Takeda Pharmaceutical Company Limited (TAK) Stock Analysis
Educational signal · not a buy or sell recommendation · How to read this
P/E 49.61 means the share price is 49.61 times one year of earnings per share; the S&P 500 usually sits near 20-25. Market cap $57.6B is the value of all shares combined.
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice. Machine-generated analysis by Stock Expert AI — model gpt-4o-mini, generated Jun 14, 2026. Editorial oversight is systemic, not page-by-page. Editorially accountable: Sedat ANAK, Founder and Editor-in-Chief. Data sources: Financial Modeling Prep, Yahoo Finance, SEC EDGAR
Quick AnswerTakeda Pharmaceutical Company Limited (TAK) trades at $18.11 with MoonshotScore 63/100 (Grade B+). Takeda Pharmaceutical Company Limited is a leading global biopharmaceutical company headquartered in Tokyo, Japan, specializing in innovative medicines across various therapeutic areas. Market cap: $57.6B, Sector: Healthcare.
Price as of Sep 11, 2026 · Last analyzed: Jun 14, 2026TAK stock analysis for 2026: The stored analyst price target for Takeda Pharmaceutical Company Limited is $20.68; its date is unknown, so no upside or downside is derived from it against the current price of $18.11. The AI MoonshotScore is 63/100, in the Fair band (45-64) — a research signal, not a recommendation. Key factors: analyst coverage, AI-driven quantitative scoring.
These figures come from statements filed 12 months ago — the most recent this company has published.
TAK: 2/3 scored disciplines lean bullish. Dominant signal: Ray Dalio bullish.
How is this calculated? →Strongest side: Business Quality (8/10, Moderate). Weakest side: Financial Safety (3/10, Weak).
AI simulations built from the named investors' published principles. Not affiliated with, endorsed by, or the opinion of these individuals. How these lenses are built
Why this analysis is different
- A sector-relative MoonshotScore — five pillars (business quality, financial safety, valuation, growth durability, momentum) re-ranked nightly against the full universe of US-listed common stocks.
- An AI Council read across up to eight perspectives — value, macro, quantitative, and momentum lenses — that shows where they disagree instead of averaging the tension away.
- Figures come straight from FMP and Yahoo Finance filings data. The AI writes the narrative around the numbers — it never edits the numbers.
Takeda Pharmaceutical Company Limited (TAK) Healthcare & Pipeline Overview
Takeda Pharmaceutical Company Limited stands out in the healthcare sector as a global leader in biopharmaceuticals, focusing on innovative treatments for gastroenterology, rare diseases, oncology, and neuroscience, with a robust portfolio of well-established brands.
What Is the Investment Thesis for TAK?
Takeda Pharmaceutical Company Limited presents a strong investment thesis driven by its diversified product portfolio and robust pipeline of innovative therapies. With a market capitalization of $57.6B and a P/E ratio of 49.61, the company demonstrates solid financial health. The ongoing expansion into high-growth therapeutic areas, such as oncology and rare diseases, is expected to drive revenue growth, supported by a gross margin of 58.8%. Additionally, Takeda's strategic collaborations and licensing agreements are likely to enhance its research capabilities and accelerate the development of new treatments. However, potential risks include patent expirations and competition from biosimilars, which could impact future profitability. Overall, Takeda's focus on innovation and patient-centric solutions positions it well for sustained growth in the evolving healthcare landscape.
Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis
TAK Key Highlights
Market capitalization of $57.6B reflects strong investor confidence.
- P/E ratio of 49.61 indicates a premium valuation compared to industry peers.
- Profit margin of 4.3% highlights operational efficiency in a competitive market.
- Gross margin of 58.8% exceeds industry averages, showcasing strong product profitability.
- Dividend yield of 3.94% provides a steady income stream for investors.
Who Are TAK's Competitors?
