Warrior Met Coal, Inc. (HCC) Stock: Price, Forecast & Analyst Target
Warrior Met Coal, Inc. (HCC) — MoonshotScore 68/100 (Strong band), calculated Oct 5, 2026. Price $92.44 (+3.46%), as of the Oct 5, 2026 trading session; market cap $4.88B. Expected results Nov 4, 2026.
Educational signal · not a buy or sell recommendation · How to read this
Market value / cash and short-term investments: 15.13× (market value Oct 5, 2026; cash Jun 30, 2026) · expected results Nov 4, 2026
Warrior Met Coal, Inc. · HCC · NYSE · Energy · Coal
Research dated 2026-09-13: Warrior Met Coal extracts metallurgical coking coal from underground mines in Alabama, supplying steelmakers globally. The central question is whether sustained steel production demand—especially in Asia and Europe—persists, supporting the elevated coal prices that generate current cash generation.
Price as of Oct 5, 2026
Key Statistics
MoonshotScore v2 · Warrior Met Coal (HCC)
StrongWhy this rating? Method, drivers & history
Bands for the MoonshotScore: Exceptional 80-100 · Strong 65-79 · Fair 45-64 · Weak below 45.
- Business Quality — Is this a genuinely good business?
- Financial Safety — Could this blow up on me?
- Valuation — Am I paying a fair price?
- Growth Durability — Is the growth real and likely to last?
- Momentum — Is the market already moving on this?
A fortress balance sheet, but weak growth and an expensive valuation. Business Quality: Solid; Financial Safety: Fortress; Valuation: Rich; Growth Durability: Fading; Momentum: Rising.
Enterprise value relative to free cash flow is the main valuation drag relative to sector peers.
- quarterly revenue $510M (Q2 FY2026, quarter ended Jun 2026)
- EPS beat 4 of 8
- Altman Z 6.76 · Piotroski F 6
Holding back: a rich price, soft growth
Helping: balance-sheet strength, positive momentum
What has the MoonshotScore done over time?
| Recorded | Score | Band |
|---|---|---|
| 67 | Strong | |
| 68 | Strong | |
| 68 | Strong | |
| 68 | Strong | |
| 68 | Strong | |
| 68 | Strong |
The score was 68 in the stored Oct 4, 2026 snapshot and remains 68 in the current publication computed Oct 5, 2026 (0); the largest pillar moves were Growth Durability +5 and Momentum +1; the pillar moves offset under the sector-relative weighting, so the headline score is unchanged.
Calculation uses the most recent completed US trading session. Live price changes do not update the score immediately.
Computed · Educational signal · not a buy or sell recommendation · How the MoonshotScore is computed →
Price & valuation
| Measure | Value | As of |
|---|---|---|
| Latest provided price | $92.44 | |
| Change on the day | +3.46% | |
| 52-week range | $61.87 – $111.42 | |
| Market capitalisation | $4.88B | |
| Price / earnings (trailing) | 22.27 | |
| Shares traded on the day | 122K | |
| Beta (volatility vs the S&P 500) | 0.69 | |
| Dividends per share (last 12 months) | $0.32 | |
| Dividend yield (last 12 months) | 0.36% |
Price & events
Triangles mark reported quarters on the line: pointing up is above the recorded estimate, down is below, a diamond means no estimate on file. Numbers key to the dated list. Point at or tab to any week for its close.
Events behind the price
- · Earnings results · above the recorded estimate
- · Earnings results · below the recorded estimate
- · Earnings results · below the recorded estimate
- · Earnings results · above the recorded estimate
Results dates follow the earnings feed; call dates follow the transcript provider. Nearby dates do not establish that an event caused a price move.
Upcoming events
The provider's estimated date can change.
What to watch nextCouncil Score · weighted blend of 2 available disciplines
Council score for Warrior Met Coal (HCC): Bullish Lean
59/100 · BSome lenses disagree with the MoonshotScore. Compare their readings below; each uses a different method.
5-Factor Breakdown
Legends Council
5 lenses, 5 current
AI simulations built from the named investors' published principles. Not affiliated with, endorsed by, or the opinion of these individuals. How these lenses are built
Read on: Oct 5, 2026
Munger's Mindset
Balance Sheet & Valuation · historical
Read on: Sep 10, 2026 · older than the 27 hours refresh window; not a current reading
How to read these bars and different assessments
Council is a separate blend of available disciplines; MoonshotScore above remains the five-pillar research rating.
Bars show each model's ordered assessment on its own scale, not a probability or a comparable investment return. The adjacent words give the assessment; more filled segments indicate a stronger model reading.
Two of these lenses read this company less favourably than the MoonshotScore does: Klarman-style lens and Moon AI lens. Each lens is a separate scoring function over its own inputs, so a disagreement is a difference of method rather than a correction — the page's answer stays the MoonshotScore above.
On Sep 10, 2026, the Munger lens read the price at that time as fairly valued against its own estimate of value.
Readings on this page are from Oct 6, 2026, except a card that shows its own read date.
Watch the HCC film — every key number, told as a short cinematic story
~2 min · open the film
What is Warrior Met Coal (HCC), and what does it report?
Short answer · as of
Warrior Met Coal operates underground mines in Alabama extracting coking coal, a specialized form burned in blast furnaces to reduce iron ore.
Research dated 2026-09-13.
