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Origin Energy Limited (OGFGY) Stock Price & Analysis

Origin Energy Limited (OGFGY) — price $7.50 (-1.28%), as of the Oct 5, 2026 trading session; market cap $12.9B.

Educational signal · not a buy or sell recommendation · How to read this

$7.50 −$0.097 (-1.28%) Market Cap $12.9B

Origin Energy Limited · OGFGY · Utilities · Diversified Utilities

Origin Energy Limited stands as a multifaceted energy enterprise, deeply engaged across the entire energy value chain.

Price as of Oct 5, 2026

Key Statistics

MoonshotScore is not published for this security.

Price & valuation

Dates shown where recorded
MeasureValueAs of
Latest provided price$7.50
Change on the day-1.28%
52-week range$7.07 – $9.70
Market capitalisation$12.9B
Price / earnings (trailing)11.95
Shares traded on the day500
Beta (volatility vs the S&P 500)0.46
Dividends per share (last 12 months)$0.42
Dividend yield (last 12 months)5.58%

Price & events

Weekly closing price with reported quarters marked Weekly closing price from Sep 5, 2025 to Oct 5, 2026: low $7.20, high $9.50, latest $7.50. 1 reported quarter marked. $9.50 $7.20 high $9.50 Feb 11, 2026 · Earnings results · no recorded estimate to compare · close $7.971 Sep 5, 2025 Oct 5, 2026 · $7.50 $7.97Sep 5, 2025$8.38Sep 19, 2025$8.43Oct 3, 2025$7.92Oct 17, 2025$7.90Oct 31, 2025$7.80Nov 14, 2025$7.20Nov 28, 2025$7.68Dec 12, 2025$7.48Dec 26, 2025$7.48Jan 9, 2026$7.40Jan 23, 2026$7.97Feb 6, 2026$7.97Feb 20, 2026$8.74Mar 6, 2026$8.51Mar 20, 2026$8.70Apr 2, 2026$8.90Apr 17, 2026$9.50May 1, 2026$8.28May 15, 2026$7.90May 29, 2026$7.93Jun 12, 2026$7.58Jun 26, 2026$7.42Jul 10, 2026$7.25Jul 24, 2026$7.58Aug 7, 2026$8.45Aug 21, 2026$8.26Sep 4, 2026$8.26Sep 18, 2026$7.60Oct 2, 2026

Triangles mark reported quarters on the line: pointing up is above the recorded estimate, down is below, a diamond means no estimate on file. Numbers key to the dated list. Point at or tab to any week for its close.

Events behind the price

  • · Earnings results

Results dates follow the earnings feed; call dates follow the transcript provider. Nearby dates do not establish that an event caused a price move.

Upcoming events

As of

  1. Dividend payment dateCompany record

Source records

Other perspectives

Council score for Origin Energy (OGFGY): perspectives

Council is a separate blend of available disciplines; MoonshotScore above remains the five-pillar research rating.

Legends Council

6 lenses, 0 current

AI simulations built from the named investors' published principles. Not affiliated with, endorsed by, or the opinion of these individuals. How these lenses are built

Dalio-style lens (simulated) Ray Dalio Favorable read
Griffin-style lens (simulated) Ken Griffin Favorable read
Simons-style lens (simulated) Jim Simons Favorable read
Englander-style lens (simulated) Izzy Englander Favorable read
Klarman-style lens (simulated) Seth Klarman Neutral read
Moon AI lens (model) Neutral read

Read on: Sep 27, 2026 · older than the 27 hours refresh window; not a current reading

Munger's Mindset

Balance Sheet & Valuation · historical

Financial Health Neutral
Margin of Safety Undervalued
Profit Margin Neutral
Revenue Growth Neutral
Debt/Equity Neutral
ROE Neutral
Gross Margin Weak

Read on: Apr 29, 2026 · older than the 27 hours refresh window; not a current reading

How to read these bars and different assessments

Council is a separate blend of available disciplines; MoonshotScore above remains the five-pillar research rating.

Bars show each model's ordered assessment on its own scale, not a probability or a comparable investment return. The adjacent words give the assessment; more filled segments indicate a stronger model reading.

On Apr 29, 2026, the Munger lens read the price at that time as undervalued against its own estimate of value.

Readings on this page are from Oct 6, 2026, except a card that shows its own read date.

