Amcor plc (AMCR) Stock Analysis

Why this analysis is different

• A sector-relative MoonshotScore — five pillars (business quality, financial safety, valuation, growth durability, momentum) re-ranked nightly against the full universe of US-listed common stocks.
• An AI Council read across up to eight perspectives — value, macro, quantitative, and momentum lenses — that shows where they disagree instead of averaging the tension away.
• Figures come straight from FMP and Yahoo Finance filings data. The AI writes the narrative around the numbers — it never edits the numbers.

Amcor plc (AMCR) Consumer Business Overview

Amcor plc, a global packaging leader, provides flexible and rigid packaging solutions across diverse sectors. With a focus on sustainability and innovation, the company serves food, beverage, healthcare, and personal care markets worldwide. Its established presence and wide product range position it strongly in the consumer cyclical industry.

What Is the Investment Thesis for AMCR?

With a market capitalization of $19.9B and a dividend yield of 6.45%, Amcor offers a blend of stability and income potential. The company's focus on developing recyclable and sustainable packaging solutions aligns with growing consumer and regulatory demands, potentially driving long-term growth. Amcor's consistent profitability, reflected in its 3.1% profit margin, and its beta of 0.64, suggesting lower volatility compared to the broader market, make it a noteworthy option for risk-averse investors. Upcoming catalysts include expansion into emerging markets and continued innovation in sustainable packaging technologies. Potential risks include fluctuations in raw material costs and increased competition from alternative packaging solutions.

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis

AMCR Key Highlights

Market Cap of $19.9B indicates a strong market presence and investor confidence.

• Dividend Yield of 6.45% offers an attractive income stream for investors.
• P/E Ratio of 17.99 suggests the stock is trading at a premium compared to its earnings.
• Gross Margin of 17.9% reflects the company's ability to manage production costs effectively.
• Beta of 0.64 indicates lower volatility compared to the overall market, making it a relatively stable investment.

Who Are AMCR's Competitors?

AMCR is benchmarked below against 8 industry peers on price, market cap, and our AI MoonshotScore.

AI Score by Stock Expert AI · Price data: FMP / Yahoo Finance

What Are AMCR's Key Strengths?

Global market leadership in packaging solutions.

• Diverse product portfolio serving multiple industries.
• Strong focus on sustainability and innovation.
• Established relationships with major consumer goods companies.

What Are AMCR's Weaknesses?

Exposure to fluctuations in raw material costs.

• Dependence on consumer spending and economic conditions.
• Intense competition from other packaging providers.
• Profit margin of 3.1% is relatively low.

What Could Drive AMCR Stock Higher?

AMCR catalyst: Expansion into emerging markets, particularly in Asia Pacific and Latin America, is expected to drive revenue growth.

• Investments in sustainable packaging technologies are anticipated to attract environmentally conscious customers and enhance brand reputation.
• Potential acquisitions of companies with complementary technologies or market access could accelerate growth and expand the product portfolio.
• Increasing demand for e-commerce packaging solutions is expected to boost sales in this segment.
• Focus on the medical and pharmaceutical packaging segment offers a high-growth opportunity due to stringent regulatory requirements.

What Are the Key Risks for AMCR?

Financial-distress signal — its Altman Z-Score of 1.35 sits in the distress zone (elevated bankruptcy risk).

• Fluctuations in raw material costs, such as polymers and paper, could impact profitability.
• Increased competition from alternative packaging materials, such as glass and metal, may erode market share.
• Stringent environmental regulations and compliance costs could increase operating expenses.
• Economic downturns affecting consumer spending could reduce demand for packaged goods.
• Disruptions in the global supply chain could impact production and distribution.

What Are the Growth Opportunities for AMCR?

