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Hongli Group Inc. (HLP) Stock Price & Analysis

Hongli Group Inc. (HLP) — MoonshotScore 59/100 (Fair band), calculated Oct 5, 2026. Price $2.47 (-3.14%), as of the Oct 5, 2026 trading session; market cap $185M.

Educational signal · not a buy or sell recommendation · How to read this

$2.47 −$0.08 (-3.14%) Market Cap $185M

Hongli Group Inc. · HLP · NASDAQ

Hongli Group Inc. specializes in designing, manufacturing, and selling cold roll formed steel profiles, serving diverse industries. The company operates in China, South Korea, Japan, the United States, and Sweden.

Price as of Oct 5, 2026

Key Statistics

59 of 100

MoonshotScore v2 · Hongli Group (HLP)

Fair
Business Quality Average (57)
Financial Safety Sound (71)
Valuation Bubble (16)
Growth Durability Flat (59)
Momentum Surging (99)
Why this rating? Method, drivers & history

Bands for the MoonshotScore: Exceptional 80-100 · Strong 65-79 · Fair 45-64 · Weak below 45.

  • Business Quality — Is this a genuinely good business?
  • Financial Safety — Could this blow up on me?
  • Valuation — Am I paying a fair price?
  • Growth Durability — Is the growth real and likely to last?
  • Momentum — Is the market already moving on this?
The ten-second read ·

A strong balance sheet, but an expensive valuation; the market is already moving on it. Business Quality: Average; Financial Safety: Sound; Valuation: Bubble; Growth Durability: Flat; Momentum: Surging.

  • quarterly revenue $10M (Q4 FY2025, quarter ended Dec 2025)
  • Altman Z 8.77 · Piotroski F 5
  • ROE 3.4% · ROA 2.7% · current ratio 1.12 · earnings yield 2.0% · free-cash-flow yield 0.7%

Holding back: a rich price

Helping: balance-sheet strength, positive momentum

What has the MoonshotScore done over time?

MoonshotScore snapshots recorded for HLP (30 recorded, newest six shown)
RecordedScoreBand
58Fair
59Fair
59Fair
58Fair
58Fair
59Fair

The score was 59 in the stored Oct 4, 2026 snapshot and remains 59 in the current publication computed Oct 5, 2026 (0); the largest pillar moves were Growth Durability +1; the pillar moves offset under the sector-relative weighting, so the headline score is unchanged.

Calculation uses the most recent completed US trading session. Live price changes do not update the score immediately.

Computed · Educational signal · not a buy or sell recommendation · How the MoonshotScore is computed →

Price & valuation

Dates shown where recorded
MeasureValueAs of
Latest provided price$2.47
Change on the day-3.14%
52-week range$0.342 – $2.61
Market capitalisation$185M
Price / earnings (trailing)96.23
Shares traded on the day25.2K

Price & events

Other perspectives

Council score for Hongli Group (HLP): perspectives

Council is a separate blend of available disciplines; MoonshotScore above remains the five-pillar research rating.

5-Factor Breakdown

Growth Durability Neutral
Momentum Strong
Business Quality Neutral
Financial Safety Moderate
Valuation Negative

Legends Council

3 lenses, 0 current

AI simulations built from the named investors' published principles. Not affiliated with, endorsed by, or the opinion of these individuals. How these lenses are built

Englander-style lens (simulated) Izzy Englander Favorable read
Klarman-style lens (simulated) Seth Klarman Unfavorable read
Moon AI lens (model) Neutral read

Read on: Sep 21, 2026 · older than the 27 hours refresh window; not a current reading

Munger's Mindset

Balance Sheet & Valuation · historical

Financial Health Neutral
Margin of Safety Overvalued
Profit Margin Neutral
Revenue Growth Strong
Debt/Equity Moderate
ROE Weak
Gross Margin Neutral

Read on: Sep 10, 2026 · older than the 27 hours refresh window; not a current reading

How to read these bars and different assessments

Council is a separate blend of available disciplines; MoonshotScore above remains the five-pillar research rating.

