Exxon Mobil Corporation (XOM) Stock: Price, Forecast & Analyst Target
Educational signal · not a buy or sell recommendation · How to read this
P/E 21.11 means the share price is 21.11 times one year of earnings per share. Market cap $680B is the value of all shares combined.
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice. Machine-generated analysis by Stock Expert AI. Editorial oversight is systemic, not page-by-page. Editorially accountable: Sedat ANAK, Founder and Editor-in-Chief. Data sources: Financial Modeling Prep, Yahoo Finance, SEC EDGAR
Quick AnswerExxon Mobil Corporation (XOM) trades at $164.01 with MoonshotScore 72/100 (Grade A). Exxon Mobil Corporation (XOM) is an integrated oil and gas company, operating through upstream, downstream, and chemical segments.
Price as ofExxon Mobil Corporation (XOM) is an integrated oil and gas company, operating through upstream, downstream, and chemical segments. A major player in the energy sector, ExxonMobil explores for, produces, and refines crude oil and natural gas. A strength for the company is its significant scale and integrated operations, providing diversification. However, the business faces risks associated with fluctuating commodity prices and the long-term transition to renewable energy sources. Investors should closely monitor global energy demand and the company's capital allocation strategies in the evolving energy landscape.
XOM stock analysis for 2026: Analysts have set a consensus price target of $168.08 for Exxon Mobil Corporation, suggesting 2.5% upside from the current price of $164.01. The AI MoonshotScore is 72/100, in the Strong band (65-79) — a research signal, not a recommendation. Key factors: analyst coverage, AI-driven quantitative scoring.
These figures come from statements filed 13 months ago — the most recent this company has published.
XOM: 2/3 scored disciplines lean bullish. Dominant signal: Ray Dalio bullish.
How is this calculated? →Strongest side: Financial Safety (9/10, Strong). Weakest side: Valuation (5/10, Neutral).
AI simulations built from the named investors' published principles. Not affiliated with, endorsed by, or the opinion of these individuals. How these lenses are built
Why this analysis is different
- A sector-relative MoonshotScore — five pillars (business quality, financial safety, valuation, growth durability, momentum) re-ranked nightly against the full universe of US-listed common stocks.
- An AI Council read across up to eight perspectives — value, macro, quantitative, and momentum lenses — that shows where they disagree instead of averaging the tension away.
- Figures come straight from FMP and Yahoo Finance filings data. The AI writes the narrative around the numbers — it never edits the numbers.
Exxon Mobil Corporation (XOM) Energy Operations & Outlook
Who Are XOM's Competitors?
XOM is benchmarked below against 8 industry peers on price, market cap, and our AI MoonshotScore.
| Company | Price | Change | Market Cap | MoonshotScore |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CVX Chevron Corporation | $206.77 | -0.16% | $412B | 72 5-pillar |
| SHEL Shell plc | $96.23 | +0.65% | $268B | 88 5-pillar |
| TTE TotalEnergies SE | $84.40 | -0.13% | $188B | 78 5-pillar |
| PBR Petróleo Brasileiro S.A. - Petrobras | $21.65 | +3.19% | $140B | 77 5-pillar |
| BP BP p.l.c. | $44.79 | +0.65% | $117B | 80 5-pillar |
| EQNR Equinor ASA | $42.56 | +0.92% | $102B | 95 5-pillar |
| SU Suncor Energy Inc. | $69.56 | +0.67% | $82.1B | 87 5-pillar |
| E Eni S.p.A. | $54.73 | +0.63% | $79.3B | 60 5-pillar |
AI Score by Stock Expert AI · Price data: FMP / Yahoo Finance
What Are the Key Risks for XOM?
Insider selling — insiders were net sellers of roughly $1.7M recently.
Research confidence
Broad, current evidence sits behind this analysis.
- ● Scored on 100% of our measures
- ● Price is current
- ● Latest filing 62 days ago
- ● Covered by analysts
Why 72?
Measured against companies in the same sector. The figures below are the factor contributions the scoring engine itself produced.
