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Aeva Technologies, Inc. (AEVA) Stock Analysis

Educational signal · not a buy or sell recommendation · How to read this

$14.97 -$0.65 (-4.16%) |Weak · 12
Aeva Technologies, Inc. (AEVA) bottom line: Bearish Lean — our Council read (30/100) and AI Score (12/100) broadly agree. Strongest signal: Ray Dalio bullish · Biggest watch-out: Seth Klarman bearish.Educational signal, not a buy or sell recommendation. Compare sector peers → · Read the method →
MCap: $1.01B| Vol: 1.11M| Target: $28.75 (+92.1%) (Aug 25, 2026) (estimate, not advice)| 52-wk range: $8.83 – $31.30

Market cap $1.01B is the value of all shares combined. Beta 2.16: the stock has moved about 116% more than the S&P 500.

Data from FMP · Methodology

For informational purposes only. Not financial advice. Machine-generated analysis by Stock Expert AI — model gemini-2.0-flash, generated May 10, 2026. Editorial oversight is systemic, not page-by-page. Editorially accountable: Sedat ANAK, Founder and Editor-in-Chief. Data sources: Financial Modeling Prep, Yahoo Finance, SEC EDGAR

Quick Answer

Aeva Technologies, Inc. (AEVA) trades at $14.97 with MoonshotScore 12/100 (Grade F). Aeva Technologies, Inc. specializes in Frequency Modulated Continuous Wave (FMCW) LiDAR technology. Market cap: $1.01B, Sector: Consumer cyclical.

Price as of Sep 11, 2026 · Last analyzed: May 10, 2026
Aeva Technologies, Inc. specializes in Frequency Modulated Continuous Wave (FMCW) LiDAR technology. Their 4D LiDAR-on-chip solutions target automated driving, consumer electronics, health, industrial automation, and security applications.

AEVA stock analysis for 2026: Analysts have set a consensus price target of $28.75 for Aeva Technologies, Inc., suggesting 92.1% upside from the current price of $14.97. The AI MoonshotScore is 12/100, in the Weak band (below 45) — a research signal, not a recommendation. Key factors: analyst coverage, AI-driven quantitative scoring.

Watch the AEVA film Every key number, told as a short cinematic story — just press play. ~2 min
Council Score · Weighted Average of 3 Disciplines
Bearish Lean 30/100 · D

AEVA: 2/3 scored disciplines lean bearish. Dominant signal: Seth Klarman bearish.

How is this calculated? →
MoonshotScore · Five-pillar engine · 12/100
Business Quality
Negative Is this a genuinely good business?
Financial Safety
Neutral Could this blow up on me?
Valuation
Weak Am I paying a fair price?
Growth Durability
Moderate Is the growth real and likely to last?
Momentum
Weak Is the market already moving on this?

Strongest side: Growth Durability (7/10, Moderate). Weakest side: Business Quality (1/10, Negative).

Legends Council · 5 Legends + Moon AI

AI simulations built from the named investors' published principles. Not affiliated with, endorsed by, or the opinion of these individuals. How these lenses are built

Dalio-style lens (simulated)Ray Dalio
Favorable read
Griffin-style lens (simulated)Ken Griffin
Favorable read
Simons-style lens (simulated)Jim Simons
Neutral read
Englander-style lens (simulated)Izzy Englander
Unfavorable read
Klarman-style lens (simulated)Seth Klarman
Unfavorable read
Moon AI lens (model)
Unfavorable read
Munger's Mindset · Balance Sheet & Valuation
Financial Health
Weak
Margin of Safety
Fairly Valued
Council Score · Weighted Average of 3 Disciplines · See tabs for details →
The lenses are modelled on the published principles of the investors named. We are not affiliated with them, they have not endorsed this, and it is not their opinion of this stock.

Why this analysis is different

  • A sector-relative MoonshotScore — five pillars (business quality, financial safety, valuation, growth durability, momentum) re-ranked nightly against the full universe of US-listed common stocks.
  • An AI Council read across up to eight perspectives — value, macro, quantitative, and momentum lenses — that shows where they disagree instead of averaging the tension away.
  • Figures come straight from FMP and Yahoo Finance filings data. The AI writes the narrative around the numbers — it never edits the numbers.

