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4D Molecular Therapeutics (FDMT)

$13.02 +$0.02 (+0.15%) |Weak · 25
Bottom line: SELL — our Council read (25/100) and AI Score (25/100) broadly agree. Strongest signal: Ray Dalio bullish · Biggest watch-out: Seth Klarman bearish.
MCap: $680.64M| Vol: 306.0K| Target: $33.00 (+153.5%)| 52-wk range: $3.68 – $12.34
Data from FMP · Methodology

For informational purposes only. Not financial advice. Analysis by Sedat ANAK, Founder & Editor-in-Chief | AI-powered analysis. Data sourced from SEC filings and institutional-grade financial providers. Editorially reviewed. Not financial advice.

4D Molecular Therapeutics (FDMT) trades at $13.02 with AI Score 25/100 (Grade F). 4D Molecular Therapeutics, Inc. is a clinical-stage gene therapy company developing innovative treatments using adeno-associated virus vectors. Market cap: $680.64M, Sector: Healthcare.

Price live · AI analysis from Jun 14, 2026
4D Molecular Therapeutics, Inc. is a clinical-stage gene therapy company developing innovative treatments using adeno-associated virus vectors. The company focuses on ophthalmology, cardiology, and pulmonology, with several product candidates in clinical trials.

FDMT stock analysis for 2026: Analysts have set a consensus price target of $33.00 for 4D Molecular Therapeutics, suggesting 153.5% upside from the current price of $13.02. The AI MoonshotScore is 25/100, indicating a bearish outlook. Key factors: analyst coverage, AI-driven quantitative scoring.

Council Score · Weighted Average of 3 Disciplines
SELL 25/100 · F

FDMT: 3/5 perspectives are bearish. Dominant signal: Seth Klarman bearish.

How is this calculated? →
Legends Council · 5 Legends + Moon AI
Ray Dalio
Bullish
Izzy Englander
Bearish
Seth Klarman
Bearish
Moon AI
Neutral
Council Score · 8 perspectives · See tabs for details →

4D Molecular Therapeutics (FDMT) Healthcare & Pipeline Overview

CEODavid H. Kirn
Employees227
HeadquartersEmeryVille, CA, US
IPO Year2020

4D Molecular Therapeutics, Inc. is a pioneering clinical-stage gene therapy company specializing in adeno-associated virus vectors, targeting critical therapeutic areas such as ophthalmology, cardiology, and pulmonology, with a robust pipeline of clinical candidates.

Data Provenance | Financial Data Quantitative Analysis NASDAQ Analysis: Jun 14, 2026

What Is the Investment Thesis for FDMT?

4D Molecular Therapeutics, Inc. presents a compelling investment thesis driven by its innovative gene therapy platform and a robust pipeline of clinical candidates. The company is currently advancing three product candidates in clinical trials, with potential market sizes in the billions for each therapeutic area. The ongoing collaboration with established partners such as Roche and uniQure provides additional validation and resources for the company’s research efforts. With a market capitalization of $680.64M and a focus on high-impact therapeutic areas, 4D Molecular is well-positioned to capitalize on the growing demand for gene therapies. However, investors should be mindful of the inherent risks associated with clinical-stage biotechnology companies, including regulatory hurdles and the need for successful trial outcomes.

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis

FDMT Key Highlights

  • Market capitalization of $680.64M reflects strong investor interest in gene therapy innovations.
  • Currently advancing three product candidates in Phase 1/2 clinical trials, targeting significant unmet medical needs.
  • Research collaborations with major industry players like Roche enhance development capabilities and market credibility.
  • High beta of 2.76 indicates significant volatility, typical for clinical-stage biotech firms.
  • Profit margin of -182.3% highlights the early-stage nature of the company's operations and investment in R&D.

Who Are FDMT's Competitors?

FDMT is benchmarked below against 8 industry peers on price, market cap, and our AI MoonshotScore.

Company Price Change Market Cap AI Score
RGEN Repligen Corporation $140.79 -1.13% $7.94B 76
SGMO Sangamo Therapeutics, Inc. $0.07 +0.00% $30.66M
AVTX Avalo Therapeutics, Inc. $19.93 +5.79% $225.09M
SNDX Syndax Pharmaceuticals, Inc. $22.11 +1.33% $1.96B 79
ANAB AnaptysBio, Inc. $63.69 +0.43% $2.75B 79
ABVX Abivax S.A. $145.38 +0.51% $9.53B 76
CGEN Compugen Ltd. $2.37 +3.73% $223.62M 76
GLUE Monte Rosa Therapeutics, Inc. $23.06 -4.75% $1.50B 68

AI Score by Stock Expert AI · Price data: FMP / Yahoo Finance

What Are FDMT's Key Strengths?

