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Dynex Capital, Inc. (DX) Stock: Price, Forecast & Analyst Target

Dynex Capital, Inc. (DX) — MoonshotScore 31/100 (Weak band), calculated Oct 26, 2026. Price $10.89 (-0.27%), as of the Oct 26, 2026 trading session; market cap $2.70B.

Educational signal · not a buy or sell recommendation · How to read this

$10.89 −$0.03 (-0.27%) Market Cap $2.70B

Dynex Capital, Inc. · DX · NYSE

Dynex Capital, Inc. is a mortgage real estate investment trust (mREIT) that invests in a leveraged portfolio of agency and non-agency mortgage-backed securities (MBS) in the United States. The company aims to generate income through strategic asset allocation and efficient capital management, operating under a tax-advantaged REIT structure.

Price as of Oct 26, 2026

Key Statistics

31 of 100

MoonshotScore v2 · Dynex Capital (DX)

Weak
Business Quality Average (54)
Financial Safety Strained (23)
Valuation Cheap (89)
Growth Durability Growing (65)
Momentum Falling (6)
Why this rating? Method, drivers & history

Bands for the MoonshotScore: Exceptional 80-100 · Strong 65-79 · Fair 45-64 · Weak below 45.

  • Business Quality — Is this a genuinely good business?
  • Financial Safety — Could this blow up on me?
  • Valuation — Am I paying a fair price?
  • Growth Durability — Is the growth real and likely to last?
  • Momentum — Is the market already moving on this?
The ten-second read ·

Dirt-cheap, but a fragile balance sheet and average quality, and the price trend has turned against it. The score also carries a risk penalty for losses on top of negative retained earnings. Business Quality: Average; Financial Safety: Strained; Valuation: Cheap; Growth Durability: Growing; Momentum: Falling.

  • quarterly revenue $332M (Q3 FY2026, quarter ended Sep 30, 2026)
  • EPS beat 1 of 8
  • Altman Z -0.90 · Piotroski F 5

Holding back: balance-sheet strain, weak price trend

Helping: an attractive price

What has the MoonshotScore done over time?

MoonshotScore snapshots recorded for DX (42 recorded, newest six shown)
RecordedScoreBand
75Strong
68Strong
32Weak
32Weak
32Weak
31Weak

The score was 31 in the stored Oct 24, 2026 snapshot and remains 31 in the current publication computed Oct 26, 2026 (0); the largest pillar moves were Business Quality -1 and Valuation +1; the pillar moves offset under the sector-relative weighting, so the headline score is unchanged.

Calculation uses the most recent completed US trading session. Live price changes do not update the score immediately.

Computed · Educational signal · not a buy or sell recommendation · How the MoonshotScore is computed →

Price & valuation

Dates shown where recorded
MeasureValueAs of
Latest provided price$10.89
Change on the day-0.27%
52-week range$10.31 – $14.93
Market capitalisation$2.70B
Price / earnings (trailing)49.64
Shares traded on the day4.55M

Price & events

Council Score · weighted blend of 2 available disciplines

Council score for Dynex Capital (DX): Split View

44/100 · C

Some lenses disagree with the MoonshotScore. Compare their readings below; each uses a different method.

5-Factor Breakdown

Growth Durability Moderate
Momentum Negative
Business Quality Neutral
Financial Safety Weak
Valuation Strong

Legends Council

5 lenses, 5 current

AI simulations built from the named investors' published principles. Not affiliated with, endorsed by, or the opinion of these individuals. How these lenses are built

Dalio-style lens (simulated) Ray Dalio Favorable read
Griffin-style lens (simulated) Ken Griffin Favorable read
Englander-style lens (simulated) Izzy Englander Unfavorable read
Klarman-style lens (simulated) Seth Klarman Unfavorable read
Moon AI lens (model) Favorable read

Read on: Oct 26, 2026

Munger's Mindset

Balance Sheet & Valuation · historical

Financial Health Neutral
Margin of Safety Fairly Valued
Profit Margin Strong
Revenue Growth Strong
Debt/Equity Negative
ROE Moderate
Gross Margin Strong

Read on: Sep 9, 2026 · older than the 27 hours refresh window; not a current reading

How to read these bars and different assessments

Council is a separate blend of available disciplines; MoonshotScore above remains the five-pillar research rating.

Bars show each model's ordered assessment on its own scale, not a probability or a comparable investment return. The adjacent words give the assessment; more filled segments indicate a stronger model reading.

Three of these lenses read this company more favourably than the MoonshotScore does: Dalio-style lens, Griffin-style lens and Moon AI lens. Each lens is a separate scoring function over its own inputs, so a disagreement is a difference of method rather than a correction — the page's answer stays the MoonshotScore above.