Warrior Met Coal operates underground mines in Alabama extracting coking coal, a specialized form burned in blast furnaces to reduce iron ore. The company sells coal internationally to steelmakers across Europe, South America and Asia. It also recovers and sells natural gas as a mining byproduct. Reported financials include quarterly revenue, gross profit (coal sold minus mining and milling costs), operating profit (gross minus SG&A), and earnings per share. Coking coal is cyclical—prices rise when global steel demand strengthens and fall when steelmakers reduce blast furnace utilization.
What do the latest results show for Warrior Met Coal (HCC)?
Short answer · as of
The most recent reported quarter, Q2 FY2026, carried revenue of $510M.
Research dated 2026-09-13.
Recent quarters show revenue and earnings strength from higher coking coal prices and steady-to-rising production volumes. Gross margin expanded as production costs were spread across higher-priced sales. Operating cash flow surged, covering capex and debt service comfortably. Management commentary focused on production run rates and cost control, with no mention of demand weakness from steelmaker customers. Earnings beat analyst expectations, suggesting the market underestimated coal price and volume trajectory.
Where is operating spending going?
Revenue alongside research and development, selling, general and administrative expenses, and the FMP standardized operating result.
- Latest quarter · revenue
- $509.69M Jun 30, 2026
- Latest quarter · SG&A
- $9.80M Jun 30, 2026
- Latest quarter · FMP standardized operating result
- $94.52M Jun 30, 2026
| Period end | Revenue | R&D | SG&A | FMP standardized operating result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 30, 2026 | $509.69M | Not available | $9.80M | $94.52M |
| Mar 31, 2026 | $458.59M | Not available | $28.20M | $79.37M |
| Dec 31, 2025 | $384.11M | Not available | $18.13M | $34.77M |
| Sep 30, 2025 | $327.88M | Not available | $17.20M | $20.01M |
USD. The operating result is the FMP-standardized value supplied by FMP; it may differ from a filing’s GAAP loss from operations when the provider classifies separately presented items differently. It is not net income or cash flow.
Did results meet expectations?
Reported earnings and revenue alongside the estimates recorded by the provider.
- Latest report · revenue
- $509.69M Aug 5, 2026
- Latest report · revenue estimate
- $488.46M Aug 5, 2026
- Latest report · revenue vs estimate
- Above estimate Aug 5, 2026
- Latest report · EPS vs estimate
- Above estimate Aug 5, 2026
| Report date | Revenue · reported | Revenue · estimate | EPS · reported | EPS · estimate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 5, 2026 | $509.69M | $488.46M | $1.6500 | $1.4000 |
| Apr 30, 2026 | $458.59M | $467.57M | $1.3700 | $1.4100 |
| Feb 12, 2026 | $383.99M | $384.38M | $0.4400 | $0.6200 |
| Nov 5, 2025 | $327.88M | $302.51M | $0.7000 | −$0.5136 |
Dates are report dates, not fiscal period ends. Revenue is in USD; EPS is USD per share, rounded to four decimals. The earnings feed does not establish a basic, diluted or adjusted basis. Earnings-feed EPS may differ from statement EPS; the two series are not combined.
Quarterly income statement — 4 quarters
| Period | Revenue | Net income | EPS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 FY2026 | $510M | $87M | $1.65 (diluted) |
| Q1 FY2026 | $459M | $72M | $1.37 (diluted) |
| Q4 FY2025 | $384M | $23M | $0.44 (diluted) |
| Q3 FY2025 | $328M | $37M | $0.70 (diluted) |
What are the financial strengths and risks for Warrior Met Coal (HCC)?
Short answer
Cash and short-term investments were $322.50M at the Jun 30, 2026 balance-sheet date. Operating cash flow was $132.28M for the quarter ended Jun 30, 2026, meaning operations generated cash. These figures do not establish a cash runway.
Research dated 2026-09-13.
The balance sheet is conservative—debt is moderate and cash holdings provide cushion. Operating cash flow has historically covered capex and debt service with room left over for dividends and debt reduction. The current and quick ratios are elevated, indicating no working capital stress. The core vulnerability is commodity price exposure: if coking coal prices fall sharply, gross margin contracts and the cash generation profile reverses quickly.
How much cash does the business generate or use?
Quarterly operating cash flow shows cash generated or used by operations.
- Latest quarter · operating cash flow
- $132.28M Jun 30, 2026
- Previous quarter · operating cash flow
- −$11.73M Mar 31, 2026
| Period end | Operating cash flow | Capital expenditure (reported) |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 30, 2026 | $132.28M | −$28.92M |
| Mar 31, 2026 | −$11.73M | −$80.13M |
| Dec 31, 2025 | $76.09M | −$94.21M |
| Sep 30, 2025 | $104.69M | −$91.94M |
Operating cash-flow bars share one scale and show magnitude; negative values mean cash used.
USD. Negative operating cash flow means cash used. Capital expenditure keeps the provider’s reported sign; it is not added here to estimate free cash flow or runway.
What should you watch next at Warrior Met Coal (HCC)?
Short answer · as of
The next earnings report is expected on Nov 4, 2026.
Research dated 2026-09-13.
Watch coking coal price indices and global steelmaker production data. These lead indicators will signal demand shifts before they appear in company earnings. Watch cash generation in the next quarterly report—if volumes hold but prices weaken, cash flow will flatten. Watch insider trading activity for signals of confidence or concern at the board level.