  • Innovative gene therapy platform with proprietary technology.
  • Strong clinical pipeline with multiple candidates in development.
  • Strategic collaborations with leading pharmaceutical companies.

What Are FDMT's Weaknesses?

  • High operational costs typical of clinical-stage biotechnology firms.
  • Negative profit margins indicating early-stage financial challenges.
  • Dependence on successful clinical trial outcomes for future growth.

What Could Drive FDMT Stock Higher?

  • Results from ongoing Phase 1/2 clinical trials for 4D-125, 4D-110, and 4D-310 are anticipated, which could significantly impact the company's valuation.
  • Strategic collaborations with Roche and uniQure continue to enhance research capabilities and market positioning.
  • Potential IND submissions for additional product candidates could expand the clinical pipeline.

What Are the Key Risks for FDMT?

  • Negative return on equity (-36.8%) — the business is not currently generating profit on shareholder capital.
  • Weak fundamentals — a Piotroski F-Score of 3/9 flags soft profitability, leverage or efficiency.
  • Regulatory hurdles could delay clinical trial timelines and product approvals.
  • Dependence on successful trial outcomes poses a risk to future revenue generation.
  • Market competition from established biotechnology firms may impact market share.

What Are the Growth Opportunities for FDMT?

  • Growth opportunity 1: The global ophthalmology market is projected to reach $54.2 billion by 2026, driven by increasing prevalence of eye disorders. 4D-125 and 4D-110 target significant conditions like X-linked retinitis pigmentosa and choroideremia, respectively, which have high unmet needs. Successful clinical trials could position 4D as a leader in this lucrative market segment.
  • Growth opportunity 2: The cardiology market, anticipated to grow to $67.5 billion by 2027, presents a significant opportunity for 4D-310, which targets Fabry disease. With a focus on innovative gene therapies, 4D could capture a substantial share of this growing market, particularly as awareness and diagnosis of rare genetic conditions increase.
  • Growth opportunity 3: The cystic fibrosis market is projected to reach $10.8 billion by 2025, with 4D-710 positioned to address this critical area. As advancements in gene therapy continue, 4D's innovative approach could provide a competitive edge, potentially transforming treatment paradigms for cystic fibrosis patients.
  • Growth opportunity 4: Collaborations with major pharmaceutical companies like Roche and uniQure enhance 4D's research capabilities and access to resources. These partnerships can accelerate the development timeline for product candidates, potentially leading to earlier market entry and revenue generation.
  • Growth opportunity 5: As regulatory environments become more favorable for gene therapies, 4D Molecular Therapeutics stands to benefit from expedited approval processes. The company's focus on high-impact therapeutic areas aligns with regulatory priorities, potentially facilitating faster access to market.

What Opportunities Does FDMT Have?

  • Expanding gene therapy market with increasing demand for innovative treatments.
  • Potential for accelerated regulatory approvals in gene therapies.
  • Growing awareness and diagnosis of genetic diseases driving market growth.

What Threats Does FDMT Face?

  • Intense competition from other biotechnology firms and emerging startups.
  • Regulatory hurdles and potential changes in healthcare policies.
  • Market volatility impacting funding and investment in biotechnology.

What Are FDMT's Competitive Advantages?

  • Proprietary gene therapy platform utilizing adeno-associated virus vectors.
  • Strong partnerships with established companies enhance credibility and resources.
  • Focus on high-impact therapeutic areas with significant unmet medical needs.

What Does FDMT Do?

Founded in 2013 and headquartered in Emeryville, California, 4D Molecular Therapeutics, Inc. is a clinical-stage gene therapy company dedicated to developing innovative therapies using adeno-associated virus (AAV) vectors. The company's mission is to address significant unmet medical needs in the fields of ophthalmology, cardiology, and pulmonology. Over the years, 4D Molecular has established a diverse portfolio of gene therapy product candidates, with three currently in clinical trials: 4D-125 for X-linked retinitis pigmentosa, 4D-110 for choroideremia, and 4D-310 for Fabry disease. In addition to these candidates, the company is advancing two Investigational New Drug (IND) candidates: 4D-150, targeting wet age-related macular degeneration, and 4D-710, aimed at treating cystic fibrosis lung disease. 4D Molecular Therapeutics has formed strategic research and collaboration arrangements with notable partners such as uniQure, CRF, Roche, and CFF, enhancing its research capabilities and clinical development efforts. With a workforce of 227 employees, the company is positioned to leverage its expertise in gene therapy to deliver transformative treatments for patients suffering from debilitating diseases.

