O'Reilly Automotive, Inc. (ORLY) Stock Analysis
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice. Analysis by Sedat ANAK, Founder & Editor-in-Chief | AI-powered analysis. Data sourced from SEC filings and institutional-grade financial providers. Editorially reviewed. Not financial advice.
O'Reilly Automotive, Inc. (ORLY) trades at $88.65 with AI Score 79/100 (Grade A). O'Reilly Automotive, Inc. is a leading retailer and supplier in the automotive aftermarket parts industry. Market cap: $73.5B, Sector: Consumer cyclical.
Price as of Aug 20, 2026 · Last analyzed: May 10, 2026ORLY stock analysis for 2026: Analysts have set a consensus price target of $108.00 for O'Reilly Automotive, Inc., suggesting 21.8% upside from the current price of $88.65. The AI MoonshotScore is 79/100, indicating a strong bullish outlook. Key factors: analyst coverage, AI-driven quantitative scoring.
ORLY: 2/3 scored disciplines lean bullish. Dominant signal: Ray Dalio bullish.
How is this calculated? →Why this analysis is different
- A sector-relative MoonshotScore — five pillars (business quality, financial safety, valuation, growth durability, momentum) re-ranked nightly against the full universe of US-listed common stocks.
- An AI Council read across up to eight perspectives — value, macro, quantitative, and momentum lenses — that shows where they disagree instead of averaging the tension away.
- Figures come straight from FMP and Yahoo Finance filings data. The AI writes the narrative around the numbers — it never edits the numbers.
O'Reilly Automotive, Inc. (ORLY) Consumer Business Overview
O'Reilly Automotive, Inc. is a dominant player in the automotive aftermarket, providing parts, tools, and accessories. With a strong retail network across the US and Mexico, O'Reilly caters to both DIY enthusiasts and professional mechanics, leveraging a high-margin business model and robust distribution network within the consumer cyclical sector.
What Is the Investment Thesis for ORLY?
O'Reilly Automotive presents a compelling investment case based on its strong market position and consistent financial performance. With a market capitalization of $73.5B and a profit margin of 14.3%, the company demonstrates financial stability. Key growth drivers include the increasing average age of vehicles on the road, which drives demand for replacement parts, and the company's ability to effectively manage its inventory and supply chain. O'Reilly's beta of 0.60 suggests lower volatility compared to the broader market. The company's continued expansion of its store network and focus on enhancing its service offerings further support a positive outlook. However, investors should monitor potential risks such as economic downturns affecting consumer spending and increasing competition from online retailers.
Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis
ORLY Key Highlights
Market Cap of $73.5B reflects strong investor confidence in O'Reilly's market position.
- P/E ratio of 29.9 indicates a premium valuation, reflecting expectations of future earnings growth.
- Profit Margin of 14.3% demonstrates efficient operations and pricing strategies.
- Gross Margin of 51.6% highlights O'Reilly's ability to maintain profitability on its sales.
- Beta of 0.60 suggests lower volatility compared to the broader market, making it a relatively stable investment.
Who Are ORLY's Competitors?
ORLY is benchmarked below against 8 industry peers on price, market cap, and our AI MoonshotScore.
| Company | Price | Change | Market Cap | AI Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SBUX Starbucks Corporation | $104.98 | -0.97% | $120B | 60 |
| MAR Marriott International, Inc. | $358.36 | -0.44% | $93.5B | 64 |
| ABNB Airbnb, Inc. | $186.39 | +1.71% | $111B | 94 |
| CVNA Carvana Co. | $70.48 | +8.43% | $77.3B | 48 |
| HLT Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. | $334.73 | +2.13% | $76.0B | 71 |
| AZO AutoZone, Inc. retails and distributes automotive replacement parts and accessories. The company | $3076.89 | +0.12% | $50.2B | 67 |
| NGKSY Niterra Co., Ltd. | $32.62 | +9.24% | $12.7B | 52 |
| MOD Modine Manufacturing Company | $195.14 | -2.75% | $10.4B | 57 |
AI Score by Stock Expert AI · Price data: FMP / Yahoo Finance
What Are ORLY's Key Strengths?
