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BlackRock TCP Capital Corp. (TCPC) Stock: Price, Forecast & Analyst Target

BlackRock TCP Capital Corp. (TCPC) — MoonshotScore 28/100 (Weak band), calculated Oct 6, 2026. Price $3.98 (0.00%), as of the Oct 5, 2026 trading session; market cap $334M.

Educational signal · not a buy or sell recommendation · How to read this

$3.98 $0.00 (0.00%) Market Cap $334M

BlackRock TCP Capital Corp. · TCPC · NASDAQ

BlackRock TCP Capital Corp. is a business development company (BDC) focused on providing capital to middle-market companies. The company specializes in direct equity and debt investments across various industries within the United States.

Price as of Oct 5, 2026

Key Statistics

28 of 100

MoonshotScore v2 · BlackRock TCP Capital (TCPC)

Weak
Business Quality Thin (38)
Financial Safety Strained (28)
Valuation Cheap (95)
Growth Durability Shrinking (3)
Momentum Slipping (39)
Why this rating? Method, drivers & history

Bands for the MoonshotScore: Exceptional 80-100 · Strong 65-79 · Fair 45-64 · Weak below 45.

  • Business Quality — Is this a genuinely good business?
  • Financial Safety — Could this blow up on me?
  • Valuation — Am I paying a fair price?
  • Growth Durability — Is the growth real and likely to last?
  • Momentum — Is the market already moving on this?
The ten-second read ·

Dirt-cheap, but weak quality, a strained balance sheet and stalling growth. Business Quality: Thin; Financial Safety: Strained; Valuation: Cheap; Growth Durability: Shrinking; Momentum: Slipping.

  • quarterly revenue $40M (Q2 FY2026, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026)
  • EPS beat 3 of 8
  • Altman Z -0.52 · Piotroski F 6

Holding back: balance-sheet strain, soft growth

Helping: an attractive price

What has the MoonshotScore done over time?

MoonshotScore snapshots recorded for TCPC (30 recorded, newest six shown)
RecordedScoreBand
28Weak
28Weak
28Weak
28Weak
28Weak
28Weak

The score was 28 in the stored Oct 5, 2026 snapshot and remains 28 in the current publication computed Oct 6, 2026 (0); the largest pillar moves were Financial Safety -1 and Momentum -1; the pillar moves offset under the sector-relative weighting, so the headline score is unchanged. This current publication is not yet represented in the immutable snapshot archive.

Calculation uses the most recent completed US trading session. Live price changes do not update the score immediately.

Computed · Educational signal · not a buy or sell recommendation · How the MoonshotScore is computed →

Price & valuation

Dates shown where recorded
MeasureValueAs of
Latest provided price$3.98
Change on the day0.00%
52-week range$3.08 – $6.25
Market capitalisation$334M
Shares traded on the day989.3K

Price & events

Other perspectives

Council score for BlackRock TCP Capital (TCPC): perspectives

Council is a separate blend of available disciplines; MoonshotScore above remains the five-pillar research rating.

9-Factor Breakdown

Revenue Growth Neutral
Gross Margin Neutral
Operating Leverage Neutral
Cash Runway Neutral
R&D Intensity Neutral
Insider Activity Moderate
Trading Liquidity Neutral
Price Momentum Negative
News Sentiment Neutral

Legends Council

5 lenses, 0 current

AI simulations built from the named investors' published principles. Not affiliated with, endorsed by, or the opinion of these individuals. How these lenses are built

Dalio-style lens (simulated) Ray Dalio Favorable read
Griffin-style lens (simulated) Ken Griffin Unfavorable read
Englander-style lens (simulated) Izzy Englander Favorable read
Klarman-style lens (simulated) Seth Klarman Favorable read
Moon AI lens (model) Unfavorable read

Read on: Sep 9, 2026 · older than the 27 hours refresh window; not a current reading

Munger's Mindset

Balance Sheet & Valuation · historical

Financial Health Weak
Margin of Safety Fairly Valued
Profit Margin Weak
Revenue Growth Negative
Debt/Equity Negative
ROE Negative
Gross Margin Negative

Read on: Apr 29, 2026 · older than the 27 hours refresh window; not a current reading

How to read these bars and different assessments

Council is a separate blend of available disciplines; MoonshotScore above remains the five-pillar research rating.

Bars show each model's ordered assessment on its own scale, not a probability or a comparable investment return. The adjacent words give the assessment; more filled segments indicate a stronger model reading.

On Apr 29, 2026, the Munger lens read the price at that time as fairly valued against its own estimate of value.

Readings on this page are from Oct 6, 2026, except a card that shows its own read date.

Watch the TCPC film — every key number, told as a short cinematic story

~2 min · open the film

1 · What is it?

What is BlackRock TCP Capital (TCPC), and what does it report?

