Dollar Tree, Inc. (DLTR) Stock: Price, Forecast & Analyst Target
Dollar Tree, Inc. (DLTR) — MoonshotScore 87/100 (Exceptional band), calculated Oct 4, 2026. Price $112.16 (-1.98%), as of the Oct 2, 2026 trading session; market cap $21.6B. Expected results Dec 2, 2026.
Educational signal · not a buy or sell recommendation · How to read this
Market value / cash and short-term investments: 20.41× (market value Oct 2, 2026; cash Aug 1, 2026) · expected results Dec 2, 2026
Dollar Tree, Inc. · DLTR · NASDAQ · Consumer Defensive · Discount Stores
Research dated 2026-09-12: Dollar Tree sells consumables, household goods, gifts, party supplies and seasonal merchandise through a low-price store model built around a consistent price architecture. Durable margin and cash gains now depend on whether that architecture can absorb reinvestment and merchandise-cost pressure without requiring strong sales acceleration.
Price as of Oct 2, 2026
Key Statistics
MoonshotScore v2 · Dollar Tree (DLTR)
ExceptionalWhy this rating? Method, drivers & history
Bands for the MoonshotScore: Exceptional 80-100 · Strong 65-79 · Fair 45-64 · Weak below 45.
- Business Quality — Is this a genuinely good business?
- Financial Safety — Could this blow up on me?
- Valuation — Am I paying a fair price?
- Growth Durability — Is the growth real and likely to last?
- Momentum — Is the market already moving on this?
Elite quality and elite growth, though the balance sheet is only decent; the market is already moving on it. Business Quality: Elite; Financial Safety: Sound; Valuation: Fair; Growth Durability: Compounding; Momentum: Rising.
- quarterly revenue $4.89B (Q2 FY2026, quarter ended Aug 2026)
- EPS beat 7 of 8
- Altman Z 3.55 · Piotroski F 8
Helping: business quality, durable growth, positive momentum
What has the MoonshotScore done over time?
| Recorded | Score | Band |
|---|---|---|
| 80 | Strong | |
| 86 | Exceptional | |
| 86 | Exceptional | |
| 86 | Exceptional | |
| 87 | Exceptional | |
| 87 | Exceptional |
The score moved from 86 in the stored Oct 3, 2026 snapshot to 87 in the current publication computed Oct 4, 2026 (+1); the largest pillar moves were Financial Safety +1 and Momentum +1.
Calculation uses the most recent completed US trading session. Live price changes do not update the score immediately.
Computed · Educational signal · not a buy or sell recommendation · How the MoonshotScore is computed →
Price & valuation
| Measure | Value |
|---|---|
| Latest provided price | $112.16 |
| Change on the day | -1.98% |
| 52-week range | $84.71–$142.40 |
| Market capitalisation | $21.6B |
| Price / earnings (trailing) | 13.68 |
| Shares traded on the day | 1.63M |
| Beta (volatility vs the S&P 500) | 0.66 |
Price & events
Triangles mark reported quarters on the line: pointing up is above the recorded estimate, down is below, a diamond means no estimate on file or a dated event that is not a results report. Numbers key to the dated list. Point at or tab to any week for its close.
Events behind the price
- · Earnings results · above the recorded estimate
- · Earnings results · above the recorded estimate
- · Earnings results · above the recorded estimate
- · Earnings call · management outlook
- · Earnings results · above the recorded estimate
Results dates follow the earnings feed; call dates follow the transcript provider. Nearby dates do not establish that an event caused a price move.
Upcoming events
Management outlook
Given the second quarter performance, updated tariff regime and net tariff refund benefit, updated TSA income and net interest expense assumption, we now expect adjusted diluted earnings per share in the range of $7.70 to $8.05, including an approximately $0.60 benefit related to the net impact of tariff refunds.
Stewart Glendinning · Statement from
So $210 million that we're going to reinvest for the full year, that's $80 million impacting gross margin and $130 million impacting SG&A.
Stewart Glendinning · Statement from
Statement dates identify the earnings call, not a deadline. Management expectations and provider estimates can change.
Read management statementsOther perspectives
Council score for Dollar Tree (DLTR): perspectives
Council is a separate blend of available disciplines; MoonshotScore above remains the five-pillar research rating.
4-Factor Breakdown
Legends Council
6 lenses, 0 current
AI simulations built from the named investors' published principles. Not affiliated with, endorsed by, or the opinion of these individuals. How these lenses are built
Read on: Sep 24, 2026 · older than the 27 hours refresh window; not a current reading
Munger's Mindset
Balance Sheet & Valuation · historical
Read on: Sep 10, 2026 · older than the 27 hours refresh window; not a current reading
How to read these bars and different assessments
Council is a separate blend of available disciplines; MoonshotScore above remains the five-pillar research rating.
Bars show each model's ordered assessment on its own scale, not a probability or a comparable investment return. The adjacent words give the assessment; more filled segments indicate a stronger model reading.
On Sep 10, 2026, the Munger lens read the price at that time as fairly valued against its own estimate of value.
Readings on this page are from Oct 5, 2026, except a card that shows its own read date.
Watch the DLTR film — every key number, told as a short cinematic story
~2 min · open the film
What is Dollar Tree (DLTR), and what does it report?
Short answer · as of
The namesake chain is more than a basic-goods retailer: routine purchases share the assortment with toys, crafts, stationery, party goods and seasonal merchandise.
Research dated 2026-09-12.
The namesake chain is more than a basic-goods retailer: routine purchases share the assortment with toys, crafts, stationery, party goods and seasonal merchandise. That mix makes basket composition and merchandise margin as important as demand for necessities.
