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Joby Aviation, Inc. (JOBY)

$9.07 +$0.58 (+6.89%) |Avoid · 12
Bottom line: STRONG SELL — our Council read (13/100) and AI Score (12/100) broadly agree. Strongest single signal: Seth Klarman bearish.
MCap: $8.93B| P/E Ratio: -15.8| Vol: 38.93M| Target: $17.38 (+91.5%)| 52-wk range: $7.75 – $20.95
Data from FMP · Methodology

For informational purposes only. Not financial advice. Analysis by Sedat ANAK, Founder & Editor-in-Chief | AI-powered analysis. Data sourced from SEC filings and institutional-grade financial providers. Editorially reviewed. Not financial advice.

Joby Aviation, Inc. (JOBY) trades at $9.07 with AI Score 12/100 (Grade F). Joby Aviation, Inc. is a vertically integrated air mobility company developing electric vertical takeoff and landing (eVTOL) aircraft. Market cap: $8.93B, Sector: Industrials.

Price live · AI analysis from Jun 14, 2026
Joby Aviation, Inc. is a vertically integrated air mobility company developing electric vertical takeoff and landing (eVTOL) aircraft. The company aims to establish an aerial ridesharing service, transforming urban and regional transportation.

JOBY stock analysis for 2026: Analysts have set a consensus price target of $17.38 for Joby Aviation, Inc., suggesting 91.5% upside from the current price of $9.07. The AI MoonshotScore is 12/100, indicating a strong bearish outlook. Key factors: analyst coverage, AI-driven quantitative scoring.

Council Score · Weighted Average of 3 Disciplines
STRONG SELL 13/100 · F

JOBY: 4/4 perspectives are bearish. Dominant signal: Seth Klarman bearish.

How is this calculated? →
Legends Council · 5 Legends + Moon AI
Izzy Englander
Bearish
Seth Klarman
Bearish
Moon AI
Bearish
Council Score · 8 perspectives · See tabs for details →

Joby Aviation, Inc. (JOBY) Industrial Operations Profile

CEOJoeBen Bevirt
Employees2029
HeadquartersSanta Cruz, CA, US
IPO Year2020

Joby Aviation, Inc. is a vertically integrated air mobility company pioneering electric vertical takeoff and landing (eVTOL) aircraft technology. Focused on delivering air transportation as a service, it is developing an aerial ridesharing network to address urban and regional mobility needs within the Airlines, Airports & Air Services sector.

Data Provenance | Financial Data Quantitative Analysis NASDAQ Analysis: Jun 14, 2026

What Is the Investment Thesis for JOBY?

Joby Aviation, Inc. presents an investment thesis centered on its pioneering role in the nascent electric vertical takeoff and landing (eVTOL) aircraft market and its vertically integrated "air transportation as a service" model. The company's strategy to develop both the aircraft and the operational network positions it to capture significant value in the advanced air mobility sector. Key growth catalysts include achieving FAA certification for its eVTOL aircraft, which would unlock commercial operations and market entry. Successful deployment of its aerial ridesharing service in initial launch markets is anticipated to drive revenue growth and expand its operational footprint. Strategic partnerships, particularly with established aviation and transportation entities, could accelerate market penetration and infrastructure development. Financially, Joby currently operates with a negative Free Cash Flow of $-0.42 billion, reflecting its significant investment phase in R&D and manufacturing scale-up. Its Gross Margin of 38.0% suggests potential for profitability once commercial operations commence and scale. However, the negative Return on Equity of -68.0% and a Beta of 2.61 highlight the high-risk, high-reward nature of this early-stage, capital-intensive venture. The company's Debt-to-Equity ratio of 38.19 indicates some leverage, which is common for companies in heavy development phases. The long-term value driver hinges on Joby's ability to achieve regulatory milestones, scale manufacturing, and successfully launch and expand its air mobility service, demonstrating the economic viability and public acceptance of eVTOL transportation.

