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Vanguard Total Bond Market Index Fund Admiral Shares (VBTLX)

$9.63 +$0.00 (+0.00%) |CouncilHOLD · 44 · C
Bottom line: HOLD — our Council read (44/100) and AI Score (44/100) broadly agree.
MCap: $394.43B|
Data from FMP · Methodology

For informational purposes only. Not financial advice. Analysis by Sedat ANAK, Founder & Editor-in-Chief | AI-powered analysis. Data sourced from SEC filings and institutional-grade financial providers. Editorially reviewed. Not financial advice.

Vanguard Total Bond Market Index Fund Admiral Shares (VBTLX) trades at $9.63 with AI Score 44/100 (Grade C). Vanguard Total Bond Market Index Fund Admiral Shares (VBTLX) provides broad exposure to the U. S. investment-grade bond market. Market cap: $394.43B, Sector: Financial services.

Price live · AI analysis from Mar 16, 2026
Vanguard Total Bond Market Index Fund Admiral Shares (VBTLX) provides broad exposure to the U.S. investment-grade bond market. It invests in U.S. Treasuries and mortgage-backed securities across various maturities, aiming to be a core bond holding for investors.

Analyst Coverage for VBTLX: VBTLX does not currently have published analyst price targets in our coverage universe. This is common for smaller-cap names with limited Wall Street coverage. In the absence of analyst consensus, our AI model evaluates VBTLX against Financial Services peers across nine fundamental dimensions and assigns an underweight signal based on the underlying data.

Council Score · Weighted Average of 3 Disciplines
HOLD 44/100 · C

VBTLX: the 1 perspectives are evenly split.

How is this calculated? →
Council Score · 8 perspectives · See tabs for details →

Vanguard Total Bond Market Index Fund Admiral Shares (VBTLX) Financial Services Profile

HeadquartersValley Forge, US
IPO Year2001

Vanguard Total Bond Market Index Fund Admiral Shares (VBTLX) offers diversified exposure to the U.S. investment-grade bond market, encompassing U.S. Treasuries and mortgage-backed securities. As a core bond holding, VBTLX aims to mirror the performance of the Bloomberg U.S. Aggregate Float Adjusted Index, providing stability and income for investors.

Data Provenance | Financial Data Quantitative Analysis NASDAQ Analysis: Mar 16, 2026

What Is the Investment Thesis for VBTLX?

Vanguard Total Bond Market Index Fund Admiral Shares (VBTLX) presents a compelling option for investors seeking broad exposure to the U.S. investment-grade bond market. With a substantial market cap of $394.43B, VBTLX offers diversification across U.S. Treasuries, mortgage-backed securities, and corporate bonds. The fund's low expense ratio and adherence to the Bloomberg U.S. Aggregate Float Adjusted Index provide a cost-effective and transparent investment vehicle. Ongoing: The fund's performance is closely tied to interest rate movements, with potential for NAV fluctuations in a rising rate environment. However, its diversified holdings and focus on investment-grade bonds mitigate credit risk. The fund's role as a core bond holding in a diversified portfolio supports long-term stability and income generation.

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis

VBTLX Key Highlights

  • Market Cap: $395.35B, indicating substantial assets under management and broad market exposure.
  • Beta: 0.98, suggesting the fund's price movements are highly correlated with the broader bond market.
  • Investment Focus: Primarily invests in U.S. investment-grade bonds, providing a relatively stable and low-risk investment profile.
  • Diversification: Offers exposure to U.S. Treasuries, mortgage-backed securities, and corporate bonds, mitigating concentration risk.
  • Index Tracking: Aims to replicate the performance of the Bloomberg U.S. Aggregate Float Adjusted Index, ensuring transparency and consistency.

Who Are VBTLX's Competitors?

VBTLX is benchmarked below against 8 industry peers on price, market cap, and our AI MoonshotScore.

