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Innovator U.S. Equity Power Buffer ETF (PDEC)

$46.05 +$0.16 (+0.34%) |CouncilHOLD · 47 · C
Bottom line: HOLD — our Council read (47/100) and AI Score (47/100) broadly agree.
MCap: $1.03B| Vol: 8.3K|
Data from FMP · Methodology

For informational purposes only. Not financial advice. Analysis by Sedat ANAK, Founder & Editor-in-Chief | AI-powered analysis. Data sourced from SEC filings and institutional-grade financial providers. Editorially reviewed. Not financial advice.

Innovator U.S. Equity Power Buffer ETF (PDEC) trades at $46.05 with AI Score 47/100 (Grade C). Innovator U. S. Market cap: $1.03B, Sector: Financial services.

Price live · AI analysis from Mar 16, 2026
Innovator U.S. Equity Power Buffer ETF (PDEC) offers investors exposure to the SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) while providing a buffer against the first 15% of losses. The fund resets annually, allowing for indefinite holding.

Analyst Coverage for PDEC: PDEC does not currently have published analyst price targets in our coverage universe. This is common for smaller-cap names with limited Wall Street coverage. In the absence of analyst consensus, our AI model evaluates PDEC against Financial Services peers across nine fundamental dimensions and assigns an underweight signal based on the underlying data.

Council Score · Weighted Average of 3 Disciplines
HOLD 47/100 · C

PDEC: the 1 perspectives are evenly split.

How is this calculated? →
Council Score · 8 perspectives · See tabs for details →

Innovator U.S. Equity Power Buffer ETF (PDEC) Financial Services Profile

IPO Year2019

Innovator U.S. Equity Power Buffer ETF (PDEC) provides a unique investment strategy by tracking the SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) while buffering against the first 15% of losses. This structure, resetting annually, offers a blend of market exposure and downside protection within the asset management sector.

Data Provenance | Financial Data Quantitative Analysis NASDAQ Analysis: Mar 16, 2026

What Is the Investment Thesis for PDEC?

The Innovator U.S. Equity Power Buffer ETF (PDEC) presents a compelling investment proposition for risk-conscious investors seeking exposure to the S&P 500. The ETF's primary value driver is its 15% downside buffer, which mitigates potential losses during market corrections. With a market cap of $1.03B and a beta of 0.58, PDEC offers a less volatile investment option compared to the broader market. Growth catalysts include increasing investor demand for downside protection in uncertain market conditions. The ETF's annual reset feature ensures continued relevance and appeal. However, potential risks include the capped upside participation, which may limit returns in strongly rising markets. The fund's success depends on its ability to effectively track the SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) while maintaining its buffer strategy.

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis

PDEC Key Highlights

  • Market Cap: $1.01 billion, indicating substantial investor interest and fund size.
  • Beta: 0.58, suggesting lower volatility compared to the broader market, making it attractive for risk-averse investors.
  • The ETF buffers investors against the first 15% of losses, providing a safety net during market downturns.
  • The fund resets annually, ensuring the buffer is consistently renewed and aligned with current market conditions.
  • Tracks the SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY), offering exposure to a broad market index with downside protection.

Who Are PDEC's Competitors?

PDEC is benchmarked below against 8 industry peers on price, market cap, and our AI MoonshotScore.

Company Price Change Market Cap AI Score
FJUN FT Vest U.S. Equity Buffer ETF - June $60.20 +0.58% $1.18B 47
FMAY FT Vest U.S. Equity Buffer ETF - May $56.42 +0.53% $1.23B 47
ISPY ProShares - S&P 500 High Income ETF $48.16 +0.67% $1.30B 44
PAUG Innovator U.S. Equity Power Buffer ETF $45.76 +0.18% $894.31M 47
PFEB Innovator U.S. Equity Power Buffer ETF $43.23 +0.46% $758.70M 47
NXDT NexPoint Diversified Real Estate Trust $5.53 +3.08% $285.77M 73
GENB Generate Biomedicines, Inc. $17.03 -2.18% $2.18B 72
SII Sprott Inc. $118.11 +2.72% $3.05B 71

AI Score by Stock Expert AI · Price data: FMP / Yahoo Finance

What Are PDEC's Key Strengths?

  • Downside protection through the 15% buffer.
  • Exposure to the S&P 500.
  • Annual reset feature.
  • Relatively low beta compared to the broader market.

What Are PDEC's Weaknesses?

  • Capped upside participation.
  • Management fees can reduce overall returns.
  • Performance may lag the S&P 500 in strongly rising markets.
  • Complexity of the buffered strategy may deter some investors.

What Could Drive PDEC Stock Higher?

  • Increasing market volatility driving demand for downside protection.
  • Growing awareness of buffered ETFs among investors.
  • Potential new product launches with different buffer levels.
  • Strategic partnerships with financial advisors expanding distribution.

