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Aspen Aerogels, Inc. (ASPN) Stock Analysis

Educational signal · not a buy or sell recommendation · How to read this

$4.76 -$0.08 (-1.65%) |Weak · 14
Aspen Aerogels, Inc. (ASPN) bottom line: Bearish Lean — our Council read (34/100) and AI Score (14/100) broadly agree. Strongest signal: Ray Dalio bullish · Biggest watch-out: Growth Durability weak.Educational signal, not a buy or sell recommendation. Compare sector peers → · Read the method →
MCap: $395M| Vol: 632.0K| Target: $6.38 (+34.0%) (Aug 25, 2026) (estimate, not advice)| 52-wk range: $2.30 – $9.35

Market cap $395M is the value of all shares combined. Beta 3.04: the stock has moved about 204% more than the S&P 500.

Data from FMP · Methodology

For informational purposes only. Not financial advice. Machine-generated analysis by Stock Expert AI — model gemini-2.0-flash, generated May 10, 2026. Editorial oversight is systemic, not page-by-page. Editorially accountable: Sedat ANAK, Founder and Editor-in-Chief. Data sources: Financial Modeling Prep, Yahoo Finance, SEC EDGAR

Quick Answer

Aspen Aerogels, Inc. (ASPN) trades at $4.76 with MoonshotScore 14/100 (Grade F). Aspen Aerogels, Inc. specializes in developing and manufacturing aerogel insulation products. Market cap: $395M, Sector: Industrials.

Price as of Sep 11, 2026 · Last analyzed: May 10, 2026
Aspen Aerogels, Inc. specializes in developing and manufacturing aerogel insulation products. Their products cater to energy infrastructure and building materials markets, with a growing focus on thermal barriers for electric vehicle batteries.

ASPN stock analysis for 2026: Analysts have set a consensus price target of $6.38 for Aspen Aerogels, Inc., suggesting 34.0% upside from the current price of $4.76. The AI MoonshotScore is 14/100, in the Weak band (below 45) — a research signal, not a recommendation. Key factors: analyst coverage, AI-driven quantitative scoring.

Watch the ASPN film Every key number, told as a short cinematic story — just press play. ~2 min

These figures come from statements filed 12 months ago — the most recent this company has published.

Council Score · Weighted Average of 3 Disciplines
Bearish Lean 34/100 · D

ASPN: 1/3 scored disciplines lean bearish. Dominant signal: Growth Durability weak.

How is this calculated? →
MoonshotScore · Five-pillar engine · 14/100
Business Quality
Weak Is this a genuinely good business?
Financial Safety
Negative Could this blow up on me?
Valuation
Neutral Am I paying a fair price?
Growth Durability
Negative Is the growth real and likely to last?
Momentum
Neutral Is the market already moving on this?

Strongest side: Valuation (6/10, Neutral). Weakest side: Growth Durability (0/10, Negative).

Legends Council · 5 Legends + Moon AI

AI simulations built from the named investors' published principles. Not affiliated with, endorsed by, or the opinion of these individuals. How these lenses are built

Dalio-style lens (simulated)Ray Dalio
Favorable read
Griffin-style lens (simulated)Ken Griffin
Neutral read
Simons-style lens (simulated)Jim Simons
Neutral read
Englander-style lens (simulated)Izzy Englander
Unfavorable read
Klarman-style lens (simulated)Seth Klarman
Unfavorable read
Moon AI lens (model)
Unfavorable read
Munger's Mindset · Balance Sheet & Valuation
Financial Health
Neutral
Margin of Safety
Undervalued
Council Score · Weighted Average of 3 Disciplines · See tabs for details →
The lenses are modelled on the published principles of the investors named. We are not affiliated with them, they have not endorsed this, and it is not their opinion of this stock.

Why this analysis is different

  • A sector-relative MoonshotScore — five pillars (business quality, financial safety, valuation, growth durability, momentum) re-ranked nightly against the full universe of US-listed common stocks.
  • An AI Council read across up to eight perspectives — value, macro, quantitative, and momentum lenses — that shows where they disagree instead of averaging the tension away.
  • Figures come straight from FMP and Yahoo Finance filings data. The AI writes the narrative around the numbers — it never edits the numbers.

Aspen Aerogels, Inc. (ASPN) Industrial Operations Profile

CEODonald R. Young
Employees854
HeadquartersNorthborough, MA, US
IPO Year2014
IndustryConstruction

Aspen Aerogels, Inc. provides aerogel insulation solutions, targeting energy infrastructure and building materials sectors. The company differentiates itself through specialized products like PyroThin for EV batteries and Pyrogel for industrial applications, operating in a market driven by energy efficiency and safety standards.

