ADT Inc. (ADT) Stock: Price, Forecast & Analyst Target
ADT Inc. (ADT) — MoonshotScore 57/100 (Fair band), calculated Oct 4, 2026. Price $6.25 (+0.40%), as of the Oct 2, 2026 trading session; market cap $5.00B. Expected results Nov 3, 2026.
Educational signal · not a buy or sell recommendation · How to read this
Market value / cash and short-term investments: 1250.00× (market value Oct 2, 2026; cash Jun 30, 2026) · expected results Nov 3, 2026
ADT Inc. · ADT · NYSE · Industrials · Security & Protection Services
Research dated 2026-09-13: ADT Inc. is a residential and commercial security and automation company operating a nationwide network of monitoring centers and installation locations. The business is subscription-based, with recurring revenue from monitoring and services accounting for the majority of total revenue. The central question is whether ADT can stabilize cash generation and reduce leverage while competing against lower-cost digital-native security providers.
Price as of Oct 2, 2026
Key Statistics
MoonshotScore v2 · ADT (ADT)
FairWhy this rating? Method, drivers & history
Bands for the MoonshotScore: Exceptional 80-100 · Strong 65-79 · Fair 45-64 · Weak below 45.
- Business Quality — Is this a genuinely good business?
- Financial Safety — Could this blow up on me?
- Valuation — Am I paying a fair price?
- Growth Durability — Is the growth real and likely to last?
- Momentum — Is the market already moving on this?
High quality, at a dirt-cheap price, but a strained balance sheet. Business Quality: Elite; Financial Safety: Strained; Valuation: Cheap; Growth Durability: Flat; Momentum: Quiet.
- quarterly revenue $1.31B (Q2 FY2026, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026)
- EPS beat 8 of 8
- Altman Z 0.57 · Piotroski F 8
Holding back: balance-sheet strain
Helping: business quality, an attractive price
What has the MoonshotScore done over time?
| Recorded | Score | Band |
|---|---|---|
| 58 | Fair | |
| 58 | Fair | |
| 58 | Fair | |
| 58 | Fair | |
| 57 | Fair | |
| 57 | Fair |
The score was 57 in the stored Oct 3, 2026 snapshot and remains 57 in the current publication computed Oct 4, 2026 (0). This current publication is not yet represented in the immutable snapshot archive.
Calculation uses the most recent completed US trading session. Live price changes do not update the score immediately.
Computed · Educational signal · not a buy or sell recommendation · How the MoonshotScore is computed →
Price & valuation
| Measure | Value | As of |
|---|---|---|
| Latest provided price | $6.25 | |
| Change on the day | +0.40% | |
| 52-week range | $6.03–$8.89 | |
| Market capitalisation | $5.00B | |
| Price / earnings (trailing) | 8.12 | |
| Shares traded on the day | 5.23M | |
| Beta (volatility vs the S&P 500) | 1.03 | |
| Dividends per share (last 12 months) | $0.22 | |
| Dividend yield (last 12 months) | 3.52% |
Price & events
Triangles mark reported quarters on the line: pointing up is above the recorded estimate, down is below, a diamond means no estimate on file or a dated event that is not a results report. Numbers key to the dated list. Point at or tab to any week for its close.
Events behind the price
- · Earnings results · above the recorded estimate
- · Earnings results · above the recorded estimate
- · Earnings results · above the recorded estimate
- · Earnings call · management outlook
- · Earnings results · above the recorded estimate
Results dates follow the earnings feed; call dates follow the transcript provider. Nearby dates do not establish that an event caused a price move.
Upcoming events
Management outlook
While we are very pleased with our full year 2026 cash generation, we do expect higher cash taxes and cash interest in 2027.
Jeffrey Likosar · Statement from
Within the second half, we expect fourth quarter income to be somewhat higher than the third quarter due to the timing of some of these investments, seasonal dynamics, and other items. We expect revenue and cash to be similar in the third and fourth quarters.
Jeffrey Likosar · Statement from
Statement dates identify the earnings call, not a deadline. Management expectations and provider estimates can change.
Read management statementsOther perspectives
Council score for ADT (ADT): perspectives
Council is a separate blend of available disciplines; MoonshotScore above remains the five-pillar research rating.
9-Factor Breakdown
Legends Council
6 lenses, 0 current
AI simulations built from the named investors' published principles. Not affiliated with, endorsed by, or the opinion of these individuals. How these lenses are built
Read on: Sep 8, 2026 · older than the 27 hours refresh window; not a current reading
Munger's Mindset
Balance Sheet & Valuation · historical
Read on: Apr 29, 2026 · older than the 27 hours refresh window; not a current reading
How to read these bars and different assessments
Council is a separate blend of available disciplines; MoonshotScore above remains the five-pillar research rating.
Bars show each model's ordered assessment on its own scale, not a probability or a comparable investment return. The adjacent words give the assessment; more filled segments indicate a stronger model reading.
On Apr 29, 2026, the Munger lens read the price at that time as undervalued against its own estimate of value.
Readings on this page are from Oct 4, 2026, except a card that shows its own read date.
Watch the ADT film — every key number, told as a short cinematic story
~2 min · open the film
What is ADT (ADT), and what does it report?
Short answer · as of
ADT reports revenue split between monitoring and related services (eighty-five percent) and installation and product sales (fifteen percent).
Research dated 2026-09-13.
ADT reports revenue split between monitoring and related services (eighty-five percent) and installation and product sales (fifteen percent). The income statement reflects relatively high gross margins above fifty percent, but the business carries substantial fixed costs in monitoring operations and customer service. Operating margins are healthy at around twenty-five percent. The company has been unprofitable or barely profitable in some recent years, indicating sensitivity to revenue churn and cost management.
