Heritage Insurance Holdings, Inc. (HRTG) Stock Analysis
Educational signal · not a buy or sell recommendation · How to read this
P/E 4.90 means the share price is 4.90 times one year of earnings per share; the S&P 500 usually sits near 20-25. Market cap $1.04B is the value of all shares combined. Beta 0.95: the stock has moved about 5% less than the S&P 500.
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice. Machine-generated analysis by Stock Expert AI — model gpt-4o-mini, generated May 10, 2026. Editorial oversight is systemic, not page-by-page. Editorially accountable: Sedat ANAK, Founder and Editor-in-Chief. Data sources: Financial Modeling Prep, Yahoo Finance, SEC EDGAR
Quick AnswerHeritage Insurance Holdings, Inc. (HRTG) trades at $34.37 with MoonshotScore 97/100 (Grade A+). Market cap: $1.04B, Sector: Financial services.
Price as of Sep 10, 2026 · Last analyzed: May 10, 2026HRTG stock analysis for 2026: Analysts have set a consensus price target of $36.50 for Heritage Insurance Holdings, Inc., suggesting 6.2% upside from the current price of $34.37. The AI MoonshotScore is 97/100, in the Exceptional band (80-100) — a research signal, not a recommendation. Key factors: analyst coverage, AI-driven quantitative scoring.
These figures come from statements filed 12 months ago — the most recent this company has published.
HRTG: 3/3 scored disciplines lean bullish. Dominant signal: Business Quality strong.
How is this calculated? →Strongest side: Business Quality (10/10, Strong). Weakest side: Financial Safety (4/10, Neutral).
AI simulations built from the named investors' published principles. Not affiliated with, endorsed by, or the opinion of these individuals. How these lenses are built
Why this analysis is different
- A sector-relative MoonshotScore — five pillars (business quality, financial safety, valuation, growth durability, momentum) re-ranked nightly against the full universe of US-listed common stocks.
- An AI Council read across up to eight perspectives — value, macro, quantitative, and momentum lenses — that shows where they disagree instead of averaging the tension away.
- Figures come straight from FMP and Yahoo Finance filings data. The AI writes the narrative around the numbers — it never edits the numbers.
Heritage Insurance Holdings, Inc. (HRTG) Financial Services Profile
Heritage Insurance Holdings, Inc. is a prominent player in the property and casualty insurance sector, offering a diverse range of personal and commercial insurance products across multiple states, supported by a robust network of independent agents.
What Is the Investment Thesis for HRTG?
The company's P/E ratio of 4.90 indicates potential undervaluation compared to industry standards, suggesting room for growth. Heritage's expansion into multiple states and its diverse product offerings position it well to capitalize on the growing demand for residential insurance, particularly in regions prone to natural disasters. The company's ongoing efforts to enhance its digital capabilities and streamline operations could further bolster profitability. However, investors should remain cautious of potential risks, including regulatory changes and market competition, which could impact growth prospects.
Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis
HRTG Key Highlights
Market capitalization of $1.04B reflects a solid valuation in the property insurance sector.
- P/E ratio of 4.90 indicates potential undervaluation compared to industry averages.
- Profit margin of 26.0% showcases effective cost management and operational efficiency.
- Gross margin of 35.6% exceeds many competitors, highlighting strong pricing power.
- Stable beta of 0.95 suggests lower volatility compared to the broader market.
Who Are HRTG's Competitors?
HRTG is benchmarked below against 8 industry peers on price, market cap, and our AI MoonshotScore.
| Company | Price | Change | Market Cap | MoonshotScore |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CNA CNA Financial Corporation | $47.39 | -0.80% | $12.8B | 695-pillar |
| TRV The Travelers Companies, Inc. | $367.56 | +0.19% | $76.7B | 985-pillar |
| AIG American International Group, Inc. | $75.03 | -0.23% | $39.8B | 685-pillar |
| BOW Bowhead Specialty Holdings Inc. | $33.62 | -0.06% | $1.10B | 925-pillar |
| UVE Universal Insurance Holdings, Inc. | $43.76 | +0.44% | $1.22B | 985-pillar |
| ASIC Ategrity Specialty Holdings LLC | $27.15 | +0.07% | $1.30B | 975-pillar |
| MHLA Maiden Holdings Ltd. | $9.60 | -3.61% | $832M | — |
| DGICB Donegal Group Inc. | $25.57 | +3.31% | $830M | 955-pillar |
AI Score by Stock Expert AI · Price data: FMP / Yahoo Finance
What Are HRTG's Key Strengths?