Short answer · as of

A current FMP business description is unavailable; the listing and provider classification below are the available identity facts. BlackRock TCP Capital Corp. (TCPC) is listed on NASDAQ. It employs 24,900 people and is led by Philip Tseng. In Q2 FY2026 it reported revenue of $40M and net income of $2M. The market values it at $334M.

2 · Latest results

What do the latest results show for BlackRock TCP Capital (TCPC)?

Short answer · as of

The most recent reported quarter, Q2 FY2026, carried revenue of $40M. Against analyst estimates the company has EPS beat 3 of 8 reports.

Quarterly income statement — 4 quarters
Revenue, net income and earnings per share by quarter
PeriodRevenueNet incomeEPS
Q2 FY2026$40M$2M$0.02 (diluted)
Q1 FY2026$10M-$16M-$0.19 (diluted)
Q4 FY2025$44M-$118M-$1.39 (diluted)
Q3 FY2025$42M$24M$0.29 (diluted)
3 · Financial strengths and risks

What are the financial strengths and risks for BlackRock TCP Capital (TCPC)?

Short answer

The MoonshotScore pillars rate an attractive price as strengths. What is holding it back is balance-sheet strain, soft growth. The distress and quality screens read Altman Z -0.52 · Piotroski F 6. Trailing ratios: ROE -17.7% · ROA -7.4% · current ratio 9.95 · earnings yield -32.1%.

Data-derived red flags

  • Financial-distress signal — its Altman Z-Score of -0.52 sits in the distress zone (elevated bankruptcy risk).
  • Negative return on equity (-17.7%) — the business is not currently generating profit on shareholder capital.
  • Inconsistent delivery — missed Wall Street EPS estimates in 3 of the last 8 reported quarters.
4 · What to check next?

What should you watch next at BlackRock TCP Capital (TCPC)?

Short answer · as of

Current published price targets run low $4.00 · high $4.00 · consensus $4.00 · median $4.00 against a quoted price of $3.98 (as of Oct 5, 2026).

What the records here don't tell us

  • No forward revenue or earnings estimate is on file.
  • The next earnings date is not yet scheduled in the calendar we read.

Checked against the records this page reads, on the dates shown above.

5 · Peer comparison

How does BlackRock TCP Capital compare with its peers?

Short answer

BlackRock TCP Capital's score ranks 13th of 13 in the bounded comparison shown, against 12 same-model peers. These are company scores, not expected investment returns. The set lists named competitors first, then companies in the same data-provider industry classification closest in market value; that classification is the provider's, not our judgment of business similarity.

Peer set — price, market value and MoonshotScore
CompanyPriceMarket valueScore
Ares Capital Corporation (ARCC) Named competitor$18.71 Oct 6, 2026$13.6B86 5-pillar Oct 6, 2026
Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending Corp. (NCDL) Same industry, near in market value$10.96 Oct 6, 2026$540M84 5-pillar Oct 6, 2026
Chicago Atlantic BDC, Inc. (LIEN) Same industry, near in market value$9.71 Oct 6, 2026$219M81 5-pillar Oct 6, 2026
CION Investment Corporation (CION) Same industry, near in market value$6.91 Oct 6, 2026$345M78 5-pillar Oct 6, 2026
Main Street Capital Corporation (MAIN) Named competitor$54.90 Oct 6, 2026$5.10B74 5-pillar Oct 6, 2026
Horizon Technology Finance Corporation (HRZN) Same industry, near in market value$4.58 Oct 6, 2026$229M73 5-pillar Oct 6, 2026
Rice Acquisition Corporation 3 (KRSP) Same industry, near in market value$10.55 Oct 6, 2026$485M63 5-pillar Oct 6, 2026
Noah Holdings Limited (NOAH) Same industry, near in market value$7.72 Oct 6, 2026$514M63 5-pillar Oct 6, 2026
GSR IV Acquisition Corp. (GSRF) Same industry, near in market value$10.27 Oct 6, 2026$243M54 5-pillar Oct 6, 2026
GigCapital8 Corp. (GIW) Same industry, near in market value$10.18 Oct 6, 2026$261M51 5-pillar Oct 6, 2026
FutureCrest Acquisition Corp. (FCRS) Same industry, near in market value$10.23 Oct 6, 2026$368M50 5-pillar Oct 6, 2026
CSLM Digital Asset Acquisition Corp III (KOYN) Same industry, near in market value$10.26 Oct 5, 2026$245M49 5-pillar Oct 6, 2026
BlackRock TCP Capital (TCPC) — this page$3.98$334M28

Only 5-pillar scores are ranked together. Other models are not directly comparable. Price and score dates are shown separately; market-value dates are unavailable.