On Sep 9, 2026, the Munger lens read the price at that time as fairly valued against its own estimate of value.

Readings on this page are from Oct 27, 2026, except a card that shows its own read date.

Watch the DX film — every key number, told as a short cinematic story

~2 min · open the film

1 · What is it?

What is Dynex Capital (DX), and what does it report?

Short answer · as of

A current FMP business description is unavailable; the listing and provider classification below are the available identity facts. Dynex Capital, Inc. (DX) is listed on NYSE. It employs 28 people and is led by Byron L. Boston. In Q3 FY2026 it reported revenue of $332M and net income of -$336M. The market values it at $2.70B.

2 · Latest results

What do the latest results show for Dynex Capital (DX)?

Short answer · as of

The most recent reported quarter, Q3 FY2026, carried revenue of $332M. Against analyst estimates the company has EPS beat 1 of 8 reports.

Quarterly income statement — 4 quarters
Revenue, net income and earnings per share by quarter
PeriodRevenueNet incomeEPS
Q3 FY2026$332M-$336M-$1.34 (diluted)
Q2 FY2026$303M$181M$0.80 (diluted)
Q1 FY2026$257M-$80M-$0.41 (diluted)
Q4 FY2025$177M$185M$1.16 (diluted)
3 · Financial strengths and risks

What are the financial strengths and risks for Dynex Capital (DX)?

Short answer

The MoonshotScore pillars rate an attractive price as strengths. What is holding it back is balance-sheet strain, weak price trend. The distress and quality screens read Altman Z -0.90 · Piotroski F 5. Trailing ratios: ROE 16.9% · ROA 1.7% · current ratio 0.03 · earnings yield 18.1% · free-cash-flow yield 8.8%.

Data-derived red flags

  • Financial-distress signal — its Altman Z-Score of -0.90 sits in the distress zone (elevated bankruptcy risk).
  • Inconsistent delivery — missed Wall Street EPS estimates in 6 of the last 8 reported quarters.
4 · What to check next?

What should you watch next at Dynex Capital (DX)?

Short answer · as of

Current published price targets run low $12.00 · high $12.00 · consensus $12.00 · median $12.00 against a quoted price of $10.89 (as of Oct 26, 2026).

What the records here don't tell us

  • No forward revenue or earnings estimate is on file.
  • The next earnings date is not yet scheduled in the calendar we read.

Checked against the records this page reads, on the dates shown above.

5 · Peer comparison

How does Dynex Capital compare with its peers?

Short answer

Dynex Capital's score ranks 10th of 10 in the bounded comparison shown, against 9 same-model peers. These are company scores, not expected investment returns. The set lists named competitors first, then companies in the same data-provider industry classification closest in market value; that classification is the provider's, not our judgment of business similarity.

Peer set — price, market value and MoonshotScore
CompanyPriceMarket valueScore
Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance, Inc. (ARI) Same industry, near in market value$6.60 Oct 26, 2026$848M73 5-pillar Oct 26, 2026
Agree Realty Corporation (ADC) Named competitor$67.39 Oct 26, 2026$8.38B65 5-pillar Oct 26, 2026
Ladder Capital Corp (LADR) Same industry, near in market value$9.29 Oct 26, 2026$1.18B58 5-pillar Oct 26, 2026
AGNC Investment Corp. (AGNCN) Same industry, near in market value$25.10 Oct 26, 2026$8.65B52 5-pillar Oct 26, 2026
Chimera Investment Corporation (CIM) Same industry, near in market value$8.39 Oct 26, 2026$702M40 5-pillar Oct 26, 2026
Rithm Capital Corp. (RITM) Same industry, near in market value$9.22 Oct 26, 2026$5.24B39 5-pillar Oct 26, 2026
Ellington Financial Inc. (EFC) Same industry, near in market value$11.71 Oct 26, 2026$1.51B37 5-pillar Oct 26, 2026
ARMOUR Residential REIT, Inc. (ARR) Same industry, near in market value$12.68 Oct 26, 2026$1.82B33 5-pillar Oct 26, 2026
Orchid Island Capital, Inc. (ORC) Same industry, near in market value$5.04 Oct 26, 2026$973M33 5-pillar Oct 26, 2026
Dynex Capital (DX) — this page$10.89$2.70B31

Only 5-pillar scores are ranked together. Other models are not directly comparable. Price and score dates are shown separately; market-value dates are unavailable.

The records behind this page

Analyst targets & estimates

What analysts have on file

Price target, low to high
$12.00 – $12.00
Consensus target
$12.00
Median target
$12.00

Consensus record · Captured .

Measured against a quoted price of $10.89 (as of Oct 26, 2026).

