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Groupon, Inc. (GRPN)

$26.57 +$0.99 (+3.87%) |Avoid · 15
Signals are mixed — the Council read leans HOLD (37/100) while the AI fundamental score is 15/100 (grade F); the two lenses disagree, so weigh the breakdown below. Strongest signal: Ray Dalio bullish · Biggest watch-out: Izzy Englander bearish.
MCap: $1.01B| Vol: 1.75M| 52-wk range: $9.17 – $43.08
Data from FMP · Methodology

For informational purposes only. Not financial advice. Analysis by Sedat ANAK, Founder & Editor-in-Chief | AI-powered analysis. Data sourced from SEC filings and institutional-grade financial providers. Editorially reviewed. Not financial advice.

Groupon, Inc. (GRPN) trades at $26.57 with AI Score 15/100 (Grade F). Groupon, Inc. operates a marketplace connecting consumers to merchants, offering deals on goods and services. Market cap: $1.01B, Sector: Communication services.

Price live · AI analysis from May 10, 2026
Groupon, Inc. operates a marketplace connecting consumers to merchants, offering deals on goods and services. The company operates in North America and internationally, utilizing mobile applications and websites to reach its customer base.

Analyst Coverage for GRPN: GRPN does not currently have published analyst price targets in our coverage universe. This is common for smaller-cap names with limited Wall Street coverage. In the absence of analyst consensus, our AI model evaluates GRPN against Communication Services peers across nine fundamental dimensions and assigns an underweight signal based on the underlying data.

Council Score · Weighted Average of 3 Disciplines
HOLD 37/100 · D

GRPN: the 7 perspectives are evenly split. Dominant signal: Ray Dalio bullish.

How is this calculated? →
Legends Council · 5 Legends + Moon AI
Ray Dalio
Bullish
Ken Griffin
Neutral
Jim Simons
Neutral
Izzy Englander
Bearish
Seth Klarman
Bullish
Moon AI
Neutral
Council Score · 8 perspectives · See tabs for details →

Groupon, Inc. (GRPN) Media & Communications Profile

CEODusan Senkypl
Employees2079
HeadquartersChicago, IL, US
IPO Year2011

Groupon, Inc. connects consumers and merchants through its online marketplace, offering deals on various goods and services. Operating in North America and internationally, the company leverages its mobile applications and websites to facilitate transactions, facing competition in the dynamic internet content and information sector.

Data Provenance | Financial Data Quantitative Analysis NASDAQ Analysis: May 10, 2026

What Is the Investment Thesis for GRPN?

Groupon, Inc. presents a complex investment thesis. The company's high gross margin of 90.3% indicates strong potential for profitability if operational efficiencies are improved. However, the negative profit margin of -20.8% raises concerns about its ability to convert revenue into net income. Growth catalysts include expanding partnerships with local merchants and enhancing its mobile platform to attract a younger demographic. Key risks involve intense competition from other online marketplaces and the need to adapt to evolving consumer preferences. Investors should closely monitor Groupon's ability to improve its bottom line and sustain growth in a competitive market. The company's beta of -0.04 suggests low volatility relative to the market.

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis

GRPN Key Highlights

  • Market Cap of $1.01B indicates a mid-sized player in the Internet Content & Information industry.
  • Gross Margin of 90.3% reflects strong pricing power and efficient cost of goods sold management.
  • Negative Profit Margin of -20.8% signals challenges in controlling operating expenses and achieving profitability.
  • Beta of -0.04 suggests the stock is less volatile than the overall market.
  • Operates in two segments, North America and International, providing geographic diversification.

Who Are GRPN's Competitors?

GRPN is benchmarked below against 8 industry peers on price, market cap, and our AI MoonshotScore.

Company Price Change Market Cap AI Score
YELP Yelp Inc. $26.79 +1.02% $1.47B 97
GOOGL Alphabet Inc. $367.70 +2.16% $4.45T 98
EBAY eBay Inc. $113.21 -1.42% $50.27B 91
NBIS Nebius Group N.V. $213.02 -1.21% 52B 76
RDDT Reddit, Inc. $206.21 +5.93% $39.70B 65
TBLA Taboola.com Ltd. $5.46 +6.23% $1.49B 64
YNDX Yandex N.V. $18.94 +0.00% $15.14B 64
JFIN Jiayin Group Inc. $2.96 +3.50% $153.82M 52

AI Score by Stock Expert AI · Price data: FMP / Yahoo Finance

What Are GRPN's Key Strengths?