The corporate business description covers Dollar Tree and Family Dollar, with consistent pricing at the namesake format and varying prices at Family Dollar. The latest segment presentation assigns revenue to Dollar Tree, making the current reporting shape narrower than the broader operating description and complicating comparisons with earlier consolidated periods.
What do the latest results show for Dollar Tree (DLTR)?
Short answer · as of
The most recent reported quarter, Q2 FY2026, carried revenue of $4.89B.
Research dated 2026-09-12.
Revenue eased from the preceding period but remained above the comparable earlier period, while gross profit, operating income, net income and diluted earnings advanced sharply. Reported revenue and earnings also cleared expectations, indicating that margin recovery rather than rapid sales expansion supplied most of the improvement.
Management’s outlook incorporates a tariff-refund benefit and a substantial reinvestment program divided between gross margin and overhead. It expects gross margin to remain roughly level in the near term before declining later, separating the reported recovery from the more demanding margin path ahead.
Where is operating spending going?
Revenue alongside research and development, selling, general and administrative expenses, and the FMP standardized operating result.
- Latest quarter · revenue
- $4.89B Aug 1, 2026
- Latest quarter · SG&A
- $1.43B Aug 1, 2026
- Latest quarter · FMP standardized operating result
- $690.10M Aug 1, 2026
| Period end | Revenue | R&D | SG&A | FMP standardized operating result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 1, 2026 | $4.89B | Not available | $1.43B | $690.10M |
| May 2, 2026 | $4.98B | Not available | $1.38B | $473.30M |
| Jan 31, 2026 | $5.45B | Not available | $1.46B | $671.60M |
| Nov 1, 2025 | $4.75B | Not available | $1.39B | $319.50M |
USD. The operating result is the FMP-standardized value supplied by FMP; it may differ from a filing’s GAAP loss from operations when the provider classifies separately presented items differently. It is not net income or cash flow.
Did results meet expectations?
Reported earnings and revenue alongside the estimates recorded by the provider.
- Latest report · revenue
- $4.89B Aug 27, 2026
- Latest report · revenue estimate
- $4.86B Aug 27, 2026
- Latest report · revenue vs estimate
- Above estimate Aug 27, 2026
- Latest report · EPS vs estimate
- Above estimate Aug 27, 2026
| Report date | Revenue · reported | Revenue · estimate | EPS · reported | EPS · estimate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 27, 2026 | $4.89B | $4.86B | $2.7000 | $1.1500 |
| May 28, 2026 | $4.98B | $4.96B | $1.7400 | $1.5300 |
| Mar 16, 2026 | $5.45B | $5.46B | $2.5600 | $2.5300 |
| Dec 3, 2025 | $4.75B | $4.70B | $1.2100 | $1.0900 |
Dates are report dates, not fiscal period ends. Revenue is in USD; EPS is USD per share, rounded to four decimals. The earnings feed does not establish a basic, diluted or adjusted basis. Earnings-feed EPS may differ from statement EPS; the two series are not combined.
Quarterly income statement — 4 quarters
| Period | Revenue | Net income | EPS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 FY2026 | $4.89B | $515M | $2.70 (diluted) |
| Q1 FY2026 | $4.98B | $347M | $1.76 (diluted) |
| Q4 FY2025 | $5.45B | $506M | $2.53 (diluted) |
| Q3 FY2025 | $4.75B | $245M | $1.20 (diluted) |
What are the financial strengths and risks for Dollar Tree (DLTR)?
Short answer
Cash and short-term investments were $1.06B at the Aug 1, 2026 balance-sheet date. Operating cash flow was $921.50M for the quarter ended Aug 1, 2026, meaning operations generated cash. These figures do not establish a cash runway.
Research dated 2026-09-12.
Operating cash flow stayed positive throughout the displayed history and recently covered capital spending by a wide margin. Cash has rebuilt from its recent low, while profitability, free-cash-flow and financial-quality screens currently present a stronger picture than the earlier annual losses.
Debt nevertheless stands far above cash, leaving meaningful net leverage despite adequate current liquidity. Margin pressure is the specific operating vulnerability: planned spending reaches gross profit and overhead, while management already anticipates a later gross-margin decline.
How much cash does the business generate or use?
Quarterly operating cash flow shows cash generated or used by operations.
- Latest quarter · operating cash flow
- $921.50M Aug 1, 2026
- Previous quarter · operating cash flow
- $644.00M May 2, 2026
| Period end | Operating cash flow | Capital expenditure (reported) |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 1, 2026 | $921.50M | −$246.30M |
| May 2, 2026 | $644.00M | −$252.90M |
| Jan 31, 2026 | $1.23B | −$262.40M |
| Nov 1, 2025 | $193.70M | −$376.40M |
Operating cash-flow bars share one scale and show magnitude; negative values mean cash used.
USD. Negative operating cash flow means cash used. Capital expenditure keeps the provider’s reported sign; it is not added here to estimate free cash flow or runway.
What should you watch next at Dollar Tree (DLTR)?
Short answer · as of
The next earnings report is expected on Dec 2, 2026. The number it tests is the $7.91 EPS analysts carry for it.
Research dated 2026-09-12.
Gross margin should be checked against management’s sequence of near-term stability followed by later pressure, with overhead watched alongside it to determine whether operating profit can hold. Sales growth without comparable profit conversion would signal that reinvestment or merchandise economics are absorbing the benefit.
Cash generation also needs to remain comfortably above capital spending because the balance sheet carries substantial debt. Longer-range estimates imply continued revenue growth but not uninterrupted earnings growth, making margin durability more informative than the sales trajectory alone.
