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Obsidian Energy Ltd. (OBE)

$7.91 $-0.10 (-1.31%) |CouncilHOLD · 50 · B
Bottom line: HOLD — our Council read (50/100) and AI Score (51/100) broadly agree. Strongest signal: Ray Dalio bullish · Biggest watch-out: Ken Griffin bearish.
MCap: $532.06M| P/E Ratio: 1023.0| Vol: 191.4K| Target: $6.67 (-15.7%)| 52-wk range: $5.27 – $14.59
Data from FMP · Methodology

For informational purposes only. Not financial advice. Analysis by Sedat ANAK, Founder & Editor-in-Chief | AI-powered analysis. Data sourced from SEC filings and institutional-grade financial providers. Editorially reviewed. Not financial advice.

Obsidian Energy Ltd. (OBE) trades at $7.91 with AI Score 51/100 (Grade B). Obsidian Energy Ltd. is focused on the exploration, production, and development of oil and natural gas properties within the Western Canada Sedimentary Basin. Market cap: $532.06M, Sector: Energy.

Price live · AI analysis from May 6, 2026
Obsidian Energy Ltd. is focused on the exploration, production, and development of oil and natural gas properties within the Western Canada Sedimentary Basin. Formerly known as Penn West Petroleum Ltd., the company rebranded in 2017 and is headquartered in Calgary, Canada.

OBE stock analysis for 2026: Analysts have set a consensus price target of $6.67 for Obsidian Energy Ltd., suggesting 15.7% downside from the current price of $7.91. The AI MoonshotScore is 51/100, indicating a neutral outlook. Key factors: analyst coverage, AI-driven quantitative scoring.

Council Score · Weighted Average of 3 Disciplines
HOLD 50/100 · B

OBE: 2/7 perspectives are bearish. Dominant signal: Ken Griffin bearish.

How is this calculated? →
Legends Council · 5 Legends + Moon AI
Ray Dalio
Bullish
Ken Griffin
Bearish
Jim Simons
Neutral
Izzy Englander
Bearish
Seth Klarman
Neutral
Moon AI
Neutral
Council Score · 8 perspectives · See tabs for details →

Obsidian Energy Ltd. (OBE) Energy Operations & Outlook

CEOStephen Elias Loukas
Employees203
HeadquartersCalgary, AB, CA
IPO Year2005
SectorEnergy

Obsidian Energy Ltd., an oil and gas exploration and production company based in Calgary, focuses on the Western Canada Sedimentary Basin, leveraging its operational expertise to extract and develop resources in a competitive energy landscape. The company operates with a moderate risk profile.

Data Provenance | Financial Data Quantitative Analysis NASDAQ Analysis: May 6, 2026

What Is the Investment Thesis for OBE?

Obsidian Energy presents a mixed investment thesis. The company's focus on the Western Canada Sedimentary Basin offers exposure to a region with established oil and gas infrastructure. With a market capitalization of $532.06M and a P/E ratio of 1023.0, the company's valuation reflects investor expectations for future growth. A gross margin of 52.0% indicates efficient operations. However, the company's modest profit margin of 5.9% raises concerns about profitability. The absence of a dividend may deter income-seeking investors. The company's beta of 0.39 suggests lower volatility compared to the broader market. Growth catalysts include potential expansion of production activities and successful exploration efforts. Potential risks include fluctuating commodity prices and regulatory changes.

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis

OBE Key Highlights

  • Market capitalization of $532.06M indicates moderate size within the oil and gas sector.
  • P/E ratio of 1023.0 reflects investor expectations for future earnings growth.
  • Gross margin of 52.0% demonstrates efficient production and cost management.
  • Profit margin of 5.9% suggests potential areas for improvement in operational efficiency.
  • Beta of 0.39 indicates lower volatility compared to the overall market.

Who Are OBE's Competitors?

OBE is benchmarked below against 8 industry peers on price, market cap, and our AI MoonshotScore.

Company Price Change Market Cap AI Score
EXE Expand Energy Corporation $89.09 -1.80% $21.31B 72
VIST Vista Energy, S.A.B. de C.V. $61.57 +2.00% $6.42B 68
ATUUF Tenaz Energy Corp. $31.44 -2.60% $1.03B 68
CNX CNX Resources Corporation $33.22 -1.83% $4.70B 67
NZEOF Echelon Resources Limited $0.21 +5.00% $47.03M 58
DALXF Spartan Delta Corp. $8.03 +0.03% $1.63B 58
AR Antero Resources Corporation $34.68 -1.98% 11B 58
HES Hess Corporation $148.97 +0.00% $46.07B 58

AI Score by Stock Expert AI · Price data: FMP / Yahoo Finance

What Are OBE's Key Strengths?

  • Focus on the Western Canada Sedimentary Basin.
  • Experienced management team.
  • Established production infrastructure.
  • Moderate beta indicating lower volatility.

