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Kaiser Aluminum Corporation (KALU) Stock Analysis

Educational signal · not a buy or sell recommendation · How to read this

$158.42 -$8.99 (-5.37%) |Strong · 73
Kaiser Aluminum Corporation (KALU) bottom line: Bullish Lean — our Council read (64/100) and AI Score (73/100) broadly agree. Strongest signal: Growth Durability strong · Biggest watch-out: Seth Klarman bearish.Educational signal, not a buy or sell recommendation. Compare sector peers → · Read the method →
MCap: $2.59B| P/E Ratio: 11.36| Vol: 218.2K| Target: $168.00 (+6.0%) (Sep 1, 2026) (estimate, not advice)| 52-wk range: $73.08 – $199.89

P/E 11.36 means the share price is 11.36 times one year of earnings per share; the S&P 500 usually sits near 20-25. Market cap $2.59B is the value of all shares combined. Beta 1.39: the stock has moved about 39% more than the S&P 500.

Data from FMP · Methodology

For informational purposes only. Not financial advice. Machine-generated analysis by Stock Expert AI — model gemini-2.0-flash, generated May 10, 2026. Editorial oversight is systemic, not page-by-page. Editorially accountable: Sedat ANAK, Founder and Editor-in-Chief. Data sources: Financial Modeling Prep, Yahoo Finance, SEC EDGAR

Quick Answer

Kaiser Aluminum Corporation (KALU) trades at $158.42 with MoonshotScore 73/100 (Grade A). Kaiser Aluminum Corporation manufactures and sells semi-fabricated specialty aluminum mill products globally. Market cap: $2.59B, Sector: Basic materials.

Price as of Sep 11, 2026 · Last analyzed: May 10, 2026
Kaiser Aluminum Corporation manufactures and sells semi-fabricated specialty aluminum mill products globally. The company serves diverse sectors including aerospace, defense, automotive, and packaging.

KALU stock analysis for 2026: Analysts have set a consensus price target of $168.00 for Kaiser Aluminum Corporation, suggesting 6.0% upside from the current price of $158.42. The AI MoonshotScore is 73/100, in the Strong band (65-79) — a research signal, not a recommendation. Key factors: analyst coverage, AI-driven quantitative scoring.

Watch the KALU film Every key number, told as a short cinematic story — just press play. ~2 min

These figures come from statements filed 12 months ago — the most recent this company has published.

Council Score · Weighted Average of 3 Disciplines
Bullish Lean 64/100 · B+

KALU: 2/3 scored disciplines lean bullish. Dominant signal: Seth Klarman bearish.

How is this calculated? →
MoonshotScore · Five-pillar engine · 73/100
Business Quality
Moderate Is this a genuinely good business?
Financial Safety
Weak Could this blow up on me?
Valuation
Moderate Am I paying a fair price?
Growth Durability
Strong Is the growth real and likely to last?
Momentum
Strong Is the market already moving on this?

Strongest side: Growth Durability (9/10, Strong). Weakest side: Financial Safety (4/10, Weak).

Legends Council · 5 Legends + Moon AI

AI simulations built from the named investors' published principles. Not affiliated with, endorsed by, or the opinion of these individuals. How these lenses are built

Dalio-style lens (simulated)Ray Dalio
Favorable read
Griffin-style lens (simulated)Ken Griffin
Neutral read
Simons-style lens (simulated)Jim Simons
Neutral read
Englander-style lens (simulated)Izzy Englander
Neutral read
Klarman-style lens (simulated)Seth Klarman
Unfavorable read
Moon AI lens (model)
Favorable read
Munger's Mindset · Balance Sheet & Valuation
Financial Health
Neutral
Margin of Safety
Undervalued
Council Score · Weighted Average of 3 Disciplines · See tabs for details →
The lenses are modelled on the published principles of the investors named. We are not affiliated with them, they have not endorsed this, and it is not their opinion of this stock.

