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Takeda Pharmaceutical Company Limited (TAK) Stock Analysis

Educational signal · not a buy or sell recommendation · How to read this

$18.11 -$0.10 (-0.55%) |Fair · 63
Takeda Pharmaceutical Company Limited (TAK) bottom line: signals are mixed — the Council read leans Bullish Lean (61/100) while the AI fundamental score is 63/100 (grade B+); the two lenses disagree, so weigh the breakdown below. Strongest signal: Ray Dalio bullish · Biggest watch-out: Izzy Englander bearish.Educational signal, not a buy or sell recommendation. Compare sector peers → · Read the method →
MCap: $57.6B| P/E Ratio: 49.61| Vol: 1.70M| Target: $20.68 (estimate, not advice)| 52-wk range: $12.99 – $18.90

P/E 49.61 means the share price is 49.61 times one year of earnings per share; the S&P 500 usually sits near 20-25. Market cap $57.6B is the value of all shares combined.

Data from FMP · Methodology

For informational purposes only. Not financial advice. Machine-generated analysis by Stock Expert AI — model gpt-4o-mini, generated Jun 14, 2026. Editorial oversight is systemic, not page-by-page. Editorially accountable: Sedat ANAK, Founder and Editor-in-Chief. Data sources: Financial Modeling Prep, Yahoo Finance, SEC EDGAR

Quick Answer

Takeda Pharmaceutical Company Limited (TAK) trades at $18.11 with MoonshotScore 63/100 (Grade B+). Takeda Pharmaceutical Company Limited is a leading global biopharmaceutical company headquartered in Tokyo, Japan, specializing in innovative medicines across various therapeutic areas. Market cap: $57.6B, Sector: Healthcare.

Price as of Sep 11, 2026 · Last analyzed: Jun 14, 2026
Takeda Pharmaceutical Company Limited is a leading global biopharmaceutical company headquartered in Tokyo, Japan, specializing in innovative medicines across various therapeutic areas. The company has a strong market presence in gastroenterology, rare diseases, oncology, and neuroscience.

TAK stock analysis for 2026: The stored analyst price target for Takeda Pharmaceutical Company Limited is $20.68; its date is unknown, so no upside or downside is derived from it against the current price of $18.11. The AI MoonshotScore is 63/100, in the Fair band (45-64) — a research signal, not a recommendation. Key factors: analyst coverage, AI-driven quantitative scoring.

Watch the TAK film Every key number, told as a short cinematic story — just press play. ~2 min

These figures come from statements filed 12 months ago — the most recent this company has published.

Council Score · Weighted Average of 3 Disciplines
Bullish Lean 61/100 · B+

TAK: 2/3 scored disciplines lean bullish. Dominant signal: Ray Dalio bullish.

How is this calculated? →
MoonshotScore · Five-pillar engine · 63/100
Business Quality
Moderate Is this a genuinely good business?
Financial Safety
Weak Could this blow up on me?
Valuation
Moderate Am I paying a fair price?
Growth Durability
Moderate Is the growth real and likely to last?
Momentum
Moderate Is the market already moving on this?

Strongest side: Business Quality (8/10, Moderate). Weakest side: Financial Safety (3/10, Weak).

Legends Council · 5 Legends + Moon AI

AI simulations built from the named investors' published principles. Not affiliated with, endorsed by, or the opinion of these individuals. How these lenses are built

Dalio-style lens (simulated)Ray Dalio
Favorable read
Griffin-style lens (simulated)Ken Griffin
Favorable read
Englander-style lens (simulated)Izzy Englander
Unfavorable read
Klarman-style lens (simulated)Seth Klarman
Favorable read
Moon AI lens (model)
Favorable read
Munger's Mindset · Balance Sheet & Valuation
Financial Health
Weak
Margin of Safety
Undervalued
Council Score · Weighted Average of 3 Disciplines · See tabs for details →
The lenses are modelled on the published principles of the investors named. We are not affiliated with them, they have not endorsed this, and it is not their opinion of this stock.