Bars show each model's ordered assessment on its own scale, not a probability or a comparable investment return. The adjacent words give the assessment; more filled segments indicate a stronger model reading.

On Sep 10, 2026, the Munger lens read the price at that time as overvalued against its own estimate of value.

Readings on this page are from Oct 6, 2026, except a card that shows its own read date.

Watch the HLP film — every key number, told as a short cinematic story

~2 min · open the film

1 · What is it?

What is Hongli Group (HLP), and what does it report?

Short answer · as of

A current FMP business description is unavailable; the listing and provider classification below are the available identity facts. Hongli Group Inc. (HLP) is listed on NASDAQ. It employs 167 people and is led by Jie Liu. In Q4 FY2025 it reported revenue of $10M and net income of $952,791. The market values it at $185M.

2 · Latest results

What do the latest results show for Hongli Group (HLP)?

Short answer · as of

The most recent reported quarter, Q4 FY2025, carried revenue of $10M.

Quarterly income statement — 4 quarters
Revenue, net income and earnings per share by quarter
PeriodRevenueNet incomeEPS
Q4 FY2025$10M$952,791$0.01 (diluted)
Q2 FY2025$10M$990,049$0.01 (diluted)
Q4 FY2024$7M$20,713$0.0003 (diluted)
Q2 FY2024$7M-$2M-$0.15 (diluted)
3 · Financial strengths and risks

What are the financial strengths and risks for Hongli Group (HLP)?

Short answer

The MoonshotScore pillars rate balance-sheet strength, positive momentum as strengths. What is holding it back is a rich price. The distress and quality screens read Altman Z 8.77 · Piotroski F 5. Trailing ratios: ROE 3.4% · ROA 2.7% · current ratio 1.12 · earnings yield 2.0% · free-cash-flow yield 0.7%.

5 · Peer comparison

How does Hongli Group compare with its peers?

Short answer

Hongli Group's score ranks tied for 5th of 13 in the bounded comparison shown, against 12 same-model peers. These are company scores, not expected investment returns. The set lists named competitors first, then companies in the same data-provider industry classification closest in market value; that classification is the provider's, not our judgment of business similarity.

Peer set — price, market value and MoonshotScore
CompanyPriceMarket valueScore
Gerdau S.A. (GGB) Same industry, near in market value$5.20 Oct 5, 2026$10.3B69 5-pillar Oct 5, 2026
Ternium S.A. (TX) Same industry, near in market value$57.97 Oct 5, 2026$11.4B67 5-pillar Oct 5, 2026
Commercial Metals Company (CMC) Same industry, near in market value$65.51 Oct 5, 2026$7.25B62 5-pillar Oct 5, 2026
Worthington Steel, Inc. (WS) Same industry, near in market value$39.12 Oct 5, 2026$1.99B60 5-pillar Oct 5, 2026
Hongli Group (HLP) — this page$2.47$185M59
Friedman Industries, Incorporated (FRD) Same industry, near in market value$42.39 Oct 5, 2026$306M59 5-pillar Oct 5, 2026
Metallus Inc. (MTUS) Same industry, near in market value$20.56 Oct 5, 2026$856M55 5-pillar Oct 5, 2026
POSCO Holdings Inc. (PKX) Same industry, near in market value$58.23 Oct 5, 2026$17.6B53 5-pillar Oct 5, 2026
FST Corp. (KBSX) Same industry, near in market value$1.71 Oct 5, 2026$76.3M41 5-pillar Oct 5, 2026
Ascent Industries Co. (ACNT) Same industry, near in market value$13.77 Oct 2, 2026$124M39 5-pillar Oct 5, 2026
Huadi International Group Co., Ltd. (HUDI) Same industry, near in market value$0.70 Oct 5, 2026$10.0M35 5-pillar Oct 5, 2026
Inno Holdings Inc. (INHD) Same industry, near in market value$3.18 Oct 2, 2026$14.4M28 5-pillar Oct 5, 2026
ZK International Group Co., Ltd. (ZKIN) Same industry, near in market value$1.74 Oct 5, 2026$9.88M28 5-pillar Oct 5, 2026

Only 5-pillar scores are ranked together. Other models are not directly comparable. Price and score dates are shown separately; market-value dates are unavailable.

