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Aspen Aerogels, Inc. (ASPN) Stock Analysis

$5.11 -$0.34 (-6.24%) |Avoid · 12
Aspen Aerogels, Inc. (ASPN) bottom line: signals are mixed — the Council read leans Bearish Lean (28/100) while the AI fundamental score is 12/100 (grade F); the two lenses disagree, so weigh the breakdown below. Strongest signal: Ray Dalio bullish · Biggest watch-out: Growth Durability weak.
MCap: $424M| P/E Ratio: -765.0| Vol: 900.6K| Target: $4.88 (-4.5%)| 52-wk range: $2.30 – $9.78
Data from FMP · Methodology

For informational purposes only. Not financial advice. Analysis by Sedat ANAK, Founder & Editor-in-Chief | AI-powered analysis. Data sourced from SEC filings and institutional-grade financial providers. Editorially reviewed. Not financial advice.

Aspen Aerogels, Inc. (ASPN) trades at $5.11 with AI Score 12/100 (Grade F). Aspen Aerogels, Inc. specializes in developing and manufacturing aerogel insulation products. Market cap: $424M, Sector: Industrials.

Price as of Aug 20, 2026 · Last analyzed: May 10, 2026
Aspen Aerogels, Inc. specializes in developing and manufacturing aerogel insulation products. Their products cater to energy infrastructure and building materials markets, with a growing focus on thermal barriers for electric vehicle batteries.

ASPN stock analysis for 2026: Analysts have set a consensus price target of $4.88 for Aspen Aerogels, Inc., suggesting 4.5% downside from the current price of $5.11. The AI MoonshotScore is 12/100, indicating a strong bearish outlook. Key factors: analyst coverage, AI-driven quantitative scoring.

Watch the ASPN film Every key number, told as a short cinematic story — just press play. ~2 min
Council Score · Weighted Average of 3 Disciplines
Bearish Lean 28/100 · F

ASPN: 2/3 scored disciplines lean bearish. Dominant signal: Growth Durability weak.

How is this calculated? →
MoonshotScore · Growth Potential · 12/100
Business Quality
Weak Is this a genuinely good business?
Financial Safety
Negative Could this blow up on me?
Valuation
Weak Am I paying a fair price?
Growth Durability
Negative Is the growth real and likely to last?
Momentum
Moderate Is the market already moving on this?
Legends Council · 5 Legends + Moon AI
Ray Dalio
Bullish
Ken Griffin
Neutral
Jim Simons
Neutral
Izzy Englander
Bearish
Seth Klarman
Bearish
Moon AI
Bearish
Munger's Mindset · Balance Sheet & Valuation
Financial Health
Negative
Margin of Safety
Fairly Valued
Council Score · Weighted Average of 3 Disciplines · See tabs for details →

Why this analysis is different

  • A sector-relative MoonshotScore — five pillars (business quality, financial safety, valuation, growth durability, momentum) re-ranked nightly against the full universe of US-listed common stocks.
  • An AI Council read across up to eight perspectives — value, macro, quantitative, and momentum lenses — that shows where they disagree instead of averaging the tension away.
  • Figures come straight from FMP and Yahoo Finance filings data. The AI writes the narrative around the numbers — it never edits the numbers.

Aspen Aerogels, Inc. (ASPN) Industrial Operations Profile

CEODonald R. Young
Employees554
HeadquartersNorthborough, MA, US
IPO Year2014
IndustryConstruction

Aspen Aerogels, Inc. provides aerogel insulation solutions, targeting energy infrastructure and building materials sectors. The company differentiates itself through specialized products like PyroThin for EV batteries and Pyrogel for industrial applications, operating in a market driven by energy efficiency and safety standards.

Data Provenance | Financial Data Quantitative Analysis NYSE Analysis: May 10, 2026

What Is the Investment Thesis for ASPN?

As of May 10, 2026 — figures reflect the data available on that date.