Aeva Technologies, Inc. (AEVA) Consumer Business Overview

CEOSoroush Salehian Dardashti
Employees239
HeadquartersMountain View, CA, US
IPO Year2020
IndustryAuto - Parts

Aeva Technologies, Inc. pioneers 4D LiDAR-on-chip technology using FMCW sensing, aiming to revolutionize automated driving and expand into consumer electronics, health, industrial automation, and security sectors. With a focus on long-range and high-resolution sensing, Aeva seeks to establish itself as a key player in the evolving LiDAR market.

Data Provenance | Financial Data Quantitative Analysis NASDAQ Analysis: May 10, 2026

What Is the Investment Thesis for AEVA?

AI-written as of May 10, 2026 — figures and tone reflect the data available then, not today's score.

Aeva Technologies presents a high-risk, high-reward investment opportunity in the rapidly evolving LiDAR market. The company's FMCW technology offers potential advantages over traditional LiDAR systems, including longer range, higher resolution, and immunity to interference. However, Aeva's financial performance is currently characterized by a negative profit margin of -693.9% and a gross margin of only 4.6%. The company's success hinges on its ability to secure significant customer contracts and scale production efficiently. Key growth catalysts include the adoption of LiDAR in automated driving and the expansion into new markets such as consumer electronics and industrial automation. Investors should closely monitor Aeva's progress in achieving technological milestones, securing strategic partnerships, and improving its financial metrics. The high beta of 2.16 indicates significant volatility, reflecting the speculative nature of the investment.

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis

AEVA Key Highlights

AI-written as of May 10, 2026 — figures and tone reflect the data available then, not today's score.

Aeva Technologies, Inc. specializes in 4D LiDAR-on-chip technology using Frequency Modulated Continuous Wave (FMCW) sensing.

  • The company targets automated driving, consumer electronics, consumer health, industrial automation, and security applications.
  • Aeva's FMCW LiDAR technology offers potential advantages over traditional LiDAR systems, including longer range and higher resolution.
  • Aeva's current financial performance is characterized by a negative profit margin of -693.9% and a gross margin of 4.6%.
  • The company's beta of 2.16 indicates significant volatility, reflecting the speculative nature of the investment.

Who Are AEVA's Competitors?

AEVA is benchmarked below against 8 industry peers on price, market cap, and our AI MoonshotScore.

Company Price Change Market Cap MoonshotScore
LAZR Luminar Technologies, Inc. $43.25 -3.40%
MVIS MicroVision, Inc. $1.59 -1.24% $37.1M
VLDR Velodyne Lidar, Inc. $1.26 0.00% $300M
ATNNF Autoneum Holding AG $188.00 0.00% $1.09B 469-signal
PLOW Douglas Dynamics, Inc. $40.37 -1.61% $934M 429-signal
THRM Gentherm Incorporated $38.33 -0.23% $1.18B 625-pillar
SFHLF SAF-Holland SE $18.86 0.00% $856M 459-signal
SMP Standard Motor Products, Inc. $38.46 -1.91% $856M 715-pillar

AI Score by Stock Expert AI · Price data: FMP / Yahoo Finance This table mixes two scoring engines — compare a number only with others carrying the same tag.

What Are AEVA's Key Strengths?

Innovative FMCW LiDAR technology.

  • Integrated 4D LiDAR-on-chip design.
  • Potential for cost advantages.
  • Targets multiple high-growth markets.

What Are AEVA's Weaknesses?

Negative profit margin.

  • Limited gross margin.
  • Relatively small company size.
  • High beta indicates significant volatility.

What Could Drive AEVA Stock Higher?

Securing strategic partnerships with automotive manufacturers.

  • Expansion into new markets such as consumer electronics and industrial automation.
  • Achieving technological milestones in LiDAR performance and cost reduction.
  • Receiving regulatory approvals for autonomous driving applications.
  • Increasing adoption of LiDAR technology in various industries.