What management is planning
Management expectations, not completed milestones or guarantees. Selected verbatim excerpts; dates follow the transcript provider.
Given the second quarter performance, updated tariff regime and net tariff refund benefit, updated TSA income and net interest expense assumption, we now expect adjusted diluted earnings per share in the range of $7.70 to $8.05, including an approximately $0.60 benefit related to the net impact of tariff refunds.
Stewart Glendinning ·
So $210 million that we're going to reinvest for the full year, that's $80 million impacting gross margin and $130 million impacting SG&A.
Stewart Glendinning ·
And specifically, we expect the gross margin to be flattish in Q3, which benefits from cycling last year's inventory write-off.
Stewart Glendinning ·
And we expect Q4 that gross margin will be down.
Stewart Glendinning ·
How does Dollar Tree compare with its peers?
Short answer
Dollar Tree's score ranks tied for 1st of 13 in the bounded comparison shown, against 12 same-model peers. These are company scores, not expected investment returns. The set lists named competitors first, then companies in the same data-provider industry classification closest in market value; that classification is the provider's, not our judgment of business similarity.
Research dated 2026-09-12.
Dollar Tree’s namesake format organizes a broad assortment around a consistent price point, unlike Family Dollar’s varying-price approach. That distinction concentrates the economic test in assortment and margin management rather than a conventional ladder of price points.
Consumables can support recurring shopping needs, but discretionary, party and seasonal goods remain meaningful parts of the offer. The result is a discount retailer whose profit sensitivity cannot be inferred from grocery demand alone.
| Company | Price | Market value | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dollar Tree (DLTR) — this page | $112.16 | $21.6B | 87 |
| $221.19 Oct 2, 2026 | $12.2B | 87 5-pillar Oct 4, 2026 | |
| $88.06 Oct 2, 2026 | $5.32B | 83 5-pillar Oct 4, 2026 | |
| $156.00 Oct 2, 2026 | $70.9B | 80 5-pillar Oct 4, 2026 | |
| $115.68 Oct 2, 2026 | $39.4B | 77 5-pillar Oct 4, 2026 | |
| $112.87 Oct 2, 2026 | $19.3B | 75 5-pillar Oct 4, 2026 | |
| $94.95 Oct 2, 2026 | $12.1B | 74 5-pillar Oct 4, 2026 | |
| $920.65 Oct 2, 2026 | $408B | 74 5-pillar Oct 4, 2026 | |
| $118.94 Oct 2, 2026 | $26.2B | 73 5-pillar Oct 4, 2026 | |
| $170.68 Oct 2, 2026 | $5.27B | 71 5-pillar Oct 4, 2026 | |
| $104.26 Oct 2, 2026 | $830B | 67 5-pillar Oct 4, 2026 | |
| $51.89 Oct 2, 2026 | $18.4B | 60 5-pillar Oct 4, 2026 | |
| $106.72 Oct 2, 2026 | $20.5B | 50 5-pillar Oct 4, 2026 |
Only 5-pillar scores are ranked together. Other models are not directly comparable. Price and score dates are shown separately; market-value dates are unavailable.
The records behind this page
Analyst targets & estimates
What analysts have on file
- Price target, low to high
- $121.00 – $160.00
- Consensus target
- $139.33
- Median target
- $138.00
- Revenue estimate
- $20.68B
- EPS estimate
- $7.91
Consensus record · Captured .
Measured against a quoted price of $112.16 (as of Oct 2, 2026).
Insider activity
Form 4 records via FMP · Of the newest 60 records, those within the last 180 days, newest dated Oct 1, 2026
- Transactions
- 35
- Identified insiders
- 12
- Purchases
- 0
- Sales
- 14
- Other transactions
- 21
Purchases and sales use the reported transaction category. Other transactions include awards, exercises, gifts, withholding and unclassified activity; an acquisition or disposition alone is not a purchase or sale. These records do not establish intent.
Who holds the shares?
Institutional ownership reported through 13F filings.
- Reporting holders
- 907 Period end Jun 30, 2026
- Previous quarter · holders
- 909 Prior to period end Jun 30, 2026
| Holders in provider snapshot | Shares |
|---|---|
| Fmr LLC | 24,960,305 |
| Blackrock, INC. | 15,926,906 |
| Vanguard Capital Management LLC | 11,885,619 |
| Edgepoint Investment Group INC. | 9,581,598 |
| State Street Corp | 8,941,412 |
Quarterly filings lag the period end. Holder rows are names in the provider snapshot, not a verified ranking; individual filing dates are not supplied. Related managers may appear separately, so these positions are not summed. Holder snapshot as of Jun 30, 2026.
What has been published about Dollar Tree (DLTR)?
DLTR Consumer Defensive Stock FAQ
Research dated 2026-09-12; the answers below are from that research, and the full attribution is under Sources. The last 2 questions are answered from this page's own dated data, not from the research.
How does Dollar Tree’s consistent-price model affect profitability?
A consistent price architecture makes merchandise mix and gross margin especially consequential because the format does not rely on a broad price ladder. Recent profit expansion shows the operating leverage when gross profit improves, while management’s later margin warning identifies the reverse risk.
Is Dollar Tree’s latest profit improvement supported by cash generation?
Operating cash flow remained positive and recently exceeded capital spending by a wide margin, supporting the earnings improvement with cash generation. The cash balance also recovered from its recent low.
How do tariff refunds and reinvestment affect Dollar Tree’s outlook?
Management’s earnings outlook includes a benefit from tariff refunds, while planned reinvestment weighs on gross margin and overhead. The outlook therefore contains a favorable item alongside spending that may limit how much recent margin strength carries forward.