Why this analysis is different

  • A sector-relative MoonshotScore — five pillars (business quality, financial safety, valuation, growth durability, momentum) re-ranked nightly against the full universe of US-listed common stocks.
  • An AI Council read across up to eight perspectives — value, macro, quantitative, and momentum lenses — that shows where they disagree instead of averaging the tension away.
  • Figures come straight from FMP and Yahoo Finance filings data. The AI writes the narrative around the numbers — it never edits the numbers.

Kaiser Aluminum Corporation (KALU) Materials & Commodity Exposure

CEOKeith A. Harvey
Employees3,800
HeadquartersFoothill Ranch, CA, US
IPO Year2006
IndustryAluminum

Kaiser Aluminum Corporation, founded in 1946, is a leading manufacturer of semi-fabricated specialty aluminum products, serving diverse industries such as aerospace, defense, automotive, and packaging. With a global presence and a focus on high-value applications, the company leverages its technical expertise and established customer relationships to maintain a competitive edge.

Data Provenance | Financial Data Quantitative Analysis NASDAQ Analysis: May 10, 2026

What Is the Investment Thesis for KALU?

AI-written as of May 10, 2026 — figures and tone reflect the data available then, not today's score.

With a market capitalization of $2.59B and a P/E ratio of 11.36, the company demonstrates financial stability. A dividend yield of 1.71% provides income for investors. Growth catalysts include increasing demand for aluminum in the aerospace and automotive sectors. However, potential risks include fluctuations in aluminum prices and global economic uncertainties. The company's ability to maintain its profit margin of 4.1% and gross margin of 10.2% will be critical for sustained profitability.

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis

KALU Key Highlights

AI-written as of May 10, 2026 — figures and tone reflect the data available then, not today's score.

Market capitalization of $2.59B indicates substantial investor confidence.

  • P/E ratio of 11.36 suggests a reasonable valuation relative to earnings.
  • Dividend yield of 1.71% offers an income stream for investors.
  • Gross margin of 10.2% reflects the company's ability to manage production costs effectively.
  • Beta of 1.39 indicates higher volatility compared to the market, which may appeal to risk-tolerant investors.

Who Are KALU's Competitors?

KALU is benchmarked below against 7 industry peers on price, market cap, and our AI MoonshotScore.

Company Price Change Market Cap MoonshotScore
CSTM Constellium SE $25.99 -4.45% $3.52B 875-pillar
SIM Grupo Simec, S.A.B. de C.V. $26.50 -0.38% $4.40B 685-pillar
CENX Century Aluminum Company $43.73 -1.42% $4.33B 705-pillar
AWCMY Alumina Limited $3.69 -2.89% $10.7B
ACHHY Aluminum Corporation of China Limited $10.12 -5.24% $11.2B
AA Alcoa Corporation $48.30 -4.79% $12.8B 595-pillar
NHYKF Norsk Hydro ASA $9.76 -5.20% $19.2B 529-signal

AI Score by Stock Expert AI · Price data: FMP / Yahoo Finance This table mixes two scoring engines — compare a number only with others carrying the same tag.

What Are KALU's Key Strengths?

Diversified product portfolio serving multiple industries.

  • Established relationships with key customers.
  • Global sales and distribution network.
  • Technical expertise in aluminum alloys and manufacturing processes.

What Are KALU's Weaknesses?

Sensitivity to fluctuations in aluminum prices.

  • Dependence on cyclical industries such as aerospace and automotive.
  • Lower profit margin compared to some competitors.
  • Limited presence in emerging markets.

What Could Drive KALU Stock Higher?

Increased demand for aluminum in the aerospace sector due to rising aircraft production rates.

  • Automotive industry's shift towards electric vehicles driving demand for lightweight aluminum components.
  • Potential infrastructure spending initiatives boosting demand for aluminum in construction and transportation projects.
  • Expansion of aluminum packaging market driven by consumer preferences for sustainable materials.

What Are the Key Risks for KALU?

Insider selling — insiders were net sellers of roughly $12.7M recently.

  • Fluctuations in aluminum prices impacting profitability.
  • Global economic slowdown reducing demand for aluminum products.
  • Increased competition from low-cost aluminum producers.
  • Regulatory changes related to environmental standards increasing compliance costs.
  • Supply chain disruptions affecting the availability of raw materials and components.