What Are the Key Risks for AEVA?

Financial-distress signal — its Altman Z-Score of -0.26 sits in the distress zone (elevated bankruptcy risk).

  • Weak fundamentals — a Piotroski F-Score of 3/9 flags soft profitability, leverage or efficiency.
  • Insider selling — insiders were net sellers of roughly $19.9M recently.
  • Intense competition in the LiDAR market.
  • Technological obsolescence.
  • Negative profit margin and limited gross margin.
  • Economic downturns.
  • Regulatory changes.

What Are the Growth Opportunities for AEVA?

  • Automated Driving: Aeva's primary growth opportunity lies in the adoption of LiDAR technology in autonomous vehicles. Aeva's FMCW technology offers potential advantages in terms of range, resolution, and interference immunity, positioning the company to capture a significant share of this market. Success depends on securing contracts with major automotive manufacturers and demonstrating the reliability and cost-effectiveness of its LiDAR solutions.
  • Consumer Electronics: Aeva is targeting the consumer electronics market with its compact and low-cost LiDAR solutions. Potential applications include augmented reality (AR), virtual reality (VR), and mobile devices. The market for LiDAR in consumer electronics is expected to grow rapidly as these technologies become more prevalent. Aeva's ability to miniaturize its LiDAR technology and reduce costs will be critical to penetrating this market. Strategic partnerships with consumer electronics manufacturers will be essential for success.
  • Industrial Automation: LiDAR technology is increasingly being used in industrial automation applications, such as robotics, logistics, and manufacturing. Aeva's LiDAR solutions can enhance the perception capabilities of robots and automated systems, enabling them to perform tasks more efficiently and safely. The market for LiDAR in industrial automation is expected to grow steadily as companies invest in automation technologies. Aeva's ability to provide reliable and cost-effective LiDAR solutions will be key to capturing market share.
  • Consumer Health: Aeva is exploring opportunities to use its LiDAR technology in consumer health applications, such as remote patient monitoring and diagnostics. LiDAR can be used to measure vital signs, track movement, and detect changes in health status. The market for LiDAR in consumer health is still in its early stages, but it has the potential to grow significantly as healthcare providers adopt new technologies to improve patient care. Aeva's ability to develop innovative and user-friendly LiDAR solutions will be critical to success.
  • Security Applications: LiDAR technology is also being used in security applications, such as perimeter surveillance and access control. Aeva's LiDAR solutions can provide accurate and reliable detection of objects and people, enhancing the security of critical infrastructure and facilities. The market for LiDAR in security applications is expected to grow steadily as security concerns increase. Aeva's ability to provide robust and cost-effective LiDAR solutions will be key to capturing market share.

What Opportunities Does AEVA Have?

  • Growing demand for LiDAR in automotive and other applications.
  • Expansion into new markets such as consumer electronics and industrial automation.
  • Strategic partnerships with key industry players.
  • Technological advancements in LiDAR technology.

What Are AEVA's Competitive Advantages?

  • Proprietary FMCW LiDAR technology.
  • Integrated 4D LiDAR-on-chip design.
  • Potential for cost advantages through system-on-a-chip approach.
  • Early mover advantage in the FMCW LiDAR market.

What Does AEVA Do?

Founded in 2017 and headquartered in Mountain View, California, Aeva Technologies, Inc. is focused on developing and commercializing its Frequency Modulated Continuous Wave (FMCW) LiDAR technology. The company's core innovation is a 4D LiDAR-on-chip, which integrates key components onto a single silicon chip, enabling long-range sensing with high resolution and immunity to interference. Aeva's technology is designed to address the limitations of traditional LiDAR systems, offering improved performance and cost-effectiveness. Aeva aims to enable the widespread adoption of LiDAR across various applications, including automated driving, where its technology can enhance safety and perception capabilities for autonomous vehicles. Beyond automotive, Aeva is targeting consumer electronics, consumer health, industrial automation, and security applications, leveraging the versatility of its FMCW LiDAR platform. The company's strategic focus on a system-on-a-chip approach aims to drive down costs and enable mass-market adoption of LiDAR technology. Aeva's technology offers the ability to measure instantaneous velocity and remove interference from sunlight and other sensors. Aeva is positioning itself as a key enabler of next-generation sensing solutions across diverse industries.