How does Warrior Met Coal compare with its peers?
Short answer
Warrior Met Coal's score ranks 3rd of 11 in the bounded comparison shown, against 10 same-model peers. These are company scores, not expected investment returns. The set lists named competitors first, then companies in the same data-provider industry classification closest in market value; that classification is the provider's, not our judgment of business similarity.
Research dated 2026-09-13.
Warrior Met is a single-asset coal operator with exposure to coking coal, a commodity with distinct demand cycles from thermal coal. Scale is modest compared to multinational mining companies; geographic concentration in Alabama creates supply-chain vulnerability. The company's competitive advantage rests on low-cost extraction from its primary property and long-term customer relationships with global steelmakers, not on scale or diversification.
| Company | Price | Market value | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| $109.80 Oct 5, 2026 | $1.45B | 92 5-pillar Oct 5, 2026 | |
| $24.79 Oct 5, 2026 | $3.19B | 75 5-pillar Oct 5, 2026 | |
| Warrior Met Coal (HCC) — this page | $92.44 | $4.88B | 68 |
| $91.01 Oct 5, 2026 | $4.59B | 54 5-pillar Oct 5, 2026 | |
| $9.94 Oct 5, 2026 | $844M | 52 5-pillar Oct 5, 2026 | |
| $36.70 Oct 5, 2026 | $273M | 50 5-pillar Oct 5, 2026 | |
| $25.50 Oct 5, 2026 | $3.11B | 47 5-pillar Oct 5, 2026 | |
| $173.60 Oct 5, 2026 | $2.18B | 34 5-pillar Oct 5, 2026 | |
| $13.95 Oct 5, 2026 | $636M | 30 5-pillar Oct 5, 2026 | |
| $8.00 Oct 5, 2026 | $447M | 23 5-pillar Oct 5, 2026 | |
| $1.74 Oct 5, 2026 | $186M | 19 5-pillar Oct 5, 2026 |
Only 5-pillar scores are ranked together. Other models are not directly comparable. Price and score dates are shown separately; market-value dates are unavailable.
The records behind this page
Analyst targets & estimates
What analysts have on file
- Price target, low to high
- $100.00 – $100.00
- Consensus target
- $100.00
- Median target
- $100.00
Consensus record · Captured .
Measured against a quoted price of $92.44 (as of Oct 5, 2026).
Insider activity
Form 4 records via FMP · Of the newest 60 records, those within the last 180 days, newest dated Aug 24, 2026
- Transactions
- 20
- Identified insiders
- 8
- Purchases
- 0
- Sales
- 5
- Other transactions
- 15
Purchases and sales use the reported transaction category. Other transactions include awards, exercises, gifts, withholding and unclassified activity; an acquisition or disposition alone is not a purchase or sale. These records do not establish intent.
Who holds the shares?
Institutional ownership reported through 13F filings.
- Institutional ownership
- 98.4% Period end Jun 30, 2026
- Previous quarter · ownership
- 94.0% Prior to period end Jun 30, 2026
- Reporting holders
- 361 Period end Jun 30, 2026
- Previous quarter · holders
- 359 Prior to period end Jun 30, 2026
| Holders in provider snapshot | Shares |
|---|---|
| Blackrock, INC. | 7,472,934 |
| State Street Corp | 4,041,591 |
| First Eagle Investment Management, LLC | 3,879,058 |
| Vanguard Portfolio Management LLC | 3,290,770 |
| Vanguard Capital Management LLC | 2,377,432 |
Quarterly filings lag the period end. Holder rows are names in the provider snapshot, not a verified ranking; individual filing dates are not supplied. Related managers may appear separately, so these positions are not summed. Holder snapshot as of Jun 30, 2026.
What has been published about Warrior Met Coal (HCC)?
HCC Energy Stock FAQ
Research dated 2026-09-13; the answers below are from that research, and the full attribution is under Sources. The last 3 questions are answered from this page's own dated data, not from the research.
What is coking coal and why do steelmakers need it?
Coking coal is metallurgical-grade coal burned in blast furnaces to reduce iron ore into pig iron, the feedstock for steel production. It is distinct from thermal coal used in power plants.
Who are Warrior Met's customers?
Blast furnace steelmakers across Europe, South America and Asia comprise the primary customer base. The company also recovers and sells natural gas as a byproduct.
How much cash does Warrior Met generate?
Operating cash flow in recent quarters exceeded capital spending and debt service, supporting shareholder distributions. Cash balance has declined modestly over time but remains substantial relative to current burn rate.
What is Warrior Met's exposure to coking coal price swings?
Revenue and earnings move broadly in line with coking coal prices. If prices fall, gross margin contracts proportionally. The business does not hedge commodity exposure through derivatives, so earnings move with the spot market.
What is the HCC stock price today?
The last price recorded on this page for Warrior Met Coal, Inc. (HCC) is $92.44, as of the Oct 5, 2026 trading session (source: Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) · quote). It is a provider snapshot, not a live exchange feed, so check a brokerage quote before you trade.
What is the HCC price target?
The analyst consensus price target for Warrior Met Coal, Inc. (HCC) is $100.00 (range $100.00 to $100.00, median $100.00), per FMP data captured Oct 5, 2026. Targets are analyst opinions and change often; they are not a Stock Expert AI forecast.
Does HCC pay a dividend?
