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Semtech Corporation (SMTC) Stock Analysis

Educational signal · not a buy or sell recommendation · How to read this

$159.13 -$4.81 (-2.93%) |Strong · 69
Semtech Corporation (SMTC) bottom line: Bullish Lean — our Council read (57/100) and AI Score (69/100) broadly agree. Strongest signal: Momentum strong · Biggest watch-out: Seth Klarman bearish.Educational signal, not a buy or sell recommendation. Compare sector peers → · Read the method →
MCap: $14.8B| P/E Ratio: 96.01| Vol: 2.13M| Target: $210.36 (+32.2%) (Aug 29, 2026) (estimate, not advice)| 52-wk range: $57.50 – $177.35

P/E 96.01 means the share price is 96.01 times one year of earnings per share; the S&P 500 usually sits near 20-25. Market cap $14.8B is the value of all shares combined. Beta 2.06: the stock has moved about 106% more than the S&P 500.

Data from FMP · Methodology

For informational purposes only. Not financial advice. Machine-generated analysis by Stock Expert AI — model gemini-2.0-flash, generated May 7, 2026. Editorial oversight is systemic, not page-by-page. Editorially accountable: Sedat ANAK, Founder and Editor-in-Chief. Data sources: Financial Modeling Prep, Yahoo Finance, SEC EDGAR

Quick Answer

Semtech Corporation (SMTC) trades at $159.13 with MoonshotScore 69/100 (Grade B+). Semtech Corporation designs, develops, manufactures, and markets analog and mixed-signal semiconductor products and advanced algorithms. Market cap: $14.8B, Sector: Technology.

Price as of Sep 11, 2026 · Last analyzed: May 7, 2026
Semtech Corporation designs, develops, manufactures, and markets analog and mixed-signal semiconductor products and advanced algorithms. The company serves original equipment manufacturers and their suppliers in the enterprise computing, communications, consumer, and industrial end-markets.

SMTC stock analysis for 2026: Analysts have set a consensus price target of $210.36 for Semtech Corporation, suggesting 32.2% upside from the current price of $159.13. The AI MoonshotScore is 69/100, in the Strong band (65-79) — a research signal, not a recommendation. Key factors: analyst coverage, AI-driven quantitative scoring.

Watch the SMTC film Every key number, told as a short cinematic story — just press play. ~2 min
Council Score · Weighted Average of 3 Disciplines
Bullish Lean 57/100 · B

SMTC: 1/3 scored disciplines lean bullish. Dominant signal: Momentum strong.

How is this calculated? →
MoonshotScore · Five-pillar engine · 69/100
Business Quality
Moderate Is this a genuinely good business?
Financial Safety
Neutral Could this blow up on me?
Valuation
Weak Am I paying a fair price?
Growth Durability
Neutral Is the growth real and likely to last?
Momentum
Strong Is the market already moving on this?

Strongest side: Momentum (10/10, Strong). Weakest side: Valuation (2/10, Weak).

Legends Council · 5 Legends + Moon AI

AI simulations built from the named investors' published principles. Not affiliated with, endorsed by, or the opinion of these individuals. How these lenses are built

Dalio-style lens (simulated)Ray Dalio
Favorable read
Griffin-style lens (simulated)Ken Griffin
Neutral read
Simons-style lens (simulated)Jim Simons
Neutral read
Englander-style lens (simulated)Izzy Englander
Neutral read
Klarman-style lens (simulated)Seth Klarman
Unfavorable read
Moon AI lens (model)
Neutral read
Munger's Mindset · Balance Sheet & Valuation
Financial Health
Neutral
Margin of Safety
Overvalued
Council Score · Weighted Average of 3 Disciplines · See tabs for details →
The lenses are modelled on the published principles of the investors named. We are not affiliated with them, they have not endorsed this, and it is not their opinion of this stock.