What Are the Growth Opportunities for KALU?

  • Aerospace Sector Expansion: The increasing demand for lightweight materials in the aerospace industry presents a significant growth opportunity for Kaiser Aluminum. As aircraft manufacturers seek to improve fuel efficiency and reduce emissions, the demand for aluminum alloys is expected to rise. Kaiser Aluminum can capitalize on this trend by developing and supplying advanced aluminum solutions for aircraft structures and components. The global aerospace aluminum market is projected to reach $35 billion by 2030, offering substantial growth potential.
  • Automotive Lightweighting Initiatives: The automotive industry's shift towards electric vehicles and improved fuel efficiency is driving demand for lightweight materials like aluminum. Kaiser Aluminum can leverage its expertise in automotive extrusions to provide structural components, crash management systems, and other aluminum solutions for electric and hybrid vehicles. The automotive aluminum market is expected to grow at a CAGR of 6% over the next five years, providing a favorable environment for Kaiser Aluminum's growth.
  • Beverage and Food Packaging Market: The demand for aluminum in beverage and food packaging remains robust due to its recyclability and protective properties. Kaiser Aluminum can expand its market share by offering innovative aluminum coil products for beverage cans, food containers, and other packaging applications. The global aluminum packaging market is projected to reach $120 billion by 2028, presenting a significant opportunity for Kaiser Aluminum to increase its sales volume.
  • Geographic Expansion in Asia: Expanding its presence in the Asian market, particularly in China and India, represents a strategic growth opportunity for Kaiser Aluminum. These regions are experiencing rapid industrialization and increasing demand for aluminum products across various sectors. By establishing sales offices, distribution networks, and potentially manufacturing facilities in Asia, Kaiser Aluminum can tap into these high-growth markets and diversify its revenue streams.
  • Development of Sustainable Aluminum Solutions: As environmental concerns intensify, the demand for sustainable aluminum solutions is growing. Kaiser Aluminum can invest in developing and offering low-carbon aluminum products made from recycled materials or produced using renewable energy sources. By positioning itself as a provider of sustainable aluminum solutions, Kaiser Aluminum can attract environmentally conscious customers and gain a competitive advantage. The market for sustainable aluminum is expected to grow significantly in the coming years, driven by regulatory pressures and consumer preferences.

What Are KALU's Competitive Advantages?

  • Established customer relationships with key players in aerospace, automotive, and packaging industries.
  • Technical expertise in developing customized aluminum solutions for specific applications.
  • Global sales and distribution network providing access to diverse markets.
  • Reputation for high-quality products and reliable service.

What Does KALU Do?

Kaiser Aluminum Corporation, established in 1946, has evolved into a prominent manufacturer and seller of semi-fabricated specialty aluminum mill products. Headquartered in Foothill Ranch, California, the company operates across the United States and internationally. Kaiser Aluminum's product portfolio includes rolled, extruded, and drawn aluminum products tailored for various applications, including aerospace and defense, aluminum beverage and food packaging, automotive, and general engineering. The company's automotive solutions encompass extruded aluminum components for structural integrity, crash management, anti-lock braking systems, and drawn tubes for drive shafts. Kaiser Aluminum serves the packaging sector with bare and coated 3000- and 5000-series alloy aluminum coil, essential for beverage and food packaging. Its general engineering products include alloy plate, sheet, rod, bar, tube, wire, and standard extrusion shapes used in military vehicles, semiconductor manufacturing, electronic devices, and tooling plates. The company also offers rerolled, extruded, drawn, and cast billet aluminum products for industrial end uses. Kaiser Aluminum distributes its products directly to customers through sales personnel in the United States, Canada, Western Europe, and China, and via independent sales agents in Asia, Latin America, and the Middle East. This diversified approach allows the company to cater to a broad spectrum of industrial needs, reinforcing its market presence.

What Products and Services Does KALU Offer?