Operating cash flow is strong and consistently positive across quarters, but free cash flow after capital expenditure is moderate due to ongoing investment in systems and facilities. The company recently filed an agreement to acquire another security company, signaling management confidence that consolidation can drive cost synergies.
What do the latest results show for ADT (ADT)?
Short answer · as of
The most recent reported quarter, Q2 FY2026, carried revenue of $1.31B.
Research dated 2026-09-13.
Latest quarter revenue grew modestly compared to prior year while net income remained stable at relatively low levels. The company continues to generate sufficient operating cash flow to cover debt service. Margins have not deteriorated despite revenue growth being single-digit, suggesting cost discipline is holding. However, the company has not yet demonstrated the ability to expand net profitability significantly.
Management's latest guidance indicates expectations for higher cash taxes and interest in the coming year, which would pressure free cash flow. The company also noted a transition in the customer acquisition model toward more direct sales rather than installation-focused revenue, implying a shift in the business economics.
Where is operating spending going?
Revenue alongside research and development, selling, general and administrative expenses, and the FMP standardized operating result.
- Latest quarter · revenue
- $1.31B Jun 30, 2026
- Latest quarter · SG&A
- $386.00M Jun 30, 2026
- Latest quarter · FMP standardized operating result
- $315.00M Jun 30, 2026
| Period end | Revenue | R&D | SG&A | FMP standardized operating result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 30, 2026 | $1.31B | Not available | $386.00M | $315.00M |
| Mar 31, 2026 | $1.28B | Not available | $365.00M | $326.00M |
| Dec 31, 2025 | $1.28B | Not available | $293.81M | $333.19M |
| Sep 30, 2025 | $1.30B | Not available | $320.31M | $315.07M |
USD. The operating result is the FMP-standardized value supplied by FMP; it may differ from a filing’s GAAP loss from operations when the provider classifies separately presented items differently. It is not net income or cash flow.
Did results meet expectations?
Reported earnings and revenue alongside the estimates recorded by the provider.
- Latest report · revenue
- $1.31B Jul 30, 2026
- Latest report · revenue estimate
- $1.29B Jul 30, 2026
- Latest report · revenue vs estimate
- Above estimate Jul 30, 2026
- Latest report · EPS vs estimate
- Above estimate Jul 30, 2026
| Report date | Revenue · reported | Revenue · estimate | EPS · reported | EPS · estimate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 30, 2026 | $1.31B | $1.29B | $0.2300 | $0.2231 |
| Apr 30, 2026 | $1.28B | $1.27B | $0.2300 | $0.2100 |
| Mar 2, 2026 | $1.28B | $1.30B | $0.2300 | $0.2000 |
| Nov 4, 2025 | $1.30B | $1.30B | $0.2300 | $0.2200 |
Dates are report dates, not fiscal period ends. Revenue is in USD; EPS is USD per share, rounded to four decimals. The earnings feed does not establish a basic, diluted or adjusted basis. Earnings-feed EPS may differ from statement EPS; the two series are not combined.
Quarterly income statement — 4 quarters
| Period | Revenue | Net income | EPS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 FY2026 | $1.31B | $161M | $0.19 (diluted) |
| Q1 FY2026 | $1.28B | $168M | $0.19 (diluted) |
| Q4 FY2025 | $1.28B | $145M | $0.16 (diluted) |
| Q3 FY2025 | $1.30B | $145M | $0.16 (diluted) |
What are the financial strengths and risks for ADT (ADT)?
Short answer
Cash and short-term investments were $4.00M at the Jun 30, 2026 balance-sheet date. Operating cash flow was $666.45M for the quarter ended Jun 30, 2026, meaning operations generated cash. These figures do not establish a cash runway.
Research dated 2026-09-13.
The balance sheet is heavily leveraged: total debt exceeds seven billion while cash is minimal (near four million). The debt-to-equity ratio exceeds two times, and net debt is nearly equal to market capitalization. This leaves the company with minimal financial flexibility and vulnerable to any deterioration in operating performance or refinancing conditions.
The most acute risk is customer churn. If residential customers migrate to lower-cost digital providers or if commercial customers consolidate their security vendors, revenue could decline rapidly. Cash burn would accelerate and the company could face debt covenant violations. The company depends on steady subscriber growth to justify its debt load.
How much cash does the business generate or use?
Quarterly operating cash flow shows cash generated or used by operations.
- Latest quarter · operating cash flow
- $666.45M Jun 30, 2026
- Previous quarter · operating cash flow
- $638.00M Mar 31, 2026
| Period end | Operating cash flow | Capital expenditure (reported) |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 30, 2026 | $666.45M | −$46.16M |
| Mar 31, 2026 | $638.00M | −$49.00M |
| Dec 31, 2025 | $374.42M | −$138.96M |
| Sep 30, 2025 | $480.00M | −$43.00M |
Operating cash-flow bars share one scale and show magnitude; negative values mean cash used.
USD. Negative operating cash flow means cash used. Capital expenditure keeps the provider’s reported sign; it is not added here to estimate free cash flow or runway.
What should you watch next at ADT (ADT)?
Short answer · as of
The next earnings report is expected on Nov 3, 2026.
Research dated 2026-09-13.
Watch quarterly subscriber trends and churn rates carefully. Any deterioration in subscriber growth or acceleration in churn would signal that competitive pressure is exceeding the company's ability to offset losses with cost discipline. Monitor the company's acquisition integration and whether it delivers the anticipated cost synergies.
