Skip to main content
Skip to main content
GFL logo

GFL Environmental Inc. (GFL)

$40.50 +$3.02 (+8.06%) |CouncilHOLD · 45 · C
Bottom line: HOLD — our Council read (45/100) and AI Score (45/100) broadly agree.
MCap: $14.14B| P/E Ratio: 87.6| Vol: 7.41M| Target: $60.00 (+48.1%)|
Data from FMP · Methodology

For informational purposes only. Not financial advice. Analysis by Sedat ANAK, Founder & Editor-in-Chief | AI-powered analysis. Data sourced from SEC filings and institutional-grade financial providers. Editorially reviewed. Not financial advice.

GFL Environmental Inc. (GFL) trades at $40.50 with AI Score 45/100 (Grade C). GFL Environmental Inc. is a diversified environmental services company operating in Canada and the United States. Market cap: $14.14B, Sector: Industrials.

Price live · AI analysis from May 9, 2026
GFL Environmental Inc. is a diversified environmental services company operating in Canada and the United States. They provide non-hazardous solid waste management, infrastructure and soil remediation, and liquid waste management services.

GFL stock analysis for 2026: Analysts have set a consensus price target of $60.00 for GFL Environmental Inc., suggesting 48.1% upside from the current price of $40.50. The AI MoonshotScore is 45/100, indicating a neutral outlook. Key factors: analyst coverage, AI-driven quantitative scoring.

Council Score · Weighted Average of 3 Disciplines
HOLD 45/100 · C

GFL: the 1 perspectives are evenly split.

How is this calculated? →
Council Score · 8 perspectives · See tabs for details →

GFL Environmental Inc. (GFL) Industrial Operations Profile

CEOPatrick Dovigi
Employees15000
HeadquartersVaughan, ON, CA
IPO Year2020

GFL Environmental Inc. is a leading North American environmental services company, providing comprehensive waste management solutions. The company differentiates itself through its diversified service offerings, including solid waste, liquid waste, and infrastructure and soil remediation, serving a wide range of municipal, residential, and commercial customers.

Data Provenance | Financial Data Quantitative Analysis NASDAQ Analysis: May 9, 2026

What Is the Investment Thesis for GFL?

GFL Environmental Inc. presents a notable research candidate due to its diversified service offerings and strategic positioning in the growing waste management industry. With a market capitalization of $14.14B and a beta of 0.53, GFL exhibits moderate volatility. Key value drivers include the increasing demand for waste management and environmental services, driven by population growth and stricter environmental regulations. Upcoming catalysts include potential acquisitions and expansions into new geographic markets. However, investors should be aware of potential risks such as economic downturns affecting waste generation and increased competition in the environmental services sector. The company's P/E ratio of 87.6 suggests a premium valuation, while its dividend yield of 0.17% offers a modest income stream.

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis

GFL Key Highlights

  • GFL Environmental Inc. operates in both Canada and the United States, providing a diversified revenue stream and reducing dependence on any single geographic market.
  • The company's diversified service offerings across solid waste, liquid waste, and soil remediation provide resilience against economic cycles affecting specific waste streams.
  • GFL's profit margin of 3.1% indicates potential for improvement through operational efficiencies and pricing strategies.
  • The company's gross margin of 20.6% reflects the cost of providing its services and the pricing power it holds in its markets.
  • GFL's beta of 0.53 suggests lower volatility compared to the overall market, potentially making it a more stable investment during economic uncertainty.

Who Are GFL's Competitors?

GFL is benchmarked below against 8 industry peers on price, market cap, and our AI MoonshotScore.

Company Price Change Market Cap AI Score
MTZ MasTec, Inc. $381.70 +2.21% $30.16B 65
WWD Woodward, Inc. $423.48 +1.31% $25.23B 79
APG APi Group Corporation $42.70 +1.70% $18.50B 58
ZTO ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. $23.02 -0.26% $18.23B 55
CRS Carpenter Technology Corporation $615.15 +3.00% $30.56B 94
ECLMF Ecolomondo Corporation $0.08 -0.00% $17.55M 63
VCIGF Vitreous Glass Inc. $4.61 +0.00% $29.31M 56
YDDL One and one Green Technologies. Inc $2.11 +1.00% $96.74M 56

AI Score by Stock Expert AI · Price data: FMP / Yahoo Finance

What Are GFL's Key Strengths?

  • Diversified service offerings across solid waste, liquid waste, and soil remediation.
  • Extensive network of collection routes, transfer stations, and landfills.
  • Strong relationships with municipalities and commercial customers.
  • Experienced management team with a track record of growth.

What Are GFL's Weaknesses?