What has been published about Hongli Group (HLP)?

Read these with our analysis →

Common Questions About HLP

These answers are editorial: 1 of these 9 answers is drawn from the HLP research dossier (written May 10, 2026 by gemini-2.0-flash); the other 8 are question templates that restate figures shown above. Figures in this section are not part of the source register.

What does the MoonshotScore mean for HLP?

HLP carries the MoonshotScore stated above — the Fair band. This is an educational research signal, not a buy or sell recommendation. The number comes from the five-pillar engine (business quality, financial safety, valuation, growth durability, momentum), re-ranked daily against sector peers. Hongli Group Inc. specializes in designing, manufacturing, and selling cold roll formed steel profiles, serving diverse industries.

Is HLP a good stock to buy?

Stock Expert AI does not rate HLP buy, sell or hold. Hongli Group Inc. carries a MoonshotScore, in the Fair band, a research rating against its peers rather than a forecast. Whether it fits is your call: check what it sells, whether it earns and what the price assumes. This is educational content, not investment advice.

What is the HLP stock price today?

The last price recorded on this page for Hongli Group Inc. (HLP) is $2.47, as of the Oct 5, 2026 trading session (source: Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) · quote). It is a provider snapshot, not a live exchange feed, so check a brokerage quote before you trade.

What are the main risks for HLP?

Hongli Group Inc. faces several risks inherent to the steel industry and its specific business model. Fluctuations in steel prices can significantly impact the company's profitability and revenue.

What are the key factors to evaluate for HLP?

Hongli Group Inc. (HLP) holds a MoonshotScore in the moderate range. P/E: 96.23x. Not financial advice.

How frequently does HLP data refresh on this page?

HLP's price is the last quote we recorded, from the Oct 5, 2026 trading session. Pages are served from a cache, so the copy you are reading can lag that quote. The quote is a provider snapshot, not an exchange feed. Fundamentals follow quarterly filings. V2 is recalculated from the most recent completed US trading session; the score's own date shows its last successful run.

What has driven HLP's recent stock price performance?

Hongli Group Inc. (HLP) moves on earnings results, analyst revisions, sector rotation, and market sentiment. Notable catalyst: Customization capabilities for steel profiles. See the News tab for the latest drivers. Past performance does not predict future results.

Should investors consider HLP overvalued or undervalued right now?

Hongli Group Inc. (HLP) trades at 96.23x earnings. Compare P/E, P/S, and EV/EBITDA against sector peers for a full view.

Can I buy fractional shares of HLP?

Fractional-share availability for Hongli Group Inc. (HLP) depends on your brokerage, account and supported securities. Check the broker's current eligibility, minimums and fees before placing an order.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Always do your own research and consult a financial advisor.

Machine-generated analysis by Stock Expert AI — model gemini-2.0-flash, generated May 10, 2026. Editorial oversight is systemic, not page-by-page. Editorially accountable: Sedat ANAK, Founder and Editor-in-Chief.

Sources — records for every figure on this page (16 figures)

The 16 rows below are exactly the facts the evidence-backed sections of this page printed — the 10-second verdict, the MoonshotScore, price and market value, the five questions with their receipts, and the records behind this page. Known dates and sources are recorded on their own rows; an em dash or UNRECORDED tier preserves a stored observation without inventing either. The quarterly income statement is provider-standardized (FMP) under one row, and scale definitions — a 0-100 rating, the band ladder, the Piotroski 0–9 range — are fixed rather than measured. No number in those sections was generated by a model. The register does not cover quoted third-party headlines, the dated council readings, or the Frequently Asked Questions; each of those says where it came from where it stands.

