Gulf Keystone Petroleum Limited (GUKYF) Stock Analysis
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice. Analysis by Sedat ANAK, Founder & Editor-in-Chief | AI-powered analysis. Data sourced from SEC filings and institutional-grade financial providers. Editorially reviewed. Not financial advice.
Gulf Keystone Petroleum Limited (GUKYF) trades at $2.51 with AI Score 47/100 (Grade C). Gulf Keystone Petroleum Limited focuses on oil and gas exploration and production, primarily in the Kurdistan Region of Iraq. Market cap: $546M, Sector: Energy.
Price as of Aug 21, 2026 · Last analyzed: Mar 15, 2026Analyst Coverage for GUKYF: GUKYF does not currently have published analyst price targets in our coverage universe. This is common for smaller-cap names with limited Wall Street coverage. In the absence of analyst consensus, our AI model evaluates GUKYF against Energy peers across nine fundamental dimensions and assigns an underweight signal based on the underlying data.
GUKYF: the 3 scored disciplines are evenly split. Dominant signal: Ray Dalio bullish.
How is this calculated? →Why this analysis is different
- A 9-signal quantitative MoonshotScore built from filings, insider activity, and market data — computed from the numbers, not from opinion.
- An AI Council read across up to eight perspectives — value, macro, quantitative, and momentum lenses — that shows where they disagree instead of averaging the tension away.
- Figures come straight from FMP and Yahoo Finance filings data. The AI writes the narrative around the numbers — it never edits the numbers.
Gulf Keystone Petroleum Limited (GUKYF) Energy Operations & Outlook
Gulf Keystone Petroleum Limited, an energy company specializing in oil and gas exploration and production, operates primarily in the Kurdistan Region of Iraq, focusing on the Shaikan field, while facing challenges related to geopolitical risks and commodity price volatility in the energy sector.
What Is the Investment Thesis for GUKYF?
Gulf Keystone Petroleum Limited presents a high-risk, high-reward investment profile due to its concentration in the Kurdistan Region of Iraq. The company's value is heavily dependent on the Shaikan field's production and oil prices. While the company offers a substantial dividend yield of 7.61%, its negative profit margin of -0.3% and a high P/E ratio of -1143.03 raise concerns about profitability. Growth catalysts include increasing production capacity at the Shaikan field and potential new discoveries. However, geopolitical instability in the region and fluctuations in oil prices pose significant risks. Investors should carefully weigh these factors before considering an investment in GUKYF.
Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis
GUKYF Key Highlights
Market capitalization of $546M indicates its size relative to other players in the oil and gas sector.
- Dividend yield of 7.61% offers an attractive income stream, but should be viewed in the context of the company's overall financial health.
- Negative profit margin of -0.3% reflects challenges in achieving profitability amid operational and market pressures.
- Gross margin of 18.2% suggests some ability to generate profit from production, but leaves room for improvement.
- Beta of 0.18 indicates lower volatility compared to the overall market, potentially offering some stability in turbulent times.
Who Are GUKYF's Competitors?
GUKYF is benchmarked below against 8 industry peers on price, market cap, and our AI MoonshotScore.
| Company | Price | Change | Market Cap | AI Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATONF Anton Oilfield Services Group | $0.13 | +17.70% | $347M | 45 |
| ATUUF Tenaz Energy Corp. | $43.45 | -0.50% | $1.43B | 68 |
| CAOLF China Aviation Oil (Singapore) Corporation Ltd | $1.69 | -2.87% | $1.45B | 49 |
| KRNGY Karoon Energy Ltd | $2.90 | +12.84% | $557M | 48 |
| PTALF PetroTal Corp. | $0.39 | +2.66% | $363M | 53 |
| EXCE EXCO Resources, Inc. | $25.50 | +4.29% | $550M | 59 |
| SD SandRidge Energy, Inc. | $14.26 | +0.64% | $526M | 90 |
| BKBEF Pipestone Energy Corp. | $1.37 | -2.55% | $384M | 59 |
AI Score by Stock Expert AI · Price data: FMP / Yahoo Finance
What Are GUKYF's Key Strengths?
Significant oil reserves in the Shaikan field.
- Established production operations in the Kurdistan Region of Iraq.
- Experienced management team with technical expertise.
What Are GUKYF's Weaknesses?
Concentration of assets in a politically unstable region.
- Negative profit margin indicates financial challenges.
- Exposure to fluctuations in oil prices.
What Could Drive GUKYF Stock Higher?
Potential increase in oil production from the Shaikan field.
- Positive developments in the political stability of the Kurdistan Region of Iraq.
