Custom Truck One Source, Inc. (CTOS)
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice. Analysis by Sedat ANAK, Founder & Editor-in-Chief | AI-powered analysis. Data sourced from SEC filings and institutional-grade financial providers. Editorially reviewed. Not financial advice.
Custom Truck One Source, Inc. (CTOS) trades at $10.10 with AI Score 31/100 (Grade D). Custom Truck One Source, Inc. provides specialized equipment rental, sales, and aftermarket services to infrastructure-related industries in North America. Market cap: $2.30B, Sector: Industrials.
Price live · AI analysis from May 10, 2026CTOS stock analysis for 2026: Analysts have set a consensus price target of $11.00 for Custom Truck One Source, Inc., suggesting 8.9% upside from the current price of $10.10. The AI MoonshotScore is 31/100, indicating a bearish outlook. Key factors: analyst coverage, AI-driven quantitative scoring.
CTOS: 1/1 perspectives are bearish.
How is this calculated? →Custom Truck One Source, Inc. (CTOS) Industrial Operations Profile
Custom Truck One Source provides specialized equipment rental and sales to infrastructure industries across North America. Operating through three segments, the company offers equipment rental solutions, new and used equipment sales, and aftermarket parts and services, catering to the electric utility, telecommunications, and rail sectors.
What Is the Investment Thesis for CTOS?
Custom Truck One Source presents a compelling investment case based on its position in the specialized equipment rental and sales market. The company's focus on the infrastructure sector, particularly electric utilities and telecommunications, aligns with long-term growth trends driven by infrastructure modernization and expansion. With a market capitalization of $2.30B, CTOS benefits from recurring revenue streams through its Equipment Rental Solutions and Aftermarket Parts and Services segments. Key catalysts include ongoing infrastructure investments and potential acquisitions to expand its service offerings and geographic reach. However, investors should be aware of the company's negative profit margin of -0.9% and the cyclical nature of the industries it serves.
Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis
CTOS Key Highlights
- Market capitalization of $2.30B indicates substantial investor interest in the company's growth potential.
- Gross margin of 19.9% reflects the company's ability to generate revenue from its services and sales.
- Beta of 1.12 suggests that the stock is slightly more volatile than the overall market.
- Operates in three segments: Equipment Rental Solutions, Truck and Equipment Sales, and Aftermarket Parts and Services.
- Services the electric utility transmission and distribution, telecommunications, rail, and other infrastructure-related industries in North America.
Who Are CTOS's Competitors?
CTOS is benchmarked below against 8 industry peers on price, market cap, and our AI MoonshotScore.
| Company | Price | Change | Market Cap | AI Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MPU Mega Matrix Corp. | $0.30 | -2.12% | $13.72M | 64 |
| FTAI FTAI Aviation Ltd. | $245.65 | -0.97% | $25.20B | 59 |
| HRI Herc Holdings Inc. | $136.66 | +1.30% | $4.56B | 59 |
| EQPT EquipmentShare.com Inc. | $18.86 | -1.71% | $4.76B | 56 |
| AOHLF Autohellas S.A. | $13.63 | +0.00% | $654.46M | 40 |
| BRRAF Barloworld Limited | $5.72 | +0.00% | $1.07B | 41 |
| BRRAY Barloworld Limited | $15.50 | +0.00% | $2.92B | 41 |
| AFDG African Discovery Group, Inc. | $6.09 | +5.84% | $6.81M | 42 |
AI Score by Stock Expert AI · Price data: FMP / Yahoo Finance
What Are CTOS's Key Strengths?
- Comprehensive service offerings.
- Focus on infrastructure-related industries.
- Extensive equipment fleet.
- Established market presence.
What Are CTOS's Weaknesses?
- Negative profit margin.
- Dependence on cyclical industries.
- High capital expenditures.
- Potential for equipment obsolescence.
What Could Drive CTOS Stock Higher?
- Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act driving demand for infrastructure development and equipment rentals.
- Potential acquisitions to expand service offerings and geographic reach.
- Increasing demand for environmentally friendly equipment.
What Are the Key Risks for CTOS?
- Financial-distress signal — its Altman Z-Score of 1.05 sits in the distress zone (elevated bankruptcy risk).
- Negative return on equity (-2.2%) — the business is not currently generating profit on shareholder capital.