"As of" is the date the value is true for where the source carries one — a quarter end, a filing date, a price close, the day the score was computed. A cached observation with no source date remains undated; the page publication date is not used as a substitute.

FMP — 9 facts from Financial Modeling Prep endpoint families

FMP facts used on this page
Fact IDFactValue as shownAs ofTierSource
px.lastLatest provided price$2.47FMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP) · quote — Dated to the US trading session the price belongs to, derived from the quote record's timestamp (weekend and pre-open reads roll back to the previous weekday; exchange holidays are not modelled). The record does not establish an exchange execution time. Retrieved 2026-10-05T21:54:37.999Z.
px.changeChange on the day-3.14%FMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP) · quote
px.mcapMarket capitalisation$185MFMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP) · quote — Date unknown Market cap record date: 2026-10-05. FMP quote timestamp: 2026-10-05T20:00:01.000Z. Captured from FMP at 2026-10-05T21:54:37.065Z. No share-count basis is inferred; this page preserves the reported amount instead of recalculating it from shares.
px.change_absChange on the day, in dollars−$0.08FMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP) · quote
fin.q_revenueRevenue, Q4 FY2025$10MFMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP) · income statement (quarterly)
px.pePrice / earnings (trailing)96.23FMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP) · quote
px.volumeShares traded on the day25.2KFMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP) · quote
fin.q_incomeNet income, Q4 FY2025$952,791FMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP) · income statement (quarterly)
fin.q_tableQuarterly income statement4 quarters through Q4 FY2025FMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP) · income statement (quarterly), as filed

UNRECORDED — 5 facts from stored observations whose source was not recorded

UNRECORDED facts used on this page
Fact IDFactValue as shownAs ofTierSource
fin.scoresDistress and quality screensAltman Z 8.77 · Piotroski F 5UNRECORDEDStored financial-scores observation — Captured 2026-10-04 · Expired observation
fin.ratiosReturn and yield ratios (trailing twelve months)ROE 3.4% · ROA 2.7% · current ratio 1.12 · earnings yield 2.0% · free-cash-flow yield 0.7%—UNRECORDEDStored key metrics — Date unknown
px.range5252-week range$0.342 – $2.61UNRECORDEDStored company-profile observation — Captured 2026-10-02
id.employeesEmployees167UNRECORDEDStored company-profile observation — Captured 2026-10-02
id.ceoChief executiveJie LiuUNRECORDEDStored company-profile observation — Captured 2026-10-02

OURS — 2 facts from Stock Expert AI's own score and rank

OURS facts used on this page
Fact IDFactValue as shownAs ofTierSource
ours.moonshotMoonshotScore v259 of 100 · Fair · pillars 57 / 71 / 16 / 59 / 99OURSStock Expert AI MoonshotScore v2 engine
ours.moonshot_changeMoonshotScore movement59 (stored snapshot Oct 4, 2026) → 59 (current publication computed Oct 5, 2026) (0)OURSStock Expert AI current score publication and immutable score snapshots
Published
Research standards
Methodology · Editorial policy · Corrections
Data Sources & Methodology
Figures come from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP). If FMP has no figure for a ticker, a price or fundamental may come from a Yahoo Finance fallback, or a price from an Alpaca fallback. SEC EDGAR is used only for filing links and company identity details (legal name, address), never for figures. AI analysis by Stock Expert AI proprietary algorithms. Technical indicators via industry-standard calculations. Last updated: .
Data Provenance
Sources: Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) — Primary · Yahoo Finance — Fallback · Alpaca — Tertiary
Last fetched:
Cache TTL: Quote 5min · Profile 7d · Financials 7d · Insider 48h
How we use AI: Numbers are pulled directly from FMP & Yahoo Finance — our AI writes the analysis, it never edits the figures.
Data provided as-is for educational purposes. Not financial advice. Methodology

Data provided for informational purposes only.