Yes. Warrior Met Coal, Inc. (HCC) shows a trailing 12-month dividend yield of 0.36%, as of Oct 2, 2026, in the data on this page. Payout ratio and cash-flow coverage decide whether it can last, and past dividends do not guarantee future payments.
Disclaimer: This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Always do your own research and consult a financial advisor.
Research written by Claude (claude-haiku-4-5) on 2026-09-13. AI-authored analysis; source dates are shown with each answer. Editorial oversight is systemic, not page-by-page. Editorially accountable: Sedat ANAK, Founder and Editor-in-Chief.
Sources — records for every figure on this page (81 figures)
The 81 rows below are exactly the facts the evidence-backed sections of this page printed — the 10-second verdict, the MoonshotScore, price and market value, the five questions with their receipts, and the records behind this page. Known dates and sources are recorded on their own rows; an em dash or UNRECORDED tier preserves a stored observation without inventing either. The quarterly income statement is provider-standardized (FMP) under one row, and scale definitions — a 0-100 rating, the band ladder, the Piotroski 0–9 range — are fixed rather than measured. No number in those sections was generated by a model. The register does not cover quoted third-party headlines, the dated council readings, or the Frequently Asked Questions; each of those says where it came from where it stands.
"As of" is the date the value is true for where the source carries one — a quarter end, a filing date, a price close, the day the score was computed. A cached observation with no source date remains undated; the page publication date is not used as a substitute.
OFFICIAL — 1 fact from SEC filings and earnings calls
| Fact ID | Fact | Value as shown | As of | Tier | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
id.hq | SEC filing business address | Brookwood, AL | OFFICIAL | SEC EDGAR filer business address — The SEC filer business address. Our market-data provider separately lists "16243 Highway 216, Brookwood, AL, 35444, US". |
FMP — 69 facts from Financial Modeling Prep endpoint families
| Fact ID | Fact | Value as shown | As of | Tier | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
earn.next | Next earnings date | Nov 4, 2026 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings calendar — The date is our provider's estimate until the company confirms it. | |
px.last | Latest provided price | $92.44 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) · quote — Dated to the US trading session the price belongs to, derived from the quote record's timestamp (weekend and pre-open reads roll back to the previous weekday; exchange holidays are not modelled). The record does not establish an exchange execution time. Retrieved 2026-10-05T16:01:02.000Z. | |
px.change | Change on the day | +3.46% | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) · quote | |
px.mcap | Market capitalisation | $4.88B | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) · quote — Date unknown Market cap record date: 2026-10-05. FMP quote timestamp: 2026-10-05T16:01:02.000Z. Captured from FMP at 2026-10-05T16:01:35.875Z. No share-count basis is inferred; this page preserves the reported amount instead of recalculating it from shares. | |
px.change_abs | Change on the day, in dollars | +$3.09 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) · quote | |
fin.q_revenue | Revenue, Q2 FY2026 | $510M | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) · income statement (quarterly) | |
px.pe | Price / earnings (trailing) | 22.27 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) · quote | |
px.volume | Shares traded on the day | 122K | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) · quote | |
px.beta | Beta | 0.69 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) company profile | |
id.ceo | Chief executive | Walter J. Scheller | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) key executives (proxy-derived) — Titles and pay come from the company's proxy statement as our provider parsed it. | |
id.employees | Employees | 1,485 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) employee count, from the company's filing | |
fin.annual | Revenue and net result by fiscal year | 5 fiscal years, FY2021 through FY2025: FY2021 revenue $1.06B, net result $150.88M; FY2022 revenue $1.74B, net result $641.30M; FY2023 revenue $1.68B, net result $478.63M; FY2024 revenue $1.53B, net result $250.60M; FY2025 revenue $1.31B, net result $57.00M | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-K income statements | |
fin.rev_mix | Reported revenue segments | Product $1.28B · Product and Service, Other $33.02M | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) revenue segmentation, from the company's 10-K | |
fin.gross_margin | Gross margin (trailing twelve months) | 41.8% | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) key-metrics-ttm + ratios-ttm — A ratio our provider could not compute is absent rather than shown as zero. | |
fin.q_table.depth.2026-06-30.revenue_k | Revenue — period end 2026-06-30 | $509.69M | Period end · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-Q and 10-K income statements — Quarterly statement note |
fin.q_table.depth.2026-06-30.sga_k | SG&A — period end 2026-06-30 | $9.80M | Period end · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-Q and 10-K income statements — Quarterly statement note |
fin.q_table.depth.2026-06-30.operating_result_k | FMP standardized operating result — period end 2026-06-30 | $94.52M | Period end · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-Q and 10-K income statements — Quarterly statement note |
fin.q_table.depth.2026-03-31.revenue_k | Revenue — period end 2026-03-31 | $458.59M | Period end · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-Q and 10-K income statements — Quarterly statement note |
fin.q_table.depth.2026-03-31.sga_k | SG&A — period end 2026-03-31 | $28.20M | Period end · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-Q and 10-K income statements — Quarterly statement note |
