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Vaxcyte, Inc. (PCVX) Stock Analysis

Educational signal · not a buy or sell recommendation · How to read this

$58.72 -$0.18 (-0.31%) |Fair · 54
Vaxcyte, Inc. (PCVX) bottom line: Split View — our Council read (47/100) and AI Score (54/100) broadly agree. Strongest signal: Ray Dalio bullish · Biggest watch-out: Ken Griffin bearish.Educational signal, not a buy or sell recommendation. Compare sector peers → · Read the method →
MCap: $8.48B| Vol: 235.9K| Target: $105.57 (+79.8%) (Aug 29, 2026) (estimate, not advice)| 52-wk range: $30.81 – $65.00

Market cap $8.48B is the value of all shares combined. Beta 1.39: the stock has moved about 39% more than the S&P 500.

Data from FMP · Methodology

For informational purposes only. Not financial advice. Machine-generated analysis by Stock Expert AI — model gemini-2.0-flash, generated May 10, 2026. Editorial oversight is systemic, not page-by-page. Editorially accountable: Sedat ANAK, Founder and Editor-in-Chief. Data sources: Financial Modeling Prep, Yahoo Finance, SEC EDGAR

Quick Answer

Vaxcyte, Inc. (PCVX) trades at $58.72 with MoonshotScore 54/100 (Grade B). Vaxcyte, Inc. is a clinical-stage biotechnology company focused on developing novel protein vaccines for bacterial infectious diseases. Market cap: $8.48B, Sector: Healthcare.

Price as of Sep 11, 2026 · Last analyzed: May 10, 2026
Vaxcyte, Inc. is a clinical-stage biotechnology company focused on developing novel protein vaccines for bacterial infectious diseases. Their lead candidate, VAX-24, targets pneumococcal disease and pneumonia.

PCVX stock analysis for 2026: Analysts have set a consensus price target of $105.57 for Vaxcyte, Inc., suggesting 79.8% upside from the current price of $58.72. The AI MoonshotScore is 54/100, in the Fair band (45-64) — a research signal, not a recommendation. Key factors: analyst coverage, AI-driven quantitative scoring.

Watch the PCVX film Every key number, told as a short cinematic story — just press play. ~2 min

These figures come from statements filed 12 months ago — the most recent this company has published.

Council Score · Weighted Average of 3 Disciplines
Split View 47/100 · C

PCVX: the 3 scored disciplines are evenly split. Dominant signal: Ken Griffin bearish.

How is this calculated? →
MoonshotScore · Five-pillar engine · 54/100
Business Quality
Neutral Is this a genuinely good business?
Financial Safety
Moderate Could this blow up on me?
Valuation
Neutral Am I paying a fair price?
Growth Durability
Negative Is the growth real and likely to last?
Momentum
Strong Is the market already moving on this?

Strongest side: Momentum (8/10, Strong). Weakest side: Growth Durability (2/10, Negative).

Legends Council · 5 Legends + Moon AI

AI simulations built from the named investors' published principles. Not affiliated with, endorsed by, or the opinion of these individuals. How these lenses are built

Dalio-style lens (simulated)Ray Dalio
Favorable read
Griffin-style lens (simulated)Ken Griffin
Unfavorable read
Englander-style lens (simulated)Izzy Englander
Neutral read
Klarman-style lens (simulated)Seth Klarman
Unfavorable read
Moon AI lens (model)
Unfavorable read
Munger's Mindset · Balance Sheet & Valuation
Financial Health
Neutral
Margin of Safety
Fairly Valued
Council Score · Weighted Average of 3 Disciplines · See tabs for details →
The lenses are modelled on the published principles of the investors named. We are not affiliated with them, they have not endorsed this, and it is not their opinion of this stock.

Why this analysis is different

  • A sector-relative MoonshotScore — five pillars (business quality, financial safety, valuation, growth durability, momentum) re-ranked nightly against the full universe of US-listed common stocks.
  • An AI Council read across up to eight perspectives — value, macro, quantitative, and momentum lenses — that shows where they disagree instead of averaging the tension away.
  • Figures come straight from FMP and Yahoo Finance filings data. The AI writes the narrative around the numbers — it never edits the numbers.

