Skip to main content
Skip to main content
ORGN logo

Origin Materials, Inc. (ORGN)

$0.95 $-0.00 (-0.00%) |Avoid · 15
Signals are mixed — the Council read leans SELL (34/100) while the AI fundamental score is 15/100 (grade F); the two lenses disagree, so weigh the breakdown below. Strongest signal: Ken Griffin bullish · Biggest watch-out: Izzy Englander bearish.
MCap: $5.23M| 52-wk range: $1.05 – $28.50
Data from FMP · Methodology

For informational purposes only. Not financial advice. Analysis by Sedat ANAK, Founder & Editor-in-Chief | AI-powered analysis. Data sourced from SEC filings and institutional-grade financial providers. Editorially reviewed. Not financial advice.

Origin Materials, Inc. (ORGN) trades at $0.95 with AI Score 15/100 (Grade F). Origin Materials, Inc. produces plant-based PET plastic, transforming biomass carbon into valuable materials. Market cap: $5.23M, Sector: Basic materials.

Price live · AI analysis from May 9, 2026
Origin Materials, Inc. produces plant-based PET plastic, transforming biomass carbon into valuable materials. The company serves diverse markets, including tire filler and agriculture, with a focus on carbon capture.

Analyst Coverage for ORGN: ORGN does not currently have published analyst price targets in our coverage universe. This is common for smaller-cap names with limited Wall Street coverage. In the absence of analyst consensus, our AI model evaluates ORGN against Basic Materials peers across nine fundamental dimensions and assigns an underweight signal based on the underlying data.

Council Score · Weighted Average of 3 Disciplines
SELL 34/100 · D

ORGN: 3/7 perspectives are bearish. Dominant signal: Ken Griffin bullish.

How is this calculated? →
Legends Council · 5 Legends + Moon AI
Ray Dalio
Bullish
Ken Griffin
Bullish
Jim Simons
Neutral
Izzy Englander
Bearish
Seth Klarman
Neutral
Moon AI
Bearish
Council Score · 8 perspectives · See tabs for details →

Origin Materials, Inc. (ORGN) Materials & Commodity Exposure

CEOJohn Bissell
Employees109
HeadquartersWest Sacramento, CA, US
IPO Year2020
IndustryChemicals

Origin Materials, Inc. develops and commercializes plant-based PET plastic, offering a sustainable alternative to traditional petroleum-based products. The company transforms biomass carbon into useful materials, targeting markets like tire filler, agriculture, and activated carbon, positioning itself within the growing bio-based materials sector.

Data Provenance | Financial Data Quantitative Analysis NASDAQ Analysis: May 9, 2026

What Is the Investment Thesis for ORGN?

Origin Materials presents a notable research candidate within the burgeoning bio-based materials sector. The company's innovative platform for converting biomass into PET plastic addresses the increasing demand for sustainable alternatives to traditional petroleum-based products. Key value drivers include the expansion of production capacity, strategic partnerships, and penetration into diverse end markets. The company's negative gross margin of -56.2% and profit margin of -1319.6% highlight the challenges of scaling production and achieving profitability. Upcoming catalysts include the completion of new production facilities and the expansion of strategic alliances. Investors should monitor the company's ability to improve its financial performance and capitalize on the growing demand for sustainable materials.

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis

ORGN Key Highlights

  • Market capitalization of $5.23M reflects the company's current valuation in the market.
  • Negative profit margin of -1319.6% indicates significant losses relative to revenue, highlighting the challenges in achieving profitability.
  • Negative gross margin of -56.2% suggests that the cost of goods sold exceeds revenue, indicating potential inefficiencies in production or pricing.
  • Beta of 1.23 indicates that the stock is more volatile than the market average, suggesting higher risk.
  • Strategic alliance with Palantir Technologies Inc. leverages data analytics to optimize operations and accelerate product development.

Who Are ORGN's Competitors?

ORGN is benchmarked below against 8 industry peers on price, market cap, and our AI MoonshotScore.

Company Price Change Market Cap AI Score
LYB LyondellBasell Industries N.V. $52.97 -0.73% $17.10B 42
DOW Dow Inc. $27.23 -1.71% $19.63B
EMN Eastman Chemical Company $68.88 +0.03% $7.88B 59
ASPI ASP Isotopes Inc. $5.53 -1.78% $459.53M 60
CNSJF China Sanjiang Fine Chemicals Company Limited $0.16 +0.00% $187.57M 57
UNVR Univar Solutions Inc. $36.14 +0.47% $5.70B 54
WLKP Westlake Chemical Partners LP acquires, develops, and $22.32 -0.20% $786.51M 52
SVYSF Solvay S.A. $29.53 +0.00% $3.09B 39

AI Score by Stock Expert AI · Price data: FMP / Yahoo Finance

What Are ORGN's Key Strengths?