Strong profit margins and operational efficiency.
- Diverse product offerings across personal and commercial lines.
- Established distribution network with independent agents.
- Geographic diversification reduces risk exposure.
What Are HRTG's Weaknesses?
Limited brand recognition compared to larger competitors.
- Dependence on specific geographic markets for revenue.
- No dividend payments may deter income-focused investors.
- Potential vulnerability to regulatory changes in the insurance industry.
What Could Drive HRTG Stock Higher?
Expansion into additional states to enhance market reach and revenue potential.
- Implementation of digital transformation initiatives to improve customer experience.
- Development of specialized insurance products to meet growing demand in disaster-prone areas.
What Are the Key Risks for HRTG?
Insider selling — insiders were net sellers of roughly $5.3M recently.
- Regulatory changes that could impact pricing strategies and operational flexibility.
- Intense competition from larger, more established insurance providers.
- Economic downturns that may reduce consumer spending on insurance products.
What Are the Growth Opportunities for HRTG?
- Growth opportunity 1: Expansion into new states represents a significant growth driver for Heritage Insurance Holdings, Inc. The U.S. residential insurance market is projected to reach $150 billion by 2027, with increasing demand in states like Texas and California. By leveraging its existing distribution networks and expertise, Heritage can effectively penetrate these markets, enhancing its revenue streams and market presence.
- Growth opportunity 2: The increasing trend towards digital insurance solutions presents a unique opportunity for Heritage. As consumers increasingly prefer online platforms for purchasing insurance, Heritage can invest in technology to streamline the customer experience.
- Growth opportunity 3: The rising frequency of natural disasters due to climate change is driving demand for specialized insurance products. Heritage's focus on wind-only insurance and restoration services positions it favorably to meet this demand. The market for disaster-related insurance is expected to grow by 10% annually, providing Heritage with a robust avenue for expansion.
- Growth opportunity 4: Strategic partnerships with technology firms can enhance Heritage's operational efficiency and customer engagement. Collaborating with insurtech companies can facilitate innovative product offerings and improve claims processing times. This approach not only enhances customer satisfaction but also positions Heritage as a forward-thinking player in the insurance sector.
- Growth opportunity 5: Diversification of product offerings, including commercial insurance, can significantly boost Heritage's revenue potential. The commercial insurance market is projected to grow by 8% annually, driven by increasing business formations and the need for property coverage. By expanding its commercial insurance portfolio, Heritage can tap into this lucrative segment and enhance overall profitability.
What Threats Does HRTG Face?
- Intense competition from larger, established insurers.
- Economic downturns affecting consumer spending on insurance.
- Regulatory changes impacting pricing and operations.
- Natural disasters leading to increased claims and potential losses.
What Are HRTG's Competitive Advantages?
- Strong network of independent agents enhances distribution capabilities.
- Established presence in multiple states provides geographic diversification.
- Specialization in wind-only insurance products caters to specific market needs.
- Robust profit margins indicate effective cost management and pricing power.
- Commitment to customer service fosters loyalty and repeat business.
What Does HRTG Do?