The key catalyst is free cash flow stability. If the company can hold operating cash flow while managing capital expenditure, it can service debt. If cash flow deteriorates due to lower revenue or higher costs, the heavily levered balance sheet becomes vulnerable.
What management is planning
Management expectations, not completed milestones or guarantees. Selected verbatim excerpts; dates follow the transcript provider.
While we are very pleased with our full year 2026 cash generation, we do expect higher cash taxes and cash interest in 2027.
Jeffrey Likosar ·
Within the second half, we expect fourth quarter income to be somewhat higher than the third quarter due to the timing of some of these investments, seasonal dynamics, and other items. We expect revenue and cash to be similar in the third and fourth quarters.
Jeffrey Likosar ·
So I would expect to continue to see higher growth in outright sales in the third and fourth quarter after which we will have largely completed the transition, so less growth in installation revenue next year.
Jeffrey Likosar ·
How does ADT compare with its peers?
Short answer
ADT's score ranks 12th of 13 in the bounded comparison shown, against 12 same-model peers. These are company scores, not expected investment returns. The set lists named competitors first, then companies in the same data-provider industry classification closest in market value; that classification is the provider's, not our judgment of business similarity.
Research dated 2026-09-13.
ADT differs from smaller regional security companies by operating a national network of monitoring centers and service infrastructure, creating both a cost advantage through scale and a vulnerability to disruption from digital-only competitors. The company serves both residential and commercial customers, diversifying revenue but also exposing it to different competitive dynamics in each segment.
Unlike pure-digital security startups, ADT provides professional installation and monitoring services, which command pricing premiums but also require capital investment. This model is increasingly challenged by customers who prefer app-based systems and self-installation. The company's acquisition strategy suggests management is betting on consolidation and cost synergies to offset these trends.
| Company | Price | Market value | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| $84.78 Oct 2, 2026 | $3.99B | 90 5-pillar Oct 4, 2026 | |
| $36.17 Oct 2, 2026 | $1.29B | 90 5-pillar Oct 4, 2026 | |
| $37.40 Oct 2, 2026 | $461M | 90 5-pillar Oct 4, 2026 | |
| $181.23 Oct 2, 2026 | $7.00B | 87 5-pillar Oct 4, 2026 | |
| $154.21 Oct 2, 2026 | $13.1B | 82 5-pillar Oct 4, 2026 | |
| $55.05 Oct 2, 2026 | $28.6B | 77 5-pillar Oct 4, 2026 | |
| $31.36 Oct 2, 2026 | $4.19B | 70 5-pillar Oct 4, 2026 | |
| $101.80 Oct 2, 2026 | $4.19B | 69 5-pillar Oct 4, 2026 | |
| $20.65 Oct 2, 2026 | $657M | 68 5-pillar Oct 4, 2026 | |
| $12.78 Oct 2, 2026 | $1.39B | 64 5-pillar Oct 4, 2026 | |
| $237.24 Oct 2, 2026 | $9.10B | 61 5-pillar Oct 4, 2026 | |
| ADT (ADT) — this page | $6.25 | $5.00B | 57 |
| $18.35 Oct 2, 2026 | $2.79B | 48 5-pillar Oct 4, 2026 |
Only 5-pillar scores are ranked together. Other models are not directly comparable. Price and score dates are shown separately; market-value dates are unavailable.
The records behind this page
Analyst targets & estimates
What analysts have on file
- Price target, low to high
- $7.50 – $7.75
- Consensus target
- $7.63
- Median target
- $7.63
Consensus record · Captured .
Measured against a quoted price of $6.25 (as of Oct 2, 2026).
Insider activity
Form 4 records via FMP · Of the newest 60 records, those within the last 180 days, newest dated Jul 7, 2026
- Transactions
- 26
- Identified insiders
- 14
- Purchases
- 5
- Sales
- 0
- Other transactions
- 21
Purchases and sales use the reported transaction category. Other transactions include awards, exercises, gifts, withholding and unclassified activity; an acquisition or disposition alone is not a purchase or sale. These records do not establish intent.
Who holds the shares?
Institutional ownership reported through 13F filings.
- Institutional ownership
- 98.4% Period end Jun 30, 2026
- Previous quarter · ownership
- 91.6% Prior to period end Jun 30, 2026
- Reporting holders
- 465 Period end Jun 30, 2026
- Previous quarter · holders
- 459 Prior to period end Jun 30, 2026
| Holders in provider snapshot | Shares |
|---|---|
| State Farm Mutual Automobile Insurance Co | 133,333,333 |
| Blackrock, INC. | 72,164,639 |
| Vanguard Portfolio Management LLC | 49,552,024 |
| Dimensional Fund Advisors LP | 43,246,525 |
| Lsv Asset Management | 31,846,158 |
Quarterly filings lag the period end. Holder rows are names in the provider snapshot, not a verified ranking; individual filing dates are not supplied. Related managers may appear separately, so these positions are not summed. Holder snapshot as of Jun 30, 2026.
What has been published about ADT (ADT)?
ADT Industrials Stock: Key Questions Answered
Research dated 2026-09-13; the answers below are from that research, and the full attribution is under Sources. The last 3 questions are answered from this page's own dated data, not from the research.
What is the greatest risk to ADT's business model?
Customer churn due to competition from lower-cost digital security providers. If residential customers shift to self-installed systems or commercial customers consolidate vendors, revenue would decline rapidly. The heavily leveraged balance sheet leaves no room for revenue deterioration.
How much debt does ADT carry?
The company has over seven billion in debt with cash near zero, meaning net debt exceeds seven billion. Debt-to-equity is over two times. The company generates enough operating cash flow to cover debt service currently, but any revenue decline could create crisis quickly.