What Products and Services Does FDMT Offer?

  • Develops gene therapy product candidates using adeno-associated virus vectors.
  • Focuses on three therapeutic areas: ophthalmology, cardiology, and pulmonology.
  • Currently advancing multiple product candidates through clinical trials.
  • Collaborates with leading pharmaceutical companies to enhance research and development.
  • Aims to address significant unmet medical needs in genetic diseases.
  • Utilizes innovative technologies to improve treatment efficacy and patient outcomes.

How Does FDMT Make Money?

  • Generates revenue through partnerships and collaborations with pharmaceutical companies.
  • Plans to monetize successful product candidates upon regulatory approval.
  • Focuses on research and development investments to drive innovation and pipeline expansion.
  • Aims to leverage intellectual property through licensing agreements in the future.

What Industry Does FDMT Operate In?

The biotechnology industry is experiencing rapid growth, driven by advancements in gene therapy and personalized medicine. The global gene therapy market is projected to reach approximately $13.3 billion by 2026, with a CAGR of 34.3% from 2021 to 2026. 4D Molecular Therapeutics operates within this dynamic landscape, focusing on ophthalmology, cardiology, and pulmonology—areas with substantial unmet medical needs. The competitive landscape includes established biotechnology firms and emerging startups, all vying for market share in the burgeoning gene therapy sector. 4D's innovative approach and strategic collaborations position it favorably against competitors.

Who Are FDMT's Key Customers?

  • Patients suffering from genetic diseases in ophthalmology, cardiology, and pulmonology.
  • Healthcare providers and institutions seeking innovative treatment options.
  • Pharmaceutical partners collaborating on research and development initiatives.
AI Confidence: 72% Updated: Jun 14, 2026

FY2026 estForward Outlook

Wall Street analysts project 4D Molecular Therapeutics revenue of about $12.2M for fiscal 2026, with EPS near $-4.04. The estimate reflects 5 contributing analysts.

FDMT Valuation & Market Position

With a $680.64M market cap, 4D Molecular Therapeutics sits in the small-cap segment of the market. Relative to its peer group, FDMT's quantitative score of 25/100 is below the peer average of 78/100.

ROE -37%Key Financial Metrics

Return on equity for 4D Molecular Therapeutics stands at -36.8%, a gauge of how efficiently it converts shareholder capital into profit. Return on assets is -31.4%, showing how much profit it generates from its asset base. Its free cash flow yield is -19.6%, a gauge of the cash the business throws off relative to its market value. A current ratio of 9.34 indicates the company holds enough short-term assets to cover its near-term obligations. Its earnings yield is -18.6%, the inverse of the P/E and a quick read on earnings relative to price.

F-Score 3/9Financial Health

4D Molecular Therapeutics's Piotroski F-Score is 3/9, a 9-point checklist of profitability, leverage and efficiency — flagging fundamental weakness worth scrutiny. Its Altman Z-Score of 4.46 places it in the safe zone, indicating low near-term bankruptcy risk.

Company Profile

4D Molecular Therapeutics operates in the Biotechnology industry within the Healthcare sector. It is headquartered in EmeryVille, US. The company is led by CEO David H. Kirn. FDMT has traded publicly since 2020.

FDMT Financials

Fundamental Snapshot

Net Income Growth (FY)
+12.9%
EPS Growth (FY)
+18.8%
Free Cash Flow Growth (FY)
+21.2%
Return on Equity (TTM)
-36.8%
Current Ratio
9.3

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis · FY 2025

Bull Case vs Bear Case

Bull Case

  • Recent insider buying suggests confidence in the company's future prospects, indicating that key stakeholders believe in its growth potential.
  • Community sentiment has been increasingly positive, with discussions highlighting the innovative nature of their gene therapy platform, attracting interest from biotech enthusiasts.
  • The company has made significant strides in clinical trials, with promising results that have bolstered investor enthusiasm and trust in their pipeline.
  • Market perception is shifting favorably as 4D Molecular Therapeutics gains recognition for its unique approach to treating genetic diseases, appealing to long-term investors.