Founded in 2012 and headquartered in Tampa, Florida, Heritage Insurance Holdings, Inc. has rapidly established itself as a key provider of personal and commercial residential insurance products in the United States. The company offers a comprehensive suite of insurance solutions, including personal residential property insurance for single-family homeowners and condominium owners, as well as rental property insurance. Heritage operates in several states, including Alabama, California, Connecticut, Delaware, Florida, Georgia, Hawaii, Maryland, Massachusetts, Mississippi, New Jersey, New York, North Carolina, Rhode Island, South Carolina, and Virginia. Additionally, the company provides commercial residential insurance in Florida, New Jersey, and New York, and is licensed to operate in Pennsylvania. Heritage also offers specialized products such as wind-only property insurance, restoration services, and emergency recovery services, enhancing its service portfolio. The company’s business model relies on a network of retail independent agents, wholesale agents, and partnerships with direct agencies, allowing it to write personal line policies through approximately 1,500 retail locations via eight wholesale agency relationships. Heritage's commitment to providing quality insurance solutions has positioned it as a competitive player in the property and casualty insurance market, with a focus on customer service and operational efficiency.
What Products and Services Does HRTG Offer?
- Provide personal residential property insurance for homeowners and condominium owners.
- Offer rental property insurance across multiple states.
- Deliver commercial residential insurance in Florida, New Jersey, and New York.
- Licensed to offer personal residential and wind-only property insurance.
- Provide restoration and emergency recovery services.
- Engage in property management and reinsurance services.
How Does HRTG Make Money?
- Revenue generated through the sale of personal and commercial insurance policies.
- Utilizes a network of independent agents and direct partnerships to distribute products.
- Offers specialized insurance products to meet diverse customer needs.
- Engages in restoration services, generating additional revenue streams.
- Operates in multiple states to diversify risk and enhance market reach.
What Industry Does HRTG Operate In?
The property and casualty insurance industry is experiencing significant growth, driven by increasing demand for residential insurance products due to rising homeownership rates and the need for disaster coverage. The market is projected to expand as consumers seek comprehensive insurance solutions in response to climate-related risks. Heritage Insurance Holdings, Inc. operates in a competitive landscape, facing rivals that include both large national insurers and regional players. With its focus on personal and commercial residential insurance, Heritage is well-positioned to capture market share in states with high insurance needs, particularly in areas vulnerable to natural disasters.
Who Are HRTG's Key Customers?
- Homeowners seeking property insurance for single-family homes and condos.
- Landlords requiring rental property insurance.
- Commercial property owners in need of residential insurance solutions.
- Independent agents and agencies facilitating insurance sales.
- Consumers looking for specialized wind-only insurance products.
Research confidence
Broad, current evidence sits behind this analysis.
- ● Scored on 100% of our measures
- ● Price is current
- ● Latest filing 35 days ago
- ● Covered by analysts
Why 97?
Measured against companies in the same sector. The figures below are the factor contributions the scoring engine itself produced.
What is helping
- +0.78 Return on equity (Business Quality)
- +0.78 Return on assets (Business Quality)
- +0.78 Free cash flow yield (Business Quality)
What is holding it back
- -0.48 5-year revenue per share (Growth)
- -0.18 Volatility vs the market (Financial Strength)
- -0.15 Price to book (Valuation)
Contribution = how far the company sits from its sector on that measure, weighted by how much the pillar counts. Not investment advice. How the score is built →
MoonshotScore History
Recorded daily since 2026-08-23 · 19 snapshots
| 2026-08-23 | 97 |
| 2026-08-26 | 97 |
| 2026-08-29 | 97 |
| 2026-09-01 | 97 |
| 2026-09-04 | 97 |
| 2026-09-07 | 97 |
| 2026-09-10 | 97 |
What changed?
The score has stayed at 97.
What moved it up or down:
- -11 Growth
- -1 Financial Strength
Over the same 18 days the stock moved +1.6%.
Heritage Insurance Holdings, Inc. Financial Trajectory
Heritage Insurance Holdings, Inc. (HRTG) reported $214.2M in revenue for Q2 FY2026, reflecting 0.7% growth compared to the prior quarter. The company recorded net income of $61.7M, with diluted EPS of $2.05. Revenue has increased across the last three reported quarters, suggesting sustained momentum for this small-cap Financial Services company. Across the four most recent quarters, HRTG averaged $1.76 in diluted EPS.