How does ADT's operating cash flow compare to capital needs?
ADT generates substantial operating cash flow from its installed customer base and monitoring services. After deducting capital expenditures for infrastructure maintenance and technology investments, the company retains meaningful free cash flow. This cash generation supports debt service obligations and provides flexibility for reinvestment in the business. The company maintains adequate liquidity to fund operations, though growth initiatives and system upgrades require disciplined capital allocation to balance shareholder returns with strategic investments.
What would signal that ADT is stabilizing?
Stabilization would appear as flat or growing subscriber counts with stable churn rates, coupled with operating margin holding or expanding. Alongside stability, the company should announce meaningful debt reductions or refinancing at lower rates, signaling lenders' confidence in the business outlook.
What is the ADT stock price today?
The last price recorded on this page for ADT Inc. (ADT) is $6.25, as of the Oct 2, 2026 trading session (source: Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) · quote). It is a provider snapshot, not a live exchange feed, so check a brokerage quote before you trade.
What is the ADT price target?
The analyst consensus price target for ADT Inc. (ADT) is $7.63 (range $7.50 to $7.75, median $7.63), per FMP data captured Oct 4, 2026. Targets are analyst opinions and change often; they are not a Stock Expert AI forecast.
Does ADT pay a dividend?
Yes. ADT Inc. (ADT) shows a trailing 12-month dividend yield of 3.52%, as of Oct 2, 2026, in the data on this page. Payout ratio and cash-flow coverage decide whether it can last, and past dividends do not guarantee future payments.
Disclaimer: This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Always do your own research and consult a financial advisor.
Research written by Claude (claude-haiku-4-5) on 2026-09-13. AI-authored analysis; source dates are shown with each answer. Editorial oversight is systemic, not page-by-page. Editorially accountable: Sedat ANAK, Founder and Editor-in-Chief.
Sources — records for every figure on this page (81 figures)
The 81 rows below are exactly the facts the evidence-backed sections of this page printed — the 10-second verdict, the MoonshotScore, price and market value, the five questions with their receipts, and the records behind this page. Known dates and sources are recorded on their own rows; an em dash or UNRECORDED tier preserves a stored observation without inventing either. The quarterly income statement is provider-standardized (FMP) under one row, and scale definitions — a 0-100 rating, the band ladder, the Piotroski 0–9 range — are fixed rather than measured. No number in those sections was generated by a model. The register does not cover quoted third-party headlines, the dated council readings, or the Frequently Asked Questions; each of those says where it came from where it stands.
"As of" is the date the value is true for where the source carries one — a quarter end, a filing date, a price close, the day the score was computed. A cached observation with no source date remains undated; the page publication date is not used as a substitute.
OFFICIAL — 2 facts from SEC filings and earnings calls
| Fact ID | Fact | Value as shown | As of | Tier | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
prod.outlook | Management outlook — call excerpts | Jeffrey Likosar (Jul 30, 2026): While we are very pleased with our full year 2026 cash generation, we do expect higher cash taxes and cash interest in 2027. Jeffrey Likosar (Jul 30, 2026): Within the second half, we expect fourth quarter income to be somewhat higher than the third quarter due to the timing of some of these investments, seasonal dynamics, and other items. We expect revenue and cash to be similar in the third and fourth quarters. Jeffrey Likosar (Jul 30, 2026): So I would expect to continue to see higher growth in outright sales in the third and fourth quarter after which we will have largely completed the transition, so less growth in installation revenue next year. | OFFICIAL | Company earnings call, transcript via Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) — Selected verbatim statements from the latest available call, dated by the transcript provider. Management expectations, not completed milestones or guarantees. Relative dates retain the speaker's wording. | |
id.hq | SEC filing business address | Boca Raton, FL | OFFICIAL | SEC EDGAR filer business address — The SEC filer business address. Our market-data provider separately lists "1501 Yamato Road, Boca Raton, FL, 33431, US". |
FMP — 70 facts from Financial Modeling Prep endpoint families
| Fact ID | Fact | Value as shown | As of | Tier | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
earn.next | Next earnings date | Nov 3, 2026 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings calendar — The date is our provider's estimate until the company confirms it. | |
px.last | Latest provided price | $6.25 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) · quote — Dated to the US trading session the price belongs to, derived from the quote record's timestamp (weekend and pre-open reads roll back to the previous weekday; exchange holidays are not modelled). The record does not establish an exchange execution time. Retrieved 2026-10-04T00:24:30.354Z. | |
px.change | Change on the day | +0.40% | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) · quote | |
px.mcap | Market capitalisation | $5.00B | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) · quote — Date unknown Market cap record date: 2026-10-02. FMP quote timestamp: 2026-10-02T20:00:02.000Z. Captured from FMP at 2026-10-04T00:24:29.333Z. No share-count basis is inferred; this page preserves the reported amount instead of recalculating it from shares. | |
px.change_abs | Change on the day, in dollars | +$0.025 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) · quote | |
fin.q_revenue | Revenue, Q2 FY2026 | $1.31B | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) · income statement (quarterly) | |
px.range52 | 52-week range | $6.03–$8.89 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) quote | |
px.pe | Price / earnings (trailing) | 8.12 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) · quote | |
px.volume | Shares traded on the day | 5.23M | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) · quote | |
px.beta | Beta | 1.03 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) company profile | |
