First Trust Managed Futures Strategy Fund (FMF) Stock Analysis
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice. Analysis by Sedat ANAK, Founder & Editor-in-Chief | AI-powered analysis. Data sourced from SEC filings and institutional-grade financial providers. Editorially reviewed. Not financial advice.
First Trust Managed Futures Strategy Fund (FMF) trades at $50.50 with AI Score 50/100 (Grade B). First Trust Managed Futures Strategy Fund is an actively managed ETF seeking positive returns uncorrelated to traditional markets. Market cap: $275M, Sector: Financial services.
Price as of Aug 21, 2026 · Last analyzed: Mar 17, 2026Analyst Coverage for FMF: FMF does not currently have published analyst price targets in our coverage universe. This is common for smaller-cap names with limited Wall Street coverage. In the absence of analyst consensus, our AI model evaluates FMF against Financial Services peers across nine fundamental dimensions and assigns a mixed fundamental profile based on the underlying data.
FMF: the 3 scored disciplines are evenly split. Dominant signal: Ray Dalio bullish.
How is this calculated? →Why this analysis is different
- A 9-signal quantitative MoonshotScore built from filings, insider activity, and market data — computed from the numbers, not from opinion.
- An AI Council read across up to eight perspectives — value, macro, quantitative, and momentum lenses — that shows where they disagree instead of averaging the tension away.
- Figures come straight from FMP and Yahoo Finance filings data. The AI writes the narrative around the numbers — it never edits the numbers.
First Trust Managed Futures Strategy Fund (FMF) Financial Services Profile
First Trust Managed Futures Strategy Fund (FMF) is an actively managed ETF employing a managed futures strategy, aiming to deliver positive returns uncorrelated to broad equity and fixed income markets. The fund invests in exchange-listed futures contracts, providing investors with diversification and potential downside protection in volatile market conditions within the financial services sector.
What Is the Investment Thesis for FMF?
First Trust Managed Futures Strategy Fund (FMF) presents a compelling investment thesis for investors seeking diversification and potential downside protection. With a beta of 0.10, FMF exhibits low correlation to broad market movements, making it a valuable tool for portfolio diversification. The fund's active management strategy, focused on identifying and capitalizing on trends in the futures markets, offers the potential for positive returns regardless of the overall market environment. As an actively managed fund, it is not designed to track a specific index, but rather to generate positive returns through active trading strategies. The fund's focus on exchange-listed futures contracts provides liquidity and transparency. The fund's success hinges on the continued effectiveness of its investment advisor's quantitative models and technical analysis in identifying profitable trading opportunities in the futures markets.
Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis
FMF Key Highlights
Market Cap of $275M indicates a moderate size within the ETF landscape.
- Beta of 0.10 suggests low correlation to the broader market, offering diversification benefits.
- Actively managed strategy aims to generate positive returns regardless of market direction.
- Invests primarily in exchange-listed futures contracts across various asset classes.
- No dividend yield reflects the fund's focus on capital appreciation rather than income generation.
Who Are FMF's Competitors?
FMF is benchmarked below against 8 industry peers on price, market cap, and our AI MoonshotScore.
| Company | Price | Change | Market Cap | AI Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BFOR Barron's 400SM ETF | $24.09 | -0.84% | $231M | 47 |
| BVAL Bluemonte Large Cap Value ETF | $32.08 | -0.80% | $279M | 47 |
| CNRG State Street SPDR S&P Kensho Clean Power ETF | $89.93 | -3.02% | $166M | 47 |
| FCAL First Trust California Municipal High Income ETF | $48.67 | -0.14% | $224M | 47 |
| GMOI GMO International Value ETF | $41.07 | -0.23% | $266M | 47 |
| SSSS SuRo Capital Corp. | $11.46 | -0.17% | $299M | 73 |
| EFTY Etoiles Capital Group Co., Ltd. | $15.02 | +0.00% | $302M | 68 |
| LEGO Legato Merger Corp. | $10.00 | +0.10% | $313M | 67 |
AI Score by Stock Expert AI · Price data: FMP / Yahoo Finance
What Are FMF's Key Strengths?
Low correlation to traditional asset classes.
- Active management strategy with experienced investment advisor.
- Diversification across multiple asset classes.
- Liquidity and transparency of an ETF structure.
What Are FMF's Weaknesses?
Reliance on the expertise of the investment advisor.
- Potential for underperformance during certain market conditions.
- Management fees can reduce overall returns.
- Complexity of futures markets may deter some investors.
What Could Drive FMF Stock Higher?
Increased market volatility may drive demand for uncorrelated assets like managed futures.
- Growing investor interest in alternative investment strategies.
- Potential expansion into new asset classes and futures contracts.
- Launch of new marketing campaigns to raise awareness of the fund.
What Are the Key Risks for FMF?
Underperformance relative to traditional asset classes during strong bull markets.
- Unexpected market events that disrupt trading patterns.
