Casey's General Stores (CASY)
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice. Analysis by Sedat ANAK, Founder & Editor-in-Chief | AI-powered analysis. Data sourced from SEC filings and institutional-grade financial providers. Editorially reviewed. Not financial advice.
Casey's General Stores (CASY) trades at $797.42 with AI Score 71/100 (Grade A). Casey's General Stores, Inc. operates convenience stores across the United States, offering a variety of food, beverages, and fuel. Market cap: $29.51B, Sector: Consumer cyclical.
Price live · AI analysis from May 10, 2026CASY stock analysis for 2026: Analysts have set a consensus price target of $686.78 for Casey's General Stores, suggesting 13.9% downside from the current price of $797.42. The AI MoonshotScore is 71/100, indicating a bullish outlook. Key factors: analyst coverage, AI-driven quantitative scoring.
CASY: the 2 perspectives are evenly split.
How is this calculated? →Casey's General Stores (CASY) Consumer Business Overview
Casey's General Stores, Inc. is a leading convenience store chain in the United States, distinguished by its focus on prepared foods like pizza and donuts, alongside fuel and everyday essentials. Operating primarily in the Midwest, Casey's caters to local communities with a differentiated convenience store experience, setting it apart from larger national chains.
What Is the Investment Thesis for CASY?
Casey's General Stores presents a compelling investment case based on its established market position, focus on prepared foods, and consistent store growth. The company's high P/E ratio of 41.6 suggests investor confidence in its future earnings potential. Key value drivers include continued expansion into new markets, same-store sales growth driven by its popular food offerings, and efficient supply chain management. Upcoming catalysts include the ongoing rollout of digital initiatives to enhance customer engagement and loyalty. Potential risks include fluctuations in fuel prices, increasing competition from other convenience store chains and quick-service restaurants, and potential economic downturns affecting consumer spending. With a dividend yield of 0.27%, Casey's offers a modest income component to its growth-oriented investment profile.
Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis
CASY Key Highlights
- Market capitalization of $29.51B, reflecting significant investor confidence in Casey's business model and growth prospects.
- P/E ratio of 41.6, indicating a premium valuation based on expectations of future earnings growth.
- Gross margin of 23.9%, demonstrating the company's ability to maintain profitability amidst competitive pressures.
- Profit margin of 3.8%, showcasing efficient cost management and operational effectiveness.
- Beta of 0.60, suggesting lower volatility compared to the overall market, making it a relatively stable investment.
Who Are CASY's Competitors?
CASY is benchmarked below against 8 industry peers on price, market cap, and our AI MoonshotScore.
| Company | Price | Change | Market Cap | AI Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ULTA Ulta Beauty, Inc. | $461.33 | +1.44% | $19.83B | 82 |
| IHG InterContinental Hotels Group PLC | $169.93 | +0.90% | $25.21B | 52 |
| RL Ralph Lauren Corporation | $398.22 | +0.05% | $24.29B | 94 |
| BURL Burlington Stores, Inc. | $313.18 | -0.57% | $19.71B | 61 |
| DKS DICK'S Sporting Goods, Inc. | $236.18 | +2.79% | $20.18B | 62 |
| GPGNF Grupo Gigante, S. A. B. de C. V. | $1.64 | +0.00% | $1.63B | 68 |
| MNSO MINISO Group Holding Limited | $11.72 | -3.78% | $3.58B | 64 |
| FDIT Findit, Inc. | $0.03 | -14.86% | $30.13M | 63 |
AI Score by Stock Expert AI · Price data: FMP / Yahoo Finance
What Are CASY's Key Strengths?
- Strong brand recognition and customer loyalty in its core markets.
- Differentiated prepared food offerings, driving higher margins.
- Efficient supply chain and distribution network.
- Strategic store locations in underserved communities.
What Are CASY's Weaknesses?
- Limited geographic diversification, with a heavy concentration in the Midwest.
- Dependence on motor fuel sales, which are subject to price fluctuations.
- Higher operating costs compared to some competitors.
- Vulnerability to economic downturns affecting consumer spending.
What Could Drive CASY Stock Higher?
- Continued expansion into new geographic markets, driving revenue growth.
- Ongoing rollout of digital initiatives to enhance customer engagement and loyalty.
- Expansion of prepared food offerings with new menu items and healthier options.
- Implementation of cost-saving measures to improve operational efficiency.
- Strategic acquisitions of smaller regional chains to expand market share.
What Are the Key Risks for CASY?
- Insider selling — insiders were net sellers of roughly $39.1M recently.
- Fluctuations in fuel prices and commodity costs affecting profitability.
- Increasing competition from other convenience store chains and quick-service restaurants.
- Economic downturns affecting consumer spending and store traffic.
- Regulatory changes affecting the sale of tobacco and alcohol products.