Bear Case

  • Concerns have surfaced regarding the competitive landscape in gene therapy, as major players continue to advance their own candidates, potentially overshadowing 4D's innovations.
  • Recent discussions in trading communities reveal skepticism about the company's ability to scale operations effectively amidst increasing competition.
  • Insider selling has raised red flags among some investors, leading to worries about potential liquidity issues or lack of confidence from top executives.
  • The general market volatility in the biotech sector has created a cautious atmosphere, with investors wary of potential setbacks in regulatory approvals or trial outcomes.

AI-generated arguments based on insider flow, news sentiment and technicals — not financial advice · April 2026

FDMT Latest News

FDMT Analyst Consensus

Consensus Rating

Aggregated Buy/Hold/Sell recommendations from Benzinga, Yahoo Finance, and Finnhub for FDMT.

Price Targets

Consensus target: $33.00

FDMT MoonshotScore

25/100

What does this score mean?

The MoonshotScore rates FDMT's growth potential on a scale of 0-100 across multiple factors including innovation, market disruption, financial health, and momentum.

Leadership: David H. Kirn

CEO

David H. Kirn has extensive experience in the biotechnology sector, having held leadership roles in various companies. He has a strong background in gene therapy and has been instrumental in advancing innovative treatments. Kirn holds a medical degree and has a proven track record in managing clinical development programs.

Track Record: Under Kirn's leadership, 4D Molecular Therapeutics has successfully advanced multiple product candidates into clinical trials and established valuable partnerships with major pharmaceutical companies.

What Investors Ask About 4D Molecular Therapeutics (FDMT) — Healthcare

What does 4D Molecular Therapeutics, Inc. do?

4D Molecular Therapeutics, Inc. is a clinical-stage gene therapy company that develops innovative treatments using adeno-associated virus vectors. The company focuses on three therapeutic areas: ophthalmology, cardiology, and pulmonology, with multiple product candidates currently in clinical trials.

What are the key growth opportunities for FDMT in healthcare?

4D Molecular Therapeutics, Inc. has significant growth opportunities in the expanding gene therapy market, particularly in ophthalmology and cardiology. The company's product candidates, such as 4D-125 and 4D-310, target critical conditions with high unmet needs, positioning 4D for potential market leadership.

What are the main risks for FDMT?

The primary risks for 4D Molecular Therapeutics include regulatory hurdles that could delay clinical trials and product approvals, dependence on successful trial outcomes for future revenue, and intense competition from other biotechnology firms that may impact market share.

What are the key factors to evaluate for FDMT?

4D Molecular Therapeutics (FDMT) holds an AI score of 25/100 (low). Analysts target $33.00 (+153%). Not financial advice.

How frequently does FDMT data refresh on this page?

FDMT prices update in real time during U.S. market hours. Fundamentals refresh after quarterly filings; analyst ratings and AI insights update daily; news is aggregated continuously.

What has driven FDMT's recent stock price performance?

4D Molecular Therapeutics (FDMT) moves on earnings results, analyst revisions, sector rotation, and market sentiment. Notable catalyst: Innovative gene therapy platform with proprietary technology. See the News tab for the latest drivers. Past performance does not predict future results.

Should investors consider FDMT overvalued or undervalued right now?

Valuing 4D Molecular Therapeutics (FDMT) requires multiple metrics. Analysts target $33.00 (+153%) — upside seen. Compare P/E, P/S, and EV/EBITDA against sector peers for a full view.

What research should beginners do before buying FDMT?

Before investing in 4D Molecular Therapeutics (FDMT), research these four areas: (1) the company's revenue model and competitive position (see Company Overview), (2) financial health through revenue growth, margins, and cash flow (see MoonshotScore), (3) what Wall Street analysts recommend and their price targets (see Analyst tab), and (4) specific risk factors that could impact the stock (see Risk Factors section).

Disclaimer: This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Always do your own research and consult a financial advisor.

Official Resources

Price as of Analysis updated AI Score refreshed daily
Data Sources & Methodology
Market data powered by Financial Modeling Prep & Yahoo Finance. AI analysis by Stock Expert AI proprietary algorithms. Technical indicators via industry-standard calculations. Last updated: .
Data Provenance
Sources: Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) — Primary · Yahoo Finance — Fallback · Alpaca — Tertiary
Last fetched:
Cache TTL: Quote 5min · Profile 7d · Financials 7d · Insider 48h
How we use AI: Numbers are pulled directly from FMP & Yahoo Finance — our AI writes the analysis, it never edits the figures.
Data provided as-is for educational purposes. Not financial advice. Methodology

Data provided for informational purposes only.

Analysis Notes
  • Data is based on current financials and industry analysis as of June 2026.
Data Sources

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