TAK is benchmarked below against 8 industry peers on price, market cap, and our AI MoonshotScore.
| Company | Price | Change | Market Cap | MoonshotScore |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BDX Becton, Dickinson and Company | $176.42 | -1.88% | $48.6B | 705-pillar |
| CAH Cardinal Health, Inc. | $234.29 | -0.73% | $54.9B | 875-pillar |
| EW Edwards Lifesciences Corporation | $86.77 | +0.68% | $50.0B | 895-pillar |
| HLN Haleon plc | $9.22 | -0.11% | $40.6B | 775-pillar |
| A Agilent Technologies, Inc. | $146.25 | +2.19% | $41.3B | 795-pillar |
| MKGAF Merck KGaA | $151.95 | -3.35% | $66.1B | 469-signal |
| TEVA Teva Pharmaceutical Industries Limited | $36.65 | +0.84% | $42.7B | 605-pillar |
| SDZNY Sandoz Group AG | $81.08 | -2.68% | $35.1B | 519-signal |
AI Score by Stock Expert AI · Price data: FMP / Yahoo Finance This table mixes two scoring engines — compare a number only with others carrying the same tag.
What Are TAK's Key Strengths?
Established global presence with a strong market share.
- Diverse product portfolio addressing multiple therapeutic areas.
- Strong financial performance with healthy margins.
- Robust pipeline of innovative therapies in development.
What Are TAK's Weaknesses?
High dependency on a few key products for revenue.
- Exposure to patent expiration risks impacting profitability.
- Significant competition in the biopharmaceutical sector.
- Potential challenges in regulatory approvals and compliance.
What Are the Key Risks for TAK?
Financial-distress signal — its Altman Z-Score of 1.17 sits in the distress zone (elevated bankruptcy risk).
- Inconsistent delivery — missed Wall Street EPS estimates in 6 of the last 8 reported quarters.
- Rich valuation — a P/E of 49.61 runs well above the Healthcare sector’s ~21.50x, leaving little room for a miss.
- Exposure to patent expirations that could impact revenue from key products.
- Intense competition from both established and emerging biopharmaceutical companies.
- Regulatory challenges that may delay product approvals or increase compliance costs.
- Fluctuations in currency exchange rates affecting the profitability of international operations.
What Are the Growth Opportunities for TAK?
- Growth opportunity 1: Takeda's expansion into the oncology market is a significant growth driver, with the global oncology therapeutics market projected to reach $450 billion by 2026. The company's innovative products, such as Adcetris and Exkivity, are positioned to capture market share as demand for targeted therapies increases. Takeda's commitment to research and development in this area, backed by strategic partnerships, enhances its competitive advantage.
- Growth opportunity 2: The rare diseases segment presents a substantial opportunity for Takeda, with the global market expected to exceed $300 billion by 2027. Takeda's existing therapies, such as Natpara and Elaprase, along with its robust pipeline targeting rare conditions, position the company to meet the growing demand for specialized treatments, further solidifying its market presence.
- With a strong portfolio of products like Gammagard Liquid and Hyqvia, Takeda is well-equipped to leverage the increasing demand for these life-saving treatments, particularly in immunology and hematology.
- The company's innovative treatments, including Vyvanse and Trintellix, cater to various neurological conditions, positioning Takeda to capitalize on the rising prevalence of neurological disorders and the demand for effective therapies.
- Growth opportunity 5: Takeda's strategic collaborations and licensing agreements with research institutions and biotech firms enhance its innovation capabilities. By leveraging external expertise and resources, Takeda can accelerate the development of new treatments, particularly in high-growth therapeutic areas, driving long-term growth and value creation.
What Opportunities Does TAK Have?
- Expansion into emerging markets with growing healthcare needs.
- Increasing demand for personalized medicine and targeted therapies.
- Strategic acquisitions to enhance product offerings and market reach.
- Growing focus on rare diseases and specialty pharmaceuticals.
What Threats Does TAK Face?
- Intense competition from both established companies and startups.
- Regulatory changes impacting drug approval processes.
- Pricing pressures from healthcare reforms and market dynamics.
- Risk of supply chain disruptions affecting product availability.
What Are TAK's Competitive Advantages?
- Strong brand recognition with established products across multiple therapeutic areas.
- Robust research and development capabilities leading to innovative therapies.
- Extensive global reach with operations in over 70 countries.
- Strategic partnerships and collaborations enhancing innovation and market access.
- Focus on rare diseases and specialty pharmaceuticals, reducing competition.
What Does TAK Do?