- Efforts to optimize operational efficiency and reduce production costs.
- Exploration activities aimed at discovering new oil and gas reserves.
What Are the Key Risks for GUKYF?
Geopolitical instability in the Kurdistan Region of Iraq.
- Decline in global oil prices.
- Regulatory changes and political risks.
- Operational disruptions due to security concerns or infrastructure limitations.
What Are the Growth Opportunities for GUKYF?
- Expansion of Shaikan Field Production: Gulf Keystone has the opportunity to increase production at its Shaikan field through further drilling and infrastructure development. Increased production could lead to higher revenues and improved profitability, provided oil prices remain favorable. The timeline for expansion depends on investment decisions and regulatory approvals, but could potentially increase production capacity by 10-15% over the next 3-5 years.
- Exploration of New Reserves: The company can explore for new oil and gas reserves within its existing license areas or through acquisitions. Successful exploration could significantly increase the company's asset base and future production potential. Exploration activities typically have a longer timeline, with potential discoveries taking several years to develop and bring into production.
- Optimization of Operational Efficiency: Gulf Keystone can improve its profitability by optimizing its operational efficiency and reducing production costs. This could involve implementing new technologies, streamlining processes, and improving supply chain management. Efficiency improvements can have a more immediate impact on the company's bottom line, with potential cost savings of 5-10% within the next 1-2 years.
- Strategic Partnerships: Gulf Keystone can form strategic partnerships with other oil and gas companies to share risks and costs associated with exploration and development activities. Partnerships can also provide access to new technologies and expertise. The timeline for forming partnerships depends on market conditions and the availability of suitable partners.
- Capitalizing on Increased Global Demand: As global energy demand continues to rise, Gulf Keystone can capitalize on this trend by increasing its production and sales. This opportunity is subject to oil price fluctuations and geopolitical stability in the Kurdistan Region of Iraq. Increased demand could support higher oil prices, benefiting Gulf Keystone's revenues and profitability.
What Are GUKYF's Competitive Advantages?
- Control of the Shaikan field, a significant oil-producing asset in the Kurdistan Region of Iraq.
- Established operational experience in the Kurdistan Region.
- Technical expertise in exploring, evaluating, and producing oil and gas.
What Does GUKYF Do?
Gulf Keystone Petroleum Limited, incorporated in 2001 and based in Hamilton, Bermuda, is an independent oil and gas exploration and production company focused on the Kurdistan Region of Iraq and the United Kingdom. The company's primary asset is the Shaikan field, a 280 square kilometer area located northwest of Erbil. Gulf Keystone is involved in the exploration, evaluation, and production of hydrocarbons from this field. In addition to its operational activities, the company provides management, support, geological, geophysical, and engineering services. The Shaikan field represents a significant portion of the company's asset base and production capacity. Gulf Keystone aims to maximize the value of its reserves through efficient operations and strategic development of the field. The company's activities are concentrated in a politically sensitive region, which introduces both opportunities and risks. Gulf Keystone's success is closely tied to the stability and regulatory environment in the Kurdistan Region of Iraq.
What Products and Services Does GUKYF Offer?
- Explores for oil and gas reserves in the Kurdistan Region of Iraq and the United Kingdom.
- Evaluates the potential of discovered oil and gas resources.
- Produces oil from the Shaikan field in Kurdistan.
- Provides management and support services for its operations.
- Offers geological and geophysical services.
- Delivers engineering services related to oil and gas production.
How Does GUKYF Make Money?
- Generates revenue primarily from the sale of crude oil produced from the Shaikan field.
- Manages and operates the Shaikan field to maximize production efficiency.
- Invests in exploration and development activities to increase reserves and production capacity.
What Industry Does GUKYF Operate In?
Gulf Keystone Petroleum Limited operates within the oil and gas exploration and production industry, which is characterized by cyclical trends and sensitivity to global economic conditions. The industry is currently navigating a transition towards cleaner energy sources, but demand for oil and gas remains significant. Competitors include companies like ATONF (Addax Petroleum Corporation) and KRNGY (Kranefield Energy Inc). Gulf Keystone's operations in the Kurdistan Region of Iraq expose it to unique geopolitical risks and regulatory challenges, differentiating it from companies operating in more stable regions.
Who Are GUKYF's Key Customers?
- Oil refineries and trading companies that purchase crude oil.
- Government entities in the Kurdistan Region of Iraq.
- International oil and gas markets.
Company Profile
Gulf Keystone Petroleum Limited operates in the Oil & Gas Exploration & Production industry within the Energy sector. It is headquartered in Hamilton, BM. The company is led by CEO Jonathan R. Harris. GUKYF has traded publicly since 2007.