  • Proprietary technology for converting biomass into PET plastic.
  • Focus on carbon capture and sustainable materials.
  • Strategic alliance with Palantir Technologies Inc.
  • Established facility in Sarnia, Canada.

What Are ORGN's Weaknesses?

  • Negative gross margin and profit margin.
  • Limited production capacity compared to established chemical companies.
  • Dependence on strategic alliances for technology and market access.
  • Relatively small market capitalization.

What Could Drive ORGN Stock Higher?

  • Completion of new production facilities to increase capacity.
  • Expansion of strategic alliances to access new markets.
  • Development of new bio-based materials and applications.
  • Government incentives and regulations promoting sustainable materials.

What Are the Key Risks for ORGN?

  • Financial-distress signal — its Altman Z-Score of -8.59 sits in the distress zone (elevated bankruptcy risk).
  • Weak fundamentals — a Piotroski F-Score of 1/9 flags soft profitability, leverage or efficiency.
  • Competition from established chemical companies.
  • Fluctuations in feedstock prices.
  • Technological advancements by competitors.
  • Negative gross margin and profit margin.
  • Economic downturns affecting demand for materials.

What Are the Growth Opportunities for ORGN?

  • Expansion of Production Capacity: Origin Materials is focused on expanding its production capacity to meet the growing demand for its plant-based PET plastic. The completion of new production facilities, including the Sarnia, Canada facility, will significantly increase the company's output and enable it to serve larger customers. This expansion is crucial for achieving economies of scale and improving profitability. The market for bio-based PET is projected to reach billions of dollars in the coming years, providing a substantial opportunity for Origin Materials to capture market share.
  • Strategic Partnerships: The company's strategic alliance with Palantir Technologies Inc. provides access to advanced data analytics capabilities, enabling Origin Materials to optimize its operations, accelerate product development, and improve decision-making. Further strategic partnerships with companies in the consumer goods, packaging, and automotive industries can provide access to new markets and distribution channels. These partnerships can drive revenue growth and enhance the company's competitive position. The market size for strategic alliances in the chemical industry is significant, with potential for long-term value creation.
  • Penetration into Diverse End Markets: Origin Materials serves a variety of markets, including tire filler, carbon black, agriculture, and activated carbon. Expanding its presence in these markets and penetrating new markets, such as packaging, textiles, and automotive, can drive revenue growth and diversify its customer base. The company's plant-based PET plastic offers a sustainable alternative to traditional materials in these applications. The market size for sustainable materials in these end markets is substantial, presenting a significant growth opportunity for Origin Materials.
  • Development of New Products: Origin Materials is continuously developing new products and applications for its platform technology. This includes the development of new bio-based materials with enhanced performance characteristics and the exploration of new feedstocks for its production process. The development of new products can expand the company's addressable market and create new revenue streams. The market for innovative bio-based materials is constantly evolving, with opportunities for companies that can develop and commercialize new products.
  • Government Incentives and Regulations: The increasing focus on sustainability and the implementation of government incentives and regulations that promote the use of bio-based materials can create a favorable environment for Origin Materials. Government subsidies, tax credits, and mandates for the use of sustainable materials can drive demand for the company's products and accelerate its growth. The global market for government incentives for bio-based materials is growing, providing a significant opportunity for Origin Materials to benefit from these programs.

What Opportunities Does ORGN Have?

  • Growing demand for sustainable materials.
  • Expansion of production capacity.
  • Penetration into diverse end markets.
  • Government incentives and regulations promoting bio-based materials.

What Threats Does ORGN Face?

  • Competition from established chemical companies.
  • Fluctuations in feedstock prices.
  • Technological advancements by competitors.
  • Economic downturns affecting demand for materials.

What Are ORGN's Competitive Advantages?

  • Proprietary technology for converting biomass into PET plastic.
  • Strategic alliance with Palantir Technologies Inc.
  • Focus on carbon capture and sustainable materials.
  • Established facility in Sarnia, Canada.

What Does ORGN Do?