What Are the Key Risks for PDEC?

  • Capped upside participation limiting returns in strongly rising markets.
  • Management fees reducing overall returns.
  • Increased competition from other buffered ETFs.
  • Changes in market conditions reducing the effectiveness of the buffer.
  • Market risk impacting the underlying SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY).

What Are the Growth Opportunities for PDEC?

  • Increased Adoption by Risk-Averse Investors: The growing awareness of market volatility and the desire for downside protection are driving demand for buffered ETFs like PDEC. As investors seek to mitigate risk in their portfolios, the 15% buffer offered by PDEC becomes increasingly attractive. The market for risk management solutions is expanding, with a potential market size of billions of dollars. Timeline: Ongoing.
  • Expansion of Product Line: Innovator could introduce new buffered ETFs with different buffer levels or tied to other market indices. This would cater to a wider range of investor risk profiles and investment objectives. The market for specialized ETFs is growing rapidly, offering significant opportunities for product innovation. Timeline: Within the next 1-3 years.
  • Strategic Partnerships with Financial Advisors: Collaborating with financial advisors to promote PDEC as a core portfolio component can significantly increase its distribution and adoption. Financial advisors play a crucial role in guiding investor asset allocation decisions. The market for financial advisory services is substantial, with trillions of dollars in assets under management. Timeline: Ongoing.
  • Educational Initiatives: Educating investors about the benefits of buffered ETFs and how they work can drive greater adoption. Many investors are unfamiliar with the concept of buffered ETFs and their potential advantages. Targeted educational campaigns can address this knowledge gap and increase investor confidence. Timeline: Ongoing.
  • International Expansion: Expanding the availability of PDEC to international markets can tap into a new pool of investors seeking downside protection. Many international investors face similar concerns about market volatility and are looking for risk management solutions. The global ETF market is growing rapidly, offering significant opportunities for international expansion. Timeline: Within the next 3-5 years.

What Opportunities Does PDEC Have?

  • Growing demand for downside protection.
  • Expansion of product line with different buffer levels.
  • Strategic partnerships with financial advisors.
  • International expansion.

What Threats Does PDEC Face?

  • Increased competition from other buffered ETFs.
  • Changes in market conditions that reduce the effectiveness of the buffer.
  • Regulatory changes that impact the ETF industry.
  • Economic downturns that reduce investor confidence.

What Are PDEC's Competitive Advantages?

  • First-mover advantage in the buffered ETF market.
  • Established brand recognition and reputation.
  • Proprietary methodology for creating the buffer.
  • Scale and liquidity, making it attractive for large investors.

What Does PDEC Do?

The Innovator U.S. Equity Power Buffer ETF (PDEC) was created to provide investors with a unique investment strategy that combines the potential returns of the SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) with a built-in buffer against market downturns. The fund seeks to track the performance of SPY, up to a predetermined cap, while shielding investors from the initial 15% of losses over a defined outcome period. This outcome period resets approximately annually, allowing investors to hold the ETF indefinitely and benefit from the buffered exposure year after year. PDEC's core offering lies in its ability to provide a balance between market participation and downside risk mitigation. By employing a buffer strategy, the ETF aims to reduce the impact of market volatility on investor portfolios. The fund's structure is designed to appeal to investors seeking a more conservative approach to equity investing, particularly those concerned about potential market corrections. PDEC operates within the broader asset management industry, catering to individuals and institutions looking for innovative investment solutions. The ETF's strategy is particularly relevant in periods of market uncertainty, as it offers a degree of protection against potential losses while still allowing investors to participate in market gains, up to the cap. The fund's annual reset feature ensures that the buffer is consistently renewed, providing ongoing downside protection.

What Products and Services Does PDEC Offer?

  • Tracks the performance of the SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY).
  • Provides a buffer against the first 15% of losses over an outcome period.
  • Resets the buffer annually to provide ongoing downside protection.
  • Offers investors a combination of market exposure and risk mitigation.
  • Trades on major exchanges, providing liquidity and accessibility.
  • Manages assets on behalf of individual and institutional investors.

How Does PDEC Make Money?

  • Generates revenue through management fees charged on assets under management (AUM).
  • Attracts investors seeking downside protection and market participation.
  • Reinvests a portion of the management fees into marketing and product development.
  • Trades options to create the buffer.

What Industry Does PDEC Operate In?

The asset management industry is characterized by intense competition and evolving investor preferences. ETFs like PDEC are gaining traction due to their transparency, liquidity, and cost-effectiveness. The market for buffered ETFs is growing as investors seek strategies to mitigate risk while participating in market upside. PDEC competes with other buffered ETFs and traditional index funds. The industry is also influenced by regulatory changes and technological advancements, which impact product development and distribution strategies. The increasing focus on ESG investing also presents both opportunities and challenges for asset managers.

Who Are PDEC's Key Customers?