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis

JOBY Key Highlights

  • Market Capitalization: Joby Aviation commands a market capitalization of $8.93B, reflecting investor confidence in the long-term potential of its electric air mobility vision.
  • Gross Margin: The company reports a Gross Margin of 38.0%, indicating a solid potential for profitability on its aircraft production and service operations once scaled.
  • Return on Equity: A Return on Equity (ROE) of -68.0% underscores the significant investment phase Joby is currently in, typical for pre-revenue or early-revenue companies in capital-intensive industries.
  • Debt-to-Equity Ratio: With a Debt-to-Equity ratio of 38.19, Joby utilizes a moderate level of debt financing to fund its extensive research, development, and manufacturing initiatives.
  • Free Cash Flow: Joby's Free Cash Flow stands at $-0.42 billion, illustrating the substantial ongoing capital expenditures required for aircraft development, certification, and infrastructure build-out.

Who Are JOBY's Competitors?

JOBY is benchmarked below against 8 industry peers on price, market cap, and our AI MoonshotScore.

Company Price Change Market Cap AI Score
LUV Southwest Airlines Co. $51.19 +1.86% $25.02B 63
RBC RBC Bearings Incorporated $607.28 +0.45% $19.21B 73
TXT Textron Inc. $93.66 +1.25% $16.29B 71
WSO Watsco, Inc. distributes air conditioning, heating, and refrigeration equipment, along with related parts and supplies. The company $401.81 -0.72% $16.55B 68
LTM LATAM Airlines Group S.A. $56.69 +0.46% $16.60B 47
GOL Gol Linhas Aéreas Inteligentes S.A. $2.71 +3.23% $4.35B 62
JTTRY Japan Airport Terminal Co., Ltd. $15.20 +8.88% $2.82B 62
CAAP Corporación América Airports S.A. $25.74 +2.02% $4.20B 59

AI Score by Stock Expert AI · Price data: FMP / Yahoo Finance

What Are JOBY's Key Strengths?

  • Vertically integrated business model covering aircraft design, manufacturing, and planned operations.
  • Advanced eVTOL aircraft technology optimized for quiet urban flight.
  • Significant progress towards FAA certification, positioning it as an early market entrant.
  • Experienced leadership team with a strong focus on innovation in air mobility.

What Are JOBY's Weaknesses?

  • High capital expenditure requirements for R&D, manufacturing, and infrastructure build-out.
  • Currently pre-revenue or early-revenue with negative free cash flow and ROE.
  • Reliance on regulatory approvals for commercial operations, which can be unpredictable.
  • Limited operational track record in commercial air transportation services.

What Could Drive JOBY Stock Higher?

  • Achievement of FAA Type Certification for Joby's eVTOL aircraft, which is a critical regulatory milestone enabling commercial operations.
  • Successful completion of the final stages of FAA Part 135 Air Carrier & Operator Certification, allowing Joby to operate its aerial ridesharing service.
  • Launch of initial commercial aerial ridesharing services in a designated launch market, demonstrating operational viability and generating initial revenue.
  • Expansion of manufacturing capabilities to support scaled production of eVTOL aircraft, indicating progress towards commercial readiness.

What Are the Key Risks for JOBY?

  • Negative return on equity (-74.2%) — the business is not currently generating profit on shareholder capital.
  • Insider selling — insiders were net sellers of roughly $15.7M recently.
  • Delays in obtaining full FAA certification for both the aircraft and operational services, which could push back commercial launch timelines and increase development costs.
  • High capital requirements for continued R&D, manufacturing scale-up, and infrastructure development, potentially necessitating further dilutive fundraising.
  • Intense competition from other well-funded eVTOL developers and established aerospace companies entering the advanced air mobility market.
  • Public acceptance and regulatory challenges regarding noise, safety, and integration of eVTOL operations into existing airspace and urban environments.
  • Technological hurdles related to battery energy density, charging infrastructure, and long-term aircraft maintenance in a high-utilization operational model.

What Are the Growth Opportunities for JOBY?

