 1-2 years.
- Growth opportunity 4: Developing Sustainable and Energy-Efficient Products: With increasing environmental concerns, Carrier can focus on developing sustainable and energy-efficient products to meet the growing demand for green building solutions. By investing in R&D and incorporating advanced technologies, Carrier can create innovative products that reduce energy consumption and minimize environmental impact. This initiative can be implemented over the next 3-5 years, with a potential market size of billions of dollars.
- Growth opportunity 5: Leveraging Building Automation Technologies: Carrier can leverage its building automation technologies to provide integrated solutions that optimize energy efficiency and enhance building performance. By offering comprehensive building management systems, Carrier can help its customers reduce operating costs and improve occupant comfort. This can be achieved through strategic partnerships and expansion of its product portfolio, with a potential impact on revenue within the next 2-3 years.
What Opportunities Does CARR Have?
- Expanding HVAC solutions in emerging markets.
- Enhancing digital solutions in refrigeration.
- Strengthening aftermarket services.
- Developing sustainable and energy-efficient products.
What Threats Does CARR Face?
- Economic downturns and recessions.
- Increasing competition from low-cost providers.
- Changes in regulatory standards and environmental policies.
- Disruptions in supply chain and logistics.
What Are CARR's Competitive Advantages?
- Strong brand recognition and reputation for quality and reliability.
- Extensive distribution network and service infrastructure.
- Technological innovation and intellectual property.
- Diversified product portfolio and end-market exposure.
What Does CARR Do?
Carrier Global Corporation, established in 2019 after its spin-off from United Technologies, is a global leader in providing heating, ventilating, and air conditioning (HVAC), refrigeration, fire, security, and building automation technologies. Headquartered in Palm Beach Gardens, Florida, Carrier operates through three primary segments: HVAC, Refrigeration, and Fire & Security. The HVAC segment offers a comprehensive range of products, controls, and services designed to meet the heating, cooling, and ventilation requirements of residential and commercial clients. This includes air conditioners, heating systems, and building automation solutions. The Refrigeration segment provides transport refrigeration and monitoring solutions for trucks, trailers, shipping containers, and food retail applications. The Fire & Security segment delivers advanced technologies for fire, flame, gas, smoke, and carbon monoxide detection, as well as access control and video management systems. Carrier's products are marketed under well-known brands such as Carrier, Automated Logic, Bryant, CIAT, and Kidde. The company's global reach and diverse product portfolio enable it to serve a wide array of customers across various industries, emphasizing innovation and sustainability in its operations.
What Products and Services Does CARR Offer?
- Provides heating, ventilating, and air conditioning (HVAC) systems for residential and commercial buildings.
- Offers transport refrigeration and monitoring solutions for trucks, trailers, and shipping containers.
- Develops commercial refrigeration solutions for food retail and warehouse cooling.
- Manufactures fire, flame, gas, smoke, and carbon monoxide detection systems.
- Provides access control and video management systems for security applications.
- Offers building automation technologies for energy efficiency and building performance optimization.
- Provides aftermarket maintenance and repair services for its products.
How Does CARR Make Money?
- Sells HVAC, refrigeration, and fire & security products directly to customers and through distributors.
- Provides installation, maintenance, and repair services for its products.
- Offers digital solutions and monitoring services on a subscription basis.
- Generates revenue from aftermarket parts and components.
What Industry Does CARR Operate In?
Carrier Global Corporation operates in the construction industry, which is experiencing growth driven by increasing demand for energy-efficient and smart building solutions. The market is competitive, with key players like Johnson Controls International plc (JCI) and Comfort Systems USA, Inc. (FIX). Carrier's focus on innovation and aftermarket services positions it well to capitalize on the growing demand for sustainable and technologically advanced solutions. The industry is also influenced by regulatory standards and environmental concerns, driving the adoption of more efficient HVAC and refrigeration systems.
Who Are CARR's Key Customers?
- Residential homeowners and building owners.
- Commercial building operators and facility managers.
- Transportation companies and logistics providers.
- Food retailers and warehouse operators.
- Industrial facilities and manufacturing plants.
Company Profile
Carrier Global Corporation operates in the Industrial - Machinery industry within the Industrials sector. It is headquartered in Palm Beach Gardens, US. The company is led by CEO David L. Gitlin. CARR has traded publicly since 2020.