Company Profile
Heritage Insurance Holdings, Inc. operates in the Insurance - Property & Casualty industry within the Financial Services sector. It is headquartered in Tampa, US. The company is led by CEO Ernesto Jose Garateix. HRTG has traded publicly since 2014.
How Heritage Insurance Holdings, Inc. Is Valued
Heritage Insurance Holdings, Inc. carries a market capitalization of $1.04B, placing it in the small-cap category. Analyst price targets span from $31.00 to $42.00, with a consensus of $36.50. At the current price of $34.37, that implies approximately 6% upside potential. Relative to its peer group, HRTG's quantitative score of 97/100 is roughly in line with the peer average of 88/100.
Key Financial Metrics
Return on equity for Heritage Insurance Holdings, Inc. stands at 43.7%, a gauge of how efficiently it converts shareholder capital into profit. Return on assets is 10.0%, showing how much profit it generates from its asset base. HRTG trades at a trailing price-to-earnings ratio of 4.90, below the Financial Services sector average of ~17.50x. Its free cash flow yield is 22.2%, a gauge of the cash the business throws off relative to its market value. A current ratio of 0.81 means current liabilities exceed short-term assets, a liquidity point worth watching. Its earnings yield is 22.0%, the inverse of the P/E and a quick read on earnings relative to price.
Financial Health
Heritage Insurance Holdings, Inc.'s Piotroski F-Score is 7/9, a 9-point checklist of profitability, leverage and efficiency — signaling solid underlying fundamentals. Its Altman Z-Score of 1.97 places it in the grey zone, a middle ground that warrants monitoring.
Earnings Track Record
Heritage Insurance Holdings, Inc. has beaten Wall Street's EPS estimate in 6 of its last 8 reported quarters — a consistent record of delivering on expectations. Reported results have landed about 85.9% above estimates on average.
Insider Activity
Over the past six months, Heritage Insurance Holdings, Inc. insiders filed 30 SEC Form 4 transactions — 23 sales and 7 purchases. On net that is roughly 180K shares disposed (about $5.3M), a signal worth weighing alongside the fundamentals.
HRTG Financials
Fundamental Snapshot
Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis · FY 2025
Bull Case vs Bear Case
Bull Case
- Strong profit margins and operational efficiency.
- Diverse product offerings across personal and commercial lines.
- Established distribution network with independent agents.
- Geographic diversification reduces risk exposure.
Bear Case
- Limited brand recognition compared to larger competitors.
- Dependence on specific geographic markets for revenue.
- No dividend payments may deter income-focused investors.
- Potential vulnerability to regulatory changes in the insurance industry.
AI-generated arguments based on insider flow, news sentiment and technicals — not financial advice · September 2026
Recent Quarterly Results
| Quarter | Revenue | Net Income | EPS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 FY2026 | $214M | $62M | $2.05 |
| Q1 FY2026 | $213M | $36M | $1.19 |
| Q4 FY2025 | $142M | $67M | $2.15 |
| Q3 FY2025 | $212M | $50M | $1.63 |
Q2 FY2026 · filed 7 Aug 2026 · SEC EDGAR →
Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis
HRTG Latest News
-
New Strong Buy Stocks for September 8th
zacks.com · Sep 8, 2026
-
Heritage Insurance (HRTG) Is Up 0.06% in One Week: What You Should Know
Yahoo! Finance: HRTG News · Aug 31, 2026
-
Heritage Insurance (HRTG) Is Up 0.06% in One Week: What You Should Know
Zacks · Aug 31, 2026
-
Heritage Insurance (HRTG) Is Up 0.06% in One Week: What You Should Know
zacks.com · Aug 31, 2026
HRTG Analyst Consensus
Consensus Rating
Aggregated Buy/Hold/Sell recommendations collected by Financial Modeling Prep for HRTG.
Price Targets
Median: $36.50 (+6.2% from current price)
Source: FMP analyst consensus · as of Aug 25, 2026 · an estimate, not advice
HRTG MoonshotScore
What does this score mean?