Vaxcyte, Inc. (PCVX) Healthcare & Pipeline Overview

CEOGrant E. Pickering
Employees507
HeadquartersSan Carlos, CA, US
IPO Year2020

Vaxcyte, Inc. is a clinical-stage biotechnology company specializing in novel protein vaccines, with a primary focus on combating bacterial infectious diseases. Their lead candidate, VAX-24, a 24-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine, is currently in Phase 1/2 clinical trials, positioning the company to address the significant unmet needs in preventing pneumococcal diseases.

Data Provenance | Financial Data Quantitative Analysis NASDAQ Analysis: May 10, 2026

What Is the Investment Thesis for PCVX?

AI-written as of May 10, 2026 — figures and tone reflect the data available then, not today's score.

Vaxcyte's investment thesis centers on its innovative vaccine technology and its potential to address significant unmet needs in the prevention of bacterial infectious diseases. The lead candidate, VAX-24, shows promise in providing broader coverage against pneumococcal disease compared to existing vaccines. Positive Phase 1/2 clinical trial data could serve as a major catalyst, driving investor confidence and potentially leading to partnerships or acquisitions. The company's pipeline, including VAX-XP, VAX-A1, and VAX-PG, offers further growth opportunities by targeting additional infectious diseases. However, the company faces risks associated with clinical trial outcomes, regulatory approvals, and competition from established players in the vaccine market. With a market cap of $8.48B and a beta of 1.39, Vaxcyte presents a high-growth, high-risk investment profile.

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis

PCVX Key Highlights

AI-written as of May 10, 2026 — figures and tone reflect the data available then, not today's score.

Vaxcyte's lead vaccine candidate, VAX-24, is in Phase 1/2 clinical trials, targeting invasive pneumococcal disease and pneumonia.

  • The company is developing VAX-XP to protect against emerging strains and address antibiotic resistance, showcasing their commitment to innovation.
  • Vaxcyte's pipeline includes VAX-A1, a conjugate vaccine candidate designed to treat Group A Strep, expanding their therapeutic focus.
  • VAX-PG, a novel protein vaccine candidate, targets the keystone pathogen responsible for periodontitis, demonstrating their diverse approach to vaccine development.
  • Vaxcyte changed its name from SutroVax, Inc. in May 2020, reflecting its evolution and strategic focus on vaccine development.

Who Are PCVX's Competitors?

PCVX is benchmarked below against 8 industry peers on price, market cap, and our AI MoonshotScore.

Company Price Change Market Cap MoonshotScore
ARWR Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals, Inc. $82.76 +0.16% $11.7B 315-pillar
KRYS Krystal Biotech, Inc. $345.55 -0.73% $10.2B 985-pillar
ACLX Arcellx, Inc. $115.07 +0.02% $6.73B
ALKS Alkermes plc $46.11 +1.56% $7.74B 675-pillar
TGTX TG Therapeutics, Inc. $54.74 -1.17% $8.38B 665-pillar
APGE Apogee Therapeutics, Inc. $135.07 0.00% $8.36B 725-pillar
PTGX Protagonist Therapeutics, Inc. $146.75 +1.10% $9.44B 775-pillar
BLTE Belite Bio, Inc. $175.07 -4.42% $7.02B 805-pillar

AI Score by Stock Expert AI · Price data: FMP / Yahoo Finance

What Are PCVX's Key Strengths?

Innovative vaccine technology platform.

  • Strong pipeline of vaccine candidates.
  • Experienced management team.
  • Focus on addressing unmet needs in infectious disease prevention.

What Are PCVX's Weaknesses?

Clinical-stage company with no currently marketed products.

  • Reliance on successful clinical trial outcomes.
  • High research and development costs.
  • Dependence on regulatory approvals.

What Could Drive PCVX Stock Higher?

Announcement of Phase 1/2 clinical trial results for VAX-24.