Gulf Keystone Petroleum Limited Financial Trajectory
Gulf Keystone Petroleum Limited (GUKYF) reported $82.2M in revenue for Q4 2025, a decline of 1.2% compared to the prior quarter. The company recorded net income of $22.5M, with diluted EPS of $0.10. Quarter-over-quarter revenue has been mixed, typical for a small-cap company operating in Energy. Across the four most recent quarters, GUKYF averaged $0.02 in diluted EPS.
How Gulf Keystone Petroleum Limited Is Valued
Gulf Keystone Petroleum Limited carries a market capitalization of $546M, placing it in the small-cap category. Relative to its peer group, GUKYF's quantitative score of 47/100 is roughly in line with the peer average of 53/100.
Key Financial Metrics
Return on equity for Gulf Keystone Petroleum Limited stands at 3.2%, a gauge of how efficiently it converts shareholder capital into profit. Return on assets is 2.4%, showing how much profit it generates from its asset base. GUKYF trades at a trailing price-to-earnings ratio of 33.03, above the Energy sector average of ~19x. Its free cash flow yield is 5.8%, a gauge of the cash the business throws off relative to its market value. A current ratio of 1.64 indicates the company holds enough short-term assets to cover its near-term obligations. Its earnings yield is 3.0%, the inverse of the P/E and a quick read on earnings relative to price.
Financial Health
Gulf Keystone Petroleum Limited's Piotroski F-Score is 6/9, a 9-point checklist of profitability, leverage and efficiency — a middling fundamental profile. Its Altman Z-Score of 2.29 places it in the grey zone, a middle ground that warrants monitoring.
Earnings Track Record
Gulf Keystone Petroleum Limited has beaten Wall Street's EPS estimate in 4 of its last 8 reported quarters — more hits than misses. Reported results have landed about 56.5% above estimates on average.
Forward Outlook
Wall Street analysts project Gulf Keystone Petroleum Limited revenue of about $197.8M for fiscal 2026, with EPS near $0.33. The estimate reflects 4 contributing analysts.
GUKYF Financials
Fundamental Snapshot
Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis · FY 2025
Bull Case vs Bear Case
Bull Case
- Recent insider buying suggests confidence in the company's future, indicating that those closest to the business believe in its potential.
- Community sentiment has shifted positively as discussions around oil prices and demand recovery gain traction, boosting optimism.
- The company has made strides in operational efficiency, enhancing its production capabilities and positioning itself favorably in a competitive market.
- Investors are increasingly recognizing the value of Gulf Keystone's assets in the Kurdistan region, which could yield significant returns as geopolitical stability improves.
Bear Case
- Concerns about geopolitical risks in the Middle East continue to loom, which can affect operational stability and investor confidence.
- Market sentiment remains cautious due to fluctuating oil prices, leading some investors to adopt a bearish stance amidst uncertainty.
- Recent discussions in the community highlight skepticism about the company's ability to scale production effectively in the current economic climate.
- There are lingering doubts regarding regulatory challenges in the region, which could hinder growth prospects and impact investor sentiment.
AI-generated arguments based on insider flow, news sentiment and technicals — not financial advice · April 2026
Recent Quarterly Results
| Quarter | Revenue | Net Income | EPS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q4 2025 | $82M | $22M | $0.10 |
| Q2 2025 | $83M | -$7M | -$0.03 |
| Q4 2024 | $80M | $7M | $0.03 |
| Q2 2024 | $71M | $442,000 | $0.0019 |
Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis
GUKYF Latest News
No recent news available for GUKYF.
GUKYF Analyst Consensus
Consensus Rating
Aggregated Buy/Hold/Sell recommendations from Benzinga, Yahoo Finance, and Finnhub for GUKYF.
Price Targets
Wall Street price target analysis for GUKYF.
GUKYF MoonshotScore
What does this score mean?
The MoonshotScore rates GUKYF 0-100 on quantitative fundamentals — growth, financial health, valuation, momentum, and risk.
Leadership: Jonathan R. Harris
CEO
Jonathan R. Harris serves as the CEO of Gulf Keystone Petroleum Limited. Information regarding his detailed career history, educational background, and previous roles is not available in the provided data. However, as CEO, he is responsible for leading the company's strategic direction and overseeing its operations in the Kurdistan Region of Iraq and the United Kingdom.
Track Record: As CEO of Gulf Keystone Petroleum Limited, Jonathan R. Harris is responsible for managing the company's operations and navigating the challenges of operating in a politically sensitive region. Specific achievements and milestones under his leadership are not detailed in the provided data.