  • High debt levels due to acquisitions.
  • Exposure to economic cycles affecting waste generation.
  • Dependence on regulatory approvals for landfill expansions.
  • Profit margin lower than some competitors.

What Could Drive GFL Stock Higher?

  • Potential acquisitions of smaller waste management companies to expand market share.
  • Increasing demand for recycling services due to stricter environmental regulations.
  • Expansion into new geographic markets through organic growth and acquisitions.
  • Development and implementation of innovative waste treatment technologies.

What Are the Key Risks for GFL?

  • Financial-distress signal — its Altman Z-Score of 1.31 sits in the distress zone (elevated bankruptcy risk).
  • Rich valuation — a P/E of 87.6 runs well above the Industrials sector’s ~30x, leaving little room for a miss.
  • Economic downturns could reduce waste generation and impact revenue.
  • Changes in environmental regulations could increase compliance costs.
  • Increased competition from other waste management companies could put pressure on pricing.
  • Rising fuel costs could increase transportation expenses and reduce profitability.

What Are the Growth Opportunities for GFL?

  • Expansion into new geographic markets represents a significant growth opportunity for GFL Environmental Inc. By targeting underserved regions or acquiring smaller local operators, GFL can expand its customer base and increase its market share. The North American waste management market is estimated to be worth billions of dollars, providing ample room for growth through strategic expansion. Timeline: Ongoing.
  • Increased focus on recycling and waste diversion programs offers another avenue for growth. As environmental regulations become stricter and public awareness of sustainability increases, the demand for recycling services is expected to rise. GFL can capitalize on this trend by investing in advanced recycling technologies and expanding its recycling infrastructure. Market Size: Growing demand for sustainable waste management solutions. Timeline: Ongoing.
  • Acquisition of smaller, regional waste management companies can provide GFL with immediate access to new markets and customer bases. This strategy allows GFL to consolidate its position in the industry and achieve economies of scale. The fragmented nature of the waste management sector makes it conducive to acquisitions. Market Size: Consolidation opportunities within the waste management sector. Timeline: Ongoing.
  • Development of innovative waste treatment technologies can provide GFL with a competitive advantage and attract new customers. Investing in technologies such as waste-to-energy conversion or advanced sorting systems can improve efficiency and reduce environmental impact. Market Size: Growing demand for efficient and sustainable waste treatment solutions. Timeline: Ongoing.
  • Offering specialized services for specific industries, such as healthcare or manufacturing, can create new revenue streams for GFL. By tailoring its services to meet the unique needs of these industries, GFL can differentiate itself from competitors and build long-term customer relationships. Market Size: Demand for specialized waste management solutions in various industries. Timeline: Ongoing.

What Opportunities Does GFL Have?

  • Expansion into new geographic markets.
  • Increased focus on recycling and waste diversion programs.
  • Acquisition of smaller, regional waste management companies.
  • Development of innovative waste treatment technologies.

What Threats Does GFL Face?

  • Increased competition from other waste management companies.
  • Changes in environmental regulations.
  • Economic downturns affecting waste generation.
  • Rising fuel costs impacting transportation expenses.

What Are GFL's Competitive Advantages?

  • Strong network of collection routes, transfer stations, and landfills creates a barrier to entry for new competitors.
  • Long-term contracts with municipalities and commercial customers provide a stable revenue stream.
  • Economies of scale allow GFL to offer competitive pricing.
  • Expertise in environmental regulations and compliance provides a competitive advantage.

What Does GFL Do?

GFL Environmental Inc., founded in 2007, has rapidly grown to become a significant player in the North American environmental services industry. The company's founder, Patrick Dovigi, identified an opportunity to consolidate the fragmented waste management sector and build a comprehensive environmental services provider. Starting with a small base of operations, GFL expanded through strategic acquisitions and organic growth, establishing a presence across Canada and the United States. Today, GFL offers a wide array of services, including non-hazardous solid waste management, infrastructure and soil remediation, and liquid waste management. Its solid waste services encompass collection, transportation, transfer, recycling, and disposal for diverse customers. The company's infrastructure and soil remediation business focuses on remediating contaminated sites, along with civil, demolition, and excavation services. GFL's liquid waste management handles the collection, processing, and disposal of industrial and commercial liquid wastes. Headquartered in Vaughan, Canada, GFL Environmental Inc. continues to expand its service offerings and geographic footprint, solidifying its position as a leading environmental solutions provider.

What Products and Services Does GFL Offer?

  • Collects and transports non-hazardous solid waste from residential, commercial, and industrial customers.
  • Operates transfer stations and landfills for the disposal of solid waste.
  • Provides recycling services, including sorting and processing of recyclable materials.
  • Offers infrastructure and soil remediation services, including contaminated site cleanup.
  • Manages and disposes of industrial and commercial liquid wastes.
  • Resells liquid waste products.