  • Initiation of clinical trials for VAX-XP.
  • Continued progress in the development of VAX-A1 and VAX-PG.
  • Potential for strategic partnerships or collaborations.

What Are the Key Risks for PCVX?

Negative return on equity (-32.5%) — the business is not currently generating profit on shareholder capital.

  • Inconsistent delivery — missed Wall Street EPS estimates in 5 of the last 8 reported quarters.
  • Weak fundamentals — a Piotroski F-Score of 0/9 flags soft profitability, leverage or efficiency.
  • Unfavorable clinical trial results for VAX-24 or other vaccine candidates.
  • Regulatory delays or rejection of vaccine approvals.
  • Competition from established vaccine manufacturers.
  • High research and development costs.
  • Intellectual property challenges.

What Are the Growth Opportunities for PCVX?

  • Expansion of VAX-24: Vaxcyte has the opportunity to expand the use of VAX-24 beyond its current Phase 1/2 clinical trials. Positive results could lead to further clinical development and eventual commercialization, addressing a significant portion of the pneumococcal vaccine market.
  • Development of VAX-XP: VAX-XP, designed to protect against emerging pneumococcal strains and address antibiotic resistance, represents a significant growth opportunity. As antibiotic resistance becomes an increasingly pressing global health concern, vaccines that can circumvent this issue will be highly valuable. Successful development and commercialization of VAX-XP could position Vaxcyte as a leader in addressing this critical need.
  • Advancement of VAX-A1: The development of VAX-A1, a conjugate vaccine candidate targeting Group A Strep, offers another avenue for growth. Group A Strep infections are common and can lead to serious complications, creating a substantial market for an effective vaccine. Vaxcyte's focus on this area could lead to a valuable addition to its product portfolio.
  • Commercialization of VAX-PG: VAX-PG, targeting the keystone pathogen responsible for periodontitis, represents a novel approach to addressing a widespread oral health issue. Periodontitis affects a significant portion of the adult population, creating a large potential market for a preventative vaccine. Successful development and commercialization of VAX-PG could establish Vaxcyte in a new therapeutic area.
  • Strategic Partnerships: Vaxcyte can pursue strategic partnerships with larger pharmaceutical companies to accelerate the development and commercialization of its vaccine candidates. Collaborations can provide access to additional resources, expertise, and distribution networks, enhancing the company's ability to bring its products to market and maximize their impact.

What Opportunities Does PCVX Have?

  • Expansion of vaccine pipeline through new targets.
  • Strategic partnerships with larger pharmaceutical companies.
  • Growing demand for preventative healthcare solutions.
  • Addressing the increasing threat of antibiotic resistance.

What Are PCVX's Competitive Advantages?

  • Proprietary vaccine technology platform.
  • Strong intellectual property portfolio.
  • Clinical trial data demonstrating efficacy.
  • Experienced management team with expertise in vaccine development.

What Does PCVX Do?

Vaxcyte, Inc., formerly known as SutroVax, Inc., was founded in 2013 and is headquartered in San Carlos, California. The company is dedicated to the development of innovative protein vaccines designed to prevent and treat bacterial infectious diseases. Vaxcyte's core technology focuses on creating vaccines that offer broad protection against prevalent and emerging bacterial strains. Their lead vaccine candidate, VAX-24, is a 24-valent investigational pneumococcal conjugate vaccine currently undergoing Phase 1/2 clinical trials. This vaccine aims to provide comprehensive coverage against the 24 serotypes of Streptococcus pneumoniae, which are responsible for a significant portion of invasive pneumococcal disease and pneumonia cases. Beyond VAX-24, Vaxcyte is also developing VAX-XP, a vaccine designed to protect against emerging pneumococcal strains and address the growing issue of antibiotic resistance. The company's pipeline includes VAX-A1, a conjugate vaccine candidate targeting Group A Streptococcus (GAS), a bacterium responsible for various infections, including strep throat and rheumatic fever. Additionally, Vaxcyte is developing VAX-PG, a novel protein vaccine candidate targeting the keystone pathogen responsible for periodontitis, a common and serious gum infection. Vaxcyte's strategic focus on addressing unmet needs in infectious disease prevention positions it as a key player in the biotechnology sector.