ROE 9%Key Financial Metrics
Return on equity for Carrier Global Corporation stands at 9.3%, a gauge of how efficiently it converts shareholder capital into profit. Return on assets is 3.5%, showing how much profit it generates from its asset base. CARR trades at a trailing price-to-earnings ratio of 47.21, above the Industrials sector average of ~30x. Its free cash flow yield is 2.7%, a gauge of the cash the business throws off relative to its market value. A current ratio of 1.05 indicates the company holds enough short-term assets to cover its near-term obligations. Its earnings yield is 2.1%, the inverse of the P/E and a quick read on earnings relative to price.
CARR Valuation & Market Position
With a $58.20B market cap, Carrier Global Corporation sits in the large-cap segment of the market. Relative to its peer group, CARR's quantitative score of 55/100 is below the peer average of 77/100.
Quarterly Financial Performance: Carrier Global Corporation
Revenue for Carrier Global Corporation came in at $5.34B during Q1 2026, a 10.4% improvement versus the preceding quarter. The company recorded net income of $238.0M, with diluted EPS of $0.28. Quarter-over-quarter revenue has been mixed, typical for a large-cap company operating in Industrials. Across the four most recent quarters, CARR averaged $0.38 in diluted EPS.
F-Score 7/9Financial Health
Carrier Global Corporation's Piotroski F-Score is 7/9, a 9-point checklist of profitability, leverage and efficiency — signaling solid underlying fundamentals. Its Altman Z-Score of 2.73 places it in the grey zone, a middle ground that warrants monitoring.
7/8 beatsEarnings Track Record
Carrier Global Corporation has beaten Wall Street's EPS estimate in 7 of its last 8 reported quarters — a consistent record of delivering on expectations. Reported results have landed about 4.3% above estimates on average.
FY2026 estForward Outlook
Wall Street analysts project Carrier Global Corporation revenue of about $22.28B for fiscal 2026, with EPS near $2.81. The estimate reflects 17 contributing analysts.
Net sellingInsider Activity
Over the past six months, Carrier Global Corporation insiders filed 15 SEC Form 4 transactions — 4 sales and 11 purchases. On net that is roughly 12.1M shares disposed (about $751.5M), a signal worth weighing alongside the fundamentals.
CARR Financials
Fundamental Snapshot
Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis · FY 2025
Bull Case vs Bear Case
Bull Case
- Global presence and diversified product portfolio.
- Strong brand recognition and reputation.
- Extensive distribution and service network.
- Focus on innovation and sustainability.
Bear Case
- Exposure to economic cyclicality.
- Dependence on raw material prices.
- Intense competition in mature markets.
- Potential for product liability claims.
AI-generated arguments based on insider flow, news sentiment and technicals — not financial advice · July 2026
From the Earnings Call
“Company orders in 1Q were up 11% led by global CHVAC up 35%, including CSA commercial HVAC up over 80%.”
— David Gitlin, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer
“All segments have plans to deliver on their aftermarket targets, and we feel good about our start to the year and our expectation to deliver our sixth year in a row of double-digit growth. Importantly, we continue to lean into the opportunities created by AI and digital connectivity with the number of connected devices in the field, up over 25% in the quarter.”
— David Gitlin, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer
CARR Q1 FY2026 earnings call transcript · 2026-04-30
Recent Quarterly Results
| Quarter | Revenue | Net Income | EPS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 2026 | $5.34B | $238M | $0.28 |
| Q4 2025 | $4.84B | $53M | $0.06 |
| Q3 2025 | $5.58B | $428M | $0.50 |
| Q2 2025 | $6.11B | $591M | $0.68 |
Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis
CARR Latest News
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Comfort Systems' Backlog Boom: Can It Overcome Execution Challenges?
Yahoo! Finance: CARR News · Jul 1, 2026
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Carrier Completes Sale of Riello to Ariston Group
Yahoo! Finance: CARR News · Jul 1, 2026
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Heatwave Strengthens Bullish Case For Utility ETFs, HVAC Stocks Amid Surging Power Demand
benzinga · Jun 30, 2026
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1 Mooning Stock Worth Investigating and 2 We Find Risky
Yahoo! Finance: CARR News · Jun 30, 2026
CARR Analyst Consensus
Consensus Rating
Aggregated Buy/Hold/Sell recommendations from Benzinga, Yahoo Finance, and Finnhub for CARR.
Price Targets
Consensus target: $71.66
CARR MoonshotScore
What does this score mean?
The MoonshotScore rates CARR's growth potential on a scale of 0-100 across multiple factors including innovation, market disruption, financial health, and momentum.