  • Commercial Launch of Aerial Ridesharing Service: Joby's primary growth opportunity lies in the successful commercial launch of its aerial ridesharing service. As of 2026, the company is progressing towards FAA certification. Once certified, deploying its eVTOL aircraft in key urban markets for on-demand air transportation could unlock a multi-billion dollar market. This service aims to offer a faster, quieter, and more sustainable alternative to ground transport, addressing urban congestion and regional connectivity needs. The initial market penetration in high-density areas could demonstrate the economic viability and operational efficiency of eVTOLs, paving the way for broader expansion.
  • Expansion into New Geographic Markets: Following initial market penetration, Joby has the opportunity to expand its aerial ridesharing service into additional metropolitan areas and regions globally. The demand for efficient urban mobility solutions is widespread, and Joby's scalable operational model allows for replication in various cities. Strategic partnerships with local governments or transportation authorities would be crucial for establishing infrastructure, securing landing sites, and navigating local regulations. This geographic expansion would significantly enlarge Joby's addressable market and diversify its revenue streams beyond initial launch locations.
  • Technological Advancements and Fleet Optimization: Continuous innovation in battery technology, propulsion systems, and autonomous flight capabilities presents a sustained growth opportunity. Enhancements in aircraft range, payload capacity, and operational efficiency will improve the economic attractiveness of Joby's service. Furthermore, optimizing its fleet management through advanced AI and data analytics can lead to higher aircraft utilization rates, reduced operational costs, and improved customer experience, directly impacting profitability as the service scales.
  • Strategic Partnerships and Ecosystem Development: Forming strategic alliances with established players in aviation, ground transportation, and infrastructure development can accelerate Joby's market penetration and operational scale. Collaborations with airlines could facilitate seamless intermodal travel, while partnerships with real estate developers could secure vertiport locations. These alliances can provide access to capital, expertise, and customer bases, creating a comprehensive advanced air mobility ecosystem that strengthens Joby's market position and reduces barriers to entry.
  • Government and Defense Contracts: Beyond commercial ridesharing, Joby's eVTOL technology has potential applications in government and defense sectors, offering opportunities for specialized contracts. These could include logistics, reconnaissance, or emergency services roles, leveraging the aircraft's vertical takeoff capabilities and electric propulsion for quiet and efficient operations. Securing such contracts would provide additional revenue streams, validate the technology's robustness, and potentially accelerate further R&D through government funding, diversifying the company's business model.

What Opportunities Does JOBY Have?

  • Untapped market for urban and regional air mobility, driven by congestion and demand for faster travel.
  • Potential for strategic partnerships with airlines, logistics companies, and urban planners.
  • Expansion into diverse applications beyond ridesharing, such as cargo or emergency services.
  • Technological advancements in battery density and autonomous flight enhancing operational efficiency.

What Threats Does JOBY Face?

  • Intense competition from other eVTOL developers and established aerospace companies.
  • Regulatory delays or unfavorable policy decisions impacting commercial deployment.
  • Public acceptance and perception challenges regarding safety and noise in urban areas.
  • Economic downturns or capital market fluctuations hindering fundraising for expansion.

What Are JOBY's Competitive Advantages?

  • Vertical Integration: Joby's control over aircraft design, manufacturing, and planned operations provides significant control over quality, cost, and service delivery, creating a more cohesive ecosystem.
  • Proprietary Technology & Design: Extensive R&D into eVTOL aircraft design, propulsion systems, and noise reduction technologies offers a competitive edge in performance and operational suitability for urban environments.
  • Early Mover Advantage in Certification: Being among the leading companies to pursue and achieve FAA certification for its eVTOL aircraft creates a significant regulatory barrier to entry for new competitors.
  • Operational Expertise Development: Early experience in developing the operational framework for an aerial ridesharing service, including software, charging, and pilot training, builds valuable know-how.

What Does JOBY Do?

