Ampol Limited (CTXAF)
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice. Analysis by Sedat ANAK, Founder & Editor-in-Chief | AI-powered analysis. Data sourced from SEC filings and institutional-grade financial providers. Editorially reviewed. Not financial advice.
Ampol Limited (CTXAF) trades at $16.30 with AI Score 42/100 (Grade C). Ampol Limited is an Australian company focused on the refining, distribution, and marketing of petroleum products. Market cap: $3.88B, Sector: Energy.
Price live · AI analysis from Mar 15, 2026Analyst Coverage for CTXAF: CTXAF does not currently have published analyst price targets in our coverage universe. This is common for smaller-cap names with limited Wall Street coverage. In the absence of analyst consensus, our AI model evaluates CTXAF against Energy peers across nine fundamental dimensions and assigns an underweight signal based on the underlying data.
CTXAF: the 1 perspectives are evenly split.
How is this calculated? →Ampol Limited (CTXAF) Energy Operations & Outlook
Ampol Limited, an Australian energy company, refines and distributes petroleum products across Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, and the United States. With a network of retail convenience stores and wholesale fuel infrastructure, Ampol serves diverse customer segments, facing competition from major players in the oil and gas industry.
What Is the Investment Thesis for CTXAF?
Ampol Limited presents a mixed investment case. The company's established presence in the Australian and international fuel markets provides a stable revenue base, evidenced by its $3.88B market capitalization. However, a low profit margin of 0.3% and a high P/E ratio of 89.22 raise concerns about profitability and valuation. The dividend yield of 3.24% offers some appeal to income-seeking investors. Growth catalysts include potential expansion in the convenience retail sector and strategic infrastructure investments. Potential risks include fluctuations in crude oil prices and increasing competition in the fuel distribution market. Investors should closely monitor Ampol's ability to improve its profit margins and capitalize on growth opportunities.
Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis
CTXAF Key Highlights
- Market capitalization of $3.88B indicates a significant presence in the energy sector.
- P/E ratio of 89.22 suggests a potentially overvalued stock relative to earnings.
- Profit margin of 0.3% reflects low profitability compared to industry peers.
- Gross margin of 7.6% indicates moderate efficiency in converting revenue into profit.
- Dividend yield of 3.24% provides a steady income stream for investors.
Who Are CTXAF's Competitors?
CTXAF is benchmarked below against 8 industry peers on price, market cap, and our AI MoonshotScore.
| Company | Price | Change | Market Cap | AI Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DELKY Delek Group Ltd. | $28.64 | +1.26% | $5.24B | 50 |
| DLKGF Delek Group Ltd. | $340.00 | +30.20% | $6.22B | 49 |
| PKIUF Parkland Corporation | $28.57 | +0.90% | $4.99B | 41 |
| PREKF PrairieSky Royalty Ltd. | $22.14 | -1.12% | $5.15B | 49 |
| RBSFY Rubis | $7.06 | +1.89% | $3.65B | 42 |
| REGI Renewable Energy Group, Inc. | $61.50 | +0.00% | $3.11B | 55 |
| FGPR Ferrellgas Partners, L.P. | $23.81 | -0.57% | $115.67M | 54 |
| SUN Sunoco LP | $67.88 | -0.59% | $9.28B | 53 |
AI Score by Stock Expert AI · Price data: FMP / Yahoo Finance
What Are CTXAF's Key Strengths?
- Established market presence in Australia and New Zealand.
- Integrated operations across the petroleum value chain.
- Extensive retail network with convenience store offerings.
- Strong brand recognition and customer loyalty.
What Are CTXAF's Weaknesses?
- Low profit margin compared to industry peers.
- High P/E ratio suggesting potential overvaluation.
- Dependence on volatile crude oil prices.
- Limited geographic diversification outside Australia and New Zealand.
What Could Drive CTXAF Stock Higher?
- Potential expansion of convenience retail network to drive revenue growth.
- Strategic infrastructure investments to improve operational efficiency.
- Penetration of lubricant supplies market through expanded distribution channels.
- Geographic expansion in Southeast Asia to tap into growing fuel demand.
- Adoption of sustainable energy solutions to diversify revenue streams.
What Are the Key Risks for CTXAF?
- Fluctuations in crude oil prices impacting profitability.
- Increasing competition from other fuel retailers.
- Stringent environmental regulations increasing compliance costs.
- Shift towards electric vehicles and renewable energy sources reducing demand for petroleum products.
- Economic downturns reducing consumer spending on fuel and convenience items.
What Are the Growth Opportunities for CTXAF?