What Products and Services Does PCVX Offer?

  • Develop novel protein vaccines to prevent bacterial infectious diseases.
  • Focus on vaccines that offer broad protection against prevalent and emerging bacterial strains.
  • Conduct clinical trials to evaluate the safety and efficacy of their vaccine candidates.
  • Target unmet needs in infectious disease prevention.
  • Address the growing issue of antibiotic resistance through innovative vaccine design.
  • Develop conjugate vaccines targeting specific bacterial pathogens.

How Does PCVX Make Money?

  • Research and development of novel protein vaccines.
  • Conducting clinical trials to demonstrate safety and efficacy.
  • Seeking regulatory approval from agencies like the FDA.
  • Commercializing approved vaccines through partnerships or direct sales.

What Industry Does PCVX Operate In?

Vaxcyte operates within the biotechnology industry, specifically focusing on vaccine development. The global vaccine market is experiencing substantial growth, driven by increasing awareness of preventative healthcare, rising prevalence of infectious diseases, and advancements in vaccine technologies. The competitive landscape includes established pharmaceutical companies and other biotechnology firms developing vaccines for various diseases. Vaxcyte differentiates itself through its novel protein vaccine technology and its focus on addressing unmet needs in bacterial infectious diseases. The company's success depends on its ability to navigate the complex regulatory environment and effectively commercialize its vaccine candidates.

Who Are PCVX's Key Customers?

  • Healthcare providers (doctors, hospitals, clinics).
  • Public health organizations (government agencies).
  • Individuals seeking preventative healthcare.
  • Pharmacies and distributors.
Model self-rating on this text: 81% (not a measure of the evidence) Updated: May 10, 2026

Research confidence

High 100/100

Broad, current evidence sits behind this analysis.

  • Scored on 92% of our measures
  • Price is current
  • Latest filing 37 days ago
  • Covered by analysts

Why 54?

Measured against companies in the same sector. The figures below are the factor contributions the scoring engine itself produced.

What is helping

  • +0.23 Bankruptcy-risk score (Financial Strength)
  • +0.16 Net debt vs earnings (Financial Strength)
  • +0.15 12-month price trend (Momentum)

What is holding it back

  • -0.48 5-year net income per share (Growth)
  • -0.27 Financial-health checklist (Financial Strength)
  • -0.21 Operating income growth (Growth)

Contribution = how far the company sits from its sector on that measure, weighted by how much the pillar counts. Not investment advice. How the score is built →

MoonshotScore History

Recorded daily since 2026-08-23 · 19 snapshots

2026-08-23 52
2026-08-26 51
2026-08-29 51
2026-09-01 53
2026-09-04 54
2026-09-07 54
2026-09-10 54

What changed?

The grade moved from 52 to 54 (+2).

What moved it up or down:

  • +5 Financial Safety
  • +5 Valuation
  • +3 Growth Durability

Over the same 18 days the stock moved -4.2%.

Vaxcyte, Inc. Financial Trajectory

Vaxcyte, Inc. (PCVX) reported $0 in revenue for Q2 FY2026, based on the latest filing compared to the prior quarter. The company recorded a net loss of $284.3M, with diluted EPS of $-1.97. Quarter-over-quarter revenue has been mixed, typical for a mid-cap company operating in Healthcare. Across the four most recent quarters, PCVX averaged $-1.91 in diluted EPS.

Company Profile

Vaxcyte, Inc. operates in the Biotechnology industry within the Healthcare sector. It is headquartered in San Carlos, US. The company is led by CEO Grant E. Pickering. PCVX has traded publicly since 2020.

How Vaxcyte, Inc. Is Valued

Vaxcyte, Inc. carries a market capitalization of $8.48B, placing it in the mid-cap category. Analyst price targets span from $58.00 to $163.00, with a consensus of $105.57. At the current price of $58.72, that implies approximately 80% upside potential. Relative to its peer group, PCVX's quantitative score of 54/100 is below the peer average of 70/100.