How Does GFL Make Money?

  • Generates revenue through contracts with municipalities, businesses, and residential customers for waste collection and disposal services.
  • Charges fees for the use of its transfer stations and landfills.
  • Sells recyclable materials to manufacturers.
  • Provides remediation services for contaminated sites.
  • Processes and disposes of liquid waste for industrial and commercial clients.

What Industry Does GFL Operate In?

The waste management industry is experiencing steady growth, driven by increasing urbanization, population growth, and stricter environmental regulations. The market is characterized by a mix of large national players and smaller regional operators. GFL Environmental Inc. competes with companies offering similar waste management and environmental services. The industry is also influenced by technological advancements in waste processing and recycling, as well as increasing focus on sustainability and circular economy principles. These trends create both opportunities and challenges for companies in the waste management sector.

Who Are GFL's Key Customers?

  • Municipalities and local governments.
  • Commercial businesses, including retail stores, restaurants, and office buildings.
  • Industrial facilities, such as factories and manufacturing plants.
  • Residential households.
AI Confidence: 83% Updated: May 9, 2026

F-Score 7/9Financial Health

GFL Environmental Inc.'s Piotroski F-Score is 7/9, a 9-point checklist of profitability, leverage and efficiency — signaling solid underlying fundamentals. Its Altman Z-Score of 1.31 places it in the distress zone, a signal of elevated financial risk.

ROE 3%Key Financial Metrics

Return on equity for GFL Environmental Inc. stands at 3.0%, a gauge of how efficiently it converts shareholder capital into profit. Return on assets is 1.0%, showing how much profit it generates from its asset base. GFL trades at a trailing price-to-earnings ratio of 87.60, above the Industrials sector average of ~30x. Its free cash flow yield is 0.5%, a gauge of the cash the business throws off relative to its market value. A current ratio of 1.51 indicates the company holds enough short-term assets to cover its near-term obligations. Its earnings yield is 1.1%, the inverse of the P/E and a quick read on earnings relative to price.

GFL Environmental Inc. (GFL) Valuation Context

Valued at $14.14B, GFL is classified as a large-cap stock. Relative to its peer group, GFL's quantitative score of 45/100 is below the peer average of 70/100.

FY2026 estForward Outlook

Wall Street analysts project GFL Environmental Inc. revenue of about $7.34B for fiscal 2026, with EPS near $0.75. The estimate reflects 12 contributing analysts.

GFL Financials

Fundamental Snapshot

Revenue Growth (FY)
+7.8%
EPS Growth (FY)
+131.3%
Free Cash Flow Growth (FY)
-49.7%
P/E (TTM)
89.5
Return on Equity (TTM)
+3.0%
Current Ratio
1.5
EV/EBITDA (TTM)
12.8

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis · FY 2025

Bull Case vs Bear Case

Bull Case

  • Recent insider buying suggests confidence in GFL's future performance, indicating that those closest to the company believe in its growth potential.
  • Community sentiment has shifted positively, with discussions highlighting GFL's commitment to sustainability and environmental initiatives, resonating well with socially conscious investors.
  • GFL's recent contract wins in waste management have been well-received, showcasing their competitive edge and ability to secure long-term revenue streams.
  • The overall trend in environmental services is positive, with increasing demand for waste management solutions as sustainability becomes a priority for businesses.

Bear Case

  • Some analysts express concerns about GFL's ability to maintain margins amid rising operational costs, which could impact profitability in the near term.
  • Community discussions reveal skepticism about the company's growth strategy, with some investors questioning the scalability of their current operations.
  • Recent regulatory changes in waste management could pose challenges for GFL, potentially affecting compliance costs and operational efficiency.
  • There is a prevailing sentiment that the stock may be overvalued based on its current fundamentals, leading some investors to adopt a cautious stance.

AI-generated arguments based on insider flow, news sentiment and technicals — not financial advice · March 2026

GFL Latest News

GFL Analyst Consensus

Consensus Rating

Aggregated Buy/Hold/Sell recommendations from Benzinga, Yahoo Finance, and Finnhub for GFL.

Price Targets

Consensus target: $60.00

GFL MoonshotScore

45/100

What does this score mean?

The MoonshotScore rates GFL's growth potential on a scale of 0-100 across multiple factors including innovation, market disruption, financial health, and momentum.

Latest GFL Environmental Inc. Analysis

Leadership: Patrick Dovigi

CEO

Patrick Dovigi is the Founder and CEO of GFL Environmental Inc. He has a background in the waste management industry and a proven track record of building and scaling businesses. Prior to founding GFL, Dovigi was involved in various entrepreneurial ventures. His vision for GFL was to create a comprehensive environmental services company through strategic acquisitions and organic growth. He manages 15000 employees.

