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Obsidian Energy Ltd. (OBE) Stock Price & Analysis

Obsidian Energy Ltd. (OBE) — MoonshotScore 44/100 (Weak band), calculated Oct 5, 2026. Price $10.40 (-0.38%), as of the Oct 2, 2026 trading session; market cap $694M.

Educational signal · not a buy or sell recommendation · How to read this

$10.40 −$0.04 (-0.38%) Market Cap $694M

Obsidian Energy Ltd. · OBE · AMEX

Obsidian Energy Ltd. is focused on the exploration, production, and development of oil and natural gas properties within the Western Canada Sedimentary Basin.

Price as of Oct 2, 2026

Key Statistics

44 of 100

MoonshotScore v2 · Obsidian Energy (OBE)

Weak
Business Quality Thin (34)
Financial Safety Okay (50)
Valuation Rich (35)
Growth Durability Growing (65)
Momentum Surging (83)
Why this rating? Method, drivers & history

Bands for the MoonshotScore: Exceptional 80-100 · Strong 65-79 · Fair 45-64 · Weak below 45.

  • Business Quality — Is this a genuinely good business?
  • Financial Safety — Could this blow up on me?
  • Valuation — Am I paying a fair price?
  • Growth Durability — Is the growth real and likely to last?
  • Momentum — Is the market already moving on this?
The ten-second read ·

Weak quality, though the balance sheet is only middling; the market is already moving on it. Business Quality: Thin; Financial Safety: Okay; Valuation: Rich; Growth Durability: Growing; Momentum: Surging.

  • quarterly revenue C$124M (Q2 FY2026, quarter ended Jun 2026)
  • EPS beat 2 of 8
  • Altman Z 0.70 · Piotroski F 6

Holding back: weak fundamentals

Helping: positive momentum

What has the MoonshotScore done over time?

MoonshotScore snapshots recorded for OBE (29 recorded, newest six shown)
RecordedScoreBand
47Fair
46Fair
45Weak
45Weak
44Weak
44Weak

The score was 44 in the stored Oct 4, 2026 snapshot and remains 44 in the current publication computed Oct 5, 2026 (0); the largest pillar moves were Valuation -1 and Momentum +1; the pillar moves offset under the sector-relative weighting, so the headline score is unchanged. This current publication is not yet represented in the immutable snapshot archive.

Calculation uses the most recent completed US trading session. Live price changes do not update the score immediately.

Computed · Educational signal · not a buy or sell recommendation · How the MoonshotScore is computed →

Price & valuation

Dates shown where recorded
MeasureValueAs of
Latest provided price$10.40
Change on the day-0.38%
52-week range$5.44 – $14.59
Market capitalisation$694M
Price / earnings (trailing)51.24
Shares traded on the day534.8K

Price & events

Other perspectives

Council score for Obsidian Energy (OBE): perspectives

Council is a separate blend of available disciplines; MoonshotScore above remains the five-pillar research rating.

5-Factor Breakdown

Growth Durability Moderate
Momentum Strong
Business Quality Weak
Financial Safety Neutral
Valuation Weak

Legends Council

4 lenses, 0 current

AI simulations built from the named investors' published principles. Not affiliated with, endorsed by, or the opinion of these individuals. How these lenses are built

Dalio-style lens (simulated) Ray Dalio Favorable read
Englander-style lens (simulated) Izzy Englander Neutral read
Klarman-style lens (simulated) Seth Klarman Unfavorable read
Moon AI lens (model) Neutral read

Read on: Sep 22, 2026 · older than the 27 hours refresh window; not a current reading

Munger's Mindset

Balance Sheet & Valuation · historical

Financial Health Weak
Margin of Safety Undervalued
Profit Margin Neutral
Revenue Growth Negative
Debt/Equity Moderate
ROE Weak
Gross Margin Moderate

Read on: Sep 9, 2026 · older than the 27 hours refresh window; not a current reading

How to read these bars and different assessments

Council is a separate blend of available disciplines; MoonshotScore above remains the five-pillar research rating.

Bars show each model's ordered assessment on its own scale, not a probability or a comparable investment return. The adjacent words give the assessment; more filled segments indicate a stronger model reading.

On Sep 9, 2026, the Munger lens read the price at that time as undervalued against its own estimate of value.

Readings on this page are from Oct 5, 2026, except a card that shows its own read date.