Watch the OGFGY film — every key number, told as a short cinematic story

~2 min · open the film

1 · What is it?

What is Origin Energy (OGFGY), and what does it report?

Short answer · as of

Origin sells electricity, natural gas and LPG to households and businesses, generates power from coal, renewables, pumped hydro and cogeneration, and participates in gas exploration, production and LNG sales.

Research dated 2026-09-13.

Origin sells electricity, natural gas and LPG to households and businesses, generates power from coal, renewables, pumped hydro and cogeneration, and participates in gas exploration, production and LNG sales. Demand therefore comes from customer energy consumption, generation and wholesale activity, gas production and LNG markets rather than from regulated network charges alone.

Sources (as of 2026-09-13): Business description; Sector / industry (provider taxonomy)

2 · Latest results

What do the latest results show for Origin Energy (OGFGY)?

Short answer · as of

The most recent reported quarter, Q4 FY2026, carried revenue of $5.31B.

Did results meet expectations?

Reported earnings and revenue alongside the estimates recorded by the provider.

Latest report · revenue
$5.19B Feb 11, 2026
Did results meet expectations? — reported evidence
Report dateRevenue · reportedRevenue · estimateEPS · reportedEPS · estimate
Feb 11, 2026$5.19BNot available$0.2069Not available
Aug 13, 2025$5.48BNot available$0.1760Not available
Feb 13, 2025$5.45BNot available$0.3649Not available
Aug 15, 2024$5.44BNot available$0.1550Not available

Dates are report dates, not fiscal period ends. Revenue is in USD; EPS is USD per share, rounded to four decimals. The earnings feed does not establish a basic, diluted or adjusted basis. Earnings-feed EPS may differ from statement EPS; the two series are not combined.

Quarterly income statement — 4 quarters
Revenue, net income and earnings per share by quarter (converted from AUD)
PeriodRevenueNet incomeEPS
Q4 FY2026$5.31B$719M$0.41 (diluted)
Q2 FY2026$5.43B$381M$0.22 (diluted)
Q4 FY2025$5.86B$324M$0.19 (diluted)
Q2 FY2025$6.14B$709M$0.41 (diluted)
3 · Financial strengths and risks

What are the financial strengths and risks for Origin Energy (OGFGY)?

Short answer

The distress and quality screens read Altman Z 2.98 · Piotroski F 7. Trailing ratios: ROE 10.4% · ROA 5.1% · current ratio 1.18 · earnings yield 5.4% · free-cash-flow yield 4.0%.

5 · Score methodology

How is Origin Energy scored?

Research dated 2026-09-13.

Origin sits between several cleaner peer categories. Unlike a network utility, it sells energy and carries generation, wholesale and commodity exposure; unlike a pure retailer, it participates in generation and upstream gas; unlike a gas producer, it reaches household and commercial customers through electricity, gas, LPG and home-comfort products. That integration makes the relationship among supply costs, generation economics, customer demand and LNG returns more important than any single utility metric.

Sources (as of 2026-09-13): Sector / industry (provider taxonomy); Business description; Trailing twelve-month ratio set

Peer set — price, market value and MoonshotScore
CompanyPriceMarket valueScore
ARC Resources Ltd. (AETUF) Named competitor$24.54 Sep 7, 2026$13.9B— Model unavailable
Galp Energia, SGPS, S.A. (GLPEF) Named competitor$25.03 Oct 5, 2026$15.6B— Model unavailable
JSC National Atomic Company Kazatomprom (NATKY) Named competitor$71.13 Oct 5, 2026$18.5B— Model unavailable
OMV AG (OMVJF) Named competitor$81.95 Oct 5, 2026$26.7B— Model unavailable
PTT Exploration and Production Public Company Limited (PEXNY) Named competitor$8.80 Oct 5, 2026$17.5B— Model unavailable
The AES Corporation (AES) Same industry, near in market value$14.90 Oct 5, 2026$10.6B— 5-pillar · not comparable
Companhia Energética de Minas Gerais (CIG) Same industry, near in market value$2.38 Oct 5, 2026$6.81B— 5-pillar · not comparable
Black Hills Corporation (BKH) Same industry, near in market value$70.48 Oct 5, 2026$5.37B— 5-pillar · not comparable
Northwestern Energy Group Inc (NWE) Same industry, near in market value$68.76 Oct 5, 2026$4.22B— 5-pillar · not comparable
Otter Tail Corporation (OTTR) Same industry, near in market value$88.42 Oct 5, 2026$3.71B— 5-pillar · not comparable
Sempra (SRE) Same industry, near in market value$78.16 Oct 5, 2026$51.1B— 5-pillar · not comparable
Avista Corporation (AVA) Same industry, near in market value$35.13 Oct 5, 2026$2.94B— 5-pillar · not comparable

The comparison model is unavailable. Other models are not directly comparable. Price and score dates are shown separately; market-value dates are unavailable.

