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Heritage Insurance Holdings, Inc. (HRTG)

$27.11 $-0.01 (-0.02%) |Exceptional · 96
Signals are mixed — the Council read leans STRONG BUY (80/100) while the AI fundamental score is 96/100 (grade A+); the two lenses disagree, so weigh the breakdown below. Strongest signal: Seth Klarman bullish · Biggest watch-out: Ken Griffin bearish.
MCap: $822.94M| P/E Ratio: 3.5| Vol: 108.0K| Target: $39.00 (+43.8%)| 52-wk range: $16.82 – $31.98
Data from FMP · Methodology

For informational purposes only. Not financial advice. Analysis by Sedat ANAK, Founder & Editor-in-Chief | AI-powered analysis. Data sourced from SEC filings and institutional-grade financial providers. Editorially reviewed. Not financial advice.

Heritage Insurance Holdings, Inc. (HRTG) trades at $27.11 with AI Score 96/100 (Grade A+). Heritage Insurance Holdings, Inc. specializes in providing personal and commercial residential insurance products across multiple states in the U. S. Market cap: $822.94M, Sector: Financial services.

Price live · AI analysis from May 10, 2026
Heritage Insurance Holdings, Inc. specializes in providing personal and commercial residential insurance products across multiple states in the U.S. The company operates through a network of independent agents and has established a significant market presence since its founding in 2012.

HRTG stock analysis for 2026: Analysts have set a consensus price target of $39.00 for Heritage Insurance Holdings, Inc., suggesting 43.8% upside from the current price of $27.11. The AI MoonshotScore is 96/100, indicating a strong bullish outlook. Key factors: analyst coverage, AI-driven quantitative scoring.

Council Score · Weighted Average of 3 Disciplines
STRONG BUY 80/100 · A+

HRTG: 4/7 perspectives are bullish. Dominant signal: Seth Klarman bullish.

How is this calculated? →
Legends Council · 5 Legends + Moon AI
Ray Dalio
Bullish
Ken Griffin
Bearish
Jim Simons
Neutral
Izzy Englander
Neutral
Seth Klarman
Bullish
Moon AI
Bullish
Council Score · 8 perspectives · See tabs for details →

Heritage Insurance Holdings, Inc. (HRTG) Financial Services Profile

CEOErnesto Jose Garateix
Employees540
HeadquartersTampa, FL, US
IPO Year2014

Heritage Insurance Holdings, Inc. is a prominent player in the property and casualty insurance sector, offering a diverse range of personal and commercial insurance products across multiple states, supported by a robust network of independent agents.

Data Provenance | Financial Data Quantitative Analysis NASDAQ Analysis: May 10, 2026

What Is the Investment Thesis for HRTG?

Heritage Insurance Holdings, Inc. presents a compelling investment thesis driven by its strong profit margins, with a profit margin of 26.0% and a gross margin of 35.6%, significantly higher than many peers in the industry. The company's P/E ratio of 3.5 indicates potential undervaluation compared to industry standards, suggesting room for growth. Heritage's expansion into multiple states and its diverse product offerings position it well to capitalize on the growing demand for residential insurance, particularly in regions prone to natural disasters. The company's ongoing efforts to enhance its digital capabilities and streamline operations could further bolster profitability. However, investors should remain cautious of potential risks, including regulatory changes and market competition, which could impact growth prospects.

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis

HRTG Key Highlights

  • Market capitalization of $822.94M reflects a solid valuation in the property insurance sector.
  • P/E ratio of 3.5 indicates potential undervaluation compared to industry averages.
  • Profit margin of 26.0% showcases effective cost management and operational efficiency.
  • Gross margin of 35.6% exceeds many competitors, highlighting strong pricing power.
  • Stable beta of 0.95 suggests lower volatility compared to the broader market.

Who Are HRTG's Competitors?

HRTG is benchmarked below against 8 industry peers on price, market cap, and our AI MoonshotScore.

Company Price Change Market Cap AI Score
CNA CNA Financial Corporation $51.20 +0.05% $13.85B 90
TRV The Travelers Companies, Inc. $337.96 -1.27% $71.87B 98
AIG American International Group, I $80.48 +1.37% $42.67B 68
BZLYF Beazley plc $17.30 +0.00% $10.23B 70
DIISY Direct Line Insurance Group plc $18.00 +15.16% $5.85B 66
SKWD Skyward Specialty Insurance Group, Inc. $59.63 -2.91% $2.42B 64
AII American Integrity Insurance Group, Inc. $18.89 -2.00% $369.97M 63
HCXLF Hiscox Ltd $24.93 +3.81% $7.98B 62

AI Score by Stock Expert AI · Price data: FMP / Yahoo Finance

What Are HRTG's Key Strengths?

