Tejon Ranch Co. (TRC) Stock Analysis
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice. Analysis by Sedat ANAK, Founder & Editor-in-Chief | AI-powered analysis. Data sourced from SEC filings and institutional-grade financial providers. Editorially reviewed. Not financial advice.
Tejon Ranch Co. (TRC) trades at $16.46 with AI Score 47/100 (Grade C). Tejon Ranch Co. is a diversified real estate development and agribusiness company operating in California. Market cap: $444M, Sector: Industrials.
Price as of Aug 21, 2026 · Last analyzed: May 10, 2026TRC stock analysis for 2026: Analysts have set a consensus price target of $26.25 for Tejon Ranch Co., suggesting 59.5% upside from the current price of $16.46. The AI MoonshotScore is 47/100, indicating a neutral outlook. Key factors: analyst coverage, AI-driven quantitative scoring.
TRC: the 3 scored disciplines are evenly split. Dominant signal: Ray Dalio bullish.
How is this calculated? →Why this analysis is different
- A sector-relative MoonshotScore — five pillars (business quality, financial safety, valuation, growth durability, momentum) re-ranked nightly against the full universe of US-listed common stocks.
- An AI Council read across up to eight perspectives — value, macro, quantitative, and momentum lenses — that shows where they disagree instead of averaging the tension away.
- Figures come straight from FMP and Yahoo Finance filings data. The AI writes the narrative around the numbers — it never edits the numbers.
Tejon Ranch Co. (TRC) Industrial Operations Profile
Tejon Ranch Co., established in 1843, operates as a diversified real estate and agribusiness enterprise managing a vast land portfolio in California. The company's segments include commercial/industrial development, resort/residential development, mineral resources, farming, and ranch operations, positioning it uniquely within the industrials sector.
What Is the Investment Thesis for TRC?
Tejon Ranch Co. presents a unique investment opportunity due to its vast land holdings and diversified operations. The company's strategic focus on real estate development, coupled with its agribusiness activities, provides multiple revenue streams. Key value drivers include the ongoing development of commercial and residential projects, which are expected to generate significant revenue in the coming years. The company's mineral resources segment also contributes to its financial stability through royalty income. However, potential risks include fluctuations in commodity prices, regulatory challenges related to land development, and economic downturns that could impact real estate demand. With a P/E ratio of 7229.0 and a market cap of $444M as of May 10, 2026, investors should carefully consider these factors.
Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis
TRC Key Highlights
Tejon Ranch Co. operates across five segments: Commercial/Industrial Real Estate Development, Resort/Residential Real Estate Development, Mineral Resources, Farming, and Ranch Operations, providing diversified revenue streams.
- The company manages approximately 270,000 acres of land in California, one of the largest private landholdings in the state.
- Farming segment cultivates 1,036 acres of wine grapes, 2,262 acres of almonds, and 1,053 acres of pistachios, contributing to agribusiness revenue.
- Commercial/Industrial Real Estate Development segment leases land to various commercial tenants, including auto service stations and fast-food operations.
- Market capitalization of $444M as of May 10, 2026, reflecting investor valuation of the company's assets and future growth potential.
Who Are TRC's Competitors?
TRC is benchmarked below against 8 industry peers on price, market cap, and our AI MoonshotScore.
| Company | Price | Change | Market Cap | AI Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HHC The Howard Hughes Corporation | $78.76 | +0.15% | $3.94B | — |
| NX Quanex Building Products Corporation | $19.72 | -4.78% | $906M | 45 |
| LAND Gladstone Land Corporation | $8.69 | +0.93% | $375M | 30 |
| BEVFF Diversified Royalty Corp. | $2.96 | +0.68% | $506M | 50 |
| BRYAF Berjaya Corporation Berhad | $0.06 | +0.00% | $368M | 49 |
| RCMT RCM Technologies, Inc. | $41.03 | +2.17% | $291M | 92 |
| CRESY Cresud Sociedad Anónima, Comercial, Inmobiliaria, Financiera y Agropecuaria | $10.98 | +0.64% | $712M | 64 |
| CEEIF Ceres Inc. | $23.13 | +0.00% | $269M | 49 |
AI Score by Stock Expert AI · Price data: FMP / Yahoo Finance
What Are TRC's Key Strengths?