Extensive store network across the United States and Mexico.
- Strong brand recognition and customer loyalty.
- Dual market focus on both DIY and professional customers.
- Efficient supply chain and inventory management.
What Are ORLY's Weaknesses?
Reliance on the automotive aftermarket, which can be affected by economic downturns.
- Exposure to fluctuations in raw material costs.
- Potential for increased competition from online retailers.
- Limited international presence outside of Mexico.
What Could Drive ORLY Stock Higher?
Continued expansion of store network in underserved markets.
- Enhancement of e-commerce platform to drive online sales.
- Focus on strengthening relationships with professional service providers (PSPs).
- Potential acquisitions of complementary businesses to expand market share.
- Increasing average age of vehicles on the road, driving demand for replacement parts.
What Are the Key Risks for ORLY?
Inconsistent delivery — missed Wall Street EPS estimates in 4 of the last 8 reported quarters.
- Economic downturns affecting consumer spending on vehicle maintenance.
- Increased competition from online retailers and other automotive parts suppliers.
- Changes in vehicle technology requiring new parts and services.
- Fluctuations in raw material costs affecting profitability.
- Supply chain disruptions impacting product availability.
What Are the Growth Opportunities for ORLY?
- Growth opportunity 1: Expansion of Store Network: O'Reilly has the opportunity to continue expanding its store network in underserved markets, both within the United States and potentially in international markets beyond Mexico. The automotive aftermarket is projected to grow, driven by the increasing number of vehicles in operation and miles driven. Each new store represents an opportunity to capture additional market share and increase overall revenue. This expansion strategy can be executed through organic growth or strategic acquisitions, with a timeline of adding approximately 50-100 stores per year.
- Growth opportunity 2: Enhanced E-commerce Platform: Investing in and enhancing its e-commerce platform can significantly expand O'Reilly's reach and cater to the growing online market. The online automotive parts market is experiencing rapid growth, with consumers increasingly preferring the convenience of online shopping. By offering a seamless online experience, including detailed product information, customer reviews, and efficient delivery options, O'Reilly can capture a larger share of this market. This includes investments in mobile apps and user-friendly website design, with ongoing improvements and updates to maintain competitiveness.
- Growth opportunity 3: Focus on Professional Service Providers (PSPs): O'Reilly can further strengthen its relationships with professional service providers by offering specialized programs, training, and support. PSPs represent a significant portion of the automotive aftermarket, and their loyalty can be secured through value-added services such as technical training, diagnostic tools, and efficient parts delivery. This includes offering exclusive discounts and loyalty programs tailored to the needs of professional mechanics and repair shops, with ongoing engagement and feedback mechanisms.
- Growth opportunity 4: Expansion of Product Offerings: O'Reilly has the opportunity to expand its product offerings to include a wider range of parts, accessories, and tools. This can include expanding into new categories such as electric vehicle (EV) parts and accessories, as well as offering more specialized tools and equipment for professional mechanics. By diversifying its product line, O'Reilly can attract a broader customer base and increase its revenue per store. This includes market research and analysis to identify emerging trends and customer needs, with a focus on high-margin and high-demand products.
- Growth opportunity 5: Strategic Acquisitions: O'Reilly can pursue strategic acquisitions to expand its market share, enter new geographic regions, or acquire complementary businesses. The automotive aftermarket is a fragmented industry, with numerous smaller players that could be attractive acquisition targets. By acquiring these companies, O'Reilly can consolidate its market position and gain access to new customers, products, and technologies. This includes identifying and evaluating potential acquisition targets, with a focus on companies that align with O'Reilly's strategic goals and financial objectives.
What Are ORLY's Competitive Advantages?
- Extensive Store Network: O'Reilly's large store network provides convenient access for customers.
- Strong Brand Recognition: The O'Reilly brand is well-known and trusted in the automotive aftermarket.