Why this analysis is different

  • A sector-relative MoonshotScore — five pillars (business quality, financial safety, valuation, growth durability, momentum) re-ranked nightly against the full universe of US-listed common stocks.
  • An AI Council read across up to eight perspectives — value, macro, quantitative, and momentum lenses — that shows where they disagree instead of averaging the tension away.
  • Figures come straight from FMP and Yahoo Finance filings data. The AI writes the narrative around the numbers — it never edits the numbers.

Takeda Pharmaceutical Company Limited (TAK) Healthcare & Pipeline Overview

CEOChristophe Weber
Employees47,029
HeadquartersTokyo, JP
IPO Year2010

Takeda Pharmaceutical Company Limited stands out in the healthcare sector as a global leader in biopharmaceuticals, focusing on innovative treatments for gastroenterology, rare diseases, oncology, and neuroscience, with a robust portfolio of well-established brands.

Data Provenance | Financial Data Quantitative Analysis NYSE Analysis: Jun 14, 2026

What Is the Investment Thesis for TAK?

AI-written as of Jun 14, 2026 — figures and tone reflect the data available then, not today's score.

Takeda Pharmaceutical Company Limited presents a strong investment thesis driven by its diversified product portfolio and robust pipeline of innovative therapies. With a market capitalization of $57.6B and a P/E ratio of 49.61, the company demonstrates solid financial health. The ongoing expansion into high-growth therapeutic areas, such as oncology and rare diseases, is expected to drive revenue growth, supported by a gross margin of 58.8%. Additionally, Takeda's strategic collaborations and licensing agreements are likely to enhance its research capabilities and accelerate the development of new treatments. However, potential risks include patent expirations and competition from biosimilars, which could impact future profitability. Overall, Takeda's focus on innovation and patient-centric solutions positions it well for sustained growth in the evolving healthcare landscape.

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis

TAK Key Highlights

AI-written as of Jun 14, 2026 — figures and tone reflect the data available then, not today's score.

Market capitalization of $57.6B reflects strong investor confidence.

  • P/E ratio of 49.61 indicates a premium valuation compared to industry peers.
  • Profit margin of 4.3% highlights operational efficiency in a competitive market.
  • Gross margin of 58.8% exceeds industry averages, showcasing strong product profitability.
  • Dividend yield of 3.94% provides a steady income stream for investors.

Who Are TAK's Competitors?

TAK is benchmarked below against 8 industry peers on price, market cap, and our AI MoonshotScore.

Company Price Change Market Cap MoonshotScore
BDX Becton, Dickinson and Company $176.42 -1.88% $48.6B 705-pillar
CAH Cardinal Health, Inc. $234.29 -0.73% $54.9B 875-pillar
EW Edwards Lifesciences Corporation $86.77 +0.68% $50.0B 895-pillar
HLN Haleon plc $9.22 -0.11% $40.6B 775-pillar
A Agilent Technologies, Inc. $146.25 +2.19% $41.3B 795-pillar
MKGAF Merck KGaA $151.95 -3.35% $66.1B 469-signal
TEVA Teva Pharmaceutical Industries Limited $36.65 +0.84% $42.7B 605-pillar
SDZNY Sandoz Group AG $81.08 -2.68% $35.1B 519-signal

AI Score by Stock Expert AI · Price data: FMP / Yahoo Finance This table mixes two scoring engines — compare a number only with others carrying the same tag.

What Are TAK's Key Strengths?

Established global presence with a strong market share.

  • Diverse product portfolio addressing multiple therapeutic areas.
  • Strong financial performance with healthy margins.
  • Robust pipeline of innovative therapies in development.

What Are TAK's Weaknesses?

High dependency on a few key products for revenue.

  • Exposure to patent expiration risks impacting profitability.
  • Significant competition in the biopharmaceutical sector.
  • Potential challenges in regulatory approvals and compliance.

What Are the Key Risks for TAK?

Financial-distress signal — its Altman Z-Score of 1.17 sits in the distress zone (elevated bankruptcy risk).