What is helping
- +0.35 Bankruptcy-risk score (Financial Strength)
- +0.22 Interest cover (Financial Strength)
- +0.20 Dividend yield (Valuation)
What is holding it back
- -0.12 Price to book (Valuation)
- -0.11 Enterprise value vs free cash flow (Valuation)
- -0.07 Enterprise value vs EBITDA (Valuation)
Contribution = how far the company sits from its sector on that measure, weighted by how much the pillar counts. Not investment advice. How the score is built →
MoonshotScore History
Recorded daily since 2026-08-23 · 41 snapshots
| 2026-08-23 | 69 |
| 2026-08-31 | 70 |
| 2026-09-08 | 69 |
| 2026-09-16 | 70 |
| 2026-09-24 | 71 |
| 2026-10-04 | 72 |
What changed?
The grade moved from 69 to 72 (+3).
What moved it up or down:
- +14 Momentum
- +3 Financial Safety
Held back by:
- -9 Valuation
Over the same 30 days the stock moved +2.3%.
Insider Activity
12 transactions · 0 purchases, 5 sales, 7 other transactions · 8 identified insiders · most recent available transactions. Purchases and sales use the reported transaction category. Other transactions include awards, exercises, gifts, withholding and unclassified activity; an acquisition or disposition alone is not a purchase or sale. These records do not establish intent.
Earnings Track Record
Exxon Mobil Corporation has beaten Wall Street's EPS estimate in 4 of its last 8 reported quarters — more hits than misses. Reported results have landed about 2.8% above estimates on average.
Financial Health
Exxon Mobil Corporation's Piotroski F-Score is 7/9, a 9-point checklist of profitability, leverage and efficiency — signaling solid underlying fundamentals. Its Altman Z-Score of 4.65 places it in the safe zone, indicating low near-term bankruptcy risk.
Key Financial Metrics
Return on equity for Exxon Mobil Corporation stands at 12.7%, a gauge of how efficiently it converts shareholder capital into profit. Return on assets is 7.1%, showing how much profit it generates from its asset base. P/E 21.11 means the share price is 21.11 times one year of earnings per share. Its free cash flow yield is 4.5%, a gauge of the cash the business throws off relative to its market value. A current ratio of 1.13 indicates the company holds enough short-term assets to cover its near-term obligations. Its earnings yield is 4.8%, the inverse of the P/E and a quick read on earnings relative to price.
Exxon Mobil Corporation (XOM) Valuation Context
Valued at $680B, XOM is classified as a mega-cap stock. Analyst price targets span from $90.00 to $185.00, with a consensus of $168.08. At the current price of $164.01, that implies approximately 2% upside potential. Relative to its peer group, XOM's quantitative score of 72/100 is roughly in line with the peer average of 80/100.
XOM Revenue & Earnings Trend
In Q2 FY2026, XOM generated $114.53B in top-line revenue, marking a sequential increase of 37.7%. The company recorded net income of $14.53B, with diluted EPS of $3.48. Revenue has increased across the last three reported quarters, suggesting sustained momentum for this mega-cap its sector company. Across the four most recent quarters, XOM averaged $1.94 in diluted EPS.
Company Profile
Exxon Mobil Corporation operates in the Oil & Gas Integrated industry within the Energy sector. It is headquartered in Spring, US. The company is led by CEO Darren W. Woods. XOM has traded publicly since 1978.
XOM Financials
XOM earnings history & estimates →
Fundamental Snapshot
Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis · FY 2025
From the Earnings Call
“In the Permian, we continue to show how scale and proprietary technologies improve efficiency, recovery and long-term value creation. We remain on track to grow full year Permian production to 1.8 million oil equivalent barrels in 2026, with that growth grounded in value, not volume.”
— Darren Woods, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer
“But if you exclude all those external impacts, it really highlights the benefit and the value of having a global diverse portfolio. If we take those impacts out, year-over-year, our upstream production was up 8%.”