Joby Aviation, Inc., founded in 2009 and headquartered in Santa Cruz, California, is at the forefront of the burgeoning electric air mobility sector. The company's core mission revolves around designing, developing, and manufacturing electric vertical takeoff and landing (eVTOL) aircraft, with the ultimate goal of providing an aerial ridesharing service. This vertically integrated approach means Joby controls much of the aircraft's development, from initial design and engineering to manufacturing and eventual operation. The company envisions a future where air travel is a seamless, quiet, and emissions-free option for daily commutes and regional trips, significantly reducing travel times and urban congestion. Since its inception, Joby Aviation has evolved from a research and development entity into a company focused on commercializing its eVTOL technology. Its aircraft are specifically optimized for quiet operation and efficient flight, crucial for urban environments. The company's strategy involves not just building the aircraft but also establishing the necessary infrastructure and operational framework to deliver air transportation as a service. This includes developing software for managing flights, charging infrastructure, and pilot training programs. Joby's long-term vision positions it as a key player in transforming the transportation landscape, offering a new dimension of mobility that complements existing ground transportation networks. With 2029 employees, Joby is scaling its operations to meet the rigorous demands of aircraft certification and eventual commercial deployment, aiming to be a leader in the advanced air mobility market.

What Products and Services Does JOBY Offer?

  • Designs and develops electric vertical takeoff and landing (eVTOL) aircraft.
  • Manufactures eVTOL aircraft optimized for air transportation.
  • Aims to deliver air transportation as a service.
  • Intends to build an aerial ridesharing service using its eVTOL aircraft.
  • Focuses on creating a quiet, emissions-free, and efficient mode of air travel.
  • Engages in a vertically integrated approach, controlling aircraft development and future operations.

How Does JOBY Make Money?

  • Air Transportation as a Service: Joby plans to operate its own fleet of eVTOL aircraft to provide on-demand aerial ridesharing services to passengers.
  • Per-Ride/Subscription Revenue: Revenue will primarily be generated from passenger fares for individual rides, potentially supplemented by subscription models for frequent users.
  • Fleet Sales/Leasing (Potential Future): While initially focused on operating its own service, there is potential for future revenue streams from selling or leasing its eVTOL aircraft to other operators or for specialized applications.

What Industry Does JOBY Operate In?

Joby Aviation operates within the Airlines, Airports & Air Services industry, specifically pioneering the emerging Advanced Air Mobility (AAM) market with its electric vertical takeoff and landing (eVTOL) aircraft. This segment is characterized by significant technological innovation aimed at transforming urban and regional transportation. The broader industry is experiencing a shift towards sustainable and efficient travel solutions, driven by environmental concerns, urban congestion, and advancements in battery and autonomous flight technologies. Joby's vertically integrated model positions it as both an aircraft manufacturer and an aspiring air service provider, differentiating it from traditional airlines or aircraft manufacturers. The competitive landscape includes other eVTOL developers, traditional aerospace companies exploring AAM, and ground transportation providers. Market trends indicate a growing interest in on-demand air mobility, with projections for the AAM market to reach substantial valuations over the next decade, contingent on regulatory clarity and public acceptance. Joby aims to capture a significant share by being an early mover in certified, operational eVTOL services.

Who Are JOBY's Key Customers?

  • Urban Commuters: Individuals seeking faster, more efficient travel options within congested metropolitan areas.
  • Regional Travelers: Passengers needing quick transportation between nearby cities or regions where ground travel is time-consuming.
  • Business Travelers: Professionals requiring expedited travel for meetings and appointments, valuing time savings and convenience.
AI Confidence: 73% Updated: Jun 14, 2026

Company Profile

Joby Aviation, Inc. operates in the Airlines, Airports & Air Services industry within the Industrials sector. It is headquartered in Santa Cruz, US. The company is led by CEO JoeBen Bevirt. JOBY has traded publicly since 2020.

F-Score 4/9Financial Health

Joby Aviation, Inc.'s Piotroski F-Score is 4/9, a 9-point checklist of profitability, leverage and efficiency — a middling fundamental profile. Its Altman Z-Score of 3.71 places it in the safe zone, indicating low near-term bankruptcy risk.

ROE -74%Key Financial Metrics

Return on equity for Joby Aviation, Inc. stands at -74.2%, a gauge of how efficiently it converts shareholder capital into profit. Return on assets is -32.7%, showing how much profit it generates from its asset base. Its free cash flow yield is -7.6%, a gauge of the cash the business throws off relative to its market value. A current ratio of 22.05 indicates the company holds enough short-term assets to cover its near-term obligations. Its earnings yield is -11.5%, the inverse of the P/E and a quick read on earnings relative to price.