• Growth opportunity 1: Expansion into emerging markets, particularly in Asia Pacific and Latin America, presents a significant growth opportunity for Amcor. These regions are experiencing rapid economic growth and increasing consumer demand for packaged goods. By establishing or expanding its presence in these markets, Amcor can tap into new revenue streams and diversify its geographic footprint. This expansion aligns with the global trend of increased consumption in developing economies and could contribute significantly to Amcor's long-term growth. The timeline for significant revenue contribution is estimated at 3-5 years.
• Growth opportunity 2: Innovation in sustainable packaging technologies is a crucial growth driver for Amcor. As consumers and regulators increasingly demand eco-friendly packaging solutions, Amcor's ability to develop and commercialize recyclable, compostable, and bio-based packaging materials will be critical. Investing in research and development to create innovative sustainable packaging solutions will not only meet market demand but also differentiate Amcor from its competitors. This focus on sustainability will enhance Amcor's brand reputation and attract environmentally conscious customers. The timeline for realizing significant benefits from this strategy is estimated at 2-4 years.
• Growth opportunity 3: Strategic acquisitions and partnerships can further strengthen Amcor's market position and expand its product portfolio. By acquiring companies with complementary technologies or market access, Amcor can accelerate its growth and enhance its competitive advantage. Forming strategic partnerships with other industry players can also provide access to new markets and technologies. These strategic moves can enable Amcor to expand its reach, diversify its offerings, and capitalize on emerging trends in the packaging industry. The timeline for integration and realizing synergies from acquisitions is typically 1-3 years.
• Growth opportunity 4: Focusing on the medical and pharmaceutical packaging segment offers a high-growth opportunity for Amcor. This segment requires specialized packaging solutions that meet stringent regulatory requirements and ensure product safety and integrity. By investing in technologies and capabilities to serve the medical and pharmaceutical industries, Amcor can tap into a high-margin market with strong growth potential. This strategic focus aligns with the increasing demand for advanced packaging solutions in the healthcare sector. The timeline for significant market penetration is estimated at 2-5 years.
• Growth opportunity 5: Enhancing its e-commerce packaging solutions is a critical growth opportunity for Amcor. With the rapid growth of online retail, there is an increasing demand for packaging solutions that are specifically designed for e-commerce. These solutions must be durable, lightweight, and cost-effective to withstand the rigors of shipping and handling. By developing innovative e-commerce packaging solutions, Amcor can capitalize on the growing online retail market and strengthen its position as a leading packaging provider. The timeline for developing and deploying these solutions is estimated at 1-3 years.

What Are AMCR's Competitive Advantages?

• Global scale and established market leadership in the packaging industry.
• Diverse product portfolio spanning flexible and rigid packaging solutions.
• Strong focus on innovation and sustainability, meeting evolving customer demands.
• Long-standing relationships with major consumer goods companies.

What Does AMCR Do?

Amcor plc, incorporated in 2018 and headquartered in Zürich, Switzerland, is a global leader in developing, producing, and selling packaging solutions. The company traces its roots back to 1860 when it began as a paper bag manufacturer in Melbourne, Australia. Over the decades, Amcor expanded its operations and diversified its product portfolio through strategic acquisitions and organic growth, evolving into a multinational packaging giant. Today, Amcor operates through two primary segments: Flexibles and Rigid Packaging. The Flexibles segment offers a wide array of flexible and film packaging products used in the food and beverage, medical and pharmaceutical, fresh produce, snack food, and personal care industries. This includes pouches, films, laminates, and specialty bags designed to protect and preserve products while enhancing shelf appeal. The Rigid Packaging segment focuses on producing rigid containers for beverage and food products, such as carbonated soft drinks, water, juices, sports drinks, milk-based beverages, spirits and beer, sauces, dressings, spreads, and personal care items. Additionally, this segment manufactures plastic caps for various applications. Amcor sells its products primarily through a direct sales force, serving a global customer base across Europe, North America, Latin America, Africa, and the Asia Pacific regions. With a workforce of 41,000 employees, Amcor is committed to innovation, sustainability, and delivering value-added packaging solutions to its customers.

What Products and Services Does AMCR Offer?