  • Strong profit margins and operational efficiency.
  • Diverse product offerings across personal and commercial lines.
  • Established distribution network with independent agents.
  • Geographic diversification reduces risk exposure.

What Are HRTG's Weaknesses?

  • Limited brand recognition compared to larger competitors.
  • Dependence on specific geographic markets for revenue.
  • No dividend payments may deter income-focused investors.
  • Potential vulnerability to regulatory changes in the insurance industry.

What Could Drive HRTG Stock Higher?

  • Expansion into additional states to enhance market reach and revenue potential.
  • Implementation of digital transformation initiatives to improve customer experience.
  • Development of specialized insurance products to meet growing demand in disaster-prone areas.

What Are the Key Risks for HRTG?

  • Financial-distress signal — its Altman Z-Score of 1.22 sits in the distress zone (elevated bankruptcy risk).
  • Insider selling — insiders were net sellers of roughly $12.0M recently.
  • Regulatory changes that could impact pricing strategies and operational flexibility.
  • Intense competition from larger, more established insurance providers.
  • Economic downturns that may reduce consumer spending on insurance products.

What Are the Growth Opportunities for HRTG?

  • Growth opportunity 1: Expansion into new states represents a significant growth driver for Heritage Insurance Holdings, Inc. The U.S. residential insurance market is projected to reach $150 billion by 2027, with increasing demand in states like Texas and California. By leveraging its existing distribution networks and expertise, Heritage can effectively penetrate these markets, enhancing its revenue streams and market presence.
  • Growth opportunity 2: The increasing trend towards digital insurance solutions presents a unique opportunity for Heritage. As consumers increasingly prefer online platforms for purchasing insurance, Heritage can invest in technology to streamline the customer experience. This digital transformation is expected to capture a larger share of the growing online insurance market, projected to reach $50 billion by 2025.
  • Growth opportunity 3: The rising frequency of natural disasters due to climate change is driving demand for specialized insurance products. Heritage's focus on wind-only insurance and restoration services positions it favorably to meet this demand. The market for disaster-related insurance is expected to grow by 10% annually, providing Heritage with a robust avenue for expansion.
  • Growth opportunity 4: Strategic partnerships with technology firms can enhance Heritage's operational efficiency and customer engagement. Collaborating with insurtech companies can facilitate innovative product offerings and improve claims processing times. This approach not only enhances customer satisfaction but also positions Heritage as a forward-thinking player in the insurance sector.
  • Growth opportunity 5: Diversification of product offerings, including commercial insurance, can significantly boost Heritage's revenue potential. The commercial insurance market is projected to grow by 8% annually, driven by increasing business formations and the need for property coverage. By expanding its commercial insurance portfolio, Heritage can tap into this lucrative segment and enhance overall profitability.

What Opportunities Does HRTG Have?

  • Expansion into new states to capture additional market share.
  • Increasing demand for digital insurance solutions.
  • Growth in the disaster-related insurance market.
  • Partnerships with technology firms to enhance service offerings.

What Threats Does HRTG Face?

  • Intense competition from larger, established insurers.
  • Economic downturns affecting consumer spending on insurance.
  • Regulatory changes impacting pricing and operations.
  • Natural disasters leading to increased claims and potential losses.

What Are HRTG's Competitive Advantages?

  • Strong network of independent agents enhances distribution capabilities.
  • Established presence in multiple states provides geographic diversification.
  • Specialization in wind-only insurance products caters to specific market needs.
  • Robust profit margins indicate effective cost management and pricing power.
  • Commitment to customer service fosters loyalty and repeat business.

What Does HRTG Do?

Founded in 2012 and headquartered in Tampa, Florida, Heritage Insurance Holdings, Inc. has rapidly established itself as a key provider of personal and commercial residential insurance products in the United States. The company offers a comprehensive suite of insurance solutions, including personal residential property insurance for single-family homeowners and condominium owners, as well as rental property insurance. Heritage operates in several states, including Alabama, California, Connecticut, Delaware, Florida, Georgia, Hawaii, Maryland, Massachusetts, Mississippi, New Jersey, New York, North Carolina, Rhode Island, South Carolina, and Virginia. Additionally, the company provides commercial residential insurance in Florida, New Jersey, and New York, and is licensed to operate in Pennsylvania. Heritage also offers specialized products such as wind-only property insurance, restoration services, and emergency recovery services, enhancing its service portfolio. The company’s business model relies on a network of retail independent agents, wholesale agents, and partnerships with direct agencies, allowing it to write personal line policies through approximately 1,500 retail locations via eight wholesale agency relationships. Heritage's commitment to providing quality insurance solutions has positioned it as a competitive player in the property and casualty insurance market, with a focus on customer service and operational efficiency.