ROE -33%

Key Financial Metrics

Return on equity for Vaxcyte, Inc. stands at -32.5%, a gauge of how efficiently it converts shareholder capital into profit. Return on assets is -28.3%, showing how much profit it generates from its asset base. Its free cash flow yield is -10.8%, a gauge of the cash the business throws off relative to its market value. A current ratio of 7.49 indicates the company holds enough short-term assets to cover its near-term obligations. Its earnings yield is -13.7%, the inverse of the P/E and a quick read on earnings relative to price.

F-Score 0/9

Financial Health

Vaxcyte, Inc.'s Piotroski F-Score is 0/9, a 9-point checklist of profitability, leverage and efficiency — flagging fundamental weakness worth scrutiny. Its Altman Z-Score of 11.55 places it in the safe zone, indicating low near-term bankruptcy risk.

3/8 beats

Earnings Track Record

Vaxcyte, Inc. has missed Wall Street's EPS estimate in 5 of its last 8 reported quarters — a mixed record worth weighing. Reported results have landed about 5.0% below estimates on average.

Net buying

Insider Activity

Over the past six months, Vaxcyte, Inc. insiders filed 96 SEC Form 4 transactions — 66 sales and 30 purchases. On net that is roughly 114K shares acquired (about $2.1M) — insiders putting money in tends to read as conviction.

PCVX Financials

Fundamental Snapshot

Net Income Growth (FY)
-65.2%
EPS Growth (FY)
-48.2%
Free Cash Flow Growth (FY)
-40.9%
Return on Equity (TTM)
-32.5%
Current Ratio
7.5

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis · FY 2025

Bull Case vs Bear Case

Bull Case

  • Innovative vaccine technology platform.
  • Strong pipeline of vaccine candidates.
  • Experienced management team.
  • Focus on addressing unmet needs in infectious disease prevention.

Bear Case

  • Clinical-stage company with no currently marketed products.
  • Reliance on successful clinical trial outcomes.
  • High research and development costs.
  • Dependence on regulatory approvals.

AI-generated arguments based on insider flow, news sentiment and technicals — not financial advice · September 2026

Recent Quarterly Results

Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q2 FY2026 $0 -$284M -$1.97
Q1 FY2026 $0 -$321M -$2.30
Q4 FY2025 $0 -$247M -$1.81
Q3 FY2025 $0 -$213M -$1.56

Q2 FY2026 · filed 5 Aug 2026 · SEC EDGAR →

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis

PCVX Latest News

PCVX Analyst Consensus

Consensus Rating

Aggregated Buy/Hold/Sell recommendations collected by Financial Modeling Prep for PCVX.

Price Targets

Low
$58.00
Consensus
$105.57
High
$163.00

Median: $89.00 (+79.8% from current price)

Source: FMP analyst consensus · as of Aug 29, 2026 · an estimate, not advice

PCVX MoonshotScore

54/100

What does this score mean?

MoonshotScore is Stock Expert AI's proprietary 0-100 research rating, not a buy or sell recommendation. PCVX scores 54/100 (Grade B): the number comes from the five-pillar engine (business quality, financial safety, valuation, growth durability, momentum), re-ranked daily against sector peers.

Latest Vaxcyte, Inc. Analysis

Leadership: Grant E. Pickering

CEO

Grant E. Pickering serves as the Chief Executive Officer of Vaxcyte, Inc. His career spans several leadership roles within the biotechnology and pharmaceutical industries. Prior to joining Vaxcyte, Pickering held significant positions at leading healthcare companies, contributing to strategic planning, business development, and product commercialization. His experience includes a deep understanding of vaccine development, clinical trials, and regulatory affairs. Pickering's expertise is instrumental in guiding Vaxcyte's strategic direction and driving the company's growth.

Track Record: Under Grant Pickering's leadership, Vaxcyte has advanced its lead vaccine candidate, VAX-24, through Phase 1/2 clinical trials. He has overseen the expansion of the company's pipeline to include VAX-XP, VAX-A1, and VAX-PG, targeting additional infectious diseases. Pickering has also been instrumental in securing funding and establishing strategic partnerships to support Vaxcyte's research and development efforts.

