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XPEL, Inc. (XPEL) Stock Analysis

Educational signal · not a buy or sell recommendation · How to read this

$48.23 +$0.17 (+0.35%) |Exceptional · 85
XPEL, Inc. (XPEL) bottom line: Bullish Lean — our Council read (73/100) and AI Score (85/100) broadly agree. Strongest signal: Financial Safety · Biggest watch-out: Valuation.Educational signal, not a buy or sell recommendation. Compare sector peers → · Read the method →
MCap: $1.33B| P/E Ratio: 24.27| Vol: 64.1K| Target: $65.00 (+34.8%) (Aug 25, 2026) (estimate, not advice)| 52-wk range: $31.50 – $55.91

P/E 24.27 means the share price is 24.27 times one year of earnings per share; the S&P 500 usually sits near 20-25. Market cap $1.33B is the value of all shares combined. Beta 1.23: the stock has moved about 23% more than the S&P 500.

Data from FMP · Methodology

For informational purposes only. Not financial advice. Machine-generated analysis by Stock Expert AI — model gemini-2.0-flash, generated May 10, 2026. Editorial oversight is systemic, not page-by-page. Editorially accountable: Sedat ANAK, Founder and Editor-in-Chief. Data sources: Financial Modeling Prep, Yahoo Finance, SEC EDGAR

Quick Answer

XPEL, Inc. (XPEL) trades at $48.23 with MoonshotScore 85/100 (Grade A+). XPEL, Inc. specializes in manufacturing and distributing aftermarket automotive products, including paint protection films and window films. Market cap: $1.33B, Sector: Consumer cyclical.

Price as of Sep 11, 2026 · Last analyzed: May 10, 2026
XPEL, Inc. specializes in manufacturing and distributing aftermarket automotive products, including paint protection films and window films. The company serves a global market through independent installers, dealerships, and company-owned centers.

XPEL stock analysis for 2026: Analysts have set a consensus price target of $65.00 for XPEL, Inc., suggesting 34.8% upside from the current price of $48.23. The AI MoonshotScore is 85/100, in the Exceptional band (80-100) — a research signal, not a recommendation. Key factors: analyst coverage, AI-driven quantitative scoring.

Watch the XPEL film Every key number, told as a short cinematic story — just press play. ~2 min

These figures come from statements filed 12 months ago — the most recent this company has published.

Council Score · Weighted Average of 3 Disciplines
Bullish Lean 73/100 · A

XPEL: 2/3 scored disciplines lean bullish. Dominant signal: Izzy Englander bullish.

How is this calculated? →
MoonshotScore · Five-pillar engine · 85/100
Business Quality
Moderate Is this a genuinely good business?
Financial Safety
Strong Could this blow up on me?
Valuation
Weak Am I paying a fair price?
Growth Durability
Strong Is the growth real and likely to last?
Momentum
Strong Is the market already moving on this?

Strongest side: Financial Safety (10/10, Strong). Weakest side: Valuation (3/10, Weak).

Legends Council · 5 Legends + Moon AI

AI simulations built from the named investors' published principles. Not affiliated with, endorsed by, or the opinion of these individuals. How these lenses are built

Dalio-style lens (simulated)Ray Dalio
Favorable read
Griffin-style lens (simulated)Ken Griffin
Neutral read
Simons-style lens (simulated)Jim Simons
Neutral read
Englander-style lens (simulated)Izzy Englander
Favorable read
Klarman-style lens (simulated)Seth Klarman
Favorable read
Moon AI lens (model)
Favorable read
Munger's Mindset · Balance Sheet & Valuation
Financial Health
Moderate
Margin of Safety
Fairly Valued
Council Score · Weighted Average of 3 Disciplines · See tabs for details →
The lenses are modelled on the published principles of the investors named. We are not affiliated with them, they have not endorsed this, and it is not their opinion of this stock.