- Supply chain disruptions and labor shortages impacting store operations.
What Are the Growth Opportunities for CASY?
- Expansion into New Markets: Casey's has the opportunity to expand its footprint into new geographic markets, particularly in the Southeastern and Southwestern United States. This expansion can be achieved through new store openings and strategic acquisitions of smaller regional chains. The convenience store market is estimated to be worth over $700 billion annually, providing ample opportunity for Casey's to increase its market share. Timeline: Ongoing.
- Digital Transformation: Investing in digital technologies, such as mobile ordering, loyalty programs, and personalized marketing, can enhance customer engagement and drive sales growth. The digital convenience retail market is projected to reach $40 billion by 2028, presenting a significant opportunity for Casey's to capitalize on the shift towards online and mobile shopping. Timeline: Ongoing.
- Enhanced Food Offerings: Expanding its prepared food offerings with new menu items, healthier options, and innovative recipes can attract new customers and increase same-store sales. The prepared foods market is growing at a rate of 5% annually, driven by changing consumer preferences and busy lifestyles. Casey's can leverage its existing infrastructure and brand reputation to capitalize on this trend. Timeline: Ongoing.
- Fuel Efficiency and Alternative Fuels: As consumer preferences shift towards more fuel-efficient vehicles and alternative fuels, Casey's can adapt its fuel offerings to meet these changing demands. This includes offering electric vehicle charging stations and promoting higher-octane gasoline blends. The electric vehicle charging market is projected to grow at a rate of 30% annually, presenting a long-term growth opportunity for Casey's. Timeline: Ongoing.
- Loyalty Program Expansion: Expanding and enhancing its loyalty program can increase customer retention and drive repeat business. By offering personalized rewards, exclusive promotions, and seamless integration with its mobile app, Casey's can strengthen its relationship with its customers and encourage them to visit its stores more frequently. The loyalty program market is estimated to be worth over $100 billion annually, highlighting the importance of customer loyalty in the retail industry. Timeline: Ongoing.
What Opportunities Does CASY Have?
- Expansion into new geographic markets.
- Increased focus on digital technologies and loyalty programs.
- Expansion of prepared food offerings and healthier options.
- Adoption of alternative fuel solutions and electric vehicle charging stations.
What Threats Does CASY Face?
- Increasing competition from other convenience store chains and quick-service restaurants.
- Fluctuations in fuel prices and commodity costs.
- Changing consumer preferences and shopping habits.
- Regulatory changes affecting the sale of tobacco and alcohol products.
What Are CASY's Competitive Advantages?
- Established brand reputation and customer loyalty in its core markets.
- Focus on prepared foods, which differentiates it from other convenience store chains.
- Efficient distribution network and supply chain management.
- Strategic store locations in underserved communities.
What Does CASY Do?
Founded in 1959 in Des Moines, Iowa, by Donald Lamberti, Casey's General Stores began as a small-town general store and has evolved into a prominent convenience store chain. The company operates under the Casey's and Casey's General Store names, primarily in the Midwestern and Southern United States. Casey's differentiates itself through its focus on prepared foods, including its popular made-from-scratch pizza, donuts, and breakfast items. These offerings complement a wide array of convenience store staples such as soft drinks, snacks, tobacco products, and motor fuel. Over the years, Casey's has expanded its offerings to include a broader selection of grocery items, health and beauty aids, automotive products, and other non-food items. The company also provides services such as ATM access, lottery tickets, and car washes at select locations. Casey's operates distribution centers to support its store network, ensuring efficient supply chain management and consistent product availability. As of 2022, Casey's operated 2,452 stores, and continues to grow its footprint through new store openings and strategic acquisitions. Casey's commitment to community and customer service has solidified its position as a leading player in the convenience store industry, with a market capitalization of $29.51B as of 2026.
What Products and Services Does CASY Offer?
- Operates convenience stores under the Casey's and Casey's General Store names.
- Offers a variety of prepared foods, including pizza, donuts, and breakfast items.
- Sells beverages, including soft drinks, coffee, and tea.
- Provides snacks, candy, and other food items.
- Offers motor fuel for sale on a self-service basis.
- Provides ATM, lotto/lottery, and prepaid card services.
- Sells tobacco and nicotine products.
How Does CASY Make Money?
- Generates revenue from the sale of merchandise, including food, beverages, and tobacco products.
- Earns revenue from the sale of motor fuel.
- Receives income from services such as ATM fees and lottery ticket sales.
- Operates distribution centers to supply its stores.
What Industry Does CASY Operate In?
The convenience store industry is characterized by high competition and evolving consumer preferences. Key trends include the increasing demand for fresh and prepared foods, the growing adoption of digital technologies, and the rising importance of loyalty programs. Casey's General Stores operates in a competitive landscape that includes national chains, regional players, and independent operators. The company differentiates itself through its focus on prepared foods, particularly its pizza and bakery offerings, which drive customer traffic and higher margins. The industry is expected to continue growing, driven by urbanization, changing lifestyles, and the increasing demand for convenient shopping options.