- Economic downturns impacting infrastructure spending.
- Increased competition in the equipment rental market.
- Fluctuations in equipment prices affecting profitability.
- Dependence on cyclical industries.
What Are the Growth Opportunities for CTOS?
- Expansion of Equipment Rental Fleet: Custom Truck One Source can grow by expanding its equipment rental fleet to meet increasing demand from infrastructure projects. The market for equipment rental in North America is estimated to reach $60 billion by 2028. Strategic investments in new and specialized equipment can attract new customers and increase market share. This expansion can be achieved within the next 2-3 years.
- Geographic Expansion: The company can expand its geographic presence beyond its current North American focus. Entering new markets, such as Europe or Asia, can diversify revenue streams and reduce reliance on the North American market. The global equipment rental market is projected to reach $150 billion by 2027, offering significant growth potential. This expansion could begin within the next 3-5 years.
- Strategic Acquisitions: Custom Truck One Source can pursue strategic acquisitions to expand its service offerings and geographic reach. Acquiring complementary businesses in the equipment rental, sales, or aftermarket services sectors can create synergies and increase market share. The company has a history of acquisitions, and further deals could accelerate growth. Potential acquisition targets could be identified and integrated within the next 1-2 years.
- Increased Focus on Aftermarket Services: The company can increase its focus on aftermarket parts and services to generate recurring revenue streams. The aftermarket services market for heavy equipment is estimated to be worth $30 billion annually. By providing comprehensive maintenance and repair services, Custom Truck One Source can build long-term relationships with its customers and increase customer lifetime value. This initiative can be implemented within the next year.
- Leveraging Technology for Fleet Management: Implementing advanced technology solutions for fleet management can improve operational efficiency and reduce costs. Telematics, IoT sensors, and data analytics can provide real-time insights into equipment utilization, maintenance needs, and fuel consumption. This can lead to better decision-making and improved profitability. The market for fleet management solutions is projected to reach $40 billion by 2029. Implementation can begin immediately with phased rollout over the next 1-2 years.
What Opportunities Does CTOS Have?
- Expansion of equipment rental fleet.
- Geographic expansion.
- Strategic acquisitions.
- Increased focus on aftermarket services.
What Threats Does CTOS Face?
- Economic downturns.
- Increased competition.
- Fluctuations in equipment prices.
- Regulatory changes.
What Are CTOS's Competitive Advantages?
- Specialized equipment expertise.
- Comprehensive service offerings.
- Established relationships with key customers.
- Extensive equipment fleet.
What Does CTOS Do?
Custom Truck One Source, Inc., founded in 1988 and headquartered in Kansas City, Missouri, provides specialized equipment rental services to the electric utility transmission and distribution, telecommunications, rail, and other infrastructure-related industries in North America. Originally known as Nesco Holdings, Inc., the company rebranded to Custom Truck One Source, Inc. in April 2021. The company operates through three segments: Equipment Rental Solutions, Truck and Equipment Sales, and Aftermarket Parts and Services. The Equipment Rental Solutions segment owns a diverse fleet of new and used specialty equipment, including truck-mounted aerial lifts, cranes, service trucks, dump trucks, trailers, and digger derricks. The Truck and Equipment Sales segment offers new equipment for sale, customized to meet specific customer needs across various end-markets. The Aftermarket Parts and Services segment provides comprehensive maintenance and repair services, along with the sale of specialized aftermarket parts, ensuring the longevity and optimal performance of its equipment. Custom Truck One Source aims to be a one-stop shop for its customers' equipment and service needs, providing a comprehensive suite of solutions tailored to the demands of the infrastructure sector.
What Products and Services Does CTOS Offer?
- Provides equipment rental solutions for infrastructure projects.
- Sells new and used specialty equipment.
- Offers truck-mounted aerial lifts and cranes.
- Provides aftermarket parts and services.
- Maintains and repairs trucks and equipment.
- Caters to the electric utility and telecommunications industries.
- Offers customized equipment solutions.
How Does CTOS Make Money?
- Generates revenue through equipment rentals.
- Generates revenue through equipment sales.
- Generates revenue through aftermarket parts sales.
- Generates revenue through maintenance and repair services.
What Industry Does CTOS Operate In?