Why this analysis is different

  • A sector-relative MoonshotScore — five pillars (business quality, financial safety, valuation, growth durability, momentum) re-ranked nightly against the full universe of US-listed common stocks.
  • An AI Council read across up to eight perspectives — value, macro, quantitative, and momentum lenses — that shows where they disagree instead of averaging the tension away.
  • Figures come straight from FMP and Yahoo Finance filings data. The AI writes the narrative around the numbers — it never edits the numbers.

XPEL, Inc. (XPEL) Consumer Business Overview

CEORyan L. Pape
Employees1,337
HeadquartersSan Antonio, TX, US
IPO Year2019
IndustryAuto - Parts

XPEL, Inc. is a global provider of aftermarket automotive products, specializing in paint protection films and window films. With a focus on proprietary software and a diverse distribution network, XPEL caters to independent installers, dealerships, and consumers across multiple regions, positioning itself in the automotive aftermarket within the consumer cyclical sector.

Data Provenance | Financial Data Quantitative Analysis NASDAQ Analysis: May 10, 2026

What Is the Investment Thesis for XPEL?

AI-written as of May 10, 2026 — figures and tone reflect the data available then, not today's score.

With a P/E ratio of 24.27 and a profit margin of 10.8%, XPEL demonstrates solid financial performance. The company's growth is supported by its diverse product offerings, including paint protection films and window films, and its global distribution network. Catalysts include expansion into new geographic markets and continued innovation in product development. However, potential risks include fluctuations in raw material costs and increased competition in the automotive aftermarket. The company's beta of 1.23 indicates a higher volatility compared to the market.

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis

XPEL Key Highlights

AI-written as of May 10, 2026 — figures and tone reflect the data available then, not today's score.

Market capitalization of $1.33B, reflecting substantial investor confidence in XPEL's growth potential.

  • P/E ratio of 24.27, indicating a premium valuation based on earnings expectations.
  • Gross margin of 42.5%, showcasing efficient cost management and strong pricing power.
  • Profit margin of 10.8%, demonstrating the company's ability to convert revenue into profit.
  • Global presence across key automotive markets, including the United States, China, and Europe, providing diversified revenue streams.

Who Are XPEL's Competitors?

XPEL is benchmarked below against 8 industry peers on price, market cap, and our AI MoonshotScore.

Company Price Change Market Cap MoonshotScore
ADNT Adient plc $18.86 +2.95% $1.48B 685-pillar
THRM Gentherm Incorporated $38.33 -0.23% $1.18B 625-pillar
GT The Goodyear Tire & Rubber Company $5.54 -3.65% $1.59B 405-pillar
ATNNF Autoneum Holding AG $188.00 0.00% $1.09B 469-signal
PLOW Douglas Dynamics, Inc. $40.68 +0.39% $941M 429-signal
SFHLF SAF-Holland SE $18.86 0.00% $856M 459-signal
SMP Standard Motor Products, Inc. $38.46 -1.91% $856M 715-pillar
FOXF Fox Factory Holding Corp. $19.62 +0.31% $823M 415-pillar

AI Score by Stock Expert AI · Price data: FMP / Yahoo Finance This table mixes two scoring engines — compare a number only with others carrying the same tag.

What Are XPEL's Key Strengths?

Strong brand reputation for high-quality products.

  • Proprietary software enhancing installation precision.
  • Global distribution network with diverse channels.
  • Continuous product innovation and development.

What Are XPEL's Weaknesses?

Dependence on automotive industry trends.

  • Exposure to fluctuations in raw material costs.
  • Potential for increased competition in the aftermarket.
  • Limited brand recognition compared to larger automotive brands.

What Could Drive XPEL Stock Higher?

Launch of new paint protection film technologies with enhanced durability and self-healing properties.

  • Expansion into new geographic markets, particularly in Asia Pacific and Latin America.
  • Strategic partnerships with automotive manufacturers and dealerships to increase product visibility.
  • Continued development of proprietary software solutions for improved installation efficiency.