Data Provenance | Financial Data Quantitative Analysis NYSE Analysis: May 10, 2026

What Is the Investment Thesis for ASPN?

AI-written as of May 10, 2026 — figures and tone reflect the data available then, not today's score.

Aspen Aerogels presents a compelling, albeit high-risk, investment thesis centered on its innovative aerogel technology and strategic positioning in high-growth markets. A key value driver is the increasing demand for thermal management solutions in electric vehicles, where its PyroThin product offers a competitive advantage. The company's expansion into building materials with Spaceloft also provides diversification. However, the company's negative profit margin of -48.6% raises concerns about profitability. Successful scaling of production and cost management are critical for realizing the company's potential. Investors should closely monitor revenue growth, gross margin improvement, and progress in achieving profitability.

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis

ASPN Key Highlights

AI-written as of May 10, 2026 — figures and tone reflect the data available then, not today's score.

Market capitalization of $395M reflects investor expectations for future growth, particularly in the electric vehicle battery market.

  • Gross margin of 11.9% indicates potential for improvement through economies of scale and optimized production processes.
  • Beta of 3.04 suggests high volatility relative to the broader market, reflecting the company's growth stage and sensitivity to market sentiment.
  • Focus on PyroThin thermal barriers for lithium-ion batteries positions the company to capitalize on the expanding EV market.
  • Geographic reach across the United States, Asia, Canada, Europe, and Latin America provides diversification and access to multiple growth markets.

Who Are ASPN's Competitors?

ASPN is benchmarked below against 8 industry peers on price, market cap, and our AI MoonshotScore.

Company Price Change Market Cap MoonshotScore
PHOE Phoenix Asia Holdings Limited Ordinary Shares $19.47 +2.58% $421M 335-pillar
NRTZF Noritz Corporation $11.47 0.00% $525M 479-signal
BXC BlueLinx Holdings Inc. $79.75 -0.40% $621M 635-pillar
JBI Janus International Group, Inc. $4.57 -1.72% $623M 745-pillar
LPUSF Tyman plc $3.31 0.00% $645M
PPIH Perma-Pipe International Holdings, Inc. $29.37 -0.61% $239M 835-pillar
SWIM Latham Group, Inc. $6.33 -3.21% $743M 555-pillar
APOG Apogee Enterprises, Inc. $37.44 -0.24% $781M 815-pillar

AI Score by Stock Expert AI · Price data: FMP / Yahoo Finance This table mixes two scoring engines — compare a number only with others carrying the same tag.

What Are ASPN's Key Strengths?

Innovative aerogel technology.

  • Specialized products for high-growth markets.
  • Established presence in the energy infrastructure market.
  • Growing focus on the electric vehicle battery market.

What Are ASPN's Weaknesses?

Negative profit margin.

  • High beta indicating volatility.
  • Dependence on specific industries and applications.
  • Relatively small market capitalization.

What Could Drive ASPN Stock Higher?

ASPN catalyst: Increasing demand for PyroThin thermal barriers in electric vehicle batteries due to EV market growth.

  • Expansion of the building materials market with Spaceloft products driven by energy-efficient construction trends.
  • Growth in the energy infrastructure market with Pyrogel products for insulation and corrosion prevention.
  • Potential new applications of aerogel technology in other industries, such as aerospace and consumer goods.
  • Development of new aerogel products with improved performance and cost-effectiveness.

What Are the Key Risks for ASPN?

Financial-distress signal — its Altman Z-Score of -2.74 sits in the distress zone (elevated bankruptcy risk).

  • Negative return on equity (-42.1%) — the business is not currently generating profit on shareholder capital.
  • Inconsistent delivery — missed Wall Street EPS estimates in 6 of the last 8 reported quarters.
  • Competition from established insulation manufacturers with greater resources.
  • Fluctuations in raw material prices impacting production costs.
  • Negative profit margin and the need to achieve profitability.
  • Technological advancements that could render aerogel obsolete.
  • Economic downturns reducing demand for industrial and construction materials.

What Are the Growth Opportunities for ASPN?