id.ceo | Chief executive | James David DeVries | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) key executives (proxy-derived) — Titles and pay come from the company's proxy statement as our provider parsed it. | |
id.employees | Employees | 12,200 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) employee count, from the company's filing | |
fin.annual | Revenue and net result by fiscal year | 5 fiscal years, FY2021 through FY2025: FY2021 revenue $5.31B, net result −$340.82M; FY2022 revenue $5.17B, net result $132.66M; FY2023 revenue $4.65B, net result −$166.97M; FY2024 revenue $4.90B, net result $501.05M; FY2025 revenue $5.13B, net result $595.95M | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-K income statements | |
fin.rev_mix | Reported revenue segments | Monitoring And Related Services $4.35B · Security Installation, Product And Other $774.52M | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) revenue segmentation, from the company's 10-K | |
fin.gross_margin | Gross margin (trailing twelve months) | 51.4% | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) key-metrics-ttm + ratios-ttm — A ratio our provider could not compute is absent rather than shown as zero. | |
fin.q_table.depth.2026-06-30.revenue_k | Revenue — period end 2026-06-30 | $1.31B | Period end · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-Q and 10-K income statements — Quarterly statement note |
fin.q_table.depth.2026-06-30.sga_k | SG&A — period end 2026-06-30 | $386.00M | Period end · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-Q and 10-K income statements — Quarterly statement note |
fin.q_table.depth.2026-06-30.operating_result_k | FMP standardized operating result — period end 2026-06-30 | $315.00M | Period end · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-Q and 10-K income statements — Quarterly statement note |
fin.q_table.depth.2026-03-31.revenue_k | Revenue — period end 2026-03-31 | $1.28B | Period end · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-Q and 10-K income statements — Quarterly statement note |
fin.q_table.depth.2026-03-31.sga_k | SG&A — period end 2026-03-31 | $365.00M | Period end · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-Q and 10-K income statements — Quarterly statement note |
fin.q_table.depth.2026-03-31.operating_result_k | FMP standardized operating result — period end 2026-03-31 | $326.00M | Period end · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-Q and 10-K income statements — Quarterly statement note |
fin.q_table.depth.2025-12-31.revenue_k | Revenue — period end 2025-12-31 | $1.28B | Period end · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-Q and 10-K income statements — Quarterly statement note |
fin.q_table.depth.2025-12-31.sga_k | SG&A — period end 2025-12-31 | $293.81M | Period end · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-Q and 10-K income statements — Quarterly statement note |
fin.q_table.depth.2025-12-31.operating_result_k | FMP standardized operating result — period end 2025-12-31 | $333.19M | Period end · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-Q and 10-K income statements — Quarterly statement note |
fin.q_table.depth.2025-09-30.revenue_k | Revenue — period end 2025-09-30 | $1.30B | Period end · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-Q and 10-K income statements — Quarterly statement note |
fin.q_table.depth.2025-09-30.sga_k | SG&A — period end 2025-09-30 | $320.31M | Period end · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-Q and 10-K income statements — Quarterly statement note |
fin.q_table.depth.2025-09-30.operating_result_k | FMP standardized operating result — period end 2025-09-30 | $315.07M | Period end · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-Q and 10-K income statements — Quarterly statement note |
earn.history.depth.2026-07-30.revenue_actual | Revenue · reported — report date 2026-07-30 | $1.31B | Report date · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings — Earnings-history note |
earn.history.depth.2026-07-30.revenue_estimated | Revenue · estimate — report date 2026-07-30 | $1.29B | Report date · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings — Earnings-history note |
earn.history.depth.2026-07-30.eps_actual | EPS · reported — report date 2026-07-30 | $0.2300 | Report date · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings — Earnings-history note |
earn.history.depth.2026-07-30.eps_estimated | EPS · estimate — report date 2026-07-30 | $0.2231 | Report date · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings — Earnings-history note |
earn.history.depth.2026-04-30.revenue_actual | Revenue · reported — report date 2026-04-30 | $1.28B | Report date · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings — Earnings-history note |
earn.history.depth.2026-04-30.revenue_estimated | Revenue · estimate — report date 2026-04-30 | $1.27B | Report date · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings — Earnings-history note |
earn.history.depth.2026-04-30.eps_actual | EPS · reported — report date 2026-04-30 | $0.2300 | Report date · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings — Earnings-history note |
earn.history.depth.2026-04-30.eps_estimated | EPS · estimate — report date 2026-04-30 | $0.2100 | Report date · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings — Earnings-history note |
earn.history.depth.2026-03-02.revenue_actual | Revenue · reported — report date 2026-03-02 | $1.28B | Report date · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings — Earnings-history note |
earn.history.depth.2026-03-02.revenue_estimated | Revenue · estimate — report date 2026-03-02 | $1.30B | Report date · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings — Earnings-history note |
earn.history.depth.2026-03-02.eps_actual | EPS · reported — report date 2026-03-02 | $0.2300 | Report date · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings — Earnings-history note |
earn.history.depth.2026-03-02.eps_estimated | EPS · estimate — report date 2026-03-02 | $0.2000 | Report date · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings — Earnings-history note |
earn.history.depth.2025-11-04.revenue_actual | Revenue · reported — report date 2025-11-04 | $1.30B | Report date · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings — Earnings-history note |
earn.history.depth.2025-11-04.revenue_estimated | Revenue · estimate — report date 2025-11-04 | $1.30B | Report date · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings — Earnings-history note |
earn.history.depth.2025-11-04.eps_actual | EPS · reported — report date 2025-11-04 | $0.2300 | Report date · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings — Earnings-history note |