Track Record: Under Patrick Dovigi's leadership, GFL Environmental Inc. has grown from a small regional player to a leading North American environmental services provider. He has overseen numerous acquisitions, expanding the company's service offerings and geographic footprint. Dovigi has also focused on operational efficiencies and technological innovation to improve profitability and customer satisfaction.

GFL Environmental Inc. Industrials Stock: Key Questions Answered

What does GFL Environmental Inc. do?

GFL Environmental Inc. is a diversified environmental services company that provides non-hazardous solid waste management, infrastructure and soil remediation, and liquid waste management services. The company operates in Canada and the United States, serving municipal, residential, commercial, and industrial customers. GFL's services include collection, transportation, transfer, recycling, and disposal of waste, as well as remediation of contaminated sites and management of liquid wastes. The company aims to provide comprehensive environmental solutions to its customers while adhering to strict environmental regulations.

What do analysts say about GFL stock?

Analyst consensus on GFL stock is mixed, with some analysts highlighting the company's growth potential and diversified service offerings, while others express concerns about its high debt levels and premium valuation. Key valuation metrics include the company's P/E ratio, which is currently at 86.38, and its dividend yield of 0.17%. Growth considerations include the company's ability to expand into new markets, increase recycling rates, and improve operational efficiencies. Investors should conduct their own due diligence and consider their risk tolerance before investing in GFL stock.

What are the main risks for GFL?

The main risks for GFL Environmental Inc. include economic downturns that could reduce waste generation, changes in environmental regulations that could increase compliance costs, and increased competition from other waste management companies that could put pressure on pricing. Additionally, rising fuel costs could increase transportation expenses and reduce profitability. The company's high debt levels also pose a risk, as they could limit its ability to invest in growth opportunities or withstand economic shocks. Investors should carefully consider these risks before investing in GFL stock.

How does GFL Environmental Inc. compare to competitors in its industry?

GFL Environmental Inc. distinguishes itself through its diversified service offerings, encompassing solid waste, liquid waste, and infrastructure remediation, providing a comprehensive suite of environmental solutions. While competitors like MasTec, Inc. focus on infrastructure construction with some environmental aspects, GFL's core business centers on waste management and environmental services. This diversification allows GFL to cater to a broader range of customer needs and potentially mitigate risks associated with specific waste streams or market segments.

What are the key financial metrics investors watch for GFL?

Investors closely monitor GFL's revenue growth, profit margins, and debt levels. Revenue growth indicates the company's ability to expand its market share and increase sales. Profit margins, including gross margin (20.6%) and profit margin (3.1%), reflect the company's efficiency in managing costs and generating profits. High debt levels can be a concern, as they can limit the company's financial flexibility and increase its vulnerability to economic downturns. Additionally, investors may consider GFL's P/E ratio (86.38) and dividend yield (0.17%) to assess its valuation and income potential.

What are the key factors to evaluate for GFL?

GFL Environmental Inc. (GFL) holds an AI score of 45/100 (low). P/E: 87.6x vs the S&P 500's ~20-25x. Analysts target $60.00 (+48%). Not financial advice.

How frequently does GFL data refresh on this page?

GFL prices update in real time during U.S. market hours. Fundamentals refresh after quarterly filings; analyst ratings and AI insights update daily; news is aggregated continuously.

What has driven GFL's recent stock price performance?

GFL Environmental Inc. (GFL) moves on earnings results, analyst revisions, sector rotation, and market sentiment. Notable catalyst: Diversified service offerings across solid waste, liquid waste, and soil remediation. See the News tab for the latest drivers. Past performance does not predict future results.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Always do your own research and consult a financial advisor.

Official Resources

Price as of Analysis updated AI Score refreshed daily
Data Sources & Methodology
Market data powered by Financial Modeling Prep & Yahoo Finance. AI analysis by Stock Expert AI proprietary algorithms. Technical indicators via industry-standard calculations. Last updated: .
Data Provenance
Sources: Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) — Primary · Yahoo Finance — Fallback · Alpaca — Tertiary
Last fetched:
Cache TTL: Quote 5min · Profile 7d · Financials 7d · Insider 48h
How we use AI: Numbers are pulled directly from FMP & Yahoo Finance — our AI writes the analysis, it never edits the figures.
Data provided as-is for educational purposes. Not financial advice. Methodology

Data provided for informational purposes only.

Analysis Notes
  • Data is based on publicly available information and may be subject to change.
Data Sources

Popular Stocks