Why this analysis is different

  • A sector-relative MoonshotScore — five pillars (business quality, financial safety, valuation, growth durability, momentum) re-ranked nightly against the full universe of US-listed common stocks.
  • An AI Council read across up to eight perspectives — value, macro, quantitative, and momentum lenses — that shows where they disagree instead of averaging the tension away.
  • Figures come straight from FMP and Yahoo Finance filings data. The AI writes the narrative around the numbers — it never edits the numbers.

Semtech Corporation (SMTC) Technology Profile & Competitive Position

CEOHong Q. Hou
Employees1,920
HeadquartersCamarillo, CA, US
IPO Year1980

Semtech Corporation is a global supplier of high-performance analog and mixed-signal semiconductors and advanced algorithms, serving diverse markets including enterprise computing, communications, and industrial. With a focus on signal integrity, protection, and wireless and sensing products, Semtech caters to original equipment manufacturers worldwide.

Data Provenance | Financial Data Quantitative Analysis NASDAQ Analysis: May 7, 2026

What Is the Investment Thesis for SMTC?

AI-written as of May 7, 2026 — figures and tone reflect the data available then, not today's score.

Semtech Corporation presents a notable research candidate within the semiconductor industry. The company's focus on analog and mixed-signal solutions, coupled with its expansion into high-growth areas like data centers and wireless communications, positions it for sustained revenue growth. However, the company's negative profit margin of -3.8% necessitates a close watch on operational efficiency and cost management. A key value driver is Semtech's ability to capitalize on the increasing demand for signal integrity and power management solutions in enterprise computing and communications infrastructure. The company's gross margin of 51.6% indicates a strong pricing power and efficient manufacturing processes. The high beta of 2.06 suggests significant volatility, requiring investors to carefully consider their risk tolerance. The absence of a dividend yield means investors are relying solely on capital appreciation.

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis

SMTC Key Highlights

AI-written as of May 7, 2026 — figures and tone reflect the data available then, not today's score.

Market Cap of $14.8B reflects Semtech's significant presence in the semiconductor industry.

  • Gross Margin of 51.6% indicates strong pricing power and efficient manufacturing processes.
  • Beta of 2.06 suggests high volatility compared to the broader market.
  • Profit Margin of -3.8% highlights the need for improved operational efficiency.
  • No Dividend Yield implies investors are focused on capital appreciation.

Who Are SMTC's Competitors?

SMTC is benchmarked below against 8 industry peers on price, market cap, and our AI MoonshotScore.

Company Price Change Market Cap MoonshotScore
ONTO Onto Innovation Inc. $268.92 -3.41% $13.4B 655-pillar
FORM FormFactor, Inc. $112.12 -1.80% $8.74B 745-pillar
LFUS Littelfuse, Inc. $413.42 -2.03% $10.5B 645-pillar
ARW Arrow Electronics, Inc. $213.44 -0.60% $10.9B 755-pillar
ALGM Allegro MicroSystems, Inc. $35.27 -1.59% $6.57B 645-pillar
LSCC Lattice Semiconductor Corporation $114.76 -0.60% $15.7B 715-pillar
SITM SiTime Corporation $602.27 +2.10% $15.9B 615-pillar
DINRF SCREEN Holdings Co., Ltd. $86.51 0.00% $16.4B 589-signal

AI Score by Stock Expert AI · Price data: FMP / Yahoo Finance This table mixes two scoring engines — compare a number only with others carrying the same tag.

What Are SMTC's Key Strengths?

Diverse product portfolio serving multiple end-markets.

  • Proprietary technology and advanced semiconductor solutions.
  • Established relationships with OEMs and suppliers.
  • Global distribution network.

What Are SMTC's Weaknesses?

Negative profit margin (-3.8%) indicates operational inefficiencies.

  • High beta (2.06) suggests significant market volatility.
  • Dependence on cyclical semiconductor industry trends.
  • Potential for supply chain disruptions.

What Could Drive SMTC Stock Higher?

New product launches in the data center and wireless communications segments.

  • Increasing demand for signal integrity solutions in enterprise computing.
  • Expansion of wireless and sensing products in industrial automation.
  • Strategic partnerships and collaborations with key industry players.

What Are the Key Risks for SMTC?