Why can Dollar Tree revenue history look discontinuous around Family Dollar?
The broader business description includes Family Dollar, but the latest segment presentation attributes revenue to Dollar Tree. Comparisons across the historical series can therefore reflect reporting scope as well as underlying retail performance.
What is the DLTR stock price today?
The last price recorded on this page for Dollar Tree, Inc. (DLTR) is $112.16, as of the Oct 2, 2026 trading session (source: Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) · quote). It is a provider snapshot, not a live exchange feed, so check a brokerage quote before you trade.
What is the DLTR price target?
The analyst consensus price target for Dollar Tree, Inc. (DLTR) is $139.33 (range $121.00 to $160.00, median $138.00), per FMP data captured Oct 4, 2026. Targets are analyst opinions and change often; they are not a Stock Expert AI forecast.
Disclaimer: This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Always do your own research and consult a financial advisor.
Research written by Codex (gpt-5.6-sol) on 2026-09-12. AI-authored analysis; source dates are shown with each answer. Editorial oversight is systemic, not page-by-page. Editorially accountable: Sedat ANAK, Founder and Editor-in-Chief.
Sources — records for every figure on this page (80 figures)
The 80 rows below are exactly the facts the evidence-backed sections of this page printed — the 10-second verdict, the MoonshotScore, price and market value, the five questions with their receipts, and the records behind this page. Known dates and sources are recorded on their own rows; an em dash or UNRECORDED tier preserves a stored observation without inventing either. The quarterly income statement is provider-standardized (FMP) under one row, and scale definitions — a 0-100 rating, the band ladder, the Piotroski 0–9 range — are fixed rather than measured. No number in those sections was generated by a model. The register does not cover quoted third-party headlines, the dated council readings, or the Frequently Asked Questions; each of those says where it came from where it stands.
"As of" is the date the value is true for where the source carries one — a quarter end, a filing date, a price close, the day the score was computed. A cached observation with no source date remains undated; the page publication date is not used as a substitute.
OFFICIAL — 2 facts from SEC filings and earnings calls
| Fact ID | Fact | Value as shown | As of | Tier | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
prod.outlook | Management outlook — call excerpts | Stewart Glendinning (Aug 27, 2026): Given the second quarter performance, updated tariff regime and net tariff refund benefit, updated TSA income and net interest expense assumption, we now expect adjusted diluted earnings per share in the range of $7.70 to $8.05, including an approximately $0.60 benefit related to the net impact of tariff refunds. Stewart Glendinning (Aug 27, 2026): So $210 million that we're going to reinvest for the full year, that's $80 million impacting gross margin and $130 million impacting SG&A. Stewart Glendinning (Aug 27, 2026): And specifically, we expect the gross margin to be flattish in Q3, which benefits from cycling last year's inventory write-off. Stewart Glendinning (Aug 27, 2026): And we expect Q4 that gross margin will be down. | OFFICIAL | Company earnings call, transcript via Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) — Selected verbatim statements from the latest available call, dated by the transcript provider. Management expectations, not completed milestones or guarantees. Relative dates retain the speaker's wording. | |
id.hq | SEC filing business address | 500 Volvo Parkway, N/A, Chesapeake, VA, 23320 | OFFICIAL | SEC EDGAR filer business address — The SEC filer business address. Our market-data provider separately lists "500 Volvo Parkway, Chesapeake, VA, 23320, US". |
FMP — 69 facts from Financial Modeling Prep endpoint families
| Fact ID | Fact | Value as shown | As of | Tier | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
earn.next | Next earnings date | Dec 2, 2026 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings calendar — The date is our provider's estimate until the company confirms it. | |
px.last | Latest provided price | $112.16 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) · quote — Dated to the US trading session the price belongs to, derived from the quote record's timestamp (weekend and pre-open reads roll back to the previous weekday; exchange holidays are not modelled). The record does not establish an exchange execution time. Retrieved 2026-10-04T21:04:44.297Z. | |
px.change | Change on the day | -1.98% | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) · quote | |
px.mcap | Market capitalisation | $21.6B | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) · quote — Date unknown Market cap record date: 2026-10-02. FMP quote timestamp: 2026-10-02T20:00:01.000Z. Captured from FMP at 2026-10-04T21:04:43.043Z. No share-count basis is inferred; this page preserves the reported amount instead of recalculating it from shares. | |
px.change_abs | Change on the day, in dollars | −$2.27 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) · quote | |
fin.q_revenue | Revenue, Q2 FY2026 | $4.89B | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) · income statement (quarterly) | |
px.range52 | 52-week range | $84.71–$142.40 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) quote | |
px.pe | Price / earnings (trailing) | 13.68 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) · quote | |
px.volume | Shares traded on the day | 1.63M | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) · quote | |
px.beta | Beta | 0.66 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) company profile | |
id.ceo | Chief executive | Michael C. Creedon Jr. | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) key executives (proxy-derived) — Titles and pay come from the company's proxy statement as our provider parsed it. | |
id.founder | Founder named in the filing | H. Ray Compton — Co-Founder | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) key executives (proxy-derived) — Titles and pay come from the company's proxy statement as our provider parsed it. | |