MoonshotScore is Stock Expert AI's proprietary 0-100 research rating, not a buy or sell recommendation. HRTG scores 97/100 (Grade A+): the number comes from the five-pillar engine (business quality, financial safety, valuation, growth durability, momentum), re-ranked daily against sector peers.
Latest News
New Strong Buy Stocks for September 8th
Heritage Insurance (HRTG) Is Up 0.06% in One Week: What You Should Know
Heritage Insurance (HRTG) Is Up 0.06% in One Week: What You Should Know
Heritage Insurance (HRTG) Is Up 0.06% in One Week: What You Should Know
Leadership: Ernesto Jose Garateix
CEO
Ernesto Jose Garateix has a robust background in the insurance industry, having held various leadership roles prior to his tenure at Heritage Insurance Holdings, Inc. He possesses extensive experience in operational management and strategic planning, which has been instrumental in driving the company's growth since its inception. Garateix holds a degree in Business Administration, equipping him with the skills necessary to navigate the complexities of the insurance market.
Track Record: Under Garateix's leadership, Heritage has expanded its market presence significantly, increasing its geographic footprint and diversifying its product offerings. His strategic focus on operational efficiency has resulted in improved profit margins and a stronger competitive position in the industry.
Heritage Insurance Holdings, Inc. Financial Services Stock: Key Questions Answered
What does the AI Score mean for HRTG?
HRTG holds an AI Score of 97/100 (Grade: A+). This is an educational research signal, not a buy or sell recommendation. The number comes from the five-pillar engine (business quality, financial safety, valuation, growth durability, momentum), re-ranked daily against sector peers.
Is HRTG a good stock?
Stock Expert AI does not rate HRTG buy, sell or hold. Heritage Insurance Holdings, Inc. carries a MoonshotScore of 97/100 on the five-pillar engine, a research rating against its peers. Whether it fits is your call: check what it sells, whether it earns, what the price assumes, and what would prove you wrong.
What do analysts say about HRTG stock?
Analysts generally view HRTG stock as undervalued based on its P/E ratio of 4.90, which is significantly lower than the industry average.
What are the key factors to evaluate for HRTG?
Heritage Insurance Holdings, Inc. (HRTG) holds an AI score of 97/100 (high). P/E: 4.90x vs the S&P 500's ~20-25x. Analysts target $36.50 (+6%). Not financial advice.
How frequently does HRTG data refresh on this page?
HRTG's price was last updated on Sep 10, 2026 and refreshes on page view during U.S. market hours; the quote is a provider snapshot, not an exchange feed. Fundamentals update after quarterly filings; the MoonshotScore recalculates nightly; news aggregates continuously.
What has driven HRTG's recent stock price performance?
Heritage Insurance Holdings, Inc. (HRTG) moves on earnings results, analyst revisions, sector rotation, and market sentiment. Notable catalyst: Strong profit margins and operational efficiency. See the News tab for the latest drivers. Past performance does not predict future results.
Should investors consider HRTG overvalued or undervalued right now?
Heritage Insurance Holdings, Inc. (HRTG) trades at 4.90x earnings. Analysts target $36.50 (+6%) — near fair value. Compare P/E, P/S, and EV/EBITDA against sector peers for a full view.
Can I buy fractional shares of HRTG?
Yes, most major brokerages offer fractional shares of Heritage Insurance Holdings, Inc. (HRTG) with no minimum purchase requirement. This means you can invest any dollar amount regardless of the share price. Check your brokerage platform for specific terms, fees, and fractional share availability.
How can I track HRTG's earnings and financial reports?
Heritage Insurance Holdings, Inc. (HRTG) reports quarterly earnings approximately 4-6 weeks after each fiscal quarter ends. You can track earnings dates, revenue and EPS estimates, and actual results on this page's Financials tab. Earnings surprises (beats or misses) often cause significant short-term price moves. Your brokerage can send alerts for HRTG earnings announcements.
Disclaimer: This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Always do your own research and consult a financial advisor.
Official Resources
Data provided for informational purposes only.
- Data sourced from company profile and financial metrics.