JOBY Valuation & Market Position

With a $8.93B market cap, Joby Aviation, Inc. sits in the mid-cap segment of the market. Relative to its peer group, JOBY's quantitative score of 12/100 is below the peer average of 64/100.

FY2026 estForward Outlook

Wall Street analysts project Joby Aviation, Inc. revenue of about $114.6M for fiscal 2026, with EPS near $-0.82. The estimate reflects 6 contributing analysts.

Net sellingInsider Activity

Over the past six months, Joby Aviation, Inc. insiders filed 30 SEC Form 4 transactions — 23 sales and 7 purchases. On net that is roughly 1.5M shares disposed (about $15.7M), a signal worth weighing alongside the fundamentals.

JOBY Financials

Fundamental Snapshot

Net Income Growth (FY)
-52.9%
EPS Growth (FY)
-29.9%
Free Cash Flow Growth (FY)
-18.2%
Return on Equity (TTM)
-74.2%
Current Ratio
22.1

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis · FY 2025

Bull Case vs Bear Case

Bull Case

  • Joby Aviation has recently seen positive insider activity, indicating confidence from management in the company's future prospects.
  • Community sentiment has shifted positively, with discussions around Joby's innovative electric vertical takeoff and landing (eVTOL) technology gaining traction.
  • The recent progress in regulatory approvals for eVTOL operations has sparked optimism about Joby's path to commercialization.
  • Increased media coverage highlighting potential partnerships and collaborations has boosted investor interest and enthusiasm.

Bear Case

  • Despite recent positivity, there are concerns about the high capital requirements and long timelines associated with developing eVTOL technology.
  • Some community members express skepticism about the competitive landscape, particularly with established aerospace companies entering the market.
  • Market perception remains cautious due to the company's ongoing losses and the uncertainty surrounding future profitability.
  • Recent discussions have pointed to potential delays in production timelines, which could impact investor confidence and sentiment.

AI-generated arguments based on insider flow, news sentiment and technicals — not financial advice · April 2026

JOBY Latest News

JOBY Analyst Consensus

Consensus Rating

Aggregated Buy/Hold/Sell recommendations from Benzinga, Yahoo Finance, and Finnhub for JOBY.

Price Targets

Consensus target: $17.38

JOBY MoonshotScore

12/100

What does this score mean?

The MoonshotScore rates JOBY's growth potential on a scale of 0-100 across multiple factors including innovation, market disruption, financial health, and momentum.

Latest Joby Aviation, Inc. Analysis

Leadership: JoeBen Bevirt

Chief Executive Officer

JoeBen Bevirt is the founder of Joby Aviation, Inc. and currently serves as its Chief Executive Officer. His career has been dedicated to innovation in technology and engineering, leading to the establishment of Joby in 2009 with a vision to transform transportation through electric aviation. Details regarding his specific educational background and prior roles before founding Joby are not provided in the source data, but his leadership has been instrumental in guiding the company's technological development and strategic direction.

Track Record: Under JoeBen Bevirt's leadership, Joby Aviation has grown into a significant player in the advanced air mobility sector, managing 2029 employees. He has overseen the development of Joby's proprietary eVTOL aircraft and guided the company through critical phases of design, testing, and the rigorous FAA certification process, positioning Joby as a potential early commercial operator in the electric air taxi market.

Common Questions About JOBY (Industrials)

What does Joby Aviation, Inc. do?

Joby Aviation, Inc. is a vertically integrated air mobility company dedicated to developing and manufacturing electric vertical takeoff and landing (eVTOL) aircraft. Its core business model centers on delivering air transportation as a service, specifically through an aerial ridesharing network. The company designs its aircraft to be quiet and efficient, aiming to provide a faster, more sustainable solution for urban and regional travel. Joby's strategy encompasses not only building the aircraft but also establishing the operational infrastructure, including flight management systems and charging solutions, to launch and scale its air taxi service.