id.employees | Employees | 150,000 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) employee count, from the company's filing | |
fin.annual | Revenue and net result by fiscal year | 5 fiscal years, FY2022 through FY2026: FY2022 revenue $26.32B, net result $1.33B; FY2023 revenue $15.41B, net result $1.62B; FY2024 revenue $16.78B, net result −$998.40M; FY2025 revenue $17.58B, net result −$3.03B; FY2026 revenue $19.41B, net result $1.28B | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-K income statements | |
fin.rev_mix | Reported revenue segments | Dollar Tree $19.40B | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) revenue segmentation, from the company's 10-K | |
fin.gross_margin | Gross margin (trailing twelve months) | 38.7% | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) key-metrics-ttm + ratios-ttm — A ratio our provider could not compute is absent rather than shown as zero. | |
fin.q_table.depth.2026-08-01.revenue_k | Revenue — period end 2026-08-01 | $4.89B | Period end · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-Q and 10-K income statements — Quarterly statement note |
fin.q_table.depth.2026-08-01.sga_k | SG&A — period end 2026-08-01 | $1.43B | Period end · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-Q and 10-K income statements — Quarterly statement note |
fin.q_table.depth.2026-08-01.operating_result_k | FMP standardized operating result — period end 2026-08-01 | $690.10M | Period end · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-Q and 10-K income statements — Quarterly statement note |
fin.q_table.depth.2026-05-02.revenue_k | Revenue — period end 2026-05-02 | $4.98B | Period end · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-Q and 10-K income statements — Quarterly statement note |
fin.q_table.depth.2026-05-02.sga_k | SG&A — period end 2026-05-02 | $1.38B | Period end · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-Q and 10-K income statements — Quarterly statement note |
fin.q_table.depth.2026-05-02.operating_result_k | FMP standardized operating result — period end 2026-05-02 | $473.30M | Period end · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-Q and 10-K income statements — Quarterly statement note |
fin.q_table.depth.2026-01-31.revenue_k | Revenue — period end 2026-01-31 | $5.45B | Period end · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-Q and 10-K income statements — Quarterly statement note |
fin.q_table.depth.2026-01-31.sga_k | SG&A — period end 2026-01-31 | $1.46B | Period end · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-Q and 10-K income statements — Quarterly statement note |
fin.q_table.depth.2026-01-31.operating_result_k | FMP standardized operating result — period end 2026-01-31 | $671.60M | Period end · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-Q and 10-K income statements — Quarterly statement note |
fin.q_table.depth.2025-11-01.revenue_k | Revenue — period end 2025-11-01 | $4.75B | Period end · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-Q and 10-K income statements — Quarterly statement note |
fin.q_table.depth.2025-11-01.sga_k | SG&A — period end 2025-11-01 | $1.39B | Period end · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-Q and 10-K income statements — Quarterly statement note |
fin.q_table.depth.2025-11-01.operating_result_k | FMP standardized operating result — period end 2025-11-01 | $319.50M | Period end · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-Q and 10-K income statements — Quarterly statement note |
earn.history.depth.2026-08-27.revenue_actual | Revenue · reported — report date 2026-08-27 | $4.89B | Report date · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings — Earnings-history note |
earn.history.depth.2026-08-27.revenue_estimated | Revenue · estimate — report date 2026-08-27 | $4.86B | Report date · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings — Earnings-history note |
earn.history.depth.2026-08-27.eps_actual | EPS · reported — report date 2026-08-27 | $2.7000 | Report date · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings — Earnings-history note |
earn.history.depth.2026-08-27.eps_estimated | EPS · estimate — report date 2026-08-27 | $1.1500 | Report date · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings — Earnings-history note |
earn.history.depth.2026-05-28.revenue_actual | Revenue · reported — report date 2026-05-28 | $4.98B | Report date · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings — Earnings-history note |
earn.history.depth.2026-05-28.revenue_estimated | Revenue · estimate — report date 2026-05-28 | $4.96B | Report date · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings — Earnings-history note |
earn.history.depth.2026-05-28.eps_actual | EPS · reported — report date 2026-05-28 | $1.7400 | Report date · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings — Earnings-history note |
earn.history.depth.2026-05-28.eps_estimated | EPS · estimate — report date 2026-05-28 | $1.5300 | Report date · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings — Earnings-history note |
earn.history.depth.2026-03-16.revenue_actual | Revenue · reported — report date 2026-03-16 | $5.45B | Report date · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings — Earnings-history note |
earn.history.depth.2026-03-16.revenue_estimated | Revenue · estimate — report date 2026-03-16 | $5.46B | Report date · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings — Earnings-history note |
earn.history.depth.2026-03-16.eps_actual | EPS · reported — report date 2026-03-16 | $2.5600 | Report date · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings — Earnings-history note |
earn.history.depth.2026-03-16.eps_estimated | EPS · estimate — report date 2026-03-16 | $2.5300 | Report date · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings — Earnings-history note |
earn.history.depth.2025-12-03.revenue_actual | Revenue · reported — report date 2025-12-03 | $4.75B | Report date · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings — Earnings-history note |