  • Strong brand recognition.
  • Large network of merchants.
  • High gross margin.
  • Established mobile platform.

What Are GRPN's Weaknesses?

  • Negative profit margin.
  • Intense competition.
  • Dependence on deals and discounts.
  • Fluctuating customer demand.

What Could Drive GRPN Stock Higher?

  • Launch of new mobile app features to enhance user experience (Q3 2026).
  • Expansion of partnerships with local merchants to offer more diverse deals.
  • Implementation of personalized marketing campaigns to increase customer engagement.
  • Introduction of new subscription services to drive recurring revenue (Q4 2026).

What Are the Key Risks for GRPN?

  • Financial-distress signal — its Altman Z-Score of -2.46 sits in the distress zone (elevated bankruptcy risk).
  • Weak fundamentals — a Piotroski F-Score of 2/9 flags soft profitability, leverage or efficiency.
  • Increased competition from other online marketplaces.
  • Fluctuating consumer demand for deals and discounts.
  • Economic downturn impacting consumer spending.
  • Difficulty in attracting and retaining merchants.
  • Changes in regulations affecting e-commerce.

What Are the Growth Opportunities for GRPN?

  • Expansion of Local Merchant Partnerships: Groupon can drive growth by forging deeper relationships with local merchants. By offering tailored marketing solutions and data analytics, Groupon can become an indispensable partner for businesses seeking to attract new customers. This strategy involves targeting specific geographic areas and industries, providing customized deals that resonate with local consumers. The market size for local advertising is substantial, estimated at billions of dollars annually, offering significant revenue potential for Groupon.
  • Enhancement of Mobile Platform: With the increasing prevalence of mobile devices, Groupon can enhance its mobile platform to provide a seamless and engaging user experience. This involves optimizing the app for speed and usability, incorporating personalized recommendations, and leveraging location-based services to deliver relevant deals to users in real-time. A superior mobile experience can attract a younger demographic and drive higher conversion rates, leading to increased revenue and market share. The timeline for implementation is ongoing, with continuous updates and improvements planned.
  • Diversification of Service Offerings: Groupon can diversify its service offerings beyond traditional deals and discounts. This includes expanding into new categories such as travel, events, and subscription services. By offering a wider range of options, Groupon can attract a broader customer base and increase customer lifetime value. This strategy requires careful market research and strategic partnerships to ensure the quality and relevance of the new offerings. The market size for these categories is substantial, providing ample opportunities for growth.
  • Leveraging Data Analytics: Groupon can leverage its vast trove of customer data to personalize deals and improve targeting. By analyzing user behavior and preferences, Groupon can deliver customized offers that are more likely to resonate with individual customers. This involves investing in advanced data analytics tools and algorithms, as well as hiring data scientists and analysts to interpret the data. Personalized marketing can lead to higher conversion rates and increased customer loyalty, driving long-term growth. The implementation timeline is ongoing, with continuous refinement of data analytics capabilities.
  • International Expansion: While Groupon already operates internationally, there is still significant potential for further expansion into new markets. This involves identifying countries with high growth potential and adapting Groupon's business model to suit local preferences and regulations. International expansion can provide access to new customer bases and revenue streams, diversifying Groupon's geographic footprint and reducing its reliance on the North American market. This strategy requires careful planning and execution, as well as a deep understanding of local market dynamics.

What Opportunities Does GRPN Have?

  • Expansion into new service categories.
  • International market growth.
  • Personalized marketing through data analytics.
  • Partnerships with local businesses.

What Threats Does GRPN Face?

  • Changing consumer preferences.
  • Economic downturn.
  • Emergence of new competitors.
  • Increased marketing costs.

What Are GRPN's Competitive Advantages?

  • Brand recognition as a leading deals marketplace.
  • Established network of merchants and consumers.
  • Proprietary technology platform for deal management and delivery.
  • Data analytics capabilities for personalized marketing.

What Does GRPN Do?

Groupon, Inc., established in 2008 after rebranding from ThePoint.com, operates as a global marketplace connecting consumers with merchants. Headquartered in Chicago, Illinois, the company facilitates transactions through its mobile applications and websites, offering deals on a wide array of goods and services. Groupon operates through two primary segments: North America and International. The company generates revenue by selling goods and services on behalf of third-party merchants, acting as an intermediary and earning a commission on each transaction. Additionally, Groupon manages its own first-party goods inventory, directly selling products to consumers. Groupon's evolution has seen it adapt to changing consumer preferences and technological advancements, focusing on enhancing its mobile platform and expanding its service offerings to remain competitive in the e-commerce landscape. The company's business model centers around providing value to both consumers and merchants, driving traffic and sales for businesses while offering discounted products and services to its customer base.