- Established Relationships with Suppliers: O'Reilly has long-standing relationships with key suppliers.
- Dual Market Focus: Serving both DIY and professional customers diversifies revenue streams.
What Does ORLY Do?
O'Reilly Automotive, Inc. was founded in 1957 in Springfield, Missouri, by the O'Reilly family. Initially a single store, the company has grown into one of the largest automotive aftermarket parts suppliers in the United States and Mexico. O'Reilly provides a wide array of products, including new and remanufactured automotive hard parts, maintenance items, tools, supplies, equipment, and accessories. These products cater to both the do-it-yourself (DIY) and professional service provider (PSP) markets. The company's product line encompasses essential components such as alternators, batteries, brake parts, chassis components, engine parts, fuel pumps, and more. Additionally, O'Reilly offers various services, including battery diagnostic testing, check engine light code extraction, loaner tool programs, and drum and rotor resurfacing. As of December 31, 2021, O'Reilly operated 5,759 stores in the United States and 25 stores in Mexico. The company's strategic focus on both DIY and PSP customers, combined with its extensive store network and service offerings, has solidified its position in the automotive aftermarket industry.
What Products and Services Does ORLY Offer?
- Retail and supply of automotive aftermarket parts.
- Offer new and remanufactured automotive hard parts.
- Provide maintenance items, tools, supplies, equipment, and accessories.
- Serve both do-it-yourself (DIY) and professional service provider (PSP) customers.
- Operate a network of over 5,700 stores in the United States and Mexico.
- Offer services such as battery testing, code extraction, and loaner tools.
- Recycle used oil, oil filters, and batteries.
How Does ORLY Make Money?
- Sells automotive parts and accessories through retail stores.
- Generates revenue from both DIY and professional customers.
- Offers value-added services to attract and retain customers.
- Manages inventory and supply chain to ensure product availability.
What Industry Does ORLY Operate In?
The automotive aftermarket industry is characterized by steady demand driven by the increasing age and complexity of vehicles on the road. This creates a consistent need for replacement parts and maintenance services. The industry is moderately fragmented, with key players like O'Reilly Automotive, Inc. competing with national chains, independent retailers, and online marketplaces. Trends include the growing importance of e-commerce, the increasing complexity of vehicle technology requiring specialized parts and services, and the consolidation of smaller players. O'Reilly's established brand, extensive store network, and focus on both DIY and professional customers position it favorably in this competitive landscape.
Who Are ORLY's Key Customers?
- Do-it-yourself (DIY) consumers who perform their own vehicle maintenance and repairs.
- Professional service providers (PSPs) such as mechanics and repair shops.
- Commercial customers including fleet operators and government agencies.
Company Profile
O'Reilly Automotive, Inc. operates in the Specialty Retail industry within the Consumer Cyclical sector. It is headquartered in Springfield, US. The company is led by CEO Brad W. Beckham. ORLY has traded publicly since 1993.
Key Financial Metrics
Return on assets is 15.4%, showing how much profit it generates from its asset base. ORLY trades at a trailing price-to-earnings ratio of 29.86, below the Consumer Cyclical sector average of ~34x. Its free cash flow yield is 2.5%, a gauge of the cash the business throws off relative to its market value. A current ratio of 0.76 means current liabilities exceed short-term assets, a liquidity point worth watching. Its earnings yield is 3.3%, the inverse of the P/E and a quick read on earnings relative to price.
ORLY Valuation & Market Position
With a $73.5B market cap, O'Reilly Automotive, Inc. sits in the large-cap segment of the market. Relative to its peer group, ORLY's quantitative score of 79/100 is above the peer average of 67/100.
Quarterly Financial Performance: O'Reilly Automotive, Inc.
Revenue for O'Reilly Automotive, Inc. came in at $4.89B during Q2 2026, a 7.3% improvement versus the preceding quarter. The company recorded net income of $715.1M, with diluted EPS of $0.86. Revenue has increased across the last three reported quarters, suggesting sustained momentum for this large-cap Consumer Cyclical company. Across the four most recent quarters, ORLY averaged $0.79 in diluted EPS.