  • Individual investors seeking downside protection.
  • Financial advisors looking for risk management solutions for their clients.
  • Institutional investors seeking to reduce portfolio volatility.
  • Retirement savers concerned about market downturns.
AI Confidence: 73% Updated: Mar 16, 2026

PDEC Valuation & Market Position

Relative to its peer group, PDEC's quantitative score of 47/100 is roughly in line with the peer average of 46/100.

PDEC Financials

Bull Case vs Bear Case

Bull Case

  • Downside protection through the 15% buffer.
  • Exposure to the S&P 500.
  • Annual reset feature.
  • Relatively low beta compared to the broader market.

Bear Case

  • Capped upside participation.
  • Management fees can reduce overall returns.
  • Performance may lag the S&P 500 in strongly rising markets.
  • Complexity of the buffered strategy may deter some investors.

AI-generated arguments based on insider flow, news sentiment and technicals — not financial advice · July 2026

PDEC Latest News

No recent news available for PDEC.

PDEC Analyst Consensus

Consensus Rating

Aggregated Buy/Hold/Sell recommendations from Benzinga, Yahoo Finance, and Finnhub for PDEC.

Price Targets

Wall Street price target analysis for PDEC.

PDEC MoonshotScore

47/100

What does this score mean?

The MoonshotScore rates PDEC's growth potential on a scale of 0-100 across multiple factors including innovation, market disruption, financial health, and momentum.

Common Questions About PDEC (Financial Services)

What does Innovator U.S. Equity Power Buffer ETF do?

The Innovator U.S. Equity Power Buffer ETF (PDEC) aims to provide investors with exposure to the SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) while buffering against the first 15% of losses over a defined outcome period, approximately one year. This strategy allows investors to participate in market gains, up to a predetermined cap, while mitigating potential downside risk. The fund resets annually, providing ongoing downside protection. PDEC is designed for investors seeking a balance between market participation and risk management.

What are the main risks for PDEC?

The primary risks associated with PDEC include the capped upside participation, which may limit returns in strongly rising markets. Additionally, management fees can reduce overall returns. The effectiveness of the buffer strategy may also be impacted by changes in market conditions. Increased competition from other buffered ETFs could also put pressure on PDEC's market share. Furthermore, the fund is subject to market risk, as its performance is tied to the underlying SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY). Investors should carefully consider these risks before investing in PDEC.

What are the key factors to evaluate for PDEC?

Innovator U.S. Equity Power Buffer ETF (PDEC) holds an AI score of 47/100 (low). Not financial advice.

How frequently does PDEC data refresh on this page?

PDEC prices update in real time during U.S. market hours. Fundamentals refresh after quarterly filings; analyst ratings and AI insights update daily; news is aggregated continuously.

What has driven PDEC's recent stock price performance?

Innovator U.S. Equity Power Buffer ETF (PDEC) moves on earnings results, analyst revisions, sector rotation, and market sentiment. Notable catalyst: Downside protection through the 15% buffer. See the News tab for the latest drivers. Past performance does not predict future results.

Should investors consider PDEC overvalued or undervalued right now?

Valuing Innovator U.S. Equity Power Buffer ETF (PDEC) requires multiple metrics. Compare P/E, P/S, and EV/EBITDA against sector peers for a full view.

What research should beginners do before buying PDEC?

Before investing in Innovator U.S. Equity Power Buffer ETF (PDEC), research these four areas: (1) the company's revenue model and competitive position (see Company Overview), (2) financial health through revenue growth, margins, and cash flow (see MoonshotScore), (3) what Wall Street analysts recommend and their price targets (see Analyst tab), and (4) specific risk factors that could impact the stock (see Risk Factors section).

Why might investors consider adding PDEC to a portfolio?

Key strength of Innovator U.S. Equity Power Buffer ETF (PDEC): Downside protection through the 15% buffer. Weigh rewards against risks and diversify. Not financial advice.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Always do your own research and consult a financial advisor.

Official Resources

Price as of Analysis updated AI Score refreshed daily
Data Sources & Methodology
Market data powered by Financial Modeling Prep & Yahoo Finance. AI analysis by Stock Expert AI proprietary algorithms. Technical indicators via industry-standard calculations. Last updated: .
Data Provenance
Sources: Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) — Primary · Yahoo Finance — Fallback · Alpaca — Tertiary
Last fetched:
Cache TTL: Quote 5min · Profile 7d · Financials 7d · Insider 48h
How we use AI: Numbers are pulled directly from FMP & Yahoo Finance — our AI writes the analysis, it never edits the figures.
Data provided as-is for educational purposes. Not financial advice. Methodology

Data provided for informational purposes only.

Analysis Notes
  • The analysis is based on publicly available information and existing AI insights.
  • Future performance may differ from historical results.
  • Investors should conduct their own due diligence before making investment decisions.
Data Sources

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