  • Inconsistent delivery — missed Wall Street EPS estimates in 6 of the last 8 reported quarters.
  • Rich valuation — a P/E of 49.61 runs well above the Healthcare sector’s ~21.50x, leaving little room for a miss.
  • Exposure to patent expirations that could impact revenue from key products.
  • Intense competition from both established and emerging biopharmaceutical companies.
  • Regulatory challenges that may delay product approvals or increase compliance costs.
  • Fluctuations in currency exchange rates affecting the profitability of international operations.

What Are the Growth Opportunities for TAK?

  • Growth opportunity 1: Takeda's expansion into the oncology market is a significant growth driver, with the global oncology therapeutics market projected to reach $450 billion by 2026. The company's innovative products, such as Adcetris and Exkivity, are positioned to capture market share as demand for targeted therapies increases. Takeda's commitment to research and development in this area, backed by strategic partnerships, enhances its competitive advantage.
  • Growth opportunity 2: The rare diseases segment presents a substantial opportunity for Takeda, with the global market expected to exceed $300 billion by 2027. Takeda's existing therapies, such as Natpara and Elaprase, along with its robust pipeline targeting rare conditions, position the company to meet the growing demand for specialized treatments, further solidifying its market presence.
  • With a strong portfolio of products like Gammagard Liquid and Hyqvia, Takeda is well-equipped to leverage the increasing demand for these life-saving treatments, particularly in immunology and hematology.
  • The company's innovative treatments, including Vyvanse and Trintellix, cater to various neurological conditions, positioning Takeda to capitalize on the rising prevalence of neurological disorders and the demand for effective therapies.
  • Growth opportunity 5: Takeda's strategic collaborations and licensing agreements with research institutions and biotech firms enhance its innovation capabilities. By leveraging external expertise and resources, Takeda can accelerate the development of new treatments, particularly in high-growth therapeutic areas, driving long-term growth and value creation.

What Opportunities Does TAK Have?

  • Expansion into emerging markets with growing healthcare needs.
  • Increasing demand for personalized medicine and targeted therapies.
  • Strategic acquisitions to enhance product offerings and market reach.
  • Growing focus on rare diseases and specialty pharmaceuticals.

What Threats Does TAK Face?

  • Intense competition from both established companies and startups.
  • Regulatory changes impacting drug approval processes.
  • Pricing pressures from healthcare reforms and market dynamics.
  • Risk of supply chain disruptions affecting product availability.

What Are TAK's Competitive Advantages?

  • Strong brand recognition with established products across multiple therapeutic areas.
  • Robust research and development capabilities leading to innovative therapies.
  • Extensive global reach with operations in over 70 countries.
  • Strategic partnerships and collaborations enhancing innovation and market access.
  • Focus on rare diseases and specialty pharmaceuticals, reducing competition.

What Does TAK Do?

Founded in 1781, Takeda Pharmaceutical Company Limited has evolved from a traditional Japanese pharmacy into a global biopharmaceutical powerhouse. Headquartered in Tokyo, Japan, the company operates in over 70 countries and regions, with a strong commitment to research and development. Takeda specializes in the research, development, manufacture, marketing, and out-licensing of pharmaceutical products. Its extensive product portfolio includes treatments for gastroenterology, rare diseases, plasma-derived therapies, oncology, and neuroscience, featuring well-known brands such as Entyvio, Gattex/Revestive, and Adcetris. The company has established numerous collaborations and licensing agreements with leading organizations, including Neurocrine Biosciences, the University of Texas MD Anderson Cancer Center, and Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals, enhancing its innovative capabilities. Takeda's strategic focus on patient needs and commitment to advancing healthcare solutions has positioned it as a trusted partner in the global pharmaceutical landscape, addressing unmet medical needs and improving patient outcomes.

What Products and Services Does TAK Offer?

  • Research and develop innovative pharmaceutical products.
  • Manufacture and market a diverse range of medications.
  • Focus on therapeutic areas such as gastroenterology, rare diseases, oncology, and neuroscience.
  • Engage in out-licensing agreements to expand product reach.
  • Collaborate with leading research institutions and biotech companies.
  • Provide treatments under well-known brand names.

How Does TAK Make Money?