Watch the OBE film — every key number, told as a short cinematic story

~2 min · open the film

1 · What is it?

What is Obsidian Energy (OBE), and what does it report?

Short answer · as of

A current FMP business description is unavailable; the listing and provider classification below are the available identity facts. Obsidian Energy Ltd. (OBE) is listed on AMEX. It employs 148 people and is led by Stephen Elias Loukas. In Q2 FY2026 it reported revenue of C$124M and net income of C$30M. The market values it at $694M.

2 · Latest results

What do the latest results show for Obsidian Energy (OBE)?

Short answer · as of

The most recent reported quarter, Q2 FY2026, carried revenue of C$124M. Against analyst estimates the company has EPS beat 2 of 8 reports.

Quarterly income statement — 4 quarters
Revenue, net income and earnings per share by quarter
PeriodRevenueNet incomeEPS
Q2 FY2026C$124MC$30MC$0.43 (diluted)
Q1 FY2026C$100M-C$13M-C$0.20 (diluted)
Q4 FY2025C$84M-C$9M-C$0.13 (diluted)
Q3 FY2025C$82MC$12MC$0.18 (diluted)
3 · Financial strengths and risks

What are the financial strengths and risks for Obsidian Energy (OBE)?

Short answer

The MoonshotScore pillars rate positive momentum as strengths. What is holding it back is weak fundamentals. The distress and quality screens read Altman Z 0.70 · Piotroski F 6. Trailing ratios: ROE 1.4% · ROA 0.9% · current ratio 0.78 · earnings yield 2.0% · free-cash-flow yield -18.5%.

Data-derived red flags

  • Financial-distress signal — its Altman Z-Score of 0.70 sits in the distress zone (elevated bankruptcy risk).
  • Inconsistent delivery — missed Wall Street EPS estimates in 5 of the last 8 reported quarters.
5 · Peer comparison

How does Obsidian Energy compare with its peers?

Short answer

Obsidian Energy's score ranks 8th of 13 in the bounded comparison shown, against 12 same-model peers. These are company scores, not expected investment returns. The set lists named competitors first, then companies in the same data-provider industry classification closest in market value; that classification is the provider's, not our judgment of business similarity.

Peer set — price, market value and MoonshotScore
CompanyPriceMarket valueScore
Dorchester Minerals, L.P. (DMLP) Same industry, near in market value$28.99 Oct 5, 2026$1.38B97 5-pillar Oct 5, 2026
SandRidge Energy, Inc. (SD) Same industry, near in market value$13.72 Oct 5, 2026$503M92 5-pillar Oct 5, 2026
Kimbell Royalty Partners, LP (KRP) Same industry, near in market value$14.79 Oct 5, 2026$1.44B91 5-pillar Oct 5, 2026
Riley Exploration Permian, Inc. (REPX) Same industry, near in market value$42.93 Oct 5, 2026$935M87 5-pillar Oct 5, 2026
PrimeEnergy Resources Corporation (PNRG) Same industry, near in market value$209.67 Oct 5, 2026$331M87 5-pillar Oct 5, 2026
GeoPark Limited (GPRK) Same industry, near in market value$11.28 Oct 5, 2026$704M68 5-pillar Oct 5, 2026
Mach Natural Resources LP (MNR) Same industry, near in market value$10.55 Oct 5, 2026$1.72B67 5-pillar Oct 5, 2026
Obsidian Energy (OBE) — this page$10.40$694M44
Tamboran Resources Corporation (TBN) Same industry, near in market value$33.90 Oct 5, 2026$1.17B43 5-pillar Oct 5, 2026
Diversified Energy Company PLC (DEC) Same industry, near in market value$13.61 Oct 5, 2026$983M41 5-pillar Oct 5, 2026
Greenfire Resources Ltd. (GFR) Same industry, near in market value$5.99 Oct 5, 2026$420M39 5-pillar Oct 5, 2026
TXO Partners, L.P. (TXO) Same industry, near in market value$13.91 Oct 5, 2026$766M36 5-pillar Oct 5, 2026
Vitesse Energy, Inc. (VTS) Same industry, near in market value$17.05 Oct 5, 2026$720M33 5-pillar Oct 5, 2026

Only 5-pillar scores are ranked together. Other models are not directly comparable. Price and score dates are shown separately; market-value dates are unavailable.