Insider activity

Form 4 records via FMP · Of the newest 100 records, those within the last 180 days, newest dated Sep 25, 2026

Transactions
8
Identified insiders
8
Purchases
1
Sales
0
Other transactions
7

Purchases and sales use the reported transaction category. Other transactions include awards, exercises, gifts, withholding and unclassified activity; an acquisition or disposition alone is not a purchase or sale. These records do not establish intent.

What has been published about Dynex Capital (DX)?

Read these with our analysis →

Common Questions About DX

These answers are editorial: 1 of these 9 answers is drawn from the DX research dossier (written Jun 14, 2026 by gemini-2.5-flash); the other 8 are question templates that restate figures shown above. Figures in this section are not part of the source register.

What does the MoonshotScore mean for DX?

DX carries the MoonshotScore stated above — the Weak band. This is an educational research signal, not a buy or sell recommendation. The number comes from the five-pillar engine (business quality, financial safety, valuation, growth durability, momentum), re-ranked daily against sector peers.

Is DX a good stock to buy?

Stock Expert AI does not rate DX buy, sell or hold. Dynex Capital, Inc. carries a MoonshotScore, in the Weak band, a research rating against its peers rather than a forecast. Whether it fits is your call: check what it sells, whether it earns and what the price assumes. This is educational content, not investment advice.

What is the DX stock price today?

The last price recorded on this page for Dynex Capital, Inc. (DX) is $10.89, as of the Oct 26, 2026 trading session (source: Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) · quote). It is a provider snapshot, not a live exchange feed, so check a brokerage quote before you trade.

What is the DX price target?

The analyst consensus price target for Dynex Capital, Inc. (DX) is $12.00 (range $12.00 to $12.00, median $12.00), per FMP data captured Oct 26, 2026. Targets are analyst opinions and change often; they are not a Stock Expert AI forecast.

How does Dynex Capital, Inc. compare to competitors in its industry?

Dynex Capital, Inc. operates within the mortgage REIT sector, which distinguishes it from traditional equity REITs like Agree Realty Corporation (ADC).

What are the key factors to evaluate for DX?

Dynex Capital, Inc. (DX) holds a MoonshotScore in the low range. P/E: 49.64x. Analysts target $12.00 (+10%). Dynex Capital's expertise in both agency and non-agency MBS allows it to potentially profit from credit cycle shifts. Not financial advice.

How frequently does DX data refresh on this page?

DX's price is the last quote we recorded, from the Oct 26, 2026 trading session. Pages are served from a cache, so the copy you are reading can lag that quote. The quote is a provider snapshot, not an exchange feed. Fundamentals follow quarterly filings. V2 is recalculated from the most recent completed US trading session; the score's own date shows its last successful run.

What has driven DX's recent stock price performance?

Dynex Capital, Inc. (DX) moves on earnings results, analyst revisions, sector rotation, and market sentiment. See the News tab for the latest drivers. Past performance does not predict future results.

Should investors consider DX overvalued or undervalued right now?

Dynex Capital, Inc. (DX) trades at 49.64x earnings. Analysts target $12.00 (+10%) — upside seen. Compare P/E, P/S, and EV/EBITDA against sector peers for a full view.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Always do your own research and consult a financial advisor.

Machine-generated analysis by Stock Expert AI — model gemini-2.5-flash, generated Jun 14, 2026. Editorial oversight is systemic, not page-by-page. Editorially accountable: Sedat ANAK, Founder and Editor-in-Chief.

Sources — records for every figure on this page (22 figures)

The 22 rows below are exactly the facts the evidence-backed sections of this page printed — the 10-second verdict, the MoonshotScore, price and market value, the five questions with their receipts, and the records behind this page. Known dates and sources are recorded on their own rows; an em dash or UNRECORDED tier preserves a stored observation without inventing either. The quarterly income statement is provider-standardized (FMP) under one row, and scale definitions — a 0-100 rating, the band ladder, the Piotroski 0–9 range — are fixed rather than measured. No number in those sections was generated by a model. The register does not cover quoted third-party headlines, the dated council readings, or the Frequently Asked Questions; each of those says where it came from where it stands.

"As of" is the date the value is true for where the source carries one — a quarter end, a filing date, a price close, the day the score was computed. A cached observation with no source date remains undated; the page publication date is not used as a substitute.