  • Generate revenue through the sale of patented and generic pharmaceutical products.
  • Engage in strategic partnerships and collaborations to enhance research capabilities.
  • Leverage a strong pipeline of innovative therapies to drive future growth.
  • Utilize out-licensing agreements to monetize research and development efforts.
  • Focus on patient-centric solutions to address unmet medical needs.

What Industry Does TAK Operate In?

The global pharmaceutical industry is experiencing significant growth, driven by advancements in biotechnology and an increasing focus on personalized medicine. The market for specialty pharmaceuticals, particularly in oncology and rare diseases, is expected to expand rapidly, with a projected CAGR of over 10% through 2028. Takeda Pharmaceutical Company Limited is well-positioned within this landscape, leveraging its extensive research capabilities and established product portfolio to capitalize on these trends. Competitive pressures from both established players and emerging biotech firms necessitate continuous innovation and strategic partnerships to maintain market share.

Who Are TAK's Key Customers?

  • Healthcare providers and hospitals seeking innovative treatments.
  • Patients requiring specialized medications for chronic conditions.
  • Pharmaceutical distributors and wholesalers for product distribution.
  • Research institutions collaborating on drug development.
  • Regulatory agencies overseeing pharmaceutical approvals.
Model self-rating on this text: 74% (not a measure of the evidence) Updated: Jun 14, 2026

Research confidence

High 100/100

Broad, current evidence sits behind this analysis.

  • Scored on 100% of our measures
  • Price is current
  • Latest filing 43 days ago
  • Covered by analysts
  • Reported in JPY, converted to USD

Why 63?

Measured against companies in the same sector. The figures below are the factor contributions the scoring engine itself produced.

What is helping

  • +0.32 Return on equity (Business Quality)
  • +0.27 Financial-health checklist (Financial Strength)
  • +0.22 Price to book (Valuation)

What is holding it back

  • -0.54 Debt to equity (Financial Strength)
  • -0.52 Net debt vs earnings (Financial Strength)
  • -0.48 5-year net income per share (Growth)

Risk penalties applied

  • -0.13 Bankruptcy-risk score in the grey zone

Contribution = how far the company sits from its sector on that measure, weighted by how much the pillar counts. Not investment advice. How the score is built →

MoonshotScore History

Recorded daily since 2026-08-23 · 19 snapshots

2026-08-23 56
2026-08-26 56
2026-08-29 56
2026-09-01 63
2026-09-04 63
2026-09-07 63
2026-09-10 63

What changed?

The grade moved from 56 to 63 (+7).

Over the same 18 days the stock moved +0.2%.

Company Profile

Takeda Pharmaceutical Company Limited operates in the Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic industry within the Healthcare sector. It is headquartered in Tokyo, JP. The company is led by CEO Julie So-Young Kim. TAK has traded publicly since 2010.

ROE 2%

Key Financial Metrics

Return on equity for Takeda Pharmaceutical Company Limited stands at 2.4%, a gauge of how efficiently it converts shareholder capital into profit. Return on assets is 1.2%, showing how much profit it generates from its asset base. TAK trades at a trailing price-to-earnings ratio of 49.61, above the Healthcare sector average of ~21.50x. Its free cash flow yield is 7.9%, a gauge of the cash the business throws off relative to its market value. A current ratio of 1.14 indicates the company holds enough short-term assets to cover its near-term obligations. Its earnings yield is 2.1%, the inverse of the P/E and a quick read on earnings relative to price.

TAK Valuation & Market Position

With a $57.6B market cap, Takeda Pharmaceutical Company Limited sits in the large-cap segment of the market. Relative to its peer group, TAK's quantitative score of 63/100 is roughly in line with the peer average of 70/100.

Quarterly Financial Performance: Takeda Pharmaceutical Company Limited

Revenue for Takeda Pharmaceutical Company Limited came in at $7.94B during Q1 FY2026, a 9.4% improvement versus the preceding quarter. The company recorded net income of $736.6M, with diluted EPS of $0.23. Quarter-over-quarter revenue has been mixed, typical for a large-cap company operating in Healthcare. Across the four most recent quarters, TAK averaged $0.09 in diluted EPS.