The records behind this page

Insider activity

Form 4 records via FMP · Most recent available transactions

Transactions
12
Identified insiders
1
Purchases
0
Sales
12
Other transactions
0

Purchases and sales use the reported transaction category. Other transactions include awards, exercises, gifts, withholding and unclassified activity; an acquisition or disposition alone is not a purchase or sale. These records do not establish intent.

What has been published about Obsidian Energy (OBE)?

Read these with our analysis →

Investor Questions: OBE Stock

These answers are editorial: 1 of these 9 answers is drawn from the OBE research dossier (written May 6, 2026 by gemini-2.0-flash); the other 8 are question templates that restate figures shown above. Figures in this section are not part of the source register.

What does the MoonshotScore mean for OBE?

OBE carries the MoonshotScore stated above — the Weak band. This is an educational research signal, not a buy or sell recommendation. The number comes from the five-pillar engine (business quality, financial safety, valuation, growth durability, momentum), re-ranked daily against sector peers.

Is OBE a good stock to buy?

Stock Expert AI does not rate OBE buy, sell or hold. Obsidian Energy Ltd. carries a MoonshotScore, in the Weak band, a research rating against its peers rather than a forecast. Whether it fits is your call: check what it sells, whether it earns and what the price assumes. This is educational content, not investment advice.

What is the OBE stock price today?

The last price recorded on this page for Obsidian Energy Ltd. (OBE) is $10.40, as of the Oct 2, 2026 trading session (source: Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) · quote). It is a provider snapshot, not a live exchange feed, so check a brokerage quote before you trade.

What are the main risks for OBE?

Obsidian Energy Ltd. faces several risks inherent to the oil and gas industry. Fluctuations in oil and natural gas prices can significantly impact the company's revenue and profitability. Increased competition from other oil and gas producers could erode market share.

What are the key factors to evaluate for OBE?

Obsidian Energy Ltd. (OBE) holds a MoonshotScore in the low range. P/E: 51.24x. Not financial advice.

How frequently does OBE data refresh on this page?

OBE's price is the last quote we recorded, from the Oct 2, 2026 trading session. Pages are served from a cache, so the copy you are reading can lag that quote. The quote is a provider snapshot, not an exchange feed. Fundamentals follow quarterly filings. V2 is recalculated from the most recent completed US trading session; the score's own date shows its last successful run.

What has driven OBE's recent stock price performance?

Obsidian Energy Ltd. (OBE) moves on earnings results, analyst revisions, sector rotation, and market sentiment. Notable catalyst: Focus on the Western Canada Sedimentary Basin. See the News tab for the latest drivers. Past performance does not predict future results.

Should investors consider OBE overvalued or undervalued right now?

Obsidian Energy Ltd. (OBE) trades at 51.24x earnings. Compare P/E, P/S, and EV/EBITDA against sector peers for a full view.

How do I research OBE before investing?

Before investing in Obsidian Energy Ltd. (OBE), research these four areas: (1) the company's revenue model and competitive position (see Company Overview), (2) financial health through revenue growth, margins, and cash flow (see MoonshotScore), (3) analyst consensus ratings and price targets (see Analyst tab), and (4) specific risk factors that could impact the stock (see Risk Factors section).

Disclaimer: This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Always do your own research and consult a financial advisor.

Machine-generated analysis by Stock Expert AI — model gemini-2.0-flash, generated May 6, 2026. Editorial oversight is systemic, not page-by-page. Editorially accountable: Sedat ANAK, Founder and Editor-in-Chief.

Sources — records for every figure on this page (18 figures)

The 18 rows below are exactly the facts the evidence-backed sections of this page printed — the 10-second verdict, the MoonshotScore, price and market value, the five questions with their receipts, and the records behind this page. Known dates and sources are recorded on their own rows; an em dash or UNRECORDED tier preserves a stored observation without inventing either. The quarterly income statement is provider-standardized (FMP) under one row, and scale definitions — a 0-100 rating, the band ladder, the Piotroski 0–9 range — are fixed rather than measured. No number in those sections was generated by a model. The register does not cover quoted third-party headlines, the dated council readings, or the Frequently Asked Questions; each of those says where it came from where it stands.

"As of" is the date the value is true for where the source carries one — a quarter end, a filing date, a price close, the day the score was computed. A cached observation with no source date remains undated; the page publication date is not used as a substitute.