  • Manufactures rolled aluminum products for aerospace and defense applications.
  • Produces extruded aluminum components for automotive structural systems.
  • Supplies aluminum coil for beverage and food packaging industries.
  • Offers aluminum plate, sheet, and bar for general engineering purposes.
  • Provides drawn aluminum tubes for automotive drive shafts.
  • Delivers cast billet aluminum products for industrial end uses.
  • Sells aluminum products directly to customers in the United States, Canada, Western Europe, and China.
  • Utilizes independent sales agents in Asia, Latin America, and the Middle East.

How Does KALU Make Money?

  • Manufactures and sells semi-fabricated specialty aluminum mill products.
  • Targets diverse industries including aerospace, automotive, packaging, and general engineering.
  • Operates through direct sales and independent sales agents in various regions.
  • Focuses on high-value applications and customized aluminum solutions.

What Industry Does KALU Operate In?

Kaiser Aluminum Corporation operates within the aluminum industry, which is characterized by cyclical demand and sensitivity to global economic conditions. The industry is experiencing growth driven by increased demand from the aerospace, automotive, and packaging sectors. Competitors such as Constellium SE (CSTM) and Grupo Simec, S.A.B. de C.V. (SIM) also vie for market share. Kaiser Aluminum differentiates itself through its focus on specialty aluminum products and its established customer relationships. The global aluminum market is projected to grow, offering opportunities for Kaiser Aluminum to expand its market presence.

Who Are KALU's Key Customers?

  • Aerospace and defense companies requiring high-strength aluminum alloys.
  • Automotive manufacturers using aluminum for lightweighting and structural components.
  • Beverage and food packaging companies needing aluminum coil for cans and containers.
  • General engineering firms utilizing aluminum for various industrial applications.
Model self-rating on this text: 73% (not a measure of the evidence) Updated: May 10, 2026

Research confidence

High 100/100

Broad, current evidence sits behind this analysis.

  • Scored on 100% of our measures
  • Price is current
  • Latest filing 50 days ago
  • Covered by analysts

Why 73?

Measured against companies in the same sector. The figures below are the factor contributions the scoring engine itself produced.

What is helping

  • +0.26 12-month price trend (Momentum)
  • +0.26 Operating income growth (Growth)
  • +0.24 Enterprise value vs sales (Valuation)

What is holding it back

  • -0.28 Debt to equity (Financial Strength)
  • -0.15 Free cash flow growth (Growth)
  • -0.15 Volatility vs the market (Financial Strength)

Contribution = how far the company sits from its sector on that measure, weighted by how much the pillar counts. Not investment advice. How the score is built →

MoonshotScore History

Recorded daily since 2026-08-23 · 19 snapshots

2026-08-23 77
2026-08-26 78
2026-08-29 79
2026-09-01 72
2026-09-04 72
2026-09-07 74
2026-09-10 75

What changed?

The grade moved from 77 to 75 (-2).

What moved it up or down:

  • -17 Valuation
  • -1 Growth Durability

Held back by:

  • +12 Momentum
  • +1 Business Quality

Over the same 18 days the stock moved +8.6%.

Kaiser Aluminum Corporation (KALU) Valuation Context

Valued at $2.59B, KALU is classified as a mid-cap stock. Analyst price targets span from $137.00 to $184.00, with a consensus of $168.00. At the current price of $158.42, that implies approximately 6% upside potential. Relative to its peer group, KALU's quantitative score of 73/100 is roughly in line with the peer average of 67/100.

KALU Revenue & Earnings Trend

In Q2 FY2026, KALU generated $1.26B in top-line revenue, marking a sequential increase of 13.5%. The company recorded net income of $96.8M, with diluted EPS of $5.73. Revenue has increased across the last three reported quarters, suggesting sustained momentum for this mid-cap Basic Materials company. Across the four most recent quarters, KALU averaged $3.38 in diluted EPS.

Company Profile

Kaiser Aluminum Corporation operates in the Aluminum industry within the Basic Materials sector. It is headquartered in Franklin, US. The company is led by CEO Keith A. Harvey. KALU has traded publicly since 2006.