What Products and Services Does AEVA Offer?

  • Designs 4D LiDAR-on-chip solutions.
  • Utilizes Frequency Modulated Continuous Wave (FMCW) sensing technology.
  • Targets automated driving applications.
  • Aims to expand into consumer electronics.
  • Seeks opportunities in consumer health applications.
  • Develops solutions for industrial automation.
  • Provides technology for security applications.

How Does AEVA Make Money?

  • Designs and develops LiDAR sensors and related software.
  • Sells LiDAR sensors to automotive manufacturers and other customers.
  • Generates revenue through product sales.
  • May offer software and services related to its LiDAR technology.

What Industry Does AEVA Operate In?

Aeva Technologies operates within the automotive parts industry, which is undergoing a significant transformation driven by the development of autonomous vehicles and advanced driver-assistance systems (ADAS). The LiDAR market is projected to experience substantial growth in the coming years, fueled by the increasing demand for high-performance sensing solutions. Aeva competes with established LiDAR manufacturers and emerging technology companies, all vying for market share in this rapidly expanding sector. The competitive landscape is characterized by technological innovation, strategic partnerships, and intense pricing pressure. Aeva's success depends on its ability to differentiate its FMCW LiDAR technology and secure key customer contracts in the automotive and other target markets.

Who Are AEVA's Key Customers?

  • Automotive manufacturers developing autonomous vehicles.
  • Companies in the consumer electronics industry.
  • Businesses in the industrial automation sector.
  • Organizations in the security industry.
Model self-rating on this text: 81% (not a measure of the evidence) Updated: May 10, 2026

Research confidence

High 100/100

Broad, current evidence sits behind this analysis.

  • Scored on 94% of our measures
  • Price is current
  • Latest filing 36 days ago
  • Covered by analysts

Why 12?

Measured against companies in the same sector. The figures below are the factor contributions the scoring engine itself produced.

What is helping

  • +0.60 Short-term liquidity (Financial Strength)
  • +0.48 Revenue growth (Growth)
  • +0.13 3-year revenue per share (Growth)

What is holding it back

  • -0.78 Return on invested capital (Business Quality)
  • -0.78 Operating margin (Business Quality)
  • -0.78 Net margin (Business Quality)

Risk penalties applied

  • -1.23 Bankruptcy-risk score in the distress zone
  • -2.00 Loss-making with negative retained earnings

Contribution = how far the company sits from its sector on that measure, weighted by how much the pillar counts. Not investment advice. How the score is built →

MoonshotScore History

Recorded daily since 2026-08-23 · 19 snapshots

2026-08-23 12
2026-08-26 11
2026-08-29 11
2026-09-01 12
2026-09-04 12
2026-09-07 13
2026-09-10 13

What changed?

The grade moved from 12 to 13 (+1).

What moved it up or down:

  • +23 Financial Strength
  • +2 Business Quality
  • +2 Growth

Held back by:

  • -14 Momentum

Over the same 18 days the stock moved -14.6%.

Aeva Technologies, Inc. Financial Trajectory

Aeva Technologies, Inc. (AEVA) reported $6.1M in revenue for Q2 FY2026, a decline of 2.0% compared to the prior quarter. The company recorded a net loss of $79.6M, with diluted EPS of $-1.23. Quarter-over-quarter revenue has been mixed, typical for a small-cap company operating in Consumer Cyclical. Across the four most recent quarters, AEVA averaged $-0.05 in diluted EPS.

Company Profile

Aeva Technologies, Inc. operates in the Semiconductors industry within the Technology sector. It is headquartered in Mountain View, US. The company is led by CEO Soroush Salehian Dardashti. AEVA has traded publicly since 2020.