What Products and Services Does HRTG Offer?

  • Provide personal residential property insurance for homeowners and condominium owners.
  • Offer rental property insurance across multiple states.
  • Deliver commercial residential insurance in Florida, New Jersey, and New York.
  • Licensed to offer personal residential and wind-only property insurance.
  • Provide restoration and emergency recovery services.
  • Engage in property management and reinsurance services.

How Does HRTG Make Money?

  • Revenue generated through the sale of personal and commercial insurance policies.
  • Utilizes a network of independent agents and direct partnerships to distribute products.
  • Offers specialized insurance products to meet diverse customer needs.
  • Engages in restoration services, generating additional revenue streams.
  • Operates in multiple states to diversify risk and enhance market reach.

What Industry Does HRTG Operate In?

The property and casualty insurance industry is experiencing significant growth, driven by increasing demand for residential insurance products due to rising homeownership rates and the need for disaster coverage. The market is projected to expand as consumers seek comprehensive insurance solutions in response to climate-related risks. Heritage Insurance Holdings, Inc. operates in a competitive landscape, facing rivals that include both large national insurers and regional players. With its focus on personal and commercial residential insurance, Heritage is well-positioned to capture market share in states with high insurance needs, particularly in areas vulnerable to natural disasters.

Who Are HRTG's Key Customers?

  • Homeowners seeking property insurance for single-family homes and condos.
  • Landlords requiring rental property insurance.
  • Commercial property owners in need of residential insurance solutions.
  • Independent agents and agencies facilitating insurance sales.
  • Consumers looking for specialized wind-only insurance products.
AI Confidence: 73% Updated: May 10, 2026

How Heritage Insurance Holdings, Inc. Is Valued

Heritage Insurance Holdings, Inc. carries a market capitalization of $822.94M, placing it in the small-cap category. Relative to its peer group, HRTG's quantitative score of 96/100 is above the peer average of 78/100.

Company Profile

Heritage Insurance Holdings, Inc. operates in the Insurance - Property & Casualty industry within the Financial Services sector. It is headquartered in Tampa, US. The company is led by CEO Ernesto Jose Garateix. HRTG has traded publicly since 2014.

ROE 44%Key Financial Metrics

Return on equity for Heritage Insurance Holdings, Inc. stands at 43.7%, a gauge of how efficiently it converts shareholder capital into profit. Return on assets is 10.0%, showing how much profit it generates from its asset base. HRTG trades at a trailing price-to-earnings ratio of 3.53, below the Financial Services sector average of ~18x. Its free cash flow yield is 28.6%, a gauge of the cash the business throws off relative to its market value. A current ratio of 0.81 means current liabilities exceed short-term assets, a liquidity point worth watching. Its earnings yield is 28.4%, the inverse of the P/E and a quick read on earnings relative to price.

F-Score 8/9Financial Health

Heritage Insurance Holdings, Inc.'s Piotroski F-Score is 8/9, a 9-point checklist of profitability, leverage and efficiency — signaling solid underlying fundamentals. Its Altman Z-Score of 1.22 places it in the distress zone, a signal of elevated financial risk.

FY2026 estForward Outlook

Wall Street analysts project Heritage Insurance Holdings, Inc. revenue of about $861.1M for fiscal 2026, with EPS near $4.32.

Net sellingInsider Activity

Over the past six months, Heritage Insurance Holdings, Inc. insiders filed 30 SEC Form 4 transactions — 20 sales and 10 purchases. On net that is roughly 397K shares disposed (about $12.0M), a signal worth weighing alongside the fundamentals.

HRTG Financials

Fundamental Snapshot

Revenue Growth (FY)
+3.7%
Net Income Growth (FY)
+217.8%
EPS Growth (FY)
+214.9%
Free Cash Flow Growth (FY)
+120.8%
P/E (TTM)
3.5
Return on Equity (TTM)
+43.7%
Current Ratio
0.8
EV/EBITDA (TTM)
1.0

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis · FY 2025

Bull Case vs Bear Case

Bull Case

  • Strong profit margins and operational efficiency.
  • Diverse product offerings across personal and commercial lines.
  • Established distribution network with independent agents.
  • Geographic diversification reduces risk exposure.

Bear Case

  • Limited brand recognition compared to larger competitors.
  • Dependence on specific geographic markets for revenue.
  • No dividend payments may deter income-focused investors.
  • Potential vulnerability to regulatory changes in the insurance industry.