FMP — 10 facts from Financial Modeling Prep endpoint families

FMP facts used on this page
Fact IDFactValue as shownAs ofTierSource
px.lastLatest provided price$10.40FMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP) · quote — Dated to the US trading session the price belongs to, derived from the quote record's timestamp (weekend and pre-open reads roll back to the previous weekday; exchange holidays are not modelled). The record does not establish an exchange execution time. Retrieved 2026-10-05T13:14:56.044Z.
px.changeChange on the day-0.38%FMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP) · quote
px.mcapMarket capitalisation$694MFMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP) · quote — Date unknown Market cap record date: 2026-10-02. FMP quote timestamp: 2026-10-02T20:00:00.000Z. Captured from FMP at 2026-10-05T13:14:40.426Z. No share-count basis is inferred; this page preserves the reported amount instead of recalculating it from shares.
px.change_absChange on the day, in dollars−$0.04FMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP) · quote
fin.q_revenueRevenue, Q2 FY2026C$124MFMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP) · income statement (quarterly)
px.pePrice / earnings (trailing)51.24FMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP) · quote
px.volumeShares traded on the day534.8KFMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP) · quote
fin.q_incomeNet income, Q2 FY2026C$30MFMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP) · income statement (quarterly)
fin.q_tableQuarterly income statement4 quarters through Q2 FY2026FMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP) · income statement (quarterly), as filed
own.insidersInsider transactions via FMP12 transactions · 0 purchases, 12 sales, 0 other transactions · 1 identified insiders · most recent available transactionsFMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP), carrying Form 4 transaction records — Purchases and sales use the reported transaction category. Other transactions include awards, exercises, gifts, withholding and unclassified activity; an acquisition or disposition alone is not a purchase or sale. These records do not establish intent.

UNRECORDED — 6 facts from stored observations whose source was not recorded

UNRECORDED facts used on this page
Fact IDFactValue as shownAs ofTierSource
earn.historyReported versus estimated, recent quartersEPS beat 2 of 8UNRECORDEDStored earnings-history observation — Captured 2026-10-04
fin.scoresDistress and quality screensAltman Z 0.70 · Piotroski F 6UNRECORDEDStored financial-scores observation — Captured 2026-10-05
px.range5252-week range$5.44 – $14.59UNRECORDEDStored company-profile observation — Captured 2026-10-04
id.employeesEmployees148UNRECORDEDStored company-profile observation — Captured 2026-10-04
id.ceoChief executiveStephen Elias LoukasUNRECORDEDStored company-profile observation — Captured 2026-10-04
fin.ratiosReturn and yield ratios (trailing twelve months)ROE 1.4% · ROA 0.9% · current ratio 0.78 · earnings yield 2.0% · free-cash-flow yield -18.5%—UNRECORDEDStored key metrics — Date unknown

OURS — 2 facts from Stock Expert AI's own score and rank

OURS facts used on this page
Fact IDFactValue as shownAs ofTierSource
ours.moonshotMoonshotScore v244 of 100 · Weak · pillars 34 / 50 / 35 / 65 / 83OURSStock Expert AI MoonshotScore v2 engine
ours.moonshot_changeMoonshotScore movement44 (stored snapshot Oct 4, 2026) → 44 (current publication computed Oct 5, 2026) (0)OURSStock Expert AI current score publication and immutable score snapshots — The current score publication is not yet represented in the immutable snapshot archive.
Published
Research standards
Methodology · Editorial policy · Corrections
Data Sources & Methodology
Figures come from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP). If FMP has no figure for a ticker, a price or fundamental may come from a Yahoo Finance fallback, or a price from an Alpaca fallback. SEC EDGAR is used only for filing links and company identity details (legal name, address), never for figures. AI analysis by Stock Expert AI proprietary algorithms. Technical indicators via industry-standard calculations. Last updated: .
Data Provenance
Sources: Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) — Primary · Yahoo Finance — Fallback · Alpaca — Tertiary
Last fetched:
Cache TTL: Quote 5min · Profile 7d · Financials 7d · Insider 48h
How we use AI: Numbers are pulled directly from FMP & Yahoo Finance — our AI writes the analysis, it never edits the figures.
Data provided as-is for educational purposes. Not financial advice. Methodology

Data provided for informational purposes only.