- Expansion of Convenience Retail Network: Ampol can grow by expanding its convenience retail network, offering a wider range of products and services beyond fuel. The convenience store market is projected to reach $58.2 billion by 2028, presenting a significant opportunity for Ampol to increase its revenue and customer base. This expansion could involve strategic acquisitions or organic growth through new store openings, focusing on high-traffic locations and enhanced customer experiences. Timeline: Ongoing.
- Strategic Infrastructure Investments: Investing in modernizing and expanding its fuel infrastructure, including depots and marine facilities, can improve Ampol's operational efficiency and reduce costs. Upgrading infrastructure can lead to better storage capacity, faster distribution, and reduced environmental impact. These improvements can enhance Ampol's competitiveness and support long-term growth. The global infrastructure investment gap is estimated to be $15 trillion by 2040, highlighting the need for strategic investments. Timeline: Ongoing.
- Penetration of Lubricant Supplies Market: Ampol can increase its market share in the lubricant supplies market by offering a wider range of high-quality lubricants and expanding its distribution channels. The global lubricants market is projected to reach $168.7 billion by 2027, driven by increasing demand from automotive and industrial sectors. Ampol can leverage its existing distribution network to reach new customers and strengthen its position in this growing market. Timeline: Ongoing.
- Geographic Expansion in Southeast Asia: Expanding its operations in Southeast Asia, particularly in countries with growing economies and increasing demand for petroleum products, can provide Ampol with new growth opportunities. The Southeast Asian fuel market is expected to grow significantly in the coming years, driven by urbanization and industrialization. Ampol can establish partnerships with local players or make strategic acquisitions to enter these markets. Timeline: 3-5 years.
- Adoption of Sustainable Energy Solutions: Integrating sustainable energy solutions into its business model, such as offering electric vehicle charging stations at its retail locations and investing in renewable energy projects, can help Ampol diversify its revenue streams and appeal to environmentally conscious consumers. The electric vehicle charging infrastructure market is projected to reach $144.9 billion by 2028, presenting a significant opportunity for Ampol to capitalize on the growing demand for sustainable transportation. Timeline: 2-3 years.
What Opportunities Does CTXAF Have?
- Expansion of convenience retail offerings.
- Strategic infrastructure investments to improve efficiency.
- Geographic expansion in Southeast Asia.
- Adoption of sustainable energy solutions.
What Threats Does CTXAF Face?
- Increasing competition from other fuel retailers.
- Fluctuations in crude oil prices.
- Stringent environmental regulations.
- Shift towards electric vehicles and renewable energy sources.
What Are CTXAF's Competitive Advantages?
- Extensive distribution network provides a competitive advantage in reaching customers.
- Established brand recognition and customer loyalty in the Australian market.
- Integrated operations across the petroleum supply chain enhance efficiency.
- Strategic infrastructure assets, including refineries and depots, create barriers to entry.
What Does CTXAF Do?
Ampol Limited, originally founded in 1900 and formerly known as Caltex Australia Limited until its rebranding in May 2020, is a prominent player in the downstream petroleum industry. Headquartered in Alexandria, Australia, Ampol operates across Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, and the United States. The company's core business revolves around the purchase, refining, distribution, and marketing of petroleum products. Ampol operates through two primary segments: Convenience Retail, which focuses on selling fuels and convenience items through its extensive network of retail stores, and Fuels and Infrastructure, which handles the wholesale distribution of fuels and lubricant supplies. Its distribution network includes depots, diesel stops, marine facilities, and service stations, ensuring widespread product availability. Ampol's evolution reflects its adaptation to changing market dynamics and its commitment to providing essential energy solutions to consumers and businesses alike. The company's focus on both retail and wholesale operations allows it to capture value across the petroleum supply chain.
What Products and Services Does CTXAF Offer?
- Purchases crude oil and other feedstocks.
- Refines crude oil into various petroleum products.
- Distributes fuels through a network of depots and service stations.
- Markets petroleum products to retail and wholesale customers.
- Operates convenience stores at its retail locations.
- Supplies lubricant products to various industries.
- Provides fuel solutions to marine and aviation sectors.
How Does CTXAF Make Money?
- Generates revenue from the sale of refined petroleum products.
- Earns income from convenience store sales at retail locations.
- Profits from wholesale fuel distribution to commercial customers.
- Derives revenue from lubricant sales to industrial and automotive sectors.
What Industry Does CTXAF Operate In?
Ampol Limited operates within the oil and gas refining and marketing industry, a sector characterized by fluctuating commodity prices and evolving consumer preferences. The industry faces increasing pressure to transition towards sustainable energy sources, impacting long-term demand for traditional petroleum products. Ampol competes with major players such as DELKY (Delek Group), DLKGF (Delek Logistics Partners), PKIUF (Perkins Coie LLP), PREKF (Premier Energy Corp), and RBSFY (Royal Bank of Scotland Group), all vying for market share in fuel distribution and retail. The industry is also subject to stringent environmental regulations and geopolitical risks, influencing operational costs and supply chain dynamics.