earn.history.depth.2025-11-04.eps_estimated | EPS · estimate — report date 2025-11-04 | $0.2200 | Report date · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings — Earnings-history note |
fin.q_table | Quarterly income statement | 4 quarters through Q2 FY2026 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) · income statement (quarterly), as filed | |
fin.cash_investments | Cash and short-term investments | $4.00M | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's balance sheet — Long-term investments are shown separately; their marketability is not established by the provider field. The cash and short-term investment balance does not establish unrestricted availability. Long-term investments are excluded and remain unclassified. Restrictions on cash and short-term investments require separate review. | |
fin.opcf_latest | Latest-quarter operating cash flow | $666.45M | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-Q cash-flow statements — Period end: 2026-06-30. Negative operating cash flow means cash used. This figure is not a cash-runway estimate. | |
fin.long_term_investments | Long-term investments (classification unverified) | $0.00 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's balance sheet — Long-term investments are shown separately; their marketability is not established by the provider field. The cash and short-term investment balance does not establish unrestricted availability. | |
fin.total_debt | Total debt | $7.69B | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's balance sheet — Long-term investments are shown separately; their marketability is not established by the provider field. The cash and short-term investment balance does not establish unrestricted availability. | |
fin.price_to_book | Price to book value | 1.32× | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) key-metrics-ttm + ratios-ttm — A ratio our provider could not compute is absent rather than shown as zero. | |
fin.opcf.depth.2026-06-30.operating_cash_flow_m | Operating cash flow — period end 2026-06-30 | $666.45M | Period end · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-Q cash-flow statements — Cash-flow note |
fin.opcf.depth.2026-03-31.operating_cash_flow_m | Operating cash flow — period end 2026-03-31 | $638.00M | Period end · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-Q cash-flow statements — Cash-flow note |
fin.opcf.depth.2026-06-30.capex_m | Capital expenditure (reported) — period end 2026-06-30 | −$46.16M | Period end · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-Q cash-flow statements — Cash-flow note |
fin.opcf.depth.2026-03-31.capex_m | Capital expenditure (reported) — period end 2026-03-31 | −$49.00M | Period end · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-Q cash-flow statements — Cash-flow note |
fin.opcf.depth.2025-12-31.operating_cash_flow_m | Operating cash flow — period end 2025-12-31 | $374.42M | Period end · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-Q cash-flow statements — Cash-flow note |
fin.opcf.depth.2025-12-31.capex_m | Capital expenditure (reported) — period end 2025-12-31 | −$138.96M | Period end · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-Q cash-flow statements — Cash-flow note |
fin.opcf.depth.2025-09-30.operating_cash_flow_m | Operating cash flow — period end 2025-09-30 | $480.00M | Period end · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-Q cash-flow statements — Cash-flow note |
fin.opcf.depth.2025-09-30.capex_m | Capital expenditure (reported) — period end 2025-09-30 | −$43.00M | Period end · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-Q cash-flow statements — Cash-flow note |
earn.pt_range | Analyst price target, low to high | $7.50 – $7.75 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) · price-target consensus — Captured Oct 4, 2026 · Coverage not supplied | |
earn.pt_consensus | Consensus analyst price target | $7.63 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) · price-target consensus — Captured Oct 4, 2026 · Coverage not supplied | |
earn.pt_median | Median analyst price target | $7.63 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) · price-target consensus — Captured Oct 4, 2026 · Coverage not supplied | |
own.insiders | Insider transactions via FMP | 26 transactions · 5 purchases, 0 sales, 21 other transactions · 14 identified insiders · of the newest 60 records, those within the last 180 days, newest dated Jul 7, 2026 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), carrying Form 4 transaction records — Purchases and sales use the reported transaction category. Other transactions include awards, exercises, gifts, withholding and unclassified activity; an acquisition or disposition alone is not a purchase or sale. These records do not establish intent. | |
own.institutions.depth.ownership_pct | Institutional ownership | 98.4% | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) institutional ownership summary, from 13F filings — 13F filings are quarterly and lag the quarter end by up to 45 days. Period end Jun 30, 2026 | |
own.institutions.depth.ownership_pct_previous_quarter | Previous quarter · ownership | 91.6% | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) institutional ownership summary, from 13F filings — 13F filings are quarterly and lag the quarter end by up to 45 days. Prior to period end Jun 30, 2026 | |
own.institutions.depth.holders | Reporting holders | 465 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) institutional ownership summary, from 13F filings — 13F filings are quarterly and lag the quarter end by up to 45 days. Period end Jun 30, 2026 | |
own.institutions.depth.holders_previous_quarter | Previous quarter · holders | 459 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) institutional ownership summary, from 13F filings — 13F filings are quarterly and lag the quarter end by up to 45 days. Prior to period end Jun 30, 2026 | |
own.top_holders.depth.holder_0.shares | State Farm Mutual Automobile Insurance Co — shares in provider snapshot | 133,333,333 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) institutional holders, from 13F filings — Provider snapshot as of 2026-06-30; individual filing date not supplied. | |
own.top_holders.depth.holder_1.shares | Blackrock, INC. — shares in provider snapshot | 72,164,639 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) institutional holders, from 13F filings — Provider snapshot as of 2026-06-30; individual filing date not supplied. | |
own.top_holders.depth.holder_2.shares | Vanguard Portfolio Management LLC — shares in provider snapshot | 49,552,024 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) institutional holders, from 13F filings — Provider snapshot as of 2026-06-30; individual filing date not supplied. | |