Financial Health
O'Reilly Automotive, Inc.'s Piotroski F-Score is 7/9, a 9-point checklist of profitability, leverage and efficiency — signaling solid underlying fundamentals. Its Altman Z-Score of 3.68 places it in the safe zone, indicating low near-term bankruptcy risk.
Earnings Track Record
O'Reilly Automotive, Inc. has missed Wall Street's EPS estimate in 4 of its last 8 reported quarters — a mixed record worth weighing. Reported results have landed about 12.1% below estimates on average.
Forward Outlook
Wall Street analysts project O'Reilly Automotive, Inc. revenue of about $19.11B for fiscal 2026, with EPS near $3.28. The estimate reflects 19 contributing analysts.
Insider Activity
Over the past six months, O'Reilly Automotive, Inc. insiders filed 24 SEC Form 4 transactions — 6 sales and 18 purchases. On net that is roughly 178K shares acquired (about $938K) — insiders putting money in tends to read as conviction.
ORLY Financials
ORLY earnings history & estimates →
Fundamental Snapshot
Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis · FY 2025
Bull Case vs Bear Case
Bull Case
- Extensive store network across the United States and Mexico.
- Strong brand recognition and customer loyalty.
- Dual market focus on both DIY and professional customers.
- Efficient supply chain and inventory management.
Bear Case
- Reliance on the automotive aftermarket, which can be affected by economic downturns.
- Exposure to fluctuations in raw material costs.
- Potential for increased competition from online retailers.
- Limited international presence outside of Mexico.
AI-generated arguments based on insider flow, news sentiment and technicals — not financial advice · August 2026
From the Earnings Call
“For the second quarter, our gross margin of 51.4% was unchanged from the second quarter of 2025. Given our in line first half performance, and the current stable market environment, we are maintaining our full year gross margin guidance range of 51.5% to 52%.”
— Brent G. Kirby
“Our comp growth of 6% surpassed our expectations driven by solid results in both our professional and DIY businesses. As noted in yesterday's press release, we have increased from the previous range of 3% to 5% to a range of 4% to 6%.”
— Brad W. Beckham
ORLY Q2 FY2026 earnings call transcript · 2026-07-30
Recent Quarterly Results
| Quarter | Revenue | Net Income | EPS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $4.89B | $715M | $0.86 |
| Q1 2026 | $4.56B | $604M | $0.72 |
| Q4 2025 | $4.41B | $605M | $0.71 |
| Q3 2025 | $4.71B | $726M | $0.85 |
Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis
ORLY Latest News
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Advance Auto Parts Plunges 21% as Revenue Miss Overshadows Earnings Beat; AutoZone Falls 4%, O’Reilly Automotive Slips
24/7 Wall St. · Aug 20, 2026
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Daily Spotlight: Profit Margins Widening
Argus Research · Aug 12, 2026
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Analyst Report: O'Reilly Automotive Inc
Argus Research · Aug 10, 2026
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Market Update: ENB, CVX, EXPE, ORLY, XOM, STRL
Argus Research · Aug 10, 2026
ORLY Analyst Consensus
Consensus Rating
Aggregated Buy/Hold/Sell recommendations from Benzinga, Yahoo Finance, and Finnhub for ORLY.
Price Targets
Consensus target: $108.00
ORLY MoonshotScore
What does this score mean?
The MoonshotScore rates ORLY 0-100 on quantitative fundamentals — growth, financial health, valuation, momentum, and risk.
Latest News
Advance Auto Parts Plunges 21% as Revenue Miss Overshadows Earnings Beat; AutoZone Falls 4%, O’Reilly Automotive Slips
Daily Spotlight: Profit Margins Widening
Analyst Report: O'Reilly Automotive Inc
Market Update: ENB, CVX, EXPE, ORLY, XOM, STRL
Latest O'Reilly Automotive, Inc. Analysis
Leadership: Brad W. Beckham
Chief Executive Officer
Brad W. Beckham serves as the Chief Executive Officer of O'Reilly Automotive, Inc. His career within the company spans several years, during which he has held various leadership positions. Beckham's experience includes roles in store operations, sales, and marketing. His deep understanding of the automotive aftermarket and O'Reilly's business model has been instrumental in driving the company's growth and success. He is known for his focus on customer service, employee development, and operational efficiency.