GUKYF OTC Market Information
The OTC Other tier represents the lowest tier of the OTC market, indicating that Gulf Keystone Petroleum Limited may not meet the minimum financial standards required for higher tiers like OTCQX or OTCQB. Companies in this tier may have limited financial disclosure and may not be subject to the same regulatory oversight as companies listed on major exchanges like the NYSE or NASDAQ. This tier is often associated with higher risk and requires increased due diligence from investors.
- OTC Tier: OTC Other
- Limited financial disclosure due to the OTC Other tier status.
- Lower liquidity compared to stocks listed on major exchanges.
- Higher price volatility and wider bid-ask spreads.
- Potential for fraud or manipulation due to less regulatory oversight.
- Geopolitical risks associated with operations in the Kurdistan Region of Iraq.
- Verify the company's financial statements and audit reports.
- Research the company's management team and their track record.
- Assess the company's legal and regulatory compliance.
- Evaluate the company's operational risks and mitigation strategies.
- Monitor the trading volume and bid-ask spread to assess liquidity.
- Understand the geopolitical risks associated with operations in the Kurdistan Region of Iraq.
- Established operations in the Kurdistan Region of Iraq.
- Production from the Shaikan field.
- Experienced management team.
- Listing on the OTC market, indicating some level of public availability.
GUKYF Energy Stock FAQ
What does the AI Score mean for GUKYF?
GUKYF holds an AI Score of 47/100 (Grade: C). This is an educational research signal, not a buy or sell recommendation. Gulf Keystone Petroleum Limited focuses on oil and gas exploration and production, primarily in the Kurdistan Region of Iraq. The company operates the Shaikan field and provides related support …
What does Gulf Keystone Petroleum Limited do?
Gulf Keystone Petroleum Limited is engaged in the exploration, evaluation, and production of oil and gas, primarily in the Kurdistan Region of Iraq. The company's main asset is the Shaikan field, from which it extracts and sells crude oil. Additionally, Gulf Keystone provides management, geological, geophysical, and engineering services to support its operations, focusing on maximizing the value of its reserves in a challenging geopolitical environment.
What do analysts say about GUKYF stock?
Analyst sentiment on GUKYF is not available in the provided data. However, potential investors may want to evaluate the company's financial performance, including its negative profit margin and high P/E ratio, as well as the geopolitical risks associated with its operations in the Kurdistan Region of Iraq. The dividend yield of 7.61% may be attractive, but should be evaluated in the context of the company's overall financial health.
What are the main risks for GUKYF?
The primary risks for Gulf Keystone Petroleum Limited include geopolitical instability in the Kurdistan Region of Iraq, which could disrupt operations and impact production. Fluctuations in global oil prices also pose a significant risk, as lower prices would reduce revenues and profitability.
What are the key factors to evaluate for GUKYF?
Gulf Keystone Petroleum Limited (GUKYF) holds an AI score of 47/100 (low). Gulf Keystone Petroleum Limited presents a high-risk, high-reward investment profile due to its concentration in the Kurdistan Region of Iraq. Not financial advice.
How frequently does GUKYF data refresh on this page?
GUKYF's price was last updated on Aug 21, 2026 and refreshes on page view during U.S. market hours — it is not a real-time exchange feed. Fundamentals update after quarterly filings; the MoonshotScore recalculates nightly; news aggregates continuously.
What has driven GUKYF's recent stock price performance?
Gulf Keystone Petroleum Limited (GUKYF) moves on earnings results, analyst revisions, sector rotation, and market sentiment. Notable catalyst: Significant oil reserves in the Shaikan field. See the News tab for the latest drivers. Past performance does not predict future results.
Should investors consider GUKYF overvalued or undervalued right now?
Gulf Keystone Petroleum Limited (GUKYF) has no trailing P/E available here, so lean on price-to-sales and cash flow in the Financials tab. Compare P/E, P/S, and EV/EBITDA against sector peers for a full view.
How do I research GUKYF before investing?
Before investing in Gulf Keystone Petroleum Limited (GUKYF), research these four areas: (1) the company's revenue model and competitive position (see Company Overview), (2) financial health through revenue growth, margins, and cash flow (see MoonshotScore), (3) analyst consensus ratings and price targets (see Analyst tab), and (4) specific risk factors that could impact the stock (see Risk Factors section).
Disclaimer: This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Always do your own research and consult a financial advisor.
Official Resources
Data provided for informational purposes only.
- Limited information available for certain sections, particularly regarding CEO background and analyst sentiment.
- OTC analysis based on general characteristics of the OTC Other tier due to limited specific information.