Aspen Aerogels presents a compelling, albeit high-risk, investment thesis centered on its innovative aerogel technology and strategic positioning in high-growth markets. A key value driver is the increasing demand for thermal management solutions in electric vehicles, where its PyroThin product offers a competitive advantage. The company's expansion into building materials with Spaceloft also provides diversification. However, the company's negative profit margin of -48.6% raises concerns about profitability. Successful scaling of production and cost management are critical for realizing the company's potential. Investors should closely monitor revenue growth, gross margin improvement, and progress in achieving profitability.

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis

ASPN Key Highlights

Market capitalization of $424M reflects investor expectations for future growth, particularly in the electric vehicle battery market.

  • Gross margin of 11.9% indicates potential for improvement through economies of scale and optimized production processes.
  • Beta of 3.04 suggests high volatility relative to the broader market, reflecting the company's growth stage and sensitivity to market sentiment.
  • Focus on PyroThin thermal barriers for lithium-ion batteries positions the company to capitalize on the expanding EV market.
  • Geographic reach across the United States, Asia, Canada, Europe, and Latin America provides diversification and access to multiple growth markets.

Who Are ASPN's Competitors?

ASPN is benchmarked below against 8 industry peers on price, market cap, and our AI MoonshotScore.

Company Price Change Market Cap AI Score
AIRJW AirJoule Technologies Corporation $1.40 -3.21% $386M 52
PHOE Phoenix Asia Holdings Limited Ordinary Shares $21.89 -1.84% $473M 55
PLSNF Plasson Industries Ltd $51.75 +0.00% $494M 44
NRTZF Noritz Corporation $11.47 +0.00% $525M 47
LPUSF Tyman plc $3.31 +0.00% $645M 42
BXC BlueLinx Holdings Inc. $82.93 -3.75% $645M 62
JBI Janus International Group, Inc. $5.12 +0.10% $698M 69
PPIH Perma-Pipe International Holdings, Inc. $26.89 +1.47% $219M 71

AI Score by Stock Expert AI · Price data: FMP / Yahoo Finance

What Are ASPN's Key Strengths?

Innovative aerogel technology.

  • Specialized products for high-growth markets.
  • Established presence in the energy infrastructure market.
  • Growing focus on the electric vehicle battery market.

What Are ASPN's Weaknesses?

Negative profit margin.

  • High beta indicating volatility.
  • Dependence on specific industries and applications.
  • Relatively small market capitalization.

What Could Drive ASPN Stock Higher?

ASPN catalyst: Increasing demand for PyroThin thermal barriers in electric vehicle batteries due to EV market growth.

  • Expansion of the building materials market with Spaceloft products driven by energy-efficient construction trends.
  • Growth in the energy infrastructure market with Pyrogel products for insulation and corrosion prevention.
  • Potential new applications of aerogel technology in other industries, such as aerospace and consumer goods.
  • Development of new aerogel products with improved performance and cost-effectiveness.

What Are the Key Risks for ASPN?

Financial-distress signal — its Altman Z-Score of -2.59 sits in the distress zone (elevated bankruptcy risk).

  • Negative return on equity (-42.1%) — the business is not currently generating profit on shareholder capital.
  • Weak fundamentals — a Piotroski F-Score of 3/9 flags soft profitability, leverage or efficiency.
  • Competition from established insulation manufacturers with greater resources.
  • Fluctuations in raw material prices impacting production costs.
  • Negative profit margin and the need to achieve profitability.
  • Technological advancements that could render aerogel obsolete.
  • Economic downturns reducing demand for industrial and construction materials.

What Are the Growth Opportunities for ASPN?