earn.history.depth.2025-12-03.revenue_estimated | Revenue · estimate — report date 2025-12-03 | $4.70B | Report date · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings — Earnings-history note |
earn.history.depth.2025-12-03.eps_actual | EPS · reported — report date 2025-12-03 | $1.2100 | Report date · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings — Earnings-history note |
earn.history.depth.2025-12-03.eps_estimated | EPS · estimate — report date 2025-12-03 | $1.0900 | Report date · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings — Earnings-history note |
fin.q_table | Quarterly income statement | 4 quarters through Q2 FY2026 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) · income statement (quarterly), as filed | |
fin.cash_investments | Cash and short-term investments | $1.06B | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's balance sheet — Long-term investments are shown separately; their marketability is not established by the provider field. The cash and short-term investment balance does not establish unrestricted availability. Long-term investments are excluded and remain unclassified. Restrictions on cash and short-term investments require separate review. | |
fin.opcf_latest | Latest-quarter operating cash flow | $921.50M | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-Q cash-flow statements — Period end: 2026-08-01. Negative operating cash flow means cash used. This figure is not a cash-runway estimate. | |
fin.long_term_investments | Long-term investments (classification unverified) | $0.00 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's balance sheet — Long-term investments are shown separately; their marketability is not established by the provider field. The cash and short-term investment balance does not establish unrestricted availability. | |
fin.total_debt | Total debt | $7.67B | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's balance sheet — Long-term investments are shown separately; their marketability is not established by the provider field. The cash and short-term investment balance does not establish unrestricted availability. | |
fin.price_to_book | Price to book value | 6.24× | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) key-metrics-ttm + ratios-ttm — A ratio our provider could not compute is absent rather than shown as zero. | |
fin.opcf.depth.2026-08-01.operating_cash_flow_m | Operating cash flow — period end 2026-08-01 | $921.50M | Period end · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-Q cash-flow statements — Cash-flow note |
fin.opcf.depth.2026-05-02.operating_cash_flow_m | Operating cash flow — period end 2026-05-02 | $644.00M | Period end · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-Q cash-flow statements — Cash-flow note |
fin.opcf.depth.2026-08-01.capex_m | Capital expenditure (reported) — period end 2026-08-01 | −$246.30M | Period end · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-Q cash-flow statements — Cash-flow note |
fin.opcf.depth.2026-05-02.capex_m | Capital expenditure (reported) — period end 2026-05-02 | −$252.90M | Period end · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-Q cash-flow statements — Cash-flow note |
fin.opcf.depth.2026-01-31.operating_cash_flow_m | Operating cash flow — period end 2026-01-31 | $1.23B | Period end · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-Q cash-flow statements — Cash-flow note |
fin.opcf.depth.2026-01-31.capex_m | Capital expenditure (reported) — period end 2026-01-31 | −$262.40M | Period end · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-Q cash-flow statements — Cash-flow note |
fin.opcf.depth.2025-11-01.operating_cash_flow_m | Operating cash flow — period end 2025-11-01 | $193.70M | Period end · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-Q cash-flow statements — Cash-flow note |
fin.opcf.depth.2025-11-01.capex_m | Capital expenditure (reported) — period end 2025-11-01 | −$376.40M | Period end · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-Q cash-flow statements — Cash-flow note |
earn.pt_range | Analyst price target, low to high | $121.00 – $160.00 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) · price-target consensus — Captured Oct 4, 2026 · Coverage not supplied | |
earn.pt_consensus | Consensus analyst price target | $139.33 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) · price-target consensus — Captured Oct 4, 2026 · Coverage not supplied | |
earn.pt_median | Median analyst price target | $138.00 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) · price-target consensus — Captured Oct 4, 2026 · Coverage not supplied | |
own.insiders | Insider transactions via FMP | 35 transactions · 0 purchases, 14 sales, 21 other transactions · 12 identified insiders · of the newest 60 records, those within the last 180 days, newest dated Oct 1, 2026 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), carrying Form 4 transaction records — Purchases and sales use the reported transaction category. Other transactions include awards, exercises, gifts, withholding and unclassified activity; an acquisition or disposition alone is not a purchase or sale. These records do not establish intent. | |
own.institutions.depth.holders | Reporting holders | 907 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) institutional ownership summary, from 13F filings — 13F filings are quarterly and lag the quarter end by up to 45 days. Period end Jun 30, 2026 | |
own.institutions.depth.holders_previous_quarter | Previous quarter · holders | 909 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) institutional ownership summary, from 13F filings — 13F filings are quarterly and lag the quarter end by up to 45 days. Prior to period end Jun 30, 2026 | |
own.top_holders.depth.holder_0.shares | Fmr LLC — shares in provider snapshot | 24,960,305 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) institutional holders, from 13F filings — Provider snapshot as of 2026-06-30; individual filing date not supplied. | |
own.top_holders.depth.holder_1.shares | Blackrock, INC. — shares in provider snapshot | 15,926,906 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) institutional holders, from 13F filings — Provider snapshot as of 2026-06-30; individual filing date not supplied. | |