  • Electric Vehicle Battery Market: The increasing adoption of electric vehicles drives demand for thermal barriers in lithium-ion batteries. Aspen Aerogels' PyroThin product is designed for this application, offering a competitive advantage in terms of thermal performance and safety.
  • Energy Infrastructure Insulation: The energy infrastructure market requires high-performance insulation to prevent corrosion and maintain operating temperatures. Aspen Aerogels' Pyrogel products are used in pipelines, refineries, and other industrial facilities. As energy companies invest in infrastructure upgrades and maintenance, demand for advanced insulation materials is expected to increase, providing a steady revenue stream for Aspen Aerogels.
  • Building Materials Market: The building materials market is driven by energy-efficient construction and stringent building codes. Aspen Aerogels' Spaceloft products offer superior thermal performance compared to traditional insulation materials. As building owners and developers seek to reduce energy consumption and comply with regulations, demand for Spaceloft is expected to grow, particularly in green building projects.
  • Cryogenic Insulation: Aspen Aerogels' Cryogel products are used in cryogenic applications, such as liquefied natural gas (LNG) storage and transportation. The increasing demand for LNG as a cleaner energy source is driving growth in the cryogenic insulation market. Aspen Aerogels' Cryogel products offer high thermal performance and durability in extreme cold environments, making them well-suited for these applications.
  • Fire Protection: Aspen Aerogels' Pyrogel XTF provides protection against fire. The growing awareness of fire safety and increasingly stringent fire safety regulations are driving demand for fire-resistant materials in buildings and industrial facilities. This presents a growth opportunity for Aspen Aerogels to expand its market share in the fire protection industry.

What Are ASPN's Competitive Advantages?

  • Proprietary aerogel technology and manufacturing processes.
  • Specialized products tailored to specific applications.
  • Established relationships with key customers in target industries.
  • Growing brand recognition for high-performance insulation solutions.

What Does ASPN Do?

Founded in 2001 and headquartered in Northborough, Massachusetts, Aspen Aerogels, Inc. designs, develops, manufactures, and sells aerogel insulation products. The company initially focused on serving the energy infrastructure market with products like Pyrogel and Cryogel, which reduce corrosion and provide insulation in demanding environments. Over time, Aspen Aerogels expanded its product line to include Spaceloft for building materials, targeting energy-efficient construction. A key strategic move was the development of PyroThin thermal barriers for lithium-ion batteries, positioning the company in the rapidly growing electric vehicle (EV) market. The company's products are now used across the United States, Asia, Canada, Europe, and Latin America. Aspen Aerogels continues to innovate in aerogel technology, aiming to provide solutions for thermal management and fire protection across diverse industries, from energy to construction to electric vehicles.

What Products and Services Does ASPN Offer?

  • Designs and develops aerogel insulation products.
  • Manufactures aerogel insulation materials for various applications.
  • Sells aerogel products to the energy infrastructure market.
  • Provides thermal barriers for lithium-ion batteries in electric vehicles.
  • Offers insulation solutions for the building materials market.
  • Supplies cryogenic insulation for LNG and other cold storage applications.

How Does ASPN Make Money?

  • Aspen Aerogels generates revenue through the sale of aerogel insulation products.
  • The company targets specific industries, including energy, construction, and electric vehicles.
  • Aspen Aerogels focuses on high-performance applications where its products offer a competitive advantage.
  • The company invests in research and development to innovate new aerogel technologies and applications.

What Industry Does ASPN Operate In?

Aspen Aerogels operates within the broader construction and industrial materials sector, with a specific focus on insulation solutions. The market is driven by increasing demand for energy efficiency, safety, and thermal management across various industries. The rise of electric vehicles and stringent building codes are creating new opportunities for advanced insulation materials. Aspen Aerogels competes with traditional insulation manufacturers as well as other aerogel producers, differentiating itself through specialized products and applications.

Who Are ASPN's Key Customers?

  • Energy companies that operate pipelines, refineries, and other industrial facilities.
  • Electric vehicle manufacturers that use lithium-ion batteries.
  • Building owners and developers seeking energy-efficient construction materials.
  • Companies involved in the storage and transportation of liquefied natural gas (LNG).
Model self-rating on this text: 73% (not a measure of the evidence) Updated: May 10, 2026

Research confidence

High 100/100

Broad, current evidence sits behind this analysis.

  • Scored on 97% of our measures
  • Price is current
  • Latest filing 35 days ago
  • Covered by analysts

Why 14?

Measured against companies in the same sector. The figures below are the factor contributions the scoring engine itself produced.