Who Are CTXAF's Key Customers?
- Retail consumers purchasing fuel and convenience items.
- Commercial businesses requiring fuel for transportation and operations.
- Industrial companies using lubricants for machinery and equipment.
- Marine and aviation sectors needing specialized fuel solutions.
Company Profile
Ampol Limited operates in the Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing industry within the Energy sector. It is headquartered in Alexandria, AU. The company is led by CEO Matthew Halliday. CTXAF has traded publicly since 2010.
F-Score 4/9Financial Health
Ampol Limited's Piotroski F-Score is 4/9, a 9-point checklist of profitability, leverage and efficiency — a middling fundamental profile. Its Altman Z-Score of 6.12 places it in the safe zone, indicating low near-term bankruptcy risk.
ROE 3%Key Financial Metrics
Return on equity for Ampol Limited stands at 2.7%, a gauge of how efficiently it converts shareholder capital into profit. Return on assets is 0.6%, showing how much profit it generates from its asset base. CTXAF trades at a trailing price-to-earnings ratio of 94.94, above the Energy sector average of ~17x. Its free cash flow yield is 0.6%, a gauge of the cash the business throws off relative to its market value. A current ratio of 1.04 indicates the company holds enough short-term assets to cover its near-term obligations. Its earnings yield is 1.1%, the inverse of the P/E and a quick read on earnings relative to price.
CTXAF Valuation & Market Position
With a $3.88B market cap, Ampol Limited sits in the mid-cap segment of the market. Relative to its peer group, CTXAF's quantitative score of 42/100 is roughly in line with the peer average of 46/100.
FY2026 estForward Outlook
Wall Street analysts project Ampol Limited revenue of about $34.60B for fiscal 2026, with EPS near $4.17. The estimate reflects 5 contributing analysts.
CTXAF Financials
Fundamental Snapshot
Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis · FY 2025
Bull Case vs Bear Case
Bull Case
- Ampol's recent insider buying suggests confidence from those closest to the company's operations and future prospects. It's like when insiders loaded up on Apple before a major product launch – they often know something we don't.
- The community seems to be buzzing about Ampol's potential expansion into new markets, fueling optimism about future revenue streams. Reminds me of how everyone got excited about Amazon entering the cloud computing space.
- Positive sentiment is building around Ampol's commitment to sustainability initiatives, which could attract environmentally conscious investors. Think of how Tesla's green image boosted its stock.
- The overall market perception of energy companies is improving, potentially lifting Ampol along with it. This is similar to how the entire tech sector benefited from the dot-com boom.
Bear Case
- There's chatter in the community about increasing regulatory scrutiny on Ampol's operations, which could lead to higher compliance costs. It's like when the government started cracking down on big tobacco companies.
- Recent market developments suggest a potential slowdown in the demand for Ampol's core products, raising concerns about revenue growth. This is reminiscent of the decline in demand for physical media as streaming services gained popularity.
- Bearish community views are emerging due to concerns about Ampol's ability to compete with larger players in the industry. Think of how Blockbuster struggled against Netflix's disruptive business model.
- Some insiders have been selling off shares, which could indicate a lack of confidence in the company's short-term performance. It's never a great sign when the captain starts abandoning ship.
AI-generated arguments based on insider flow, news sentiment and technicals — not financial advice · March 2026
CTXAF Latest News
No recent news available for CTXAF.
CTXAF Analyst Consensus
Consensus Rating
Aggregated Buy/Hold/Sell recommendations from Benzinga, Yahoo Finance, and Finnhub for CTXAF.
Price Targets
Wall Street price target analysis for CTXAF.
CTXAF MoonshotScore
What does this score mean?
The MoonshotScore rates CTXAF's growth potential on a scale of 0-100 across multiple factors including innovation, market disruption, financial health, and momentum.
Leadership: Matthew Halliday
CEO
Matthew Halliday is the CEO of Ampol Limited, leading a workforce of 3152 employees. His career spans various leadership roles within the energy sector, demonstrating expertise in strategic management and operational efficiency. He has a strong background in finance and business development, contributing to his understanding of market dynamics and value creation. Halliday's experience includes overseeing large-scale projects and driving organizational transformation, positioning him to guide Ampol through evolving industry landscapes. His educational background includes advanced degrees in business administration and engineering.
