Contango Oil & Gas Company (MCF) Stock Analysis

Why this analysis is different

• A 9-signal quantitative MoonshotScore built from filings, insider activity, and market data — computed from the numbers, not from opinion.
• An AI Council read across up to eight perspectives — value, macro, quantitative, and momentum lenses — that shows where they disagree instead of averaging the tension away.
• Figures come straight from FMP and Yahoo Finance filings data. The AI writes the narrative around the numbers — it never edits the numbers.

Contango Oil & Gas Company (MCF) Energy Operations & Outlook

Contango Oil & Gas Company, founded in 1986, focuses on acquiring, exploring, and producing crude oil and natural gas in the U.S. Gulf of Mexico and onshore. With proved reserves of 316.4 billion cubic feet equivalent as of 2019, the company navigates a competitive energy landscape.

What Is the Investment Thesis for MCF?

Contango Oil & Gas Company presents a complex investment case. The company's focus on the Gulf of Mexico and onshore U.S. properties offers exposure to established hydrocarbon basins. However, the company's negative profit margin of -146.4% raises concerns about profitability. The company's proved reserves of 316.4 billion cubic feet equivalent as of 2019 provide a foundation for future production. A beta of 2.03 indicates higher volatility compared to the market. Key catalysts include successful exploration and development projects, while risks include commodity price fluctuations and operational challenges. Investors should carefully weigh these factors when evaluating Contango's potential.

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis

MCF Key Highlights

Proved reserves of 316.4 billion cubic feet equivalent as of December 31, 2019, providing a base for future production.

• Operations in the Gulf of Mexico and onshore properties in Texas, Oklahoma, Louisiana, and Wyoming, diversifying its geographic exposure.
• Gross margin of 14.0%, indicating a potential for improved profitability with cost management.
• Negative profit margin of -146.4%, highlighting significant challenges in achieving profitability.
• Beta of 2.03, indicating higher volatility compared to the overall market.

Who Are MCF's Competitors?

MCF is benchmarked below against 8 industry peers on price, market cap, and our AI MoonshotScore.

AI Score by Stock Expert AI · Price data: FMP / Yahoo Finance

What Are MCF's Key Strengths?

Proven reserves of 316.4 billion cubic feet equivalent (as of 2019).

• Operations in multiple regions: Gulf of Mexico, Texas, Oklahoma, Louisiana, and Wyoming.
• Experience in acquiring and developing oil and gas properties.
• Established infrastructure in key operating areas.

What Are MCF's Weaknesses?

Negative profit margin of -146.4%.

• High beta of 2.03, indicating higher volatility.
• Dependence on commodity prices.
• No dividend yield.

What Could Drive MCF Stock Higher?

Successful exploration and development projects can increase production and reserves.

• Favorable commodity prices can improve profitability.
• Cost reduction initiatives can enhance margins.
• Potential acquisitions of complementary assets can expand the company's footprint.

What Are the Key Risks for MCF?

Inconsistent delivery — missed Wall Street EPS estimates in 8 of the last 8 reported quarters.

• Fluctuations in commodity prices can negatively impact revenue and profitability.
• Regulatory changes can increase compliance costs.
• Environmental concerns can lead to operational restrictions.
• Competition from other oil and gas companies can limit market share.
• Operational challenges can disrupt production and increase costs.

What Are the Growth Opportunities for MCF?

• Expansion in Onshore Properties: Contango can focus on expanding its onshore operations in Texas, Oklahoma, Louisiana, and Wyoming. These regions offer established infrastructure and access to proven hydrocarbon basins. By acquiring and developing additional acreage, Contango can increase its production and reserve base. The onshore market presents opportunities for both conventional and unconventional resource development. Successful execution in these areas can drive revenue growth and enhance shareholder value. This strategy requires careful evaluation of geological data, infrastructure availability, and regulatory considerations. The timeline for realizing these benefits would depend on the speed of acquisition and development, but could begin to materialize within the next 2-3 years.
• Technological Advancements in Drilling: Investing in advanced drilling technologies can improve efficiency and reduce costs. Techniques such as horizontal drilling and hydraulic fracturing have revolutionized the oil and gas industry, enabling access to previously uneconomical reserves. By adopting these technologies, Contango can enhance its production rates and lower its breakeven costs. This strategy requires significant capital investment and technical expertise. The benefits of these advancements can be realized in the short to medium term, with potential for increased production and improved profitability within the next 1-2 years.
• Strategic Acquisitions: Contango can pursue strategic acquisitions to expand its asset base and geographic footprint. By acquiring companies with complementary assets, Contango can achieve economies of scale and diversify its operations. This strategy requires careful due diligence and integration planning. Successful acquisitions can provide access to new markets, technologies, and expertise. The timeline for realizing these benefits depends on the availability of suitable acquisition targets and the complexity of the integration process, but could begin to materialize within the next 2-3 years.
• Enhanced Oil Recovery Techniques: Implementing enhanced oil recovery (EOR) techniques can increase production from existing wells. EOR methods involve injecting fluids or gases into reservoirs to improve oil flow. These techniques can significantly extend the life of producing wells and increase overall production. This strategy requires careful reservoir analysis and engineering expertise. The benefits of EOR can be realized in the medium to long term, with potential for increased production and improved profitability within the next 3-5 years.
• Focus on Natural Gas Production: Given the increasing demand for natural gas as a cleaner energy source, Contango can focus on expanding its natural gas production. Natural gas is used for power generation, heating, and industrial processes. By increasing its natural gas production, Contango can capitalize on this growing market. This strategy requires investment in natural gas exploration and development. The benefits of this focus can be realized in the short to medium term, with potential for increased revenue and improved profitability within the next 1-3 years.