— Neil Hansen, Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer
XOM Q1 FY2026 earnings call transcript · 2026-05-01
Recent Quarterly Results
| Quarter | Revenue | Net Income | EPS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 FY2026 | $114.53B | $14.53B | $3.48 |
| Q1 FY2026 | $83.16B | $4.18B | $1.00 |
| Q4 FY2025 | $80.04B | $6.50B | $1.53 |
| Q3 FY2025 | $83.33B | $7.55B | $1.74 |
Q2 FY2026 · filed 3 Aug 2026 · SEC EDGAR →
Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis
XOM Latest News
-
OPEC+ set to hold November oil quotas steady as Middle East conflict hits output
Investing.com · Oct 4, 2026
-
AI and Oil Shape Market Leadership in the First Nine Months of 2026
Zacks · Oct 2, 2026
-
8 Of 11 Sectors Rise Friday As Growth Leads
benzinga · Oct 2, 2026
-
Eni's Humanoid Robotics Push Deepens Its Industrial Tech Strategy
Zacks · Oct 2, 2026
XOM Analyst Consensus
Consensus Rating
Aggregated Buy/Hold/Sell recommendations collected by Financial Modeling Prep for XOM.
Price Targets
Median: $177.00
Consensus vs current price: +2.5%
Stored FMP targets · · Coverage not supplied · an estimate, not advice
XOM MoonshotScore
What does this score mean?
MoonshotScore is Stock Expert AI's proprietary 0-100 research rating, not a buy or sell recommendation. XOM scores 72/100 (Grade A): the number comes from the five-pillar engine (business quality, financial safety, valuation, growth durability, momentum), re-ranked daily against sector peers.
Latest News
OPEC+ set to hold November oil quotas steady as Middle East conflict hits output
AI and Oil Shape Market Leadership in the First Nine Months of 2026
8 Of 11 Sectors Rise Friday As Growth Leads
Eni's Humanoid Robotics Push Deepens Its Industrial Tech Strategy
ETFs that hold XOM
Funds in our ETF coverage that list XOM among the top 10 holdings on their fund page, largest weight first. Each weight is the fund's reported holding weight as of the date in its row.
Common Questions About XOM (Energy)
What does the AI Score mean for XOM?
XOM holds an AI Score of 72/100 (Grade: A). This is an educational research signal, not a buy or sell recommendation. The number comes from the five-pillar engine (business quality, financial safety, valuation, growth durability, momentum), re-ranked daily against sector peers.
Is XOM a good stock to buy?
Stock Expert AI does not rate XOM buy, sell or hold. Exxon Mobil Corporation carries a MoonshotScore of 72/100, in the Strong band, a research rating against its peers rather than a forecast. Whether it fits is your call: check what it sells, whether it earns and what the price assumes. This is educational content, not investment advice.
What is the XOM stock price today?
The last price recorded on this page for Exxon Mobil Corporation (XOM) is $164.01, as of the Oct 2, 2026 trading session. It is a provider snapshot, not a live exchange feed, so check a brokerage quote before you trade.
What is the XOM price target?
The analyst consensus price target for Exxon Mobil Corporation (XOM) is $168.08 (range $90.00 to $185.00, median $177.00), per FMP data captured Oct 4, 2026. Targets are analyst opinions and change often; they are not a Stock Expert AI forecast.
When are XOM's next earnings?
The next earnings date listed on this page for Exxon Mobil Corporation (XOM) is Oct 30, 2026. Companies sometimes move report dates, so the company's own announcement is the final word on timing.
What are the key factors to evaluate for XOM?
Exxon Mobil Corporation (XOM) holds a MoonshotScore of 72/100 (high). P/E: 21.11x. Analysts target $168.08 (+2%). Not financial advice.
How frequently does XOM data refresh on this page?
XOM's price is the last quote we recorded, from the Oct 2, 2026 trading session. Pages are served from a cache, so the copy you are reading can lag that quote. The quote is a provider snapshot, not an exchange feed. Fundamentals follow quarterly filings. V2 is recalculated from the most recent completed US trading session; the score's own date shows its last successful run.
What has driven XOM's recent stock price performance?
Exxon Mobil Corporation (XOM) moves on earnings results, analyst revisions, sector rotation, and market sentiment. See the News tab for the latest drivers. Past performance does not predict future results.
Should investors consider XOM overvalued or undervalued right now?
Exxon Mobil Corporation (XOM) trades at 21.11x earnings. Analysts target $168.08 (+2%) — near fair value. Compare P/E, P/S, and EV/EBITDA against sector peers for a full view.
Disclaimer: This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Always do your own research and consult a financial advisor.
Official Resources
Data provided for informational purposes only.