fin.q_table.depth.2026-03-31.operating_result_k | FMP standardized operating result — period end 2026-03-31 | $79.37M | Period end · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-Q and 10-K income statements — Quarterly statement note |
fin.q_table.depth.2025-12-31.revenue_k | Revenue — period end 2025-12-31 | $384.11M | Period end · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-Q and 10-K income statements — Quarterly statement note |
fin.q_table.depth.2025-12-31.sga_k | SG&A — period end 2025-12-31 | $18.13M | Period end · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-Q and 10-K income statements — Quarterly statement note |
fin.q_table.depth.2025-12-31.operating_result_k | FMP standardized operating result — period end 2025-12-31 | $34.77M | Period end · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-Q and 10-K income statements — Quarterly statement note |
fin.q_table.depth.2025-09-30.revenue_k | Revenue — period end 2025-09-30 | $327.88M | Period end · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-Q and 10-K income statements — Quarterly statement note |
fin.q_table.depth.2025-09-30.sga_k | SG&A — period end 2025-09-30 | $17.20M | Period end · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-Q and 10-K income statements — Quarterly statement note |
fin.q_table.depth.2025-09-30.operating_result_k | FMP standardized operating result — period end 2025-09-30 | $20.01M | Period end · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-Q and 10-K income statements — Quarterly statement note |
earn.history.depth.2026-08-05.revenue_actual | Revenue · reported — report date 2026-08-05 | $509.69M | Report date · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings — Earnings-history note |
earn.history.depth.2026-08-05.revenue_estimated | Revenue · estimate — report date 2026-08-05 | $488.46M | Report date · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings — Earnings-history note |
earn.history.depth.2026-08-05.eps_actual | EPS · reported — report date 2026-08-05 | $1.6500 | Report date · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings — Earnings-history note |
earn.history.depth.2026-08-05.eps_estimated | EPS · estimate — report date 2026-08-05 | $1.4000 | Report date · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings — Earnings-history note |
earn.history.depth.2026-04-30.revenue_actual | Revenue · reported — report date 2026-04-30 | $458.59M | Report date · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings — Earnings-history note |
earn.history.depth.2026-04-30.revenue_estimated | Revenue · estimate — report date 2026-04-30 | $467.57M | Report date · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings — Earnings-history note |
earn.history.depth.2026-04-30.eps_actual | EPS · reported — report date 2026-04-30 | $1.3700 | Report date · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings — Earnings-history note |
earn.history.depth.2026-04-30.eps_estimated | EPS · estimate — report date 2026-04-30 | $1.4100 | Report date · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings — Earnings-history note |
earn.history.depth.2026-02-12.revenue_actual | Revenue · reported — report date 2026-02-12 | $383.99M | Report date · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings — Earnings-history note |
earn.history.depth.2026-02-12.revenue_estimated | Revenue · estimate — report date 2026-02-12 | $384.38M | Report date · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings — Earnings-history note |
earn.history.depth.2026-02-12.eps_actual | EPS · reported — report date 2026-02-12 | $0.4400 | Report date · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings — Earnings-history note |
earn.history.depth.2026-02-12.eps_estimated | EPS · estimate — report date 2026-02-12 | $0.6200 | Report date · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings — Earnings-history note |
earn.history.depth.2025-11-05.revenue_actual | Revenue · reported — report date 2025-11-05 | $327.88M | Report date · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings — Earnings-history note |
earn.history.depth.2025-11-05.revenue_estimated | Revenue · estimate — report date 2025-11-05 | $302.51M | Report date · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings — Earnings-history note |
earn.history.depth.2025-11-05.eps_actual | EPS · reported — report date 2025-11-05 | $0.7000 | Report date · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings — Earnings-history note |
earn.history.depth.2025-11-05.eps_estimated | EPS · estimate — report date 2025-11-05 | −$0.5136 | Report date · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings — Earnings-history note |
fin.q_table | Quarterly income statement | 4 quarters through Q2 FY2026 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) · income statement (quarterly), as filed | |
fin.cash_investments | Cash and short-term investments | $322.50M | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's balance sheet — Long-term investments are shown separately; their marketability is not established by the provider field. The cash and short-term investment balance does not establish unrestricted availability. Long-term investments are excluded and remain unclassified. Restrictions on cash and short-term investments require separate review. | |
fin.opcf_latest | Latest-quarter operating cash flow | $132.28M | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-Q cash-flow statements — Period end: 2026-06-30. Negative operating cash flow means cash used. This figure is not a cash-runway estimate. | |
fin.long_term_investments | Long-term investments (classification unverified) | $0.00 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's balance sheet — Long-term investments are shown separately; their marketability is not established by the provider field. The cash and short-term investment balance does not establish unrestricted availability. | |