Company Price Change Market Cap AI Score
BND Vanguard Total Bond Market ETF $73.10 -0.01% $394.86B 44
QQQ Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1 $721.41 +1.24% $499.51B 41
VBMFX Vanguard Total Bond Market Index Fund Investor Shares $9.63 +0.00% $394.43B 46
VBMPX Vanguard Total Bond Market Index Fund Institutional Plus Shares $9.63 +0.00% $394.43B 46
VEA Vanguard FTSE Developed Markets ETF $71.81 +1.42% $323.22B 44
GENB Generate Biomedicines, Inc. $17.03 -2.18% $2.18B 72
SII Sprott Inc. $118.11 +2.72% $3.05B 71
IDDTF AB Industrivärden (publ) $59.80 +74.60% $25.83B 70

AI Score by Stock Expert AI · Price data: FMP / Yahoo Finance

What Are VBTLX's Key Strengths?

  • Low expense ratio attracts cost-conscious investors.
  • Broad diversification across U.S. investment-grade bonds.
  • Strong brand reputation of Vanguard.
  • Large asset base provides economies of scale.

What Are VBTLX's Weaknesses?

  • Returns are limited to the performance of the U.S. bond market.
  • Susceptible to interest rate risk.
  • No active management to outperform the index.
  • Limited exposure to international bond markets.

What Could Drive VBTLX Stock Higher?

  • Increased demand for fixed-income investments due to market volatility.
  • Potential for capital appreciation in a declining interest rate environment.
  • Continued growth in assets under management driven by Vanguard's brand reputation.

What Are the Key Risks for VBTLX?

  • Rising interest rates could lead to a decline in NAV.
  • Credit downgrades could negatively impact bond values.
  • Inflation could erode the real return of bond investments.
  • Market volatility could lead to investor redemptions.

What Are the Growth Opportunities for VBTLX?

  • Increased Demand for Fixed Income: As investors seek stable returns in a volatile market, demand for fixed-income investments like VBTLX is expected to rise. The aging population and the need for retirement income will further drive this demand. This trend presents an opportunity for VBTLX to attract new investors and grow its assets under management. The market size for fixed-income investments is estimated to reach trillions of dollars by 2030, providing a significant growth runway for VBTLX.
  • Expansion of ESG Investing: Growing interest in Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) investing presents an opportunity for VBTLX to incorporate ESG factors into its investment strategy. By offering ESG-focused bond funds, VBTLX can attract socially conscious investors and differentiate itself from competitors. The market for ESG investments is projected to reach trillions of dollars by 2028, indicating substantial growth potential for VBTLX.
  • Technological Advancements in Bond Trading: The adoption of advanced technologies such as artificial intelligence and machine learning in bond trading can improve VBTLX's efficiency and performance. These technologies can enhance portfolio management, risk assessment, and trading strategies. By leveraging technological advancements, VBTLX can optimize its investment process and deliver better returns to investors. The timeline for widespread adoption of these technologies is estimated to be within the next 3-5 years.
  • Global Expansion of Bond Markets: The growth of bond markets in emerging economies presents an opportunity for VBTLX to expand its investment universe. By investing in international bonds, VBTLX can diversify its portfolio and potentially enhance returns. However, this strategy also involves increased risks, such as currency fluctuations and political instability. The market size for emerging market bonds is projected to grow significantly over the next decade, providing a potential growth avenue for VBTLX.
  • Strategic Partnerships with Financial Advisors: Collaborating with financial advisors can help VBTLX reach a wider audience and increase its distribution network. By offering its bond funds through financial advisors, VBTLX can tap into the advisor's client base and grow its assets under management. Strategic partnerships can also provide VBTLX with valuable insights into investor needs and preferences. The timeline for establishing and expanding these partnerships is estimated to be ongoing.

What Opportunities Does VBTLX Have?

  • Growing demand for fixed-income investments.
  • Expansion into ESG-focused bond funds.
  • Technological advancements in bond trading.
  • Strategic partnerships with financial advisors.

What Threats Does VBTLX Face?

  • Rising interest rates could negatively impact NAV.
  • Increased competition from other bond funds.
  • Economic downturn could lead to credit downgrades.
  • Regulatory changes could impact fund operations.