Screen more Utilities stocks

What has been published about Origin Energy (OGFGY)?

Read these with our analysis →

Common Questions About OGFGY (Utilities)

These answers are editorial: 1 of these 8 answers is drawn from the OGFGY research dossier (written Mar 15, 2026 by gemini-2.0-flash); the other 7 are question templates that restate figures shown above. Figures in this section are not part of the source register.

Is OGFGY a good stock to buy?

Stock Expert AI does not rate OGFGY buy, sell or hold. Origin Energy Limited has no MoonshotScore yet; read the financial checkup, analyst consensus and risks directly. Whether it fits is your call: check what it sells, whether it earns and what the price assumes. This is educational content, not investment advice.

What is the OGFGY stock price today?

The last price recorded on this page for Origin Energy Limited (OGFGY) is $7.50, as of the Oct 5, 2026 trading session (source: Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) · quote). It is a provider snapshot, not a live exchange feed, so check a brokerage quote before you trade.

What do analysts say about OGFGY stock?

Analyst consensus on OGFGY is mixed, reflecting the complexities of the energy sector and Origin Energy's position within it. Key valuation metrics, such as the P/E ratio and dividend yield, are closely monitored.

What are the key factors to evaluate for OGFGY?

Evaluate OGFGY on fundamentals, analyst consensus, and risk factors. P/E: 11.95x. Enhancement of Retail Energy Offerings: Origin Energy can enhance its retail energy offerings by providing value-added services and products to its customers. Not financial advice.

How frequently does OGFGY data refresh on this page?

OGFGY's price is the last quote we recorded, from the Oct 5, 2026 trading session. Pages are served from a cache, so the copy you are reading can lag that quote. The quote is a provider snapshot, not an exchange feed. Fundamentals follow quarterly filings. V2 is recalculated from the most recent completed US trading session; the score's own date shows its last successful run.

What has driven OGFGY's recent stock price performance?

Origin Energy Limited (OGFGY) moves on earnings results, analyst revisions, sector rotation, and market sentiment. Notable catalyst: Integrated operations across the energy value chain. See the News tab for the latest drivers. Past performance does not predict future results.

Should investors consider OGFGY overvalued or undervalued right now?

Origin Energy Limited (OGFGY) trades at 11.95x earnings. Compare P/E, P/S, and EV/EBITDA against sector peers for a full view.

How do I research OGFGY before investing?

Before investing in Origin Energy Limited (OGFGY), research these four areas: (1) the company's revenue model and competitive position (see Company Overview), (2) financial health through revenue growth, margins, and cash flow (see MoonshotScore), (3) analyst consensus ratings and price targets (see Analyst tab), and (4) specific risk factors that could impact the stock (see Risk Factors section).

Disclaimer: This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Always do your own research and consult a financial advisor.

Research written by Codex (gpt-5.6-sol) on 2026-09-13. AI-authored analysis; source dates are shown with each answer. Editorial oversight is systemic, not page-by-page. Editorially accountable: Sedat ANAK, Founder and Editor-in-Chief.

Sources — records for every figure on this page (26 figures)

The 26 rows below are exactly the facts the evidence-backed sections of this page printed — the 10-second verdict, the MoonshotScore, price and market value, the five questions with their receipts, and the records behind this page. Known dates and sources are recorded on their own rows; an em dash or UNRECORDED tier preserves a stored observation without inventing either. The quarterly income statement is provider-standardized (FMP) under one row, and scale definitions — a 0-100 rating, the band ladder, the Piotroski 0–9 range — are fixed rather than measured. No number in those sections was generated by a model. The register does not cover quoted third-party headlines, the dated council readings, or the Frequently Asked Questions; each of those says where it came from where it stands.