What Are the Key Risks for XPEL?

Economic downturns impacting consumer spending on automotive aftermarket products.

  • Fluctuations in raw material costs, such as polymers and adhesives, affecting profit margins.
  • Increased competition from new market entrants and established players in the automotive film industry.
  • Changes in automotive regulations and standards impacting product compliance.
  • Supply chain disruptions affecting the availability of raw materials and finished products.

What Are the Growth Opportunities for XPEL?

  • Expansion into Emerging Markets: XPEL has the opportunity to further penetrate emerging markets in Asia Pacific and Latin America, where vehicle ownership is rapidly increasing. By establishing strategic partnerships with local distributors and installers, XPEL can capitalize on the growing demand for automotive protection products in these regions. This expansion could contribute significantly to revenue growth over the next 3-5 years.
  • Product Innovation and Development: XPEL can drive growth by continuously innovating and expanding its product portfolio. Developing new and advanced paint protection films with enhanced durability and self-healing properties can attract a wider customer base. Additionally, expanding into complementary product lines, such as automotive detailing products and accessories, can create cross-selling opportunities. Ongoing research and development efforts are crucial for maintaining a competitive edge.
  • Strategic Acquisitions and Partnerships: XPEL can pursue strategic acquisitions of smaller companies with complementary technologies or market access. Acquiring companies specializing in automotive customization or installation services can enhance XPEL's capabilities and expand its customer base. Forming partnerships with automotive manufacturers and dealerships can also provide access to new distribution channels and increase brand awareness. These strategic moves can accelerate growth and strengthen XPEL's market position.
  • Enhancing Online Sales Channels: XPEL can further develop its online sales channels to reach a broader audience and improve customer convenience. Investing in user-friendly e-commerce platforms and digital marketing campaigns can drive online sales growth. Offering online tutorials and installation guides can also attract DIY enthusiasts and increase product adoption. A strong online presence is essential for capturing a larger share of the automotive aftermarket.
  • Strengthening Relationships with Installers: XPEL can strengthen its relationships with independent installers by providing comprehensive training programs, marketing support, and exclusive product offerings. Building a strong network of certified installers can enhance XPEL's brand reputation and ensure high-quality installations. Offering loyalty programs and incentives can also encourage installers to prioritize XPEL products. Strong installer relationships are crucial for maintaining a competitive advantage in the automotive aftermarket.

What Are XPEL's Competitive Advantages?

  • Proprietary Software: XPEL's proprietary software enhances the precision and efficiency of film installations, providing a competitive advantage.
  • Global Distribution Network: The company's extensive distribution network, including independent installers, dealerships, and company-owned centers, ensures broad market access.
  • Brand Reputation: XPEL has established a strong brand reputation for high-quality products and reliable performance.
  • Product Innovation: Continuous innovation in paint protection films and window films allows XPEL to stay ahead of competitors.

What Does XPEL Do?

Founded in 1997 and headquartered in San Antonio, Texas, XPEL, Inc. has evolved into a leading manufacturer and distributor of aftermarket automotive products. The company's core offerings include automotive surface and paint protection films, headlight protection, and automotive and architectural window films. These products are complemented by proprietary software that enhances the precision and efficiency of installations. XPEL also provides a range of related products, such as merchandise, apparel, ceramic coatings, and installation tools, including squeegees, microfiber towels, and plotter cutters. XPEL serves a diverse customer base through multiple channels. It sells its products to independent installers, new car dealerships, and third-party distributors. The company also operates its own installation centers and utilizes a franchise model to expand its reach. Online sales channels further broaden its market access. Geographically, XPEL has a significant presence in the United States, China, Canada, Continental Europe, the United Kingdom, Asia Pacific, Latin America, and the Middle East/Africa, demonstrating its global footprint. The company's commitment to innovation and quality has solidified its position in the automotive aftermarket, catering to both individual consumers and commercial clients seeking to protect and enhance their vehicles.

