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Arlo Technologies, Inc. (ARLO) Stock Analysis

$13.20 -$0.11 (-0.83%) |Strong · 70
Signals are mixed — the Council read leans Bullish Lean (61/100) while the AI fundamental score is 70/100 (grade A); the two lenses disagree, so weigh the breakdown below. Strongest single signal: Izzy Englander bullish.
MCap: $1.43B| P/E Ratio: 46.6| Vol: 746.3K| Target: $19.50 (+47.7%)| 52-wk range: $7.84 – $19.94
Data from FMP · Methodology

For informational purposes only. Not financial advice. Analysis by Sedat ANAK, Founder & Editor-in-Chief | AI-powered analysis. Data sourced from SEC filings and institutional-grade financial providers. Editorially reviewed. Not financial advice.

Arlo Technologies, Inc. (ARLO) trades at $13.20 with AI Score 70/100 (Grade A). Arlo Technologies, Inc. provides cloud-based smart security solutions, including wireless cameras and subscription services. Market cap: $1.43B, Sector: Industrials.

Price as of Jul 20, 2026 · Last analyzed: May 10, 2026
Arlo Technologies, Inc. provides cloud-based smart security solutions, including wireless cameras and subscription services. The company caters to residential and commercial users seeking advanced monitoring and security systems.

ARLO stock analysis for 2026: Analysts have set a consensus price target of $19.50 for Arlo Technologies, Inc., suggesting 47.7% upside from the current price of $13.20. The AI MoonshotScore is 70/100, indicating a bullish outlook. Key factors: analyst coverage, AI-driven quantitative scoring.

Watch the ARLO film Every key number, told as a short cinematic story — just press play. ~2 min
Council Score · Weighted Average of 3 Disciplines
Bullish Lean 61/100 · B+

ARLO: 2/3 scored disciplines lean bullish. Dominant signal: Izzy Englander bullish.

How is this calculated? →
MoonshotScore · Growth Potential · 70/100
Business Quality
Moderate Is this a genuinely good business?
Financial Safety
Moderate Could this blow up on me?
Valuation
Moderate Am I paying a fair price?
Growth Durability
Neutral Is the growth real and likely to last?
Momentum
Neutral Is the market already moving on this?
Legends Council · 5 Legends + Moon AI
Ray Dalio
Bullish
Ken Griffin
Bullish
Jim Simons
Bullish
Izzy Englander
Bullish
Seth Klarman
Bullish
Moon AI
Neutral
Munger's Mindset · Balance Sheet & Valuation
Financial Health
Neutral
Margin of Safety
Overvalued
Council Score · Weighted Average of 3 Disciplines · See tabs for details →

Why this analysis is different

  • A sector-relative MoonshotScore — five pillars (business quality, financial safety, valuation, growth durability, momentum) re-ranked nightly against the full universe of US-listed common stocks.
  • An AI Council read across up to eight perspectives — value, macro, quantitative, and momentum lenses — that shows where they disagree instead of averaging the tension away.
  • Figures come straight from FMP and Yahoo Finance filings data. The AI writes the narrative around the numbers — it never edits the numbers.

Arlo Technologies, Inc. (ARLO) Industrial Operations Profile

CEOMatthew Blake McRae
Employees360
HeadquartersCarlsbad, CA, US
IPO Year2018

Arlo Technologies is a leading provider of cloud-based smart security solutions, offering a range of wireless cameras, accessories, and subscription services. The company differentiates itself through its focus on user-friendly design, advanced AI-powered features, and a comprehensive ecosystem for home and business security.

Data Provenance | Financial Data Quantitative Analysis NASDAQ Analysis: May 10, 2026

What Is the Investment Thesis for ARLO?

As of May 10, 2026 — figures reflect the data available on that date.

Arlo Technologies presents a notable research candidate due to its strong position in the growing smart home security market. The company's focus on innovation, particularly in AI-powered features and cloud services, drives customer acquisition and retention. Arlo's subscription-based model provides recurring revenue and enhances long-term value. With a market capitalization of $1.43B and a P/E ratio of 46.6, Arlo demonstrates financial stability and growth potential. A gross margin of 45.1% indicates efficient cost management. Key catalysts include expanding partnerships with retailers and service providers, and continued innovation in camera technology and AI-driven analytics. However, investors should monitor competition from established players and potential supply chain disruptions.

