Alliance Resource Partners, L.P. (ARLP) Stock Analysis

Why this analysis is different

• A sector-relative MoonshotScore — five pillars (business quality, financial safety, valuation, growth durability, momentum) re-ranked nightly against the full universe of US-listed common stocks.
• An AI Council read across up to eight perspectives — value, macro, quantitative, and momentum lenses — that shows where they disagree instead of averaging the tension away.
• Figures come straight from FMP and Yahoo Finance filings data. The AI writes the narrative around the numbers — it never edits the numbers.

Alliance Resource Partners, L.P. (ARLP) Energy Operations & Outlook

Alliance Resource Partners, L.P. (ARLP) is a diversified energy company specializing in coal production and marketing across the Illinois Basin and Appalachia. With a strategic focus on thermal and metallurgical coal, ARLP also generates revenue through oil & gas royalties, positioning itself as a key player in the U.S. energy sector.

What Is the Investment Thesis for ARLP?

Alliance Resource Partners, L.P. (ARLP) presents a compelling, albeit cyclical, investment thesis predicated on its diversified revenue streams, significant coal reserves, and high dividend yield of 9.66%. The company's strategic positioning in both coal production and oil & gas royalties provides a hedge against sector-specific downturns. ARLP's consistent profitability, demonstrated by a profit margin of 11.3%, supports its ability to maintain dividend payouts. Key value drivers include sustained demand for coal in the U.S. energy market and efficient cost management across its mining operations. Growth catalysts involve expanding its mining technology services and leveraging its mineral rights in oil & gas producing regions. Potential risks include regulatory changes impacting coal usage and fluctuations in commodity prices, which could affect profitability. Investors should monitor ARLP's ability to adapt to evolving energy policies and maintain operational efficiency to sustain its competitive advantage.

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis

ARLP Key Highlights

Market capitalization of $3.43B, reflecting its significant presence in the energy sector.

• P/E ratio of 13.04, suggesting a potentially undervalued stock relative to its earnings.
• Profit margin of 11.3%, indicating efficient cost management and profitability in a competitive market.
• Gross margin of 23.9%, showcasing the company's ability to generate revenue after accounting for the cost of goods sold.
• Free cash flow of $0.26 billion, demonstrating its capacity to fund operations, investments, and dividends.

Who Are ARLP's Competitors?

ARLP is benchmarked below against 8 industry peers on price, market cap, and our AI MoonshotScore.

AI Score by Stock Expert AI · Price data: FMP / Yahoo Finance This table mixes two scoring engines — compare a number only with others carrying the same tag.

What Are ARLP's Key Strengths?

Diversified revenue streams from coal and oil & gas royalties.

• Significant coal reserves in key mining regions.
• Established relationships with utilities and industrial users.
• Mining technology products and services offering.

What Are ARLP's Weaknesses?

Exposure to fluctuations in commodity prices.

• Dependence on coal demand, which is subject to environmental regulations.
• Geographic concentration in the United States.
• Potential liabilities related to environmental remediation.

What Could Drive ARLP Stock Higher?

ARLP catalyst: Sustained demand for coal in the U.S. energy market, driven by its affordability and reliability.

• Expansion of oil and gas royalty interests, providing a diversified revenue stream.
• Potential acquisitions of additional coal reserves to increase production capacity.
• Development and deployment of mining technology solutions to improve efficiency and safety.

What Are the Key Risks for ARLP?

Inconsistent delivery — missed Wall Street EPS estimates in 5 of the last 8 reported quarters.

• Increasingly stringent environmental regulations on coal emissions, which could increase compliance costs.
• Fluctuations in commodity prices, which could impact revenue and profitability.
• Declining demand for coal in developed countries due to the shift towards cleaner energy sources.
• Operational risks associated with underground mining, such as accidents and geological challenges.
• Changes in government policies related to energy production and consumption.

What Are the Growth Opportunities for ARLP?