"As of" is the date the value is true for where the source carries one — a quarter end, a filing date, a price close, the day the score was computed. A cached observation with no source date remains undated; the page publication date is not used as a substitute.

FMP — 21 facts from Financial Modeling Prep endpoint families

FMP facts used on this page
Fact IDFactValue as shownAs ofTierSource
px.lastLatest provided price$7.50FMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP) · quote — Dated to the US trading session the price belongs to, derived from the quote record's timestamp (weekend and pre-open reads roll back to the previous weekday; exchange holidays are not modelled). The record does not establish an exchange execution time. Retrieved 2026-10-05T13:44:58.696Z.
px.changeChange on the day-1.28%FMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP) · quote
px.mcapMarket capitalisation$12.9BFMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP) · quote — Date unknown Market cap record date: 2026-10-02. FMP quote timestamp: 2026-10-02T20:00:00.000Z. Captured from FMP at 2026-10-05T13:44:56.368Z. No share-count basis is inferred; this page preserves the reported amount instead of recalculating it from shares.
id.business_summaryBusiness description (FMP excerpt)Origin Energy Limited stands as a multifaceted energy enterprise, deeply engaged across the entire energy value chain.FMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP) company profile — Deterministic excerpt derived from id.description; source and date describe the input fact, not a new provider observation
px.change_absChange on the day, in dollars−$0.097FMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP) · quote
px.pePrice / earnings (trailing)11.95FMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP) · quote
px.volumeShares traded on the day500FMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP) · quote
px.betaBeta0.46FMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP) company profile
id.ceoChief executiveFrank G. CalabriaFMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP) key executives (proxy-derived) — Titles and pay come from the company's proxy statement as our provider parsed it.
id.employeesEmployees5,000FMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP) company profile
id.hqHeadquartersTower 1, Barangaroo, NSW, 2000, AUFMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP) company profile
fin.q_revenueRevenue, Q4 FY2026$5.31BFMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP) · income statement (quarterly)
earn.history.depth.2026-02-11.revenue_actualRevenue · reported — report date 2026-02-11$5.19BReport date · FMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings — Earnings-history note
earn.history.depth.2026-02-11.eps_actualEPS · reported — report date 2026-02-11$0.2069Report date · FMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings — Earnings-history note
earn.history.depth.2025-08-13.revenue_actualRevenue · reported — report date 2025-08-13$5.48BReport date · FMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings — Earnings-history note
earn.history.depth.2025-08-13.eps_actualEPS · reported — report date 2025-08-13$0.1760Report date · FMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings — Earnings-history note
earn.history.depth.2025-02-13.revenue_actualRevenue · reported — report date 2025-02-13$5.45BReport date · FMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings — Earnings-history note
earn.history.depth.2025-02-13.eps_actualEPS · reported — report date 2025-02-13$0.3649Report date · FMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings — Earnings-history note
earn.history.depth.2024-08-15.revenue_actualRevenue · reported — report date 2024-08-15$5.44BReport date · FMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings — Earnings-history note
earn.history.depth.2024-08-15.eps_actualEPS · reported — report date 2024-08-15$0.1550Report date · FMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings — Earnings-history note
fin.q_tableQuarterly income statement4 quarters through Q4 FY2026FMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP) · income statement (quarterly), as filed

UNRECORDED — 3 facts from stored observations whose source was not recorded

UNRECORDED facts used on this page
Fact IDFactValue as shownAs ofTierSource
px.range5252-week range$7.07 – $9.70UNRECORDEDStored company-profile observation — Captured 2026-10-03
fin.scoresDistress and quality screensAltman Z 2.98 · Piotroski F 7UNRECORDEDStored financial-scores observation — Captured 2026-10-05
fin.ratiosReturn and yield ratios (trailing twelve months)ROE 10.4% · ROA 5.1% · current ratio 1.18 · earnings yield 5.4% · free-cash-flow yield 4.0%—UNRECORDEDStored key metrics — Date unknown

COMPUTED — 2 facts from our arithmetic, formula restated

COMPUTED facts used on this page
Fact IDFactValue as shownAs ofTierSource
div.ttm_per_shareDividends per share, last 12 months (split-adjusted)$0.42COMPUTEDFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP) split-adjusted dividend history — Sum of 2 split-adjusted declared dividends with an ex-date in the 365 days to 2026-10-05, per current share. Ex-dates are not payment dates; special dividends are included. Not a declared annual rate.
div.ttm_yieldDividend yield, last 12 months5.58%COMPUTEDFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP) split-adjusted dividend history and quote — Split-adjusted dividends with ex-dates in the trailing 365-day window divided by the packet price, on the same current-share basis. Price date follows the quote, latest price bar or packet-build day when unstamped. Not a forecast or declared annual rate.