Rich valuation — a P/E of 96.01 runs well above the Technology sector’s ~32.70x, leaving little room for a miss.

  • Insider selling — insiders were net sellers of roughly $7.0M recently.
  • Intense competition in the semiconductor industry could erode market share.
  • Economic downturns and global uncertainties may reduce demand for Semtech's products.
  • Rapid technological advancements could render existing products obsolete.
  • Supply chain disruptions may impact manufacturing and distribution.

What Are the Growth Opportunities for SMTC?

  • Expansion in Data Centers: Semtech can leverage the increasing demand for high-speed data transmission in data centers by offering advanced signal integrity solutions. The global data center market is projected to reach $300 billion by 2027, presenting a significant opportunity for Semtech to increase its revenue through innovative products and strategic partnerships. Success hinges on Semtech's ability to develop and deploy cutting-edge technologies that meet the evolving needs of data center operators.
  • Wireless Communications Infrastructure: The rollout of 5G and future wireless technologies drives demand for Semtech's wireless and sensing products. The global 5G infrastructure market is expected to reach $47.8 billion by 2027. Semtech can capitalize on this growth by providing specialized radio frequency products and solutions for wireless base stations and other communication infrastructure components. This requires continuous innovation and strategic collaborations with telecommunications equipment manufacturers.
  • Industrial Automation: Semtech's specialized sensing products can benefit from the growing adoption of industrial automation. The global industrial automation market is projected to reach $395 billion by 2027. Semtech can expand its presence in this market by offering advanced sensing solutions for applications such as predictive maintenance, process optimization, and robotics. Success depends on Semtech's ability to develop reliable and cost-effective sensing technologies tailored to the specific needs of industrial customers.
  • Power Management Solutions: Semtech's power products, including switching voltage regulators and wireless charging solutions, can benefit from the increasing demand for energy-efficient power management in electronic devices. The global power management IC market is expected to reach $56 billion by 2027. Semtech can capitalize on this trend by offering innovative power management solutions that improve energy efficiency and reduce power consumption in various applications. This requires continuous innovation and strategic partnerships with electronic device manufacturers.
  • Geographic Expansion: Semtech can expand its presence in emerging markets, particularly in Asia-Pacific, where demand for semiconductors is growing rapidly. The Asia-Pacific semiconductor market is projected to reach $400 billion by 2027. Semtech can increase its revenue by establishing a stronger presence in these markets through strategic partnerships, localized product development, and targeted marketing efforts. Success depends on Semtech's ability to adapt its products and services to the specific needs of local customers.

What Are SMTC's Competitive Advantages?

  • Proprietary Technology: Semtech's advanced analog and mixed-signal semiconductor technologies provide a competitive edge.
  • Diverse Product Portfolio: A broad range of products across multiple end-markets reduces dependence on any single market segment.
  • Established Customer Relationships: Long-standing relationships with OEMs and suppliers provide a stable revenue base.
  • Global Distribution Network: A widespread distribution network ensures broad market access and efficient product delivery.

What Does SMTC Do?

Semtech Corporation, incorporated in 1960 and headquartered in Camarillo, California, is a prominent designer, developer, manufacturer, and marketer of analog and mixed-signal semiconductor products and advanced algorithms. The company's evolution has been marked by a commitment to innovation and expansion across various technology sectors. Semtech's product portfolio includes signal integrity products, such as optical data communications and video transport solutions, integrated circuits for data centers and enterprise networks, and video products for broadcast applications. Additionally, Semtech offers protection products, including filter and termination devices, and wireless and sensing products for industrial, medical, and communications applications. The company also provides power products, such as switching voltage regulators and wireless charging solutions. Semtech serves original equipment manufacturers and their suppliers in the enterprise computing, communications, consumer, and industrial end-markets. Its global presence is supported by direct sales, independent sales representatives, and independent distributors across North America, Europe, Asia-Pacific, and internationally. Semtech's diverse product offerings and broad market reach position it as a key player in the semiconductor industry.

What Products and Services Does SMTC Offer?