Track Record: Under Brad W. Beckham's leadership, O'Reilly Automotive, Inc. has continued to expand its store network and enhance its service offerings. He has overseen the implementation of key strategic initiatives aimed at improving customer satisfaction and driving sales growth. Beckham's tenure has been marked by consistent financial performance and a focus on maintaining O'Reilly's position as a leader in the automotive aftermarket.
ORLY Consumer Cyclical Stock FAQ
What does the AI Score mean for ORLY?
ORLY holds an AI Score of 79/100 (Grade: A). This is an educational research signal, not a buy or sell recommendation. O'Reilly Automotive, Inc. is a leading retailer and supplier in the automotive aftermarket parts industry. The company operates over 5,700 stores in the United States and Mexico, serving both …
What does O'Reilly Automotive, Inc. do?
O'Reilly Automotive, Inc. is a leading retailer and supplier in the automotive aftermarket industry. The company operates over 5,700 stores in the United States and Mexico, providing a wide range of automotive parts, tools, supplies, equipment, and accessories. O'Reilly serves both do-it-yourself (DIY) consumers and professional service providers (PSPs), offering products for domestic and imported vehicles.
What do analysts say about ORLY stock?
Analysts generally view O'Reilly Automotive, Inc. favorably, citing its strong market position, consistent financial performance, and growth potential. Key valuation metrics, such as the P/E ratio of 29.9, reflect expectations of future earnings growth. Analysts often highlight the company's ability to effectively manage its inventory and supply chain, as well as its focus on both DIY and professional customers.
What are the main risks for ORLY?
O'Reilly Automotive, Inc. faces several risks, including economic downturns that could reduce consumer spending on vehicle maintenance and repairs. Increased competition from online retailers and other automotive parts suppliers poses a threat to market share. Changes in vehicle technology, such as the shift towards electric vehicles, may require new parts and services, potentially disrupting the company's existing product line.
What are the key factors to evaluate for ORLY?
O'Reilly Automotive, Inc. (ORLY) holds an AI score of 79/100 (high). P/E: 29.9x vs the S&P 500's ~20-25x. Analysts target $108.00 (+22%). Not financial advice.
How frequently does ORLY data refresh on this page?
ORLY's price was last updated on Aug 20, 2026 and refreshes on page view during U.S. market hours — it is not a real-time exchange feed. Fundamentals update after quarterly filings; the MoonshotScore recalculates nightly; news aggregates continuously.
What has driven ORLY's recent stock price performance?
O'Reilly Automotive, Inc. (ORLY) moves on earnings results, analyst revisions, sector rotation, and market sentiment. Notable catalyst: Extensive store network across the United States and Mexico. See the News tab for the latest drivers. Past performance does not predict future results.
Should investors consider ORLY overvalued or undervalued right now?
O'Reilly Automotive, Inc. (ORLY) trades at 29.9x earnings. Analysts target $108.00 (+22%) — upside seen. Compare P/E, P/S, and EV/EBITDA against sector peers for a full view.
How do I research ORLY before investing?
Before investing in O'Reilly Automotive, Inc. (ORLY), research these four areas: (1) the company's revenue model and competitive position (see Company Overview), (2) financial health through revenue growth, margins, and cash flow (see MoonshotScore), (3) analyst consensus ratings and price targets (see Analyst tab), and (4) specific risk factors that could impact the stock (see Risk Factors section).
Disclaimer: This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Always do your own research and consult a financial advisor.
Official Resources
Data provided for informational purposes only.
- The information provided is based on available data and may be subject to change.
- This is not investment advice. Conduct thorough research before making any investment decisions.