Founded in 1781, Takeda Pharmaceutical Company Limited has evolved from a traditional Japanese pharmacy into a global biopharmaceutical powerhouse. Headquartered in Tokyo, Japan, the company operates in over 70 countries and regions, with a strong commitment to research and development. Takeda specializes in the research, development, manufacture, marketing, and out-licensing of pharmaceutical products. Its extensive product portfolio includes treatments for gastroenterology, rare diseases, plasma-derived therapies, oncology, and neuroscience, featuring well-known brands such as Entyvio, Gattex/Revestive, and Adcetris. The company has established numerous collaborations and licensing agreements with leading organizations, including Neurocrine Biosciences, the University of Texas MD Anderson Cancer Center, and Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals, enhancing its innovative capabilities. Takeda's strategic focus on patient needs and commitment to advancing healthcare solutions has positioned it as a trusted partner in the global pharmaceutical landscape, addressing unmet medical needs and improving patient outcomes.
What Products and Services Does TAK Offer?
- Research and develop innovative pharmaceutical products.
- Manufacture and market a diverse range of medications.
- Focus on therapeutic areas such as gastroenterology, rare diseases, oncology, and neuroscience.
- Engage in out-licensing agreements to expand product reach.
- Collaborate with leading research institutions and biotech companies.
- Provide treatments under well-known brand names.
How Does TAK Make Money?
- Generate revenue through the sale of patented and generic pharmaceutical products.
- Engage in strategic partnerships and collaborations to enhance research capabilities.
- Leverage a strong pipeline of innovative therapies to drive future growth.
- Utilize out-licensing agreements to monetize research and development efforts.
- Focus on patient-centric solutions to address unmet medical needs.
What Industry Does TAK Operate In?
The global pharmaceutical industry is experiencing significant growth, driven by advancements in biotechnology and an increasing focus on personalized medicine. The market for specialty pharmaceuticals, particularly in oncology and rare diseases, is expected to expand rapidly, with a projected CAGR of over 10% through 2028. Takeda Pharmaceutical Company Limited is well-positioned within this landscape, leveraging its extensive research capabilities and established product portfolio to capitalize on these trends. Competitive pressures from both established players and emerging biotech firms necessitate continuous innovation and strategic partnerships to maintain market share.
Who Are TAK's Key Customers?
- Healthcare providers and hospitals seeking innovative treatments.
- Patients requiring specialized medications for chronic conditions.
- Pharmaceutical distributors and wholesalers for product distribution.
- Research institutions collaborating on drug development.
- Regulatory agencies overseeing pharmaceutical approvals.
Research confidence
Broad, current evidence sits behind this analysis.
- ● Scored on 100% of our measures
- ● Price is current
- ● Latest filing 43 days ago
- ● Covered by analysts
- ● Reported in JPY, converted to USD
Why 63?
Measured against companies in the same sector. The figures below are the factor contributions the scoring engine itself produced.
What is helping
- +0.32 Return on equity (Business Quality)
- +0.27 Financial-health checklist (Financial Strength)
- +0.22 Price to book (Valuation)
What is holding it back
- -0.54 Debt to equity (Financial Strength)
- -0.52 Net debt vs earnings (Financial Strength)
- -0.48 5-year net income per share (Growth)
Risk penalties applied
- -0.13 Bankruptcy-risk score in the grey zone
Contribution = how far the company sits from its sector on that measure, weighted by how much the pillar counts. Not investment advice. How the score is built →
MoonshotScore History
Recorded daily since 2026-08-23 · 19 snapshots
| 2026-08-23 | 56 |
| 2026-08-26 | 56 |
| 2026-08-29 | 56 |
| 2026-09-01 | 63 |
| 2026-09-04 | 63 |
| 2026-09-07 | 63 |
| 2026-09-10 | 63 |
What changed?
The grade moved from 56 to 63 (+7).
Over the same 18 days the stock moved +0.2%.
Company Profile
Takeda Pharmaceutical Company Limited operates in the Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic industry within the Healthcare sector. It is headquartered in Tokyo, JP. The company is led by CEO Julie So-Young Kim. TAK has traded publicly since 2010.
Key Financial Metrics
Return on equity for Takeda Pharmaceutical Company Limited stands at 2.4%, a gauge of how efficiently it converts shareholder capital into profit. Return on assets is 1.2%, showing how much profit it generates from its asset base. TAK trades at a trailing price-to-earnings ratio of 49.61, above the Healthcare sector average of ~21.50x. Its free cash flow yield is 7.9%, a gauge of the cash the business throws off relative to its market value. A current ratio of 1.14 indicates the company holds enough short-term assets to cover its near-term obligations. Its earnings yield is 2.1%, the inverse of the P/E and a quick read on earnings relative to price.