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis

ARLO Key Highlights

  • Market Cap of $1.43B reflects investor confidence in Arlo's growth potential.
  • P/E Ratio of 46.6 indicates a reasonable valuation compared to earnings.
  • Profit Margin of 5.5% demonstrates profitability and efficient operations.
  • Gross Margin of 45.1% showcases strong pricing power and cost management.
  • Free Cash Flow of $0.06B indicates the company's ability to generate cash.

Who Are ARLO's Competitors?

ARLO is benchmarked below against 8 industry peers on price, market cap, and our AI MoonshotScore.

Company Price Change Market Cap AI Score
RING iShares MSCI Global Gold Miners ETF $60.57 -0.57% $2.17B
ADT ADT Inc. $6.96 -0.50% $5.47B 56
NSSC Napco Security Technologies, Inc. $36.05 -0.19% $1.29B 90
VVNT Vivint Smart Home, Inc. $12.00 +0.00% $2.58B 52
LOIMF Loomis AB (publ) $47.50 +0.00% $3.18B 48
SOHGF Sohgo Security Services Co.,Ltd. $7.85 +0.00% $3.81B 48
GEO The GEO Group, Inc. $30.60 +3.87% $4.09B 63
MG Mistras Group, Inc. $15.71 -1.32% $500M 59

AI Score by Stock Expert AI · Price data: FMP / Yahoo Finance

What Are ARLO's Key Strengths?

  • Strong brand recognition in the smart home security market.
  • Innovative wire-free camera technology.
  • Recurring revenue from Arlo Secure subscription services.
  • Established distribution network.

What Are ARLO's Weaknesses?

  • High price point compared to some competitors.
  • Reliance on third-party retailers and distributors.
  • Competition from larger, well-funded companies.

What Could Drive ARLO Stock Higher?

  • Launch of new AI-powered security features in Q3 2026.
  • Expansion of Arlo Secure subscription services.
  • Partnerships with home builders and integrators.

What Are the Key Risks for ARLO?

  • Rich valuation — a P/E of 46.6 runs well above the Industrials sector’s ~30x, leaving little room for a miss.
  • Insider selling — insiders were net sellers of roughly $7.6M recently.
  • Intense competition from established players and emerging companies.
  • Rapid technological advancements that could render existing products obsolete.
  • Economic downturn that could reduce consumer spending on security solutions.
  • Supply chain disruptions.

What Are the Growth Opportunities for ARLO?

  • Expansion of Arlo Secure Subscription Services: Arlo has the opportunity to increase its recurring revenue by expanding its Arlo Secure subscription service. By offering enhanced features such as unlimited camera coverage and enhanced emergency response solutions, Arlo can attract more subscribers and increase customer lifetime value. The market for cloud-based security services is projected to grow significantly, providing a substantial opportunity for Arlo to capitalize on its existing platform and expand its service offerings. Timeline: Ongoing.
  • Partnerships with Home Builders and Integrators: Arlo can drive growth by partnering with home builders and integrators to pre-install its security systems in new homes and commercial buildings. This would provide Arlo with a significant channel for reaching new customers and increasing its market share. The demand for smart home technology in new construction is growing, presenting a notable opportunity for Arlo to establish itself as a preferred security provider. Timeline: Ongoing.
  • Development of AI-Powered Security Solutions: Arlo can leverage its expertise in AI to develop advanced security solutions that provide proactive threat detection and prevention. By incorporating features such as facial recognition, object detection, and anomaly detection, Arlo can enhance the effectiveness of its security systems and differentiate itself from competitors. The market for AI-powered security solutions is expected to grow rapidly, driven by the increasing need for advanced threat detection capabilities. Timeline: Ongoing.
  • Geographic Expansion into Emerging Markets: Arlo has the opportunity to expand its geographic presence into emerging markets, where the demand for security solutions is growing rapidly. By tailoring its products and services to the specific needs of these markets, Arlo can tap into new customer segments and drive revenue growth. The growth of urbanization and increasing disposable incomes in emerging markets are driving the demand for security solutions. Timeline: Ongoing.
  • Integration with Smart Home Ecosystems: Arlo can enhance its product offerings by integrating its security systems with other smart home devices and platforms. By enabling seamless integration with voice assistants, smart lighting systems, and other IoT devices, Arlo can provide a more comprehensive and integrated smart home experience. The growing adoption of smart home technology is driving the demand for interoperable devices and platforms. Timeline: Ongoing.