How Aeva Technologies, Inc. Is Valued

Aeva Technologies, Inc. carries a market capitalization of $1.01B, placing it in the small-cap category. Analyst price targets span from $20.00 to $42.00, with a consensus of $28.75. At the current price of $14.97, that implies approximately 92% upside potential. Relative to its peer group, AEVA's quantitative score of 12/100 is below the peer average of 53/100.

Key Financial Metrics

Return on assets is -98.8%, showing how much profit it generates from its asset base. Its free cash flow yield is -6.6%, a gauge of the cash the business throws off relative to its market value. A current ratio of 4.09 indicates the company holds enough short-term assets to cover its near-term obligations. Its earnings yield is -8.2%, the inverse of the P/E and a quick read on earnings relative to price.

F-Score 3/9

Financial Health

Aeva Technologies, Inc.'s Piotroski F-Score is 3/9, a 9-point checklist of profitability, leverage and efficiency — flagging fundamental weakness worth scrutiny. Its Altman Z-Score of -0.26 places it in the distress zone, a signal of elevated financial risk.

6/8 beats

Earnings Track Record

Aeva Technologies, Inc. has beaten Wall Street's EPS estimate in 6 of its last 8 reported quarters — a consistent record of delivering on expectations. Reported results have landed about 6.1% above estimates on average.

Net selling

Insider Activity

Over the past six months, Aeva Technologies, Inc. insiders filed 30 SEC Form 4 transactions — 25 sales and 5 purchases. On net that is roughly 855K shares disposed (about $19.9M), a signal worth weighing alongside the fundamentals.

AEVA Financials

Fundamental Snapshot

Revenue Growth (FY)
+99.4%
Net Income Growth (FY)
+4.5%
EPS Growth (FY)
+10.5%
Free Cash Flow Growth (FY)
-6.8%
Current Ratio
4.1
EV/EBITDA (TTM)
80.1

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis · FY 2025

Bull Case vs Bear Case

Bull Case

  • Innovative FMCW LiDAR technology.
  • Integrated 4D LiDAR-on-chip design.
  • Potential for cost advantages.
  • Targets multiple high-growth markets.

Bear Case

  • Negative profit margin.
  • Limited gross margin.
  • Relatively small company size.
  • High beta indicates significant volatility.

AI-generated arguments based on insider flow, news sentiment and technicals — not financial advice · September 2026

Recent Quarterly Results

Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q2 FY2026 $6M -$80M -$1.23
Q1 FY2026 $6M -$35M -$0.56
Q4 FY2025 $6M -$25M -$0.40
Q3 FY2025 $4M $107M $1.99

Q2 FY2026 · filed 6 Aug 2026 · SEC EDGAR →

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis

AEVA Latest News

AEVA Analyst Consensus

Consensus Rating

Aggregated Buy/Hold/Sell recommendations collected by Financial Modeling Prep for AEVA.

Price Targets

Low
$20.00
Consensus
$28.75
High
$42.00

Median: $26.50 (+92.1% from current price)

Source: FMP analyst consensus · as of Aug 25, 2026 · an estimate, not advice

AEVA MoonshotScore

12/100

What does this score mean?

MoonshotScore is Stock Expert AI's proprietary 0-100 research rating, not a buy or sell recommendation. AEVA scores 12/100 (Grade F): the number comes from the five-pillar engine (business quality, financial safety, valuation, growth durability, momentum), re-ranked daily against sector peers.

Leadership: Soroush Salehian Dardashti

CEO

Soroush Salehian Dardashti is the CEO of Aeva Technologies, Inc. He has a strong background in engineering and technology, with experience in developing and commercializing advanced sensing solutions. Prior to co-founding Aeva, Soroush held various leadership positions in the technology industry. His expertise spans across hardware and software development, system integration, and business strategy. He has a proven track record of driving innovation and building successful technology companies.

Track Record: As CEO of Aeva Technologies, Soroush Salehian Dardashti has led the company through its initial public offering and subsequent growth phase. He has overseen the development and commercialization of Aeva's FMCW LiDAR technology, securing strategic partnerships with key industry players. Under his leadership, Aeva has expanded its target markets and positioned itself as a key player in the evolving LiDAR market.