The records behind this page

Analyst targets & estimates

What analysts have on file

Price target, low to high
$4.00 – $4.00
Consensus target
$4.00
Median target
$4.00

Consensus record · Captured .

Measured against a quoted price of $3.98 (as of Oct 5, 2026).

Insider activity

Form 4 records via FMP · Most recent available transactions

Transactions
12
Identified insiders
4
Purchases
7
Sales
0
Other transactions
5

Purchases and sales use the reported transaction category. Other transactions include awards, exercises, gifts, withholding and unclassified activity; an acquisition or disposition alone is not a purchase or sale. These records do not establish intent.

What has been published about BlackRock TCP Capital (TCPC)?

Read these with our analysis →

Investor Questions: TCPC Stock

These answers are editorial: 1 of these 9 answers is drawn from the TCPC research dossier (written May 10, 2026 by gemini-2.0-flash); the other 8 are question templates that restate figures shown above. Figures in this section are not part of the source register.

What does the MoonshotScore mean for TCPC?

TCPC carries the MoonshotScore stated above — the Weak band. This is an educational research signal, not a buy or sell recommendation. The number comes from the five-pillar engine (business quality, financial safety, valuation, growth durability, momentum), re-ranked daily against sector peers. BlackRock TCP Capital Corp. is a business development company (BDC) focused on providing capital to middle-market companies.

Is TCPC a good stock to buy?

Stock Expert AI does not rate TCPC buy, sell or hold. BlackRock TCP Capital Corp. carries a MoonshotScore, in the Weak band, a research rating against its peers rather than a forecast. Whether it fits is your call: check what it sells, whether it earns and what the price assumes. This is educational content, not investment advice.

What is the TCPC stock price today?

The last price recorded on this page for BlackRock TCP Capital Corp. (TCPC) is $3.98, as of the Oct 5, 2026 trading session (source: Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) · quote). It is a provider snapshot, not a live exchange feed, so check a brokerage quote before you trade.

What is the TCPC price target?

The analyst consensus price target for BlackRock TCP Capital Corp. (TCPC) is $4.00 (range $4.00 to $4.00, median $4.00), per FMP data captured Oct 5, 2026. Targets are analyst opinions and change often; they are not a Stock Expert AI forecast.

What are the main risks for TCPC?

The primary risks for BlackRock TCP Capital Corp. include credit risk, interest rate risk, and regulatory risk. Credit risk stems from the possibility that portfolio companies may default on their debt obligations.

What are the key factors to evaluate for TCPC?

BlackRock TCP Capital Corp. (TCPC) holds a MoonshotScore in the low range. Analysts target $4.00 (+1%). Focus on middle-market companies provides access to a segment with attractive yields and growth potential. Not financial advice.

How frequently does TCPC data refresh on this page?

TCPC's price is the last quote we recorded, from the Oct 5, 2026 trading session. Pages are served from a cache, so the copy you are reading can lag that quote. The quote is a provider snapshot, not an exchange feed. Fundamentals follow quarterly filings. V2 is recalculated from the most recent completed US trading session; the score's own date shows its last successful run.

What has driven TCPC's recent stock price performance?

BlackRock TCP Capital Corp. (TCPC) moves on earnings results, analyst revisions, sector rotation, and market sentiment. Notable catalyst: Experienced management team with expertise in middle-market investing. See the News tab for the latest drivers. Past performance does not predict future results.

Should investors consider TCPC overvalued or undervalued right now?

BlackRock TCP Capital Corp. (TCPC) has no trailing P/E available here, so lean on price-to-sales and cash flow in the Financials tab. Analysts target $4.00 (+1%) — near fair value. Compare P/E, P/S, and EV/EBITDA against sector peers for a full view.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Always do your own research and consult a financial advisor.

Machine-generated analysis by Stock Expert AI — model gemini-2.0-flash, generated May 10, 2026. Editorial oversight is systemic, not page-by-page. Editorially accountable: Sedat ANAK, Founder and Editor-in-Chief.

Sources — records for every figure on this page (21 figures)

The 21 rows below are exactly the facts the evidence-backed sections of this page printed — the 10-second verdict, the MoonshotScore, price and market value, the five questions with their receipts, and the records behind this page. Known dates and sources are recorded on their own rows; an em dash or UNRECORDED tier preserves a stored observation without inventing either. The quarterly income statement is provider-standardized (FMP) under one row, and scale definitions — a 0-100 rating, the band ladder, the Piotroski 0–9 range — are fixed rather than measured. No number in those sections was generated by a model. The register does not cover quoted third-party headlines, the dated council readings, or the Frequently Asked Questions; each of those says where it came from where it stands.

"As of" is the date the value is true for where the source carries one — a quarter end, a filing date, a price close, the day the score was computed. A cached observation with no source date remains undated; the page publication date is not used as a substitute.