  • Designs, develops, manufactures, and markets analog and mixed-signal semiconductor products.
  • Offers signal integrity products for optical data communications and video transport.
  • Provides integrated circuits for data centers, enterprise networks, and wireless base stations.
  • Manufactures protection products, including filter and termination devices.
  • Develops wireless and sensing products for industrial, medical, and communications applications.
  • Offers power products, including switching voltage regulators and wireless charging solutions.
  • Serves original equipment manufacturers and their suppliers.
  • Sells products directly and through independent sales representatives and distributors.

How Does SMTC Make Money?

  • Designs and manufactures analog and mixed-signal semiconductor products.
  • Sells products to original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) and their suppliers.
  • Distributes products through direct sales, independent sales representatives, and independent distributors.
  • Generates revenue from product sales across various end-markets, including enterprise computing, communications, and industrial.

What Industry Does SMTC Operate In?

Semtech Corporation operates in the highly competitive semiconductor industry, characterized by rapid technological advancements and evolving market demands. The industry is experiencing growth driven by increasing demand for semiconductors in various applications, including data centers, wireless communications, and industrial automation. Semtech competes with companies like ONTO: Onto Innovation Inc., FORM: FormFactor, Inc., LFUS: Littelfuse, Inc., ARW: Arrow Electronics, Inc., and ALGM: Allegro MicroSystems, Inc., each vying for market share in specific segments. Semtech's focus on analog and mixed-signal solutions, coupled with its expansion into high-growth areas, positions it to capitalize on these trends.

Who Are SMTC's Key Customers?

  • Original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) in enterprise computing.
  • Suppliers to OEMs in the communications industry.
  • Customers in the consumer electronics market.
  • Industrial end-users requiring specialized semiconductor solutions.
Model self-rating on this text: 73% (not a measure of the evidence) Updated: May 7, 2026

Research confidence

High 100/100

Broad, current evidence sits behind this analysis.

  • Scored on 100% of our measures
  • Price is current
  • Latest filing 16 days ago
  • Covered by analysts

Why 69?

Measured against companies in the same sector. The figures below are the factor contributions the scoring engine itself produced.

What is helping

  • +0.38 Bankruptcy-risk score (Financial Strength)
  • +0.36 12-month price trend (Momentum)
  • +0.26 6-month price trend (Momentum)

What is holding it back

  • -0.48 Share dilution (Growth)
  • -0.35 Debt to equity (Financial Strength)
  • -0.29 Volatility vs the market (Financial Strength)

Contribution = how far the company sits from its sector on that measure, weighted by how much the pillar counts. Not investment advice. How the score is built →

MoonshotScore History

Recorded daily since 2026-08-23 · 19 snapshots

2026-08-23 33
2026-08-26 35
2026-08-29 59
2026-09-01 63
2026-09-04 63
2026-09-07 67
2026-09-10 70

What changed?

The grade moved from 33 to 70 (+37).

What moved it up or down:

  • +36 Momentum
  • +27 Financial Strength
  • +15 Business Quality

Held back by:

  • -13 Valuation

Over the same 18 days the stock moved +32.1%.

Net selling

Insider Activity

Over the past six months, Semtech Corporation insiders filed 30 SEC Form 4 transactions — 26 sales and 4 purchases. On net that is roughly 46K shares disposed (about $7.0M), a signal worth weighing alongside the fundamentals.

Quarterly Financial Performance: Semtech Corporation

Revenue for Semtech Corporation came in at $341.9M during Q2 FY2027, a 17.5% improvement versus the preceding quarter. The company recorded net income of $160.1M, with diluted EPS of $1.59. Revenue has increased across the last three reported quarters, suggesting sustained momentum for this large-cap Technology company. Across the four most recent quarters, SMTC averaged $0.38 in diluted EPS.

SMTC Valuation & Market Position

With a $14.8B market cap, Semtech Corporation sits in the large-cap segment of the market. Analyst price targets span from $155.00 to $300.00, with a consensus of $210.36. At the current price of $159.13, that implies approximately 32% upside potential. Relative to its peer group, SMTC's quantitative score of 69/100 is roughly in line with the peer average of 67/100.