What Products and Services Does GRPN Offer?

  • Connect consumers with local merchants through an online marketplace.
  • Offer deals and discounts on a variety of goods and services.
  • Operate mobile applications and websites for deal discovery and purchase.
  • Facilitate transactions between consumers and merchants.
  • Sell goods and services on behalf of third-party merchants.
  • Manage first-party goods inventory for direct sales to consumers.

How Does GRPN Make Money?

  • Commission-based revenue from third-party merchant sales.
  • Direct sales revenue from first-party goods inventory.
  • Advertising revenue from merchants seeking increased visibility.
  • Subscription revenue from premium services.

What Industry Does GRPN Operate In?

Groupon, Inc. operates within the dynamic Internet Content & Information industry, characterized by rapid technological advancements and evolving consumer preferences. The market is highly competitive, with numerous players vying for consumer attention and merchant partnerships. Groupon faces competition from established e-commerce giants and niche deal providers. Success in this industry requires continuous innovation, effective marketing strategies, and the ability to adapt to changing market trends. The industry is driven by the increasing adoption of online shopping and the growing demand for personalized deals and experiences.

Who Are GRPN's Key Customers?

  • Consumers seeking deals and discounts on local goods and services.
  • Merchants looking to attract new customers and increase sales.
  • Businesses seeking marketing and advertising solutions.
  • Individuals interested in travel and event deals.
AI Confidence: 71% Updated: May 10, 2026

FY2026 estForward Outlook

Wall Street analysts project Groupon, Inc. revenue of about $520.1M for fiscal 2026, with EPS near $-0.13. The estimate reflects 3 contributing analysts.

GRPN Valuation & Market Position

With a $1.01B market cap, Groupon, Inc. sits in the small-cap segment of the market. Relative to its peer group, GRPN's quantitative score of 15/100 is below the peer average of 85/100.

ROE 365%Key Financial Metrics

Return on equity for Groupon, Inc. stands at 364.9%, a gauge of how efficiently it converts shareholder capital into profit. Return on assets is -17.4%, showing how much profit it generates from its asset base. Its free cash flow yield is 5.8%, a gauge of the cash the business throws off relative to its market value. A current ratio of 0.81 means current liabilities exceed short-term assets, a liquidity point worth watching. Its earnings yield is -13.9%, the inverse of the P/E and a quick read on earnings relative to price.

F-Score 2/9Financial Health

Groupon, Inc.'s Piotroski F-Score is 2/9, a 9-point checklist of profitability, leverage and efficiency — flagging fundamental weakness worth scrutiny. Its Altman Z-Score of -2.46 places it in the distress zone, a signal of elevated financial risk.

Company Profile

Groupon, Inc. operates in the Internet Content & Information industry within the Communication Services sector. It is headquartered in Chicago, US. The company is led by CEO Dusan Senkypl. GRPN has traded publicly since 2011.

GRPN Financials

Fundamental Snapshot

Revenue Growth (FY)
+1.2%
Net Income Growth (FY)
-41.5%
EPS Growth (FY)
-37.7%
Free Cash Flow Growth (FY)
+24.8%
Return on Equity (TTM)
+364.9%
Current Ratio
0.8

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis · FY 2025

Bull Case vs Bear Case

Bull Case

  • Groupon's local focus could be its saving grace; people are craving experiences again.
  • Recent whispers suggest a strategic partnership brewing, maybe a big player eyeing their customer base.
  • Insiders buying shares? That's a language everyone understands; they must see value we don't.
  • The 'support local' movement is strong, and Groupon is perfectly positioned to ride that wave.

Bear Case

  • The daily deals model feels outdated; are they truly innovating or just rearranging the deck chairs?
  • Competition is fierce; everyone's offering discounts, making it hard to stand out.
  • Community chatter is skeptical; many feel the deals aren't as good as they used to be.
  • Their brand image needs a serious refresh; it's associated with outdated tech and fleeting fads.

AI-generated arguments based on insider flow, news sentiment and technicals — not financial advice · March 2026

GRPN Latest News

GRPN Analyst Consensus

Consensus Rating

Aggregated Buy/Hold/Sell recommendations from Benzinga, Yahoo Finance, and Finnhub for GRPN.

Price Targets

Wall Street price target analysis for GRPN.