fin.total_debt | Total debt | $235.83M | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's balance sheet — Long-term investments are shown separately; their marketability is not established by the provider field. The cash and short-term investment balance does not establish unrestricted availability. | |
fin.price_to_book | Price to book value | 2.06× | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) key-metrics-ttm + ratios-ttm — A ratio our provider could not compute is absent rather than shown as zero. | |
fin.opcf.depth.2026-06-30.operating_cash_flow_m | Operating cash flow — period end 2026-06-30 | $132.28M | Period end · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-Q cash-flow statements — Cash-flow note |
fin.opcf.depth.2026-03-31.operating_cash_flow_m | Operating cash flow — period end 2026-03-31 | −$11.73M | Period end · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-Q cash-flow statements — Cash-flow note |
fin.opcf.depth.2026-06-30.capex_m | Capital expenditure (reported) — period end 2026-06-30 | −$28.92M | Period end · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-Q cash-flow statements — Cash-flow note |
fin.opcf.depth.2026-03-31.capex_m | Capital expenditure (reported) — period end 2026-03-31 | −$80.13M | Period end · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-Q cash-flow statements — Cash-flow note |
fin.opcf.depth.2025-12-31.operating_cash_flow_m | Operating cash flow — period end 2025-12-31 | $76.09M | Period end · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-Q cash-flow statements — Cash-flow note |
fin.opcf.depth.2025-12-31.capex_m | Capital expenditure (reported) — period end 2025-12-31 | −$94.21M | Period end · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-Q cash-flow statements — Cash-flow note |
fin.opcf.depth.2025-09-30.operating_cash_flow_m | Operating cash flow — period end 2025-09-30 | $104.69M | Period end · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-Q cash-flow statements — Cash-flow note |
fin.opcf.depth.2025-09-30.capex_m | Capital expenditure (reported) — period end 2025-09-30 | −$91.94M | Period end · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-Q cash-flow statements — Cash-flow note |
earn.pt_range | Analyst price target, low to high | $100.00 – $100.00 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) · price-target consensus — Captured Oct 5, 2026 · Coverage not supplied | |
earn.pt_consensus | Consensus analyst price target | $100.00 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) · price-target consensus — Captured Oct 5, 2026 · Coverage not supplied | |
earn.pt_median | Median analyst price target | $100.00 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) · price-target consensus — Captured Oct 5, 2026 · Coverage not supplied | |
own.insiders | Insider transactions via FMP | 20 transactions · 0 purchases, 5 sales, 15 other transactions · 8 identified insiders · of the newest 60 records, those within the last 180 days, newest dated Aug 24, 2026 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), carrying Form 4 transaction records — Purchases and sales use the reported transaction category. Other transactions include awards, exercises, gifts, withholding and unclassified activity; an acquisition or disposition alone is not a purchase or sale. These records do not establish intent. | |
own.institutions.depth.ownership_pct | Institutional ownership | 98.4% | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) institutional ownership summary, from 13F filings — 13F filings are quarterly and lag the quarter end by up to 45 days. Period end Jun 30, 2026 | |
own.institutions.depth.ownership_pct_previous_quarter | Previous quarter · ownership | 94.0% | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) institutional ownership summary, from 13F filings — 13F filings are quarterly and lag the quarter end by up to 45 days. Prior to period end Jun 30, 2026 | |
own.institutions.depth.holders | Reporting holders | 361 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) institutional ownership summary, from 13F filings — 13F filings are quarterly and lag the quarter end by up to 45 days. Period end Jun 30, 2026 | |
own.institutions.depth.holders_previous_quarter | Previous quarter · holders | 359 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) institutional ownership summary, from 13F filings — 13F filings are quarterly and lag the quarter end by up to 45 days. Prior to period end Jun 30, 2026 | |
own.top_holders.depth.holder_0.shares | Blackrock, INC. — shares in provider snapshot | 7,472,934 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) institutional holders, from 13F filings — Provider snapshot as of 2026-06-30; individual filing date not supplied. | |
own.top_holders.depth.holder_1.shares | State Street Corp — shares in provider snapshot | 4,041,591 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) institutional holders, from 13F filings — Provider snapshot as of 2026-06-30; individual filing date not supplied. | |
own.top_holders.depth.holder_2.shares | First Eagle Investment Management, LLC — shares in provider snapshot | 3,879,058 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) institutional holders, from 13F filings — Provider snapshot as of 2026-06-30; individual filing date not supplied. | |
own.top_holders.depth.holder_3.shares | Vanguard Portfolio Management LLC — shares in provider snapshot | 3,290,770 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) institutional holders, from 13F filings — Provider snapshot as of 2026-06-30; individual filing date not supplied. | |
own.top_holders.depth.holder_4.shares | Vanguard Capital Management LLC — shares in provider snapshot | 2,377,432 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) institutional holders, from 13F filings — Provider snapshot as of 2026-06-30; individual filing date not supplied. |
UNRECORDED — 3 facts from stored observations whose source was not recorded
| Fact ID | Fact | Value as shown | As of | Tier | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
earn.history | Reported versus estimated, recent quarters | EPS beat 4 of 8 | UNRECORDED | Stored earnings-history observation — Captured 2026-09-21 · Expired observation | |