FMP — 14 facts from Financial Modeling Prep endpoint families

FMP facts used on this page
Fact IDFactValue as shownAs ofTierSource
px.lastLatest provided price$10.89FMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP) · quote — Dated to the US trading session the price belongs to, derived from the quote record's timestamp (weekend and pre-open reads roll back to the previous weekday; exchange holidays are not modelled). The record does not establish an exchange execution time. Retrieved 2026-10-26T22:04:33.952Z.
px.changeChange on the day-0.27%FMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP) · quote
px.mcapMarket capitalisation$2.70BFMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP) · quote — Date unknown Market cap record date: 2026-10-26. FMP quote timestamp: 2026-10-26T20:00:02.000Z. Captured from FMP at 2026-10-26T22:04:32.036Z. No share-count basis is inferred; this page preserves the reported amount instead of recalculating it from shares.
px.change_absChange on the day, in dollars−$0.03FMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP) · quote
fin.q_revenueRevenue, Q3 FY2026$332MFMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP) · income statement (quarterly)
px.pePrice / earnings (trailing)49.64FMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP) · quote
px.volumeShares traded on the day4.55MFMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP) · quote
fin.q_incomeNet income, Q3 FY2026-$336MFMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP) · income statement (quarterly)
fin.q_tableQuarterly income statement4 quarters through Q3 FY2026FMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP) · income statement (quarterly), as filed
earn.ptStored analyst price targetslow $12.00 · high $12.00 · consensus $12.00 · median $12.00FMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP) · price-target consensus — Captured Oct 26, 2026 · Coverage not supplied
earn.pt_rangeAnalyst price target, low to high$12.00 – $12.00FMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP) · price-target consensus — Captured Oct 26, 2026 · Coverage not supplied
earn.pt_consensusConsensus analyst price target$12.00FMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP) · price-target consensus — Captured Oct 26, 2026 · Coverage not supplied
earn.pt_medianMedian analyst price target$12.00FMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP) · price-target consensus — Captured Oct 26, 2026 · Coverage not supplied
own.insidersInsider transactions via FMP8 transactions · 1 purchases, 0 sales, 7 other transactions · 8 identified insiders · of the newest 100 records, those within the last 180 days, newest dated Sep 25, 2026FMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP), carrying Form 4 transaction records — Purchases and sales use the reported transaction category. Other transactions include awards, exercises, gifts, withholding and unclassified activity; an acquisition or disposition alone is not a purchase or sale. These records do not establish intent.

UNRECORDED — 6 facts from stored observations whose source was not recorded

UNRECORDED facts used on this page
Fact IDFactValue as shownAs ofTierSource
earn.historyReported versus estimated, recent quartersEPS beat 1 of 8UNRECORDEDStored earnings-history observation — Captured 2026-10-27
fin.scoresDistress and quality screensAltman Z -0.90 · Piotroski F 5UNRECORDEDStored financial-scores observation — Captured 2026-10-25 · Expired observation
px.range5252-week range$10.31 – $14.93UNRECORDEDStored company-profile observation — Captured 2026-10-27
id.employeesEmployees28UNRECORDEDStored company-profile observation — Captured 2026-10-27
id.ceoChief executiveByron L. BostonUNRECORDEDStored company-profile observation — Captured 2026-10-27
fin.ratiosReturn and yield ratios (trailing twelve months)ROE 16.9% · ROA 1.7% · current ratio 0.03 · earnings yield 18.1% · free-cash-flow yield 8.8%—UNRECORDEDStored key metrics — Date unknown

OURS — 2 facts from Stock Expert AI's own score and rank

OURS facts used on this page
Fact IDFactValue as shownAs ofTierSource
ours.moonshotMoonshotScore v231 of 100 · Weak · pillars 54 / 23 / 89 / 65 / 6OURSStock Expert AI MoonshotScore v2 engine
ours.moonshot_changeMoonshotScore movement31 (stored snapshot Oct 24, 2026) → 31 (current publication computed Oct 26, 2026) (0)OURSStock Expert AI current score publication and immutable score snapshots
Published
Research standards
Methodology · Editorial policy · Corrections
Data Sources & Methodology
Figures come from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP). If FMP has no figure for a ticker, a price or fundamental may come from a Yahoo Finance fallback, or a price from an Alpaca fallback. SEC EDGAR is used only for filing links and company identity details (legal name, address), never for figures. AI analysis by Stock Expert AI proprietary algorithms. Technical indicators via industry-standard calculations. Last updated: .
Data Provenance
Sources: Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) — Primary · Yahoo Finance — Fallback · Alpaca — Tertiary
Last fetched:
Cache TTL: Quote 5min · Profile 7d · Financials 7d · Insider 48h
How we use AI: Numbers are pulled directly from FMP & Yahoo Finance — our AI writes the analysis, it never edits the figures.
Data provided as-is for educational purposes. Not financial advice. Methodology

Data provided for informational purposes only.

ETFs that hold DX

Funds in our ETF coverage that list DX among the top 10 holdings on their fund page, largest weight first. Each weight is the fund's reported holding weight as of the date in its row.

ETFWeightHoldings as of
iShares Mortgage Real Estate ETF (REM)4.37%
WisdomTree Private Credit & Alternative Income Fund (HYIN)3.50%