ROE 19%

Key Financial Metrics

Return on equity for Kaiser Aluminum Corporation stands at 18.7%, a gauge of how efficiently it converts shareholder capital into profit. Return on assets is 5.5%, showing how much profit it generates from its asset base. KALU trades at a trailing price-to-earnings ratio of 11.36, below the Basic Materials sector average of ~21.40x. Its free cash flow yield is 0.8%, a gauge of the cash the business throws off relative to its market value. A current ratio of 2.47 indicates the company holds enough short-term assets to cover its near-term obligations. Its earnings yield is 5.1%, the inverse of the P/E and a quick read on earnings relative to price.

F-Score 6/9

Financial Health

Kaiser Aluminum Corporation's Piotroski F-Score is 6/9, a 9-point checklist of profitability, leverage and efficiency — a middling fundamental profile. Its Altman Z-Score of 3.14 places it in the safe zone, indicating low near-term bankruptcy risk.

5/8 beats

Earnings Track Record

Kaiser Aluminum Corporation has beaten Wall Street's EPS estimate in 5 of its last 8 reported quarters — more hits than misses. Reported results have landed about 72.1% above estimates on average.

Net selling

Insider Activity

Over the past six months, Kaiser Aluminum Corporation insiders filed 20 SEC Form 4 transactions — 8 sales and 12 purchases. On net that is roughly 68K shares disposed (about $12.7M), a signal worth weighing alongside the fundamentals.

KALU Financials

Fundamental Snapshot

Revenue Growth (FY)
+11.5%
Net Income Growth (FY)
+140.4%
EPS Growth (FY)
+139.2%
Free Cash Flow Growth (FY)
-86.1%
P/E (TTM)
11.36
Return on Equity (TTM)
+18.7%
Current Ratio
2.5
EV/EBITDA (TTM)
10.6

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis · FY 2025

Bull Case vs Bear Case

Bull Case

  • Diversified product portfolio serving multiple industries.
  • Established relationships with key customers.
  • Global sales and distribution network.
  • Technical expertise in aluminum alloys and manufacturing processes.

Bear Case

  • Sensitivity to fluctuations in aluminum prices.
  • Dependence on cyclical industries such as aerospace and automotive.
  • Lower profit margin compared to some competitors.
  • Limited presence in emerging markets.

AI-generated arguments based on insider flow, news sentiment and technicals — not financial advice · September 2026

Recent Quarterly Results

Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q2 FY2026 $1.26B $97M $5.73
Q1 FY2026 $1.11B $63M $3.71
Q4 FY2025 $929M $28M $1.68
Q3 FY2025 $844M $40M $2.38

Q2 FY2026 · filed 23 Jul 2026 · SEC EDGAR →

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis

KALU Latest News

KALU Analyst Consensus

Consensus Rating

Aggregated Buy/Hold/Sell recommendations collected by Financial Modeling Prep for KALU.

Price Targets

Low
$137.00
Consensus
$168.00
High
$184.00

Median: $183.00 (+6.0% from current price)

Source: FMP analyst consensus · as of Sep 1, 2026 · an estimate, not advice

KALU MoonshotScore

73/100

What does this score mean?

MoonshotScore is Stock Expert AI's proprietary 0-100 research rating, not a buy or sell recommendation. KALU scores 73/100 (Grade A): the number comes from the five-pillar engine (business quality, financial safety, valuation, growth durability, momentum), re-ranked daily against sector peers.

Leadership: Keith A. Harvey

CEO

Keith A. Harvey serves as the Chief Executive Officer of Kaiser Aluminum Corporation. His career spans several decades in the metals and manufacturing industries. Before joining Kaiser Aluminum, Harvey held leadership positions at various companies, focusing on operational excellence and strategic growth. He brings extensive experience in managing large-scale operations, driving efficiency improvements, and fostering strong customer relationships. Harvey's background includes a strong emphasis on safety and sustainability, aligning with the evolving priorities of the aluminum industry.