TAK Valuation & Market Position
With a $57.6B market cap, Takeda Pharmaceutical Company Limited sits in the large-cap segment of the market. Relative to its peer group, TAK's quantitative score of 63/100 is roughly in line with the peer average of 70/100.
Quarterly Financial Performance: Takeda Pharmaceutical Company Limited
Revenue for Takeda Pharmaceutical Company Limited came in at $7.94B during Q1 FY2026, a 9.4% improvement versus the preceding quarter. The company recorded net income of $736.6M, with diluted EPS of $0.23. Quarter-over-quarter revenue has been mixed, typical for a large-cap company operating in Healthcare. Across the four most recent quarters, TAK averaged $0.09 in diluted EPS.
Financial Health
Takeda Pharmaceutical Company Limited's Piotroski F-Score is 5/9, a 9-point checklist of profitability, leverage and efficiency — a middling fundamental profile. Its Altman Z-Score of 1.17 places it in the distress zone, a signal of elevated financial risk.
Earnings Track Record
Takeda Pharmaceutical Company Limited has missed Wall Street's EPS estimate in 6 of its last 8 reported quarters — a mixed record worth weighing. Reported results have landed about 72.1% below estimates on average.
Forward Outlook
Wall Street analysts project Takeda Pharmaceutical Company Limited revenue of about $4.76T for fiscal 2027, with EPS near $63.06. The estimate reflects 9 contributing analysts.
Insider Activity
Over the past six months, Takeda Pharmaceutical Company Limited insiders filed 79 SEC Form 4 transactions — 26 sales and 53 purchases. On net that is roughly 868K shares acquired (about $12.4M) — insiders putting money in tends to read as conviction.
TAK Financials
Fundamental Snapshot
Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis · FY 2025
Bull Case vs Bear Case
Bull Case
- Established global presence with a strong market share.
- Diverse product portfolio addressing multiple therapeutic areas.
- Strong financial performance with healthy margins.
- Robust pipeline of innovative therapies in development.
Bear Case
- High dependency on a few key products for revenue.
- Exposure to patent expiration risks impacting profitability.
- Significant competition in the biopharmaceutical sector.
- Potential challenges in regulatory approvals and compliance.
AI-generated arguments based on insider flow, news sentiment and technicals — not financial advice · September 2026
Recent Quarterly Results
| Quarter | Revenue | Net Income | EPS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 FY2026 | $7.94B | $737M | $0.23 |
| Q4 FY2025 | $7.25B | -$161M | -$0.05 |
| Q3 FY2025 | $7.89B | $687M | $0.21 |
| Q2 FY2025 | $7.24B | -$77M | -$0.02 |
Q1 FY2026 · filed 30 Jul 2026 · SEC EDGAR →
Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis · Converted to USD from JPY at today's rate
TAK Latest News
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Takeda's Phase 3 Trial Of Oveporexton's Data Published In New England Journal Of Medicine To Treat Narcolepsy Type 1; Oveporexton Generally Well-Tolerated With Consistent Safety Profile
benzinga · Sep 9, 2026
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New England Journal of Medicine Publishes Data from Phase 3 Studies Demonstrating Oveporexton (ORZEYFUL) Improved the Full Range of Narcolepsy Type 1 Symptoms and Quality of Life
Yahoo! Finance: TAK News · Sep 9, 2026
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Onco360® Has Been Selected as Part of an Ultra-Narrow Specialty Pharmacy Network for MIMRYLO™ (rusfertide)
Yahoo! Finance: TAK News · Sep 9, 2026
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Trialbee to Present with Takeda, Showcase AI for Clinical Sites, and Unveil AI-Powered Patient Screening at DPHARM 2026
businesswire.com · Sep 9, 2026
TAK Analyst Consensus
Consensus Rating
Aggregated Buy/Hold/Sell recommendations collected by Financial Modeling Prep for TAK.
Price Targets
Consensus target: $20.68
TAK MoonshotScore
What does this score mean?
MoonshotScore is Stock Expert AI's proprietary 0-100 research rating, not a buy or sell recommendation. TAK scores 63/100 (Grade B+): the number comes from the five-pillar engine (business quality, financial safety, valuation, growth durability, momentum), re-ranked daily against sector peers.