Vaxcyte, Inc. Healthcare Stock: Key Questions Answered

What does the AI Score mean for PCVX?

PCVX holds an AI Score of 54/100 (Grade: B). This is an educational research signal, not a buy or sell recommendation. The number comes from the five-pillar engine (business quality, financial safety, valuation, growth durability, momentum), re-ranked daily against sector peers. Vaxcyte, Inc. is a clinical-stage biotechnology company focused on developing novel protein vaccines for bacterial infectious diseases.

Is PCVX a good stock?

Stock Expert AI does not rate PCVX buy, sell or hold. Vaxcyte, Inc. carries a MoonshotScore of 54/100 on the five-pillar engine, a research rating against its peers. Whether it fits is your call: check what it sells, whether it earns, what the price assumes, and what would prove you wrong.

How does Vaxcyte, Inc. navigate regulatory approval processes?

Vaxcyte, Inc. navigates regulatory approval processes by adhering to stringent guidelines set forth by regulatory agencies such as the FDA in the United States.

What are the key factors to evaluate for PCVX?

Vaxcyte, Inc. (PCVX) holds a MoonshotScore of 54/100 (moderate). Analysts target $105.57 (+80%). With a market cap of $8.48B and a beta of 1.39, Vaxcyte presents a high-growth, high-risk investment profile. Not financial advice.

How frequently does PCVX data refresh on this page?

PCVX's price was last updated on Sep 11, 2026 and refreshes on page view during U.S. market hours; the quote is a provider snapshot, not an exchange feed. Fundamentals update after quarterly filings; the MoonshotScore recalculates nightly; news aggregates continuously.

What has driven PCVX's recent stock price performance?

Vaxcyte, Inc. (PCVX) moves on earnings results, analyst revisions, sector rotation, and market sentiment. Notable catalyst: Innovative vaccine technology platform. See the News tab for the latest drivers. Past performance does not predict future results.

Should investors consider PCVX overvalued or undervalued right now?

Vaxcyte, Inc. (PCVX) has no trailing P/E available here, so lean on price-to-sales and cash flow in the Financials tab. Analysts target $105.57 (+80%) — upside seen. Compare P/E, P/S, and EV/EBITDA against sector peers for a full view.

Can I buy fractional shares of PCVX?

Yes, most major brokerages offer fractional shares of Vaxcyte, Inc. (PCVX) with no minimum purchase requirement. This means you can invest any dollar amount regardless of the share price. Check your brokerage platform for specific terms, fees, and fractional share availability.

How can I track PCVX's earnings and financial reports?

Vaxcyte, Inc. (PCVX) reports quarterly earnings approximately 4-6 weeks after each fiscal quarter ends. You can track earnings dates, revenue and EPS estimates, and actual results on this page's Financials tab. Earnings surprises (beats or misses) often cause significant short-term price moves. Your brokerage can send alerts for PCVX earnings announcements.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Always do your own research and consult a financial advisor.

Official Resources

Price as of Analysis updated MoonshotScore as of
Data Sources & Methodology
Market data powered by Financial Modeling Prep & Yahoo Finance. AI analysis by Stock Expert AI proprietary algorithms. Technical indicators via industry-standard calculations. Last updated: .
Data Provenance
Sources: Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) — Primary · Yahoo Finance — Fallback · Alpaca — Tertiary
Last fetched:
Cache TTL: Quote 5min · Profile 7d · Financials 7d · Insider 48h
How we use AI: Numbers are pulled directly from FMP & Yahoo Finance — our AI writes the analysis, it never edits the figures.
Data provided as-is for educational purposes. Not financial advice. Methodology

Data provided for informational purposes only.

Analysis Notes
  • Information is based on available company data and may be subject to change.
  • Clinical trial outcomes are inherently uncertain and can impact future results.
Data Sources
Financial Modeling Prep (FMP)Stock Expert AI proprietary analysis

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