What Are VBTLX's Competitive Advantages?

  • Low Expense Ratio: Vanguard's reputation for low-cost investing provides a significant competitive advantage.
  • Index Tracking: Closely mirroring the Bloomberg U.S. Aggregate Float Adjusted Index ensures transparency and predictability.
  • Scale: Large asset base allows for efficient portfolio management and lower transaction costs.

What Does VBTLX Do?

Vanguard Total Bond Market Index Fund Admiral Shares (VBTLX) is designed to track the performance of the Bloomberg U.S. Aggregate Float Adjusted Index, offering investors broad exposure to the U.S. investment-grade bond market. The fund invests primarily in U.S. government, corporate, and mortgage-backed securities, spanning short-, intermediate-, and long-term maturities. VBTLX aims to provide a comprehensive representation of the U.S. bond market, making it a suitable core holding for investors seeking stability and income. The fund's investment strategy involves replicating the index by holding a diversified portfolio of bonds that mirror the index's composition. This approach allows investors to gain exposure to a wide range of fixed-income securities with a single investment. VBTLX is managed by Vanguard, a leading investment management company known for its low-cost investment products and commitment to investor success. The fund's objective is to provide a consistent and reliable return stream while maintaining a low expense ratio. As of 2026, VBTLX remains a popular choice for investors seeking a diversified and cost-effective way to invest in the U.S. bond market.

What Products and Services Does VBTLX Offer?

  • Provides broad exposure to the U.S. investment-grade bond market.
  • Invests in U.S. Treasuries, mortgage-backed securities, and corporate bonds.
  • Tracks the performance of the Bloomberg U.S. Aggregate Float Adjusted Index.
  • Offers a low-cost investment option for fixed-income investors.
  • Replicates the index by holding a diversified portfolio of bonds.
  • Serves as a core bond holding for investors seeking stability and income.

How Does VBTLX Make Money?

  • Generates revenue through management fees charged on assets under management (AUM).
  • Aims to provide a return that closely mirrors the Bloomberg U.S. Aggregate Float Adjusted Index.
  • Operates with a low expense ratio to minimize costs for investors.

What Industry Does VBTLX Operate In?

Vanguard Total Bond Market Index Fund Admiral Shares (VBTLX) operates within the asset management industry, specifically focusing on bond funds. The industry is characterized by a wide range of investment products, including mutual funds, ETFs, and separately managed accounts. Bond funds play a crucial role in investor portfolios, providing diversification and income. The competitive landscape includes firms such as BND, QQQ, VBMFX, VBMPX, and VEA, each offering various bond investment strategies. Market trends include increasing demand for low-cost investment options and growing interest in sustainable investing.

Who Are VBTLX's Key Customers?

  • Individual investors seeking diversified bond exposure.
  • Retirement savers looking for stable income.
  • Institutional investors requiring fixed-income allocations.
  • Financial advisors recommending bond funds to clients.
AI Confidence: 71% Updated: Mar 16, 2026

Vanguard Total Bond Market Index Fund Admiral Shares (VBTLX) Valuation Context

Relative to its peer group, VBTLX's quantitative score of 44/100 is roughly in line with the peer average of 44/100.

VBTLX Financials

Bull Case vs Bear Case

Bull Case

  • Low expense ratio attracts cost-conscious investors.
  • Broad diversification across U.S. investment-grade bonds.
  • Strong brand reputation of Vanguard.
  • Large asset base provides economies of scale.

Bear Case

  • Returns are limited to the performance of the U.S. bond market.
  • Susceptible to interest rate risk.
  • No active management to outperform the index.
  • Limited exposure to international bond markets.

AI-generated arguments based on insider flow, news sentiment and technicals — not financial advice · July 2026

VBTLX Latest News

VBTLX Analyst Consensus

Consensus Rating

Aggregated Buy/Hold/Sell recommendations from Benzinga, Yahoo Finance, and Finnhub for VBTLX.

Price Targets

Wall Street price target analysis for VBTLX.