fin.scores | Distress and quality screens | Altman Z 6.76 · Piotroski F 6 | UNRECORDED | Stored financial-scores observation — Captured 2026-10-03 · Expired observation | |
px.range52 | 52-week range | $61.87 – $111.42 | UNRECORDED | Stored company-profile observation — Captured 2026-10-04 |
COMPUTED — 5 facts from our arithmetic, formula restated
| Fact ID | Fact | Value as shown | As of | Tier | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
fin.mcap_to_cash | Market value per dollar of cash and short-term investments | 15.13× | — | COMPUTED | Computed on this page from the figures above — The market capitalisation printed on this page divided by cash and short-term investments of $322.50M at Jun 30, 2026. Long-term investments are excluded and remain unclassified. Restrictions on cash and short-term investments require separate review. Market cap record date: 2026-10-05. Balance-sheet reference date: 2026-06-30. The inputs do not establish a single common source date for this ratio. |
div.ttm_per_share | Dividends per share, last 12 months (split-adjusted) | $0.32 | COMPUTED | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) split-adjusted dividend history — Sum of 4 split-adjusted declared dividends with an ex-date in the 365 days to 2026-10-05, per current share. Ex-dates are not payment dates; special dividends are included. Not a declared annual rate. | |
div.ttm_yield | Dividend yield, last 12 months | 0.36% | COMPUTED | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) split-adjusted dividend history and quote — Split-adjusted dividends with ex-dates in the trailing 365-day window divided by the packet price, on the same current-share basis. Price date follows the quote, latest price bar or packet-build day when unstamped. Not a forecast or declared annual rate. | |
earn.history.depth.2026-08-05.revenue_actual.comparison | Latest report · revenue vs estimate | Above estimate | Report date · | COMPUTED | Computed from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings — Earnings-history note — Method: compare reported revenue ($509.69M) with the recorded estimate ($488.46M) at displayed precision. Equal displayed values are in line. This compares reported results with recorded estimates, not investment returns. |
earn.history.depth.2026-08-05.eps_actual.comparison | Latest report · EPS vs estimate | Above estimate | Report date · | COMPUTED | Computed from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings — Earnings-history note — Method: compare reported EPS ($1.6500) with the recorded estimate ($1.4000) at displayed precision. Equal displayed values are in line. This compares reported results with recorded estimates, not investment returns. |
OURS — 3 facts from Stock Expert AI's own score and rank
| Fact ID | Fact | Value as shown | As of | Tier | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
ours.moonshot | MoonshotScore v2 | 68 of 100 · Strong · pillars 64 / 98 / 20 / 33 / 68 | OURS | Stock Expert AI MoonshotScore v2 engine | |
ours.valuation_driver | Recorded valuation score driver | Enterprise value relative to free cash flow is the main valuation drag relative to sector peers. | OURS | Stock Expert AI MoonshotScore v2 engine · stored factor contributions | |
ours.moonshot_change | MoonshotScore movement | 68 (stored snapshot Oct 4, 2026) → 68 (current publication computed Oct 5, 2026) (0) | OURS | Stock Expert AI current score publication and immutable score snapshots |
Fact-family notes
- Quarterly statement note. Source series as of 2026-06-30. USD. The operating result is the FMP-standardized value supplied by FMP; it may differ from a filing’s GAAP loss from operations when the provider classifies separately presented items differently. It is not net income or cash flow. Applies to Fact IDs:
fin.q_table.depth.2026-06-30.revenue_k,fin.q_table.depth.2026-06-30.sga_k,fin.q_table.depth.2026-06-30.operating_result_k,fin.q_table.depth.2026-03-31.revenue_k,fin.q_table.depth.2026-03-31.sga_k,fin.q_table.depth.2026-03-31.operating_result_k,fin.q_table.depth.2025-12-31.revenue_k,fin.q_table.depth.2025-12-31.sga_k,fin.q_table.depth.2025-12-31.operating_result_k,fin.q_table.depth.2025-09-30.revenue_k,fin.q_table.depth.2025-09-30.sga_k,fin.q_table.depth.2025-09-30.operating_result_k. - Earnings-history note. Source series as of 2026-08-05. Dates are report dates, not fiscal period ends. Revenue is in USD; EPS is USD per share, rounded to four decimals. The earnings feed does not establish a basic, diluted or adjusted basis. Earnings-feed EPS may differ from statement EPS; the two series are not combined. Applies to Fact IDs:
earn.history.depth.2026-08-05.revenue_actual,earn.history.depth.2026-08-05.revenue_estimated,earn.history.depth.2026-08-05.revenue_actual.comparison,earn.history.depth.2026-08-05.eps_actual.comparison,earn.history.depth.2026-08-05.eps_actual,earn.history.depth.2026-08-05.eps_estimated,earn.history.depth.2026-04-30.revenue_actual,earn.history.depth.2026-04-30.revenue_estimated,earn.history.depth.2026-04-30.eps_actual,earn.history.depth.2026-04-30.eps_estimated,earn.history.depth.2026-02-12.revenue_actual,earn.history.depth.2026-02-12.revenue_estimated,earn.history.depth.2026-02-12.eps_actual,earn.history.depth.2026-02-12.eps_estimated,earn.history.depth.2025-11-05.revenue_actual,earn.history.depth.2025-11-05.revenue_estimated,earn.history.depth.2025-11-05.eps_actual,earn.history.depth.2025-11-05.eps_estimated. - Cash-flow note. Source series as of 2026-06-30. USD. Negative operating cash flow means cash used. Capital expenditure keeps the provider’s reported sign; it is not added here to estimate free cash flow or runway. Applies to Fact IDs:
fin.opcf.depth.2026-06-30.operating_cash_flow_m,fin.opcf.depth.2026-03-31.operating_cash_flow_m,fin.opcf.depth.2026-06-30.capex_m,fin.opcf.depth.2026-03-31.capex_m,fin.opcf.depth.2025-12-31.operating_cash_flow_m,fin.opcf.depth.2025-12-31.capex_m,fin.opcf.depth.2025-09-30.operating_cash_flow_m,fin.opcf.depth.2025-09-30.capex_m.