What Opportunities Does ARLO Have?

  • Expansion into new geographic markets.
  • Development of AI-powered security solutions.
  • Partnerships with home builders and integrators.
  • Integration with other smart home devices and platforms.

What Threats Does ARLO Face?

  • Intense competition from established players and emerging companies.
  • Rapid technological advancements that could render existing products obsolete.
  • Economic downturn that could reduce consumer spending on security solutions.
  • Supply chain disruptions.

What Are ARLO's Competitive Advantages?

  • Brand recognition and reputation for quality and innovation.
  • Strong intellectual property portfolio, including patents for wire-free camera technology.
  • Established distribution network through retailers, distributors, and online channels.
  • Recurring revenue from Arlo Secure subscription services.

What Does ARLO Do?

Arlo Technologies, Inc. was spun off from Netgear in 2018, establishing itself as an independent entity focused on smart security solutions. The company develops and markets a range of wireless security cameras, video doorbells, and related accessories, complemented by a cloud-based subscription service platform. Arlo's products are designed for both residential and commercial use, providing users with remote monitoring, motion detection, and video recording capabilities. The company's initial success stemmed from its innovative wire-free camera technology, offering easy installation and flexible placement options. Over time, Arlo has expanded its product line to include advanced features such as 4K resolution, color night vision, and integrated spotlights. Arlo's geographic reach spans across the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Asia Pacific regions, with a strong presence in the North American market. The company distributes its products through a variety of channels, including retailers, wholesale distributors, wireless carriers, and its own website. Arlo's competitive positioning is centered on its user-friendly design, advanced AI-powered features, and comprehensive ecosystem, aiming to provide a seamless and integrated security experience.

What Products and Services Does ARLO Offer?

  • Develop and market wireless security cameras for home and business use.
  • Offer video doorbells with remote monitoring and two-way communication.
  • Provide cloud-based subscription services for video storage and advanced features.
  • Manufacture accessories such as charging stations, mounts, and skins.
  • Offer mobile apps for iOS and Android devices to control and monitor security systems.
  • Provide LTE-enabled wire-free cameras for untethered mobile security.
  • Offer baby monitors with air quality and temperature sensors.

How Does ARLO Make Money?

  • Sale of security cameras and accessories through retailers, distributors, and online channels.
  • Recurring revenue from Arlo Secure subscription services.
  • Partnerships with wireless carriers and security solution providers.
  • Direct-to-consumer sales through the company's website.

What Industry Does ARLO Operate In?

The security and protection services industry is experiencing rapid growth, driven by increasing concerns about safety and security, coupled with advancements in technology. The smart home security market, in particular, is expanding rapidly, with a growing demand for wireless cameras, video doorbells, and integrated security systems. Arlo Technologies operates in a competitive landscape that includes established players like ADT and Ring, as well as emerging companies offering innovative security solutions. The industry is characterized by continuous innovation, with companies investing in AI, cloud computing, and IoT technologies to enhance their product offerings.

Who Are ARLO's Key Customers?

  • Homeowners seeking to protect their properties and families.
  • Small business owners looking for affordable security solutions.
  • Parents seeking to monitor their children and pets.
  • Individuals who want to remotely monitor their homes while traveling.
AI Confidence: 73% Updated: May 10, 2026

Company Profile

Arlo Technologies, Inc. operates in the Security & Protection Services industry within the Industrials sector. It is headquartered in Carlsbad, US. The company is led by CEO Matthew Blake McRae. ARLO has traded publicly since 2018.