• Growth opportunity 1: Expansion of Mining Technology Services: ARLP can leverage its existing mining technology products and services, including data network, communication and tracking systems, and collision avoidance systems, to generate additional revenue streams. The market for mining technology is projected to grow as companies seek to improve efficiency and safety. By offering advanced technological solutions, ARLP can attract new customers and increase its market share. This expansion can be realized within the next 2-3 years with targeted marketing and product development efforts.
• Growth opportunity 2: Strategic Acquisitions of Coal Reserves: ARLP can pursue strategic acquisitions of additional coal reserves to expand its production capacity and extend its operational lifespan. The acquisition of proven and probable coal mineral reserves in key regions, such as the Illinois Basin and Appalachia, can enhance ARLP's long-term growth prospects. With approximately 547.1 million tons of proven and probable coal mineral reserves as of December 31, 2021, there is opportunity to grow this number. These acquisitions can be completed within the next 3-5 years, depending on market conditions and regulatory approvals.
• Growth opportunity 3: Increased Oil & Gas Royalty Interests: ARLP can increase its royalty interests in oil & gas producing regions, such as the Permian, Anadarko, and Williston Basins, to diversify its revenue streams and capitalize on the growing demand for oil and natural gas. The company currently owns mineral and royalty interests in approximately 1.5 million gross acres. Expanding these interests can provide a stable source of income and reduce ARLP's reliance on coal production. This expansion can be achieved through strategic investments and partnerships over the next 2-4 years.
• Growth opportunity 4: Development of Carbon Capture Technologies: ARLP can invest in the development and deployment of carbon capture technologies to mitigate the environmental impact of coal production and enhance its sustainability profile. Carbon capture technologies can capture CO2 emissions from coal-fired power plants and industrial facilities, preventing them from entering the atmosphere. By adopting these technologies, ARLP can comply with environmental regulations and attract investors who prioritize sustainability. This development can be pursued over the next 5-7 years through research and development initiatives and collaborations with technology providers.
• Growth opportunity 5: Expansion into International Markets: ARLP can explore opportunities to expand its coal production and marketing operations into international markets, particularly in regions with growing energy demand and limited access to alternative energy sources. By establishing partnerships with local distributors and developing export infrastructure, ARLP can tap into new markets and increase its revenue base. This expansion can be pursued over the next 3-5 years through market research and strategic alliances.

What Are ARLP's Competitive Advantages?

• Significant coal reserves: ARLP has approximately 547.1 million tons of proven and probable coal mineral reserves.
• Strategic locations: Operates mining complexes in key coal-producing regions, including the Illinois Basin and Appalachia.
• Diversified revenue streams: Generates revenue from coal production, oil & gas royalties, and mining technology services.
• Established customer relationships: Maintains long-term relationships with utilities and industrial users.

What Does ARLP Do?

Founded in 1971 and headquartered in Tulsa, Oklahoma, Alliance Resource Partners, L.P. (ARLP) has evolved into a diversified natural resource enterprise. Initially focused on coal production, the company has expanded its operations to include oil and gas royalties, offering a more diversified revenue stream. ARLP operates through four segments: Illinois Basin Coal Operations, Appalachia Coal Operations, Oil & Gas Royalties, and Coal Royalties. These segments allow ARLP to produce and market a range of thermal and metallurgical coal, catering to utilities and industrial users primarily in the United States. The company's operational footprint includes seven underground mining complexes located in Illinois, Indiana, Kentucky, Maryland, Pennsylvania, and West Virginia. In addition to its mining operations, ARLP leases land and operates a coal loading terminal on the Ohio River at Mt. Vernon, Indiana. The company also buys and resells coal. ARLP holds mineral and royalty interests in approximately 1.5 million gross acres of oil and gas producing regions, primarily in the Permian, Anadarko, and Williston Basins. Furthermore, ARLP provides mining technology products and services, including data network, communication and tracking systems, mining proximity detection systems, industrial collision avoidance systems, and data and analytics software. As of December 31, 2021, ARLP reported approximately 547.1 million tons of proven and probable coal mineral reserves and 1.17 billion tons of measured, indicated, and inferred coal mineral resources.

What Products and Services Does ARLP Offer?