Who Are CASY's Key Customers?
- Local residents in the Midwestern and Southern United States.
- Commuters and travelers seeking convenience and fuel.
- Families looking for quick and affordable meal options.
- Individuals purchasing everyday essentials and snacks.
Net buyingInsider Activity
Over the past six months, Casey's General Stores insiders filed 30 SEC Form 4 transactions — 17 sales and 13 purchases. On net that is roughly 33K shares acquired (about $39.1M) — insiders putting money in tends to read as conviction.
FY2026 estForward Outlook
Wall Street analysts project Casey's General Stores revenue of about $17.31B for fiscal 2026, with EPS near $18.11. The estimate reflects 14 contributing analysts.
8/8 beatsEarnings Track Record
Casey's General Stores has beaten Wall Street's EPS estimate in 8 of its last 8 reported quarters — a consistent record of delivering on expectations. Reported results have landed about 17.8% above estimates on average.
F-Score 7/9Financial Health
Casey's General Stores's Piotroski F-Score is 7/9, a 9-point checklist of profitability, leverage and efficiency — signaling solid underlying fundamentals. Its Altman Z-Score of 5.87 places it in the safe zone, indicating low near-term bankruptcy risk.
ROE 19%Key Financial Metrics
Return on equity for Casey's General Stores stands at 18.7%, a gauge of how efficiently it converts shareholder capital into profit. Return on assets is 8.0%, showing how much profit it generates from its asset base. CASY trades at a trailing price-to-earnings ratio of 41.57, roughly in line with the Consumer Cyclical sector average of ~39x. Its free cash flow yield is 2.4%, a gauge of the cash the business throws off relative to its market value. A current ratio of 1.01 indicates the company holds enough short-term assets to cover its near-term obligations. Its earnings yield is 2.4%, the inverse of the P/E and a quick read on earnings relative to price.
Casey's General Stores (CASY) Valuation Context
Valued at $29.51B, CASY is classified as a large-cap stock. Relative to its peer group, CASY's quantitative score of 71/100 is roughly in line with the peer average of 70/100.
CASY Revenue & Earnings Trend
In Q2 2026, CASY generated $4.57B in top-line revenue, marking a sequential increase of 16.7%. The company recorded net income of $162.7M, with diluted EPS of $4.36. Quarter-over-quarter revenue has been mixed, typical for a large-cap company operating in Consumer Cyclical. Across the four most recent quarters, CASY averaged $4.79 in diluted EPS.
Company Profile
Casey's General Stores operates in the Specialty Retail industry within the Consumer Cyclical sector. It is headquartered in Ankeny, US. The company is led by CEO Darren Rebelez. CASY has traded publicly since 1983.
CASY Financials
Fundamental Snapshot
Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis · FY 2026
Bull Case vs Bear Case
Bull Case
- Casey's is expanding its store footprint, reaching more customers in underserved markets.
- The company's focus on prepared foods and private label brands is resonating well with value-conscious consumers.
- Recent insider buying activity suggests confidence in the company's future prospects.
- Social sentiment indicates a growing appreciation for Casey's as a convenient and reliable option for everyday needs.
Bear Case
- Increased competition from other convenience stores and fast-food chains could erode Casey's market share.
- Rising input costs, particularly for fuel and food, may squeeze profit margins.
- Negative community sentiment surrounding potential over-expansion and impact on local businesses.
- Market perception suggests Casey's growth potential might be limited by its geographic focus and store format.
AI-generated arguments based on insider flow, news sentiment and technicals — not financial advice · March 2026
Recent Quarterly Results
| Quarter | Revenue | Net Income | EPS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $4.57B | $163M | $4.36 |
| Q1 2026 | $3.92B | $130M | $3.49 |
| Q4 2025 | $4.51B | $206M | $5.53 |
| Q3 2025 | $4.57B | $215M | $5.77 |
Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis
CASY Latest News
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If You Invested $1000 in Casey's General Stores a Decade Ago, This is How Much It'd Be Worth Now
Yahoo! Finance: CASY News · Jul 1, 2026
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4 Must-Buy Retail Stocks as Lower Gas Prices Boost Consumer Confidence
zacks.com · Jul 1, 2026
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Casey's General Stores (CASY) Drops Out Of Key Russell Indexes
Yahoo! Finance: CASY News · Jul 1, 2026
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What Do Analysts Think About Casey’s General Stores’ Three-Year Plan?
Yahoo! Finance: CASY News · Jul 1, 2026
CASY Analyst Consensus
Consensus Rating
Aggregated Buy/Hold/Sell recommendations from Benzinga, Yahoo Finance, and Finnhub for CASY.