Origin Materials, Inc., formerly known as Micromidas, Inc., was founded in 2008 with the mission of creating sustainable materials from biomass. The company has developed a platform technology to convert the carbon found in plant-based feedstocks into useful materials, including PET plastic. This process not only produces valuable products but also captures carbon, contributing to a more sustainable manufacturing process. Origin Materials serves a variety of markets, including tire filler, carbon black, agriculture, and activated carbon. Their plant-based PET plastic offers a renewable alternative to traditional petroleum-based plastics, appealing to companies seeking to reduce their environmental footprint. The company has a strategic alliance with Palantir Technologies Inc., leveraging data analytics to optimize its operations and accelerate product development. With its headquarters in West Sacramento, California, and a facility in Sarnia, Canada, Origin Materials is expanding its production capacity to meet the growing demand for sustainable materials.

What Products and Services Does ORGN Offer?

  • Produces plant-based PET plastic from biomass.
  • Develops a platform for converting biomass carbon into useful materials.
  • Captures carbon during the production process, contributing to sustainability.
  • Serves the tire filler market with sustainable alternatives.
  • Provides carbon black for various industrial applications.
  • Offers solutions for the agriculture sector.
  • Supplies activated carbon for filtration and purification purposes.

How Does ORGN Make Money?

  • Converts biomass into sustainable PET plastic.
  • Sells plant-based PET plastic to various industries.
  • Generates revenue through product sales.
  • Forms strategic alliances for technology and market access.

What Industry Does ORGN Operate In?

Origin Materials operates within the chemicals industry, specifically targeting the bio-based materials market. This market is driven by increasing demand for sustainable alternatives to traditional petroleum-based products, fueled by environmental concerns and regulatory pressures. The competitive landscape includes established chemical companies and emerging bio-based material producers. Origin Materials differentiates itself through its proprietary technology for converting biomass into PET plastic. The global market for bio-based polymers is projected to grow significantly, presenting a substantial opportunity for Origin Materials to expand its market share.

Who Are ORGN's Key Customers?

  • Tire manufacturers seeking sustainable filler materials.
  • Carbon black producers looking for bio-based alternatives.
  • Agricultural companies requiring sustainable solutions.
  • Activated carbon users in filtration and purification.
AI Confidence: 73% Updated: May 9, 2026

Net buyingInsider Activity

Over the past six months, Origin Materials, Inc. insiders filed 7 SEC Form 4 transactions — 1 sales and 6 purchases. On net that is roughly 1.5M shares acquired (about $216K) — insiders putting money in tends to read as conviction.

FY2026 estForward Outlook

Wall Street analysts project Origin Materials, Inc. revenue of about $112.0M for fiscal 2026, with EPS near $-9.30.

F-Score 1/9Financial Health

Origin Materials, Inc.'s Piotroski F-Score is 1/9, a 9-point checklist of profitability, leverage and efficiency — flagging fundamental weakness worth scrutiny. Its Altman Z-Score of -8.59 places it in the distress zone, a signal of elevated financial risk.

Origin Materials, Inc. (ORGN) Valuation Context

Valued at $5.23M, ORGN is classified as a micro-cap stock. Relative to its peer group, ORGN's quantitative score of 15/100 is below the peer average of 55/100.

Company Profile

Origin Materials, Inc. operates in the Chemicals industry within the Basic Materials sector. It is headquartered in West Sacramento, US. The company is led by CEO John Bissell. ORGN has traded publicly since 2020.

ORGN Financials

Fundamental Snapshot

Revenue Growth (FY)
-39.5%
Net Income Growth (FY)
-198.3%
EPS Growth (FY)
-188.2%
Free Cash Flow Growth (FY)
-5.4%
Return on Equity (TTM)
-120.7%
Current Ratio
2.7

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis · FY 2025

Bull Case vs Bear Case

Bull Case

  • Recent insider buying suggests confidence in the company's future, indicating that key stakeholders believe in its potential.
  • Community sentiment has turned positive as discussions around sustainable materials gain traction, positioning ORGN favorably in the market.
  • The growing demand for eco-friendly products aligns with Origin's mission, enhancing its appeal to environmentally conscious investors.
  • Recent partnerships in the renewable sector have generated optimism about ORGN's ability to scale operations and capture market share.

Bear Case

  • Concerns about the company's ability to achieve profitability persist, with many investors wary of its long-term financial sustainability.
  • Market perception remains cautious due to broader economic uncertainties, which could impact funding and operational expansion.
  • Some community members express skepticism about the scalability of Origin's technology, fearing it may not meet projected demand.
  • Recent developments in regulatory frameworks for sustainable materials have raised questions about compliance and potential operational hurdles.

AI-generated arguments based on insider flow, news sentiment and technicals — not financial advice · March 2026

ORGN Latest News

ORGN Analyst Consensus

Consensus Rating

Aggregated Buy/Hold/Sell recommendations from Benzinga, Yahoo Finance, and Finnhub for ORGN.