• Produces and markets thermal and metallurgical coal to utilities and industrial users.
• Operates seven underground mining complexes in Illinois, Indiana, Kentucky, Maryland, Pennsylvania, and West Virginia.
• Leases land and operates a coal loading terminal on the Ohio River.
• Buys and resells coal to customers.
• Owns mineral and royalty interests in oil and gas producing regions.
• Provides mining technology products and services, including data network and communication systems.
• Offers mining proximity detection systems and industrial collision avoidance systems.
• Develops data and analytics software for the mining industry.

How Does ARLP Make Money?

• Generates revenue from the sale of coal to utilities and industrial users.
• Earns royalties from its mineral interests in oil and gas producing regions.
• Provides mining technology products and services to mining companies.
• Buys and resells coal, profiting from the difference in purchase and sale prices.

What Industry Does ARLP Operate In?

Alliance Resource Partners, L.P. (ARLP) operates within the coal industry, which faces both opportunities and challenges in the evolving energy landscape. The industry is influenced by factors such as global energy demand, environmental regulations, and technological advancements. While coal consumption has been declining in some regions, it remains a significant energy source, particularly in the United States. ARLP competes with companies like BTU: Peabody Energy Corporation and HCC: Warrior Met Coal, Inc., focusing on thermal and metallurgical coal production. The company's diversification into oil & gas royalties provides a competitive edge, allowing it to capitalize on multiple energy sources. Market trends include a growing emphasis on cleaner energy alternatives and increasing regulatory scrutiny on coal emissions.

Who Are ARLP's Key Customers?

• Utilities that use coal to generate electricity.
• Industrial users, such as steel mills and cement plants, that use coal in their production processes.
• Mining companies that use ARLP's mining technology products and services.
• Energy companies that lease land from ARLP for coal mining operations.

Alliance Resource Partners, L.P. Financial Trajectory

Alliance Resource Partners, L.P. (ARLP) reported $551.6M in revenue for Q2 FY2026, reflecting 6.9% growth compared to the prior quarter. The company recorded net income of $79.6M, with diluted EPS of $0.62. Quarter-over-quarter revenue has been mixed, typical for a mid-cap company operating in Energy. Across the four most recent quarters, ARLP averaged $0.52 in diluted EPS.

Company Profile

Alliance Resource Partners, L.P. operates in the Coal industry within the Energy sector. It is headquartered in Tulsa, US. The company is led by CEO Joseph W. Craft. ARLP has traded publicly since 1999.

How Alliance Resource Partners, L.P. Is Valued

Alliance Resource Partners, L.P. carries a market capitalization of $3.43B, placing it in the mid-cap category. Analyst price targets span from $30.00 to $30.00, with a consensus of $30.00. At the current price of $26.64, that implies approximately 13% upside potential. Relative to its peer group, ARLP's quantitative score of 76/100 is above the peer average of 49/100.

Return on equity for Alliance Resource Partners, L.P. stands at 13.7%, a gauge of how efficiently it converts shareholder capital into profit. Return on assets is 8.6%, showing how much profit it generates from its asset base. ARLP trades at a trailing price-to-earnings ratio of 13.04, below the Energy sector average of ~15.80x. Its free cash flow yield is 10.6%, a gauge of the cash the business throws off relative to its market value. A current ratio of 1.46 indicates the company holds enough short-term assets to cover its near-term obligations. Its earnings yield is 7.7%, the inverse of the P/E and a quick read on earnings relative to price.

Alliance Resource Partners, L.P.'s Piotroski F-Score is 5/9, a 9-point checklist of profitability, leverage and efficiency — a middling fundamental profile. Its Altman Z-Score of 2.99 places it in the grey zone, a middle ground that warrants monitoring.

Alliance Resource Partners, L.P. has missed Wall Street's EPS estimate in 5 of its last 8 reported quarters — a mixed record worth weighing. Reported results have landed about 21.0% below estimates on average.

Over the past six months, Alliance Resource Partners, L.P. insiders filed 2 SEC Form 4 transactions — 0 sales and 2 purchases. On net that is roughly 3K shares acquired (about $80K) — insiders putting money in tends to read as conviction.

ARLP Financials

ARLP Latest News

ARLP Analyst Consensus

ARLP MoonshotScore

What Investors Ask About Alliance Resource Partners, L.P. (ARLP) — Energy

Disclaimer: This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Always do your own research and consult a financial advisor.

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