- Dependence on the expertise of the investment advisor.
- Changes in regulations governing futures markets.
- Management fees can reduce overall returns.
What Are the Growth Opportunities for FMF?
- Growth opportunity 1: Increasing investor demand for diversification and alternative investment strategies is a significant growth driver for FMF. As investors seek to reduce portfolio risk and enhance returns, managed futures strategies are gaining popularity. The fund's low correlation to traditional asset classes makes it a noteworthy option for portfolio diversification. The growth of the alternative investment industry is expected to continue in the coming years, providing a favorable environment for FMF. The market size for alternative investments is estimated to be in the trillions of dollars, offering a substantial opportunity for growth.
- Growth opportunity 2: The fund's active management strategy allows it to adapt to changing market conditions and capitalize on emerging trends in the futures markets. By actively managing its portfolio and adjusting its positions based on market conditions, the fund seeks to generate consistent positive returns regardless of the overall market environment. The ability to identify and capitalize on trends in the futures markets is a key competitive advantage for FMF. The fund's active management approach allows it to outperform passively managed ETFs that simply track a specific market index.
- Growth opportunity 3: Expansion into new asset classes and futures contracts can further diversify the fund's portfolio and enhance its return potential. By adding exposure to new markets and asset classes, the fund can reduce its reliance on any single market or trend. The fund's investment advisor has the expertise and resources to identify and evaluate new investment opportunities. The expansion into new asset classes can also attract new investors who are seeking exposure to specific markets or investment strategies.
- Growth opportunity 4: Increased marketing and distribution efforts can raise awareness of the fund and attract new investors. By promoting the fund's unique investment strategy and its potential benefits, the fund can increase its assets under management and its market share. The fund's marketing efforts can target financial advisors, institutional investors, and individual investors. The use of digital marketing and social media can also help to reach a wider audience.
- Growth opportunity 5: Strategic partnerships with other financial institutions can expand the fund's distribution network and provide access to new investors. By partnering with brokerage firms, wealth management firms, and other financial institutions, the fund can reach a larger pool of potential investors. Strategic partnerships can also provide access to new markets and distribution channels. The fund's management team has a strong track record of building successful partnerships with other financial institutions.
What Threats Does FMF Face?
- Increased competition from other managed futures ETFs and hedge funds.
- Changes in regulations governing futures markets.
- Unexpected market events that disrupt trading patterns.
- Economic downturns that reduce investor risk appetite.
What Are FMF's Competitive Advantages?
- Active management expertise in futures markets.
- Sophisticated quantitative models and technical analysis.
- Low correlation to traditional asset classes.
- Established brand and reputation within the First Trust family of ETFs.
What Does FMF Do?
The First Trust Managed Futures Strategy Fund (FMF) is an actively managed exchange-traded fund (ETF) designed to provide investors with positive returns that exhibit low correlation to traditional asset classes like equities and fixed income. The fund achieves this objective by investing, under normal market conditions, in a portfolio consisting primarily of exchange-listed futures contracts. These futures contracts span a wide range of asset classes, including commodities, currencies, and interest rates. The fund's investment strategy relies on the expertise of its investment advisor, which employs sophisticated quantitative models and technical analysis to identify and capitalize on trends in the futures markets. By actively managing its portfolio and adjusting its positions based on market conditions, the fund seeks to generate consistent positive returns regardless of the overall market environment. The fund's focus on diversification across asset classes and its active management approach distinguish it from passively managed ETFs that simply track a specific market index. The fund is part of the First Trust family of ETFs, known for its diverse range of investment strategies and its commitment to providing investors with innovative investment solutions.
What Products and Services Does FMF Offer?
- Invests in exchange-listed futures contracts.
- Seeks positive returns uncorrelated to broad market equity or fixed income returns.
- Actively manages its portfolio based on market conditions.
- Employs quantitative models and technical analysis to identify trends.
- Provides investors with diversification benefits.
- Offers potential downside protection during market downturns.
How Does FMF Make Money?
- Generates revenue through management fees charged on assets under management (AUM).
- Actively trades futures contracts to generate returns.
- Utilizes quantitative models and technical analysis to make investment decisions.
What Industry Does FMF Operate In?
The First Trust Managed Futures Strategy Fund operates within the asset management industry, specifically focusing on alternative investment strategies. The managed futures space has gained traction as investors seek diversification beyond traditional asset classes. The fund competes with other managed futures ETFs and hedge funds, offering exposure to futures markets with the liquidity and transparency of an ETF structure. The growth of the managed futures industry is driven by the increasing demand for uncorrelated assets and the potential for downside protection during market downturns. The fund's success depends on its ability to generate consistent positive returns and attract investors seeking diversification and alternative investment strategies.
Who Are FMF's Key Customers?
- Financial advisors seeking diversification for client portfolios.
- Institutional investors looking for alternative investment strategies.