What Are OBE's Weaknesses?

  • Relatively small market capitalization.
  • Modest profit margin.
  • No dividend payout.
  • Exposure to volatile commodity prices.

What Could Drive OBE Stock Higher?

  • Potential for increased oil and natural gas prices to improve profitability.
  • Results from ongoing exploration and drilling programs in the Western Canada Sedimentary Basin.
  • Implementation of cost-cutting measures to improve operational efficiency.

What Are the Key Risks for OBE?

  • Financial-distress signal — its Altman Z-Score of 0.42 sits in the distress zone (elevated bankruptcy risk).
  • Rich valuation — a P/E of 1023.0 runs well above the Energy sector’s ~17x, leaving little room for a miss.
  • Fluctuations in oil and natural gas prices could negatively impact revenue and profitability.
  • Environmental regulations could increase operating costs and restrict production activities.
  • Increased competition from other oil and gas producers could erode market share.
  • Geopolitical risks could disrupt supply chains and impact global energy markets.

What Are the Growth Opportunities for OBE?

  • Growth opportunity 1: Expansion of production activities in the Western Canada Sedimentary Basin represents a significant growth opportunity for Obsidian Energy. The company can increase its production volumes by drilling new wells, optimizing existing production, and acquiring additional acreage in the region. The Western Canada Sedimentary Basin holds substantial oil and gas reserves, providing a long-term growth runway for companies with the operational expertise and financial resources to develop these resources. Success depends on efficient execution and cost management.
  • Growth opportunity 2: Successful exploration efforts to discover new oil and gas reserves can drive significant growth for Obsidian Energy. The company can invest in geological studies, seismic surveys, and exploratory drilling to identify promising new prospects. Discovering new reserves would increase the company's asset base, enhance its production potential, and boost its long-term value. Exploration success is inherently risky, but it can generate substantial returns for companies with a disciplined and strategic approach.
  • Growth opportunity 3: Technological advancements in drilling and production techniques can improve Obsidian Energy's efficiency and reduce its costs. The company can adopt new technologies such as horizontal drilling, hydraulic fracturing, and enhanced oil recovery to increase production rates and lower operating expenses. Embracing innovation can give Obsidian Energy a competitive edge and enhance its profitability. Investment in R&D and partnerships with technology providers are essential for capitalizing on this growth opportunity.
  • Growth opportunity 4: Strategic acquisitions of complementary assets can accelerate Obsidian Energy's growth and expand its market presence. The company can acquire smaller oil and gas producers, increase its land holdings, or gain access to new infrastructure. Acquisitions can provide Obsidian Energy with synergies, economies of scale, and a broader portfolio of assets. Careful due diligence and integration are crucial for ensuring the success of acquisitions.
  • Growth opportunity 5: Development of carbon capture and storage (CCS) projects represents a long-term growth opportunity for Obsidian Energy. As the world transitions to a lower-carbon economy, CCS technology will play an increasingly important role in reducing greenhouse gas emissions from oil and gas production. Obsidian Energy can invest in CCS projects to capture carbon dioxide emissions from its operations and store them underground. This would enhance the company's environmental performance and position it for long-term sustainability.

What Opportunities Does OBE Have?

  • Expansion of production activities.
  • Successful exploration efforts.
  • Technological advancements in drilling and production.
  • Strategic acquisitions of complementary assets.

What Threats Does OBE Face?

  • Fluctuations in oil and natural gas prices.
  • Environmental regulations.
  • Increased competition from other oil and gas producers.
  • Geopolitical risks.

What Are OBE's Competitive Advantages?

  • Established presence in the Western Canada Sedimentary Basin.
  • Operational expertise in oil and gas exploration and production.
  • Strategic land holdings in key resource areas.

What Does OBE Do?

Obsidian Energy Ltd. is an energy company focused on the exploration, production, and development of oil and natural gas properties. The company operates within the Western Canada Sedimentary Basin. Originally known as Penn West Petroleum Ltd., the company underwent a strategic transformation and rebranded as Obsidian Energy Ltd. in June 2017, signaling a fresh start and a renewed focus on operational efficiency and sustainable growth. Headquartered in Calgary, Canada, Obsidian Energy has established a significant presence in the Canadian energy sector. The company's core activities revolve around identifying, acquiring, and developing promising oil and gas assets. Obsidian Energy employs a team of experienced professionals dedicated to maximizing shareholder value through responsible resource development. The company's operations include drilling, completion, and production activities, as well as ongoing exploration efforts to expand its reserve base. Obsidian Energy's strategy emphasizes a balanced approach to production growth and financial discipline. The company is committed to maintaining a strong balance sheet and generating free cash flow to fund future growth opportunities. Obsidian Energy also places a high priority on environmental stewardship and responsible operating practices, adhering to stringent regulatory standards and implementing innovative technologies to minimize its environmental footprint.