Large land holdings.
- Diversified revenue streams.
- Strategic location.
- Experienced management team.
What Are TRC's Weaknesses?
High debt levels.
- Dependence on real estate market conditions.
- Regulatory challenges.
- Exposure to commodity price fluctuations.
What Could Drive TRC Stock Higher?
Completion of new commercial/industrial development projects, expected to generate increased lease revenue.
- Continued development of resort/residential communities, driving sales and long-term value appreciation.
- Steady royalty income from mineral resources, providing a stable revenue stream.
- Expansion of farming operations, increasing agricultural output and revenue.
- Potential strategic land sales, generating capital for reinvestment.
What Are the Key Risks for TRC?
Rich valuation — a P/E of 7229.0 runs well above the Industrials sector’s ~32x, leaving little room for a miss.
- Economic downturns impacting real estate demand and property values.
- Rising interest rates increasing borrowing costs and reducing profitability.
- Environmental regulations restricting land development and agricultural activities.
- Fluctuations in commodity prices affecting revenue from mineral resources and agricultural products.
- Competition from other developers and agribusiness companies.
What Are the Growth Opportunities for TRC?
- Expansion of Commercial/Industrial Real Estate Development: Tejon Ranch Co. can capitalize on the growing demand for commercial and industrial properties in California by developing additional facilities on its land holdings. This includes constructing warehouses, distribution centers, and office buildings to attract tenants and generate lease revenue. The market for commercial real estate in California is projected to reach $850 billion by 2030, offering significant growth potential for TRC. Timeline: Ongoing.
- Development of Resort/Residential Projects: The company can develop resort and residential communities on its land, catering to the demand for housing and recreational amenities. This includes building single-family homes, apartments, and resort facilities to attract residents and tourists. The residential real estate market in California is estimated at $750 billion, providing a substantial growth opportunity. Timeline: Ongoing.
- Enhancement of Farming Operations: Tejon Ranch Co. can increase its agricultural output by expanding its farming operations and adopting advanced farming techniques. This includes planting additional acres of permanent crops such as almonds, pistachios, and wine grapes, as well as improving irrigation and fertilization methods. The market for almonds, pistachios, and wine grapes is projected to grow by 5% annually, offering attractive returns. Timeline: Ongoing.
- Optimization of Mineral Resources: The company can maximize its revenue from mineral resources by optimizing its oil and gas royalties, rock and aggregate royalties, and royalties from cement operations. This includes negotiating favorable royalty agreements and exploring new mineral extraction opportunities. The market for mineral resources in California is valued at $5 billion. Timeline: Ongoing.
- Strategic Land Sales: Tejon Ranch Co. can selectively sell portions of its land holdings to generate capital for reinvestment in other growth initiatives. This includes identifying parcels of land that are suitable for development by third parties and selling them at a premium. The market for land sales in California is estimated at $10 billion, providing a valuable source of capital. Timeline: Ongoing.
What Are TRC's Competitive Advantages?
- Vast land holdings in California.
- Diversified business operations.
- Strategic location near major transportation corridors.
- Long-standing relationships with local communities.
- Expertise in land development and agribusiness.
What Does TRC Do?
Founded in 1843, Tejon Ranch Co. has evolved from a historic ranching operation into a diversified real estate development and agribusiness company. Based in Lebec, California, the company manages approximately 270,000 acres of land, making it one of the largest private landholdings in the state. Tejon Ranch Co. operates through five segments: Commercial/Industrial Real Estate Development, Resort/Residential Real Estate Development, Mineral Resources, Farming, and Ranch Operations. The Commercial/Industrial Real Estate Development segment focuses on planning, permitting, and construction of infrastructure and buildings for lease or sale. This segment also leases land for various commercial uses, including auto service stations, fast-food operations, and communication facilities. The Resort/Residential Real Estate Development segment is involved in land entitlement, planning, and pre-construction engineering for residential and resort projects. The Mineral Resources segment generates revenue from oil and gas royalties, rock and aggregate royalties, and royalties from a cement operation. The Farming segment cultivates permanent crops such as wine grapes, almonds, and pistachios, as well as managing alfalfa and forage mix farming. The Ranch Operations segment provides game management, grazing leases, filming opportunities, and guided hunts. Tejon Ranch Co.'s diversified business model allows it to capitalize on various land uses, contributing to its long-term sustainability and growth.
What Products and Services Does TRC Offer?
- Develop commercial and industrial real estate properties.
- Develop resort and residential communities.
- Cultivate wine grapes, almonds, and pistachios.
- Manage oil and gas royalties.
- Provide game management and ancillary land services.
- Lease land for various commercial uses.
How Does TRC Make Money?
- Leasing commercial and industrial properties.
- Selling developed land to third parties.
- Generating royalties from mineral resources.
- Selling agricultural products.
- Providing ranch operations services.
What Industry Does TRC Operate In?
Tejon Ranch Co. operates within the conglomerates industry, which encompasses companies with diversified business activities across multiple sectors. The real estate development segment is influenced by market trends such as urbanization, population growth, and demand for commercial and residential properties. The agribusiness segment is affected by factors such as commodity prices, weather patterns, and agricultural technology advancements. Tejon Ranch Co.'s competitive landscape includes other real estate developers, agribusiness companies, and land management firms. The company's large land holdings and diversified operations provide a competitive advantage in capturing market opportunities.
Who Are TRC's Key Customers?
- Commercial tenants leasing properties.
- Residential buyers purchasing homes.
- Companies extracting mineral resources.
- Consumers purchasing agricultural products.
- Individuals seeking game management and land services.
Forward Outlook
Wall Street analysts project Tejon Ranch Co. revenue of about $49.4M for fiscal 2026, with EPS near $0.11.
Quarterly Financial Performance: Tejon Ranch Co.
Revenue for Tejon Ranch Co. came in at $14.3M during Q2 2026, a 50.0% improvement versus the preceding quarter. The company recorded net income of $2.6M, with diluted EPS of $0.10. Quarter-over-quarter revenue has been mixed, typical for a small-cap company operating in Industrials. Across the four most recent quarters, TRC averaged $0.06 in diluted EPS.
TRC Valuation & Market Position
With a $444M market cap, Tejon Ranch Co. sits in the small-cap segment of the market. Relative to its peer group, TRC's quantitative score of 47/100 is roughly in line with the peer average of 44/100.
Key Financial Metrics
Return on equity for Tejon Ranch Co. stands at 1.3%, a gauge of how efficiently it converts shareholder capital into profit. Return on assets is 0.9%, showing how much profit it generates from its asset base. TRC trades at a trailing price-to-earnings ratio of 72.17, above the Industrials sector average of ~32x. Its free cash flow yield is -5.8%, a gauge of the cash the business throws off relative to its market value. A current ratio of 2.92 indicates the company holds enough short-term assets to cover its near-term obligations. Its earnings yield is 1.4%, the inverse of the P/E and a quick read on earnings relative to price.
Financial Health
Tejon Ranch Co.'s Piotroski F-Score is 8/9, a 9-point checklist of profitability, leverage and efficiency — signaling solid underlying fundamentals. Its Altman Z-Score of 2.25 places it in the grey zone, a middle ground that warrants monitoring.
Earnings Track Record
Tejon Ranch Co. has beaten Wall Street's EPS estimate in 5 of its last 8 reported quarters — more hits than misses. Reported results have landed about 17.1% above estimates on average.
Company Profile
Tejon Ranch Co. operates in the Conglomerates industry within the Industrials sector. It is headquartered in Lebec, US. The company is led by CEO Matthew Walker. TRC has traded publicly since 1980.
TRC Financials
Fundamental Snapshot
Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis · FY 2025
Bull Case vs Bear Case
Bull Case
- Large land holdings.
- Diversified revenue streams.
- Strategic location.
- Experienced management team.
Bear Case
- High debt levels.
- Dependence on real estate market conditions.
- Regulatory challenges.
- Exposure to commodity price fluctuations.