ROE 25%

Key Financial Metrics

Return on equity for Semtech Corporation stands at 25.3%, a gauge of how efficiently it converts shareholder capital into profit. Return on assets is 9.3%, showing how much profit it generates from its asset base. SMTC trades at a trailing price-to-earnings ratio of 96.01, above the Technology sector average of ~32.70x. Its free cash flow yield is 1.2%, a gauge of the cash the business throws off relative to its market value. A current ratio of 1.70 indicates the company holds enough short-term assets to cover its near-term obligations. Its earnings yield is 1.0%, the inverse of the P/E and a quick read on earnings relative to price.

F-Score 7/9

Financial Health

Semtech Corporation's Piotroski F-Score is 7/9, a 9-point checklist of profitability, leverage and efficiency — signaling solid underlying fundamentals. Its Altman Z-Score of 10.80 places it in the safe zone, indicating low near-term bankruptcy risk.

8/8 beats

Earnings Track Record

Semtech Corporation has beaten Wall Street's EPS estimate in 8 of its last 8 reported quarters — a consistent record of delivering on expectations. Reported results have landed about 10.2% above estimates on average.

Company Profile

Semtech Corporation operates in the Semiconductors industry within the Technology sector. It is headquartered in Camarillo, US. The company is led by CEO Hong Q. Hou. SMTC has traded publicly since 1980.

SMTC Financials

Fundamental Snapshot

Revenue Growth (FY)
+15.5%
Net Income Growth (FY)
+75.0%
EPS Growth (FY)
+79.6%
Free Cash Flow Growth (FY)
+264.8%
P/E (TTM)
96.01
Return on Equity (TTM)
+25.3%
Current Ratio
1.7
EV/EBITDA (TTM)
132

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis · FY 2026

Bull Case vs Bear Case

Bull Case

  • Diverse product portfolio serving multiple end-markets.
  • Proprietary technology and advanced semiconductor solutions.
  • Established relationships with OEMs and suppliers.
  • Global distribution network.

Bear Case

  • Negative profit margin (-3.8%) indicates operational inefficiencies.
  • High beta (2.06) suggests significant market volatility.
  • Dependence on cyclical semiconductor industry trends.
  • Potential for supply chain disruptions.

AI-generated arguments based on insider flow, news sentiment and technicals — not financial advice · September 2026

Recent Quarterly Results

Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q2 FY2027 $342M $160M $1.59
Q1 FY2027 $291M $27M $0.27
Q4 FY2026 $274M -$30M -$0.32
Q3 FY2026 $267M -$3M -$0.03

Q2 FY2027 · filed 26 Aug 2026 · SEC EDGAR →

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis

SMTC Latest News

SMTC Analyst Consensus

Consensus Rating

Aggregated Buy/Hold/Sell recommendations collected by Financial Modeling Prep for SMTC.

Price Targets

Low
$155.00
Consensus
$210.36
High
$300.00

Median: $202.50 (+32.2% from current price)

Source: FMP analyst consensus · as of Aug 29, 2026 · an estimate, not advice

SMTC MoonshotScore

69/100

What does this score mean?

MoonshotScore is Stock Expert AI's proprietary 0-100 research rating, not a buy or sell recommendation. SMTC scores 69/100 (Grade B+): the number comes from the five-pillar engine (business quality, financial safety, valuation, growth durability, momentum), re-ranked daily against sector peers.

Leadership: Hong Q. Hou

CEO

Hong Q. Hou serves as the Chief Executive Officer of Semtech Corporation. His career spans several decades in the technology sector, with a focus on semiconductor solutions. Prior to Semtech, Hou held leadership positions at various technology companies, contributing to strategic growth and product innovation. He brings a wealth of experience in managing global operations, driving technological advancements, and fostering customer relationships. Hou's expertise lies in aligning business strategies with market trends to enhance shareholder value.