What are the main risks for JOBY?

Joby Aviation faces several significant risks inherent in pioneering a new industry. Key among these are potential delays in achieving full FAA certification for both its eVTOL aircraft and its operational services, which could significantly impact commercial launch timelines. The company also requires substantial capital for ongoing research, development, manufacturing scale-up, and infrastructure build-out, posing a risk of future fundraising needs. Competition from other eVTOL developers and established aerospace firms is intense. Furthermore, public acceptance, regulatory complexities regarding airspace integration, and the long-term technological challenges of battery performance and aircraft maintenance present ongoing operational and market risks.

How does Joby Aviation, Inc. compare to competitors in its industry?

Joby Aviation distinguishes itself through its vertically integrated approach, aiming to both manufacture eVTOL aircraft and operate an aerial ridesharing service. While traditional airlines like Southwest Airlines Co. (LUV) and LATAM Airlines Group S.A. (LTM) compete for regional travel, Joby is pioneering urban and short-haul air mobility with electric aircraft, a distinct market segment. Diversified aerospace companies like Textron Inc. (TXT) may develop similar technologies but often focus on manufacturing rather than direct service operation. Joby's early progress in FAA certification and its focus on a complete service ecosystem set it apart from many pure-play eVTOL manufacturers, positioning it as a potential leader in the advanced air mobility service market.

What are the key financial metrics investors watch for JOBY?

For Joby Aviation, investors closely monitor metrics indicative of its development stage and future potential. Given its pre-revenue or early-revenue status, Free Cash Flow (FCF) is critical, currently at $-0.42 billion, reflecting substantial R&D and capital expenditures. Gross Margin, at 38.0%, offers insight into potential profitability once scaled. Return on Equity (ROE) of -68.0% highlights the current investment phase. Beyond traditional metrics, progress towards FAA certification and operational milestones are paramount. Market capitalization ($9.91B) reflects market sentiment, while a high Beta (2.61) indicates significant volatility, typical for an innovative, high-growth, and high-risk company in a nascent industry.

What are the key factors to evaluate for JOBY?

Joby Aviation, Inc. (JOBY) holds an AI score of 12/100 (low). Analysts target $17.38 (+92%). Not financial advice.

How frequently does JOBY data refresh on this page?

JOBY prices update in real time during U.S. market hours. Fundamentals refresh after quarterly filings; analyst ratings and AI insights update daily; news is aggregated continuously.

What has driven JOBY's recent stock price performance?

Joby Aviation, Inc. (JOBY) moves on earnings results, analyst revisions, sector rotation, and market sentiment. Notable catalyst: Vertically integrated business model covering aircraft design, manufacturing, and planned operations. See the News tab for the latest drivers. Past performance does not predict future results.

Should investors consider JOBY overvalued or undervalued right now?

Valuing Joby Aviation, Inc. (JOBY) requires multiple metrics. Analysts target $17.38 (+92%) — upside seen. Compare P/E, P/S, and EV/EBITDA against sector peers for a full view.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Always do your own research and consult a financial advisor.

Official Resources

Price as of Analysis updated AI Score refreshed daily
Data Sources & Methodology
Market data powered by Financial Modeling Prep & Yahoo Finance. AI analysis by Stock Expert AI proprietary algorithms. Technical indicators via industry-standard calculations. Last updated: .
Data Provenance
Sources: Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) — Primary · Yahoo Finance — Fallback · Alpaca — Tertiary
Last fetched:
Cache TTL: Quote 5min · Profile 7d · Financials 7d · Insider 48h
How we use AI: Numbers are pulled directly from FMP & Yahoo Finance — our AI writes the analysis, it never edits the figures.
Data provided as-is for educational purposes. Not financial advice. Methodology

Data provided for informational purposes only.

Analysis Notes
  • CEO background and tenure details are limited to available source data; specific career history and education not provided and thus marked as 'Unknown' or inferred from company founding.
  • Financial metrics reflect a company in a significant development and pre-commercialization phase.
Data Sources

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