What is helping

  • +0.78 Return on invested capital (Business Quality)
  • +0.78 Operating margin (Business Quality)
  • +0.36 Enterprise value vs free cash flow (Valuation)

What is holding it back

  • -0.78 Net margin (Business Quality)
  • -0.74 Return on assets (Business Quality)
  • -0.58 Return on equity (Business Quality)

Risk penalties applied

  • -1.89 Bankruptcy-risk score in the distress zone
  • -1.70 Loss-making with negative retained earnings

Contribution = how far the company sits from its sector on that measure, weighted by how much the pillar counts. Not investment advice. How the score is built →

MoonshotScore History

Recorded daily since 2026-08-23 · 19 snapshots

2026-08-23 12
2026-08-26 12
2026-08-29 12
2026-09-01 14
2026-09-04 14
2026-09-07 14
2026-09-10 14

What changed?

The grade moved from 12 to 14 (+2).

What moved it up or down:

  • +31 Valuation
  • +8 Momentum
  • +7 Business Quality

Over the same 18 days the stock moved -6.6%.

Company Profile

Aspen Aerogels, Inc. operates in the Chemicals - Specialty industry within the Basic Materials sector. It is headquartered in Northborough, US. The company is led by CEO Donald R. Young. ASPN has traded publicly since 2014.

Aspen Aerogels, Inc. Financial Trajectory

Aspen Aerogels, Inc. (ASPN) reported $49.8M in revenue for Q2 FY2026, reflecting 31.6% growth compared to the prior quarter. The company recorded a net loss of $23.3M, with diluted EPS of $-0.28. Quarter-over-quarter revenue has been mixed, typical for a small-cap company operating in Industrials. Across the four most recent quarters, ASPN averaged $-0.38 in diluted EPS.

How Aspen Aerogels, Inc. Is Valued

Aspen Aerogels, Inc. carries a market capitalization of $395M, placing it in the small-cap category. Analyst price targets span from $5.00 to $7.75, with a consensus of $6.38. At the current price of $4.76, that implies approximately 34% upside potential. Relative to its peer group, ASPN's quantitative score of 14/100 is below the peer average of 62/100.

ROE -42%

Key Financial Metrics

Return on equity for Aspen Aerogels, Inc. stands at -42.1%, a gauge of how efficiently it converts shareholder capital into profit. Return on assets is -27.3%, showing how much profit it generates from its asset base. Its free cash flow yield is 7.9%, a gauge of the cash the business throws off relative to its market value. A current ratio of 2.88 indicates the company holds enough short-term assets to cover its near-term obligations. Its earnings yield is -24.9%, the inverse of the P/E and a quick read on earnings relative to price.

F-Score 3/9

Financial Health

Aspen Aerogels, Inc.'s Piotroski F-Score is 3/9, a 9-point checklist of profitability, leverage and efficiency — flagging fundamental weakness worth scrutiny. Its Altman Z-Score of -2.74 places it in the distress zone, a signal of elevated financial risk.

2/8 beats

Earnings Track Record

Aspen Aerogels, Inc. has missed Wall Street's EPS estimate in 6 of its last 8 reported quarters — a mixed record worth weighing. Reported results have landed about 652.8% below estimates on average.

Net buying

Insider Activity

Over the past six months, Aspen Aerogels, Inc. insiders filed 12 SEC Form 4 transactions — 1 sales and 11 purchases. On net that is roughly 95K shares acquired (about $235K) — insiders putting money in tends to read as conviction.

ASPN Financials

Fundamental Snapshot

Revenue Growth (FY)
-40.1%
Free Cash Flow Growth (FY)
+88.8%
Return on Equity (TTM)
-42.1%
Current Ratio
2.9

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis · FY 2025

Bull Case vs Bear Case

Bull Case

  • Innovative aerogel technology.
  • Specialized products for high-growth markets.
  • Established presence in the energy infrastructure market.
  • Growing focus on the electric vehicle battery market.

Bear Case

  • Negative profit margin.
  • High beta indicating volatility.
  • Dependence on specific industries and applications.
  • Relatively small market capitalization.

AI-generated arguments based on insider flow, news sentiment and technicals — not financial advice · September 2026

Recent Quarterly Results

Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q2 FY2026 $50M -$23M -$0.28
Q1 FY2026 $38M -$24M -$0.29
Q4 FY2025 $41M -$73M -$0.88
Q3 FY2025 $73M -$6M -$0.08

Q2 FY2026 · filed 7 Aug 2026 · SEC EDGAR →

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis

ASPN Latest News

ASPN Analyst Consensus

Consensus Rating

Aggregated Buy/Hold/Sell recommendations collected by Financial Modeling Prep for ASPN.

Price Targets

Low
$5.00
Consensus
$6.38
High
$7.75

Median: $6.38 (+34.0% from current price)

Source: FMP analyst consensus · as of Aug 25, 2026 · an estimate, not advice

ASPN MoonshotScore

14/100

What does this score mean?