Latest News
Comfort Systems' Backlog Boom: Can It Overcome Execution Challenges?
Carrier Completes Sale of Riello to Ariston Group
Heatwave Strengthens Bullish Case For Utility ETFs, HVAC Stocks Amid Surging Power Demand
1 Mooning Stock Worth Investigating and 2 We Find Risky
Leadership: David L. Gitlin
Chairman & Chief Executive Officer
David L. Gitlin serves as the Chairman and Chief Executive Officer of Carrier. Prior to this role, he held various leadership positions at United Technologies Corporation (UTC), including President and Chief Operating Officer of Collins Aerospace Systems. He also served as President of UTC Aerospace Systems and held several executive roles at Hamilton Sundstrand. Gitlin holds a bachelor's degree from Cornell University, a Juris Doctor from the University of Connecticut School of Law, and an MBA from MIT's Sloan School of Management.
Track Record: Since becoming CEO of Carrier in 2019, David Gitlin has led the company through its spin-off from United Technologies and established it as an independent, publicly traded entity. He has focused on driving innovation, expanding the company's digital capabilities, and enhancing its sustainability efforts. Under his leadership, Carrier has navigated challenging market conditions and positioned itself for long-term growth.
Common Questions About CARR (Industrials)
What does Carrier Global Corporation do?
Carrier Global Corporation is a global provider of heating, ventilating, and air conditioning (HVAC), refrigeration, fire, security, and building automation technologies. The company operates through three segments: HVAC, Refrigeration, and Fire & Security, serving residential, commercial, and industrial customers worldwide. Carrier's products and services are designed to improve energy efficiency, enhance building performance, and ensure safety and security.
What do analysts say about CARR stock?
Analyst consensus on Carrier Global Corporation (CARR) is generally positive, reflecting expectations for continued growth in its key markets. Valuation metrics such as the P/E ratio of 47.2 suggest that investors anticipate future earnings growth. Key considerations include the company's ability to capitalize on growth opportunities in emerging markets, expand its digital solutions, and maintain its competitive position. However, analysts also caution about potential risks such as economic cyclicality and increasing competition.
What are the main risks for CARR?
The main risks for Carrier Global Corporation include exposure to economic cyclicality, which can impact demand for its products and services. Increasing competition from low-cost providers in mature markets poses a threat to its market share. Fluctuations in raw material prices can affect profitability. Changes in regulatory standards and environmental policies may require additional investments. Disruptions in the supply chain and logistics due to geopolitical events can also impact operations.
How does Carrier Global Corporation compare to competitors in its industry?
Carrier Global Corporation competes with companies like Johnson Controls International plc (JCI) and Comfort Systems USA, Inc. (FIX). Carrier differentiates itself through its diversified product portfolio, global presence, and focus on innovation and sustainability. While JCI offers similar HVAC, building automation, and security solutions, Carrier's strong brand recognition and extensive service network provide a competitive advantage. Comfort Systems USA specializes in HVAC installation and maintenance, while Carrier offers a broader range of products and services.
What are the key financial metrics investors watch for CARR?
Investors typically monitor several key financial metrics for Carrier Global Corporation (CARR). Revenue growth is a critical indicator of the company's ability to expand its market share and capitalize on growth opportunities. Gross margin, currently at 24.8%, reflects its ability to maintain profitability amidst competitive pressures. The dividend yield of 1.39% provides a steady income stream. Additionally, the P/E ratio and beta are important metrics for assessing valuation and risk.
What are the key factors to evaluate for CARR?
Carrier Global Corporation (CARR) holds an AI score of 55/100 (moderate). P/E: 47.2x vs the S&P 500's ~20-25x. Analysts target $71.66 (+2%). Not financial advice.
How frequently does CARR data refresh on this page?
CARR prices update in real time during U.S. market hours. Fundamentals refresh after quarterly filings; analyst ratings and AI insights update daily; news is aggregated continuously.
What has driven CARR's recent stock price performance?
Carrier Global Corporation (CARR) moves on earnings results, analyst revisions, sector rotation, and market sentiment. Notable catalyst: Global presence and diversified product portfolio. See the News tab for the latest drivers. Past performance does not predict future results.
Disclaimer: This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Always do your own research and consult a financial advisor.
Official Resources
Data provided for informational purposes only.
- Information is based on available company data and market analysis. Future performance is subject to market conditions and company-specific factors.