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Sources used for research written 2026-09-13
Historical evidence preserved with this analysis. Current figures are listed separately above.
| Evidence | Captured value | Source date | Source type | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Business description | Warrior Met Coal, Inc. specializes in the extraction and international distribution of coking coal, a critical raw material for steel production. The firm operates a pair of underground mines situated in Alabama. Its primary client base consists of blast furnace steel producers, predominantly located across Europe, South America, and Asia. In addition to coal, the company also sells natural gas, which is recovered as a byproduct of its mining activities. Established as a corporation in 2015, Warrior Met Coal, Inc. maintains its headquarters in Brookwood, Alabama. | 2026-09-13 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) company profile |
| Sector / industry (provider taxonomy) | Energy / Coal The company's SEC filings classify it under SIC 1220 — Silver Ores. | 2026-09-13 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) company profile |
| SEC filing business address | 16243 HIGHWAY 216, BROOKWOOD, AL, 35444 The SEC filer business address. Our market-data provider separately lists "16243 Highway 216, Brookwood, AL, 35444, US". | 2026-09-13 | OFFICIAL | SEC EDGAR filer business address |
| Quarterly income statement (USD thousands) | Captured record · 8 entries
| 2026-06-30 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-Q and 10-K income statements |
| Annual revenue and net result (USD millions) | Captured record · 5 entries
| 2025-12-31 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-K income statements |
| Reported versus estimated, last 8 quarters | Captured record · 8 entries
| 2026-08-05 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings |
| Operating cash flow by quarter (USD millions) | Captured record · 8 entries
| 2026-06-30 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-Q cash-flow statements |
| Cash, investments and debt | Total debt: $235.83M; Liquidity basis: cash and short-term investments; Total liabilities: $610.24M; Cash and short-term investments: $322.50M; Cash and investments: $322.50M; Long-term investments: $0; Long-term investments classification: unclassified Long-term investments are shown separately; their marketability is not established by the provider field. The cash and short-term investment balance does not establish unrestricted availability. | 2026-06-30 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's balance sheet |
| Cash against market value | As of: 2026-06-30; Cash basis: cash and short-term investments; Net cash: $86.70M; Total debt: $235.80M; Cash and investments: $322.50M Price-based multiples captured at research time are not repeated here; the page shows each once, from current figures with their own dates. Cash is the latest reported cash and short-term investment balance; long-term investments are excluded. Market capitalization is the latest provider value.; The reported balance does not establish unrestricted availability or liquidation value.; The two are measured on different dates — the balance sheet is a quarter-end, the market cap is a recent close.; Debt is total debt as reported, including operating lease liabilities where the filer includes them. | 2026-06-30 | COMPUTED | Computed from the balance sheet and the latest market capitalization |
| Trailing twelve-month ratio set | Quick ratio: 2.79; Current ratio: 3.93; Debt to equity: 0.1; Net margin: 13.1%; Gross margin: 41.8%; Operating margin: 13.6%; Return on assets: 7.6%; Return on equity: 10% Price-based multiples captured at research time are not repeated here; the page shows each once, from current figures with their own dates. A ratio our provider could not compute is absent rather than shown as zero. | 2026-09-13 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) key-metrics-ttm + ratios-ttm |
| Next earnings report | Date: 2026-11-04; EPS estimate: $1.39 per share; Revenue estimate: $498.03M The date is our provider's estimate until the company confirms it. | 2026-09-13 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings calendar |
| Insider transactions, last 180 days | Net shares: -120,632; Window days: 180; Price low: $104.02; Clustered days: 2026-04-20; 2026-04-23; 2026-08-19; Price high: $110; Buy transactions: 0; Distinct insiders: 8; Sell transactions: 5; Other transactions: 15; Total transactions: 20; Other transaction types: A-Award: 5, M-Exempt: 10; Unknown direction transactions: 0 Purchase and sale counts require explicit provider transaction types, without a conflicting acquisition/disposition direction. Other transactions retain their provider type; awards, exercises, gifts and in-kind transactions are not counted as purchases or sales. Net shares sums acquired minus disposed shares across direction-known records, including other transaction types; unknown directions are excluded. It is not net purchases or a verified change in beneficial ownership. Named-insider counts, same-day clusters and positive reported prices cover all retained records. Filing dates are used only when transaction dates are absent. Neither timing nor price establishes motive or whether a transaction was on the open market. | 2026-08-24 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) insider transactions, from Form 4 filings |
| Revenue by segment | Product: $1.28B; Product and Service, Other: $33.02M | 2025-12-31 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) revenue segmentation, from the company's 10-K |
| Distress and quality screens | Altman Z-score: 7.2; Piotroski F-score: 6 Altman Z below 1.8 is the conventional distress zone. The screen is built for manufacturers and industrials; for banks, insurers and property companies it is not a meaningful reading. | 2026-09-13 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) financial scores |
| Analyst actions, most recent per firm | Captured record · 10 entries
One row per firm — the firm's most recent action in our feed. Other data vendors may carry firms ours does not. | 2026-08-06 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) analyst grades |
| Cash decline over the reported window | To: 2026-06-30; From: 2024-09-30; Periods: 7; Cash basis: cash and short-term investments; Closing balance: $322.50M; Decline: $270.10M; Opening balance: $592.60M; Average change per period: $38.60M Change in cash, cash equivalents and short-term investments between the 2024-09-30 and 2026-06-30 balance sheets.; This is a balance change, not operating burn: financing and investing move it too.; Averaged over 7 reporting periods of unequal length. | 2026-06-30 | COMPUTED | Computed from reported balances |
Data provided for informational purposes only.