GRPN MoonshotScore

15/100

What does this score mean?

The MoonshotScore rates GRPN's growth potential on a scale of 0-100 across multiple factors including innovation, market disruption, financial health, and momentum.

Latest Groupon, Inc. Analysis

Leadership: Dusan Senkypl

CEO

Dusan Senkypl is the CEO of Groupon, Inc. His background includes extensive experience in technology and e-commerce. He has held leadership positions in various companies, focusing on driving growth and innovation. His expertise lies in strategic planning, operational efficiency, and customer engagement. Senkypl's career reflects a commitment to leveraging technology to enhance business performance and deliver value to stakeholders. He brings a wealth of knowledge and a proven track record to his role at Groupon.

Track Record: Since becoming CEO, Dusan Senkypl has focused on streamlining operations and improving Groupon's financial performance. Key initiatives include enhancing the mobile platform, expanding partnerships with local merchants, and leveraging data analytics to personalize marketing efforts. Under his leadership, Groupon has made progress in adapting to changing consumer preferences and strengthening its competitive position in the e-commerce landscape.

What Investors Ask About Groupon, Inc. (GRPN) — Communication Services

What does Groupon, Inc. do?

Groupon, Inc. operates an online marketplace connecting consumers with merchants, offering deals and discounts on a variety of goods and services. The company facilitates transactions through its mobile applications and websites, generating revenue through commissions on third-party sales and direct sales of first-party inventory. Groupon's business model focuses on providing value to both consumers and merchants, driving traffic and sales for businesses while offering discounted products and services to its customer base.

What do analysts say about GRPN stock?

Analyst consensus on GRPN stock is mixed, reflecting the company's challenges and opportunities. Key valuation metrics include market capitalization, gross margin, and profit margin. Growth considerations involve the company's ability to expand its partnerships with local merchants, enhance its mobile platform, and diversify its service offerings. Investors should closely monitor Groupon's financial performance and strategic initiatives to assess its long-term growth potential. There are no recommendations to buy or sell.

What are the main risks for GRPN?

The main risks for Groupon, Inc. include intense competition from other online marketplaces, fluctuating consumer demand for deals and discounts, and the potential for an economic downturn impacting consumer spending. Additionally, Groupon faces the challenge of attracting and retaining merchants, as well as adapting to changes in regulations affecting e-commerce. These risks could impact the company's financial performance and growth prospects.

What are the key factors to evaluate for GRPN?

Groupon, Inc. (GRPN) holds an AI score of 15/100 (low). Not financial advice.

How frequently does GRPN data refresh on this page?

GRPN prices update in real time during U.S. market hours. Fundamentals refresh after quarterly filings; analyst ratings and AI insights update daily; news is aggregated continuously.

What has driven GRPN's recent stock price performance?

Groupon, Inc. (GRPN) moves on earnings results, analyst revisions, sector rotation, and market sentiment. Notable catalyst: Strong brand recognition. See the News tab for the latest drivers. Past performance does not predict future results.

Should investors consider GRPN overvalued or undervalued right now?

Valuing Groupon, Inc. (GRPN) requires multiple metrics. Compare P/E, P/S, and EV/EBITDA against sector peers for a full view.

What research should beginners do before buying GRPN?

Before investing in Groupon, Inc. (GRPN), research these four areas: (1) the company's revenue model and competitive position (see Company Overview), (2) financial health through revenue growth, margins, and cash flow (see MoonshotScore), (3) what Wall Street analysts recommend and their price targets (see Analyst tab), and (4) specific risk factors that could impact the stock (see Risk Factors section).

Disclaimer: This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Always do your own research and consult a financial advisor.

Official Resources

Price as of Analysis updated AI Score refreshed daily
Data Sources & Methodology
Market data powered by Financial Modeling Prep & Yahoo Finance. AI analysis by Stock Expert AI proprietary algorithms. Technical indicators via industry-standard calculations. Last updated: .
Data Provenance
Sources: Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) — Primary · Yahoo Finance — Fallback · Alpaca — Tertiary
Last fetched:
Cache TTL: Quote 5min · Profile 7d · Financials 7d · Insider 48h
How we use AI: Numbers are pulled directly from FMP & Yahoo Finance — our AI writes the analysis, it never edits the figures.
Data provided as-is for educational purposes. Not financial advice. Methodology

Data provided for informational purposes only.

Analysis Notes
  • Financial data is based on publicly available information.
  • Analysis is subject to change based on market conditions.
Data Sources

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