Custom Truck One Source operates within the industrial rental and leasing services sector, which is experiencing growth driven by infrastructure development and modernization projects. The industry is characterized by high capital expenditures and specialized equipment requirements. Key trends include increasing demand for environmentally friendly equipment and the adoption of digital technologies for fleet management. The competitive landscape includes both large national players and smaller regional companies. Custom Truck One Source differentiates itself through its comprehensive service offerings and focus on specific infrastructure-related industries.
Who Are CTOS's Key Customers?
- Electric utility companies.
- Telecommunications companies.
- Rail companies.
- Infrastructure contractors.
Custom Truck One Source, Inc. (CTOS) Valuation Context
Valued at $2.30B, CTOS is classified as a mid-cap stock. Relative to its peer group, CTOS's quantitative score of 31/100 is below the peer average of 56/100.
CTOS Revenue & Earnings Trend
In Q1 2026, CTOS generated $461.6M in top-line revenue, marking a sequential decrease of 12.6%. The company recorded a net loss of $4.1M, with diluted EPS of $-0.02. Quarter-over-quarter revenue has been mixed, typical for a mid-cap company operating in Industrials. Across the four most recent quarters, CTOS averaged $-0.02 in diluted EPS.
Company Profile
Custom Truck One Source, Inc. operates in the Rental & Leasing Services industry within the Industrials sector. It is headquartered in Kansas City, US. The company is led by CEO Ryan McMonagle. CTOS has traded publicly since 2017.
ROE -2%Key Financial Metrics
Return on equity for Custom Truck One Source, Inc. stands at -2.2%, a gauge of how efficiently it converts shareholder capital into profit. Return on assets is -0.5%, showing how much profit it generates from its asset base. Its free cash flow yield is -1.3%, a gauge of the cash the business throws off relative to its market value. A current ratio of 1.30 indicates the company holds enough short-term assets to cover its near-term obligations. Its earnings yield is -0.7%, the inverse of the P/E and a quick read on earnings relative to price.
F-Score 6/9Financial Health
Custom Truck One Source, Inc.'s Piotroski F-Score is 6/9, a 9-point checklist of profitability, leverage and efficiency — a middling fundamental profile. Its Altman Z-Score of 1.05 places it in the distress zone, a signal of elevated financial risk.
FY2026 estForward Outlook
Wall Street analysts project Custom Truck One Source, Inc. revenue of about $2.05B for fiscal 2026, with EPS near $0.11. The estimate reflects 5 contributing analysts.
CTOS Financials
Fundamental Snapshot
Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis · FY 2025
Bull Case vs Bear Case
Bull Case
- Recent insider buying suggests confidence in the company's future, indicating that key stakeholders believe in upcoming growth.
- Community sentiment has been leaning positive, with discussions highlighting the company's strong market position and potential for expansion.
- New contracts and partnerships in the last month have generated excitement, positioning Custom Truck One Source for increased revenue streams.
- Analysts are noting improvements in operational efficiency, which could enhance profitability moving forward.
Bear Case
- Concerns about supply chain disruptions have surfaced, potentially impacting the company's ability to deliver products on time.
- Some community members express skepticism regarding the sustainability of recent growth, fearing it may be temporary.
- Market perception is cautious due to broader economic uncertainties that could affect capital spending in the industry.
- Recent competitive pressures have intensified, leading some to question whether Custom Truck One Source can maintain its market share.
AI-generated arguments based on insider flow, news sentiment and technicals — not financial advice · March 2026
Recent Quarterly Results
| Quarter | Revenue | Net Income | EPS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 2026 | $462M | -$4M | -$0.02 |
| Q4 2025 | $528M | $21M | $0.09 |
| Q3 2025 | $482M | -$6M | -$0.03 |
| Q2 2025 | $511M | -$28M | -$0.13 |
Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis
CTOS Latest News
-
Best Cheap Stocks Under $10 to Buy Now
zacks.com · May 12, 2026
-
Is Cummins (CMI) Outperforming Other Auto-Tires-Trucks Stocks This Year?
Yahoo! Finance: CTOS News · May 12, 2026
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Can Custom Truck One Source (CTOS) Run Higher on Rising Earnings Estimates?
zacks.com · May 12, 2026
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Custom Truck One Source Says Utility Demand Is Driving Record Rental Fleet Growth
marketbeat.com · May 10, 2026
CTOS Analyst Consensus
Consensus Rating
Aggregated Buy/Hold/Sell recommendations from Benzinga, Yahoo Finance, and Finnhub for CTOS.