F-Score 5/9

Financial Health

Takeda Pharmaceutical Company Limited's Piotroski F-Score is 5/9, a 9-point checklist of profitability, leverage and efficiency — a middling fundamental profile. Its Altman Z-Score of 1.17 places it in the distress zone, a signal of elevated financial risk.

2/8 beats

Earnings Track Record

Takeda Pharmaceutical Company Limited has missed Wall Street's EPS estimate in 6 of its last 8 reported quarters — a mixed record worth weighing. Reported results have landed about 72.1% below estimates on average.

FY2027 est

Forward Outlook

Wall Street analysts project Takeda Pharmaceutical Company Limited revenue of about $4.76T for fiscal 2027, with EPS near $63.06. The estimate reflects 9 contributing analysts.

Net buying

Insider Activity

Over the past six months, Takeda Pharmaceutical Company Limited insiders filed 79 SEC Form 4 transactions — 26 sales and 53 purchases. On net that is roughly 868K shares acquired (about $12.4M) — insiders putting money in tends to read as conviction.

TAK Financials

Fundamental Snapshot

Revenue Growth (FY)
+4.3%
Net Income Growth (FY)
+88.4%
EPS Growth (FY)
+87.0%
Free Cash Flow Growth (FY)
-7.5%
P/E (TTM)
49.61
Return on Equity (TTM)
+2.4%
Current Ratio
1.1
EV/EBITDA (TTM)
10.6

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis · FY 2025

Bull Case vs Bear Case

Bull Case

  • Established global presence with a strong market share.
  • Diverse product portfolio addressing multiple therapeutic areas.
  • Strong financial performance with healthy margins.
  • Robust pipeline of innovative therapies in development.

Bear Case

  • High dependency on a few key products for revenue.
  • Exposure to patent expiration risks impacting profitability.
  • Significant competition in the biopharmaceutical sector.
  • Potential challenges in regulatory approvals and compliance.

AI-generated arguments based on insider flow, news sentiment and technicals — not financial advice · September 2026

Recent Quarterly Results

Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q1 FY2026 $7.94B $737M $0.23
Q4 FY2025 $7.25B -$161M -$0.05
Q3 FY2025 $7.89B $687M $0.21
Q2 FY2025 $7.24B -$77M -$0.02

Q1 FY2026 · filed 30 Jul 2026 · SEC EDGAR →

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis · Converted to USD from JPY at today's rate

TAK Latest News

TAK Analyst Consensus

Consensus Rating

Aggregated Buy/Hold/Sell recommendations collected by Financial Modeling Prep for TAK.

Price Targets

Consensus target: $20.68

TAK MoonshotScore

63/100

What does this score mean?

MoonshotScore is Stock Expert AI's proprietary 0-100 research rating, not a buy or sell recommendation. TAK scores 63/100 (Grade B+): the number comes from the five-pillar engine (business quality, financial safety, valuation, growth durability, momentum), re-ranked daily against sector peers.

Leadership: Christophe Weber

President and Chief Executive Officer

Christophe Weber has served as the President and CEO of Takeda Pharmaceutical Company Limited since 2015. He holds a degree in business administration from the University of Tokyo and has extensive experience in the pharmaceutical industry. Prior to joining Takeda, Weber held various leadership roles at GlaxoSmithKline, where he focused on global business development and strategy.

Track Record: Under Weber's leadership, Takeda has successfully transformed its business model, focusing on high-growth therapeutic areas and expanding its global footprint. He has overseen strategic acquisitions and partnerships that have strengthened the company's pipeline and market position.

Takeda Pharmaceutical Company Limited ADR Information

An American Depositary Receipt (ADR) is a negotiable certificate representing shares in a foreign company's stock. Takeda's ADR allows investors in the U.S. to buy shares of the company while simplifying the investment process by trading in U.S. dollars.