own.top_holders.depth.holder_2.shares | Vanguard Capital Management LLC — shares in provider snapshot | 11,885,619 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) institutional holders, from 13F filings — Provider snapshot as of 2026-06-30; individual filing date not supplied. | |
own.top_holders.depth.holder_3.shares | Edgepoint Investment Group INC. — shares in provider snapshot | 9,581,598 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) institutional holders, from 13F filings — Provider snapshot as of 2026-06-30; individual filing date not supplied. | |
own.top_holders.depth.holder_4.shares | State Street Corp — shares in provider snapshot | 8,941,412 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) institutional holders, from 13F filings — Provider snapshot as of 2026-06-30; individual filing date not supplied. |
UNRECORDED — 4 facts from stored observations whose source was not recorded
| Fact ID | Fact | Value as shown | As of | Tier | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
earn.history | Reported versus estimated, recent quarters | EPS beat 7 of 8 | UNRECORDED | Stored earnings-history observation — Captured 2026-09-21 · Expired observation | |
fin.scores | Distress and quality screens | Altman Z 3.55 · Piotroski F 8 | UNRECORDED | Stored financial-scores observation — Captured 2026-10-04 | |
earn.est_eps | EPS estimate, FY2027 | $7.91 | UNRECORDED | Stored analyst estimates — Captured 2026-10-02 · Expired observation | |
earn.est_revenue | Revenue estimate, FY2027 | $20.68B | UNRECORDED | Stored analyst estimates — Captured 2026-10-02 · Expired observation |
COMPUTED — 3 facts from our arithmetic, formula restated
| Fact ID | Fact | Value as shown | As of | Tier | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
fin.mcap_to_cash | Market value per dollar of cash and short-term investments | 20.41× | — | COMPUTED | Computed on this page from the figures above — The market capitalisation printed on this page divided by cash and short-term investments of $1.06B at Aug 1, 2026. Long-term investments are excluded and remain unclassified. Restrictions on cash and short-term investments require separate review. Market cap record date: 2026-10-02. Balance-sheet reference date: 2026-08-01. The inputs do not establish a single common source date for this ratio. |
earn.history.depth.2026-08-27.revenue_actual.comparison | Latest report · revenue vs estimate | Above estimate | Report date · | COMPUTED | Computed from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings — Earnings-history note — Method: compare reported revenue ($4.89B) with the recorded estimate ($4.86B) at displayed precision. Equal displayed values are in line. This compares reported results with recorded estimates, not investment returns. |
earn.history.depth.2026-08-27.eps_actual.comparison | Latest report · EPS vs estimate | Above estimate | Report date · | COMPUTED | Computed from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings — Earnings-history note — Method: compare reported EPS ($2.7000) with the recorded estimate ($1.1500) at displayed precision. Equal displayed values are in line. This compares reported results with recorded estimates, not investment returns. |
OURS — 2 facts from Stock Expert AI's own score and rank
| Fact ID | Fact | Value as shown | As of | Tier | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
ours.moonshot | MoonshotScore v2 | 87 of 100 · Exceptional · pillars 88 / 66 / 61 / 90 / 73 | OURS | Stock Expert AI MoonshotScore v2 engine | |
ours.moonshot_change | MoonshotScore movement | 86 (stored snapshot Oct 3, 2026) → 87 (current publication computed Oct 4, 2026) (+1) | OURS | Stock Expert AI current score publication and immutable score snapshots |
Fact-family notes
- Quarterly statement note. Source series as of 2026-08-01. USD. The operating result is the FMP-standardized value supplied by FMP; it may differ from a filing’s GAAP loss from operations when the provider classifies separately presented items differently. It is not net income or cash flow. Applies to Fact IDs:
fin.q_table.depth.2026-08-01.revenue_k,fin.q_table.depth.2026-08-01.sga_k,fin.q_table.depth.2026-08-01.operating_result_k,fin.q_table.depth.2026-05-02.revenue_k,fin.q_table.depth.2026-05-02.sga_k,fin.q_table.depth.2026-05-02.operating_result_k,fin.q_table.depth.2026-01-31.revenue_k,fin.q_table.depth.2026-01-31.sga_k,fin.q_table.depth.2026-01-31.operating_result_k,fin.q_table.depth.2025-11-01.revenue_k,fin.q_table.depth.2025-11-01.sga_k,fin.q_table.depth.2025-11-01.operating_result_k. - Earnings-history note. Source series as of 2026-08-27. Dates are report dates, not fiscal period ends. Revenue is in USD; EPS is USD per share, rounded to four decimals. The earnings feed does not establish a basic, diluted or adjusted basis. Earnings-feed EPS may differ from statement EPS; the two series are not combined. Applies to Fact IDs:
earn.history.depth.2026-08-27.revenue_actual,earn.history.depth.2026-08-27.revenue_estimated,earn.history.depth.2026-08-27.revenue_actual.comparison,earn.history.depth.2026-08-27.eps_actual.comparison,earn.history.depth.2026-08-27.eps_actual,earn.history.depth.2026-08-27.eps_estimated,earn.history.depth.2026-05-28.revenue_actual,earn.history.depth.2026-05-28.revenue_estimated,earn.history.depth.2026-05-28.eps_actual,earn.history.depth.2026-05-28.eps_estimated,earn.history.depth.2026-03-16.revenue_actual,earn.history.depth.2026-03-16.revenue_estimated,earn.history.depth.2026-03-16.eps_actual,earn.history.depth.2026-03-16.eps_estimated,earn.history.depth.2025-12-03.revenue_actual,earn.history.depth.2025-12-03.revenue_estimated,earn.history.depth.2025-12-03.eps_actual,earn.history.depth.2025-12-03.eps_estimated. - Cash-flow note. Source series as of 2026-08-01. USD. Negative operating cash flow means cash used. Capital expenditure keeps the provider’s reported sign; it is not added here to estimate free cash flow or runway. Applies to Fact IDs:
fin.opcf.depth.2026-08-01.operating_cash_flow_m,fin.opcf.depth.2026-05-02.operating_cash_flow_m,fin.opcf.depth.2026-08-01.capex_m,fin.opcf.depth.2026-05-02.capex_m,fin.opcf.depth.2026-01-31.operating_cash_flow_m,fin.opcf.depth.2026-01-31.capex_m,fin.opcf.depth.2025-11-01.operating_cash_flow_m,fin.opcf.depth.2025-11-01.capex_m.