What Products and Services Does XPEL Offer?

  • Manufactures automotive surface and paint protection films.
  • Produces headlight protection films.
  • Offers automotive and architectural window films.
  • Develops and distributes proprietary software for film installation.
  • Provides merchandise and apparel related to automotive care.
  • Offers ceramic coatings for enhanced vehicle protection.
  • Sells tools and accessories for film application, such as squeegees and plotter cutters.

How Does XPEL Make Money?

  • Manufactures and sells paint protection films, window films, and related products.
  • Distributes products through independent installers, dealerships, and company-owned centers.
  • Generates revenue from product sales, installation services, and franchise fees.

What Industry Does XPEL Operate In?

XPEL, Inc. operates within the automotive aftermarket, a sector experiencing steady growth driven by increasing vehicle ownership and a rising demand for vehicle customization and protection. The industry is characterized by a mix of large established players and smaller niche providers. XPEL differentiates itself through its focus on high-quality paint protection films and window films, coupled with proprietary software solutions. The competitive landscape includes companies offering similar products, but XPEL's integrated approach and global distribution network provide a competitive edge.

Who Are XPEL's Key Customers?

  • Independent automotive film installers.
  • New car dealerships.
  • Third-party distributors.
  • Individual car owners seeking vehicle protection.
  • Franchisees operating XPEL installation centers.
Model self-rating on this text: 73% (not a measure of the evidence) Updated: May 10, 2026

Research confidence

High 100/100

Broad, current evidence sits behind this analysis.

  • Scored on 97% of our measures
  • Price is current
  • Latest filing 35 days ago
  • Covered by analysts

Why 85?

Measured against companies in the same sector. The figures below are the factor contributions the scoring engine itself produced.

What is helping

  • +0.54 Bankruptcy-risk score (Financial Strength)
  • +0.27 Return on assets (Business Quality)
  • +0.24 Net margin (Business Quality)

What is holding it back

  • -0.14 Free cash flow yield (Business Quality)
  • -0.11 Price to book (Valuation)
  • -0.11 Enterprise value vs EBITDA (Valuation)

Contribution = how far the company sits from its sector on that measure, weighted by how much the pillar counts. Not investment advice. How the score is built →

MoonshotScore History

Recorded daily since 2026-08-23 · 19 snapshots

2026-08-23 81
2026-08-26 81
2026-08-29 82
2026-09-01 83
2026-09-04 84
2026-09-07 86
2026-09-10 85

What changed?

The grade moved from 81 to 85 (+4).

What moved it up or down:

  • +11 Momentum
  • +1 Financial Safety

Held back by:

  • -3 Growth Durability
  • -2 Valuation

Over the same 18 days the stock moved -7.2%.

XPEL, Inc. (XPEL) Valuation Context

Valued at $1.33B, XPEL is classified as a small-cap stock. Analyst price targets span from $65.00 to $65.00, with a consensus of $65.00. At the current price of $48.23, that implies approximately 35% upside potential. Relative to its peer group, XPEL's quantitative score of 85/100 is above the peer average of 52/100.

XPEL Revenue & Earnings Trend

In Q2 FY2026, XPEL generated $143.1M in top-line revenue, marking a sequential increase of 21.9%. The company recorded net income of $18.0M, with diluted EPS of $0.65. Quarter-over-quarter revenue has been mixed, typical for a small-cap company operating in Consumer Cyclical. Across the four most recent quarters, XPEL averaged $0.49 in diluted EPS.

Company Profile

XPEL, Inc. operates in the Auto - Parts industry within the Consumer Cyclical sector. It is headquartered in San Antonio, US. The company is led by CEO Ryan L. Pape. XPEL has traded publicly since 2019.