- Individual investors seeking downside protection and uncorrelated returns.
First Trust Managed Futures Strategy Fund (FMF) Valuation Context
Valued at $275M, FMF is classified as a micro-cap stock. Relative to its peer group, FMF's quantitative score of 50/100 is roughly in line with the peer average of 47/100.
Key Financial Metrics
Return on equity for First Trust Managed Futures Strategy Fund stands at 0.0%, a gauge of how efficiently it converts shareholder capital into profit. Return on assets is 0.0%, showing how much profit it generates from its asset base. FMF trades at a trailing price-to-earnings ratio of 0.00, below the Financial Services sector average of ~18x. Its free cash flow yield is 0.0%, a gauge of the cash the business throws off relative to its market value. A current ratio of 0.00 means current liabilities exceed short-term assets, a liquidity point worth watching. Its earnings yield is 0.0%, the inverse of the P/E and a quick read on earnings relative to price.
FMF Financials
Bull Case vs Bear Case
Bull Case
- Low correlation to traditional asset classes.
- Active management strategy with experienced investment advisor.
- Diversification across multiple asset classes.
- Liquidity and transparency of an ETF structure.
Bear Case
- Reliance on the expertise of the investment advisor.
- Potential for underperformance during certain market conditions.
- Management fees can reduce overall returns.
- Complexity of futures markets may deter some investors.
AI-generated arguments based on insider flow, news sentiment and technicals — not financial advice · August 2026
FMF Latest News
No recent news available for FMF.
FMF Analyst Consensus
Consensus Rating
Aggregated Buy/Hold/Sell recommendations from Benzinga, Yahoo Finance, and Finnhub for FMF.
Price Targets
Wall Street price target analysis for FMF.
FMF MoonshotScore
What does this score mean?
The MoonshotScore rates FMF 0-100 on quantitative fundamentals — growth, financial health, valuation, momentum, and risk.
First Trust Managed Futures Strategy Fund Financial Services Stock: Key Questions Answered
What does the AI Score mean for FMF?
FMF holds an AI Score of 50/100 (Grade: B). This is an educational research signal, not a buy or sell recommendation. First Trust Managed Futures Strategy Fund is an actively managed ETF seeking positive returns uncorrelated to traditional markets. The fund invests in exchange-listed futures contracts.
What does First Trust Managed Futures Strategy Fund do?
First Trust Managed Futures Strategy Fund (FMF) is an actively managed ETF designed to provide investors with positive returns that are not directly correlated to broad market equity or fixed income returns. The fund achieves this by investing in exchange-listed futures contracts across various asset classes, including commodities, currencies, and interest rates.
What are the main risks for FMF?
The main risks for First Trust Managed Futures Strategy Fund (FMF) include the complexity of futures markets, which can be volatile and unpredictable. The fund's performance is heavily reliant on the expertise of its investment advisor and the effectiveness of its quantitative models. There is a risk of underperformance relative to traditional asset classes during strong bull markets.
How does First Trust Managed Futures Strategy Fund make money in financial services?
First Trust Managed Futures Strategy Fund generates revenue primarily through management fees charged on its assets under management (AUM). These fees are typically a percentage of the fund's net asset value and are used to cover the costs of managing the fund, including investment advisory services, administrative expenses, and marketing costs.
How sensitive is FMF to interest rate changes?
While FMF invests in futures contracts across various asset classes, including interest rates, its sensitivity to interest rate changes is complex and not as direct as a bond fund. The fund's investment advisor actively manages its positions based on market conditions and trends, which may include taking positions that profit from rising or falling interest rates.
What are the key factors to evaluate for FMF?
First Trust Managed Futures Strategy Fund (FMF) holds an AI score of 50/100 (moderate). First Trust Managed Futures Strategy Fund (FMF) presents a compelling investment thesis for investors seeking diversification and potential downside protection. Not financial advice.
How frequently does FMF data refresh on this page?
FMF's price was last updated on Aug 21, 2026 and refreshes on page view during U.S. market hours — it is not a real-time exchange feed. Fundamentals update after quarterly filings; the MoonshotScore recalculates nightly; news aggregates continuously.
What has driven FMF's recent stock price performance?
First Trust Managed Futures Strategy Fund (FMF) moves on earnings results, analyst revisions, sector rotation, and market sentiment. Notable catalyst: Low correlation to traditional asset classes. See the News tab for the latest drivers. Past performance does not predict future results.
Should investors consider FMF overvalued or undervalued right now?
First Trust Managed Futures Strategy Fund (FMF) has no trailing P/E available here, so lean on price-to-sales and cash flow in the Financials tab. Compare P/E, P/S, and EV/EBITDA against sector peers for a full view.
Disclaimer: This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Always do your own research and consult a financial advisor.
Official Resources
Data provided for informational purposes only.
- AI analysis pending for FMF, limiting the depth of available insights.
- Financial data is based on publicly available information and may be subject to change.