own.top_holders.depth.holder_3.shares | Dimensional Fund Advisors LP — shares in provider snapshot | 43,246,525 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) institutional holders, from 13F filings — Provider snapshot as of 2026-06-30; individual filing date not supplied. | |
own.top_holders.depth.holder_4.shares | Lsv Asset Management — shares in provider snapshot | 31,846,158 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) institutional holders, from 13F filings — Provider snapshot as of 2026-06-30; individual filing date not supplied. |
UNRECORDED — 2 facts from stored observations whose source was not recorded
| Fact ID | Fact | Value as shown | As of | Tier | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
earn.history | Reported versus estimated, recent quarters | EPS beat 8 of 8 | UNRECORDED | Stored earnings-history observation — Captured 2026-08-23 · Expired observation | |
fin.scores | Distress and quality screens | Altman Z 0.57 · Piotroski F 8 | UNRECORDED | Stored financial-scores observation — Captured 2026-10-04 |
COMPUTED — 5 facts from our arithmetic, formula restated
| Fact ID | Fact | Value as shown | As of | Tier | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
fin.mcap_to_cash | Market value per dollar of cash and short-term investments | 1250.00× | — | COMPUTED | Computed on this page from the figures above — The market capitalisation printed on this page divided by cash and short-term investments of $4.00M at Jun 30, 2026. Long-term investments are excluded and remain unclassified. Restrictions on cash and short-term investments require separate review. Market cap record date: 2026-10-02. Balance-sheet reference date: 2026-06-30. The inputs do not establish a single common source date for this ratio. |
div.ttm_per_share | Dividends per share, last 12 months (split-adjusted) | $0.22 | COMPUTED | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) split-adjusted dividend history — Sum of 4 split-adjusted declared dividends with an ex-date in the 365 days to 2026-10-03, per current share. Ex-dates are not payment dates; special dividends are included. Not a declared annual rate. | |
div.ttm_yield | Dividend yield, last 12 months | 3.52% | COMPUTED | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) split-adjusted dividend history and quote — Split-adjusted dividends with ex-dates in the trailing 365-day window divided by the packet price, on the same current-share basis. Price date follows the quote, latest price bar or packet-build day when unstamped. Not a forecast or declared annual rate. | |
earn.history.depth.2026-07-30.revenue_actual.comparison | Latest report · revenue vs estimate | Above estimate | Report date · | COMPUTED | Computed from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings — Earnings-history note — Method: compare reported revenue ($1.31B) with the recorded estimate ($1.29B) at displayed precision. Equal displayed values are in line. This compares reported results with recorded estimates, not investment returns. |
earn.history.depth.2026-07-30.eps_actual.comparison | Latest report · EPS vs estimate | Above estimate | Report date · | COMPUTED | Computed from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings — Earnings-history note — Method: compare reported EPS ($0.2300) with the recorded estimate ($0.2231) at displayed precision. Equal displayed values are in line. This compares reported results with recorded estimates, not investment returns. |
OURS — 2 facts from Stock Expert AI's own score and rank
| Fact ID | Fact | Value as shown | As of | Tier | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
ours.moonshot | MoonshotScore v2 | 57 of 100 · Fair · pillars 87 / 31 / 97 / 53 / 43 | OURS | Stock Expert AI MoonshotScore v2 engine | |
ours.moonshot_change | MoonshotScore movement | 57 (stored snapshot Oct 3, 2026) → 57 (current publication computed Oct 4, 2026) (0) | OURS | Stock Expert AI current score publication and immutable score snapshots — The current score publication is not yet represented in the immutable snapshot archive. |
Fact-family notes
- Quarterly statement note. Source series as of 2026-06-30. USD. The operating result is the FMP-standardized value supplied by FMP; it may differ from a filing’s GAAP loss from operations when the provider classifies separately presented items differently. It is not net income or cash flow. Applies to Fact IDs:
fin.q_table.depth.2026-06-30.revenue_k,fin.q_table.depth.2026-06-30.sga_k,fin.q_table.depth.2026-06-30.operating_result_k,fin.q_table.depth.2026-03-31.revenue_k,fin.q_table.depth.2026-03-31.sga_k,fin.q_table.depth.2026-03-31.operating_result_k,fin.q_table.depth.2025-12-31.revenue_k,fin.q_table.depth.2025-12-31.sga_k,fin.q_table.depth.2025-12-31.operating_result_k,fin.q_table.depth.2025-09-30.revenue_k,fin.q_table.depth.2025-09-30.sga_k,fin.q_table.depth.2025-09-30.operating_result_k. - Earnings-history note. Source series as of 2026-07-30. Dates are report dates, not fiscal period ends. Revenue is in USD; EPS is USD per share, rounded to four decimals. The earnings feed does not establish a basic, diluted or adjusted basis. Earnings-feed EPS may differ from statement EPS; the two series are not combined. Applies to Fact IDs:
earn.history.depth.2026-07-30.revenue_actual,earn.history.depth.2026-07-30.revenue_estimated,earn.history.depth.2026-07-30.revenue_actual.comparison,earn.history.depth.2026-07-30.eps_actual.comparison,earn.history.depth.2026-07-30.eps_actual,earn.history.depth.2026-07-30.eps_estimated,earn.history.depth.2026-04-30.revenue_actual,earn.history.depth.2026-04-30.revenue_estimated,earn.history.depth.2026-04-30.eps_actual,earn.history.depth.2026-04-30.eps_estimated,earn.history.depth.2026-03-02.revenue_actual,earn.history.depth.2026-03-02.revenue_estimated,earn.history.depth.2026-03-02.eps_actual,earn.history.depth.2026-03-02.eps_estimated,earn.history.depth.2025-11-04.revenue_actual,earn.history.depth.2025-11-04.revenue_estimated,earn.history.depth.2025-11-04.eps_actual,earn.history.depth.2025-11-04.eps_estimated. - Cash-flow note. Source series as of 2026-06-30. USD. Negative operating cash flow means cash used. Capital expenditure keeps the provider’s reported sign; it is not added here to estimate free cash flow or runway. Applies to Fact IDs:
fin.opcf.depth.2026-06-30.operating_cash_flow_m,fin.opcf.depth.2026-03-31.operating_cash_flow_m,fin.opcf.depth.2026-06-30.capex_m,fin.opcf.depth.2026-03-31.capex_m,fin.opcf.depth.2025-12-31.operating_cash_flow_m,fin.opcf.depth.2025-12-31.capex_m,fin.opcf.depth.2025-09-30.operating_cash_flow_m,fin.opcf.depth.2025-09-30.capex_m.