ROE 19%

Key Financial Metrics

Return on equity for XPEL, Inc. stands at 19.2%, a gauge of how efficiently it converts shareholder capital into profit. Return on assets is 11.6%, showing how much profit it generates from its asset base. XPEL trades at a trailing price-to-earnings ratio of 24.27, below the Consumer Cyclical sector average of ~32.70x. Its free cash flow yield is -0.2%, a gauge of the cash the business throws off relative to its market value. A current ratio of 2.61 indicates the company holds enough short-term assets to cover its near-term obligations. Its earnings yield is 4.1%, the inverse of the P/E and a quick read on earnings relative to price.

F-Score 6/9

Financial Health

XPEL, Inc.'s Piotroski F-Score is 6/9, a 9-point checklist of profitability, leverage and efficiency — a middling fundamental profile. Its Altman Z-Score of 7.94 places it in the safe zone, indicating low near-term bankruptcy risk.

6/8 beats

Earnings Track Record

XPEL, Inc. has beaten Wall Street's EPS estimate in 6 of its last 8 reported quarters — a consistent record of delivering on expectations. Reported results have landed about 7.9% above estimates on average.

Net buying

Insider Activity

Over the past six months, XPEL, Inc. insiders filed 32 SEC Form 4 transactions — 15 sales and 17 purchases. On net that is roughly 9K shares acquired (about $73K) — insiders putting money in tends to read as conviction.

XPEL Financials

Fundamental Snapshot

Revenue Growth (FY)
+13.3%
Net Income Growth (FY)
+12.6%
EPS Growth (FY)
+12.1%
Free Cash Flow Growth (FY)
+53.1%
P/E (TTM)
24.27
Return on Equity (TTM)
+19.2%
Current Ratio
2.6
EV/EBITDA (TTM)
16.2

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis · FY 2025

Bull Case vs Bear Case

Bull Case

  • Strong brand reputation for high-quality products.
  • Proprietary software enhancing installation precision.
  • Global distribution network with diverse channels.
  • Continuous product innovation and development.

Bear Case

  • Dependence on automotive industry trends.
  • Exposure to fluctuations in raw material costs.
  • Potential for increased competition in the aftermarket.
  • Limited brand recognition compared to larger automotive brands.

AI-generated arguments based on insider flow, news sentiment and technicals — not financial advice · September 2026

Recent Quarterly Results

Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q2 FY2026 $143M $18M $0.65
Q1 FY2026 $117M $10M $0.37
Q4 FY2025 $122M $13M $0.48
Q3 FY2025 $125M $13M $0.47

Q2 FY2026 · filed 7 Aug 2026 · SEC EDGAR →

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis

XPEL Latest News

XPEL Analyst Consensus

Consensus Rating

Aggregated Buy/Hold/Sell recommendations collected by Financial Modeling Prep for XPEL.

Price Targets

Low
$65.00
Consensus
$65.00
High
$65.00

Median: $65.00 (+34.8% from current price)

Source: FMP analyst consensus · as of Aug 25, 2026 · an estimate, not advice

XPEL MoonshotScore

85/100

What does this score mean?

MoonshotScore is Stock Expert AI's proprietary 0-100 research rating, not a buy or sell recommendation. XPEL scores 85/100 (Grade A+): the number comes from the five-pillar engine (business quality, financial safety, valuation, growth durability, momentum), re-ranked daily against sector peers.

Leadership: Ryan L. Pape

CEO

Ryan L. Pape serves as the CEO of XPEL, Inc., leading the company's strategic direction and overseeing its global operations. His background includes extensive experience in the automotive aftermarket and a deep understanding of the company's products and customers. Pape has been instrumental in driving XPEL's growth through product innovation, market expansion, and strategic partnerships. His leadership focuses on maintaining the company's competitive edge and delivering value to shareholders. He manages a workforce of 1143 employees.

Track Record: Under Ryan Pape's leadership, XPEL has achieved significant milestones, including expanding its global presence, launching innovative product lines, and increasing its market share. He has successfully navigated the company through economic challenges and industry shifts, maintaining a focus on customer satisfaction and operational efficiency. His strategic decisions have contributed to XPEL's strong financial performance and its position as a leader in the automotive aftermarket.