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Sources used for research written 2026-09-12
Historical evidence preserved with this analysis. Current figures are listed separately above.
| Evidence | Captured value | Source date | Source type | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Legal name | DOLLAR TREE, INC. Our market-data provider lists the name as "Dollar Tree, Inc."; the filer's own record is used here. | 2026-03-16 | OFFICIAL | SEC EDGAR — 10-K filed 2026-03-16 |
| Business description | Dollar Tree, Inc. (DLTR) operates as a leading discount retailer, managing its extensive operations through two principal divisions: Dollar Tree and Family Dollar. The Dollar Tree segment distinguishes itself by offering all its merchandise at a consistent price of $1.25. Its product range is broad, encompassing essential consumables like confectionery, various food items, health and personal care products, household cleaning chemicals, paper goods, and frozen or refrigerated foods. Beyond these daily necessities, customers can find a diverse selection of general merchandise, including toys, resilient housewares, gifts, stationery, party essentials, greeting cards, softline apparel, and arts and crafts supplies. The segment also prominently features seasonal items for holidays such as Christmas, Easter, Halloween, and Valentine's Day. By January 29, 2022, this division maintained a substantial presence with 8,061 retail locations across its Dollar Tree and Dollar Tree Canada brands, supported by 15 distribution centers in the U.S. and an additional two in Canada. Conversely, the Family Dollar segment functions as a general merchandise discount chain with varying prices. Its inventory is comprehensive, covering a wide array of consumable goods such as groceries, beverages, tobacco, personal care and health products, household chemicals, paper products, hardware, automotive accessories, diapers, batteries, and pet food and supplies. Additionally, the segment provides home products, which include housewares, home décor, giftware, and domestics like bedding and towels. Shoppers can also find apparel and accessories, encompassing clothing, fashion items, and footwear. Seasonal and electronics merchandise, ranging from holiday-specific goods to pre-paid cellular phones and services, along with stationery, school supplies, and toys, are also key offerings. As of January 29, 2022, the Family Dollar brand operated 8,016 stores and was supported by 11 distribution centers. Founded in 1986, Dollar Tree, Inc. is headquartered in Chesapeake, Virginia. | 2026-09-12 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) company profile |
| Sector / industry (provider taxonomy) | Consumer Defensive / Discount Stores The company's SEC filings classify it under SIC 5331 — Retail-Variety Stores. | 2026-09-12 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) company profile |
| Quarterly income statement (USD thousands) | Captured record · 8 entries
| 2026-08-01 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-Q and 10-K income statements |
| Operating cash flow by quarter (USD millions) | Captured record · 8 entries
| 2026-08-01 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-Q cash-flow statements |
| Management outlook — dated call excerpts | Captured record · 4 entries
Selected verbatim statements from the latest available call, dated by the transcript provider. Management expectations, not completed milestones or guarantees. Relative dates retain the speaker's wording. | 2026-08-27 | OFFICIAL | Company earnings call, transcript via Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) |
| Revenue by segment | Dollar Tree: $19.40B | 2026-01-31 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) revenue segmentation, from the company's 10-K |
| Annual revenue and net result (USD millions) | Captured record · 5 entries
| 2026-01-31 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-K income statements |
| Reported versus estimated, last 8 quarters | Captured record · 8 entries
| 2026-08-27 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings |
| Most recent periodic reports | 2026-08-27 | OFFICIAL | SEC EDGAR filer submissions | |
| Cash, investments and debt | Total debt: $7.67B; Liquidity basis: cash and short-term investments; Total liabilities: $10.60B; Cash and short-term investments: $1.06B; Cash and investments: $1.06B; Long-term investments: $0; Long-term investments classification: unclassified Long-term investments are shown separately; their marketability is not established by the provider field. The cash and short-term investment balance does not establish unrestricted availability. | 2026-08-01 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's balance sheet |
| Cash and investment components | Total basis: cash short and long-term investments; Total: $1.06B; Cash and short-term investments: $1.06B; Long-term investments: $0; Long-term investments classification: unclassified Sums the balance sheet's cash and short-term investments with its long-term investments.; The long-term investment field does not establish marketability; the sum is not a measure of available liquidity.; These provider fields do not establish investment access restrictions or explain differences from third-party cash figures. | 2026-08-01 | COMPUTED | Computed from the balance sheet |
| Cash and short-term investments over time (USD millions) | Captured record · 8 entries
| 2026-08-01 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's quarterly balance sheets |
| Cash against market value | As of: 2026-08-01; Cash basis: cash and short-term investments; Net cash: -$6.61B; Total debt: $7.67B; Cash and investments: $1.06B Price-based multiples captured at research time are not repeated here; the page shows each once, from current figures with their own dates. Cash is the latest reported cash and short-term investment balance; long-term investments are excluded. Market capitalization is the latest provider value.; The reported balance does not establish unrestricted availability or liquidation value.; The two are measured on different dates — the balance sheet is a quarter-end, the market cap is a recent close.; Debt is total debt as reported, including operating lease liabilities where the filer includes them. | 2026-08-01 | COMPUTED | Computed from the balance sheet and the latest market capitalization |
| Trailing twelve-month ratio set | Quick ratio: 0.39; Current ratio: 1.13; Debt to equity: 2.24; Net margin: 8%; Gross margin: 38.7%; Operating margin: 10.7%; Return on assets: 11.5%; Return on equity: 45.6% Price-based multiples captured at research time are not repeated here; the page shows each once, from current figures with their own dates. A ratio our provider could not compute is absent rather than shown as zero. | 2026-09-12 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) key-metrics-ttm + ratios-ttm |
| Distress and quality screens | Altman Z-score: 3.61; Piotroski F-score: 8 Altman Z below 1.8 is the conventional distress zone. The screen is built for manufacturers and industrials; for banks, insurers and property companies it is not a meaningful reading. | 2026-09-12 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) financial scores |
| Next earnings report | Date: 2026-12-02; EPS estimate: $0.95 per share; Revenue estimate: $5.04B The date is our provider's estimate until the company confirms it. | 2026-09-12 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings calendar |
| Analyst revenue and earnings estimates (average) | Captured record · 4 entries
| 2026-09-12 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) analyst estimates |
Data provided for informational purposes only.