MoonshotScore is Stock Expert AI's proprietary 0-100 research rating, not a buy or sell recommendation. ASPN scores 14/100 (Grade F): the number comes from the five-pillar engine (business quality, financial safety, valuation, growth durability, momentum), re-ranked daily against sector peers.

Leadership: Donald R. Young

Unknown

Information about Donald R. Without source data, I cannot provide details on his career history, education, or previous roles.

Track Record: Information about Donald R. Young's track record is not available in the provided data. Without source data, I cannot provide details on key achievements, strategic decisions, or company milestones under his leadership.

ASPN Industrials Stock FAQ

What does the AI Score mean for ASPN?

ASPN holds an AI Score of 14/100 (Grade: F). This is an educational research signal, not a buy or sell recommendation. The number comes from the five-pillar engine (business quality, financial safety, valuation, growth durability, momentum), re-ranked daily against sector peers. Aspen Aerogels, Inc. specializes in developing and manufacturing aerogel insulation products.

Is ASPN a good stock?

Stock Expert AI does not rate ASPN buy, sell or hold. Aspen Aerogels, Inc. carries a MoonshotScore of 14/100 on the five-pillar engine, a research rating against its peers. Whether it fits is your call: check what it sells, whether it earns, what the price assumes, and what would prove you wrong.

What do analysts say about ASPN stock?

Analyst coverage of Aspen Aerogels focuses on its growth potential within the electric vehicle battery market and its established presence in energy infrastructure. Key valuation metrics include revenue growth, gross margin, and profitability. The company's high beta suggests that the stock is more volatile than the overall market.

What are the key factors to evaluate for ASPN?

Aspen Aerogels, Inc. (ASPN) holds a MoonshotScore of 14/100 (low). Analysts target $6.38 (+34%). The increasing demand for LNG as a cleaner energy source is driving growth in the cryogenic insulation market. Not financial advice.

How frequently does ASPN data refresh on this page?

ASPN's price was last updated on Sep 11, 2026 and refreshes on page view during U.S. market hours; the quote is a provider snapshot, not an exchange feed. Fundamentals update after quarterly filings; the MoonshotScore recalculates nightly; news aggregates continuously.

What has driven ASPN's recent stock price performance?

Aspen Aerogels, Inc. (ASPN) moves on earnings results, analyst revisions, sector rotation, and market sentiment. Notable catalyst: Innovative aerogel technology. See the News tab for the latest drivers. Past performance does not predict future results.

Should investors consider ASPN overvalued or undervalued right now?

Aspen Aerogels, Inc. (ASPN) is loss-making, so its trailing P/E is negative (-765.00x) and not usable for valuation — lean on price-to-sales and cash flow in the Financials tab. Analysts target $6.38 (+34%) — upside seen. Compare P/E, P/S, and EV/EBITDA against sector peers for a full view.

Can I buy fractional shares of ASPN?

Yes, most major brokerages offer fractional shares of Aspen Aerogels, Inc. (ASPN) with no minimum purchase requirement. This means you can invest any dollar amount regardless of the share price. Check your brokerage platform for specific terms, fees, and fractional share availability.

How can I track ASPN's earnings and financial reports?

Aspen Aerogels, Inc. (ASPN) reports quarterly earnings approximately 4-6 weeks after each fiscal quarter ends. You can track earnings dates, revenue and EPS estimates, and actual results on this page's Financials tab. Earnings surprises (beats or misses) often cause significant short-term price moves. Your brokerage can send alerts for ASPN earnings announcements.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Always do your own research and consult a financial advisor.

Official Resources

Price as of Analysis updated MoonshotScore as of
Data Sources & Methodology
Market data powered by Financial Modeling Prep & Yahoo Finance. AI analysis by Stock Expert AI proprietary algorithms. Technical indicators via industry-standard calculations. Last updated: .
Data Provenance
Sources: Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) — Primary · Yahoo Finance — Fallback · Alpaca — Tertiary
Last fetched:
Cache TTL: Quote 5min · Profile 7d · Financials 7d · Insider 48h
How we use AI: Numbers are pulled directly from FMP & Yahoo Finance — our AI writes the analysis, it never edits the figures.
Data provided as-is for educational purposes. Not financial advice. Methodology

Data provided for informational purposes only.

Analysis Notes
  • Information is based on provided source data.
  • Some information may be limited due to data availability.
Data Sources
Financial Modeling Prep (FMP)Stock Expert AI proprietary analysis

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