Track Record: Under Hong Q. Hou's leadership, Semtech Corporation has focused on expanding its presence in high-growth markets such as data centers and wireless communications. Key achievements include strategic acquisitions and partnerships aimed at strengthening Semtech's product portfolio and market position. Hou has also overseen initiatives to improve operational efficiency and enhance customer satisfaction. His tenure has been marked by a commitment to innovation and sustainable growth.

What Investors Ask About Semtech Corporation (SMTC) — Technology

What does the AI Score mean for SMTC?

SMTC holds an AI Score of 69/100 (Grade: B+). This is an educational research signal, not a buy or sell recommendation. The number comes from the five-pillar engine (business quality, financial safety, valuation, growth durability, momentum), re-ranked daily against sector peers. Semtech Corporation designs, develops, manufactures, and markets analog and mixed-signal semiconductor products and advanced algorithms.

Is SMTC a good stock?

Stock Expert AI does not rate SMTC buy, sell or hold. Semtech Corporation carries a MoonshotScore of 69/100 on the five-pillar engine, a research rating against its peers. Whether it fits is your call: check what it sells, whether it earns, what the price assumes, and what would prove you wrong.

What do analysts say about SMTC stock?

Analyst consensus on Semtech Corporation (SMTC) reflects a mixed outlook, with some highlighting the company's growth potential in high-growth markets such as data centers and wireless communications.

What are the key factors to evaluate for SMTC?

Semtech Corporation (SMTC) holds an AI score of 69/100 (moderate). P/E: 96.01x vs the S&P 500's ~20-25x. Analysts target $210.36 (+32%). Not financial advice.

How frequently does SMTC data refresh on this page?

SMTC's price was last updated on Sep 11, 2026 and refreshes on page view during U.S. market hours; the quote is a provider snapshot, not an exchange feed. Fundamentals update after quarterly filings; the MoonshotScore recalculates nightly; news aggregates continuously.

What has driven SMTC's recent stock price performance?

Semtech Corporation (SMTC) moves on earnings results, analyst revisions, sector rotation, and market sentiment. Notable catalyst: Diverse product portfolio serving multiple end-markets. See the News tab for the latest drivers. Past performance does not predict future results.

Should investors consider SMTC overvalued or undervalued right now?

Semtech Corporation (SMTC) trades at 96.01x earnings. Analysts target $210.36 (+32%) — upside seen. Compare P/E, P/S, and EV/EBITDA against sector peers for a full view.

Can I buy fractional shares of SMTC?

Yes, most major brokerages offer fractional shares of Semtech Corporation (SMTC) with no minimum purchase requirement. This means you can invest any dollar amount regardless of the share price. Check your brokerage platform for specific terms, fees, and fractional share availability.

How can I track SMTC's earnings and financial reports?

Semtech Corporation (SMTC) reports quarterly earnings approximately 4-6 weeks after each fiscal quarter ends. You can track earnings dates, revenue and EPS estimates, and actual results on this page's Financials tab. Earnings surprises (beats or misses) often cause significant short-term price moves. Your brokerage can send alerts for SMTC earnings announcements.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Always do your own research and consult a financial advisor.

Official Resources

Price as of Analysis updated MoonshotScore as of
Data Sources & Methodology
Market data powered by Financial Modeling Prep & Yahoo Finance. AI analysis by Stock Expert AI proprietary algorithms. Technical indicators via industry-standard calculations. Last updated: .
Data Provenance
Sources: Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) — Primary · Yahoo Finance — Fallback · Alpaca — Tertiary
Last fetched:
Cache TTL: Quote 5min · Profile 7d · Financials 7d · Insider 48h
How we use AI: Numbers are pulled directly from FMP & Yahoo Finance — our AI writes the analysis, it never edits the figures.
Data provided as-is for educational purposes. Not financial advice. Methodology

Data provided for informational purposes only.

Analysis Notes
  • Financial data based on the most recent available information.
  • Market projections are based on industry reports and analyst estimates.
Data Sources
Financial Modeling Prep (FMP)Stock Expert AI proprietary analysis

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