Price Targets

Wall Street price target analysis for ORGN.

ORGN MoonshotScore

15/100

What does this score mean?

The MoonshotScore rates ORGN's growth potential on a scale of 0-100 across multiple factors including innovation, market disruption, financial health, and momentum.

Leadership: John Bissell

CEO

John Bissell is the CEO of Origin Materials, Inc. He has been instrumental in the company's development and commercialization of plant-based PET plastic. His background includes experience in renewable energy and sustainable materials. He has led Origin Materials through various stages of growth, from research and development to commercial production. Bissell's expertise in technology and business strategy has been crucial to the company's success.

Track Record: Under John Bissell's leadership, Origin Materials has secured strategic alliances, expanded its production capacity, and developed innovative bio-based materials. He has overseen the construction of the company's facility in Sarnia, Canada, and has driven the company's focus on carbon capture and sustainability. His strategic decisions have positioned Origin Materials as a leader in the bio-based materials sector.

ORGN Basic Materials Stock FAQ

What does Origin Materials, Inc. do?

Origin Materials, Inc. produces and commercializes plant-based PET plastic, offering a sustainable alternative to traditional petroleum-based plastics. The company transforms biomass carbon into useful materials, serving markets such as tire filler, carbon black, agriculture, and activated carbon. Their innovative platform captures carbon during the production process, contributing to a more sustainable manufacturing process. Origin Materials aims to reduce reliance on fossil fuels and promote a circular economy through its bio-based materials.

What do analysts say about ORGN stock?

Analyst coverage of Origin Materials, Inc. is limited, reflecting its relatively small market capitalization and early stage of commercialization. Key valuation metrics include revenue growth, gross margin, and cash flow. Analysts are focused on the company's ability to scale production, secure strategic partnerships, and penetrate diverse end markets. The consensus view is that Origin Materials has significant growth potential, but also faces challenges in achieving profitability and managing competition. Investors should monitor the company's financial performance and strategic execution.

What are the main risks for ORGN?

The main risks for Origin Materials, Inc. include competition from established chemical companies, fluctuations in feedstock prices, and technological advancements by competitors. The company's negative gross margin and profit margin also pose significant financial risks. Dependence on strategic alliances for technology and market access adds another layer of risk. Economic downturns could affect demand for materials, impacting the company's revenue. Investors should carefully consider these risks before investing in Origin Materials.

What are the key factors to evaluate for ORGN?

Origin Materials, Inc. (ORGN) holds an AI score of 15/100 (low). Not financial advice.

How frequently does ORGN data refresh on this page?

ORGN prices update in real time during U.S. market hours. Fundamentals refresh after quarterly filings; analyst ratings and AI insights update daily; news is aggregated continuously.

What has driven ORGN's recent stock price performance?

Origin Materials, Inc. (ORGN) moves on earnings results, analyst revisions, sector rotation, and market sentiment. Notable catalyst: Proprietary technology for converting biomass into PET plastic. See the News tab for the latest drivers. Past performance does not predict future results.

Should investors consider ORGN overvalued or undervalued right now?

Valuing Origin Materials, Inc. (ORGN) requires multiple metrics. Compare P/E, P/S, and EV/EBITDA against sector peers for a full view.

What research should beginners do before buying ORGN?

Before investing in Origin Materials, Inc. (ORGN), research these four areas: (1) the company's revenue model and competitive position (see Company Overview), (2) financial health through revenue growth, margins, and cash flow (see MoonshotScore), (3) what Wall Street analysts recommend and their price targets (see Analyst tab), and (4) specific risk factors that could impact the stock (see Risk Factors section).

Disclaimer: This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Always do your own research and consult a financial advisor.

Official Resources

Price as of Analysis updated AI Score refreshed daily
Data Sources & Methodology
Market data powered by Financial Modeling Prep & Yahoo Finance. AI analysis by Stock Expert AI proprietary algorithms. Technical indicators via industry-standard calculations. Last updated: .
Data Provenance
Sources: Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) — Primary · Yahoo Finance — Fallback · Alpaca — Tertiary
Last fetched:
Cache TTL: Quote 5min · Profile 7d · Financials 7d · Insider 48h
How we use AI: Numbers are pulled directly from FMP & Yahoo Finance — our AI writes the analysis, it never edits the figures.
Data provided as-is for educational purposes. Not financial advice. Methodology

Data provided for informational purposes only.

Analysis Notes
  • Information is based on available data and may be subject to change.
  • Financial metrics are based on the most recent filings.
Data Sources

Popular Stocks