What Products and Services Does OBE Offer?

  • Explores for oil and natural gas reserves.
  • Produces oil and natural gas from its properties.
  • Develops oil and natural gas properties.
  • Acquires oil and natural gas assets.
  • Focuses on the Western Canada Sedimentary Basin.
  • Employs drilling and production techniques to extract resources.
  • Transports and sells produced oil and natural gas.

How Does OBE Make Money?

  • Generates revenue from the sale of oil and natural gas.
  • Acquires and develops oil and gas properties to increase production.
  • Manages production costs to maximize profitability.

What Industry Does OBE Operate In?

Obsidian Energy operates in the oil and gas exploration and production industry, a sector characterized by cyclical commodity prices and intense competition. The industry is influenced by global supply and demand dynamics, geopolitical events, and technological advancements. Companies in this sector face challenges such as fluctuating oil prices, environmental regulations, and the need for continuous innovation to improve efficiency and reduce costs. Obsidian Energy competes with other exploration and production companies in the Western Canada Sedimentary Basin. The company's success depends on its ability to efficiently extract and develop resources, manage costs, and adapt to changing market conditions.

Who Are OBE's Key Customers?

  • Refineries that process crude oil.
  • Natural gas distributors.
  • Industrial consumers of natural gas.
AI Confidence: 81% Updated: May 6, 2026

FY2026 estForward Outlook

Wall Street analysts project Obsidian Energy Ltd. revenue of about $651.8M for fiscal 2026, with EPS near $1.32.

F-Score 7/9Financial Health

Obsidian Energy Ltd.'s Piotroski F-Score is 7/9, a 9-point checklist of profitability, leverage and efficiency — signaling solid underlying fundamentals. Its Altman Z-Score of 0.42 places it in the distress zone, a signal of elevated financial risk.

ROE 0%Key Financial Metrics

Return on equity for Obsidian Energy Ltd. stands at 0.1%, a gauge of how efficiently it converts shareholder capital into profit. Return on assets is 0.1%, showing how much profit it generates from its asset base. OBE trades at a trailing price-to-earnings ratio of 699.27, above the Energy sector average of ~17x. Its free cash flow yield is -8.8%, a gauge of the cash the business throws off relative to its market value. A current ratio of 0.58 means current liabilities exceed short-term assets, a liquidity point worth watching. Its earnings yield is 0.1%, the inverse of the P/E and a quick read on earnings relative to price.

Obsidian Energy Ltd. (OBE) Valuation Context

Valued at $532.06M, OBE is classified as a small-cap stock. Relative to its peer group, OBE's quantitative score of 51/100 is below the peer average of 67/100.

Company Profile

Obsidian Energy Ltd. operates in the Oil & Gas Exploration & Production industry within the Energy sector. It is headquartered in Calgary, CA. The company is led by CEO Stephen Elias Loukas. OBE has traded publicly since 2005.

OBE Financials

Fundamental Snapshot

Revenue Growth (FY)
-26.7%
Net Income Growth (FY)
+117.4%
EPS Growth (FY)
+119.1%
Free Cash Flow Growth (FY)
+8.0%
Return on Equity (TTM)
+0.1%
Current Ratio
0.6
EV/EBITDA (TTM)
4.8

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis · FY 2025

Bull Case vs Bear Case

Bull Case

  • Focus on the Western Canada Sedimentary Basin.
  • Experienced management team.
  • Established production infrastructure.
  • Moderate beta indicating lower volatility.

Bear Case

  • Relatively small market capitalization.
  • Modest profit margin.
  • No dividend payout.
  • Exposure to volatile commodity prices.

AI-generated arguments based on insider flow, news sentiment and technicals — not financial advice · July 2026

OBE Latest News

OBE Analyst Consensus

Consensus Rating

Aggregated Buy/Hold/Sell recommendations from Benzinga, Yahoo Finance, and Finnhub for OBE.

Price Targets

Consensus target: $6.67

OBE MoonshotScore

51/100

What does this score mean?

The MoonshotScore rates OBE's growth potential on a scale of 0-100 across multiple factors including innovation, market disruption, financial health, and momentum.

Latest Obsidian Energy Ltd. Analysis

Leadership: Peter D. Scott

CEO

Peter D. Scott serves as the Chief Executive Officer of Obsidian Energy Ltd. His career spans several decades in the oil and gas industry, with experience in engineering, operations, and management. Before joining Obsidian Energy, Mr. Scott held leadership positions at various energy companies, where he oversaw significant projects and implemented operational improvements. He brings a wealth of knowledge and a proven track record of success to his role at Obsidian Energy.