FMP — 13 facts from Financial Modeling Prep endpoint families

FMP facts used on this page
Fact IDFactValue as shownAs ofTierSource
px.lastLatest provided price$3.98FMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP) · quote — Dated to the US trading session the price belongs to, derived from the quote record's timestamp (weekend and pre-open reads roll back to the previous weekday; exchange holidays are not modelled). The record does not establish an exchange execution time. Retrieved 2026-10-06T09:19:42.809Z.
px.changeChange on the day0.00%FMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP) · quote
px.mcapMarket capitalisation$334MFMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP) · quote — Date unknown Market cap record date: 2026-10-05. FMP quote timestamp: 2026-10-05T20:00:00.000Z. Captured from FMP at 2026-10-06T09:16:27.276Z. No share-count basis is inferred; this page preserves the reported amount instead of recalculating it from shares.
px.change_absChange on the day, in dollars$0.00FMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP) · quote
fin.q_revenueRevenue, Q2 FY2026$40MFMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP) · income statement (quarterly)
px.volumeShares traded on the day989.3KFMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP) · quote
fin.q_incomeNet income, Q2 FY2026$2MFMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP) · income statement (quarterly)
fin.q_tableQuarterly income statement4 quarters through Q2 FY2026FMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP) · income statement (quarterly), as filed
earn.ptStored analyst price targetslow $4.00 · high $4.00 · consensus $4.00 · median $4.00FMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP) · price-target consensus — Captured Oct 5, 2026 · Coverage not supplied
earn.pt_rangeAnalyst price target, low to high$4.00 – $4.00FMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP) · price-target consensus — Captured Oct 5, 2026 · Coverage not supplied
earn.pt_consensusConsensus analyst price target$4.00FMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP) · price-target consensus — Captured Oct 5, 2026 · Coverage not supplied
earn.pt_medianMedian analyst price target$4.00FMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP) · price-target consensus — Captured Oct 5, 2026 · Coverage not supplied
own.insidersInsider transactions via FMP12 transactions · 7 purchases, 0 sales, 5 other transactions · 4 identified insiders · most recent available transactionsFMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP), carrying Form 4 transaction records — Purchases and sales use the reported transaction category. Other transactions include awards, exercises, gifts, withholding and unclassified activity; an acquisition or disposition alone is not a purchase or sale. These records do not establish intent.

UNRECORDED — 6 facts from stored observations whose source was not recorded

UNRECORDED facts used on this page
Fact IDFactValue as shownAs ofTierSource
earn.historyReported versus estimated, recent quartersEPS beat 3 of 8UNRECORDEDStored earnings-history observation — Captured 2026-08-21 · Expired observation
fin.scoresDistress and quality screensAltman Z -0.52 · Piotroski F 6UNRECORDEDStored financial-scores observation — Captured 2026-10-04 · Expired observation
px.range5252-week range$3.08 – $6.25UNRECORDEDStored company-profile observation — Captured 2026-10-04
id.employeesEmployees24,900UNRECORDEDStored company-profile observation — Captured 2026-10-04
id.ceoChief executivePhilip TsengUNRECORDEDStored company-profile observation — Captured 2026-10-04
fin.ratiosReturn and yield ratios (trailing twelve months)ROE -17.7% · ROA -7.4% · current ratio 9.95 · earnings yield -32.1%—UNRECORDEDStored key metrics — Date unknown

OURS — 2 facts from Stock Expert AI's own score and rank

OURS facts used on this page
Fact IDFactValue as shownAs ofTierSource
ours.moonshotMoonshotScore v228 of 100 · Weak · pillars 38 / 28 / 95 / 3 / 39OURSStock Expert AI MoonshotScore v2 engine
ours.moonshot_changeMoonshotScore movement28 (stored snapshot Oct 5, 2026) → 28 (current publication computed Oct 6, 2026) (0)OURSStock Expert AI current score publication and immutable score snapshots — The current score publication is not yet represented in the immutable snapshot archive.
Published
Research standards
Methodology · Editorial policy · Corrections
Data Sources & Methodology
Figures come from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP). If FMP has no figure for a ticker, a price or fundamental may come from a Yahoo Finance fallback, or a price from an Alpaca fallback. SEC EDGAR is used only for filing links and company identity details (legal name, address), never for figures. AI analysis by Stock Expert AI proprietary algorithms. Technical indicators via industry-standard calculations. Last updated: .
Data Provenance
Sources: Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) — Primary · Yahoo Finance — Fallback · Alpaca — Tertiary
Last fetched:
Cache TTL: Quote 5min · Profile 7d · Financials 7d · Insider 48h
How we use AI: Numbers are pulled directly from FMP & Yahoo Finance — our AI writes the analysis, it never edits the figures.
Data provided as-is for educational purposes. Not financial advice. Methodology

Data provided for informational purposes only.