VBTLX MoonshotScore

44/100

What does this score mean?

The MoonshotScore rates VBTLX's growth potential on a scale of 0-100 across multiple factors including innovation, market disruption, financial health, and momentum.

Common Questions About VBTLX (Financial Services)

What does Vanguard Total Bond Market Index Fund Admiral Shares do?

Vanguard Total Bond Market Index Fund Admiral Shares (VBTLX) provides investors with broad exposure to the U.S. investment-grade bond market. The fund invests in a diversified portfolio of U.S. Treasuries, mortgage-backed securities, and corporate bonds, aiming to replicate the performance of the Bloomberg U.S. Aggregate Float Adjusted Index. VBTLX serves as a core bond holding for investors seeking stability and income, offering a low-cost and transparent way to access the U.S. bond market. The fund's objective is to provide a consistent and reliable return stream while maintaining a low expense ratio, making it a noteworthy option for long-term investors.

What are the main risks for VBTLX?

The primary risk for VBTLX is interest rate risk, as rising interest rates can lead to a decline in the fund's net asset value (NAV). Additionally, credit risk is a concern, as downgrades in the credit ratings of the underlying bonds could negatively impact their values. Inflation risk is also relevant, as rising inflation can erode the real return of bond investments. Market volatility and investor redemptions could also pose challenges for the fund. However, VBTLX's diversified portfolio and focus on investment-grade bonds help to mitigate these risks to some extent.

What are the key factors to evaluate for VBTLX?

Vanguard Total Bond Market Index Fund Admiral Shares (VBTLX) holds an AI score of 44/100 (low). Not financial advice.

How frequently does VBTLX data refresh on this page?

VBTLX prices update in real time during U.S. market hours. Fundamentals refresh after quarterly filings; analyst ratings and AI insights update daily; news is aggregated continuously.

What has driven VBTLX's recent stock price performance?

Vanguard Total Bond Market Index Fund Admiral Shares (VBTLX) moves on earnings results, analyst revisions, sector rotation, and market sentiment. Notable catalyst: Low expense ratio attracts cost-conscious investors. See the News tab for the latest drivers. Past performance does not predict future results.

Should investors consider VBTLX overvalued or undervalued right now?

Valuing Vanguard Total Bond Market Index Fund Admiral Shares (VBTLX) requires multiple metrics. Compare P/E, P/S, and EV/EBITDA against sector peers for a full view.

What research should beginners do before buying VBTLX?

Before investing in Vanguard Total Bond Market Index Fund Admiral Shares (VBTLX), research these four areas: (1) the company's revenue model and competitive position (see Company Overview), (2) financial health through revenue growth, margins, and cash flow (see MoonshotScore), (3) what Wall Street analysts recommend and their price targets (see Analyst tab), and (4) specific risk factors that could impact the stock (see Risk Factors section).

Why might investors consider adding VBTLX to a portfolio?

Key strength of Vanguard Total Bond Market Index Fund Admiral Shares (VBTLX): Low expense ratio attracts cost-conscious investors. Weigh rewards against risks and diversify. Not financial advice.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Always do your own research and consult a financial advisor.

Official Resources

Price as of Analysis updated AI Score refreshed daily
Data Sources & Methodology
Market data powered by Financial Modeling Prep & Yahoo Finance. AI analysis by Stock Expert AI proprietary algorithms. Technical indicators via industry-standard calculations. Last updated: .
Data Provenance
Sources: Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) — Primary · Yahoo Finance — Fallback · Alpaca — Tertiary
Last fetched:
Cache TTL: Quote 5min · Profile 7d · Financials 7d · Insider 48h
How we use AI: Numbers are pulled directly from FMP & Yahoo Finance — our AI writes the analysis, it never edits the figures.
Data provided as-is for educational purposes. Not financial advice. Methodology

Data provided for informational purposes only.

Analysis Notes
  • AI analysis pending for VBTLX, limiting the depth of insights.
  • Financial data is based on available information as of 2026-03-16.
Data Sources

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