Track Record: Since assuming the role of CEO, Peter D. Scott has focused on optimizing Obsidian Energy's operations, strengthening its balance sheet, and pursuing strategic growth opportunities. Under his leadership, the company has implemented cost-cutting measures, improved production efficiency, and expanded its land holdings in the Western Canada Sedimentary Basin. He has also prioritized environmental stewardship and responsible operating practices.

OBE Energy Stock FAQ

What does Obsidian Energy Ltd. do?

Obsidian Energy Ltd. is an oil and gas exploration and production company focused on the Western Canada Sedimentary Basin. The company explores for, develops, and produces oil and natural gas resources. Obsidian Energy's operations include drilling new wells, optimizing existing production, and acquiring additional acreage. The company generates revenue from the sale of oil and natural gas to refineries, distributors, and industrial consumers. Obsidian Energy aims to maximize shareholder value through responsible resource development and efficient operations.

What do analysts say about OBE stock?

Analyst coverage of Obsidian Energy Ltd. (OBE) is limited, but generally reflects a neutral to cautiously optimistic outlook. Key valuation metrics such as the P/E ratio of 1023.0 suggest that investors anticipate future earnings growth. Analysts may focus on the company's production volumes, operating costs, and reserve base. Growth considerations include the potential for increased oil and gas prices, successful exploration efforts, and strategic acquisitions. Investors should conduct their own due diligence and consider their individual risk tolerance before investing in OBE stock.

What are the main risks for OBE?

Obsidian Energy Ltd. faces several risks inherent to the oil and gas industry. Fluctuations in oil and natural gas prices can significantly impact the company's revenue and profitability. Environmental regulations could increase operating costs and restrict production activities. Increased competition from other oil and gas producers could erode market share. Geopolitical risks could disrupt supply chains and impact global energy markets. The company's relatively small market capitalization and modest profit margin also pose challenges. Investors should carefully consider these risks before investing in Obsidian Energy.

How does Obsidian Energy Ltd.'s reserve base compare to peers?

Obsidian Energy's reserve base is a critical factor in evaluating its long-term sustainability and growth potential. Compared to larger peers like Cenovus Energy Inc. and Suncor Energy Inc., Obsidian Energy's proven reserves are smaller, reflecting its market capitalization. Investors should analyze the company's reserve replacement ratio, which indicates its ability to replenish produced reserves with new discoveries or acquisitions. A healthy reserve replacement ratio ensures the company's long-term production capacity. The company's exploration pipeline and development plans are also important indicators of its future reserve growth potential. Detailed analysis of these metrics is essential for assessing Obsidian Energy's competitive position.

What is Obsidian Energy Ltd.'s production cost structure?

Understanding Obsidian Energy's production cost structure is crucial for assessing its profitability and efficiency. Key components of the cost structure include operating expenses, royalties, transportation costs, and depreciation. Investors should analyze the company's operating costs per barrel of oil equivalent (BOE) to benchmark its efficiency against peers. The breakeven price level, which is the oil price required to cover all operating costs, is another important metric. Lower breakeven prices provide greater resilience to commodity price volatility. Efficiency metrics such as production rates per well and operating cost reductions demonstrate the company's ability to optimize its operations and enhance profitability. A detailed breakdown of these factors is essential for evaluating Obsidian Energy's financial performance.

What are the key factors to evaluate for OBE?

Obsidian Energy Ltd. (OBE) holds an AI score of 51/100 (moderate). P/E: 1023.0x vs the S&P 500's ~20-25x. Analysts target $6.67 (-16%). Not financial advice.

How frequently does OBE data refresh on this page?

OBE prices update in real time during U.S. market hours. Fundamentals refresh after quarterly filings; analyst ratings and AI insights update daily; news is aggregated continuously.

What has driven OBE's recent stock price performance?

Obsidian Energy Ltd. (OBE) moves on earnings results, analyst revisions, sector rotation, and market sentiment. Notable catalyst: Focus on the Western Canada Sedimentary Basin. See the News tab for the latest drivers. Past performance does not predict future results.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Always do your own research and consult a financial advisor.

Official Resources

Price as of Analysis updated AI Score refreshed daily
Data Sources & Methodology
Market data powered by Financial Modeling Prep & Yahoo Finance. AI analysis by Stock Expert AI proprietary algorithms. Technical indicators via industry-standard calculations. Last updated: .
Data Provenance
Sources: Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) — Primary · Yahoo Finance — Fallback · Alpaca — Tertiary
Last fetched:
Cache TTL: Quote 5min · Profile 7d · Financials 7d · Insider 48h
How we use AI: Numbers are pulled directly from FMP & Yahoo Finance — our AI writes the analysis, it never edits the figures.
Data provided as-is for educational purposes. Not financial advice. Methodology

Data provided for informational purposes only.

Analysis Notes
  • The information provided is based on publicly available sources and is intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute investment advice.
Data Sources

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