• Develops and produces flexible packaging for food, beverage, and healthcare products.
• Manufactures rigid packaging containers for beverages, including carbonated soft drinks and juices.
• Provides packaging solutions for the medical and pharmaceutical industries.
• Offers plastic caps for various packaging applications.
• Creates packaging for personal care and home care products.
• Supplies packaging for fresh produce and snack foods.
• Focuses on sustainable packaging solutions, including recyclable and compostable materials.

How Does AMCR Make Money?

• Amcor generates revenue by selling flexible and rigid packaging products to a diverse range of customers.
• The company operates through two segments: Flexibles and Rigid Packaging.
• Amcor utilizes a direct sales force to market and sell its products to customers globally.
• The company focuses on innovation and sustainability to differentiate its products and attract customers.

What Industry Does AMCR Operate In?

Amcor plc operates within the global packaging industry, a sector driven by consumer demand for packaged goods and increasing focus on sustainability. The industry is characterized by intense competition, with companies vying for market share through innovation, cost efficiency, and strategic partnerships. Trends such as the rise of e-commerce, growing demand for sustainable packaging, and stringent environmental regulations are shaping the industry landscape. Amcor's focus on developing recyclable and compostable packaging solutions positions it favorably to capitalize on the growing demand for eco-friendly products. Competitors include Smurfit Westrock Plc (SW), which also offers a wide range of packaging solutions.

Who Are AMCR's Key Customers?

• Food and beverage companies requiring flexible and rigid packaging.
• Pharmaceutical and medical companies needing specialized packaging solutions.
• Personal care and home care product manufacturers.
• Retailers and e-commerce businesses seeking packaging for product distribution.

Amcor plc Financial Trajectory

Amcor plc (AMCR) reported $6.40B in revenue for Q4 FY2026, reflecting 8.2% growth compared to the prior quarter. The company recorded net income of $389.0M, with diluted EPS of $0.84. Revenue has increased across the last three reported quarters, suggesting sustained momentum for this large-cap Consumer Cyclical company. Across the four most recent quarters, AMCR averaged $0.60 in diluted EPS.

Company Profile

Amcor plc operates in the Packaging & Containers industry within the Consumer Cyclical sector. It is headquartered in Zurich, CH. The company is led by CEO Peter Konieczny. AMCR has traded publicly since 2012.

How Amcor plc Is Valued

Amcor plc carries a market capitalization of $19.9B, placing it in the large-cap category. Analyst price targets span from $43.00 to $56.00, with a consensus of $48.38. At the current price of $43.00, that implies approximately 13% upside potential. Relative to its peer group, AMCR's quantitative score of 58/100 is roughly in line with the peer average of 64/100.

Return on equity for Amcor plc stands at 5.8%, a gauge of how efficiently it converts shareholder capital into profit. Return on assets is 1.8%, showing how much profit it generates from its asset base. AMCR trades at a trailing price-to-earnings ratio of 17.99, below the Consumer Cyclical sector average of ~32.70x. Its free cash flow yield is 6.8%, a gauge of the cash the business throws off relative to its market value. A current ratio of 1.44 indicates the company holds enough short-term assets to cover its near-term obligations. Its earnings yield is 3.8%, the inverse of the P/E and a quick read on earnings relative to price.

Amcor plc's Piotroski F-Score is 7/9, a 9-point checklist of profitability, leverage and efficiency — signaling solid underlying fundamentals. Its Altman Z-Score of 1.35 places it in the distress zone, a signal of elevated financial risk.

Amcor plc has beaten Wall Street's EPS estimate in 5 of its last 8 reported quarters — more hits than misses. Reported results have landed about 99.2% above estimates on average.

Over the past six months, Amcor plc insiders filed 15 SEC Form 4 transactions — 5 sales and 10 purchases. On net that is roughly 73K shares acquired (about $1.1M) — insiders putting money in tends to read as conviction.

AMCR Financials

AMCR Latest News

AMCR Analyst Consensus

AMCR MoonshotScore

Latest Amcor plc Analysis

What Investors Ask About Amcor plc (AMCR) — Consumer Cyclical

Disclaimer: This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Always do your own research and consult a financial advisor.

Official Resources