  • Electric Vehicle Battery Market: The increasing adoption of electric vehicles drives demand for thermal barriers in lithium-ion batteries. Aspen Aerogels' PyroThin product is designed for this application, offering a competitive advantage in terms of thermal performance and safety.
  • Energy Infrastructure Insulation: The energy infrastructure market requires high-performance insulation to prevent corrosion and maintain operating temperatures. Aspen Aerogels' Pyrogel products are used in pipelines, refineries, and other industrial facilities. As energy companies invest in infrastructure upgrades and maintenance, demand for advanced insulation materials is expected to increase, providing a steady revenue stream for Aspen Aerogels.
  • Building Materials Market: The building materials market is driven by energy-efficient construction and stringent building codes. Aspen Aerogels' Spaceloft products offer superior thermal performance compared to traditional insulation materials. As building owners and developers seek to reduce energy consumption and comply with regulations, demand for Spaceloft is expected to grow, particularly in green building projects.
  • Cryogenic Insulation: Aspen Aerogels' Cryogel products are used in cryogenic applications, such as liquefied natural gas (LNG) storage and transportation. The increasing demand for LNG as a cleaner energy source is driving growth in the cryogenic insulation market. Aspen Aerogels' Cryogel products offer high thermal performance and durability in extreme cold environments, making them well-suited for these applications.
  • Fire Protection: Aspen Aerogels' Pyrogel XTF provides protection against fire. The growing awareness of fire safety and increasingly stringent fire safety regulations are driving demand for fire-resistant materials in buildings and industrial facilities. This presents a growth opportunity for Aspen Aerogels to expand its market share in the fire protection industry.

What Are ASPN's Competitive Advantages?

  • Proprietary aerogel technology and manufacturing processes.
  • Specialized products tailored to specific applications.
  • Established relationships with key customers in target industries.
  • Growing brand recognition for high-performance insulation solutions.

What Does ASPN Do?

Founded in 2001 and headquartered in Northborough, Massachusetts, Aspen Aerogels, Inc. designs, develops, manufactures, and sells aerogel insulation products. The company initially focused on serving the energy infrastructure market with products like Pyrogel and Cryogel, which reduce corrosion and provide insulation in demanding environments. Over time, Aspen Aerogels expanded its product line to include Spaceloft for building materials, targeting energy-efficient construction. A key strategic move was the development of PyroThin thermal barriers for lithium-ion batteries, positioning the company in the rapidly growing electric vehicle (EV) market. The company's products are now used across the United States, Asia, Canada, Europe, and Latin America. Aspen Aerogels continues to innovate in aerogel technology, aiming to provide solutions for thermal management and fire protection across diverse industries, from energy to construction to electric vehicles.

What Products and Services Does ASPN Offer?

  • Designs and develops aerogel insulation products.
  • Manufactures aerogel insulation materials for various applications.
  • Sells aerogel products to the energy infrastructure market.
  • Provides thermal barriers for lithium-ion batteries in electric vehicles.
  • Offers insulation solutions for the building materials market.
  • Supplies cryogenic insulation for LNG and other cold storage applications.

How Does ASPN Make Money?

  • Aspen Aerogels generates revenue through the sale of aerogel insulation products.
  • The company targets specific industries, including energy, construction, and electric vehicles.
  • Aspen Aerogels focuses on high-performance applications where its products offer a competitive advantage.
  • The company invests in research and development to innovate new aerogel technologies and applications.

What Industry Does ASPN Operate In?

Aspen Aerogels operates within the broader construction and industrial materials sector, with a specific focus on insulation solutions. The market is driven by increasing demand for energy efficiency, safety, and thermal management across various industries. The rise of electric vehicles and stringent building codes are creating new opportunities for advanced insulation materials. Aspen Aerogels competes with traditional insulation manufacturers as well as other aerogel producers, differentiating itself through specialized products and applications.

Who Are ASPN's Key Customers?

  • Energy companies that operate pipelines, refineries, and other industrial facilities.
  • Electric vehicle manufacturers that use lithium-ion batteries.
  • Building owners and developers seeking energy-efficient construction materials.
  • Companies involved in the storage and transportation of liquefied natural gas (LNG).
AI Confidence: 73% Updated: May 10, 2026

Company Profile

Aspen Aerogels, Inc. operates in the Construction industry within the Industrials sector. It is headquartered in Northborough, US. The company is led by CEO Donald R. Young. ASPN has traded publicly since 2014.