XPEL, Inc. Consumer Cyclical Stock: Key Questions Answered

What does the AI Score mean for XPEL?

XPEL holds an AI Score of 85/100 (Grade: A+). This is an educational research signal, not a buy or sell recommendation. The number comes from the five-pillar engine (business quality, financial safety, valuation, growth durability, momentum), re-ranked daily against sector peers. XPEL, Inc. specializes in manufacturing and distributing aftermarket automotive products, including paint protection films and window films.

Is XPEL a good stock?

Stock Expert AI does not rate XPEL buy, sell or hold. XPEL, Inc. carries a MoonshotScore of 85/100 on the five-pillar engine, a research rating against its peers. Whether it fits is your call: check what it sells, whether it earns, what the price assumes, and what would prove you wrong.

What do analysts say about XPEL stock?

Analyst coverage of XPEL, Inc. generally focuses on the company's growth potential within the automotive aftermarket and its ability to maintain its competitive edge through product innovation and strategic partnerships. Key valuation metrics, such as the P/E ratio of 24.27, are often scrutinized to assess whether the stock is fairly valued relative to its earnings.

What are the key factors to evaluate for XPEL?

XPEL, Inc. (XPEL) holds a MoonshotScore of 85/100 (high). P/E: 24.27x vs the S&P 500's ~20-25x. Analysts target $65.00 (+35%). Not financial advice.

How frequently does XPEL data refresh on this page?

XPEL's price was last updated on Sep 11, 2026 and refreshes on page view during U.S. market hours; the quote is a provider snapshot, not an exchange feed. Fundamentals update after quarterly filings; the MoonshotScore recalculates nightly; news aggregates continuously.

What has driven XPEL's recent stock price performance?

XPEL, Inc. (XPEL) moves on earnings results, analyst revisions, sector rotation, and market sentiment. Notable catalyst: Strong brand reputation for high-quality products. See the News tab for the latest drivers. Past performance does not predict future results.

Should investors consider XPEL overvalued or undervalued right now?

XPEL, Inc. (XPEL) trades at 24.27x earnings. Analysts target $65.00 (+35%) — upside seen. Compare P/E, P/S, and EV/EBITDA against sector peers for a full view.

Can I buy fractional shares of XPEL?

Yes, most major brokerages offer fractional shares of XPEL, Inc. (XPEL) with no minimum purchase requirement. This means you can invest any dollar amount regardless of the share price. Check your brokerage platform for specific terms, fees, and fractional share availability.

How can I track XPEL's earnings and financial reports?

XPEL, Inc. (XPEL) reports quarterly earnings approximately 4-6 weeks after each fiscal quarter ends. You can track earnings dates, revenue and EPS estimates, and actual results on this page's Financials tab. Earnings surprises (beats or misses) often cause significant short-term price moves. Your brokerage can send alerts for XPEL earnings announcements.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Always do your own research and consult a financial advisor.

Official Resources

Price as of Analysis updated MoonshotScore as of
Data Sources & Methodology
Market data powered by Financial Modeling Prep & Yahoo Finance. AI analysis by Stock Expert AI proprietary algorithms. Technical indicators via industry-standard calculations. Last updated: .
Data Provenance
Sources: Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) — Primary · Yahoo Finance — Fallback · Alpaca — Tertiary
Last fetched:
Cache TTL: Quote 5min · Profile 7d · Financials 7d · Insider 48h
How we use AI: Numbers are pulled directly from FMP & Yahoo Finance — our AI writes the analysis, it never edits the figures.
Data provided as-is for educational purposes. Not financial advice. Methodology

Data provided for informational purposes only.

Analysis Notes
  • Financial data is based on the most recent available information.
  • Competitive landscape analysis is based on publicly available information and industry reports.
Data Sources
Financial Modeling Prep (FMP)Stock Expert AI proprietary analysis

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