Track Record: Under Keith A. Harvey's leadership, Kaiser Aluminum has focused on enhancing its operational efficiency and expanding its presence in key markets. He has overseen strategic investments in technology and equipment to improve productivity and reduce costs. Harvey has also prioritized strengthening customer relationships and developing innovative aluminum solutions to meet the evolving needs of the aerospace, automotive, and packaging industries. His tenure has been marked by a commitment to sustainable practices and responsible corporate citizenship.

Kaiser Aluminum Corporation Basic Materials Stock: Key Questions Answered

What does the AI Score mean for KALU?

KALU holds an AI Score of 73/100 (Grade: A). This is an educational research signal, not a buy or sell recommendation. The number comes from the five-pillar engine (business quality, financial safety, valuation, growth durability, momentum), re-ranked daily against sector peers. Kaiser Aluminum Corporation manufactures and sells semi-fabricated specialty aluminum mill products globally.

Is KALU a good stock?

Stock Expert AI does not rate KALU buy, sell or hold. Kaiser Aluminum Corporation carries a MoonshotScore of 73/100 on the five-pillar engine, a research rating against its peers. Whether it fits is your call: check what it sells, whether it earns, what the price assumes, and what would prove you wrong.

What do analysts say about KALU stock?

Analysts' perspectives on Kaiser Aluminum Corporation (KALU) typically focus on the company's financial performance, growth prospects, and industry dynamics. Key valuation metrics such as the P/E ratio and dividend yield are closely monitored.

What are the key factors to evaluate for KALU?

Kaiser Aluminum Corporation (KALU) holds a MoonshotScore of 73/100 (high). P/E: 11.36x vs the S&P 500's ~20-25x. Analysts target $168.00 (+6%). Not financial advice.

How frequently does KALU data refresh on this page?

KALU's price was last updated on Sep 11, 2026 and refreshes on page view during U.S. market hours; the quote is a provider snapshot, not an exchange feed. Fundamentals update after quarterly filings; the MoonshotScore recalculates nightly; news aggregates continuously.

What has driven KALU's recent stock price performance?

Kaiser Aluminum Corporation (KALU) moves on earnings results, analyst revisions, sector rotation, and market sentiment. Notable catalyst: Diversified product portfolio serving multiple industries. See the News tab for the latest drivers. Past performance does not predict future results.

Should investors consider KALU overvalued or undervalued right now?

Kaiser Aluminum Corporation (KALU) trades at 11.36x earnings. Analysts target $168.00 (+6%) — near fair value. Compare P/E, P/S, and EV/EBITDA against sector peers for a full view.

Can I buy fractional shares of KALU?

Yes, most major brokerages offer fractional shares of Kaiser Aluminum Corporation (KALU) with no minimum purchase requirement. This means you can invest any dollar amount regardless of the share price. Check your brokerage platform for specific terms, fees, and fractional share availability.

How can I track KALU's earnings and financial reports?

Kaiser Aluminum Corporation (KALU) reports quarterly earnings approximately 4-6 weeks after each fiscal quarter ends. You can track earnings dates, revenue and EPS estimates, and actual results on this page's Financials tab. Earnings surprises (beats or misses) often cause significant short-term price moves. Your brokerage can send alerts for KALU earnings announcements.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Always do your own research and consult a financial advisor.

Official Resources

Price as of Analysis updated MoonshotScore as of
Data Sources & Methodology
Market data powered by Financial Modeling Prep & Yahoo Finance. AI analysis by Stock Expert AI proprietary algorithms. Technical indicators via industry-standard calculations. Last updated: .
Data Provenance
Sources: Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) — Primary · Yahoo Finance — Fallback · Alpaca — Tertiary
Last fetched:
Cache TTL: Quote 5min · Profile 7d · Financials 7d · Insider 48h
How we use AI: Numbers are pulled directly from FMP & Yahoo Finance — our AI writes the analysis, it never edits the figures.
Data provided as-is for educational purposes. Not financial advice. Methodology

Data provided for informational purposes only.

Analysis Notes
  • The information provided is based on publicly available data and management commentary.
  • Future performance is subject to market conditions and company-specific factors.
Data Sources
Financial Modeling Prep (FMP)Stock Expert AI proprietary analysis

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