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Sources used for research written 2026-09-13
Historical evidence preserved with this analysis. Current figures are listed separately above.
| Evidence | Captured value | Source date | Source type | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Business description | Headquartered in Boca Raton, Florida, ADT Inc. has been a leading provider of security, automation, and smart home solutions for consumers and businesses throughout the United States since its founding in 1874. The company delivers a broad spectrum of services, including fire detection and suppression, video surveillance, and access control systems, tailored for residential, commercial, and multi-site clients. At its core, ADT offers expertly installed and continuously monitored security and premises automation systems. These advanced systems are engineered to detect intrusions, manage property access, sense movement, and monitor environmental hazards such as smoke, fire, carbon monoxide, flooding, and temperature fluctuations, while also addressing personal emergencies like injuries or medical incidents. Furthermore, ADT provides interactive smart home capabilities, empowering customers to remotely arm/disarm systems, adjust thermostats and lighting, view live video feeds, and create custom automated schedules for various connected devices via smartphones, tablets, or laptops. The company supports these offerings with ongoing monitoring and maintenance. Operating under brand names like ADT, ADT Pulse, Protection 1, ADT Commercial, and Blue by ADT, ADT Inc. manages an extensive infrastructure, including approximately 250 sales and service offices, three regional distribution centers, and 17 support locations that house nine UL-listed monitoring centers and four national sales centers. The company adopted its current name, ADT Inc., in September 2017, having previously been known as Prime Security Services Parent, Inc. | 2026-09-13 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) company profile |
| Revenue by segment | Monitoring And Related Services: $4.35B; Security Installation, Product And Other: $774.52M | 2025-12-31 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) revenue segmentation, from the company's 10-K |
| Annual revenue and net result (USD millions) | Captured record · 5 entries
| 2025-12-31 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-K income statements |
| Quarterly income statement (USD thousands) | Captured record · 8 entries
| 2026-06-30 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-Q and 10-K income statements |
| Trailing twelve-month ratio set | Quick ratio: 0.52; Current ratio: 0.69; Debt to equity: 2.21; Net margin: 12%; Gross margin: 51.4%; Operating margin: 25%; Return on assets: 3.9%; Return on equity: 16.8% Price-based multiples captured at research time are not repeated here; the page shows each once, from current figures with their own dates. A ratio our provider could not compute is absent rather than shown as zero. | 2026-09-13 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) key-metrics-ttm + ratios-ttm |
| Operating cash flow by quarter (USD millions) | Captured record · 8 entries
| 2026-06-30 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-Q cash-flow statements |
| Management outlook — dated call excerpts | Captured record · 3 entries
Selected verbatim statements from the latest available call, dated by the transcript provider. Management expectations, not completed milestones or guarantees. Relative dates retain the speaker's wording. | 2026-07-30 | OFFICIAL | Company earnings call, transcript via Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) |
| Reported versus estimated, last 8 quarters | Captured record · 8 entries
| 2026-07-30 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings |
| Cash, investments and debt | Total debt: $7.69B; Liquidity basis: cash and short-term investments; Total liabilities: $12.26B; Cash and short-term investments: $4.00M; Cash and investments: $4.00M; Long-term investments: $0; Long-term investments classification: unclassified Long-term investments are shown separately; their marketability is not established by the provider field. The cash and short-term investment balance does not establish unrestricted availability. | 2026-06-30 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's balance sheet |
| Cash against market value | As of: 2026-06-30; Cash basis: cash and short-term investments; Net cash: -$7.68B; Total debt: $7.69B; Cash and investments: $4.00M Price-based multiples captured at research time are not repeated here; the page shows each once, from current figures with their own dates. Cash is the latest reported cash and short-term investment balance; long-term investments are excluded. Market capitalization is the latest provider value.; The reported balance does not establish unrestricted availability or liquidation value.; The two are measured on different dates — the balance sheet is a quarter-end, the market cap is a recent close.; Debt is total debt as reported, including operating lease liabilities where the filer includes them. | 2026-06-30 | COMPUTED | Computed from the balance sheet and the latest market capitalization |
| Cash decline over the reported window | To: 2026-06-30; From: 2024-09-30; Periods: 7; Cash basis: cash and short-term investments; Closing balance: $4.00M; Decline: $91.30M; Opening balance: $95.30M; Average change per period: $13.00M Change in cash, cash equivalents and short-term investments between the 2024-09-30 and 2026-06-30 balance sheets.; This is a balance change, not operating burn: financing and investing move it too.; Averaged over 7 reporting periods of unequal length. | 2026-06-30 | COMPUTED | Computed from reported balances |
| Next earnings report | Date: 2026-11-03; EPS estimate: $0.24 per share; Revenue estimate: $1.32B The date is our provider's estimate until the company confirms it. | 2026-09-13 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings calendar |
| Cash and short-term investments over time (USD millions) | Captured record · 8 entries
| 2026-06-30 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's quarterly balance sheets |
Data provided for informational purposes only.