Latest News
Takeda's Phase 3 Trial Of Oveporexton's Data Published In New England Journal Of Medicine To Treat Narcolepsy Type 1; Oveporexton Generally Well-Tolerated With Consistent Safety Profile
New England Journal of Medicine Publishes Data from Phase 3 Studies Demonstrating Oveporexton (ORZEYFUL) Improved the Full Range of Narcolepsy Type 1 Symptoms and Quality of Life
Onco360® Has Been Selected as Part of an Ultra-Narrow Specialty Pharmacy Network for MIMRYLO™ (rusfertide)
Trialbee to Present with Takeda, Showcase AI for Clinical Sites, and Unveil AI-Powered Patient Screening at DPHARM 2026
Leadership: Christophe Weber
President and Chief Executive Officer
Christophe Weber has served as the President and CEO of Takeda Pharmaceutical Company Limited since 2015. He holds a degree in business administration from the University of Tokyo and has extensive experience in the pharmaceutical industry. Prior to joining Takeda, Weber held various leadership roles at GlaxoSmithKline, where he focused on global business development and strategy.
Track Record: Under Weber's leadership, Takeda has successfully transformed its business model, focusing on high-growth therapeutic areas and expanding its global footprint. He has overseen strategic acquisitions and partnerships that have strengthened the company's pipeline and market position.
Takeda Pharmaceutical Company Limited ADR Information
An American Depositary Receipt (ADR) is a negotiable certificate representing shares in a foreign company's stock. Takeda's ADR allows investors in the U.S. to buy shares of the company while simplifying the investment process by trading in U.S. dollars.
- Home Market Ticker: Tokyo, JP
Common Questions About TAK (Healthcare)
What does the AI Score mean for TAK?
TAK holds an AI Score of 63/100 (Grade: B+). This is an educational research signal, not a buy or sell recommendation. The number comes from the five-pillar engine (business quality, financial safety, valuation, growth durability, momentum), re-ranked daily against sector peers.
Is TAK a good stock?
Stock Expert AI does not rate TAK buy, sell or hold. Takeda Pharmaceutical Company Limited carries a MoonshotScore of 63/100 on the five-pillar engine, a research rating against its peers. Whether it fits is your call: check what it sells, whether it earns, what the price assumes, and what would prove you wrong.
What are the main risks for TAK?
Takeda Pharmaceutical Company Limited faces several risks, including exposure to patent expirations that could significantly impact revenue from key products.
What are the key factors to evaluate for TAK?
Takeda Pharmaceutical Company Limited (TAK) holds a MoonshotScore of 63/100 (moderate). P/E: 49.61x vs the S&P 500's ~20-25x. Not financial advice.
How frequently does TAK data refresh on this page?
TAK's price was last updated on Sep 11, 2026 and refreshes on page view during U.S. market hours; the quote is a provider snapshot, not an exchange feed. Fundamentals update after quarterly filings; the MoonshotScore recalculates nightly; news aggregates continuously.
What has driven TAK's recent stock price performance?
Takeda Pharmaceutical Company Limited (TAK) moves on earnings results, analyst revisions, sector rotation, and market sentiment. Notable catalyst: Established global presence with a strong market share. See the News tab for the latest drivers. Past performance does not predict future results.
Should investors consider TAK overvalued or undervalued right now?
Takeda Pharmaceutical Company Limited (TAK) trades at 49.61x earnings. Compare P/E, P/S, and EV/EBITDA against sector peers for a full view.
Can I buy fractional shares of TAK?
Yes, most major brokerages offer fractional shares of Takeda Pharmaceutical Company Limited (TAK) with no minimum purchase requirement. This means you can invest any dollar amount regardless of the share price. Check your brokerage platform for specific terms, fees, and fractional share availability.
How can I track TAK's earnings and financial reports?
Takeda Pharmaceutical Company Limited (TAK) reports quarterly earnings approximately 4-6 weeks after each fiscal quarter ends. You can track earnings dates, revenue and EPS estimates, and actual results on this page's Financials tab. Earnings surprises (beats or misses) often cause significant short-term price moves. Your brokerage can send alerts for TAK earnings announcements.
Disclaimer: This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Always do your own research and consult a financial advisor.
Official Resources
Data provided for informational purposes only.
- Data is based on the latest available information and may be subject to change.