AI-generated arguments based on insider flow, news sentiment and technicals — not financial advice · July 2026

HRTG Latest News

HRTG Analyst Consensus

Consensus Rating

Aggregated Buy/Hold/Sell recommendations from Benzinga, Yahoo Finance, and Finnhub for HRTG.

Price Targets

Consensus target: $39.00

HRTG MoonshotScore

96/100

What does this score mean?

The MoonshotScore rates HRTG's growth potential on a scale of 0-100 across multiple factors including innovation, market disruption, financial health, and momentum.

Leadership: Ernesto Jose Garateix

CEO

Ernesto Jose Garateix has a robust background in the insurance industry, having held various leadership roles prior to his tenure at Heritage Insurance Holdings, Inc. He possesses extensive experience in operational management and strategic planning, which has been instrumental in driving the company's growth since its inception. Garateix holds a degree in Business Administration, equipping him with the skills necessary to navigate the complexities of the insurance market.

Track Record: Under Garateix's leadership, Heritage has expanded its market presence significantly, increasing its geographic footprint and diversifying its product offerings. His strategic focus on operational efficiency has resulted in improved profit margins and a stronger competitive position in the industry.

Heritage Insurance Holdings, Inc. Financial Services Stock: Key Questions Answered

What does Heritage Insurance Holdings, Inc. do?

Heritage Insurance Holdings, Inc. specializes in providing personal and commercial residential insurance products. The company offers coverage for single-family homes, condominiums, and rental properties across several states. Additionally, it provides wind-only insurance and restoration services, operating through a network of independent agents and direct partnerships.

What do analysts say about HRTG stock?

Analysts generally view HRTG stock as undervalued based on its P/E ratio of 3.5, which is significantly lower than the industry average. The company’s strong profit margin of 26.0% and gross margin of 35.6% are also seen as positive indicators of operational efficiency. However, analysts remain cautious about potential regulatory risks and competition in the property and casualty insurance market.

What are the main risks for HRTG?

Heritage Insurance Holdings, Inc. faces several risks, including potential regulatory changes that could affect pricing and operational flexibility. Additionally, the company operates in a highly competitive environment, which may pressure margins. Economic downturns could also impact consumer spending on insurance products, potentially affecting revenue growth.

What are the key factors to evaluate for HRTG?

Heritage Insurance Holdings, Inc. (HRTG) holds an AI score of 96/100 (high). P/E: 3.5x vs the S&P 500's ~20-25x. Analysts target $39.00 (+44%). Not financial advice.

How frequently does HRTG data refresh on this page?

HRTG prices update in real time during U.S. market hours. Fundamentals refresh after quarterly filings; analyst ratings and AI insights update daily; news is aggregated continuously.

What has driven HRTG's recent stock price performance?

Heritage Insurance Holdings, Inc. (HRTG) moves on earnings results, analyst revisions, sector rotation, and market sentiment. Notable catalyst: Strong profit margins and operational efficiency. See the News tab for the latest drivers. Past performance does not predict future results.

Should investors consider HRTG overvalued or undervalued right now?

Heritage Insurance Holdings, Inc. (HRTG) trades at 3.5x earnings. Analysts target $39.00 (+44%) — upside seen. Compare P/E, P/S, and EV/EBITDA against sector peers for a full view.

What research should beginners do before buying HRTG?

Before investing in Heritage Insurance Holdings, Inc. (HRTG), research these four areas: (1) the company's revenue model and competitive position (see Company Overview), (2) financial health through revenue growth, margins, and cash flow (see MoonshotScore), (3) what Wall Street analysts recommend and their price targets (see Analyst tab), and (4) specific risk factors that could impact the stock (see Risk Factors section).

Disclaimer: This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Always do your own research and consult a financial advisor.

Official Resources

Price as of Analysis updated AI Score refreshed daily
Data Sources & Methodology
Market data powered by Financial Modeling Prep & Yahoo Finance. AI analysis by Stock Expert AI proprietary algorithms. Technical indicators via industry-standard calculations. Last updated: .
Data Provenance
Sources: Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) — Primary · Yahoo Finance — Fallback · Alpaca — Tertiary
Last fetched:
Cache TTL: Quote 5min · Profile 7d · Financials 7d · Insider 48h
How we use AI: Numbers are pulled directly from FMP & Yahoo Finance — our AI writes the analysis, it never edits the figures.
Data provided as-is for educational purposes. Not financial advice. Methodology

Data provided for informational purposes only.

Analysis Notes
  • Data sourced from company profile and financial metrics.
Data Sources

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