Aspen Aerogels, Inc. Financial Trajectory

Aspen Aerogels, Inc. (ASPN) reported $49.8M in revenue for Q2 2026, reflecting 31.6% growth compared to the prior quarter. The company recorded a net loss of $23.3M, with diluted EPS of $-0.28. Quarter-over-quarter revenue has been mixed, typical for a small-cap company operating in Industrials. Across the four most recent quarters, ASPN averaged $-0.38 in diluted EPS.

How Aspen Aerogels, Inc. Is Valued

Aspen Aerogels, Inc. carries a market capitalization of $424M, placing it in the small-cap category. Relative to its peer group, ASPN's quantitative score of 12/100 is below the peer average of 48/100.

ROE -42%

Key Financial Metrics

Return on equity for Aspen Aerogels, Inc. stands at -42.1%, a gauge of how efficiently it converts shareholder capital into profit. Return on assets is -27.3%, showing how much profit it generates from its asset base. Its free cash flow yield is 7.9%, a gauge of the cash the business throws off relative to its market value. A current ratio of 2.88 indicates the company holds enough short-term assets to cover its near-term obligations. Its earnings yield is -24.9%, the inverse of the P/E and a quick read on earnings relative to price.

F-Score 3/9

Financial Health

Aspen Aerogels, Inc.'s Piotroski F-Score is 3/9, a 9-point checklist of profitability, leverage and efficiency — flagging fundamental weakness worth scrutiny. Its Altman Z-Score of -2.59 places it in the distress zone, a signal of elevated financial risk.

FY2026 est

Forward Outlook

Wall Street analysts project Aspen Aerogels, Inc. revenue of about $196.2M for fiscal 2026, with EPS near $-0.77. The estimate reflects 4 contributing analysts.

ASPN Financials

Fundamental Snapshot

Revenue Growth (FY)
-40.1%
Free Cash Flow Growth (FY)
+88.8%
Return on Equity (TTM)
-42.1%
Current Ratio
2.9

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis · FY 2025

Bull Case vs Bear Case

Bull Case

  • Recent insider buying activity suggests confidence in the company's future, indicating that management believes in its growth potential.
  • Community sentiment has shifted positively, with discussions highlighting the company's innovative products and their applications in energy efficiency.
  • The increasing demand for sustainable materials aligns with Aspen Aerogels' offerings, positioning the company favorably in a growing market.
  • Recent partnerships and contracts have bolstered the company's reputation and visibility, attracting more attention from investors.

Bear Case

  • Despite positive sentiment, some analysts express concerns about the company's ability to scale production effectively, which could hinder growth.
  • The competitive landscape is intensifying, with new entrants in the aerogel market potentially impacting Aspen's market share.
  • Recent earnings calls reflected caution regarding short-term profitability, raising questions about operational efficiency.
  • There are mixed opinions within the community, with some investors wary of the stock's volatility and uncertain market conditions.

AI-generated arguments based on insider flow, news sentiment and technicals — not financial advice · March 2026

Recent Quarterly Results

Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q2 2026 $50M -$23M -$0.28
Q1 2026 $38M -$24M -$0.29
Q4 2025 $41M -$73M -$0.88
Q3 2025 $73M -$6M -$0.08

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis

ASPN Latest News

ASPN Analyst Consensus

Consensus Rating

Aggregated Buy/Hold/Sell recommendations from Benzinga, Yahoo Finance, and Finnhub for ASPN.

Price Targets

Consensus target: $4.88

ASPN MoonshotScore

12/100

What does this score mean?

The MoonshotScore rates ASPN 0-100 on quantitative fundamentals — growth, financial health, valuation, momentum, and risk.

Leadership: Donald R. Young

Unknown

Information about Donald R. Young's background is not available in the provided data. Without source data, I cannot provide details on his career history, education, or previous roles.