Price Targets
Consensus target: $686.78
CASY MoonshotScore
What does this score mean?
The MoonshotScore rates CASY's growth potential on a scale of 0-100 across multiple factors including innovation, market disruption, financial health, and momentum.
Latest News
If You Invested $1000 in Casey's General Stores a Decade Ago, This is How Much It'd Be Worth Now
4 Must-Buy Retail Stocks as Lower Gas Prices Boost Consumer Confidence
Casey's General Stores (CASY) Drops Out Of Key Russell Indexes
What Do Analysts Think About Casey’s General Stores’ Three-Year Plan?
Latest Casey's General Stores Analysis
Leadership: Darren Rebelez
Chief Executive Officer
Darren Rebelez has served as the President and Chief Executive Officer of Casey's General Stores since 2019. Prior to joining Casey's, he held leadership positions at IHOP Restaurants, where he served as President, and at 7-Eleven, Inc., where he served as Executive Vice President and Chief Operating Officer. Rebelez also has a background in the military, having served as a U.S. Army Ranger and a veteran of Operation Desert Storm. He holds an MBA from the University of Texas at Dallas and a Bachelor of Science degree from the United States Military Academy at West Point.
Track Record: Under Rebelez's leadership, Casey's has focused on expanding its prepared food offerings, enhancing its digital capabilities, and growing its store footprint. He has overseen the acquisition of several smaller convenience store chains and has implemented initiatives to improve operational efficiency and customer service. During his tenure, Casey's has experienced consistent revenue growth and has strengthened its position as a leading player in the convenience store industry.
Common Questions About CASY (Consumer Cyclical)
What does Casey's General Stores, Inc. do?
Casey's General Stores, Inc. operates convenience stores primarily in the Midwestern and Southern United States. The company's stores offer a variety of products and services, including prepared foods like pizza and donuts, beverages, snacks, tobacco products, and motor fuel. Casey's differentiates itself through its focus on prepared foods, which drive customer traffic and higher margins. The company also provides services such as ATM access, lottery tickets, and car washes at select locations. Casey's aims to be the preferred choice for its local communities by providing convenient and affordable products and services.
What do analysts say about CASY stock?
Analyst consensus on Casey's General Stores is generally positive, with many firms citing the company's strong growth prospects and differentiated business model. Key valuation metrics, such as the P/E ratio of 41.6, suggest that investors have high expectations for future earnings growth. Analysts also point to Casey's successful expansion into new markets, its focus on prepared foods, and its efficient supply chain management as key drivers of its success. However, some analysts caution about the potential risks associated with fluctuations in fuel prices, increasing competition, and economic downturns. Overall, the consensus is that Casey's is a well-managed company with a solid growth outlook.
What are the main risks for CASY?
Casey's General Stores faces several key risks, including fluctuations in fuel prices and commodity costs, which can impact its profitability. The company also faces increasing competition from other convenience store chains and quick-service restaurants, which could erode its market share. Economic downturns could negatively affect consumer spending and store traffic, impacting sales and earnings. Regulatory changes affecting the sale of tobacco and alcohol products could also pose a risk. Additionally, supply chain disruptions and labor shortages could impact store operations and increase costs. These risks could impact Casey's financial performance and stock price.
What are the key factors to evaluate for CASY?
Casey's General Stores (CASY) holds an AI score of 71/100 (high). P/E: 41.6x vs the S&P 500's ~20-25x. Analysts target $686.78 (-14%). Not financial advice.
How frequently does CASY data refresh on this page?
CASY prices update in real time during U.S. market hours. Fundamentals refresh after quarterly filings; analyst ratings and AI insights update daily; news is aggregated continuously.
What has driven CASY's recent stock price performance?
Casey's General Stores (CASY) moves on earnings results, analyst revisions, sector rotation, and market sentiment. Notable catalyst: Strong brand recognition and customer loyalty in its core markets. See the News tab for the latest drivers. Past performance does not predict future results.
Should investors consider CASY overvalued or undervalued right now?
Casey's General Stores (CASY) trades at 41.6x earnings. Analysts target $686.78 (-14%) — downside risk seen. Compare P/E, P/S, and EV/EBITDA against sector peers for a full view.
What research should beginners do before buying CASY?
Before investing in Casey's General Stores (CASY), research these four areas: (1) the company's revenue model and competitive position (see Company Overview), (2) financial health through revenue growth, margins, and cash flow (see MoonshotScore), (3) what Wall Street analysts recommend and their price targets (see Analyst tab), and (4) specific risk factors that could impact the stock (see Risk Factors section).
Disclaimer: This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Always do your own research and consult a financial advisor.
Official Resources
Data provided for informational purposes only.
- The information provided is based on publicly available sources and is believed to be reliable, but its accuracy and completeness are not guaranteed.
- This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice.