TXO Partners, L.P. (TXO) Stock Analysis

Why this analysis is different

• A sector-relative MoonshotScore — five pillars (business quality, financial safety, valuation, growth durability, momentum) re-ranked nightly against the full universe of US-listed common stocks.
• An AI Council read across up to eight perspectives — value, macro, quantitative, and momentum lenses — that shows where they disagree instead of averaging the tension away.
• Figures come straight from FMP and Yahoo Finance filings data. The AI writes the narrative around the numbers — it never edits the numbers.

TXO Partners, L.P. (TXO) Energy Operations & Outlook

TXO Partners, L.P. is an energy company specializing in the acquisition and development of conventional oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquid reserves across North America. With a focus on the San Juan and Permian Basins, TXO leverages its asset base to optimize production and capitalize on regional energy demands.

What Is the Investment Thesis for TXO?

TXO Partners, L.P. presents a compelling investment case centered on its strategic asset base and operational focus. The company's significant working interests in the San Juan and Permian Basins, totaling 850,009 gross acres as of July 31, 2022, provide a solid foundation for production growth. TXO's high dividend yield of 13.89% may attract income-seeking investors. However, the company's negative profit margin of -27.7% and gross margin of -4.5% raise concerns about profitability and operational efficiency. Future success hinges on TXO's ability to improve cost management, optimize production techniques, and capitalize on favorable commodity price movements. Investors should closely monitor TXO's financial performance and operational metrics to assess its long-term value creation potential.

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis

TXO Key Highlights

Working interest in 850,009 gross acres primarily in the San Juan and Permian Basins as of July 31, 2022, providing a substantial resource base.

• Dividend yield of 13.89% as of 2026-05-09, offering a potentially attractive income stream for investors.
• Negative profit margin of -27.7%, indicating challenges in achieving profitability.
• Negative gross margin of -4.5%, reflecting high production costs relative to revenue.
• Beta of -0.01, suggesting low volatility compared to the overall market.

Who Are TXO's Competitors?

TXO is benchmarked below against 8 industry peers on price, market cap, and our AI MoonshotScore.

AI Score by Stock Expert AI · Price data: FMP / Yahoo Finance

What Are TXO's Key Strengths?

Strategic asset base in prolific basins.

• High dividend yield may attract investors.
• Experienced management team.
• Focus on conventional resources reduces exploration risk.

What Are TXO's Weaknesses?

Negative profit margin indicates profitability challenges.

• Negative gross margin reflects high production costs.
• Reliance on commodity prices.
• Limited diversification.

What Could Drive TXO Stock Higher?

TXO catalyst: Optimization of existing wells in the San Juan Basin to increase production and reduce operating costs.

• Development of new drilling techniques to enhance resource recovery in the Permian Basin.
• Potential acquisitions of complementary assets in core operating areas to expand the asset base.
• Implementation of advanced data analytics to improve operational efficiency and reduce downtime.

What Are the Key Risks for TXO?

Financial-distress signal — its Altman Z-Score of 1.07 sits in the distress zone (elevated bankruptcy risk).

• Negative return on equity (-5.2%) — the business is not currently generating profit on shareholder capital.
• Inconsistent delivery — missed Wall Street EPS estimates in 5 of the last 8 reported quarters.
• Fluctuations in commodity prices could negatively impact revenue and profitability.
• Increasing environmental regulations could increase compliance costs and restrict operations.
• Competition from larger oil and gas companies could limit market share and pricing power.
• Geopolitical risks could disrupt supply chains and impact energy markets.
• Negative profit and gross margins indicate financial instability.

What Are the Growth Opportunities for TXO?

• Expansion of Production in the Permian Basin: TXO can capitalize on the Permian Basin's prolific oil and gas reserves by increasing drilling and completion activities. The Permian Basin is estimated to hold billions of barrels of recoverable oil and trillions of cubic feet of natural gas. By leveraging advanced technologies and optimizing well spacing, TXO can enhance production rates and increase its market share in this key region. This expansion could significantly boost TXO's revenue and profitability over the next 3-5 years.
• Optimization of Existing Assets in the San Juan Basin: TXO can improve the efficiency and output of its existing wells in the San Juan Basin through enhanced recovery techniques and infrastructure upgrades. The San Juan Basin contains substantial natural gas reserves, and TXO can benefit from rising natural gas prices by optimizing its production processes. This includes implementing advanced monitoring systems, optimizing compression, and reducing downtime. These improvements can lead to increased production and lower operating costs, enhancing TXO's profitability.
• Strategic Acquisitions of Complementary Assets: TXO can pursue strategic acquisitions of smaller oil and gas properties in its core operating areas to expand its asset base and increase production. By acquiring assets that are adjacent to its existing holdings, TXO can achieve economies of scale and reduce operating costs. These acquisitions can provide TXO with access to new reserves and enhance its overall production capacity. The timeline for these acquisitions will depend on market conditions and the availability of suitable targets.
• Development of Natural Gas Liquids (NGLs) Infrastructure: TXO can invest in infrastructure to process and transport natural gas liquids (NGLs) produced from its wells. NGLs, such as propane and butane, have a higher market value than natural gas and can significantly increase TXO's revenue. By developing its own NGLs infrastructure, TXO can reduce its reliance on third-party processors and capture a larger share of the value chain. This investment can provide TXO with a competitive advantage and enhance its profitability.
• Implementation of Advanced Data Analytics: TXO can implement advanced data analytics to optimize its drilling and production operations. By analyzing data from its wells, TXO can identify opportunities to improve well performance, reduce downtime, and lower operating costs. This includes using machine learning algorithms to predict equipment failures, optimize well spacing, and improve reservoir management. The implementation of advanced data analytics can lead to significant cost savings and increased production, enhancing TXO's overall efficiency and profitability.

What Are TXO's Competitive Advantages?

• Strategic asset base in the San Juan and Permian Basins.
• Experienced management team with expertise in oil and gas operations.
• Established infrastructure and operational capabilities.
• Focus on conventional resources, reducing exploration risk.

What Does TXO Do?

TXO Partners, L.P., founded in 2012 and headquartered in Fort Worth, Texas, is an energy company focused on the acquisition, development, optimization, and exploitation of conventional oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquid reserves in North America. The company's strategy centers on enhancing production from existing wells and acquiring additional properties in strategic locations. As of July 31, 2022, TXO held working interests in 850,009 gross acres, primarily situated in the San Juan Basin of New Mexico and Colorado, and the Permian Basin of West Texas and New Mexico. These basins are known for their significant hydrocarbon reserves and established infrastructure, providing TXO with a strong foundation for growth. TXO's approach involves employing advanced drilling and completion techniques to maximize resource recovery and minimize environmental impact. The company's operations are supported by a team of experienced professionals with expertise in geology, engineering, and finance. TXO aims to deliver long-term value to its stakeholders through disciplined capital allocation and operational excellence. The company continually evaluates opportunities to expand its asset base and enhance its production capabilities, positioning itself as a key player in the North American energy market. TXO's focus on conventional resources allows it to leverage proven technologies and established infrastructure, reducing exploration risk and accelerating development timelines.

What Products and Services Does TXO Offer?

• Acquires conventional oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquid reserves.
• Develops and optimizes existing oil and gas properties.
• Exploits oil and gas reserves in North America.
• Focuses on the San Juan Basin in New Mexico and Colorado.
• Operates in the Permian Basin of West Texas and New Mexico.
• Enhances production through advanced drilling and completion techniques.
• Manages a portfolio of working interests in 850,009 gross acres (as of July 31, 2022).

How Does TXO Make Money?

• Acquires working interests in oil and gas properties.
• Generates revenue from the sale of oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids.
• Optimizes production from existing wells to maximize output.
• Invests in infrastructure and technology to enhance operational efficiency.

What Industry Does TXO Operate In?

TXO Partners, L.P. operates within the oil and gas exploration and production industry, a sector characterized by cyclical commodity prices and evolving regulatory landscapes. The industry is currently navigating a transition towards cleaner energy sources, with increased scrutiny on environmental impact and sustainability. Companies like TXO face the challenge of balancing traditional resource development with emerging environmental standards. The competitive landscape includes both major integrated oil companies and smaller independent operators. TXO's focus on conventional resources and strategic basin locations positions it to capitalize on regional demand and infrastructure advantages.

Who Are TXO's Key Customers?

• Refineries that process crude oil.
• Natural gas processing plants.
• Pipelines that transport oil and gas.
• End-users of natural gas and natural gas liquids, including utilities and industrial consumers.

Over the past six months, TXO Partners, L.P. insiders filed 20 SEC Form 4 transactions — 3 sales and 17 purchases. On net that is roughly 1.6M shares acquired (about $30.4M) — insiders putting money in tends to read as conviction.

Quarterly Financial Performance: TXO Partners, L.P.

Revenue for TXO Partners, L.P. came in at $150.9M during Q2 2026, a 433.6% improvement versus the preceding quarter. The company recorded net income of $60.8M, with diluted EPS of $1.07. Quarter-over-quarter revenue has been mixed, typical for a small-cap company operating in Energy. Across the four most recent quarters, TXO averaged $-0.19 in diluted EPS.

TXO Valuation & Market Position

With a $777M market cap, TXO Partners, L.P. sits in the small-cap segment of the market. Relative to its peer group, TXO's quantitative score of 33/100 is below the peer average of 74/100.

Return on equity for TXO Partners, L.P. stands at -5.2%, a gauge of how efficiently it converts shareholder capital into profit. Return on assets is -3.0%, showing how much profit it generates from its asset base. Its free cash flow yield is -14.5%, a gauge of the cash the business throws off relative to its market value. A current ratio of 1.05 indicates the company holds enough short-term assets to cover its near-term obligations. Its earnings yield is -4.8%, the inverse of the P/E and a quick read on earnings relative to price.

TXO Partners, L.P.'s Piotroski F-Score is 4/9, a 9-point checklist of profitability, leverage and efficiency — a middling fundamental profile. Its Altman Z-Score of 1.07 places it in the distress zone, a signal of elevated financial risk.

TXO Partners, L.P. has missed Wall Street's EPS estimate in 5 of its last 8 reported quarters — a mixed record worth weighing. Reported results have landed about 220.5% below estimates on average.

Wall Street analysts project TXO Partners, L.P. revenue of about $352.9M for fiscal 2026, with EPS near $-0.38.

Company Profile

TXO Partners, L.P. operates in the Oil & Gas Exploration & Production industry within the Energy sector. It is headquartered in Fort Worth, US. The company is led by CEO Brent W. Clum. TXO has traded publicly since 2023.

TXO Financials

TXO Latest News

TXO Analyst Consensus

TXO MoonshotScore

What Investors Ask About TXO Partners, L.P. (TXO) — Energy

Disclaimer: This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Always do your own research and consult a financial advisor.

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