What Are MCF's Competitive Advantages?

• Access to established hydrocarbon basins in the Gulf of Mexico and onshore U.S.
• Experience in acquiring and developing oil and gas properties.
• Established infrastructure in key operating areas.
• Proven reserves providing a base for future production.

What Does MCF Do?

Contango Oil & Gas Company, established in 1986, is an independent entity engaged in the acquisition, exploration, development, and production of crude oil and natural gas properties. The company's operations span the shallow waters of the Gulf of Mexico and onshore properties located in Texas, Oklahoma, Louisiana, and Wyoming. Contango's strategy focuses on identifying and developing economically viable reserves within these regions. The company's portfolio includes crude oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids. As of December 31, 2019, Contango reported proved reserves of approximately 316.4 billion cubic feet equivalent. This reserve base comprised 131.3 billion cubic feet of natural gas, 19.1 million barrels of crude oil and condensate, and 11.8 million barrels of natural gas liquids. Headquartered in Houston, Texas, Contango operates with a team of 205 employees, managing its diverse asset base and pursuing growth opportunities in the oil and gas sector. The company continues to adapt to market dynamics, technological advancements, and regulatory changes to maintain its competitive position and deliver value to stakeholders.

What Products and Services Does MCF Offer?

• Acquires oil and natural gas properties.
• Explores for new oil and natural gas reserves.
• Develops existing oil and natural gas properties.
• Exploits proven oil and natural gas reserves.
• Produces crude oil and condensate.
• Produces natural gas.
• Produces natural gas liquids.

How Does MCF Make Money?

• Acquires properties with potential oil and gas reserves.
• Explores and develops these properties to extract resources.
• Sells the extracted crude oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids to generate revenue.
• Manages production costs to maintain profitability.

What Industry Does MCF Operate In?

Contango Oil & Gas Company operates within the highly competitive oil and gas exploration and production industry. This sector is characterized by fluctuating commodity prices, technological advancements, and evolving regulatory landscapes. Companies like Contango face the challenge of maintaining profitability while managing operational costs and environmental concerns. The industry is also subject to geopolitical factors and global economic conditions. Contango competes with both major integrated oil companies and smaller independent producers. The company's success depends on its ability to efficiently extract and produce oil and gas reserves, manage costs, and adapt to changing market dynamics.

Who Are MCF's Key Customers?

• Refineries that process crude oil.
• Natural gas distributors.
• Industrial consumers of natural gas.
• Wholesale energy markets.

The most recent 12 insider filings for Contango Oil & Gas Company break down as 7 sales and 5 purchases. On net that is roughly 4.2M shares acquired (about $176K) — insiders putting money in tends to read as conviction.

Contango Oil & Gas Company has missed Wall Street's EPS estimate in 8 of its last 8 reported quarters — a recurring pattern of falling short of estimates. Reported results have landed about 494.9% below estimates on average.

Key Financial Metrics

Return on assets is -97.1%, showing how much profit it generates from its asset base. A current ratio of 0.52 means current liabilities exceed short-term assets, a liquidity point worth watching. Its earnings yield is -37.3%, the inverse of the P/E and a quick read on earnings relative to price.

Contango Oil & Gas Company (MCF) Valuation Context

Relative to its peer group, MCF's quantitative score of 48/100 is below the peer average of 73/100.

Company Profile

Contango Oil & Gas Company operates in the Oil & Gas Exploration & Production industry within the Energy sector. It is headquartered in Houston, US. The company is led by CEO Wilkie Colyer. MCF has traded publicly since 1993.

MCF Financials

MCF Latest News

No recent news available for MCF.

MCF Analyst Consensus

MCF MoonshotScore

MCF Energy Stock FAQ

Disclaimer: This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Always do your own research and consult a financial advisor.

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