AI-generated arguments based on insider flow, news sentiment and technicals — not financial advice · August 2026
Recent Quarterly Results
| Quarter | Revenue | Net Income | EPS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $14M | $3M | $0.10 |
| Q1 2026 | $10M | $151,000 | $0.01 |
| Q4 2025 | $21M | $2M | $0.06 |
| Q3 2025 | $12M | $2M | $0.06 |
Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis
TRC Latest News
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Stocks That Hit 52-Week Lows On Friday
· Feb 28, 2020
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· Feb 27, 2020
TRC Analyst Consensus
Consensus Rating
Aggregated Buy/Hold/Sell recommendations from Benzinga, Yahoo Finance, and Finnhub for TRC.
Price Targets
Consensus target: $26.25
TRC MoonshotScore
What does this score mean?
The MoonshotScore rates TRC 0-100 on quantitative fundamentals — growth, financial health, valuation, momentum, and risk.
Classification
Industry ConglomeratesLeadership: Nicholas Ortiz
Unknown
Information about Nicholas Ortiz's background is not available in the provided context. Therefore, his career history, education, and previous roles are unknown. Further research would be needed to provide a comprehensive profile.
Track Record: Information about Nicholas Ortiz's track record is not available in the provided context. Key achievements, strategic decisions, and company milestones under his leadership are unknown. Further research would be needed to provide a detailed assessment.
Tejon Ranch Co. Industrials Stock: Key Questions Answered
What does the AI Score mean for TRC?
TRC holds an AI Score of 47/100 (Grade: C). This is an educational research signal, not a buy or sell recommendation. Tejon Ranch Co. is a diversified real estate development and agribusiness company operating in California. The company manages a large land portfolio, engaging in commercial/industrial …
What does Tejon Ranch Co. do?
Tejon Ranch Co. operates as a diversified real estate development and agribusiness company, managing approximately 270,000 acres of land in California. The company's business model encompasses five segments: Commercial/Industrial Real Estate Development, Resort/Residential Real Estate Development, Mineral Resources, Farming, and Ranch Operations.
What do analysts say about TRC stock?
Analyst consensus on Tejon Ranch Co. stock is unavailable based on the provided information. Key valuation metrics to consider include the company's P/E ratio of 7229.0, market capitalization of $444M, and profit margin of 0.8%. Growth considerations include the company's ability to expand its commercial and residential development projects, optimize its mineral resources, and increase its agricultural output.
What are the main risks for TRC?
Tejon Ranch Co. faces several risks related to its diversified operations. Economic downturns could negatively impact real estate demand and property values, reducing revenue from commercial and residential development. Rising interest rates could increase borrowing costs and reduce profitability. Environmental regulations could restrict land development and agricultural activities, limiting growth opportunities.
What are the key factors to evaluate for TRC?
Tejon Ranch Co. (TRC) holds an AI score of 47/100 (low). P/E: 7229.0x vs the S&P 500's ~20-25x. Analysts target $26.25 (+59%). Not financial advice.
How frequently does TRC data refresh on this page?
TRC's price was last updated on Aug 21, 2026 and refreshes on page view during U.S. market hours — it is not a real-time exchange feed. Fundamentals update after quarterly filings; the MoonshotScore recalculates nightly; news aggregates continuously.
What has driven TRC's recent stock price performance?
Tejon Ranch Co. (TRC) moves on earnings results, analyst revisions, sector rotation, and market sentiment. Notable catalyst: Large land holdings. See the News tab for the latest drivers. Past performance does not predict future results.
Should investors consider TRC overvalued or undervalued right now?
Tejon Ranch Co. (TRC) trades at 7229.0x earnings. Analysts target $26.25 (+59%) — upside seen. Compare P/E, P/S, and EV/EBITDA against sector peers for a full view.
How do I research TRC before investing?
Before investing in Tejon Ranch Co. (TRC), research these four areas: (1) the company's revenue model and competitive position (see Company Overview), (2) financial health through revenue growth, margins, and cash flow (see MoonshotScore), (3) analyst consensus ratings and price targets (see Analyst tab), and (4) specific risk factors that could impact the stock (see Risk Factors section).
Disclaimer: This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Always do your own research and consult a financial advisor.
Official Resources
Data provided for informational purposes only.
- Financial data is based on information available as of May 10, 2026.
- CEO background and track record are unknown due to limited source data.