  • Home Market Ticker: Tokyo, JP
Currency Risk: Investors holding Takeda's ADR are exposed to currency risk, as fluctuations in the exchange rate between the U.S. dollar and the Japanese yen can impact the value of their investment. Currency depreciation of the yen against the dollar may negatively affect returns for U.S. investors.
Tax Implications: U.S. investors in Takeda's ADR may be subject to a foreign dividend withholding tax rate of 15% on dividends paid. Tax treaties between the U.S. and Japan may offer some relief, but investors should consult tax professionals for specific implications.
Trading Hours: The Tokyo Stock Exchange operates from 9:00 AM to 3:00 PM JST, while U.S. markets typically operate from 9:30 AM to 4:00 PM EST. This results in a time difference that may affect trading volumes and liquidity for Takeda's ADR.

Common Questions About TAK (Healthcare)

What does the AI Score mean for TAK?

TAK holds an AI Score of 63/100 (Grade: B+). This is an educational research signal, not a buy or sell recommendation. The number comes from the five-pillar engine (business quality, financial safety, valuation, growth durability, momentum), re-ranked daily against sector peers.

Is TAK a good stock?

Stock Expert AI does not rate TAK buy, sell or hold. Takeda Pharmaceutical Company Limited carries a MoonshotScore of 63/100 on the five-pillar engine, a research rating against its peers. Whether it fits is your call: check what it sells, whether it earns, what the price assumes, and what would prove you wrong.

What are the main risks for TAK?

Takeda Pharmaceutical Company Limited faces several risks, including exposure to patent expirations that could significantly impact revenue from key products.

What are the key factors to evaluate for TAK?

Takeda Pharmaceutical Company Limited (TAK) holds a MoonshotScore of 63/100 (moderate). P/E: 49.61x vs the S&P 500's ~20-25x. Not financial advice.

How frequently does TAK data refresh on this page?

TAK's price was last updated on Sep 11, 2026 and refreshes on page view during U.S. market hours; the quote is a provider snapshot, not an exchange feed. Fundamentals update after quarterly filings; the MoonshotScore recalculates nightly; news aggregates continuously.

What has driven TAK's recent stock price performance?

Takeda Pharmaceutical Company Limited (TAK) moves on earnings results, analyst revisions, sector rotation, and market sentiment. Notable catalyst: Established global presence with a strong market share. See the News tab for the latest drivers. Past performance does not predict future results.

Should investors consider TAK overvalued or undervalued right now?

Takeda Pharmaceutical Company Limited (TAK) trades at 49.61x earnings. Compare P/E, P/S, and EV/EBITDA against sector peers for a full view.

Can I buy fractional shares of TAK?

Yes, most major brokerages offer fractional shares of Takeda Pharmaceutical Company Limited (TAK) with no minimum purchase requirement. This means you can invest any dollar amount regardless of the share price. Check your brokerage platform for specific terms, fees, and fractional share availability.

How can I track TAK's earnings and financial reports?

Takeda Pharmaceutical Company Limited (TAK) reports quarterly earnings approximately 4-6 weeks after each fiscal quarter ends. You can track earnings dates, revenue and EPS estimates, and actual results on this page's Financials tab. Earnings surprises (beats or misses) often cause significant short-term price moves. Your brokerage can send alerts for TAK earnings announcements.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Always do your own research and consult a financial advisor.

Official Resources

Price as of Analysis updated MoonshotScore as of
Data Sources & Methodology
Market data powered by Financial Modeling Prep & Yahoo Finance. AI analysis by Stock Expert AI proprietary algorithms. Technical indicators via industry-standard calculations. Last updated: .
Data Provenance
Sources: Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) — Primary · Yahoo Finance — Fallback · Alpaca — Tertiary
Last fetched:
Cache TTL: Quote 5min · Profile 7d · Financials 7d · Insider 48h
How we use AI: Numbers are pulled directly from FMP & Yahoo Finance — our AI writes the analysis, it never edits the figures.
Data provided as-is for educational purposes. Not financial advice. Methodology

Data provided for informational purposes only.

Analysis Notes
  • Data is based on the latest available information and may be subject to change.
Data Sources
Financial Modeling Prep (FMP)Stock Expert AI proprietary analysis

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