Aeva Technologies, Inc. Consumer Cyclical Stock: Key Questions Answered

What does the AI Score mean for AEVA?

AEVA holds an AI Score of 12/100 (Grade: F). This is an educational research signal, not a buy or sell recommendation. The number comes from the five-pillar engine (business quality, financial safety, valuation, growth durability, momentum), re-ranked daily against sector peers. Aeva Technologies, Inc. specializes in Frequency Modulated Continuous Wave (FMCW) LiDAR technology.

Is AEVA a good stock?

Stock Expert AI does not rate AEVA buy, sell or hold. Aeva Technologies, Inc. carries a MoonshotScore of 12/100 on the five-pillar engine, a research rating against its peers. Whether it fits is your call: check what it sells, whether it earns, what the price assumes, and what would prove you wrong.

What do analysts say about AEVA stock?

Analyst coverage of Aeva Technologies, Inc. is mixed, reflecting the speculative nature of the LiDAR market and the company's early stage of development.

What are the key factors to evaluate for AEVA?

Aeva Technologies, Inc. (AEVA) holds an AI score of 12/100 (low). Analysts target $28.75 (+92%). Aeva's current financial performance is characterized by a negative profit margin of -693.9% and a gross margin of 4.6%. Not financial advice.

How frequently does AEVA data refresh on this page?

AEVA's price was last updated on Sep 11, 2026 and refreshes on page view during U.S. market hours; the quote is a provider snapshot, not an exchange feed. Fundamentals update after quarterly filings; the MoonshotScore recalculates nightly; news aggregates continuously.

What has driven AEVA's recent stock price performance?

Aeva Technologies, Inc. (AEVA) moves on earnings results, analyst revisions, sector rotation, and market sentiment. Notable catalyst: Innovative FMCW LiDAR technology. See the News tab for the latest drivers. Past performance does not predict future results.

Should investors consider AEVA overvalued or undervalued right now?

Aeva Technologies, Inc. (AEVA) is loss-making, so its trailing P/E is negative (-10.29x) and not usable for valuation — lean on price-to-sales and cash flow in the Financials tab. Analysts target $28.75 (+92%) — upside seen. Compare P/E, P/S, and EV/EBITDA against sector peers for a full view.

Can I buy fractional shares of AEVA?

Yes, most major brokerages offer fractional shares of Aeva Technologies, Inc. (AEVA) with no minimum purchase requirement. This means you can invest any dollar amount regardless of the share price. Check your brokerage platform for specific terms, fees, and fractional share availability.

How can I track AEVA's earnings and financial reports?

Aeva Technologies, Inc. (AEVA) reports quarterly earnings approximately 4-6 weeks after each fiscal quarter ends. You can track earnings dates, revenue and EPS estimates, and actual results on this page's Financials tab. Earnings surprises (beats or misses) often cause significant short-term price moves. Your brokerage can send alerts for AEVA earnings announcements.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Always do your own research and consult a financial advisor.

Official Resources

Price as of Analysis updated MoonshotScore as of
Data Sources & Methodology
Market data powered by Financial Modeling Prep & Yahoo Finance. AI analysis by Stock Expert AI proprietary algorithms. Technical indicators via industry-standard calculations. Last updated: .
Data Provenance
Sources: Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) — Primary · Yahoo Finance — Fallback · Alpaca — Tertiary
Last fetched:
Cache TTL: Quote 5min · Profile 7d · Financials 7d · Insider 48h
How we use AI: Numbers are pulled directly from FMP & Yahoo Finance — our AI writes the analysis, it never edits the figures.
Data provided as-is for educational purposes. Not financial advice. Methodology

Data provided for informational purposes only.

Analysis Notes
  • Financial data is based on the most recent available information.
  • Analyst opinions and price targets are subject to change.
  • The LiDAR market is rapidly evolving, and future growth is uncertain.
Data Sources
Financial Modeling Prep (FMP)Stock Expert AI proprietary analysis

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