ROE 23%Key Financial Metrics

Return on equity for Arlo Technologies, Inc. stands at 22.9%, a gauge of how efficiently it converts shareholder capital into profit. Return on assets is 8.5%, showing how much profit it generates from its asset base. ARLO trades at a trailing price-to-earnings ratio of 46.59, above the Industrials sector average of ~30x. Its free cash flow yield is 4.4%, a gauge of the cash the business throws off relative to its market value. A current ratio of 1.52 indicates the company holds enough short-term assets to cover its near-term obligations. Its earnings yield is 2.1%, the inverse of the P/E and a quick read on earnings relative to price.

ARLO Valuation & Market Position

With a $1.43B market cap, Arlo Technologies, Inc. sits in the small-cap segment of the market. Relative to its peer group, ARLO's quantitative score of 70/100 is roughly in line with the peer average of 62/100.

Quarterly Financial Performance: Arlo Technologies, Inc.

Revenue for Arlo Technologies, Inc. came in at $150.4M during Q1 2026, a 6.4% improvement versus the preceding quarter. The company recorded net income of $14.9M, with diluted EPS of $0.13. Revenue has increased across the last three reported quarters, suggesting sustained momentum for this small-cap Industrials company. Across the four most recent quarters, ARLO averaged $0.07 in diluted EPS.

F-Score 6/9Financial Health

Arlo Technologies, Inc.'s Piotroski F-Score is 6/9, a 9-point checklist of profitability, leverage and efficiency — a middling fundamental profile. Its Altman Z-Score of 5.04 places it in the safe zone, indicating low near-term bankruptcy risk.

FY2026 estForward Outlook

Wall Street analysts project Arlo Technologies, Inc. revenue of about $565.6M for fiscal 2026, with EPS near $0.84. The estimate reflects 5 contributing analysts.

Net buyingInsider Activity

Over the past six months, Arlo Technologies, Inc. insiders filed 30 SEC Form 4 transactions — 14 sales and 16 purchases. On net that is roughly 1.3M shares acquired (about $7.6M) — insiders putting money in tends to read as conviction.

ARLO Financials

Fundamental Snapshot

Revenue Growth (FY)
+3.6%
Net Income Growth (FY)
+148.9%
EPS Growth (FY)
+145.2%
Free Cash Flow Growth (FY)
+37.6%
P/E (TTM)
46.6
Return on Equity (TTM)
+22.9%
Current Ratio
1.5
EV/EBITDA (TTM)
48.9

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis · FY 2025

Bull Case vs Bear Case

Bull Case

  • Community buzz indicates excitement around Arlo's new product releases, potentially driving adoption and revenue.
  • Positive customer reviews highlight Arlo's competitive edge in the home security market, fostering brand loyalty.
  • The increasing demand for smart home security solutions positions Arlo to capitalize on a growing market.

Bear Case

  • Mixed community sentiment reveals concerns about Arlo's subscription model and pricing strategy, potentially limiting growth.
  • Increased competition from larger tech companies in the home security space could erode Arlo's market share.
  • Negative media coverage regarding data privacy issues may damage Arlo's reputation and consumer trust.
  • Recent reports indicate supply chain challenges impacting Arlo's ability to meet demand, potentially affecting revenue.

AI-generated arguments based on insider flow, news sentiment and technicals — not financial advice · March 2026

Recent Quarterly Results

Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q1 2026 $150M $15M $0.13
Q4 2025 $141M $6M $0.05
Q3 2025 $140M $7M $0.06
Q2 2025 $129M $3M $0.03

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis

ARLO Latest News

ARLO Analyst Consensus

Consensus Rating

Aggregated Buy/Hold/Sell recommendations from Benzinga, Yahoo Finance, and Finnhub for ARLO.

Price Targets

Consensus target: $19.50

ARLO MoonshotScore

70/100

What does this score mean?

The MoonshotScore rates ARLO 0-100 on quantitative fundamentals — growth, financial health, valuation, momentum, and risk.

Leadership: Matthew Blake McRae

Chief Executive Officer

Matthew McRae serves as the Chief Executive Officer of Arlo Technologies, bringing extensive experience in consumer electronics and technology. Prior to Arlo, he held leadership positions at Vizio, where he played a key role in driving product innovation and market expansion. McRae also has a background in engineering and product development, providing him with a deep understanding of the technology behind Arlo's products. His expertise spans across product management, marketing, and business development.