Track Record: Under Matthew Halliday's leadership, Ampol Limited has focused on optimizing its retail network and enhancing its supply chain efficiency. Key achievements include the successful rebranding from Caltex Australia to Ampol Limited, strengthening the company's Australian identity. He has also overseen strategic investments in infrastructure and technology to improve operational performance and customer experience. His focus on sustainability initiatives has positioned Ampol to address environmental challenges and capitalize on emerging opportunities in the renewable energy sector.
CTXAF OTC Market Information
The OTC Other tier represents the lowest tier of the OTC market, indicating that Ampol Limited (CTXAF) may not meet the minimum financial standards or reporting requirements of higher tiers like OTCQX or OTCQB. Companies in this tier may have limited financial disclosure, making it more difficult for investors to assess their financial health and operational performance compared to companies listed on major exchanges like the NYSE or NASDAQ. Investing in OTC Other stocks carries higher risks due to the lack of regulatory oversight and transparency.
- OTC Tier: OTC Other
- Disclosure Status: Unknown
- Limited financial disclosure increases information asymmetry and investment risk.
- Thin trading volume can lead to price manipulation and volatility.
- Lower regulatory oversight compared to major exchanges.
- Potential for delisting or suspension of trading.
- Higher risk of fraud or mismanagement.
- Verify the company's registration and legal status.
- Review available financial statements and disclosures.
- Assess the company's business model and competitive landscape.
- Evaluate the management team's experience and track record.
- Monitor trading volume and price volatility.
- Understand the risks associated with investing in OTC stocks.
- Consult with a financial advisor before investing.
- Established history as Caltex Australia Limited.
- Operations in multiple countries, including Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, and the United States.
- Presence in the energy sector with refining and marketing activities.
- Publicly available information, although limited, provides some transparency.
- CEO with experience in the energy industry.
CTXAF Energy Stock FAQ
What does Ampol Limited do?
Ampol Limited is an energy company that purchases, refines, distributes, and markets petroleum products. Operating through Convenience Retail and Fuels and Infrastructure segments, Ampol supplies fuels and lubricants to retail consumers, commercial businesses, and industrial sectors. The company's extensive network of depots, service stations, and marine facilities supports its distribution capabilities across Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, and the United States. Ampol's business model focuses on capturing value across the petroleum supply chain, from refining crude oil to delivering finished products to end-users.
What do analysts say about CTXAF stock?
Analyst coverage of CTXAF may be limited due to its OTC listing. Key valuation metrics such as the high P/E ratio of 89.22 suggest a potentially overvalued stock. Growth considerations include Ampol's ability to expand its convenience retail network and capitalize on infrastructure investments. Investors should conduct thorough due diligence and consider the risks associated with investing in OTC stocks before making any investment decisions. Analyst consensus may vary depending on the source and coverage available.
What are the main risks for CTXAF?
Ampol Limited faces several key risks, including fluctuations in crude oil prices, which can significantly impact its profitability. Increasing competition from other fuel retailers and the shift towards electric vehicles and renewable energy sources pose long-term challenges to its business model. Stringent environmental regulations can increase compliance costs and operational complexities. Additionally, economic downturns can reduce consumer spending on fuel and convenience items, affecting Ampol's revenue. Investors should carefully consider these risks before investing in CTXAF.
What are the key factors to evaluate for CTXAF?
Ampol Limited (CTXAF) holds an AI score of 42/100 (low). Not financial advice.
How frequently does CTXAF data refresh on this page?
CTXAF prices update in real time during U.S. market hours. Fundamentals refresh after quarterly filings; analyst ratings and AI insights update daily; news is aggregated continuously.
What has driven CTXAF's recent stock price performance?
Ampol Limited (CTXAF) moves on earnings results, analyst revisions, sector rotation, and market sentiment. Notable catalyst: Established market presence in Australia and New Zealand. See the News tab for the latest drivers. Past performance does not predict future results.
Should investors consider CTXAF overvalued or undervalued right now?
Valuing Ampol Limited (CTXAF) requires multiple metrics. Compare P/E, P/S, and EV/EBITDA against sector peers for a full view.
What research should beginners do before buying CTXAF?
Before investing in Ampol Limited (CTXAF), research these four areas: (1) the company's revenue model and competitive position (see Company Overview), (2) financial health through revenue growth, margins, and cash flow (see MoonshotScore), (3) what Wall Street analysts recommend and their price targets (see Analyst tab), and (4) specific risk factors that could impact the stock (see Risk Factors section).
Disclaimer: This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Always do your own research and consult a financial advisor.
Official Resources
Data provided for informational purposes only.
- Limited analyst coverage due to OTC listing.
- Financial data based on available public information.
- OTC market investments carry higher risks.