Fact-family notes

  1. Earnings-history note. Source series as of 2026-02-11. Dates are report dates, not fiscal period ends. Revenue is in USD; EPS is USD per share, rounded to four decimals. The earnings feed does not establish a basic, diluted or adjusted basis. Earnings-feed EPS may differ from statement EPS; the two series are not combined. Applies to Fact IDs: earn.history.depth.2026-02-11.revenue_actual, earn.history.depth.2026-02-11.eps_actual, earn.history.depth.2025-08-13.revenue_actual, earn.history.depth.2025-08-13.eps_actual, earn.history.depth.2025-02-13.revenue_actual, earn.history.depth.2025-02-13.eps_actual, earn.history.depth.2024-08-15.revenue_actual, earn.history.depth.2024-08-15.eps_actual.
Published
Research standards
Methodology · Editorial policy · Corrections

Sources used for research written 2026-09-13

Historical evidence preserved with this analysis. Current figures are listed separately above.

EvidenceCaptured valueSource dateSource typeSource
Business description
Origin Energy Limited stands as a multifaceted energy enterprise, deeply engaged across the entire energy value chain. Its operations encompass the upstream sector of natural gas exploration and production, move through power generation, and extend to the wholesale and retail distribution of both electricity and gas. The company also manages the sale of liquefied natural gas (LNG) to markets within Australia and internationally. The company's business activities are structured across three main divisions: Energy Markets, Integrated Gas, and Corporate. Its key natural gas exploration and production sites are situated in significant Australian basins, specifically the Bowen and Surat basins in Queensland, the Browse basin off the coast of Western Australia, and the Beetaloo basin in the Northern Territory. Origin Energy generates electricity from a diverse portfolio of sources, including conventional coal, renewable wind and solar, pumped hydro storage, and cogeneration facilities. Beyond power generation, it is a significant seller of electricity, natural gas, and LPG. The company also champions environmental responsibility by providing GreenPower and sustainable gas alternatives, alongside supplying LPG to both residential and commercial clients. Furthermore, Origin offers a variety of home comfort solutions, such as electric and gas hot water systems, split-system air conditioners, a selection of ducted and space heating systems, and both ducted evaporative and reverse-cycle air conditioning units. Founded in 1946, Origin Energy Limited has its corporate headquarters located in Barangaroo, Australia.
2026-09-13FMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP) company profile
Sector / industry (provider taxonomy)
Utilities / Diversified Utilities
2026-09-13FMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP) company profile
Trailing twelve-month ratio set
Quick ratio: 1.02; Current ratio: 1.09; Debt to equity: 0.49; Net margin: 10.2%; Gross margin: 12%; Operating margin: 8%; Return on assets: 7.6%; Return on equity: 15.8%

Price-based multiples captured at research time are not repeated here; the page shows each once, from current figures with their own dates. A ratio our provider could not compute is absent rather than shown as zero.

2026-09-13FMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP) key-metrics-ttm + ratios-ttm
Data Sources & Methodology
Figures come from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP). If FMP has no figure for a ticker, a price or fundamental may come from a Yahoo Finance fallback, or a price from an Alpaca fallback. SEC EDGAR is used only for filing links and company identity details (legal name, address), never for figures. AI analysis by Stock Expert AI proprietary algorithms. Technical indicators via industry-standard calculations. Last updated: .
Data Provenance
Sources: Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) — Primary · Yahoo Finance — Fallback · Alpaca — Tertiary
Last fetched:
Cache TTL: Quote 5min · Profile 7d · Financials 7d · Insider 48h
How we use AI: Numbers are pulled directly from FMP & Yahoo Finance — our AI writes the analysis, it never edits the figures.
Data provided as-is for educational purposes. Not financial advice. Methodology

Data provided for informational purposes only.