Track Record: Since becoming CEO, Matthew McRae has focused on driving innovation in Arlo's product line, expanding the company's subscription services, and strengthening its partnerships with retailers and service providers. Under his leadership, Arlo has launched several successful new products, including the Arlo Ultra and Arlo Pro series. McRae has also prioritized the development of AI-powered features and cloud-based services to enhance the value proposition for Arlo's customers.

ARLO Industrials Stock FAQ

What does the AI Score mean for ARLO?

ARLO holds an AI Score of 70/100 (Grade: A). This is an educational research signal, not a buy or sell recommendation. Arlo Technologies, Inc. provides cloud-based smart security solutions, including wireless cameras and subscription services. The company caters to residential and commercial users seeking advanced …

What does Arlo Technologies, Inc. do?

Arlo Technologies, Inc. is a leading provider of smart security solutions, offering a range of wireless cameras, video doorbells, and subscription services. The company's products are designed for both residential and commercial use, providing users with remote monitoring, motion detection, and video recording capabilities.

What do analysts say about ARLO stock?

Analyst consensus on ARLO stock is mixed, with some analysts highlighting the company's growth potential in the smart home security market, while others express concerns about competition and profitability. Key valuation metrics include the company's P/E ratio of 46.6 and its gross margin of 45.1%.

What are the main risks for ARLO?

The main risks for Arlo Technologies include intense competition from established players and emerging companies in the smart home security market. Rapid technological advancements could render existing products obsolete. An economic downturn could reduce consumer spending on security solutions. Supply chain disruptions could impact the company's ability to manufacture and deliver its products.

What are the key factors to evaluate for ARLO?

Arlo Technologies, Inc. (ARLO) holds an AI score of 70/100 (high). P/E: 46.6x vs the S&P 500's ~20-25x. Analysts target $19.50 (+48%). Not financial advice.

How frequently does ARLO data refresh on this page?

ARLO's price was last updated on Jul 20, 2026 and refreshes on page view during U.S. market hours — it is not a real-time exchange feed. Fundamentals update after quarterly filings; the MoonshotScore recalculates nightly; news aggregates continuously.

What has driven ARLO's recent stock price performance?

Arlo Technologies, Inc. (ARLO) moves on earnings results, analyst revisions, sector rotation, and market sentiment. Notable catalyst: Strong brand recognition in the smart home security market. See the News tab for the latest drivers. Past performance does not predict future results.

Should investors consider ARLO overvalued or undervalued right now?

Arlo Technologies, Inc. (ARLO) trades at 46.6x earnings. Analysts target $19.50 (+48%) — upside seen. Compare P/E, P/S, and EV/EBITDA against sector peers for a full view.

How do I research ARLO before investing?

Before investing in Arlo Technologies, Inc. (ARLO), research these four areas: (1) the company's revenue model and competitive position (see Company Overview), (2) financial health through revenue growth, margins, and cash flow (see MoonshotScore), (3) analyst consensus ratings and price targets (see Analyst tab), and (4) specific risk factors that could impact the stock (see Risk Factors section).

Disclaimer: This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Always do your own research and consult a financial advisor.

Official Resources

Price as of Analysis updated AI Score refreshed daily
Data Sources & Methodology
Market data powered by Financial Modeling Prep & Yahoo Finance. AI analysis by Stock Expert AI proprietary algorithms. Technical indicators via industry-standard calculations. Last updated: .
Data Provenance
Sources: Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) — Primary · Yahoo Finance — Fallback · Alpaca — Tertiary
Last fetched:
Cache TTL: Quote 5min · Profile 7d · Financials 7d · Insider 48h
How we use AI: Numbers are pulled directly from FMP & Yahoo Finance — our AI writes the analysis, it never edits the figures.
Data provided as-is for educational purposes. Not financial advice. Methodology

Data provided for informational purposes only.

Analysis Notes
  • Information is based on available data and may be subject to change.
  • Financial metrics are based on the most recent reporting period.
Data Sources

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