Price Targets
Consensus target: $11.00
CTOS MoonshotScore
What does this score mean?
The MoonshotScore rates CTOS's growth potential on a scale of 0-100 across multiple factors including innovation, market disruption, financial health, and momentum.
Classification
Industry Rental & Leasing ServicesLatest News
Best Cheap Stocks Under $10 to Buy Now
Is Cummins (CMI) Outperforming Other Auto-Tires-Trucks Stocks This Year?
Can Custom Truck One Source (CTOS) Run Higher on Rising Earnings Estimates?
Custom Truck One Source Says Utility Demand Is Driving Record Rental Fleet Growth
Leadership: Ryan McMonagle
CEO
Ryan McMonagle serves as the CEO of Custom Truck One Source, leading a workforce of 2619 employees. Information regarding his detailed career history, education, and previous roles is not available in the provided data. Further research would be needed to provide a comprehensive background on Mr. McMonagle's professional journey and credentials.
Track Record: Information regarding Ryan McMonagle's specific achievements, strategic decisions, and company milestones under his leadership is not available in the provided data. Further research would be needed to provide a comprehensive overview of his track record at Custom Truck One Source.
Custom Truck One Source, Inc. Industrials Stock: Key Questions Answered
What does Custom Truck One Source, Inc. do?
Custom Truck One Source, Inc. provides specialized equipment rental, sales, and aftermarket services to infrastructure-related industries in North America. The company operates through three segments: Equipment Rental Solutions, Truck and Equipment Sales, and Aftermarket Parts and Services. They cater to sectors like electric utility, telecommunications, and rail, offering a comprehensive suite of equipment and services to support infrastructure development and maintenance projects. Their goal is to be a one-stop shop for specialized equipment needs.
What do analysts say about CTOS stock?
Analyst consensus on Custom Truck One Source, Inc. (CTOS) is not available in the provided data. Key valuation metrics to consider include the company's market capitalization of $2.30B and gross margin of 19.9%. Growth considerations revolve around the company's ability to capitalize on infrastructure investments and expand its service offerings. Investors should conduct their own due diligence and consult with financial professionals before making any investment decisions.
What are the main risks for CTOS?
Custom Truck One Source, Inc. faces several risks, including potential economic downturns that could impact infrastructure spending. Increased competition in the equipment rental market and fluctuations in equipment prices could also affect profitability. The company's dependence on cyclical industries poses a risk, as demand for its services may decline during economic slowdowns. Investors should carefully consider these risks before investing in CTOS.
What are the key factors to evaluate for CTOS?
Custom Truck One Source, Inc. (CTOS) holds an AI score of 31/100 (low). Analysts target $11.00 (+9%). Not financial advice.
How frequently does CTOS data refresh on this page?
CTOS prices update in real time during U.S. market hours. Fundamentals refresh after quarterly filings; analyst ratings and AI insights update daily; news is aggregated continuously.
What has driven CTOS's recent stock price performance?
Custom Truck One Source, Inc. (CTOS) moves on earnings results, analyst revisions, sector rotation, and market sentiment. Notable catalyst: Comprehensive service offerings. See the News tab for the latest drivers. Past performance does not predict future results.
Should investors consider CTOS overvalued or undervalued right now?
Valuing Custom Truck One Source, Inc. (CTOS) requires multiple metrics. Analysts target $11.00 (+9%) — near fair value. Compare P/E, P/S, and EV/EBITDA against sector peers for a full view.
What research should beginners do before buying CTOS?
Before investing in Custom Truck One Source, Inc. (CTOS), research these four areas: (1) the company's revenue model and competitive position (see Company Overview), (2) financial health through revenue growth, margins, and cash flow (see MoonshotScore), (3) what Wall Street analysts recommend and their price targets (see Analyst tab), and (4) specific risk factors that could impact the stock (see Risk Factors section).
Disclaimer: This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Always do your own research and consult a financial advisor.
Official Resources
Data provided for informational purposes only.
- Financial data is based on available information and may not be fully comprehensive.
- Analyst opinions are not available in the provided data.