Track Record: Information about Donald R. Young's track record is not available in the provided data. Without source data, I cannot provide details on key achievements, strategic decisions, or company milestones under his leadership.

ASPN Industrials Stock FAQ

What does the AI Score mean for ASPN?

ASPN holds an AI Score of 12/100 (Grade: F). This is an educational research signal, not a buy or sell recommendation. Aspen Aerogels, Inc. specializes in developing and manufacturing aerogel insulation products. Their products cater to energy infrastructure and building materials markets, with a growing focus …

What does Aspen Aerogels, Inc. do?

Aspen Aerogels, Inc. specializes in the design, development, and manufacturing of aerogel insulation products. These products are primarily used in the energy infrastructure and building materials markets, with a growing focus on thermal barriers for lithium-ion batteries in electric vehicles.

What do analysts say about ASPN stock?

Analyst coverage of Aspen Aerogels focuses on its growth potential within the electric vehicle battery market and its established presence in energy infrastructure. Key valuation metrics include revenue growth, gross margin, and profitability. The company's high beta suggests that the stock is more volatile than the overall market.

What are the main risks for ASPN?

Aspen Aerogels faces several risks, including competition from established insulation manufacturers, fluctuations in raw material prices, and the need to achieve profitability. The company's high beta indicates sensitivity to market sentiment and economic conditions. Technological advancements that could render aerogel obsolete also pose a threat.

What are the key factors to evaluate for ASPN?

Aspen Aerogels, Inc. (ASPN) holds an AI score of 12/100 (low). Analysts target $4.88 (-5%). Aspen Aerogels presents a compelling, albeit high-risk, investment thesis centered on its innovative aerogel technology and strategic positioning in high-growth markets. Not financial advice.

How frequently does ASPN data refresh on this page?

ASPN's price was last updated on Aug 20, 2026 and refreshes on page view during U.S. market hours — it is not a real-time exchange feed. Fundamentals update after quarterly filings; the MoonshotScore recalculates nightly; news aggregates continuously.

What has driven ASPN's recent stock price performance?

Aspen Aerogels, Inc. (ASPN) moves on earnings results, analyst revisions, sector rotation, and market sentiment. Notable catalyst: Innovative aerogel technology. See the News tab for the latest drivers. Past performance does not predict future results.

Should investors consider ASPN overvalued or undervalued right now?

Aspen Aerogels, Inc. (ASPN) is loss-making, so its trailing P/E is negative (-765.0x) and not usable for valuation — lean on price-to-sales and cash flow in the Financials tab. Analysts target $4.88 (-5%) — near fair value. Compare P/E, P/S, and EV/EBITDA against sector peers for a full view.

How do I research ASPN before investing?

Before investing in Aspen Aerogels, Inc. (ASPN), research these four areas: (1) the company's revenue model and competitive position (see Company Overview), (2) financial health through revenue growth, margins, and cash flow (see MoonshotScore), (3) analyst consensus ratings and price targets (see Analyst tab), and (4) specific risk factors that could impact the stock (see Risk Factors section).

Disclaimer: This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Always do your own research and consult a financial advisor.

Official Resources

Price as of Analysis updated AI Score refreshed daily
Data Sources & Methodology
Market data powered by Financial Modeling Prep & Yahoo Finance. AI analysis by Stock Expert AI proprietary algorithms. Technical indicators via industry-standard calculations. Last updated: .
Data Provenance
Sources: Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) — Primary · Yahoo Finance — Fallback · Alpaca — Tertiary
Last fetched:
Cache TTL: Quote 5min · Profile 7d · Financials 7d · Insider 48h
How we use AI: Numbers are pulled directly from FMP & Yahoo Finance — our AI writes the analysis, it never edits the figures.
Data provided as-is for educational purposes. Not financial advice. Methodology

Data provided for informational purposes only.

Analysis Notes
  • Information is based on provided source data.
  • Some information may be limited due to data availability.
Data Sources

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